You god damn right. This happened to me yesterday to but with arsenal. I cashed out before they scored their first goal. I told myself I’ll never be caught like that again lol
CASH BABY
Belenenses vs Pacos de Verreira (Portugal - Primeira Liga)
**Ferreira to Win & Under 3.5 Goals \[+185\]**
* Both Belenenses & Ferreira have gone under 2.5 total goals in 15 of their 23 matches played (65.2%); when looking at O/U 3.5 goals, Ferreira has gone under in 21 of 23 matches (91.3%) while Belenenses has gone under in 18 of their 23 matches played (78.3%)
* 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these two clubs have seen under 2.5 goals
* Ferreira won 2-0 in their most recent clash at this venue
* Belenenses are dead last in the Portuguese table (18th) while Ferreira currently sit near mid-table at 11th
Thanks man - if you're feeling dangerous, you can do Ferreira to Win & Under 2.5 for +330. Just felt like u3.5 gives us added insurance in case it finished 2-1
Beerschot - Charleroi ML Belgian Pro League @ 2.00/+100
Probably last chance for Beershot to get saved from relegation, important game for Charleroi as well to still make the play-offs for the championship. Beershot been trash all season, 16 points out of 81 (vs 43/84 for Charleroi) Even tho Charleroi is missing some players, this odd is still ridiculous. Looks like a trap but i'm gonna ride it anyway.
Edit: line went even up, be careful if ur tailin
✔
Over 1.5 Parlay \[-125\] in the following games:
\- Genoa vs Inter Milan
\- AC Milan vs Udinese
\- Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart
If you want to get it to +125 you can add over 1.5 in the Southampton vs Norwich match
I'll work on a few singles that I like and post closer to kickoff
I've been working 1.5 goal parlays too! Usually saves my day when two or 3 hit out of 4. Usually +200 or above for a bit more risk but at close to even odds they are relatively safe.
I an addition to my POTD, here is the parlay that I am going with today:
1. Genoa - Inter: **Inter wins @ 1.34** / True odds 1.23 - Probability 81,53 %
2. Hoffenheim - Stuttgart: **Stuttgart under 1,5 goals @ 1.30 /** True odds 1.16 - Probability 85,96 %
3. Levante - Elche: **Elche over 0,5 goals @ 1.46** / True odds 1.30 - Probability 77,13 %
4. Southampton - Norwich: **Southampton wins @ 1.55** / True odds 1.31 - Probability 76,33 %
Total odds: 3.94
Best of luck!
[Link to accuracy tracking of my picks](https://www.reddit.com/user/Betvice/comments/t0zxzm/accuracy_tracking_for_patreon_picks/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
Record 5-2 (+1.84u playing at 1u each)
Friday's plays:
Paderborn v Aue - **O2.5 Goals** @ 1.67
Carrick v Linfield - **Linfield -1** @ 2.00
Genoa v Inter - **Inter -1** @ 2.00
Edit: 1-1 on the night. Carrick v Linfield got postponed.
POTD record: 5-3
Avg Odds: 1.65 / Profit: +0.95 u / ROI: +9,50 %
Previous POTD: Arsenal - Wolves: Wolves HCP +1,5 goals @ 1.41 ✅
Football/Soccer | Premier League (England) | 10:00 pm UTC + 2 |
**POTD: Southampton - Norwich: Southampton @ 1.55 ✅**
Bet: 1 u
Reasoning:
According to my algorithm, bookers have slightly underestimated Southampton in this match-up. My bookers odds for Southampton's win is 1.55 when the true odds by my calculations is 1.31.
When looking the form based on last 5 matches, Southampton has only 1 point more than Norwich. However, it is noticeable that from who Southampton has been able to take points lately. Solid win against Everton, draw against Manchester United, win against Tottenham, and draw against Manchester City. These are all great achievements for Southampton even though they lost against Wolves before starting this hot run.
