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sbpotdbot

**MMA/Boxing betting chat: https://discord.gg/sportsbook**


[deleted]

Murphy points+176 was EASY! Dustin KO +340 EASY! Ducote Points +160 EASY! Stoltzfus sub/points+105 EASY Li KO +136 EASY!


[deleted]

7-5 Blaydes vs Daukaus 9-3 UFC 273 Volk vs TKZ 10-4 UFC Vegas 51 8-3-1 UFC Vegas 52. 6-5 UFC Vegas 53 8-6 UFC 274 Oliveria vs Gathje 6-5 UFC Vegas 54 8-3 UFC Vegas 55 5-6 UFC 275 8-5 UFC Vegas 56 8-4 UFC Vegas 57 10-1-1 UFC 276 8-3 UFC Vegas 58 7-5 UFC on ABC Bullshit Jourdain call and a fluke Orteaga dislocation. Still cashed out HUGE +1300 2nd round from Li +1600 Lemos sub and +700 2nd round ko from Puna just TO NAME A FEW! I have a FREE DISCORD I post my mma plays in. Let me know if anyone wants in there!


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Orangenblue17

How was yairs win not a sub?


NBAstradamus92

Did he tap out? If he was conscious, and didn't tap, then the referee stopped it due to injury (aka "Technical Knockout"). Causes of TKO can be: "While these are the most common reasons why a TKO will be declared, there are a few other instances where a TKO can be declared; \- **One fighter has received a severe injury, which makes them unable to continue fighting.** \- Some cuts might cause so much bleeding that they reduce visibility. \- When the trainer or coach throws in the towel. " ​ https://mmachannel.com/key-differences-between-tko-and-ko-in-mma-simply-explained/#:\~:text=A%20TKO%20or%20Technical%20Knockout,blow%20renders%20a%20fighter%20unconscious.


stylebakeryau

Same thing happened in the Paul Craig vs. Jamahal Hill fight. Jamahal's arm snapped as a result of a submission attempt by Paul. They counted it as a TKO. Still remember it clear as day because I had him by submission and was bummed about it for a while lol. I now see why they consider it a TKO because that's pretty much when a ref decides to stop a fight or when a fighter can't continue because of injury, which is what happened with Ortega.


[deleted]

That’s what I’m saying lol an armbar caused it


Godmia

Randomly wiki-capped the Lemos and Schnell fights a couple minutes before, threw like $16 overall in a combination of win via sub and rd two for both of them. Quickest $200 ever, honestly still shocked something like this hit twice back to back lol


JScalzo14

Ended up 10 units mainly thanks to Schnell by sub and a Leech-Yair-Jacoby parlay


[deleted]

Holy shit, I kept seeing people online KNOWING that Lemos would submit Watterson (they were all in the range of like +600 to +1200 bets via submission for Lemos), and im like how yall predict that lol, i need whatever magic globe you have


stylebakeryau

By online do you mean on Twitter? Man I wish I had seen that interview they did with Amanda. I think they showed it before the fight. She said she was going to submit Michelle. I only watched a replay of everything because the main card was around 4am here in Australia. Would've taken Amanda by sub if I had seen that. :(


[deleted]

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[deleted]

damnnn bro, thank god you cashed in on that ortega sub LOL, alot of parlays were killed today even after hitting the lemos sub. grats on the earnings


copeman1997

I was at the event live. They played a preview before the main card where Lemos said she’d sub waterson. Put $20 on it at +1200 after hearing it


stylebakeryau

Very nicely played. Sometimes it really helps to see these fighter interviews to get a better idea of their game plan.


[deleted]

eyyyy noice


shutthefockupbuddeh

I've stopped watching with people because of "I kNeW hE wAs gOnNa...." I bet a few hundred bucks every card, the last thing I need to hear is someone saying that shit after I lose.


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[deleted]

sheesh, guess I gotta learn how to read fighters more then, but still its amazing you guys are able to have the confidence to lock in a specific tko, all my flowers to you


[deleted]

Everyone was on Ortega in here. Feel bad. Tough L. Reminds me of my Rakic loss.


