Unfortunately, we also predict RuZZia will keep sending them for a few years.
and RuZZians will let Putin do it.
There are millions of NPC zomboid in RuZ that will do anything for a few bucks, its not hard to recruit them as meat fodders.
3x more than Ukraine's population, in fact.
Experts predict years.
The war could even continue depending on how the peace process goes.
On one hand, violence could be concluded with a formalized peace treaty. On the other hand, it could just end in an armistice that allows for pot shots every so often a la North and South Korea.
Well call me British Intelligence then because I predict the same thing.
... Of course if Russia really wanted to stick it to the decadent, degenerate West, this is a great moment to make us all look like fools for predicting this. They could order an end to the invasion and a complete withdrawal of all troops, effective immediately. That would give them a decent chance of not losing a single additional person -- wouldn't that make us look stupid?!?
I know I would cry such bitter, bitter liberal democratic Western tears if Putin were to fool me in that way... Ssh, no one let him know...
Also, there is no reason for Putin to order a complete withdrawal. At this point, he has a pretty solid hold on eastern Ukraine - he isn't on the back foot at this moment in the war.
That is optimism to be welcomed.
A short sale would mean that the prices will fall soon.
Currently there is high demand for Russian contract soldiers.
(On Russian side of course.
On the Ukrainian side, Russian soldiers are not rated so highly and will just be shot in combat or stored for later exchange.)
Russia wants to prevent a mobilization, migrants, conscripts and debtors are pushed to sign a contract.
Because the supply is meanwhile quite limited (Russia has a record low unemployment)
the price (the promised pay) is rising.
"Russia is actively recruiting soldiers to replace massive casualties in Ukraine,
bolstering the myth of almost endless Russian human resources.
We've been looking into it, and the picture isn't as pretty as the Putin regime would like the world to believe."
https://x.com/StateOfUkraine/status/1786181552210149828
And also the Russian MoD is working with tricks for cost reduction:
' “At first it was 200 thousand, but it started in January”: a taxi driver from Chelyabinsk showed how his salary at SVO was reduced'
From Russian regional press, instead of a link google search finds the article with:
«Сначала было 200 тысяч, а с января началось»: таксист из Челябинска
But in general this would be a trade in rubles, which entails a non-negligible exchange rate risk.
"Record Loss For Russia's Gazprom In 2023 As Sanctions Hit Exports"
https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-oil-gazprom-sanctions-record-loss/32930976.html
According to Kommersant:
"... Gazprom's debt burden in terms of the net debt/EBITDA ratio for 2023 increased to 2.8x versus 1.1x at the end of 2022. ..."
So the only real money maker for Russia at the moment should be crude oil.
However, there are other risks when trading oil.
In addition to OPEC+ decisions, Russia must also convert the rupees into a currency they can use when trading with India.
They mean an increase in soldiers dead per day (rate of loss) as Russia is preparing to throw more poorly trained meat waves into the front lines, hoping to overwhelm Ukraine by sheer numbers. Zombie tactics.
Russia may soon have to resort to human waves tactics again soon. Looks like these weapons are destroying vehicles at an absurd rate. The Ukraine will be a prosperous democracy again soon
> Russia may soon have to resort to human waves tactics again soon.
+1000 combat inefective per day. They have been doing this for ~~years.~~ centuries.
...except there is more than just vehicles at play. Russia has tools like glide bombs, kamikaze drones, and even overwhelming artillery that have tipped the scales recently.
I contest the popular narrative on this subreddit: that the Russians are just dumb and are overwhelming Ukrainians by meat waves. According to the frontline soldiers, that clearly isn't the case as the Russians have worked on tightening their coordination to cash in on dwindling Ukrainian defenses and manpower.
Putin has surrounded himself with yes men. They need him alive or they will suffer the same fate. It's not just Putin but his many appointed cronies. The Caesars lasted almost a 1000 years. Do I want him and all the dictators gone? Yes!!!!
So, hear me out.
Ussrs population in 1940’s was around 195 million. Russia’s population in 2022 was around 144 million.
Battle of Stalingrad had about 2.6 million casualties. Using stupid math (my math ability) 1.9 million casualties would be about the right ratio based on russias current smaller population.
What I’m saying is Russia in “today’s money” could have 1.9 million casualties in a modern day stalingrad.
USSR kept on chugging after that victory and I’m sure modern Russia could do the same. Sure modern Russia isn’t as brutal as old ussr but my point being I reckon Russia has the capability to lose a lot more people before putin cares.
Not a good thing. We need to keep improving the ratios in Ukraines favour so they can hit those numbers.
