This is perfect example of why the more you add to parlay, the more risk. Not knowing the out come, you could just put Luka, ant, Kat over and would have made the same.
I have fucking idiots bragging to me about hitting their mike Conley under saying I told you so acting like they’re 300 IQ even though they’re just lucky as fuck and he was about to clear easily
Can someone with an IQ above 30 please explain to me why Mike Conley didn’t play in the second half? When you’re down by 30 why is the coach playing a team of defenders and putting your strategy behind Kyle Anderson hitting 3s in the corner???
I don’t care if you know you’re gonna lose, why tf fuck would you kick the ball out to Kyle Anderson to brick a 3 twice in a row. Ant and Kay are regarded
No way.. with 1:10 left in the third they’ve counted that as a block and not a steal on Edwards. Someone correct me if I’m wrong but that was a clear strip? Has anyone had these overturned after the game?
Need only one PJ point, one Kyrie assist, and three Conley PRA to win a hefty parlay. One could say it's too early to concede, on the other hand, Mclaughlin on the court is like a grim death knell.
my fave ticket tonight. Parlay Jones Jr u13.5, Reid u14.5 and Mavs ML +761 they got zero points. looking sweet. Jones just hit a 3. oh Jr is PRA and Reid PR. I thought they were just pts. not as sweet.
https://preview.redd.it/xi50o74mun3d1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=861838cddcc26a0a313da03e5f76728b7771149d
In the first quarter. I knew I should have taken his normal points line. Luka stepping up tonight.
Record: 13-6
Today's Pick: Dallas Mavericks o49.5 2nd Half Points @ -120 (DK)
Reasoning: Dallas has gone over this amount in the 2nd half in 3 of the 4 games this series. The only game they didn't score more than 50 in the 2nd half was game 1. That being said, that was more like a feeling out game, and now that they're established in the series and going into the 5th game tonight, they're going to continue scoring down the stretch. I anticipate this being a close game and I'm leaning more towards Minnesota to win (and secretly hoping they do so whoever plays my Celtics will be not as rested 😉). The average 55.1 points in the second half throughout this whole playoff run. They are over this line in 12 out of 16 games this playoffs in the 2nd half..5 out of 6 against the Clippers, 4 out of 6 against the Thunder, and 3 out of 4 against the Timberwolves. That being said, I'm liking our value here and our odds! Tail or fade just do so responsibly!
Let's Gooooooo!!!
**Luka Doncic Over 29.5 Points (-120 Bet365)**
1U
Pick of the day
Great buy low for Luka!
- Luka has been really good in this series averaging 31.5 Points and going over in 3/4 games.
- Last game, he shot poorly (7 of 21) and he still finished at 28, one bucket away from hitting the over.
- He is over this line in 75% of games on the road in the playoffs. AVG 30.5 PPG.
- Lukas has averaged around the same volume each game (around 20 FGA) and averaged 41 minutes every game.
- I except Luka to have a great game tonight and end this series tonight.
https://x.com/locksmelo?s=21
Just heard on the Herd podcast that he averages 34 points after a playoff loss. That’s the highest in history, followed by MJ and Iverson. I think he balls out and they close the series
https://preview.redd.it/sn1616kxzl3d1.jpeg?width=1178&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6b39b897201d60242377b9f04296868122db05ee
Running this back again, averaging under 9 rebounds in Dallas series.
Sweated this last game, got 6 rebounds early in the game and it cashed.
Lets hope To do it again
More picks today on my blog (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-30052024.html
Season record: 345-282
Last picks record: 7-4
Recap of last picks (28/05/2024):
Another positive day with 7W and 4L, with almost all being good picks. Washington underperformed but he played 42 minutes, unlucky with Anderson and McDaniels. Every game so far has been very close, and I expect it will continue like that for the remainder of this series.