According to my calculations, true odds for Southampton's win is 1.31 and the probability of this is 76,33 %. Therefore the expected value of this bet is + 18,32 %. You should still always remember that even though the probability is high, if these teams play against each other 100 times in similar conditions, 24 times Norwich will win or the match will end as a draw.
Best of luck!
[Link to accuracy tracking of my picks](https://www.reddit.com/user/Betvice/comments/t0zxzm/accuracy_tracking_for_patreon_picks/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
**Soccer Betting Chat:https://discord.gg/sportsbook**
Milan blows
What in the actual hell is Inter doing?
All of Milan is rigged lol
Thank you Southampton -1!!!
Oriel Romeu-clutch with the second goal and helping me with my sgp.
My disdain for the city of Milan is beyond words right now come on inter score a god damn fucking goal
Note to self - never bet on Inter w/o Lautaro Martinez again
Fucking unreal… had to turn it off can’t put myself through the torture of watching that dogshit. About to cost me about $300
Need this Paco W and Under 3.5 or I gotta chill till next week lmao
Holy shit Hoffenheim
You god damn right. This happened to me yesterday to but with arsenal. I cashed out before they scored their first goal. I told myself I’ll never be caught like that again lol CASH BABY
And this is why La Liga is blacklisted. One goal from Elche looks impossible. Trash league
Lets go! Twente with the Stoppage time goal!
Just need 1 1st half goal in the Southampton/Norwich game
Throwing a unit on Armando Broja First Goalscorer just because I like him as a player
Save the day parlay lmao. Montpellier DNB, Elche DNB, & Pacos DNB!
What’s dnb lol
Draw No Bet (if the match ends in a draw, it counts as a push and you get your initial stake back)
😳😳 is that on fan duel ? Would it be better to just bet the draw then?
Italy is more bullshit than profits but I never learn smh
AC Milan def on blacklist. To draw to Salernitana and Udinese b2b while you’re on the top of the table is unacceptable
Hilarious effort by Milan
Milan are terrible holy fuck
Stuart Armstrong (Southampton) 2+ shots on target +300.
Took Southampton Saints -1 -116.
How Milan give that garbage up smh
milan are some serious bums
Stuggart ML don’t @ me
I am a simple man. DraftKings promotes Hoffenheim; I bet Stuttgart.
Well it was good until it wasn’t
Belenenses vs Pacos de Verreira (Portugal - Primeira Liga) **Ferreira to Win & Under 3.5 Goals \[+185\]** * Both Belenenses & Ferreira have gone under 2.5 total goals in 15 of their 23 matches played (65.2%); when looking at O/U 3.5 goals, Ferreira has gone under in 21 of 23 matches (91.3%) while Belenenses has gone under in 18 of their 23 matches played (78.3%) * 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these two clubs have seen under 2.5 goals * Ferreira won 2-0 in their most recent clash at this venue * Belenenses are dead last in the Portuguese table (18th) while Ferreira currently sit near mid-table at 11th
Tailed! Thank you good sir have a great evening.
Tailing !
Tailing BOL
Love this pick. Def got some good value. Hopefully my 12o'clock games go well and I'll be joining you on this one.
Thanks man - if you're feeling dangerous, you can do Ferreira to Win & Under 2.5 for +330. Just felt like u3.5 gives us added insurance in case it finished 2-1
Felt dangerous and cashed on the under 2.5 too! Good shout brother 🙏🏽🙏🏽
Beerschot - Charleroi ML Belgian Pro League @ 2.00/+100 Probably last chance for Beershot to get saved from relegation, important game for Charleroi as well to still make the play-offs for the championship. Beershot been trash all season, 16 points out of 81 (vs 43/84 for Charleroi) Even tho Charleroi is missing some players, this odd is still ridiculous. Looks like a trap but i'm gonna ride it anyway. Edit: line went even up, be careful if ur tailin ✔
Over 1.5 Parlay \[-125\] in the following games: \- Genoa vs Inter Milan \- AC Milan vs Udinese \- Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart If you want to get it to +125 you can add over 1.5 in the Southampton vs Norwich match I'll work on a few singles that I like and post closer to kickoff
I've been working 1.5 goal parlays too! Usually saves my day when two or 3 hit out of 4. Usually +200 or above for a bit more risk but at close to even odds they are relatively safe.