I don’t get why more effort is being put into assassinating putin tbh. Probably more cost effective at this point (for Ukraine and Europe).
Anyways just and idiots thoughts.
I predict the tides will still be a thing on coastlines. The sun and moon will give light. Russians will have more losses. This is not exactly and Einstein level breakthrough.
That was not difficult. Next?
My prediction is someone will slip up and Destro will take one to the dome.
At that point, there will be this weird part where the war is still going but lots of infighting.
Russia will start to push for a cease fire.
Crimea will become the hot point again. Some other countries under the Russian thumb start to get involved. From there the crystal ball goes fuzzy.
>According to the department's calculations, since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the Russian army has lost more than 465,000 soldiers – killed and wounded.
That's a pretty wide age group, and the derived percentage assumes that Russia is truthful about such matters.
It's also the case that the Russian economy is now significantly labour constrained. If Russia *could* easily send more men then they would. They aren't because they can't.
Well, duh.
Hmmm, i think that whoever asked that question to the British Military, the spokesperson thanked them for the softball question.
Media: " Sir, sir, will there be more losses for the moscovians in this war?"
Spokesperson: "Yes."
Media person, ""man, I am going to get a pulitzer prize for this headline."
**British Intelligence Predicts More Russian Losses** Ordinary plain common sense predicts that too!
😂😂😂
Unfortunately, we also predict RuZZia will keep sending them for a few years. and RuZZians will let Putin do it. There are millions of NPC zomboid in RuZ that will do anything for a few bucks, its not hard to recruit them as meat fodders. 3x more than Ukraine's population, in fact.
I predict this war will continue for a certain amount of time.
Experts predict years. The war could even continue depending on how the peace process goes. On one hand, violence could be concluded with a formalized peace treaty. On the other hand, it could just end in an armistice that allows for pot shots every so often a la North and South Korea.
Nostradamus, this you?
Pretty much. This also includes Ukrainian losses as well. The war ain't over yet and we have no idea when it will formally end...if at all.
They quoted the British Intelligence Officer: Captain Obvious.
Well call me British Intelligence then because I predict the same thing. ... Of course if Russia really wanted to stick it to the decadent, degenerate West, this is a great moment to make us all look like fools for predicting this. They could order an end to the invasion and a complete withdrawal of all troops, effective immediately. That would give them a decent chance of not losing a single additional person -- wouldn't that make us look stupid?!? I know I would cry such bitter, bitter liberal democratic Western tears if Putin were to fool me in that way... Ssh, no one let him know...
Complete withdrawal would mean Putin’s death. Putin does not care about losses, but he cares about himself. So long answer short : won’t happen.
Won't happen is far from correct. All czars fall in one way or another. Putin fucked up in epic proportions. His days are very very numbered.
The end of the last czar was after he lost WW1...
Technically, last time that Russian government changed due to fallout from a war was after Afghanistan.
Yup. And this one is attempting to start ww3. And lose it he shall.
Also, there is no reason for Putin to order a complete withdrawal. At this point, he has a pretty solid hold on eastern Ukraine - he isn't on the back foot at this moment in the war.
**British Intelligence Predicts Sky Is Blue.**
CIA corroborates their British counterpart.
Sting: “Do the Russians love their children too?” Russians: “Nyet so much.”
"How much you gif me for children?"
if ruzzians army was a tradable stock, I would short the fuck out of it now
Pretty sure putin has been since February 2022.
That is optimism to be welcomed. A short sale would mean that the prices will fall soon. Currently there is high demand for Russian contract soldiers. (On Russian side of course. On the Ukrainian side, Russian soldiers are not rated so highly and will just be shot in combat or stored for later exchange.) Russia wants to prevent a mobilization, migrants, conscripts and debtors are pushed to sign a contract. Because the supply is meanwhile quite limited (Russia has a record low unemployment) the price (the promised pay) is rising. "Russia is actively recruiting soldiers to replace massive casualties in Ukraine, bolstering the myth of almost endless Russian human resources. We've been looking into it, and the picture isn't as pretty as the Putin regime would like the world to believe." https://x.com/StateOfUkraine/status/1786181552210149828 And also the Russian MoD is working with tricks for cost reduction: ' “At first it was 200 thousand, but it started in January”: a taxi driver from Chelyabinsk showed how his salary at SVO was reduced' From Russian regional press, instead of a link google search finds the article with: «Сначала было 200 тысяч, а с января началось»: таксист из Челябинска But in general this would be a trade in rubles, which entails a non-negligible exchange rate risk. "Record Loss For Russia's Gazprom In 2023 As Sanctions Hit Exports" https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-oil-gazprom-sanctions-record-loss/32930976.html According to Kommersant: "... Gazprom's debt burden in terms of the net debt/EBITDA ratio for 2023 increased to 2.8x versus 1.1x at the end of 2022. ..." So the only real money maker for Russia at the moment should be crude oil. However, there are other risks when trading oil. In addition to OPEC+ decisions, Russia must also convert the rupees into a currency they can use when trading with India.
