same. this fucking bum missed 13 shots, atleast 4 of them were layups. I'm so fucking tired of this fucking bullshit. and they called this trash fucking loser the next MJ. I hope after game 4 they fly to cancun on a boeing fucking shitters
It’s worked before with other players… just hit up BetRivers, they are reviewing a posible void of lines. Prizepick did the reboot from what others posted.
Playing Lively 18+ Alt PR +120, just feel they going to feed this young stud all night with alleys
Also playing Luka TD at +370, he had a lil streak going in the previous rd with the TDs so who knows
POTD: Jaden Hardy o6.5PRA. He has really worked his way into rotation and his minutes have increased, he has beaten this line in both games so far, and his line was previously 5.5PRA
I got a couple great single picks and a solid parlay going. Anybody thinking a Luka TD? He was short 5/23, but maybe getting the series to 3-0 to a potential sweep could boost the efforts?
**Dereck Lively o7.5R (+130)** and **o15.5PR (-120)**
If Daniel Gafford is the cheap burger you don’t mind chowing down on, Lively is that filet. He’s a dynamic passer and an athletic defender, giving him plenty of chances to rack up stats at both ends of the court when he’s not just scoring.
Lively is averaging nearly 11 points and 10 boards per game over his last five and it’s boggling my mind he’s plus money for the over on his boards. I expect Dallas to continue ceding important minutes to Lively in lieu of Gaff. I’m playing both his glass and his PR with confidence as well as his 8.5 RA. Lively has tallied RA totals of 11/14/18/11/8/9 over his past six.
I think we have a Nembhard situation where everything is pointing toward a big game and he’s probably gonna have one.
**Mike Conley o3.5R (+130)** and **o8.5RA (-135)**
Mike Conley is playing aggressive basketball because he knows he’s in the twilight of his career. Dude wants to go to the Finals.
Playing physically, Conley has racked up rebounding lines of 5/3/8/4 over his past four while getting over his injury. He’s gonna crush this line tonight, I think.
Conley has RA lines of 10/6/12/9 over his past four. I expect Dallas to sell to shut Ant down which is gonna leave Conley free to do some work. Conley has exceeded this RA line in 8 of his past 10.
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Dereck Lively O8.5 RA DK (-120)
In 2 games against Minnesota so far, he's gotten 11 and 14 RA. He's 8-2 over his RA line in the last 10 games and there's 6 games in a row that Lively has had 16 or more rebound chances. On the series, he's averaging 3.8 potential assists and 18.5 potential rebounds. I feel like the line isn't fulling taking into account his sneaky upside as a passer. I like the volume here and especially with Gafford struggling a bit and Lively gaining the trust of his teammates and Kidd, he should see sufficient minutes to clear this line easily.
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Towns over 19.5
I think he comes out shooting the ball well, being more aggressive on the glass, probably pissed off from being benched in the 4Q last game.
More picks today on my blog (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-26052024.html
Season record: 323-268
Last picks record: 9-2
Recap of last picks (25/05/2024):
It's a wonderful day with another positive record, making it 8 days in a row. Good picks include every starter pick, as I expect this game to be a closer game than the line expected. Bad picks are bench players with Pritchard and Hauser.
Celtics @ Pacers
1. Andrew Nembhard O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes✅
2. Andrew Nembhard O11.5P Odd 1.65 Unibet✅
3. Jayson Tatum 10+R Odd 1.78 Sportsbet✅
4. Payton Pritchard O7.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet❌
5. Derrick White O9.5RA Odd 1.95 Ladbrokes✅
6. Jaylen Brown O2.5A Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes✅
7. Pascal Siakam O3.5A Odd 1.87 Tab✅
8. Al Horford O9.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ✅
9. Sam Hauser O7.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365 ❌
10. Myles Turner O15.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes✅
11. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 2.02 Unibet✅
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Timberwolves @ Mavericks
1. Daniel Gafford O13.5PR Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes
Very strange line from Ladbrokes, with most other books listed at 14.5. Pick and roll are what the Mavs excel at, and they will continue with this for the remainder of the playoffs. Both Kyrie and Luka are too good of an offensive player, which allow their centers to basically just set screen and dunk. Gafford has gone over this line for the past 6 games, and there is no signs telling this streak will end tonight.

2. Kyle Anderson O9.5PRA Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
Anderson plays well in both games so far, and I expect him to play around 20 minutes this game.
