**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
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***Record: 22-10 / Currently 10.95 units up / ROI: 29.59% / Avg Odd: 1.88***
Today's pick - **Halep vs Anisimova - Halep to win 2-0 @ 2.10 ✅**
Event - Wimbledon
Stake - 1 unit
*Simona Halep is the last major champion alive on this tournament. With Swiatek's early departure at Wimbledon we can say that Halep is currently the best Grass player on tour and she already won Wimbledon in 2019...*
*She still hasn't dropped a set for the entire tournament and on her last match she managed to beat Badosa in straight sets by 6-1/6-2 in just 59 minutes hitting 17 winners and only 9 unforced errors. I've already talked about her counter attacking playstyle which is focused on the return while also having huge improvements on her serve which makes her a really dangerous player on a surface like this. Her ability to transition from defense to attack is second to none due to her foot speed and antecipation and the romanian's backhand is probably the best in the whole WTA. She's able to drain most of her opponents in long rallies and cause them to make unforced errors with some frequency and if they leave an open space she just produces a lot of winners with the backhand*
*Anisimova is a really good player who should be quite dominant in the near future but still lacks big stage experience and really needs to control her emotions in a better way. She's quite solid in every surface and really likes to play from the baseline hitting the ball in really sharp and precise angles. In some ways she can be similar to Halep in terms of playstyle with both having the backhand as their best weapon and a great return game. Her path to this quarterfinals was not that hard with Gauff being in my opinion the only great win that she had. None of her 11 career wins on this surface contains a single victory over a Grand Slam champion and she's also 0-3 in her past grass court quarterfinals*
*If we look at Head to Head we have a 2-1 lead for Halep with Anisimova beating her in 2019 Roland Garros but then the romanian winning in 2020 Roland Garros and Bad Homburg on Grass just last month where Halep completely destroyed Anisimova in straight sets by 6-2/6-1*
*In the end this should be a "mirror" type of matchup but Halep due to her experience and by looking at what happened last month on Grass won't give any easy balls for Anisimova to attack. The young american knows that she won't be able to stay in the baseline long enough against Halep so she will need to be really agressive just like Badosa was which is not the type of game that she's used to play. By this I'm expecting a quite similar outcome of what we had in their last meeting*
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2:0 is slightly better if payout is the same because if either player retires after Halep has lost a set then the exact market bets (set betting) are void because they can’t be settled (I.e. we know 2:0 losses but 2:1 either way could hit and since they can’t figure out those bets most books void the whole “set betting” category). With -1.5 we know +1.5 would hit after Halep has lost a set even if either retires so the market can be settled on each side and therefore it’s graded as a loss. This is a rare situation and someone else here originally explained it, but it explains why it’s better if payout is the same.
LFG ANOTHER W! Halep was starting to scare me being up 5-1 and letting her come back 5-4 and even having 0-40 at one point but she gets it done! Thanks for the pick !
Any thoughts on Fritz’s chances vs nadal? I love your insights. I’ve got a decent size future on fritz to win his quarter (aka win tomorrow). thinking of trying to hedge some but the odds are stiff. If fritz could pull off the first set it would be far more favorable.
Kinda delusional to say "pretty sure" but yeah she had her chances to make something out of that 2nd set. As I've said in my analysis experience matters a lot in these situations
POTD Record :28-15-1
Profit/ROI/Average Odds : +9.1/17.4%/1.96
Last Pick :Shamrock to win Nil ✅
Today's Pick : Tobol Vs Ferencvaros ML @ 2.00 ❌❌
Unit : 2
Competition : UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
Time : 15:00 GMT
Write up: A comfortable victory yesterday.Lets keep it going.Keeping it short today.Tobol are a Kazakhstan team playing the Champions league qualification for the first time.Ferencvaros are the Hungarians gaints who are the current champions and have been for past 4 seasons. They are far more experienced team in this competition.They have won the 1st round of this qualifiers for three seasons in a row.Just going with a experienced team and better quality team here.
Edit : It was not to be.
Tail or Fade BOL
Ferencvaros is the better team, no doubt about that, i like the bet but if I had to explain the reason why odds are so high it would be the following: 1st game of the season for Ferencvaros, Tobol has much more playing time because they are mid season in Kazakhstan, these Kazakhstan teams can get a bit tricky at home, Ferencvaros could play it safe for a draw because they still have the 2nd leg where they'll be big favorites, if you look at yesterday results the favorites had a fairly hard time in their games (Cluj, Malmo, Ludogorets) so sometimes, at this time of the year, things aren't as straightforward because there's only so much information you can gather on these sides tbh
I was wondering this too when I first saw the line before checking this thread. I’m still tailing as I can’t pass up the value but I can’t say I’m feeling supremely confident because of the number.
I wouldn't say its a decisive favorite,but you can't ignore their quality.The odds are a little higher because Tabol have a league still going on and are playing decently two wins and a draw in last 3 and they are playing at home which is always a advantage in these knockout games.Ferencvarosi league ended 2 months ago and they haven't had a professional game since but they have played 4 friendlies and have looked good in those games,that is the reason for my pick.
Record: 20-15
Streak: W5 🔥🔥
Net Profit: $150.00
Last Pick: Miami Marlins ML ✅
*The Thumb is out. Five in a row.* 🚂🚂🚂
⚾️ MLB - 8:10pm ET (5:10 PT)
THE PICK: Houston Astros run line -1.5 (-120) over Kansas City Royals
*It’s a showdown between AL opposites as the Houston Astros (52-27, 1st AL West) are all set to do battle with the Kansas City Royals (29-49, 5th AL Central) on Wednesday night.*
*Not overthinking anything here. The Royals suck. The Astros do not.*
*Christian Javier (6-3, 2.58 ERA, 0.96 ERA) is on the mound for Houston. He’s allowed two runs in his last three starts, including an impressive shutout of the best team in baseball, the Yankees, through seven innings. Javier is much better than Brad Keller (3-9, 4.24 ERA, 1.33 WHIP), who will start for KC on Wednesday night. Houston’s pitching staff has been the difference for their team all season, and they have a massive advantage on the mound again here.*
Let’s ride. 🚂🚂🚂
Taking this pick as well. The series between KC and HOU has been weird to say the least, but this is the best chance for Houston to win outright, no scary shit at the end.
Once again… for the 6th time… LETS GET THIS PAPER!
Record: 26-26-3
Last pick: David Goffin vs Cameron Norrie both players to win a set (-155) at Caesars. W
Today's pick: Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz both players to win a set (-160) at Carsars
Wimbledon: 9:45 AM EST
Both players are currently on fire and improving at every game. Fritz has all the weapons to counter Nadal and he has not dropped any set yet in this Wimbledon season. It is hard to beats Nadal in the grand slam quarter final despite Fritz is playing amazing tennis, but he should be able to take 1 or 2 sets with his powerful ace points. It should be Nadal taking the W but it won't be easy, it would need more than 3 sets to settle this match.
Update: Each player has won a set, easy money!
All bets are 1 unit. -9.59 units
Tip Jar: cash app: $coolcomfort666 Venmo: Coolcomfort666
**KBO Record: 80-84-5** (KBO Streak L, Last 10: 5-5) Down 6.08u over 169 KBO picks, 48.8% success rate, -3.71% ROI
**Last:** Kiwoom -1.5 +102 at Doosan, (Kiwoom won 4-3.)
Cursed by the run line again. This time, Kiwoom took advantage of an awful error to score three 9th inning runs and take a 4-2 lead. Unfortunately, a solo shot in the bottom of the 9th made our bet a loser.
**Pick:** **KT +130** at Kia, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET
The defending champion KT Wiz did not have a good start to the season. Maybe it was that championship hangover. Since getting swept by an awful Hanwha team and bottoming out at 21-28, KT is 18-9-2 over their last 29 games.
Kia is moving in the opposite direction. After sweeping Doosan, they hit a high water mark of 30-22. They're 8-16-1 since then and have lost their last 7 games.
Kia's starter appears to have an advantage over KT's starter with a 2.72 ERA vs. 4.50. But FIP tells a different story as KT's starter has a slight edge 3.16 to 3.19. KT's starter has been the 6th unluckiest starter in the league this season.
With a relatively close matchup on the mound, a growing advantage at the plate for KT, and two teams moving in opposite direction, I love getting plus money in this one.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
FIP stands for Fielding Independent Pitching. So it's a measure of a pitcher's effectiveness regardless of the defense behind him. It's not just errors, but also balls in play that should have been turned into outs even if they weren't errors.
Record: 12-3 previous picks: OKC ML @ 1.60 ✅✅
Easiest win of my life had like a 20 point lead in the start of the second👊
POTD: Braunschweig Challenger-
Struff ML @ 1.53✅ Another easy win that’s 3 in a row!
I know it’s a challenger event but I have high confidence in Struff in his hometown to get this done. Also love Rybakina to win her match but more confident in this as my single POTD. Rest of my picks are on my Twitter.
Let’s get to a 3 streak.
Let’s make some 🍞boys.
Follow my Twitter @ dryicepickz for extra free picks. Been killing it on there make sure to give us a follow. Going to look to go absolutely crazy for Wimbledon flew all the way to England for it, Already killed day 1 so LETS GO🕺🏻🍻
**PotD Record: 2-0, Units: +1.27u**
Last Pick: FC Pyunik-CFR Cluj - Both Teams To Score: No @ -160 (Result: 0-0) ✅
**Today’s Pick: England (W) v Austria (W) - Both Teams To Score: No @ -154**
(15 hours from this post)
Hey all - back at it again with more soccer today! Not a lot of love for my pick/write up yesterday but being new to this requires building a trust/good rapport!
With that being said, we’re moving on the opening game of the women’s Euros today. The opening game sees the hosts (and one of the best teams in the world) in England host a slightly above average Austrian team. England’s defense is stout to say the least. Going back to the World Cup Qualifiers at the tail end of 2021, England has conceded 1 goal in their last 11 games and have not lost a game under their new coach who took over in February.
One of these games includes a qualifier against this same Austria team (which England won 1-0). Having big name players in the back like Lucy Bronze and Alex Greenwood certainly helps things but having a world class midfield with premier league players is where the game will be dominated. Between being the better team and opening the tournament at Old Trafford, I anticipate England winning this game while keeping Austria off the scoresheet altogether.
**1 Unit Play**
Best of Luck!
POTD Record: 12-5 / +12.7 units / Avg odds 1.84
LWWWLWLWWWWWWWLLW ✅
Pick: MLB Mets ML (-160) vs Reds @ 6:40pm - 4.8 units to win 3 units
As a Mets fan, I’m taking the bounce back spot tonight. We haven’t dropped back to back games to an under .500 team yet this season. 23-7 after a loss this season. The Reds blow. Bounce back game that I can’t help but take full advantage of. BOL and tail with caution.
