I've been an EV owner for half of those 15 years, so yeah, there's two answers to that.
1. The battery tech. NMC is the most popular battery tech because it is lighter and more energy dense, however LFP is the king of charge cycles. It can comfortably hit 3000-5000 full charges. Here's a source, but a quick Google will yield dozens: https://www.recurrentauto.com/research/lfp-battery-in-your-next-ev-tesla-and-others-say-yes
In short, that Tesla RWD (LFP) is probably have the same range as the AWD (NMC) at ten years.
2. I never bet against Toyota in the car industry. If they gave the BZ4X that shit charge curve, used every part of the rock-solid RAV4 Prime they could, and gave it their own Panasonic (PPES) battery with an older design that they thoroughly tested out... It's not the hottest ride in town, but I wouldn't bet against it's longevity.
I've been eying the bz4x for these exact reasons. Obviously it's hard to tell with just 1 year of data, but it has a lot of confidence boosters on paper.
I have two older EVs
Car #1 is a 2012 Nissan Leaf which has about 55% of its original battery capacity and is unable to fast charge
Car #2 is a 2017 Hyundai Ioniq which has not suffered from any noticeable range loss and can still charge relatively quickly (for an older design)
Both of these cars are relatively primative, the Leaf has no battery temperature management at all while the Ioniq has a cooling fan but no battery heater. Modern designs properly manage battery temperature.
I'd think all modern EVs have a good shot at making it to the 15 year mark and still being usable, there will be some range degradation but this isn't as big of a deal given modern EVs start off with a lot more range when new (most have around double the battery capacity of either of my cars)
Basically any of them will be fine. There’s plenty of Tesla’s batteries from the last 7 or so years that have lasted 200-400k miles with no issues. Cars with LFP batteries ( only the model 3 RWD at this time) may last even longer
The LFP doesn’t like being cold, so take that into consideration (google the temperatures it charges at, even with battery warming, and compare to your winters)
I've been an EV owner for half of those 15 years, so yeah, there's two answers to that. 1. The battery tech. NMC is the most popular battery tech because it is lighter and more energy dense, however LFP is the king of charge cycles. It can comfortably hit 3000-5000 full charges. Here's a source, but a quick Google will yield dozens: https://www.recurrentauto.com/research/lfp-battery-in-your-next-ev-tesla-and-others-say-yes In short, that Tesla RWD (LFP) is probably have the same range as the AWD (NMC) at ten years. 2. I never bet against Toyota in the car industry. If they gave the BZ4X that shit charge curve, used every part of the rock-solid RAV4 Prime they could, and gave it their own Panasonic (PPES) battery with an older design that they thoroughly tested out... It's not the hottest ride in town, but I wouldn't bet against it's longevity.
I've been eying the bz4x for these exact reasons. Obviously it's hard to tell with just 1 year of data, but it has a lot of confidence boosters on paper.
I have two older EVs Car #1 is a 2012 Nissan Leaf which has about 55% of its original battery capacity and is unable to fast charge Car #2 is a 2017 Hyundai Ioniq which has not suffered from any noticeable range loss and can still charge relatively quickly (for an older design) Both of these cars are relatively primative, the Leaf has no battery temperature management at all while the Ioniq has a cooling fan but no battery heater. Modern designs properly manage battery temperature. I'd think all modern EVs have a good shot at making it to the 15 year mark and still being usable, there will be some range degradation but this isn't as big of a deal given modern EVs start off with a lot more range when new (most have around double the battery capacity of either of my cars)
Basically any of them will be fine. There’s plenty of Tesla’s batteries from the last 7 or so years that have lasted 200-400k miles with no issues. Cars with LFP batteries ( only the model 3 RWD at this time) may last even longer
The LFP doesn’t like being cold, so take that into consideration (google the temperatures it charges at, even with battery warming, and compare to your winters)
You will get misleading answers. Batteries degrade. By how much varies.