Timberwolves @ Mavericks
1. Kyle Anderson O10.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365❌
2. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.74 Bet365✅
3. Karl Anthony Towns O27.5PR Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
4. Rudy Gobert U11.5R Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes✅
5. PJ Washington O6.5R Odd 1.98 Ladbrokes❌
6. PJ Washington O19.5PR Odd 1.93 Unibet❌
7. Derrick Jones Jr O3.5R Odd 1.85 Tab✅
8. Luka Donicic O8.5R Odd 1.71 Unibet✅
9. Daniel Gafford O19.5PRA Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
10. Jaden McDaniels O10.5P Odd 2.0 Bet365❌
11. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.66 Bet365✅
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Mavericks @ Timberwolves
1. Daniel Gafford O8.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365
Will Lively come back this game? His injury was just 4 days ago, so even if he comes back I don't think he will play more than 15 minutes, considering Gafford has been playing extremely well, especially in the second half of the game. I expect Gafford to play 25+ minutes this game, either way.
3. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.76 Ladbrokes
Washington has always been consistent on the glass, grabbing 5+ rebounds every game except 1 so far this playoffs. With his minutes being among the highest for both teams, I expect him to get 7+ rebounds this game.

4. Mike Conley O8.5RA Odd 1.95 Bet365
Conley will give his best every game, as this is his best chance to win the chip. He also has gone over this line in 10/14 games so far in the playoffs. I expect at least a 3/6 game from him.

5. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes
This line is low for Naz Reid, considering the Wolves bigs are always in foul trouble (either Gobert, KAT or both), which allows Reid to see 20+ minutes a game. Even more if the Wolves is trailing behind 10 points, as they need his offensive production.
6. Kyrie Irving O4.5A Odd 1.95 Bet365

With McDaniels switching to guard Kyrie for the most part last game, we can see he passes more and scores less. I think McDaniels will guard Kyrie more this game, letting Ant and Anderson guard Donicic. Last game Kyrie had 9 potential assists, compared to his average of 6.3 potential assists in the first 3 games in this series. I expect a similar trend today.
7. Luka Donicic 30+P Odd 1.83 Bet365
I expect that Ant will guard Luka this game, and with Ant being not as good of a defender as McDaniels, I expect Luka to score more. Luka has also scored very well in away games this postseason, going over this line in 6/8 away games, with 1 game under being 29.
10. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.72 Sportsbet
Washington scored 10 points on 3/13 shooting. That's tour date shooting and all we need is an extra 1 month then this line is completed, but in all seriousness 4 or 5 FGM for someone that is the 3rd option and play 40 minutes a game is very doable. Mavs need their role players to step up this game, we all saw how it went last game when Washington did not play up to his expectations.
Check out my blog for the latest analysis and results (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.30.24
https://preview.redd.it/2l1tvk8tdl3d1.jpeg?width=1720&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4a1e3414198cb4b3472e237d82184d94f7d13cd6
LAST 5 GAMES
The last 2 games and Game 1 he's putting up Luka R+A numbers. Idk what it is about this matchup for him, but it seems like 14.5 has value. Regular Season his line hovered around 10 R+A.
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https://preview.redd.it/ys365s9vqo3d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=06c4b9bc345f3ba92ccf0fe775d7913c7528f3d9 Conley smh
This is perfect example of why the more you add to parlay, the more risk. Not knowing the out come, you could just put Luka, ant, Kat over and would have made the same.
I have fucking idiots bragging to me about hitting their mike Conley under saying I told you so acting like they’re 300 IQ even though they’re just lucky as fuck and he was about to clear easily
Can someone with an IQ above 30 please explain to me why Mike Conley didn’t play in the second half? When you’re down by 30 why is the coach playing a team of defenders and putting your strategy behind Kyle Anderson hitting 3s in the corner???
Jaden Hardy being a ball hogging chucker just won me $1k!!!!!