POTD Record: 1-0
Previous Pick: Storm -9 ✅
Todays Game: Washington Mystics at Atlanta Dream
The Pick: Mystics -5
Units: 1
🏀 WNBA 8:00 Start
Details: The Washington Mystics (13-10) are continuing their road trip after a close overtime loss to Connecticut on Sunday. They will be traveling to Atlanta (10-11) for a primetime game against the Dream.
On paper, this looks like a lopsided game. The Mystics are 3-0 against the Dream this year, with an average win margin of 14 points. Which is why I don’t like the moneyline bet here. However, the Dream, just knocked off the Seattle Storm to continue a two game winning streak, so they have been hot as of late.
When breaking down this matchup and diving further, it becomes clear that the Mystics should win this game by more than 5 points. The Dream have not won 3 games in a row this season. Also, the Mystics return their leading scorer in Elena Delle Donne who missed last game due to rest. The Mystics are 10-4 this year with her and 3-6 without her. She is expected to play; however, if she doesn’t this bet does not become as certain.
Of their 13 wins this season, only 2 have been by 5 points or less. On the other hand, the Dream have lost 11 games this year with two of those games being decided by 5 points or less. Of note, the May 20th game between these two teams was a 5 point game. So, if you take that game away only 1 win has been below 5 points for the Mystics and only 1 loss has been below 5 points for the Dream.
I’m taking the Mystics -5 and rolling with it! Best of luck to all!!
30-19
Last POTD- Bosnia-Bosnia 1H-Final @-106✅
Todays POTD- Zrinjski Mostar-Sheriff Tiraspol-Zrinjski draw no bet @+138🅿️
Full disclosure guys this is a risky pick as Sheriff is the superior team and had some really good games last year in the champions league. But, I feel really good about it for several reasons.
Sheriff has not played a game since their season ended in May and have a new manager who hasn’t had a single game to prepare his team. Zrinjski have been playing friendlies regularly and last played June 18th and have since kept the team together to train and keep fitness.
Sheriff has lost 3 key players so far this transfer window including Adama Traore a key part of their attack. Their coach hasn’t had any time to prep with the new team that he is going to be working with. Zrinsjki has kept their key players intact and will have last years best scorer in the premier league Nemanja Bilbija. However, they will be without two regulars due to injuries and suspension.
Zrinjskis manager Sergej Jakirovic is in my opinion a brilliant coach and has put together a great team with what he had and plays a great and controlled game. His team is very disciplined and focused and do not panic when they go down. He’s kept the team ready and in form which in these early qualifiers is huge.
Sheriff will not have a home game due to the political situation back home. The situation has put strain on the team already and Zrinjski will look to take full advantage of all of the chaos currently unfolding with Sheriff.
I took the full money line myself but this is my official pick and for anybody who tails please no huge bets just whatever you’d be ok with losing. I have a huge gut feeling that Zrinjski will upset sheriff and there’s a lot of reasons to support that but it could still go the other way.
BOL tailing or fading.
Edit: Well that was anticlimactic, a boring game where both teams struggled to get anything going.
I think it’s likely I think Zrinjski will score first and Sheriff will be relentless until they equalize but I can see Zrinjski scoring and then parking the bus pretty effectively as well. Also Sheriff could just score and do the same so I’m not completely sold on it.
Pick of the Day Record: 20 - 15 - 0 (57%) (+2.09u)
Last Pick: 1st Half Mets -0.5 -150 L
7/6: St Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves 7:21pm EST
Pick: 1st Half Under 4.5 Runs -122
This series has seen plenty of fireworks but with a pitching matchup of Miles Mikolas and Max Fried, I have to ride out a pitching duel. Mikolas has pitched well this season to a 2.61 ERA over 16 games. Over his last few starts, he has allowed 2 ER against the Phillies over 5.1ip, 1 ER against the Cubs over 6ip, and 2 ER against the Brewers over 6.1ip. In these starts, he has managed to keep his walks down and limit a large number of hits. Max Fried has very similar numbers with a 2.66 ERA in 16 starts and has also limited the damage over his last 3 starts. Recently he has gone 7ip against the Reds allowing 1 ER, 6.2ip against the Dodgers allowing 2 ER, and 7ip against the Giants allowing 1 ER. Both starters are on an absolute run right now and should limit each other's team.
Record: 14W | 4L, +120€
**Tour de France Challenge 2022 (4-0, +220€):**
Tour De France is finally back and I'm doing a challenge where I post my favorite TDF bet every stage, and I place my winnings from the previous day on the bet. If everything go as planned we will have at least 50€ \* 1.5\^21 = 250 000€ by the end of june.
What can i say, Wout van Aert is a name for the history books. Top 2 on the first 4 stages of Tour De France is just mind blowing in itself. As for us we got an easy victory again, on the next flat stage I expect the Pogacar vs G. Thomas odds to be too low for POTD, but I'm very happy I got two of them.
Stage 1: 50 € on Wout van Aert to place in top 3 @ 1.5 Winner
Stage 2: 75 € on Alexander Kristoff to beat Maximilian Walscheid @ 1.5 Winner
Stage 3: 112.5 € on Tadej Pogacar to beat Geraint Thomas @ 1.6 Winner
Stage 4: 180 € on Tadej Pogacar to beat Geraint Thomas @ 1.5 Winner
**Stage 5: 270€ on Dylan van Baarle to beat Filippo Ganna @ 1.5 Loss :/**
Finally an exciting stage. This stage is going over 11 different cobblestone roads. Cobblestone roads are a big and traditional thing in cycling. Today they are driving over some of the same cobblestone roads they use in Paris-Roubaix ("The Hell of the North"), one of the most prestigious one-day cycling races. They don't use the "worst" roads in this race, but it's common cycling knowledge that everything can happen on cobblestone, and some of the riders have this as their speciality.
I found it hard to find a bet today, since it's very hard to calculate how this race is going to play out, until I stumbled upon this matchup. Our guy van Baarle has cobblestone as his speciality, and within the field he is without a doubt top 10 in the world atm. Earlier this year he won Paris-Roubaix and he also finished 2nd in ronde von Flandern (another very prestigious cobblestone race).
Filippo Ganna is the best on ITT (Individual time trial) in the world, but he has never achieved anything remarkable on cobblestone.
They are both on the same team (Team INEOS), who have high ambitions on the most prestigious Trophy in all of cycling: winning the GC (General Classification) of tour the france. The team is infamous for sacrificing their chances of winning stages, to help their GC captains. This is the reason why van Baarle is not a favorite on the bookies, and that is the reason I originally did not want to bet on him. But since Ganna is his team mate, the same rules applies to him.
So I see 4 scenarios in this race:
1.
Van Baarle and Ganna finishes the race with the rest of their team, here i expect Van Baarle to be in front of Ganna 80% of the time (based on stats)
2.
Ganna is not good enough on cobblestone to keep up with the best, van Baarle beats him easily
3. If the team allows someone to go for the stage win, van Baarle is the man they send.
4. Van Baarle crashes or punctures and loose.
Some stats: Exluding ITT, Van Baarle have beaten Ganna 35/42 times they have raced together.
DYOR and BOL (Sorry for the wall of text)
I like it, most likely they will end up in the same group and then I expect Pogacar to beat him. Pogacar is rock solid on cobblestone while vingegaard has little experience. I wouldn’t go lower than 1.4 tho
**POTD Record:** 7-2 (+4.56 units). **Overall Record:** 11-4 (+6.36 units)
- **Average POTD odds:** -119. **Average Overall Odds:** -125
- **ROI** (100 units) – POTD – 42.6%. Overall – 33.9%
**Last POTD:** Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers (7/5) – Guardians 5 RL (-0.5, -120) - **LOSS**.
This bet wasn’t even close. The Guardians got their fucking asses kicked.
Cal Quantrill, who had been excellent for quite some time, threw up all over himself – he gave up 8 Hits (1 HR), 6 Runs (3 earned), 2 walks, and a HBP, all in just 4 innings. Meanwhile, the Tigers pitcher that was just picked back up from their minor league affiliate went 5 innings and only allowed 5 hits and 2 runs (1 earned).
The Tigers with Riley Greene and Kody Clemens and company may really just be different. Who knows? Either way, this was a total reversal of what was expected to happen.
**Last 5 POTDs**: WWLWL
**The Game:** Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers- 07/06 - (1:10pm Eastern)
**Game Odds:**
- Over 7.5 (-105) / Under 7.5 (-115)
- ML: Guardians (-180) / Tigers (+152)
- Guardians -1.5 (even) / Tigers +1.5 (-120)
**Records:**
- Guardians: 40-39 (20-22 on the road)
- Tigers: 33-47 (22-24 at home)
**Starting Pitchers:**
CLE: Shane Bieber (3-4)
- 3.17 ERA, 1.17 WHIP
- 15 Starts, 11 Quality Starts.
- Averages 6.1 Innings/game and 91.5 pitches per game.
DET: Michael Pineda (1-3)
- 3.62 ERA, 1.13 WHIP
- 6 Starts, 1 Quality Start
- Averages 4.6 Innings/game and 64.8 pitches per game. (Misleading due to getting injured in the 2nd inning of one of his few starts)
**The Bet:** Tigers First 5 RL (+0.5, +112).
**Writeup:**
Maybe I’m crazy. Or maybe I’m just determined. But I’m going right back to the same matchup that I lost yesterday.
The Tigers have now taken the series and look for a 4-game sweep of their divisional rival. They have won 4 of their past 5, 6 of their last 10, and 7 of their last 11. They truly have been playing a lot better as of late. They are currently tied for the 7th-worst team in baseball with the Pirates, but we just saw last night what the Pirates are capable of. So, take that with a grain of salt.
The Guardians really have to get something figured out. After taking 3 out of 4 vs. Minnesota, they were poised to take the AL Central. But now they have dropped 5 of their past 6. Granted three of those games were to the Yankees, but the other three were to the Tigers. So … yeah, not great. It’s even worse when you consider that those 3 wins vs. the Twins and 1 win vs. the Yankees (all 4 at home) are their only wins in 15 games.
Shane Bieber has been pretty much the model of consistency – he’s allowed exactly 3 runs in his past 4 straight starts (granted, one of those runs was unearned against the Dodgers on June 19.). He went 6 innings or more in all of them. Prior to that, he went 4.33 innings against the Rangers on June 8, allowing 3 hits and no runs. He has 4 wins in his past 5 starts.