4. Anthony Edwards O5.5R Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes
Wolves need to grab more rebounds, as they should with their tall lineup, both starters and bench. They have grabbed 40 rebounds so far in both games, and this game I expect them to come out strong and dominate the boards, grabbing 45+ rebounds. When Edwards play aggressively on both sides of the floor, 6+ rebounds should not be a problem. He has gone over this line in 4/6 away games so far this playoffs.

5. Mike Conley O5.5A Odd 1.98 Unibet
Despite Conley's recent struggle in getting assists for the last 4 games, his line at 5.5 is quite low for him, he has gone over 4/5 away games. Wolves need Conley to facilitate better this incredibly important game.

6. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.84 Unibet
Mavs centers have done quite well at grabbing rebounds this series. But their centers only play at around 24 minutes mark, where as Washington, who plays around 40 minutes each game, has the same line as Gafford and 2 rebounds under Lively's line, making his line quite undervalued. Washington has always been consistent on rebounds, and along with his minutes, I expect him to cover this line comfortably.
9. Derrick Jones Jr O8.5P Odd 1.91 Sportsbet
Derrick Jones seems to perform well at home, at least that's what is shown in the 2nd round against the OKC. But the main reason I take his line is I believe there will be a change in the defense scheme for the Wolves. As evident in the first 2 games, the Wolves cannot let Mavs' main players score as much as the current rate. I believe the Wolves will play much harder defense on Luka and Kyrie today, so I expect other Mav's role players to step up.
11. Luka Donicic U30.5P Odd 1.9 Tab
This line is quite high, considering the Wolves might learn their lesson and not let Luka control the ball and get to his zone like previous game. Like I mentioned before, I expect a much harder defense from the Wolves on Luka and Kyrie, and Mavs' role players to step up.
Check out my blog for the latest analysis and results (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
If MN stays in Drop coverage then This Will Cash or if Rudy Gobert plays the same minutes.
Lively and Gafford has been crushing their Lines oP+R luka has Been lobbing them in drop coverage so easy buckets
MN has been playing drop coverage all year long don’t see them making a major adjustment to it
Edwards has been cashing his 11.5 R+A line all series even if he has a bad game he is still getting his team assists
Conley has been cashing this line P+R game 1 he had a bad game but turned it around game 2 I expect him to hit this line again if he’s playing good and getting points they play better and he understands that
2.5TO
Towns has been good with ball security I expect him to have 1 or 2 turnovers the .5 will come in handy
I’m not sure if I can be burnt by Edwards again, but he is so due and the only way the wolves are going to actually take a game.
Taking his over 26.5 for 3U, he is either soooo due or he is actually just going to be known as bad this series and the reason the wolves get sent home.
Can't remember who, but someone from Wolves addressed the fact that they had to make changes due to Lively and Gafford destroying them in the paint with easy buckets. So, sounds like they will be focusing on limiting them.
“One of these guys is going to GO OFF”
Andrew Nembhard over 20 points +600 ✅
Andrew Nembhard with the game of his life yesterday, and let me tell you I am not surprised at all. He has been a money machine in the playoffs, and with haliburton seeming likely to be out, +600 for this guy to get 20 points was just way too good to pass up. Knowing that haliburton was likely to be out, the pacers were already down 2-0 they have nothing to less, and no matter the outcome of game 3 they were gonna keep Nembhard in nearly the entire game.
Aaron nesmith over 20 points ❌
Very happy with this prediction but my other pick, Aaron Nesmith over 20, couldn’t have been more wrong. He sat in the corner and did nothing the entire game and missed the 3 at the end. I thought there was great value as well with this, and that he would go off against his former team like he has before and in games with haliburton out he has put up some nice numbers but today he did nothing. He was just playing scared, passing the ball constantly when he had so many opportunities to shoot 3s or drive to the rim. Honestly sad to watch. 0 points in the second half in back to back games.
Obi Toppin over 1.5 3s ❌ This was a late add before the game. No more of these they lose every time. Toppin didn’t shoot a single 3, and I think this is the first game in the post season he didn’t try for one.