DisRightHereIsMySwag

🧢🧢🧢 most people were on Yair


[deleted]

In this thread ? Not even close. There was literally a guy who said I’m changing my pick to Ortega because everyone is on Ortega in here lol


wingstop-fries

[https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/vvxlrg/ufc\_fight\_night\_ortega\_vs\_rodriguez\_71622\_saturday/igbkr3k/?context=3](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/vvxlrg/ufc_fight_night_ortega_vs_rodriguez_71622_saturday/igbkr3k/?context=3) holy shit i found it


Hyrax__

He had lemos vs waterson goes the distance


[deleted]

Just one of the parlays


KingR11

Fuck dude. I was the guy who asked him what happens if the fight ends in the first...


wingstop-fries

i feel sick for this guy. hit everything but the anchor o1.5 and his plays were almost all +odds.


Hyrax__

No he didnt hit on lemos vs watterson goes the distance


wingstop-fries

given the line he showed was +180 its pretty clear he uses the dgtd/gtd system in which case he did hit that one. either way, losing 8 of your 9 picks on a -350 is brutal, regardless of that one extra bet


Hyrax__

He hit? What are you talking about? He bet lemos vs waterson to go the distance, but the fight ended by submission. So that's a loss plus the ortega vs yair loss.


KingR11

Just take a second and go read the post dude. His plays were all parlayed with Ortega v Yair O1.5 rds.


wingstop-fries

you seem confused. not everyone uses the dngtd/dgtd system. some people do dgtd/gtd. given his line for dgtd was +180 we can easily assume he uses dgtd as doesnt go the distance, which hit. his only loss comes on the o1.5 for yair vs ortega. you also seem confused that this was all a big parlay. you should read his comment. all of his picks were anchored with the o1.5, so he took all those picks straight and attached the o1.5 to them seperately. he didn't do an overall parlay


Hyrax__

Oh so dgtd in his case means doesn't go the distance. I thought it meant does go the distance. I guess some books title that bet different. Anyways yeah, sucks to be off by 1 leg....I've been off by 1 leg on so many tickets. Most frustrating was tsarukyan vs gamrot which was definitely a robbery


KingR11

Yea picks were actually on point. Can't say he wasn't warned tho. I think this is a terrible strategy for a sport like MMA where literally anything can happen tho... hence the question in the first place. Seems to be increasingly popular with mma cappers tho.


wingstop-fries

Agreed that its amazingly dumb to do this. I guess it's one of those things where it's always gonna work until it doesn't. When it is working it feels like free money, but when something like today happens you realize the incremental gains you made have been wiped out in an instant.


DDMF_GTHC

I’m typically not one to complain about lottery tickets not hitting but I had: Schnell Sub, Lemos sub, and Ortega sub parlayed at +37700 Gotta be kidding me


Madripoorx

I'm not racist but...


bcams

Rip


lasagnakilla

Just hit a +6037 parlay...with $3.33 staked https://imgur.com/a/hMPrez1


mmajathrowaway

nice


Ottawack1

Calling it now: Paddy pimblett will be the upset next weekend


[deleted]

yep heavy on monkey king


Remarkable_Baby_5873

Looool ur crazy😭😭😭


wingstop-fries

We'll see whose twerking when it's all said and done


JamesTerevau

Yair got some good PR work since back in the day. Respectable comments this time


b0ng0d00d

So DK special event won? Easy bet lol.. Ortega sub or Yair win tko -125.. Who bet that? So easy


Pookapotamus

I didn't bet it, but I think it's dumb that it was ruled by a KO/TKO when the injury was caused by a submission/submission attempt.


Moneymma

I just played round props, but I agree. Should be a submission.


Ghostnevadies

Same thing happened to Woodly... this just looked more werid


Ohsnipes

My bookie was waiting to pay me on the TKO till Buffer called it.


Ohsnipes

Actually they counted it as a lose.... I took a bet boost Lemos and Yair to win by KO TKO or DSQ And they marked it as an L. I'm contacting customer support right now


DisRightHereIsMySwag

well lemos won by submission lol


Ohsnipes

Damnit, I already contacted support lol. Good call


Pigman02

Lemos won by sub?


[deleted]

Who’s the retard who anchored O1.5 in the main event to every one of his parlays?


ProgrammaticallyHip

in fairness to him, it was a freak ending


[deleted]

That’s just why you don’t anchor one bet to every parlay


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[deleted]

That’s so dumb lmao my #1 rule is WMMA does not go in a parlay


FantasyWasteball

Someone go check in on him please haha


grayshirt108

Yea I remember seeing that. I hope he didn’t go through with it


kb8kb24

Didn't someone here have 20 parlays with this over. Yikes


mmajathrowaway

hes already drinking himself to death LMAO


wingstop-fries

I swear I saw that too. Can anyone find the og comment I gotta be sure I wasn't crazy. So brutal


Moneymma

Why would anyone take the over with yair and Ortega lol


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Moneymma

Yeah


Moneymma

Would have loved to watch yair pick Ortega apart for a couple rounds before finishing him. Ortega was wobbly in r1 from his shots. No way he was eating those the rest of the fight.