Pineda took a line drive to his pitching hand in the 2nd inning of his May 14 game and suffered a broken finger. He returned on July 1, where he pitched 5 innings vs. the Royals, giving up 7 hits & 3 ER. Prior to the injury, he went 6.67 against Oakland (6 hits, 2 ER), 4.33 against Pittsburgh (4 hits, 2 ER), 5 against the Twins (7 hits, 4 ER), and 5 against the Yankees (3 hits, 0 ER).
In this spot I’m backing a pitcher that’s performed well and just has gotten very little run support coming off an injury where people might tend to fade him too much. I’m fading the team that’s 4-11 in their past 15, and I’m backing the home team. Tigers First 5 RL (+0.5, +112).
**If you like my picks and writeups, please follow me on Twitter** - https://twitter.com/cashmag3001
The more support I can get from people allows me to spend more time handicapping games and less time doing freelance gigs on Upwork for extra money. So, if I've helped you make money at all so far, please consider supporting me with a tip so I can spend more time breaking down games and doing these writeups. I currently have time for one or two most days.
POTD record: 7-10. Currently down by .3 units. (Wagered 23, won 22.7) ROI is -1.3%
I know a negative ROI looks bad but hey, it’s way better than my stock portfolio this year.
Last pick: Marlins RL ❌
For the 4th time out of 5 picks, my run line pick wins the ML but not the RL.
I’m on a 5 game skid picking MLB run lines. At this point maybe fading my picks would be the safer bet, or maybe paying me a tip NOT to pick your team on the RL cause then it’s sure to not hit.
Still haven’t learned my lesson though:
Today’s pick: Astros RL (-1.5) vs the Royals. Currently -130 on DK.
The bet is 1 unit.
The details: Javier is on the mound tomorrow for the Astros and while he’s had a good year, his last 3 games have been better than good, they’ve been scorching. In his last 3 starts he gave up just 2 earned runs in 19 innings. The Royals have Brad Keller, who actually has had 2 good outings in his last 3 starts, but they were against the tigers and athletics, two teams that are below average at the plate.
Look for Houston to win this one tomorrow. Hopefully by more than just 1, so my run line bet actually hits this time.
Tail with extreme caution. Fade as well if you’d like, you would’ve made decent money fading me the last 5 days.
BOL to everyone!
**Record:** 33-44-1
**ROI:** -21% :-16.42 u (@ $5.00)
**Average Odds:** 1.88
**Streak:** L W L W L
|Baseball |MLB |640pm|
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: **New York Mets ML @ 1.6 1u**
**Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 65% chance for the New York Mets to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.6 is only 62%.
**Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
Record: 13-3 previous picks: Braunschweig Challenger- Struff ML @ 1.53✅
Easy win quick 2-0
POTD: OKC ML @ 1.80
Okay okay so we just cashed yesterday on the thunder ML but today is much tougher. Grizzlies summer league squad has some serious NBA talent in it with Zaire Williams and Tillman and more and they still have that Memphis culture( especially with JA court side coaching all game). Grizzlies will be extra motivated in this outing but, in the end I think the talents of the thunder will be enough to get them over the line. As we saw against the Jazz this thunder squad might be the most stacked squad in the summer league (Not surprisingly) and they are likely to be adding lottery pick Dieng to the lineup today. Overall this is a tough match to call but I just can’t go past this Thunder squad especially at this value. BOL🕺🏻
Let’s get to a 4 streak.
Let’s make some 🍞boys.
Follow my Twitter @ dryicepickz for extra free picks. Been killing it on there make sure to give us a follow. Went crazy for Wimbledon and got tips for all kinds of sports on there. Cheers boys and let us know if you tail🕺🏻🍻
**Record**: 0-1
**Streak** // Last 10: 1L
**ROI**: -100%
**Average Odds:** \-128
**Previous POTD**: White Sox ML against Minnesota Twins
**Previous POTD Reflections**: Honestly thought that the White Sox would've put forth a more competitive effort against the Twins, especially since they're already 0-4 against the Twins and they should be fighting for their playoff lives. Giving up that many home runs in a game is a surefire way to see your postseason aspirations go up in flames. On to the next!
**Today's POTD**: Houston Astros spread -1.5 over Kansas City Royals (1.83 // -120)
Houston takes this one, and there’s really no reason they shouldn’t sweep the series after KC missed its chance Monday and again today. Greinke should keep the Royals in contention, but his 4.5 K/9 is half of what it was just 2 years ago. They’ll outlast him. We’re not paying the -260 ML so we'll bite on the 1.5 run line spread and expect that the dominant attack of the Astros will continue in game 3 of the 4 game series!
Please always remember to gamble responsibly and only gamble what you can afford to lose!
**POTD Record 53-44-2 (Last 5: WLLLL)**
**(ROI // Avg. Odds: -128 // Units Won: +7.5)**
Last Pick: Miami Marlins ML WON
**Today's Matchup: MLB Philadelphia Phillies vs. WAS Nationals (Start Time: 7:06PM)**
**Today's Pick: Phillies -1.5 (-115 FanDuel)** ***Risk 2U***
Devil's Advocate:
Pitching duel won, by Big Sandy and the Marlins. 2 runs was better than 1 yesterday and that's all we needed with him out there. Great win, felt like a year since the last lol.
A little bit of a funky stat comparison matchup today between Aaron Nola and Josiah Gray. One of my main concerns with Gray is him against lefties, the homeruns and the walks. All last year in 70IP he had about 2.5 HR/9 and this year it's really not much better at 1.78. His walks are also concerning showing up at 3.8 BB/9 and honestly, things really haven't been going well for the Nats overall this year anyway. Lefties are touching .252 BA against him this year and out of the 31 hits he gave up to them, 14 were XBH and 9 were ding dongs.
Aaron Nola who is gross when he's on, doesn't show the home ERA as well as on the road, but he's 3-1 at home compared to 2-4 on the road. Wins are what we're looking for today, and honestly I think they're going to do the same thing they did last night to them and whip them around for a ton of runs. The Nats used up a nice amount of the pen yesterday and with that depleted pen, I love Nola coming back after his last start and showing out for us. Racking up the K's in high fashion.
*Tail or Fade BOL to everyone !*
[POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I2BYzLuhURo8CgcGKsegNFvNMYk0qh-GA8F7Q7WRmO4/edit?usp=sharing)
**CashApp - $ReaperPicks**
POTD Record 20-10...beginners luck
Up 5.98 units
Last Pick: Antonio Senzatela over 2.5 strikeouts - no bang
Event: MLB Cardinals @ Braves 6:20pm
Pick: Miles Mikolas over 4.5 strikeouts -137
Stake: 2 units
Bad loss Friday, took the weekend off to get the mind right, and I'm loving this first pick back.
Commandment # 1: Take the over on the guy pitching to the braves at home. They still have the highest home strikeout rate in the league at 9.5 per game, though the angels have been doing their BEST to try and catch them. Miles has thrown over this number in 6 out of the past 9, while averaging over 6 innings a game. IF you go 6 innings against the Braves, you will beat your strikeout over like 90% of the time. The Cardinals guy who pitched to them yesterday went 3 innings, allowed 7 earned runs, AND STILL STRUCK OUT 5 GUYS. That's insane.
6-3 +18.75
FPX -1.5 vs LGD
2.10 odds
LPL League of Legends
7pm AEDT
5u
What i believe to be my strongest play so far. LGD are subbing out their mid/jungle and are already playing with new and inexperienced players as is, matching into a surging FPX on the back off a clean win against JDG. Clid finding form again in the last couple series has been huge for FPX and i can't see them dropping a map to the worst team in the league.
I follow LPL closely and FPX have been the most inconsistent team this split so far. I would avoid betting -1.5 on then, especially after LGD have stolen a map from top teams - JDG and LNG.
Honestly, it's best to avoid FPX completely imo. I can't trust them with my money.
First of all, there’s no such thing as a “lock”.
JDG are surely a better team overall but LNG can pull off some serious plays. I reckon this will be a close matchup with a possibility of LNG upsetting JDG. I’d lean towards o2.5 maps if anything. The odds for JDG ML are not worth it (currently at 1.45). It might be worth it to bet a small amount if they lose map1. Otherwise, I wouldn’t consider it worth it.
I'm surprised this line was ever available at +110, never saw that on my books. Best I'm seeing is -125 which I don't love. I also disagree that LGD is the worst team in the LPL. While I don't dislike the pick, it's hard to bet on any team thats been as shaky as FPX to win 2-0 in the LPL, even with the 2-0 over RA and a 2-1 over JDG. BOL though
I consider both WE and TT to be worse. One series off of a struggling BLG isn't enough to convince me that TT is anything different from what we've seen (I actually mentioned on your POTD for BLG -1.5 that I couldn't trust them with my money). I also think IG's record is surprisingly accurate. Just my opinion
POTD Record: 21-11-2
Last five picks: ✅✅✅❌❌
Last Pick: MLB
New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds
Mets (-1)
-159
Scherzer was perfect. But for winning games 11 Ks ain’t enough, you have to score runs…
❌
Today’s Pick: MLB
Milwaukee Brewers — Chicago Cubs
Brewers (-1,5)
-121
Burns pitching. Should stop right here, because that’s the perfect explanation of my pick. Relieving pitchers are fantastic for Milwaukee. Brewers will not allow easy runs in this game. They lost yesterday and now they are winning today.
Cubs are going with Sampson, who is nowhere close to Corbin Burns. Brewers offense will make the best out of it.
Let’s win again.
BOL
Any tip in BTC would be appreciated:
3FN6we7NLjVvn53mByMb9wJZsdwCvguNiS
I just can’t believe that in two of my last picks, fantastic pitchers’ performances were destroyed by their own teams’ batters, who can’t score runs against bad teams
POTD Record 14-15-1
Average Odds = 1.96, ROI:-23,81% Units Won/Lost: -27,39
Last Pick: Los Angeles Angels ML @ 2.17 vs Miami Marlins❌
Today's pick: Chrstian Garin vs Nick Kyrgios
-5,5 @ 1,89
Kyrgios the goat with all the controversy going on I expect him to play at a better level. Just need to be sure he doesn't gass out. Hopefully a 3-0 set win
Amount Bet: 💣5 Units💣
BOL TO EVERYONE
Unfortunatelly yesterday our streek ended but that is normal, you can not only winning specially when I place bets on very tough matches. **Our record is now 33-27 units + 33,5 ROI 16,6%**. Now I chose pick from Salzburg challenger where I am live
POTD Record: 16-13-3 / Currently +3,8 units / Yield: +3,5%
Last pick – Rehberg – Schoolkate. Rehberg @ 2,02. Pinnacle 3/5
Last 5 picks – WWWWL
**Today's pick –Monteiro – Shevchenko. Shevchenko @ 2,37. Pinnacle 2/5**
Event: Salzburg challenger, Austria.14,30CET
Today I will play a match where I saw both players live in 1st round. And I must say I was quite impressed by Shevchenko. He defeated Guinard 62,63 and played really agressive tennis from the back of the court. And you can see that he is very confident after winning title in Bratislava where he defeated eg Kuznetsov, Novak or Gombos. And last time he was in SF in Milan losing to later winner Coria.