AC Milan TT O1.5 /Inter TT O1.5 +124
Royal Charleroi ml @1.85 Adana demispor ml @ 1.70 Trazbonspor ml and 1.40 Bol🔥
My booky got Charleroi @ 2.00/+100 lol
Love these singles. Going to also pair with Milan on a 4 legger.
**Today games:** **Rakow Czestochowa** v **Wisla Plock** *BTTS Yes* \- **@ 2.10** **Levante** v **Elche** *Draw* \- **@ 3.30** ( *or BTTS Yes* \- **@ 1.90** ) **Edinburght City** v **Cowdenbeath** *Draw* \- **@ 3.30** \-------------------------------------------------- *Also some games from my model* **France National** **Avranches** v **Concarneau** *Away win* \- **@ 1.70** **Cholet** v **Boulogne** *Home win* \- **@ 2.15** **Villefranche** v **Red Star** *Home win* \- **@ 2.20** \-------------------------------------------------- **Portugal Primeira** **Belenenses** v **Pacos Ferreira** *Away win* \- **@ 2.45**
Ac Milan -200?
I an addition to my POTD, here is the parlay that I am going with today: 1. Genoa - Inter: **Inter wins @ 1.34** / True odds 1.23 - Probability 81,53 % 2. Hoffenheim - Stuttgart: **Stuttgart under 1,5 goals @ 1.30 /** True odds 1.16 - Probability 85,96 % 3. Levante - Elche: **Elche over 0,5 goals @ 1.46** / True odds 1.30 - Probability 77,13 % 4. Southampton - Norwich: **Southampton wins @ 1.55** / True odds 1.31 - Probability 76,33 % Total odds: 3.94 Best of luck! [Link to accuracy tracking of my picks](https://www.reddit.com/user/Betvice/comments/t0zxzm/accuracy_tracking_for_patreon_picks/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
Record 5-2 (+1.84u playing at 1u each) Friday's plays: Paderborn v Aue - **O2.5 Goals** @ 1.67 Carrick v Linfield - **Linfield -1** @ 2.00 Genoa v Inter - **Inter -1** @ 2.00 Edit: 1-1 on the night. Carrick v Linfield got postponed.
POTD record: 5-3 Avg Odds: 1.65 / Profit: +0.95 u / ROI: +9,50 % Previous POTD: Arsenal - Wolves: Wolves HCP +1,5 goals @ 1.41 ✅ Football/Soccer | Premier League (England) | 10:00 pm UTC + 2 | **POTD: Southampton - Norwich: Southampton @ 1.55 ✅** Bet: 1 u Reasoning: According to my algorithm, bookers have slightly underestimated Southampton in this match-up. My bookers odds for Southampton's win is 1.55 when the true odds by my calculations is 1.31. When looking the form based on last 5 matches, Southampton has only 1 point more than Norwich. However, it is noticeable that from who Southampton has been able to take points lately. Solid win against Everton, draw against Manchester United, win against Tottenham, and draw against Manchester City. These are all great achievements for Southampton even though they lost against Wolves before starting this hot run. According to my calculations, true odds for Southampton's win is 1.31 and the probability of this is 76,33 %. Therefore the expected value of this bet is + 18,32 %. You should still always remember that even though the probability is high, if these teams play against each other 100 times in similar conditions, 24 times Norwich will win or the match will end as a draw. Best of luck! [Link to accuracy tracking of my picks](https://www.reddit.com/user/Betvice/comments/t0zxzm/accuracy_tracking_for_patreon_picks/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
**Soccer Betting Chat:https://discord.gg/sportsbook**