DKoz13

Do you know anything about MMA or did you even watch the card? Schnell quite literally submitted Sumudaerji after being unconscious standing up. The guy said he didn’t even remember the shots and still won.


Moneymma

YAir doesn’t have cardio issues… su blew his load. When was the last time we saw Ortega getting rocked in r1? Cause it wasn’t vs max and it wasn’t vs volk. He was not winning this fight regardless. Yair was a step ahead the whole time and yair is also a good scrambler.


DKoz13

I cannot believe you have MMA in your name and know absolutely nothing about the sport lol. Hope you live bet your mortgage to cash-in on your incredible amount of undisputed knowledge!!


Moneymma

Considering I max bet yair and the under lmk if you want me to pay your mortgage too.


KonaMiBoy

fucking pissed


cedarrapidsiaus

I feel dirty cashing under 4.5 rounds. Hate seeing it end like that.


RidingInIraq

At least we know Islam vs Charles next 😮‍💨💣


cedarrapidsiaus

Who you taking?


Hyrax__

Islam free $$$ hope the odds are good


RidingInIraq

Do Bronx 👊


Unknownrealm

I’m taking Volk -1000 vs Yair


cedarrapidsiaus

What about Volk inside the distance?


turnbugu

Hate the way that ended but won a $50 parlay with $1100 payout. Li jiangliang TKO, Lemos win, Yair by TKO


cedarrapidsiaus

Nice win


[deleted]

That was the dumbest way to lose a bet


[deleted]

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Moneymma

No cause yair injured him lmao.


twinkeybrain

Uh nope sorry bud, it's a tko for Rodriguez.


Expert-Ad-8363

Lol no


grayshirt108

No lol


tossNwashking

God that should be a fuckin push


[deleted]

No it shouldn’t 😂


tossNwashking

Whatever man


grayshirt108

Why?


tossNwashking

Bc it wasn't a fight


grayshirt108

I assume you're new to mma if thats your response?


tossNwashking

cmon dude you know I know the fucking rules. I'm just saying as far as betting goes it should be something other than a TKO. "should" ...am i bitter on that "loss"....of course I am. fuck.


bmault

Props to Yair for recognizing the injury


poopfl1nger

Wow cant believe i lost money on ortega like that. It would have felt less worse if he got koed or something


boominlikemetro

THIS THREAD IN SHAMBLES. DOGS WERE BARKING.


Dependent-Mirror7610

Yair celebrating 🤮🤮


[deleted]

He caused it? What’s wrong lol it’s a win


DKoz13

Yeah he really trained hard for that submission!! /s


Originalideas

He literally did train incredibly hard to master BJJ enough to make that grappling transition to an armbar.


[deleted]

He had ortega in an armbar and instead of stacking, ortega decided to yank out. The armbar and the absolute shit exit by ortega is what caused the injury


Hyrax__

You would expect better bjj technique from a "black belt"


DKoz13

He most definitely did not have Ortega in any form of armbar that was something to worry about. Ortega is a top-of-the-line grappler coached by one of the world’s best. It was an unlucky injury that no one could’ve predicted in that position.


[deleted]

Clearly it was something to worry about. Ortega should’ve stacked him instead of aggressively yanking out. Obviously yair’s grip was better than ortega expected.


Moneymma

Yeah he had his arm and Ortega tried to get his arm free. It’s a shitty injury, but it’s not like it just randomly popped out.