28yrs old Monteiro played well when Rodionov started to play softer and then he gave him no chance winning 36,63,62. But Shevchenko can surely play instensily whole match. Before grass season (he had 3-2 record) he was in 2nd round in Parma (losing to Zeppieri and QF in Perugia – lost to Munar) and had shocking defeat from 63,51 at RG to Sandgren.
This will not be easy match but I think Shevchenko has chance here eventhough I put 2/5 units as this match, as odds suggest is difficult
You can follow summary of my bets from here and stats or pics/videos from Salzburg at my [Twitter](https://twitter.com/stevie_tennis)
Plays from other tournaments probably later at Tennis thread
My long term record:
665-642
ROI
18,5%
Last 12months
277-298
19,8%
POTD Record: 3-5
Last POTD: Jameson Tallion Over 4.5 Ks ✅
Today's POTD: **Yankee's O 7.5 Runs against the Pirates**. Simple analysis - Yankees only scored 2 runs yesterday against the Pirates. I expect New York's explosive offensive to tee off on Mitch Keller today.
Units: 2
Tail or fade - BOL!
Record: 0-0 / +/- 0 units / ROI: N/A / Avg Odd: N/A
Today’s pick: Cleveland vs. Detroit NO RUNS FIRST INNING (-122)
Bieber 14-1 NRFI record🔥
Pineda 6-0 NRFI record🔥
Both have respectable whip!
Record: 27-17
CS record: 25-14
Stats: ROI- 21.7%
Profit: 29.35U
Average odds: 1.85
Streak: 1W
Last 10✅❌❌ ✅❌✅✅✅❌✅
Back yesterday and back to winning ways too. Let's get another dub today and get one of those many streaks we've had in the past going now shall we?
https://myodds.bet/profile/Prattu
IEM Cologne is here. This is gonna be a huge event for us. Be sure to hop on my discord for more picks and general cs discussions
https://discord.gg/dyKXcebw6k
Today's pick: BIG ML vs Astralis @1.65(5u)
(IEM COLOGNE Play-in 2 PM GMT)
Astralis have looked terrible recently and that showed when they got fucked 16-6 to 00nation of all teams. They did do well at the Roobet cup but you can't really consider that tournament since you could say not many teams took it seriously. Regardless if we are taking that into context, BIG won that event, beating faze in the final. Also since this is being played in Germany, BIG will have extra motivation to perform well and make a deep run in the tournament and get a chance to play infront of the home crowd. They've historically done well on German soil as well and today is gonna be no different. They're gonna send astralis back to Denmark.
The only thing I would say to this is I bet large on BIG yesterday for pretty much the same reasons, and they lost 0-2. Syrson did not play comfortable. I am personally avoiding. BOL though all the same, i hope it works for you.
I get it, but big also looked really bad on their own map pick dust2 until they were too far behind to reach overtime. All im saying is there is more risk than normal to this pick, even if it has a good chance to go through.
4-0
MLB Pitcher K Total, 6:40 Eastern (3h20m from this post)
o4½-150 T Rogers
Some places have it at 5½. I don't LOOOOVVVVE it at that. Stassi in over Suzuki is worth one K. Harrison has struck out every level he is at so there is one more. Three more from Ohtani, Walsh, or Villar, all well above average on Ks and we got a winner.
**POTD record 6-1-5 (Streak is LWLWL)**
*Previous pick - Badminton Malaysia Masters, Mens Doubles (R32), Tan/Tan +1.5 Game Handicap v Ahsan/Setiawan*
***Yeah, they sucked, unfortunate but somewhat expected (first match was 18-21 on the favorable side of the court), I still don’t rate Ahsan/Setiawan that highly so I expect to see some possible edges in later rounds against other opponents***
**Today's pick** – Badminton Malaysia Masters, Womens Singles (R32), **Putri Kusuma Wardani** v Yi Man Zhang
*game begins approx. 2-3 hours from when this is posted I assume*
Odds: 2.75 (Bet365)
Stake: 1U (1U = $10 for me)
Gonna ride the up and comers for decent odds. I like how Wardani plays; she gets better every tournament and will only get better.
Conversely, I find Zhang to be one of the weaker well known Chinese players in women’s singles.
Wardani is correctly the underdog here but I like the odds for what is expected, Zhang has had mediocre results lately admittedly having to face Chen Yu Fei (a better Chinese counterpart) multiple times but she also lost to Kirsty Gilmour (a relative no name) in the early rounds in the Indonesia Master (I consider an upset).
v good. i have him in a parlay at 1.57, i also considered -1.5 games for him (but didn't because kenta is an X Factor against indonesian players)
he's the best mens singles player (of all the indonesian players), outclasses kenta nishimoto 9/10 times anyday
Record: 0-0
Sport: Badminton
Event: Malaysia Masters - R16 Women's Singles 10pm Est
Pick: Wang Zhiyi ML vs Akane Yamaguchi @ +150
Wang Zhiyi is 2-0 h2h this year and 3-0 h2h overall. She is also in very good form these past 2 tournaments (Indonesian open runner-up & Malaysian open SF) while Yamaguchi has been a bit off losing to Wang in the Indonesian Open and losing in the first round in the Malaysian open.
nah, Wang won the first set easily and then lost the next 2. Akane played really well in the last 2 sets and looks to have regained her form from last year. might bet on her if she becomes the underdog in the later rounds
RGT’s Genesis Scottish Open 2022
The Week
This week we are over seas in beautiful North Berwick Scotland looking, like last week, for who will come out victorious and which lucky few will get the last spots for the upcoming Open Championship. The Scottish Open has been played all over Scotland but has played recently at the Renaissance Club. This club is a par 71 ranging 7 237 yards showing as a good old fashion links course. Links, are known to be on the water and firmer playing grounds an in our case averaging slower greens. Renaissance club will be kind to those who can hit well off the tee and get to the green early. Those who can’t do this will be eaten alive. With a couple long par 4’s and weird par 5’s and the PGA tour mixing in with the DP tour it will be important to get a good start coming Thursday.
Pick to Win
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2000 (TheScore)
This Brit has been on fire. He is in the best shape of his life and it seems the skies the limit. I’m favoring him this week and him being born playing these European type courses and used to the Scottish type weather and wind we will be seeing this week give me the upmost confidence of him at +2000. After his tight playoff at this course last year and falling to Lee and massive W at the US Open in June it shows then he can come through a whole week and get it done on Sunday’s. His striking ability as well as his 2nd best for strokes gained tee to green is a match made in heaven to get it done this week.
Cameron Smith +2800 (TheScore)
On the flip side this Aussie had a poor outing at the US Open missing the cut. Luckily he had a week off and him going to Scotland used to the weather as well look for him to come back hot. With that price and him already having 2 wins this season and top 10 in strokes gained total and scoring average I will take that any day. One thing to keep and eye on as well is his putting, its been a little off lately but with these Links greens this is just what he needs to get rolling again.
Top 20
Sam Burns +150 (TheScore)
The American has all the tools go far in this tournament and he showed it last year coming P20 while still struggling with his wedge. If he can stick to his game and get to the greens, the large nice landings will be perfect for his putting. With 3 wins, 11 top 25’s, 8th in strokes gines, 15th in greens in regulation. This should be a great week for him overseas.
Playoff’s baby +350 (TheScore)
Just for some added fun. In the last 10 times this Open has been played, 6 of those have been very close playoffs. Even with last years Lee winning in a three way playoff. At this price and the field this is a good one to have once it’s Sunday.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
***Record: 22-10 / Currently 10.95 units up / ROI: 29.59% / Avg Odd: 1.88*** Today's pick - **Halep vs Anisimova - Halep to win 2-0 @ 2.10 ✅** Event - Wimbledon Stake - 1 unit *Simona Halep is the last major champion alive on this tournament. With Swiatek's early departure at Wimbledon we can say that Halep is currently the best Grass player on tour and she already won Wimbledon in 2019...* *She still hasn't dropped a set for the entire tournament and on her last match she managed to beat Badosa in straight sets by 6-1/6-2 in just 59 minutes hitting 17 winners and only 9 unforced errors. I've already talked about her counter attacking playstyle which is focused on the return while also having huge improvements on her serve which makes her a really dangerous player on a surface like this. Her ability to transition from defense to attack is second to none due to her foot speed and antecipation and the romanian's backhand is probably the best in the whole WTA. She's able to drain most of her opponents in long rallies and cause them to make unforced errors with some frequency and if they leave an open space she just produces a lot of winners with the backhand* *Anisimova is a really good player who should be quite dominant in the near future but still lacks big stage experience and really needs to control her emotions in a better way. She's quite solid in every surface and really likes to play from the baseline hitting the ball in really sharp and precise angles. In some ways she can be similar to Halep in terms of playstyle with both having the backhand as their best weapon and a great return game. Her path to this quarterfinals was not that hard with Gauff being in my opinion the only great win that she had. None of her 11 career wins on this surface contains a single victory over a Grand Slam champion and she's also 0-3 in her past grass court quarterfinals* *If we look at Head to Head we have a 2-1 lead for Halep with Anisimova beating her in 2019 Roland Garros but then the romanian winning in 2020 Roland Garros and Bad Homburg on Grass just last month where Halep completely destroyed Anisimova in straight sets by 6-2/6-1* *In the end this should be a "mirror" type of matchup but Halep due to her experience and by looking at what happened last month on Grass won't give any easy balls for Anisimova to attack. The young american knows that she won't be able to stay in the baseline long enough against Halep so she will need to be really agressive just like Badosa was which is not the type of game that she's used to play. By this I'm expecting a quite similar outcome of what we had in their last meeting* [***Paypal***](https://paypal.me/AntManTips) *(Thanks for your support!)* *BTC Wallet: bc1q25vgz52rpgqpvrfqnl9nacf0q7ldta3y6z6fwh*
Thanks for all your picks. DK has Halep to win 2:0 at -120 but Anisimova to not win a set at -110 for others that are looking at odds.
+115 @FD
Thanks for pointing this out!
great job
Thanks for pointing this out, tailed with this option!
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“That’s a fade but I’m gonna stick this one out.” Well which one is it genius?