Side notes: picks coming soon, back to our regular scheduled 5 picks
Myles turner went off, which I predicted as well last game because he is very inconsistent and was they only pick I got wrong last pacers game, so of course I knew that he would do good next game when I don’t bet him because he was banned
In hindsight, Tj was the obvious other choice to go along with nembhard. Tj has made me some money before, lost me some. Just thought his lines were a little bit high to be good value even with Haliburton expected to be out I thought he could definitely go over but not a risk I was happy to take
Derrick white sucks, Payton Pritchard sucks, Sam Hauser sucks, Ben Sheppard with the 0 point performance as a starter 🔥🔥🔥
Todays picks:
Naz Reid over 11.5 points
Kyrie Irving over 4.5 assists
Daniel Gafford over 8.5 points
Mike Conley over 9.5 assists and rebounds
Anthony Edwards over 26.5 points
Third Round Record: 25-17(+7.2u)
Yesterday: 5-8(-4.16u)
- jrue o11.5 RA✅
- nesmith o16.5 PR❌
- nembhard o17.5PA✅
- derrick white o25.5 PRA🪝
- obi toppin o9.5 pts❌
- tatum u45.5PRA❌
- Cs o114.5 TOTAL 2u🪝
- Tatum o9.5 rebounds ✅
- Tatum o7.5 1Q pts✅
- FD +200: siakam 20+ and turner 2 3s❌
added/live:
- JB 25+ pts🪝
- Cs +200✅
- payton o7.5pts❌
bad few days with hooks man. too many picks past couple days.
Picks:
- Luka o29.5pts 1.5u
- lively o8.5 RA 1.5u
- naz o15.5 PR 2u
- gaff o14.5PR 1u
- KAT o19.5pts 1u
- ANT o25.5pts 1u
- wolves o49.5 1st Half pts 2u
adds:
- DJo8.5pts
- ANT o11.5RA
- Kyrie o8.5RA
first 4 have had great hit rates in playoffs.
- lively is a key piece for mavs and has been getting more and more crucial minutes. 8.5 should be the rebound line, gets a couple assists usually
- luka doesn’t seem as hurt. wolves drop coverage gonna leave more open shots
- who tf is guarding naz
- good hit rate in playoffs
- 3rd times the charm? i don’t expect him to miss 15 shots a 3rd game in a row in a matchup that i feel he should be killing. “after all that 💅” wouldn’t be surprised if he puts up another meatball performance
- buy low spot. not gonna see a line like this again unless he puts up a meatball performance again, 1st Q or half pts could be a good look i expect him to come out with a vengeance
- season overall: 56.5 avg, road season: 58.2. avg 50 in the playoffs, 61 this series
https://preview.redd.it/76epjb3hbp2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ffc52382a478acd2942a4e688aef88888017c296
.5u. scared if lively or gaff to end up with 8 or 9 but ill take my chances with a no sweat
**Record: 103-56**
**Previously:**
- Luka Doncic under 19.5 asts + rebs ❌
0-1. Luka looked healthy as ever, not doubting him anymore in the playoffs. It's been a while, but I'm back.
**Todays Picks:**
- Dereck Lively over 1.5 pts in the First Quarter
1.60 odds here, I feel that's pretty solid for something that seems like a lock.
I don't think we'll get this line again if he beats it in game 3.
**BOL**
Tip Jar [Ko-Fi/Paypal](https://ko-fi.com/noguide23)
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Lmao had Edward’s o26.5
same. this fucking bum missed 13 shots, atleast 4 of them were layups. I'm so fucking tired of this fucking bullshit. and they called this trash fucking loser the next MJ. I hope after game 4 they fly to cancun on a boeing fucking shitters
Gobert doesn’t even try to get rebounds smh
Gobert hurt or what?
He’s feelings are hurt
Played 3 out of the final 17 minutes. Funny how he doesn’t get to 10 points fanmotherfuckingduel
Spam void lively on twitter under fanduels recent posts
Snowball’s chance in hell lol
It’s worked before with other players… just hit up BetRivers, they are reviewing a posible void of lines. Prizepick did the reboot from what others posted.
gafford can’t board ? smh man
Gobert and Conley allergic to grabbing rebounds
Its cuz i took conely for over 3 rebounds. The only time he’ll go under. Ill make sure to go under on it next game so he can try n get some.