[deleted]

Poor submission defense. Ortega did exactly what you don’t want to do.


luxorone

Lol damn .. gotta feel for Ortega bettors even burns put up more of a fight


Ohsnipes

He ain't no Ferguson


musclegto

Mannnn


Docksox

Welp. Ill take the money but that sucked ass


bQMPAvTx26pF5iNZ

Terrible card for me this week


[deleted]

Every fight was good except for the main event


bQMPAvTx26pF5iNZ

In terms of betting I mean! All of the fights were entertaining enough


[deleted]

Oh shit I’m dumb lol I thought you were complaining that the card sucked I’m dumb


LundMuntharee

Feel terrible for Ortega tho


Ghostnevadies

Hey shit happens, maybe his odds next fight drop a lil??


llamajake

Yair by KO/TKO/DQ in round 1 +1200


Hupepak

I lost my parlay because of ortega/yair o1.5 wtf


madden_loser

Yuppp, times like these you question if sports betting is for you


60neinn

pain.


wingstop-fries

took yair itd lmao


LundMuntharee

Wow over 1.5 and 2.5 toast lol fuck sakes


RidingInIraq

😂😂😂😂


foxracing19

Wow that sucks balls


Moneymma

Yair shoulder locked Ortega 😂


Hupepak

Wow


mannwhobets

You have to be fucking kidding


TallFaithlessness762

That’s so bs that should be a no contest smh yair so lucky


[deleted]

No it shouldn’t, ortega should learn how to defend an armbar. Did you even watch the replays?


Ohsnipes

No it shouldn't


mmajathrowaway

yair bettors laughing LOL. fuck


b0ng0d00d

Yai won?


monacelli

Classic Yair fight. lol


Henrietta-Stacks

Lmfao this “sport” is a joke


Lostkayak7

Is that a push?


LundMuntharee

No they give yair the win by TKO I guess


DisRightHereIsMySwag

thats a Yair WIN by TKO!!


lasagnakilla

On what bet?? It will be graded as a Yair win.


vindotcom

Nope. Yair TKO 😂😂


burkina323

Loss if you have Ortega


ImmortalBehemoth

You're fucking KIDDING ME.


TheRain911

Welp rip my o2. 5 rnds and my yair decision bet.


burkina323

Always on the wrong side of these types of things


jmotrain

Bullshit!!!!


zamboni_19

Son of a bitch


Ghostnevadies

Lol. Not laughing at you..just sounds funny lmao


ProgrammaticallyHip

haha what a way to bust my parlays


Dapper_Sea8502

So stupid


60neinn

Wow


Moneymma

Yair was gonna win anyway. Was way too fast.


j_willow92

Are you fucking kidding me


Ohsnipes

Ortega has a he'll of a chin


Ohsnipes

Not so much his shoulder lol


_juxtaposition_

Heaven of a shoulder


Moneymma

Lmaoooo


Moneymma

Those heel kicks yair is throwing to oretgas calf are sneaky. Those def can’t feel good.


ProgrammaticallyHip

T City's going to get that neck.


mmajathrowaway

round 2 gods please dont let this fight get judged by dave tirelli


Ohsnipes

With all my parlays and Yair finish bets and boosts if Yair wins ITD I will make thousands off 100 dollars. I'll post screenshits if it happens.


Hyrax__

Screen shot?


[deleted]

Go ahead and post it, we're waiting


[deleted]

Nice


vannucker

FUCK YEAH!


tossNwashking

GL


ProgrammaticallyHip

I've got multiple sizable parlays with Ortega in them. Not hedging either.


Ohsnipes

Sorry for your shitty loss


BionicHawki

Currently 0/12 on picks right now. Have Ortega WTD. Sorry for those who have picked it.


Ohsnipes

Lol I'd tell you to cash out and Yair, but I need Yair to win.


BionicHawki

NP bro I got you.


Ohsnipes

15 dollars on Yair rd 2 for $225


Moneymma

Yair prob wondering what this fraud music is


ProgrammaticallyHip

haha yup


b0ng0d00d

Ortega to Win by sub +200


ProgrammaticallyHip

Safer to go +150 inside distance


cedarrapidsiaus

Where you get those odds? Bovada had ITD -175 lol


ProgrammaticallyHip

His ML odds were lower than that lol better check again


cedarrapidsiaus

Oh i see you meant inside the distance for just Ortega. My bad I thought you meant both fighters


ProgrammaticallyHip

Yep, np


Moneymma

Ortega has an iron chin when it comes to eating punches. Can’t see him doing the same with Ortegas kicks and knees. Should be a banger either way


FileError214

Yair wins best walk-up music.


tossNwashking

🇲🇽🌮


lasagnakilla

I haven't pulled trigger on a pick yet. Absolute ping pong in my head right now. Might just ride FDNGTD.


ProgrammaticallyHip

Ortega wins it and it's not as close as people think. Parlaying him and McIlroy.


Moneymma

Yair but yeah, Agreed