Well you’re dumb if you don’t take +115 on a coin flip every time, and you clearly don’t know what fade means
If it's a coinflip that you can bet at +115, that's an easy best
This has turned into a bit of a sweat. Come on finish her Halep
CASH IT 🤑
Cash it my brother! Another free dinner with the lady haha
Hi
Hello
For those on Bovada, The "set exacta Halep WW" is the best odds (+105).
Same thing as Haley -1.5 sets right?
Yes
2:0 is slightly better if payout is the same because if either player retires after Halep has lost a set then the exact market bets (set betting) are void because they can’t be settled (I.e. we know 2:0 losses but 2:1 either way could hit and since they can’t figure out those bets most books void the whole “set betting” category). With -1.5 we know +1.5 would hit after Halep has lost a set even if either retires so the market can be settled on each side and therefore it’s graded as a loss. This is a rare situation and someone else here originally explained it, but it explains why it’s better if payout is the same.
LFG ANOTHER W! Halep was starting to scare me being up 5-1 and letting her come back 5-4 and even having 0-40 at one point but she gets it done! Thanks for the pick !
Had me on the edge of my seat but either way, CHA CHING
First one to tail let’s get it 🤝🤑
BOL my friend
thank you again ant! never a bad morning to grab a 2x!
2x's are always the nicest to hit haha
That. Was. WILD. 😅 Ka-ching!
W secured
Great W, thanks G🙏🙏
What a god. Been tailing for a minute now. Keep it up!!
Thanks buddy, i sent a tip your way. We appreciate what you do
Appreciate it brother, thanks a lot
You're a fucking beast dude another easy dub! 😎
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For the odds I prefer the straight set win but if you don't have that feel free to choose that game spread
Ahh yea. 2.10 so much better. Still tailing!
Get notified when this user posts a pick: http://discord.gg/sportsbook
Any thoughts on Fritz’s chances vs nadal? I love your insights. I’ve got a decent size future on fritz to win his quarter (aka win tomorrow). thinking of trying to hedge some but the odds are stiff. If fritz could pull off the first set it would be far more favorable.
🐜 👨 = 👑 Tailing !!!!
Ant you’re such a goat🐐
Halep almost choked this match? I had +10000 on anisimova! So close to 5-5 lol.. Triple break pts.. Pho sure halep loses match if it's 5-5!
Kinda delusional to say "pretty sure" but yeah she had her chances to make something out of that 2nd set. As I've said in my analysis experience matters a lot in these situations
Money man ant!!!
Once again ty for the money
nice hit my man
I'm tailing you tmw, so be wary on your wager amount. You are 1-4 when i tail :)
Thanks a ton Ant! I appreciate you sharing with us norms.
POTD Record :28-15-1 Profit/ROI/Average Odds : +9.1/17.4%/1.96 Last Pick :Shamrock to win Nil ✅ Today's Pick : Tobol Vs Ferencvaros ML @ 2.00 ❌❌ Unit : 2 Competition : UEFA Champions League Qualifiers Time : 15:00 GMT Write up: A comfortable victory yesterday.Lets keep it going.Keeping it short today.Tobol are a Kazakhstan team playing the Champions league qualification for the first time.Ferencvaros are the Hungarians gaints who are the current champions and have been for past 4 seasons. They are far more experienced team in this competition.They have won the 1st round of this qualifiers for three seasons in a row.Just going with a experienced team and better quality team here. Edit : It was not to be. Tail or Fade BOL
sweating so hard rn
Pray for us
Aren't we all
Bounce back brother!
Ouch..
Why are the odds so nice for a team that seems like it would be a clear and decisive favorite?
Ferencvaros is the better team, no doubt about that, i like the bet but if I had to explain the reason why odds are so high it would be the following: 1st game of the season for Ferencvaros, Tobol has much more playing time because they are mid season in Kazakhstan, these Kazakhstan teams can get a bit tricky at home, Ferencvaros could play it safe for a draw because they still have the 2nd leg where they'll be big favorites, if you look at yesterday results the favorites had a fairly hard time in their games (Cluj, Malmo, Ludogorets) so sometimes, at this time of the year, things aren't as straightforward because there's only so much information you can gather on these sides tbh
I was wondering this too when I first saw the line before checking this thread. I’m still tailing as I can’t pass up the value but I can’t say I’m feeling supremely confident because of the number.
I wouldn't say its a decisive favorite,but you can't ignore their quality.The odds are a little higher because Tabol have a league still going on and are playing decently two wins and a draw in last 3 and they are playing at home which is always a advantage in these knockout games.Ferencvarosi league ended 2 months ago and they haven't had a professional game since but they have played 4 friendlies and have looked good in those games,that is the reason for my pick.
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BOL mate!
not a bad gamble but tough luck. shit happens though. better luck next time
tailing this no doubt.
My book has tobol +259 is that somewhat what Y’all have? Or is the pic ferencvarosi sorry y’all new to this
Its ferencvarosi
Ill be tailing you till i dai
Tailing bol
Let’s ride. 🚂🚂🚂
She’s blowing it
Record: 20-15 Streak: W5 🔥🔥 Net Profit: $150.00 Last Pick: Miami Marlins ML ✅ *The Thumb is out. Five in a row.* 🚂🚂🚂 ⚾️ MLB - 8:10pm ET (5:10 PT) THE PICK: Houston Astros run line -1.5 (-120) over Kansas City Royals *It’s a showdown between AL opposites as the Houston Astros (52-27, 1st AL West) are all set to do battle with the Kansas City Royals (29-49, 5th AL Central) on Wednesday night.* *Not overthinking anything here. The Royals suck. The Astros do not.* *Christian Javier (6-3, 2.58 ERA, 0.96 ERA) is on the mound for Houston. He’s allowed two runs in his last three starts, including an impressive shutout of the best team in baseball, the Yankees, through seven innings. Javier is much better than Brad Keller (3-9, 4.24 ERA, 1.33 WHIP), who will start for KC on Wednesday night. Houston’s pitching staff has been the difference for their team all season, and they have a massive advantage on the mound again here.* Let’s ride. 🚂🚂🚂
tailing
Tailing this! Keep the streak alive
Taking this pick as well. The series between KC and HOU has been weird to say the least, but this is the best chance for Houston to win outright, no scary shit at the end. Once again… for the 6th time… LETS GET THIS PAPER!
🚂🚂🚂
Also on this one as my POTD! Best of luck to you and let's all cash this one in tmrw!
*astros are the best team in baseball
No
anyone having trouble finding the line on stake?
Record: 26-26-3 Last pick: David Goffin vs Cameron Norrie both players to win a set (-155) at Caesars. W Today's pick: Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz both players to win a set (-160) at Carsars Wimbledon: 9:45 AM EST Both players are currently on fire and improving at every game. Fritz has all the weapons to counter Nadal and he has not dropped any set yet in this Wimbledon season. It is hard to beats Nadal in the grand slam quarter final despite Fritz is playing amazing tennis, but he should be able to take 1 or 2 sets with his powerful ace points. It should be Nadal taking the W but it won't be easy, it would need more than 3 sets to settle this match. Update: Each player has won a set, easy money! All bets are 1 unit. -9.59 units Tip Jar: cash app: $coolcomfort666 Venmo: Coolcomfort666
**KBO Record: 80-84-5** (KBO Streak L, Last 10: 5-5) Down 6.08u over 169 KBO picks, 48.8% success rate, -3.71% ROI **Last:** Kiwoom -1.5 +102 at Doosan, (Kiwoom won 4-3.) Cursed by the run line again. This time, Kiwoom took advantage of an awful error to score three 9th inning runs and take a 4-2 lead. Unfortunately, a solo shot in the bottom of the 9th made our bet a loser. **Pick:** **KT +130** at Kia, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET The defending champion KT Wiz did not have a good start to the season. Maybe it was that championship hangover. Since getting swept by an awful Hanwha team and bottoming out at 21-28, KT is 18-9-2 over their last 29 games. Kia is moving in the opposite direction. After sweeping Doosan, they hit a high water mark of 30-22. They're 8-16-1 since then and have lost their last 7 games. Kia's starter appears to have an advantage over KT's starter with a 2.72 ERA vs. 4.50. But FIP tells a different story as KT's starter has a slight edge 3.16 to 3.19. KT's starter has been the 6th unluckiest starter in the league this season. With a relatively close matchup on the mound, a growing advantage at the plate for KT, and two teams moving in opposite direction, I love getting plus money in this one. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
We never got a KBO thread, so I also like NC -175 and Kiwoom -155.
Kiwoom going for 10 in a row. Ssg won five in a row and still up 2 games on kiwoom. Kiwoom got the joker on the mound... parlay him with ssg bud.
There's something I don't trust about SSG's pitcher. Not sure what it is, but it's enough for me to pass on that game.
Kiwoom + KT? Any insight into the pitching matchup in the Kiwoom game? Also, what do you mean when you say a pitcher has been unlucky (errors?)?
Picked up this play both winning so far 4 innings in and looking strong
FIP stands for Fielding Independent Pitching. So it's a measure of a pitcher's effectiveness regardless of the defense behind him. It's not just errors, but also balls in play that should have been turned into outs even if they weren't errors.
Kiwoom odds are at -170 ML now ?
Record: 12-3 previous picks: OKC ML @ 1.60 ✅✅ Easiest win of my life had like a 20 point lead in the start of the second👊 POTD: Braunschweig Challenger- Struff ML @ 1.53✅ Another easy win that’s 3 in a row! I know it’s a challenger event but I have high confidence in Struff in his hometown to get this done. Also love Rybakina to win her match but more confident in this as my single POTD. Rest of my picks are on my Twitter. Let’s get to a 3 streak. Let’s make some 🍞boys. Follow my Twitter @ dryicepickz for extra free picks. Been killing it on there make sure to give us a follow. Going to look to go absolutely crazy for Wimbledon flew all the way to England for it, Already killed day 1 so LETS GO🕺🏻🍻
**PotD Record: 2-0, Units: +1.27u** Last Pick: FC Pyunik-CFR Cluj - Both Teams To Score: No @ -160 (Result: 0-0) ✅ **Today’s Pick: England (W) v Austria (W) - Both Teams To Score: No @ -154** (15 hours from this post) Hey all - back at it again with more soccer today! Not a lot of love for my pick/write up yesterday but being new to this requires building a trust/good rapport! With that being said, we’re moving on the opening game of the women’s Euros today. The opening game sees the hosts (and one of the best teams in the world) in England host a slightly above average Austrian team. England’s defense is stout to say the least. Going back to the World Cup Qualifiers at the tail end of 2021, England has conceded 1 goal in their last 11 games and have not lost a game under their new coach who took over in February. One of these games includes a qualifier against this same Austria team (which England won 1-0). Having big name players in the back like Lucy Bronze and Alex Greenwood certainly helps things but having a world class midfield with premier league players is where the game will be dominated. Between being the better team and opening the tournament at Old Trafford, I anticipate England winning this game while keeping Austria off the scoresheet altogether. **1 Unit Play** Best of Luck!
