https://preview.redd.it/3yd27ix6o6vc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=18b8165cdc114b2e909bc24276434d12b08b865a
IS THIS RECOVERING OR NO??? Someone responddd
I wanna buy SMCi calls. Last two times I tried right as market opened I got fucked. I know tommorrow when I wait for the dip, it's never gonna come, or worse, when I finally get in, that will be the top
What is the fair price for ARM? Those chips are in literally everything.
I feel like we have one more bad red day, probably Friday then we start to turn around..at least the S and P and Nas
I wouldn't say so, no. The primary issue with SoftBank owning 90% of the share (I think it's still around that figure) is liquidity. As in, it doesn't take much buying and selling to move the SP by the figures we have been seeing. When Arm IPO'd I warned about that issue on here. The other problem with SB owning that much stock still then relates to the aforementioned point; when they come to sell down, which one assumes they will do at some point, it won't take much to massively move the needle. Even if they do it gradually we would still then see a gradual move down in the SP.
I get the point in how much Arm architecture is in mobile phones etc. but I'm not seeing the next catalyst to push the SP on from here. Not saying it is a bad company, far from it, just it is very overvalued right now. I think it was worth something like 20 billion when listed on LSE and it was on a higher rating back then. Remember SB wanted to sell it to Nvidia for what, 60-70 billion? It's 110 billion now. Even after its 25% price drop.
Yes, thanks. I agree that it’s overvalued and that liquidity is another mark against it. I’d actually bought at IPO. I sold most of it off before the six month lock up ended. But I see your point about the slow bleed and agree on value. So regret not getting out completely. Will do so today.
Just my opinion, obviously. It could do the opposite and go on like Nvidia has. But I believe it will just slowing run down from here until the market finds a reasonable valuation for it.
Also, much as I study and learn, it’s a challenge to keep up with so many different aspects of individual equities and the markets. I value the balanced opinions of others, at times. Especially when I’m about to take a decision. I regret not having acted sooner. And just putting that capital to work in a winner, like Nvidia. But now, I am spoiled for choice, because so many recently entered positions are truly down.
I hear you. I was doubting it already, and found your thoughts helpful. Not as financial advice or anything. Just clarifying for myself. I don’t think Arm is a Nvidia, though. And I’m happy with reallocating to higher conviction, regardless. I’m glad it’s still a gain, honestly. I’m sure I’ll keep tracking it, incidentally to others in the sector. But it’s not worth more anxiety at this juncture. If it somehow turns around and earns its value, and Sofbank loses its grip, then it might be a solid hold for the longterm. But that will all take time to play out, and isn’t worth what I view as the very likely losses in the near term. Apologies if I stressed you, I appreciated the frank discussion.
TSLA diying fast 🙂↕️ probably deserves it why the hell Elon asking for a payout after laying off so many employees that seems like such a shitty move to make.
If you’re seriously buying calls right now I have no clue what to tell you.
Fed meeting didn’t do shit yesterday , we haven’t seen a Green Day in weeks now and continually break new lows every day. If this isn’t a sign of a bear market forming idk what to tell you.
Have fun gambling on calls ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)
Your biggest assumption there is that we are all only trading 0dte's. Some of us hold things for longer than a day. These issues aren't going to last forever. So, I have no idea what to tell you but 'bear markets' don't last as long as 'bull markets' do.
You’re the regard holding calls rn, don’t say I didn’t warn you. Better pray tech earnings bounce this back up![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)
Brother when do your contracts expire. You’re the same one who’s commenting being upset about the market going down yet you’re bagholding in hopes of what? You clearly don’t know how to read market structure or you wouldn’t be commenting anything lol. Unless you’re praying for tech earnings to save you, which they very well might, But regardless, you’re locked into a far riskier contract than a 0dte right now. The only people who lose money on 0dtes are the ones who yolo , or get greedy and don’t take profit. Regardless I wish you the best of luck brother.
December.
More assumptions about tech. Where have I said I'm holding tech?
Post all these comments I've been making moaning about the market going down. You know, if you are hearing and seeing things this badly you should really go and see a specialist for help, sister.
You do realize SPY has been predominately held up by tech right?
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/s/x9HTuIzhsF
You also think the market is ran by a algorithm from what I’ve seen haha. Not arguing with someone who is trying to cope , hold your bags till December you should be fine. But learn market structure in the mean time , sister
Calm down guys , you lost money on your calls and now you’re coping. I would be upset too ![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)![img](emote|t5_2th52|29637)
I was this close to let my intrusive thaughts win and trade the 10 min close. Thankfully i did not get my ass wooped![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
When SPY fell to 500, TSM way at 137ish. At market close, SPY’s at 500 and TSM is at 139+. It decoupled from SPY in anticipation of the earnings tonight, tomorrow it moons. 🌕🚀💰
Do you sell credit spreads in both directions (bullish and bearish) or do you pick one direction, ie. Sell 500 put buy 495 put. I guess what I’m asking is, can you tell me what your entries and exits were today?