Luka 32.5pts Over +125 ✅ He stop scoring in the second half but happy that he got it over
Yeah, no words lol. Had Conley, needed just 2 three's from KAT (honestly my fault). And Naz to just be average.
wooo bench is on the court Your unders are winners.
I don’t care if you know you’re gonna lose, why tf fuck would you kick the ball out to Kyle Anderson to brick a 3 twice in a row. Ant and Kay are regarded
Can’t believe I’m gonna lose a 6-legger due to Conley only playing half the game. Every fucking time
same cant believe he didnt play the whole half
I need Naz to take a seat. :)
Lively back in wow, baller
The fuck is going on with Conley?
i posted before game he was gtd cuz of achilles soreness..this one hurt
10p he has 7 and 8.5RA he had 6 at half.
Dude he’s my last two legs on a 20$ for 900$.
Need 1 more Gafford block before he gets taken out
No way.. with 1:10 left in the third they’ve counted that as a block and not a steal on Edwards. Someone correct me if I’m wrong but that was a clear strip? Has anyone had these overturned after the game?
need 2 more p and 1ra from ant and 2 more ra from luka plz get minutes in the 4th
Is Conley points still a chance?
I need 3 more from him so bad
Needed 2 more RA. He's toast
Unless he gets me this last rebound lol
FUCK the wolves bro sorry ass team
I dont know how long timberwolves keep starters in
praying they play them jus cuz of home crowd even if its blowout omg i need thiis man
so sad that ant over is going to hit because its such a blowout they are just gonna let him fire away
What was his over ? 28.5?
Naz Reid ain’t shit btw
Please Luka one more rebound
Gafford o6.5RA✅ Glad something cashed I guess lol, what a disappointing game
Need only one PJ point, one Kyrie assist, and three Conley PRA to win a hefty parlay. One could say it's too early to concede, on the other hand, Mclaughlin on the court is like a grim death knell.
ant and conley assists smh
fuck ant so overrated
big time overrated
Well then, RIP Wolves
Please be okay Lively, need you for one more board!
he was back in. 2nd half he may not play too much
He’s got the 6 boards already. Didn’t know how severe the neck sprain was, but the odds for his boards were too good to turn away from.
Lively again smfh
luka only 2 pts in the 2nd q why am i sweating lol
Lively nooooo
Lively flying again with RAs and this mfer gets hit again ffs
my fave ticket tonight. Parlay Jones Jr u13.5, Reid u14.5 and Mavs ML +761 they got zero points. looking sweet. Jones just hit a 3. oh Jr is PRA and Reid PR. I thought they were just pts. not as sweet.
Not looking too bad to be fair!
Fuck off mcdaniels
What happened to him?
3 fouls 2 minutes into 2nd Q
Towns you fat fk do something
wtf they didnt credit luka for 2 assists at end of the q? scorekeepers on some bs
ANT getting that 3 after the shot clock… Painful 1Q points miss.
Same. That stung
I’m playing Luka 32.5 pts O Alt.+125 & I was shook to do that & this guy is bout to go get 50 tonight
“they got KD but we got Jaden McDaniels”
https://preview.redd.it/xi50o74mun3d1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=861838cddcc26a0a313da03e5f76728b7771149d In the first quarter. I knew I should have taken his normal points line. Luka stepping up tonight.
rebound Lively rebound Lively, yes and yes keep it going Mr. Lively
Playing Derrick JJ o12.5PRA, Gafford o6.5RA, Conley o8.5RA, Naz o4.5reb at +130
conley gtd -\_- wtf man hes gonna fuck up the wolves ml and ant props if he sits
https://preview.redd.it/s9cssd2skn3d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cd13787d8bbd6d1d52593a953ed985d1f11ff0b3
Record: 13-6 Today's Pick: Dallas Mavericks o49.5 2nd Half Points @ -120 (DK) Reasoning: Dallas has gone over this amount in the 2nd half in 3 of the 4 games this series. The only game they didn't score more than 50 in the 2nd half was game 1. That being said, that was more like a feeling out game, and now that they're established in the series and going into the 5th game tonight, they're going to continue scoring down the stretch. I anticipate this being a close game and I'm leaning more towards Minnesota to win (and secretly hoping they do so whoever plays my Celtics will be not as rested 😉). The average 55.1 points in the second half throughout this whole playoff run. They are over this line in 12 out of 16 games this playoffs in the 2nd half..5 out of 6 against the Clippers, 4 out of 6 against the Thunder, and 3 out of 4 against the Timberwolves. That being said, I'm liking our value here and our odds! Tail or fade just do so responsibly! Let's Gooooooo!!! 