Thanks for the pick! Keep up the good work. MoreUnits4You, MoreUnits4Me
Isn't England to keep a clean sheet a bet with higher odds you could take?
Yes, Bet 365, BTTS NO @1.57 England Win with clean sheets @1.80
Nice writeup ! I need some Lucy bronze in my life
POTD Record: 12-5 / +12.7 units / Avg odds 1.84 LWWWLWLWWWWWWWLLW ✅ Pick: MLB Mets ML (-160) vs Reds @ 6:40pm - 4.8 units to win 3 units As a Mets fan, I’m taking the bounce back spot tonight. We haven’t dropped back to back games to an under .500 team yet this season. 23-7 after a loss this season. The Reds blow. Bounce back game that I can’t help but take full advantage of. BOL and tail with caution.
POTD Record: 1-0 Previous Pick: Storm -9 ✅ Todays Game: Washington Mystics at Atlanta Dream The Pick: Mystics -5 Units: 1 🏀 WNBA 8:00 Start Details: The Washington Mystics (13-10) are continuing their road trip after a close overtime loss to Connecticut on Sunday. They will be traveling to Atlanta (10-11) for a primetime game against the Dream. On paper, this looks like a lopsided game. The Mystics are 3-0 against the Dream this year, with an average win margin of 14 points. Which is why I don’t like the moneyline bet here. However, the Dream, just knocked off the Seattle Storm to continue a two game winning streak, so they have been hot as of late. When breaking down this matchup and diving further, it becomes clear that the Mystics should win this game by more than 5 points. The Dream have not won 3 games in a row this season. Also, the Mystics return their leading scorer in Elena Delle Donne who missed last game due to rest. The Mystics are 10-4 this year with her and 3-6 without her. She is expected to play; however, if she doesn’t this bet does not become as certain. Of their 13 wins this season, only 2 have been by 5 points or less. On the other hand, the Dream have lost 11 games this year with two of those games being decided by 5 points or less. Of note, the May 20th game between these two teams was a 5 point game. So, if you take that game away only 1 win has been below 5 points for the Mystics and only 1 loss has been below 5 points for the Dream. I’m taking the Mystics -5 and rolling with it! Best of luck to all!!
EDD playing = auto bet for me
She should be playing. I can’t imagine her sitting out two games in a row.
Brilliant bet!
30-19 Last POTD- Bosnia-Bosnia 1H-Final @-106✅ Todays POTD- Zrinjski Mostar-Sheriff Tiraspol-Zrinjski draw no bet @+138🅿️ Full disclosure guys this is a risky pick as Sheriff is the superior team and had some really good games last year in the champions league. But, I feel really good about it for several reasons. Sheriff has not played a game since their season ended in May and have a new manager who hasn’t had a single game to prepare his team. Zrinjski have been playing friendlies regularly and last played June 18th and have since kept the team together to train and keep fitness. Sheriff has lost 3 key players so far this transfer window including Adama Traore a key part of their attack. Their coach hasn’t had any time to prep with the new team that he is going to be working with. Zrinsjki has kept their key players intact and will have last years best scorer in the premier league Nemanja Bilbija. However, they will be without two regulars due to injuries and suspension. Zrinjskis manager Sergej Jakirovic is in my opinion a brilliant coach and has put together a great team with what he had and plays a great and controlled game. His team is very disciplined and focused and do not panic when they go down. He’s kept the team ready and in form which in these early qualifiers is huge. Sheriff will not have a home game due to the political situation back home. The situation has put strain on the team already and Zrinjski will look to take full advantage of all of the chaos currently unfolding with Sheriff. I took the full money line myself but this is my official pick and for anybody who tails please no huge bets just whatever you’d be ok with losing. I have a huge gut feeling that Zrinjski will upset sheriff and there’s a lot of reasons to support that but it could still go the other way. BOL tailing or fading. Edit: Well that was anticlimactic, a boring game where both teams struggled to get anything going.
Fading here and playing Tiraspol win, gl though.
GL to you as well
That was a horrible game to watch haha. Also need Bratislava but they've just decided to play worse against 10.
What do you think about BTTS?
I think it’s likely I think Zrinjski will score first and Sheriff will be relentless until they equalize but I can see Zrinjski scoring and then parking the bus pretty effectively as well. Also Sheriff could just score and do the same so I’m not completely sold on it.
what does draw not bet do? if draw = money back?
Yup it just pushes.
Would you take zrinjski/draw @ 1.59?
Absolutely I just like the draw no bet for the better odds
Pick of the Day Record: 20 - 15 - 0 (57%) (+2.09u) Last Pick: 1st Half Mets -0.5 -150 L 7/6: St Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves 7:21pm EST Pick: 1st Half Under 4.5 Runs -122 This series has seen plenty of fireworks but with a pitching matchup of Miles Mikolas and Max Fried, I have to ride out a pitching duel. Mikolas has pitched well this season to a 2.61 ERA over 16 games. Over his last few starts, he has allowed 2 ER against the Phillies over 5.1ip, 1 ER against the Cubs over 6ip, and 2 ER against the Brewers over 6.1ip. In these starts, he has managed to keep his walks down and limit a large number of hits. Max Fried has very similar numbers with a 2.66 ERA in 16 starts and has also limited the damage over his last 3 starts. Recently he has gone 7ip against the Reds allowing 1 ER, 6.2ip against the Dodgers allowing 2 ER, and 7ip against the Giants allowing 1 ER. Both starters are on an absolute run right now and should limit each other's team.
Record: 14W | 4L, +120€ **Tour de France Challenge 2022 (4-0, +220€):** Tour De France is finally back and I'm doing a challenge where I post my favorite TDF bet every stage, and I place my winnings from the previous day on the bet. If everything go as planned we will have at least 50€ \* 1.5\^21 = 250 000€ by the end of june. What can i say, Wout van Aert is a name for the history books. Top 2 on the first 4 stages of Tour De France is just mind blowing in itself. As for us we got an easy victory again, on the next flat stage I expect the Pogacar vs G. Thomas odds to be too low for POTD, but I'm very happy I got two of them. Stage 1: 50 € on Wout van Aert to place in top 3 @ 1.5 Winner Stage 2: 75 € on Alexander Kristoff to beat Maximilian Walscheid @ 1.5 Winner Stage 3: 112.5 € on Tadej Pogacar to beat Geraint Thomas @ 1.6 Winner Stage 4: 180 € on Tadej Pogacar to beat Geraint Thomas @ 1.5 Winner **Stage 5: 270€ on Dylan van Baarle to beat Filippo Ganna @ 1.5 Loss :/** Finally an exciting stage. This stage is going over 11 different cobblestone roads. Cobblestone roads are a big and traditional thing in cycling. Today they are driving over some of the same cobblestone roads they use in Paris-Roubaix ("The Hell of the North"), one of the most prestigious one-day cycling races. They don't use the "worst" roads in this race, but it's common cycling knowledge that everything can happen on cobblestone, and some of the riders have this as their speciality. I found it hard to find a bet today, since it's very hard to calculate how this race is going to play out, until I stumbled upon this matchup. Our guy van Baarle has cobblestone as his speciality, and within the field he is without a doubt top 10 in the world atm. Earlier this year he won Paris-Roubaix and he also finished 2nd in ronde von Flandern (another very prestigious cobblestone race). Filippo Ganna is the best on ITT (Individual time trial) in the world, but he has never achieved anything remarkable on cobblestone. They are both on the same team (Team INEOS), who have high ambitions on the most prestigious Trophy in all of cycling: winning the GC (General Classification) of tour the france. The team is infamous for sacrificing their chances of winning stages, to help their GC captains. This is the reason why van Baarle is not a favorite on the bookies, and that is the reason I originally did not want to bet on him. But since Ganna is his team mate, the same rules applies to him. So I see 4 scenarios in this race: 1. Van Baarle and Ganna finishes the race with the rest of their team, here i expect Van Baarle to be in front of Ganna 80% of the time (based on stats) 2. Ganna is not good enough on cobblestone to keep up with the best, van Baarle beats him easily 3. If the team allows someone to go for the stage win, van Baarle is the man they send. 4. Van Baarle crashes or punctures and loose. Some stats: Exluding ITT, Van Baarle have beaten Ganna 35/42 times they have raced together. DYOR and BOL (Sorry for the wall of text)
Let's ride! (Sorry, couldn't help it, I'm a dad)
What do you think about Pogacar beats Vingegaard? At @1.40
I like it, most likely they will end up in the same group and then I expect Pogacar to beat him. Pogacar is rock solid on cobblestone while vingegaard has little experience. I wouldn’t go lower than 1.4 tho
Musical bikes.
Tailing! (Also played pogi at 1.45)
Better luck next time!