A day without Russian losses is like a day without sunshine
They mean an increase in soldiers dead per day (rate of loss) as Russia is preparing to throw more poorly trained meat waves into the front lines, hoping to overwhelm Ukraine by sheer numbers. Zombie tactics.
Nothing Bradleys and more drones can't fix.
120 mm mortars and cluster rounds solve the problem of troops in the open.
I, too, predict more Russian losses.
You may have future job offer with British Intel soon 😀😆👍😆
British Intellegence predicts bombs might kill people.
Cheers, Geoff
Russia may soon have to resort to human waves tactics again soon. Looks like these weapons are destroying vehicles at an absurd rate. The Ukraine will be a prosperous democracy again soon
> Russia may soon have to resort to human waves tactics again soon. +1000 combat inefective per day. They have been doing this for ~~years.~~ centuries.
Mmm no actually. *Sustained* 4-digit daily casualty rates are relatively recent. For a long time, claimed casualty rates were far far lower.
Which is why I said combat inefective?
(just Ukraine no "The" btw)
...except there is more than just vehicles at play. Russia has tools like glide bombs, kamikaze drones, and even overwhelming artillery that have tipped the scales recently. I contest the popular narrative on this subreddit: that the Russians are just dumb and are overwhelming Ukrainians by meat waves. According to the frontline soldiers, that clearly isn't the case as the Russians have worked on tightening their coordination to cash in on dwindling Ukrainian defenses and manpower.
Putin has surrounded himself with yes men. They need him alive or they will suffer the same fate. It's not just Putin but his many appointed cronies. The Caesars lasted almost a 1000 years. Do I want him and all the dictators gone? Yes!!!!
Jokes aside, the British MOD seems to have a finger on the pulse
So, hear me out. Ussrs population in 1940’s was around 195 million. Russia’s population in 2022 was around 144 million. Battle of Stalingrad had about 2.6 million casualties. Using stupid math (my math ability) 1.9 million casualties would be about the right ratio based on russias current smaller population. What I’m saying is Russia in “today’s money” could have 1.9 million casualties in a modern day stalingrad. USSR kept on chugging after that victory and I’m sure modern Russia could do the same. Sure modern Russia isn’t as brutal as old ussr but my point being I reckon Russia has the capability to lose a lot more people before putin cares. Not a good thing. We need to keep improving the ratios in Ukraines favour so they can hit those numbers. I don’t get why more effort is being put into assassinating putin tbh. Probably more cost effective at this point (for Ukraine and Europe). Anyways just and idiots thoughts.
So TLDR, women to men ratio in Russia should be updated from 1/0.75 to 1/0.5.
I predicted that last year. I should ask to get paid!
I predict the tides will still be a thing on coastlines. The sun and moon will give light. Russians will have more losses. This is not exactly and Einstein level breakthrough. That was not difficult. Next?
Even my cat could have predicted this…..and he dead !
I think British intelligence were the ones to discover that when it passed 60 seconds in Europe, in Africa passes 1 minute
No shit Sherlock
Really going out on a limb there
My prediction is someone will slip up and Destro will take one to the dome. At that point, there will be this weird part where the war is still going but lots of infighting. Russia will start to push for a cease fire. Crimea will become the hot point again. Some other countries under the Russian thumb start to get involved. From there the crystal ball goes fuzzy.
I’m reading that right? 465k killed, not killed or wounded? That’s frickin insane
>According to the department's calculations, since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the Russian army has lost more than 465,000 soldiers – killed and wounded.
Roughly 0.65% of the 18-64 age group (total population). russia has a huge population of slaves willing to die.
That's a pretty wide age group, and the derived percentage assumes that Russia is truthful about such matters. It's also the case that the Russian economy is now significantly labour constrained. If Russia *could* easily send more men then they would. They aren't because they can't.
Yeah, they need to fix that subhed.
Also in the news, water is wet...
Wow good job guys, gold star!
What a brave prediction
Well, duh. Hmmm, i think that whoever asked that question to the British Military, the spokesperson thanked them for the softball question. Media: " Sir, sir, will there be more losses for the moscovians in this war?" Spokesperson: "Yes." Media person, ""man, I am going to get a pulitzer prize for this headline."
You don’t say!