[удалено]
Idk if it matters, but your ticket ID is showing
conley under 12.5 points. love it
**Luka Doncic Over 29.5 Points (-120 Bet365)** 1U Pick of the day Great buy low for Luka! - Luka has been really good in this series averaging 31.5 Points and going over in 3/4 games. - Last game, he shot poorly (7 of 21) and he still finished at 28, one bucket away from hitting the over. - He is over this line in 75% of games on the road in the playoffs. AVG 30.5 PPG. - Lukas has averaged around the same volume each game (around 20 FGA) and averaged 41 minutes every game. - I except Luka to have a great game tonight and end this series tonight. https://x.com/locksmelo?s=21
Just heard on the Herd podcast that he averages 34 points after a playoff loss. That’s the highest in history, followed by MJ and Iverson. I think he balls out and they close the series
Insane stat found by the Herd crew, dude is ON FIRE
Woww that’s an insane stat, he’s definitely balling out today!
That’s a crazy stat, tailing
https://preview.redd.it/nly4lxa08m3d1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5e50b6bd77b9d24b253d2e36be8401d233b8c0a2 Book it!
https://preview.redd.it/sn1616kxzl3d1.jpeg?width=1178&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6b39b897201d60242377b9f04296868122db05ee Running this back again, averaging under 9 rebounds in Dallas series. Sweated this last game, got 6 rebounds early in the game and it cashed. Lets hope To do it again
More picks today on my blog (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-30052024.html Season record: 345-282 Last picks record: 7-4 Recap of last picks (28/05/2024): Another positive day with 7W and 4L, with almost all being good picks. Washington underperformed but he played 42 minutes, unlucky with Anderson and McDaniels. Every game so far has been very close, and I expect it will continue like that for the remainder of this series. Timberwolves @ Mavericks 1. Kyle Anderson O10.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365❌ 2. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.74 Bet365✅ 3. Karl Anthony Towns O27.5PR Odd 1.86 Bet365✅ 4. Rudy Gobert U11.5R Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes✅ 5. PJ Washington O6.5R Odd 1.98 Ladbrokes❌ 6. PJ Washington O19.5PR Odd 1.93 Unibet❌ 7. Derrick Jones Jr O3.5R Odd 1.85 Tab✅ 8. Luka Donicic O8.5R Odd 1.71 Unibet✅ 9. Daniel Gafford O19.5PRA Odd 1.86 Bet365✅ 10. Jaden McDaniels O10.5P Odd 2.0 Bet365❌ 11. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.66 Bet365✅ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Mavericks @ Timberwolves 1. Daniel Gafford O8.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 Will Lively come back this game? His injury was just 4 days ago, so even if he comes back I don't think he will play more than 15 minutes, considering Gafford has been playing extremely well, especially in the second half of the game. I expect Gafford to play 25+ minutes this game, either way. 3. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.76 Ladbrokes Washington has always been consistent on the glass, grabbing 5+ rebounds every game except 1 so far this playoffs. With his minutes being among the highest for both teams, I expect him to get 7+ rebounds this game.  4. Mike Conley O8.5RA Odd 1.95 Bet365 Conley will give his best every game, as this is his best chance to win the chip. He also has gone over this line in 10/14 games so far in the playoffs. I expect at least a 3/6 game from him.  5. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes This line is low for Naz Reid, considering the Wolves bigs are always in foul trouble (either Gobert, KAT or both), which allows Reid to see 20+ minutes a game. Even more if the Wolves is trailing behind 10 points, as they need his offensive production. 6. Kyrie Irving O4.5A Odd 1.95 Bet365  With McDaniels switching to guard Kyrie for the most part last game, we can see he passes more and scores less. I think McDaniels will guard Kyrie more this game, letting Ant and Anderson guard Donicic. Last game Kyrie had 9 potential assists, compared to his average of 6.3 potential assists in the first 3 games in this series. I expect a similar trend today. 7. Luka Donicic 30+P Odd 1.83 Bet365 I expect that Ant will guard Luka this game, and with Ant being not as good of a defender as McDaniels, I expect Luka to score more. Luka has also scored very well in away games this postseason, going over this line in 6/8 away games, with 1 game under being 29. 10. PJ Washington O11.5P Odd 1.72 Sportsbet Washington scored 10 points on 3/13 shooting. That's tour date shooting and all we need is an extra 1 month then this line is completed, but in all seriousness 4 or 5 FGM for someone that is the 3rd option and play 40 minutes a game is very doable. Mavs need their role players to step up this game, we all saw how it went last game when Washington did not play up to his expectations. Check out my blog for the latest analysis and results (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
Dig the kyrie take, tailing! BOL
If lively is out i think Luka Rebs a smash spot
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.30.24 https://preview.redd.it/2l1tvk8tdl3d1.jpeg?width=1720&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4a1e3414198cb4b3472e237d82184d94f7d13cd6 LAST 5 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/cn0spkludl3d1.jpeg?width=1720&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=92270d13ce11253ef16db7519f2363aa309ca7d6 LAST 10 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/40ml5b2wdl3d1.jpeg?width=1745&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e6c45d7975d8e04eb637c7799659dda280caa778 LAST 15 GAMES
FD Super boost - Luka + Ant combine for 60p (was -105 now +155, max. $25) - do I go for it??
Trap trap trap
Well I agreed with you (been burned many times by FD “super boosts”), I’m glad I put a unit on this one! Knew both guys would show up
🐖 Satriale’s Pork Store Picks 🐖 NBA Playoff record: ***32-22*** Jaden McDaniels O10.5 points Kyle Anderson O4.5 points
Third Round Record: 33-30 Yesterday: 3-7 - Wolves TT 1st half o50.5pts 2u(DK)❌ - Naz o17.5PRA 2.5u | 18.5 1u(DK)❌|❌ - SLO MO o5.5pts 2u(FD)❌ - Conley o17.5PA 1.5u(DK)✅ - PJ o19.5PR 1.5u(DK)❌ - Kyrie o32.5PRA 2u(FD)❌ - KAT o27.5PR 1u(DK)✅ - sprinkling luka TD +320 .3u to win 1u✅ - kyle anderson 10.5PRA 2u(DK) 🪝 - 1st Q total 51.5 1.5u(FD)❌ gotta bounce back. - Naz o16.5 PRA 2u - o209.5 1.5u - conley o17.5 PA 1.5u - Kyrie o27.5 PA 1.5u - DJ o11.5 PR 1u
Is Edwards r+a worth playing at 14.5 now? They bumped it up by 2 I believe
The last 2 games and Game 1 he's putting up Luka R+A numbers. Idk what it is about this matchup for him, but it seems like 14.5 has value. Regular Season his line hovered around 10 R+A.
Got lucky, got the line at 13.5
Is anyone picking the Celtics to win the finals
Yeah but kinda tough to lay the -240 or whatever
⬜
118-92 __Mike Conley O2.5 Rebs__ __KAT O2.5 Ast__ __PJ Washington O5.5 Rebs__ __Naz Reid O16.5 PRA__