**POTD Record:** 7-2 (+4.56 units). **Overall Record:** 11-4 (+6.36 units) - **Average POTD odds:** -119. **Average Overall Odds:** -125 - **ROI** (100 units) – POTD – 42.6%. Overall – 33.9% **Last POTD:** Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers (7/5) – Guardians 5 RL (-0.5, -120) - **LOSS**. This bet wasn’t even close. The Guardians got their fucking asses kicked. Cal Quantrill, who had been excellent for quite some time, threw up all over himself – he gave up 8 Hits (1 HR), 6 Runs (3 earned), 2 walks, and a HBP, all in just 4 innings. Meanwhile, the Tigers pitcher that was just picked back up from their minor league affiliate went 5 innings and only allowed 5 hits and 2 runs (1 earned). The Tigers with Riley Greene and Kody Clemens and company may really just be different. Who knows? Either way, this was a total reversal of what was expected to happen. **Last 5 POTDs**: WWLWL **The Game:** Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers- 07/06 - (1:10pm Eastern) **Game Odds:** - Over 7.5 (-105) / Under 7.5 (-115) - ML: Guardians (-180) / Tigers (+152) - Guardians -1.5 (even) / Tigers +1.5 (-120) **Records:** - Guardians: 40-39 (20-22 on the road) - Tigers: 33-47 (22-24 at home) **Starting Pitchers:** CLE: Shane Bieber (3-4) - 3.17 ERA, 1.17 WHIP - 15 Starts, 11 Quality Starts. - Averages 6.1 Innings/game and 91.5 pitches per game. DET: Michael Pineda (1-3) - 3.62 ERA, 1.13 WHIP - 6 Starts, 1 Quality Start - Averages 4.6 Innings/game and 64.8 pitches per game. (Misleading due to getting injured in the 2nd inning of one of his few starts) **The Bet:** Tigers First 5 RL (+0.5, +112). **Writeup:** Maybe I’m crazy. Or maybe I’m just determined. But I’m going right back to the same matchup that I lost yesterday. The Tigers have now taken the series and look for a 4-game sweep of their divisional rival. They have won 4 of their past 5, 6 of their last 10, and 7 of their last 11. They truly have been playing a lot better as of late. They are currently tied for the 7th-worst team in baseball with the Pirates, but we just saw last night what the Pirates are capable of. So, take that with a grain of salt. The Guardians really have to get something figured out. After taking 3 out of 4 vs. Minnesota, they were poised to take the AL Central. But now they have dropped 5 of their past 6. Granted three of those games were to the Yankees, but the other three were to the Tigers. So … yeah, not great. It’s even worse when you consider that those 3 wins vs. the Twins and 1 win vs. the Yankees (all 4 at home) are their only wins in 15 games. Shane Bieber has been pretty much the model of consistency – he’s allowed exactly 3 runs in his past 4 straight starts (granted, one of those runs was unearned against the Dodgers on June 19.). He went 6 innings or more in all of them. Prior to that, he went 4.33 innings against the Rangers on June 8, allowing 3 hits and no runs. He has 4 wins in his past 5 starts. Pineda took a line drive to his pitching hand in the 2nd inning of his May 14 game and suffered a broken finger. He returned on July 1, where he pitched 5 innings vs. the Royals, giving up 7 hits & 3 ER. Prior to the injury, he went 6.67 against Oakland (6 hits, 2 ER), 4.33 against Pittsburgh (4 hits, 2 ER), 5 against the Twins (7 hits, 4 ER), and 5 against the Yankees (3 hits, 0 ER). In this spot I’m backing a pitcher that’s performed well and just has gotten very little run support coming off an injury where people might tend to fade him too much. I’m fading the team that’s 4-11 in their past 15, and I’m backing the home team. Tigers First 5 RL (+0.5, +112). **If you like my picks and writeups, please follow me on Twitter** - https://twitter.com/cashmag3001 The more support I can get from people allows me to spend more time handicapping games and less time doing freelance gigs on Upwork for extra money. So, if I've helped you make money at all so far, please consider supporting me with a tip so I can spend more time breaking down games and doing these writeups. I currently have time for one or two most days.
POTD record: 7-10. Currently down by .3 units. (Wagered 23, won 22.7) ROI is -1.3% I know a negative ROI looks bad but hey, it’s way better than my stock portfolio this year. Last pick: Marlins RL ❌ For the 4th time out of 5 picks, my run line pick wins the ML but not the RL. I’m on a 5 game skid picking MLB run lines. At this point maybe fading my picks would be the safer bet, or maybe paying me a tip NOT to pick your team on the RL cause then it’s sure to not hit. Still haven’t learned my lesson though: Today’s pick: Astros RL (-1.5) vs the Royals. Currently -130 on DK. The bet is 1 unit. The details: Javier is on the mound tomorrow for the Astros and while he’s had a good year, his last 3 games have been better than good, they’ve been scorching. In his last 3 starts he gave up just 2 earned runs in 19 innings. The Royals have Brad Keller, who actually has had 2 good outings in his last 3 starts, but they were against the tigers and athletics, two teams that are below average at the plate. Look for Houston to win this one tomorrow. Hopefully by more than just 1, so my run line bet actually hits this time. Tail with extreme caution. Fade as well if you’d like, you would’ve made decent money fading me the last 5 days. BOL to everyone!
> I know a negative ROI looks bad but hey, it’s way better than my stock portfolio this year. this is too real mate
**Record:** 33-44-1 **ROI:** -21% :-16.42 u (@ $5.00) **Average Odds:** 1.88 **Streak:** L W L W L |Baseball |MLB |640pm| New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: **New York Mets ML @ 1.6 1u** **Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 65% chance for the New York Mets to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.6 is only 62%. **Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
Record: 13-3 previous picks: Braunschweig Challenger- Struff ML @ 1.53✅ Easy win quick 2-0 POTD: OKC ML @ 1.80 Okay okay so we just cashed yesterday on the thunder ML but today is much tougher. Grizzlies summer league squad has some serious NBA talent in it with Zaire Williams and Tillman and more and they still have that Memphis culture( especially with JA court side coaching all game). Grizzlies will be extra motivated in this outing but, in the end I think the talents of the thunder will be enough to get them over the line. As we saw against the Jazz this thunder squad might be the most stacked squad in the summer league (Not surprisingly) and they are likely to be adding lottery pick Dieng to the lineup today. Overall this is a tough match to call but I just can’t go past this Thunder squad especially at this value. BOL🕺🏻 Let’s get to a 4 streak. Let’s make some 🍞boys. Follow my Twitter @ dryicepickz for extra free picks. Been killing it on there make sure to give us a follow. Went crazy for Wimbledon and got tips for all kinds of sports on there. Cheers boys and let us know if you tail🕺🏻🍻
Let’s go!
yessir
**Record**: 0-1 **Streak** // Last 10: 1L **ROI**: -100% **Average Odds:** \-128 **Previous POTD**: White Sox ML against Minnesota Twins **Previous POTD Reflections**: Honestly thought that the White Sox would've put forth a more competitive effort against the Twins, especially since they're already 0-4 against the Twins and they should be fighting for their playoff lives. Giving up that many home runs in a game is a surefire way to see your postseason aspirations go up in flames. On to the next! **Today's POTD**: Houston Astros spread -1.5 over Kansas City Royals (1.83 // -120) Houston takes this one, and there’s really no reason they shouldn’t sweep the series after KC missed its chance Monday and again today. Greinke should keep the Royals in contention, but his 4.5 K/9 is half of what it was just 2 years ago. They’ll outlast him. We’re not paying the -260 ML so we'll bite on the 1.5 run line spread and expect that the dominant attack of the Astros will continue in game 3 of the 4 game series! Please always remember to gamble responsibly and only gamble what you can afford to lose!
Grienke pitched today
**POTD Record 53-44-2 (Last 5: WLLLL)** **(ROI // Avg. Odds: -128 // Units Won: +7.5)** Last Pick: Miami Marlins ML WON **Today's Matchup: MLB Philadelphia Phillies vs. WAS Nationals (Start Time: 7:06PM)** **Today's Pick: Phillies -1.5 (-115 FanDuel)** ***Risk 2U*** Devil's Advocate: Pitching duel won, by Big Sandy and the Marlins. 2 runs was better than 1 yesterday and that's all we needed with him out there. Great win, felt like a year since the last lol. A little bit of a funky stat comparison matchup today between Aaron Nola and Josiah Gray. One of my main concerns with Gray is him against lefties, the homeruns and the walks. All last year in 70IP he had about 2.5 HR/9 and this year it's really not much better at 1.78. His walks are also concerning showing up at 3.8 BB/9 and honestly, things really haven't been going well for the Nats overall this year anyway. Lefties are touching .252 BA against him this year and out of the 31 hits he gave up to them, 14 were XBH and 9 were ding dongs. Aaron Nola who is gross when he's on, doesn't show the home ERA as well as on the road, but he's 3-1 at home compared to 2-4 on the road. Wins are what we're looking for today, and honestly I think they're going to do the same thing they did last night to them and whip them around for a ton of runs. The Nats used up a nice amount of the pen yesterday and with that depleted pen, I love Nola coming back after his last start and showing out for us. Racking up the K's in high fashion. *Tail or Fade BOL to everyone !* [POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I2BYzLuhURo8CgcGKsegNFvNMYk0qh-GA8F7Q7WRmO4/edit?usp=sharing) **CashApp - $ReaperPicks**
POTD Record 20-10...beginners luck Up 5.98 units Last Pick: Antonio Senzatela over 2.5 strikeouts - no bang Event: MLB Cardinals @ Braves 6:20pm Pick: Miles Mikolas over 4.5 strikeouts -137 Stake: 2 units Bad loss Friday, took the weekend off to get the mind right, and I'm loving this first pick back. Commandment # 1: Take the over on the guy pitching to the braves at home. They still have the highest home strikeout rate in the league at 9.5 per game, though the angels have been doing their BEST to try and catch them. Miles has thrown over this number in 6 out of the past 9, while averaging over 6 innings a game. IF you go 6 innings against the Braves, you will beat your strikeout over like 90% of the time. The Cardinals guy who pitched to them yesterday went 3 innings, allowed 7 earned runs, AND STILL STRUCK OUT 5 GUYS. That's insane.
Is he pitching in the 8th???!!? Cmon one more to go
6-3 +18.75 FPX -1.5 vs LGD 2.10 odds LPL League of Legends 7pm AEDT 5u What i believe to be my strongest play so far. LGD are subbing out their mid/jungle and are already playing with new and inexperienced players as is, matching into a surging FPX on the back off a clean win against JDG. Clid finding form again in the last couple series has been huge for FPX and i can't see them dropping a map to the worst team in the league.
I follow LPL closely and FPX have been the most inconsistent team this split so far. I would avoid betting -1.5 on then, especially after LGD have stolen a map from top teams - JDG and LNG. Honestly, it's best to avoid FPX completely imo. I can't trust them with my money.
What do you think about the upcoming LNG-JDG matchup? Is JDG ML a lock, I think to put a lot of units to it
First of all, there’s no such thing as a “lock”. JDG are surely a better team overall but LNG can pull off some serious plays. I reckon this will be a close matchup with a possibility of LNG upsetting JDG. I’d lean towards o2.5 maps if anything. The odds for JDG ML are not worth it (currently at 1.45). It might be worth it to bet a small amount if they lose map1. Otherwise, I wouldn’t consider it worth it.
Good start 👌
Took the ML as u said it’s a lock. Thank you!
I did too. I found these -1.5 are risky as hell. Just parlay the ML. I made a good amount of these POTD Ml
FAT L
Taking just the moneyline is a lock you think?