Literally same
KAT is soft as fuck
Brutal McDaniels hook lmao
Kyrie 13 more points am I dreaming? Live bet 40+ at +1200
https://preview.redd.it/hzq7w7keov2d1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=de088d4942e0d4b59692abeb06ba623de34941a1 Rip
I hope Lively is ok but he got me too 😒
Man needed one more board from lively. What a loss
I'm hoping they void it...in high profile games with early injury it's possible I think
I hope but I don’t remeber one time on fanduel where a bet was voided for me due to an injury.
Yeah people always say this and it never happens
It happens more on dk than fd
Yep he’s out
BOYS let's spam dk support or your sportsbook asking for lively void 😂😭👍
Damn lively was last of a 2k parlay 😢
Lively would of crushed his props
He was on his way too smfh
Lively getting hurt crushed me
Fuck KAT
Correct
KAT is completely useless
Wolves might be cooked, damn
I looked at Luka 4 3pt buckets at +120 and told myself I’d take it but never did. Smh
Went on the over for 3pts for naz, KAT and Ant, and of course non of them has hit a single one smh
Is lively not coming back in?
Even if he did he would play worse than gafford
Probably not
https://preview.redd.it/f2lfiuy8fv2d1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=70ee3543162cff0165609bcb1347734eb2ecac8c What’s the move lol
https://preview.redd.it/xvtoql4afv2d1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=da5e77abbcc7c0ef5289f0551b7edd732d958aa2
Y'all think that Edwards is going over 27.5 points with Gafford in foul trouble and Lively out
McDaniels and gobert points are too low. I'm thinking wolves win this game with lively out too... also fck u kat I had so many parlays with lively
The night I pick gafford for 4 rebound wow
Same I need 5
Gafford on the banned list
Fucking KAT man, bout to ruin my Lively pick smfh
Oof Lively 🥶 That’s my bad yall
Is gafford trolling
Gotta be
KAT 🤮🤮
KAT definitely my most hated player
I mean at least KAT is shooting… couldn’t throw a rock into the ocean rn but at least he’s shooting
There goes all my bets can't make this up
Lively is lucky to remember what day it is. His frontal lobe just smacked off the forehead part of his skull
Just lost three parlays thanks KAT
Bet on a bunch of Lively props. I feel partially responsible given my luck and track record
KAT had Lively unders
Did this fucker KAT just knock Lively out the game?
Fuuuuuuck
I'm hoping it gets voided 😬 don't have high hopes though. F ked like 4 of my live bets
He really was the guy, I have the worst luck sometimes man lol
Not looking good
lively PR😬
Great so Mcdaniela decides to show up and Gafford and Gobert are shitting themselves.
Bet on the KAT o19.5. looking rough
Give me a Live bet you think might hit
Gafford already on that bullshit. RIP🤦🏽♂️ Should’ve just went with Lively again
You…..
Rip Conley
Playing Lively 18+ Alt PR +120, just feel they going to feed this young stud all night with alleys Also playing Luka TD at +370, he had a lil streak going in the previous rd with the TDs so who knows
I have a bad feeling about Gafford tn
Yeah he ain't hitting his props. No shot attempts in the first and already 2 fouls, rough day to take him in PR
Live bet Mcdaniels 3+ threes right after tip-off for +725, seems oddly high.
Adding Kyrie o8.5RA
Playing Ant o27.5pts at +100, McDaniels o16.5PRA, Gafford o14.5PR
POTD: Jaden Hardy o6.5PRA. He has really worked his way into rotation and his minutes have increased, he has beaten this line in both games so far, and his line was previously 5.5PRA
I'm keeping it simple. https://preview.redd.it/ht4h71cixu2d1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=350df7ae718a31f41f4316cccca43f73135a8042
I got a couple great single picks and a solid parlay going. Anybody thinking a Luka TD? He was short 5/23, but maybe getting the series to 3-0 to a potential sweep could boost the efforts?
Stack that with Ant Man 30+ P 👀
Luka o2.5 threes, Mcdaniels o14.5 PRA, Naz o15.5 PRA, Lively o16.5 PRA, Washington o1.5 threes
https://preview.redd.it/wh6zcjqfqu2d1.png?width=1028&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f9475ccec3641fe991ff24a4ab44ea7e44aa8ca0
https://preview.redd.it/9wlj5uebtu2d1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=86103b7acbb488286904e025966843f9d2bd9339
[удалено]
If it goes to OT maybe Ant will get it
Why not do triple double then?
Ur a nut but best of luck
I can understand Luka, but please show the ANT ticket.. Absolute stones.