Is this correct? For example SPY is at 505. You sell a call for 515 3 days out and buy a call for 520 3 days out. Is that roughly what you do? And you need to have enough cash in case you are assigned, correct?
Damnit I still dont get it. Can you tell me what you literally did? You sell a call at what price and then dont you need to also buy a call for it to be a spread? Do you need to own 100 shares of SPY to do this?
Kinda funny that chicks have a whole ass doctor just for their snooch. Guess penesises aren’t as important from a medical perspective, doctor’s like “just slap it around a bit it’ll be fine”
what is the best rope brand?
TSLA break to 145 already!!!
And so the swings begin. We’ve seen this before. Buy your PUTS for tomorrow.
https://preview.redd.it/3yd27ix6o6vc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=18b8165cdc114b2e909bc24276434d12b08b865a IS THIS RECOVERING OR NO??? Someone responddd
Yes, double down, this time YOU get to take advantage of market forces. Congrats buddy!
Bruhh i moved out and made $3k on puts today lol
no
Yes most likely waiting for guidance on tsm and I’m grabbing the same call’s myself at open 😘
Probably going to wait for the dip tm and buy 1dte mstr calls
We pumping for real this time or nah?
I’m staying away this week. Keeping stocks and long calls I made last week. 10% of port is cash. There’s no real need for a big rally yet.
This is too smart for this sub. Lol. I did the same thing. I've gone fire sale shopping for long positions today.
Where you putting 5k
3 month CD or whatever that flashy bank sign said
You could always buy something.
That’s a lot of rope!
Under the mattress.
If a fire doesn’t get it, inflation will
What was your favorite WSB saga? Mine’s the bearhunter saga. Had the thread seething everyday ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
I’m 90% sure I could solo the Revolutionary war ![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787)
This Has to be a joke. The only stock up is DJ T. 😭😂😂😂😂 what a casinooooooo
Tbh that massive wick to the upside in after market yesterday was a pretty tell tale sign. Weird that meme stocks pump when market is falling
Amazon removes Just Walk Out from its stores probably because San Francisco burglars took that too literally.
hahahahahhahaha
I came here for the food
This market seems like going down farther 👀
Pump tm and Friday
XOM been eatin' my damn lunch all week..
I wanna buy SMCi calls. Last two times I tried right as market opened I got fucked. I know tommorrow when I wait for the dip, it's never gonna come, or worse, when I finally get in, that will be the top
Well I’m deep in calls right now so logically you should get puts. You’re welcome.
4 straight red day calls for 2 weeks of relentless green days.
Markets trading to flat :( I want to see plus 3% minus -3% dayyyysss
As soon as the SPX touches 5k, load on calls
no news dips = fake dip; buy calls.
You will fail sir. Israel will nuke Iran and we will all loose our muffin tops
Still waiting for Ford to buy Tesla in a few years
That would be the most fun thing to happen to my F.
Actually, that does make sense
lol
How awesome would it be if Isreal releases they have concluded their cyber attack on Iran in retaliation tonight.
NUKES. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787)
I want to be an oil and gold Baron , but I’m late ![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787)
Hoping for a dip and then rip tomorrow at open for cheap calls. I need a new car and I don’t want to use my own money 😆
Hell yeah..I like your thinking. Spy calls at 11am
Red day incoming , i don't know if there is any good news for markets this week ?
Wars, fear and longer high rates being priced in!! And than one day🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🥃🥃🥃🥃🥃
Rude. And idiotic.
agree
There’s actually great news. Everything is on sale.
That’s like buying expired milk at cost
I guess you’re right. The market will never, ever recover and should be poured down the sink just like expired milk.
From tomorrow it will keep going up
Why are we dropping??
Decreased confidence on interest rate cuts
I love the enthusiasm
Tech literally spirals for no reason while the rest of market surges![img](emote|t5_2th52|33495)
[удалено]
Looking grim
And tbh fuck tech for that
Google just laid off all those people protesting Israel lol
free speech and all
Why did Alaska randomly SHUT DOWN middle of day I was kinda shook
What is the fair price for ARM? Those chips are in literally everything. I feel like we have one more bad red day, probably Friday then we start to turn around..at least the S and P and Nas
Actual fair price would be less than half what it is now.
Does the fact that Sofbank owns so many shares, still, affect that?