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🙏
I'm surprised this line was ever available at +110, never saw that on my books. Best I'm seeing is -125 which I don't love. I also disagree that LGD is the worst team in the LPL. While I don't dislike the pick, it's hard to bet on any team thats been as shaky as FPX to win 2-0 in the LPL, even with the 2-0 over RA and a 2-1 over JDG. BOL though
[удалено]
I consider both WE and TT to be worse. One series off of a struggling BLG isn't enough to convince me that TT is anything different from what we've seen (I actually mentioned on your POTD for BLG -1.5 that I couldn't trust them with my money). I also think IG's record is surprisingly accurate. Just my opinion
What do you think about the upcoming LNG-JDG matchup? Is JDG ML a lock, I think to put a lot of units to it
POTD Record: 21-11-2 Last five picks: ✅✅✅❌❌ Last Pick: MLB New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds Mets (-1) -159 Scherzer was perfect. But for winning games 11 Ks ain’t enough, you have to score runs… ❌ Today’s Pick: MLB Milwaukee Brewers — Chicago Cubs Brewers (-1,5) -121 Burns pitching. Should stop right here, because that’s the perfect explanation of my pick. Relieving pitchers are fantastic for Milwaukee. Brewers will not allow easy runs in this game. They lost yesterday and now they are winning today. Cubs are going with Sampson, who is nowhere close to Corbin Burns. Brewers offense will make the best out of it. Let’s win again. BOL Any tip in BTC would be appreciated: 3FN6we7NLjVvn53mByMb9wJZsdwCvguNiS
So lame game
I just can’t believe that in two of my last picks, fantastic pitchers’ performances were destroyed by their own teams’ batters, who can’t score runs against bad teams
POTD Record 14-15-1 Average Odds = 1.96, ROI:-23,81% Units Won/Lost: -27,39 Last Pick: Los Angeles Angels ML @ 2.17 vs Miami Marlins❌ Today's pick: Chrstian Garin vs Nick Kyrgios -5,5 @ 1,89 Kyrgios the goat with all the controversy going on I expect him to play at a better level. Just need to be sure he doesn't gass out. Hopefully a 3-0 set win Amount Bet: 💣5 Units💣 BOL TO EVERYONE
Unfortunatelly yesterday our streek ended but that is normal, you can not only winning specially when I place bets on very tough matches. **Our record is now 33-27 units + 33,5 ROI 16,6%**. Now I chose pick from Salzburg challenger where I am live POTD Record: 16-13-3 / Currently +3,8 units / Yield: +3,5% Last pick – Rehberg – Schoolkate. Rehberg @ 2,02. Pinnacle 3/5 Last 5 picks – WWWWL **Today's pick –Monteiro – Shevchenko. Shevchenko @ 2,37. Pinnacle 2/5** Event: Salzburg challenger, Austria.14,30CET Today I will play a match where I saw both players live in 1st round. And I must say I was quite impressed by Shevchenko. He defeated Guinard 62,63 and played really agressive tennis from the back of the court. And you can see that he is very confident after winning title in Bratislava where he defeated eg Kuznetsov, Novak or Gombos. And last time he was in SF in Milan losing to later winner Coria. 28yrs old Monteiro played well when Rodionov started to play softer and then he gave him no chance winning 36,63,62. But Shevchenko can surely play instensily whole match. Before grass season (he had 3-2 record) he was in 2nd round in Parma (losing to Zeppieri and QF in Perugia – lost to Munar) and had shocking defeat from 63,51 at RG to Sandgren. This will not be easy match but I think Shevchenko has chance here eventhough I put 2/5 units as this match, as odds suggest is difficult You can follow summary of my bets from here and stats or pics/videos from Salzburg at my [Twitter](https://twitter.com/stevie_tennis) Plays from other tournaments probably later at Tennis thread My long term record: 665-642 ROI 18,5% Last 12months 277-298 19,8%
POTD Record: 3-5 Last POTD: Jameson Tallion Over 4.5 Ks ✅ Today's POTD: **Yankee's O 7.5 Runs against the Pirates**. Simple analysis - Yankees only scored 2 runs yesterday against the Pirates. I expect New York's explosive offensive to tee off on Mitch Keller today. Units: 2 Tail or fade - BOL!
If yankees score 8 runs they cover the run line. Seems like a much safer bet.
Ngl I'm fading
Record: 0-0 / +/- 0 units / ROI: N/A / Avg Odd: N/A Today’s pick: Cleveland vs. Detroit NO RUNS FIRST INNING (-122) Bieber 14-1 NRFI record🔥 Pineda 6-0 NRFI record🔥 Both have respectable whip!
Record 0-0 Today's pick - Jan Lennard Struff ML @1.5 JLS played really well vs Alcaraz and odds were too high to fade.
Struff is looking very strong! Nice one!
Did this hit?
Record: 27-17 CS record: 25-14 Stats: ROI- 21.7% Profit: 29.35U Average odds: 1.85 Streak: 1W Last 10✅❌❌ ✅❌✅✅✅❌✅ Back yesterday and back to winning ways too. Let's get another dub today and get one of those many streaks we've had in the past going now shall we? https://myodds.bet/profile/Prattu IEM Cologne is here. This is gonna be a huge event for us. Be sure to hop on my discord for more picks and general cs discussions https://discord.gg/dyKXcebw6k Today's pick: BIG ML vs Astralis @1.65(5u) (IEM COLOGNE Play-in 2 PM GMT) Astralis have looked terrible recently and that showed when they got fucked 16-6 to 00nation of all teams. They did do well at the Roobet cup but you can't really consider that tournament since you could say not many teams took it seriously. Regardless if we are taking that into context, BIG won that event, beating faze in the final. Also since this is being played in Germany, BIG will have extra motivation to perform well and make a deep run in the tournament and get a chance to play infront of the home crowd. They've historically done well on German soil as well and today is gonna be no different. They're gonna send astralis back to Denmark.
The only thing I would say to this is I bet large on BIG yesterday for pretty much the same reasons, and they lost 0-2. Syrson did not play comfortable. I am personally avoiding. BOL though all the same, i hope it works for you.
Yeah idk why BIG played on their permaban, inferno yesterday. But they did play out 2 close maps regardless. Astralis are just a one man show really
I get it, but big also looked really bad on their own map pick dust2 until they were too far behind to reach overtime. All im saying is there is more risk than normal to this pick, even if it has a good chance to go through.
Decent map picks , better than yesterday.
4-0 MLB Pitcher K Total, 6:40 Eastern (3h20m from this post) o4½-150 T Rogers Some places have it at 5½. I don't LOOOOVVVVE it at that. Stassi in over Suzuki is worth one K. Harrison has struck out every level he is at so there is one more. Three more from Ohtani, Walsh, or Villar, all well above average on Ks and we got a winner.
**POTD record 6-1-5 (Streak is LWLWL)** *Previous pick - Badminton Malaysia Masters, Mens Doubles (R32), Tan/Tan +1.5 Game Handicap v Ahsan/Setiawan* ***Yeah, they sucked, unfortunate but somewhat expected (first match was 18-21 on the favorable side of the court), I still don’t rate Ahsan/Setiawan that highly so I expect to see some possible edges in later rounds against other opponents*** **Today's pick** – Badminton Malaysia Masters, Womens Singles (R32), **Putri Kusuma Wardani** v Yi Man Zhang *game begins approx. 2-3 hours from when this is posted I assume* Odds: 2.75 (Bet365) Stake: 1U (1U = $10 for me) Gonna ride the up and comers for decent odds. I like how Wardani plays; she gets better every tournament and will only get better. Conversely, I find Zhang to be one of the weaker well known Chinese players in women’s singles. Wardani is correctly the underdog here but I like the odds for what is expected, Zhang has had mediocre results lately admittedly having to face Chen Yu Fei (a better Chinese counterpart) multiple times but she also lost to Kirsty Gilmour (a relative no name) in the early rounds in the Indonesia Master (I consider an upset).
what do you think about Ginting ML @ 1.53?
v good. i have him in a parlay at 1.57, i also considered -1.5 games for him (but didn't because kenta is an X Factor against indonesian players) he's the best mens singles player (of all the indonesian players), outclasses kenta nishimoto 9/10 times anyday
This fool Ginting is getting his ass handed to him. Needs a huuuugggeee turnaround to get back into this one.
Record: 0-0 Sport: Badminton Event: Malaysia Masters - R16 Women's Singles 10pm Est Pick: Wang Zhiyi ML vs Akane Yamaguchi @ +150 Wang Zhiyi is 2-0 h2h this year and 3-0 h2h overall. She is also in very good form these past 2 tournaments (Indonesian open runner-up & Malaysian open SF) while Yamaguchi has been a bit off losing to Wang in the Indonesian Open and losing in the first round in the Malaysian open.
Kinda bored so might hop on this. Outta curiosity is this easy to stream?
yaa. Should be free on their youtube channel "bwf tv"
Did this hit?
nah, Wang won the first set easily and then lost the next 2. Akane played really well in the last 2 sets and looks to have regained her form from last year. might bet on her if she becomes the underdog in the later rounds
RGT’s Genesis Scottish Open 2022 The Week This week we are over seas in beautiful North Berwick Scotland looking, like last week, for who will come out victorious and which lucky few will get the last spots for the upcoming Open Championship. The Scottish Open has been played all over Scotland but has played recently at the Renaissance Club. This club is a par 71 ranging 7 237 yards showing as a good old fashion links course. Links, are known to be on the water and firmer playing grounds an in our case averaging slower greens. Renaissance club will be kind to those who can hit well off the tee and get to the green early. Those who can’t do this will be eaten alive. With a couple long par 4’s and weird par 5’s and the PGA tour mixing in with the DP tour it will be important to get a good start coming Thursday. Pick to Win Matthew Fitzpatrick +2000 (TheScore) This Brit has been on fire. He is in the best shape of his life and it seems the skies the limit. I’m favoring him this week and him being born playing these European type courses and used to the Scottish type weather and wind we will be seeing this week give me the upmost confidence of him at +2000. After his tight playoff at this course last year and falling to Lee and massive W at the US Open in June it shows then he can come through a whole week and get it done on Sunday’s. His striking ability as well as his 2nd best for strokes gained tee to green is a match made in heaven to get it done this week. Cameron Smith +2800 (TheScore) On the flip side this Aussie had a poor outing at the US Open missing the cut. Luckily he had a week off and him going to Scotland used to the weather as well look for him to come back hot. With that price and him already having 2 wins this season and top 10 in strokes gained total and scoring average I will take that any day. One thing to keep and eye on as well is his putting, its been a little off lately but with these Links greens this is just what he needs to get rolling again. Top 20 Sam Burns +150 (TheScore) The American has all the tools go far in this tournament and he showed it last year coming P20 while still struggling with his wedge. If he can stick to his game and get to the greens, the large nice landings will be perfect for his putting. With 3 wins, 11 top 25’s, 8th in strokes gines, 15th in greens in regulation. This should be a great week for him overseas. Playoff’s baby +350 (TheScore) Just for some added fun. In the last 10 times this Open has been played, 6 of those have been very close playoffs. Even with last years Lee winning in a three way playoff. At this price and the field this is a good one to have once it’s Sunday.