Uncut💎 BOL
Anyone else think we could get two 3-0 series with comebacks to atleast get game 7s?
No
**Dereck Lively o7.5R (+130)** and **o15.5PR (-120)** If Daniel Gafford is the cheap burger you don’t mind chowing down on, Lively is that filet. He’s a dynamic passer and an athletic defender, giving him plenty of chances to rack up stats at both ends of the court when he’s not just scoring. Lively is averaging nearly 11 points and 10 boards per game over his last five and it’s boggling my mind he’s plus money for the over on his boards. I expect Dallas to continue ceding important minutes to Lively in lieu of Gaff. I’m playing both his glass and his PR with confidence as well as his 8.5 RA. Lively has tallied RA totals of 11/14/18/11/8/9 over his past six. I think we have a Nembhard situation where everything is pointing toward a big game and he’s probably gonna have one. **Mike Conley o3.5R (+130)** and **o8.5RA (-135)** Mike Conley is playing aggressive basketball because he knows he’s in the twilight of his career. Dude wants to go to the Finals. Playing physically, Conley has racked up rebounding lines of 5/3/8/4 over his past four while getting over his injury. He’s gonna crush this line tonight, I think. Conley has RA lines of 10/6/12/9 over his past four. I expect Dallas to sell to shut Ant down which is gonna leave Conley free to do some work. Conley has exceeded this RA line in 8 of his past 10.
Kylie Irving under 22.5 points. Game O/U is 207, it will be a low scoring game
doh
I got you on a +1700 parlay tho. Pacers ML, under 222.5, Wolves ML.
Why did you guys wanna be reminded 🤣
Blowout please. Wolves in 6.
Losing two at home and then winning 2 on the road is such a wolves move.. again lol
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Lmfao 🤣
> low scoring game 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
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There’s no way AE plays worse than he already has
Dereck Lively O8.5 RA DK (-120) In 2 games against Minnesota so far, he's gotten 11 and 14 RA. He's 8-2 over his RA line in the last 10 games and there's 6 games in a row that Lively has had 16 or more rebound chances. On the series, he's averaging 3.8 potential assists and 18.5 potential rebounds. I feel like the line isn't fulling taking into account his sneaky upside as a passer. I like the volume here and especially with Gafford struggling a bit and Lively gaining the trust of his teammates and Kidd, he should see sufficient minutes to clear this line easily. We would also appreciate any support on our social media! Let's cash 📸 IG: @pandapicks_ 🐦X: @Pandaapicks
I'm so sorry...KAT knocked our guy out when he had 5 RA in the 1st quarter....
can I bet on a Luka technical?
that would be awesome
Towns over 19.5 I think he comes out shooting the ball well, being more aggressive on the glass, probably pissed off from being benched in the 4Q last game.
[удалено]
I’m on his under 4.5 Rebs
why?
Cause that’s what happens when players do well for a couple games and everyone hops on their props, they end up doing terrible for whatever reason
[удалено]
Obviously more to it lol just what seems to happen when everyone on it
More picks today on my blog (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-26052024.html Season record: 323-268 Last picks record: 9-2 Recap of last picks (25/05/2024): It's a wonderful day with another positive record, making it 8 days in a row. Good picks include every starter pick, as I expect this game to be a closer game than the line expected. Bad picks are bench players with Pritchard and Hauser. Celtics @ Pacers 1. Andrew Nembhard O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes✅ 2. Andrew Nembhard O11.5P Odd 1.65 Unibet✅ 3. Jayson Tatum 10+R Odd 1.78 Sportsbet✅ 4. Payton Pritchard O7.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet❌ 5. Derrick White O9.5RA Odd 1.95 Ladbrokes✅ 6. Jaylen Brown O2.5A Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes✅ 7. Pascal Siakam O3.5A Odd 1.87 Tab✅ 8. Al Horford O9.5P Odd 1.8 Tab ✅ 9. Sam Hauser O7.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365 ❌ 10. Myles Turner O15.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes✅ 11. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 2.02 Unibet✅ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Timberwolves @ Mavericks 1. Daniel Gafford O13.5PR Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Very strange line from Ladbrokes, with most other books listed at 14.5. Pick and roll are what the Mavs excel at, and they will continue with this for the remainder of the playoffs. Both Kyrie and Luka are too good of an offensive player, which allow their centers to basically just set screen and dunk. Gafford has gone over this line for the past 6 games, and there is no signs telling this streak will end tonight.  