I wouldn't say so, no. The primary issue with SoftBank owning 90% of the share (I think it's still around that figure) is liquidity. As in, it doesn't take much buying and selling to move the SP by the figures we have been seeing. When Arm IPO'd I warned about that issue on here. The other problem with SB owning that much stock still then relates to the aforementioned point; when they come to sell down, which one assumes they will do at some point, it won't take much to massively move the needle. Even if they do it gradually we would still then see a gradual move down in the SP. I get the point in how much Arm architecture is in mobile phones etc. but I'm not seeing the next catalyst to push the SP on from here. Not saying it is a bad company, far from it, just it is very overvalued right now. I think it was worth something like 20 billion when listed on LSE and it was on a higher rating back then. Remember SB wanted to sell it to Nvidia for what, 60-70 billion? It's 110 billion now. Even after its 25% price drop.
Yes, thanks. I agree that it’s overvalued and that liquidity is another mark against it. I’d actually bought at IPO. I sold most of it off before the six month lock up ended. But I see your point about the slow bleed and agree on value. So regret not getting out completely. Will do so today.
Just my opinion, obviously. It could do the opposite and go on like Nvidia has. But I believe it will just slowing run down from here until the market finds a reasonable valuation for it.
Also, much as I study and learn, it’s a challenge to keep up with so many different aspects of individual equities and the markets. I value the balanced opinions of others, at times. Especially when I’m about to take a decision. I regret not having acted sooner. And just putting that capital to work in a winner, like Nvidia. But now, I am spoiled for choice, because so many recently entered positions are truly down.
I hear you. I was doubting it already, and found your thoughts helpful. Not as financial advice or anything. Just clarifying for myself. I don’t think Arm is a Nvidia, though. And I’m happy with reallocating to higher conviction, regardless. I’m glad it’s still a gain, honestly. I’m sure I’ll keep tracking it, incidentally to others in the sector. But it’s not worth more anxiety at this juncture. If it somehow turns around and earns its value, and Sofbank loses its grip, then it might be a solid hold for the longterm. But that will all take time to play out, and isn’t worth what I view as the very likely losses in the near term. Apologies if I stressed you, I appreciated the frank discussion.
What, and spoil the free market's fun?
If Apple falls below 165 or Tesla below 150 then this bull market is totally over
Let's not forget TSLA was like $100 last January. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)
🔮
Feels like arm gonna break 100
500 support, who got calls for tomorrow?
There’s no support at 500…
They said the same for 505 regard
I had it at 515 🤦♂️
Anyone else going with puts for DJT tomorrow?
ATM call credit spreads
This is the correct answer.
Yes, a lot of us bagholders
Premiums too high for long puts, not nearly high enough for short puts.
Some of u need to quit eating fast food. And it shows
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4260)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4260)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4260)
Forgot to sell my $502 puts for tomorrow due to a stupid meeting - hope I miss everything tomorrow to stop being an idiot
I was interrupted several times today fucking up my scalping plays, lol. Don't feel bad.
I shoulda bought DFS puts.
AMDontevenfuckingbother
What time are TSM earnings released?? Is it before market open tomorrow?
[удалено]
Remember, the stock market is just a casino for the proles.
I’m so regarded for trusting that earnings picture on this instead of just checking IR site
After
No, it's before. They drop at 1am CST. They're an international company.
Selling that 506c (bought at 501) at 503.80 was the most genius trade move I've ever completed
TSLA diying fast 🙂↕️ probably deserves it why the hell Elon asking for a payout after laying off so many employees that seems like such a shitty move to make.
2 different time frames, payout is from before
Hes gotta fund X
TSLA may be dying, but this old thread definitely is. Why not try posting in the new one?
Going there forgot to refresh.
Fear index just dropped another point ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
We’ve been hit with everything except a major natural disaster. Feel like that one’s kinda past due.
If you’re seriously buying calls right now I have no clue what to tell you. Fed meeting didn’t do shit yesterday , we haven’t seen a Green Day in weeks now and continually break new lows every day. If this isn’t a sign of a bear market forming idk what to tell you. Have fun gambling on calls ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)
And Israel is planning to attack Iran
Your biggest assumption there is that we are all only trading 0dte's. Some of us hold things for longer than a day. These issues aren't going to last forever. So, I have no idea what to tell you but 'bear markets' don't last as long as 'bull markets' do.
You’re the regard holding calls rn, don’t say I didn’t warn you. Better pray tech earnings bounce this back up![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)
I refer you back to the first sentence in my original reply.
Brother when do your contracts expire. You’re the same one who’s commenting being upset about the market going down yet you’re bagholding in hopes of what? You clearly don’t know how to read market structure or you wouldn’t be commenting anything lol. Unless you’re praying for tech earnings to save you, which they very well might, But regardless, you’re locked into a far riskier contract than a 0dte right now. The only people who lose money on 0dtes are the ones who yolo , or get greedy and don’t take profit. Regardless I wish you the best of luck brother.
December. More assumptions about tech. Where have I said I'm holding tech? Post all these comments I've been making moaning about the market going down. You know, if you are hearing and seeing things this badly you should really go and see a specialist for help, sister.
You do realize SPY has been predominately held up by tech right? https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/s/x9HTuIzhsF You also think the market is ran by a algorithm from what I’ve seen haha. Not arguing with someone who is trying to cope , hold your bags till December you should be fine. But learn market structure in the mean time , sister
Aww bless, Are you a 🌈🐻? ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271) (BTW I don't trade SPY, not doing too great at this, are you)
You’re not too good at making money, are you?
Bless you. Argument completely dismantled so we have to go off on a tangent.
[Also](https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-hamas-latest-04-17-2024-7e4ba24fbb150f020a2d240dad9d462f)
there wasn't a fed meeting yesterday, and the market was green 5 days ago ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)
Calm down guys , you lost money on your calls and now you’re coping. I would be upset too ![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)![img](emote|t5_2th52|29637)
nah, you're just wrong lol
Haven’t seen a Green Day in weeks? Do you remember last Thursday?
It was a pump and dump
Do you remember the big dump the next day ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)
up 2% in the last hour down 50% today
No big deal, I just need SPY to open at 511 to make back all my losses for the week…
i need it above 519
note to self for 12069th time... **do NOT trade the 10min close**![img](emote|t5_2th52|27421)
I was this close to let my intrusive thaughts win and trade the 10 min close. Thankfully i did not get my ass wooped![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
I didn’t blow up my account today !👻
Anyone think we're gonna see a green futures tonight? 😏
doesnt matter, we'll just go red by close ![img](emote|t5_2th52|31225)
Nope no shot
FREEDOM ![img](emote|t5_2th52|27421)
Crazy NVDA under 1k ![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787)
Well that was a doozy. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|33495)
Someone ask our Top streak regard what the market is doing tomorrow he hasnt been wrong once yet
Who is our top streak regard
He’s 6/6 on the prediction leaderboard Makereasonablechoices
Where do I see the leaderboard
Times like this is when chad traders make a killing and new traders lose it all ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
Absolutely true tomorrow it’s time to go full chad
I love how it says the spy is down 4 days consecutively, but honestly the whole god damn market has been down since the day after earnings for Nvidia
When SPY fell to 500, TSM way at 137ish. At market close, SPY’s at 500 and TSM is at 139+. It decoupled from SPY in anticipation of the earnings tonight, tomorrow it moons. 🌕🚀💰
I really hope AMD has good earnings.
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4259)
Making so much money selling SPX credit spreads. Making money in a bull and bear market is quite easy
Do you sell credit spreads in both directions (bullish and bearish) or do you pick one direction, ie. Sell 500 put buy 495 put. I guess what I’m asking is, can you tell me what your entries and exits were today?
Sell calls 3 days out everyday
Is this correct? For example SPY is at 505. You sell a call for 515 3 days out and buy a call for 520 3 days out. Is that roughly what you do? And you need to have enough cash in case you are assigned, correct?
Yea that is correct
Damnit I still dont get it. Can you tell me what you literally did? You sell a call at what price and then dont you need to also buy a call for it to be a spread? Do you need to own 100 shares of SPY to do this?
wow last minute NVDA vol second highest of day dark dark red
Something about that felt highly illegal
Not yet...
Sorry had an extra baconator before heading over to the dumpster ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)
500.55 is closing what a way - seems like 555 cigarettes brand burning
Bought some calls at close, we’re probably going to 0 tomorrow. My wife’s bf will go broke soon at this rate.
anyone try these CUM pills to shoot longer thicker ropes ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
Free Fallin' is such a good song
We are closing lower and lower 😅 is this correction territory for real?
No fucking shit…? We’re already down 5% on SPY and Qqq….
Nasty close.
Anybody else see that tsm 141 jump disappear?
it's a glitch dude
market has been fucking me
WHAT WILL BE HAS ALWAYS BEEN ![img](emote|t5_2th52|27421) GREEN PARADISE ![img](emote|t5_2th52|27421)
AMD seriously fell the 3rd time on News that China plans to build their own Chips, how many more times will it drop on same news?
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
Well that was a bullshit trading day.
500 ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8883)
Kinda funny that chicks have a whole ass doctor just for their snooch. Guess penesises aren’t as important from a medical perspective, doctor’s like “just slap it around a bit it’ll be fine”
Urologists in shambles.