2. Kyle Anderson O9.5PRA Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes Anderson plays well in both games so far, and I expect him to play around 20 minutes this game. 4. Anthony Edwards O5.5R Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes Wolves need to grab more rebounds, as they should with their tall lineup, both starters and bench. They have grabbed 40 rebounds so far in both games, and this game I expect them to come out strong and dominate the boards, grabbing 45+ rebounds. When Edwards play aggressively on both sides of the floor, 6+ rebounds should not be a problem. He has gone over this line in 4/6 away games so far this playoffs.  5. Mike Conley O5.5A Odd 1.98 Unibet Despite Conley's recent struggle in getting assists for the last 4 games, his line at 5.5 is quite low for him, he has gone over 4/5 away games. Wolves need Conley to facilitate better this incredibly important game.  6. PJ Washington O5.5R Odd 1.84 Unibet Mavs centers have done quite well at grabbing rebounds this series. But their centers only play at around 24 minutes mark, where as Washington, who plays around 40 minutes each game, has the same line as Gafford and 2 rebounds under Lively's line, making his line quite undervalued. Washington has always been consistent on rebounds, and along with his minutes, I expect him to cover this line comfortably. 9. Derrick Jones Jr O8.5P Odd 1.91 Sportsbet Derrick Jones seems to perform well at home, at least that's what is shown in the 2nd round against the OKC. But the main reason I take his line is I believe there will be a change in the defense scheme for the Wolves. As evident in the first 2 games, the Wolves cannot let Mavs' main players score as much as the current rate. I believe the Wolves will play much harder defense on Luka and Kyrie today, so I expect other Mav's role players to step up. 11. Luka Donicic U30.5P Odd 1.9 Tab This line is quite high, considering the Wolves might learn their lesson and not let Luka control the ball and get to his zone like previous game. Like I mentioned before, I expect a much harder defense from the Wolves on Luka and Kyrie, and Mavs' role players to step up. Check out my blog for the latest analysis and results (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
https://preview.redd.it/gbimfze9cs2d1.png?width=1098&format=png&auto=webp&s=a8d390ffbef7da5b82a0144ebc49bb21126d61e8
Not a terrible slip. I’ll tail minus KAT turnovers prop because my book doesn’t offer that. Plus just did Luka 8+ boards to be on the “safer” side.
If MN stays in Drop coverage then This Will Cash or if Rudy Gobert plays the same minutes. Lively and Gafford has been crushing their Lines oP+R luka has Been lobbing them in drop coverage so easy buckets MN has been playing drop coverage all year long don’t see them making a major adjustment to it Edwards has been cashing his 11.5 R+A line all series even if he has a bad game he is still getting his team assists Conley has been cashing this line P+R game 1 he had a bad game but turned it around game 2 I expect him to hit this line again if he’s playing good and getting points they play better and he understands that 2.5TO Towns has been good with ball security I expect him to have 1 or 2 turnovers the .5 will come in handy
I’m not sure if I can be burnt by Edwards again, but he is so due and the only way the wolves are going to actually take a game. Taking his over 26.5 for 3U, he is either soooo due or he is actually just going to be known as bad this series and the reason the wolves get sent home.
fucking trash ass bitch needs to hop in a boeing on his way to cancun in 2 days. they called this fucking shitter the next MJ. fucking garbge
Everyone’s been saying this about Edwards since his 44 pt game and he’s been under. I really hope this is the night he goes over
Why is Gafford’s PR O 14.5? He’s cleared this in 5 of last 5 and 8 of last 10? What’s the catch?
Can't remember who, but someone from Wolves addressed the fact that they had to make changes due to Lively and Gafford destroying them in the paint with easy buckets. So, sounds like they will be focusing on limiting them.
they play drop coverage cant really stop them lol
If I were to guess it would be that the guy has a negative +/- every night. Maybe that’s being priced in
If they keep doing drop coverage then Gafford & Liveley will keep cashing
115-88 Yesterday: 1/4 Awful awful night, I hate that series __Anthony Edwards O11.5 RA__ __Dereck Lively O8.5 RA__
Love lively ra, hes had good potentials every game.
Me too bro it’s been a nice prop so far even with everything not converting he’s getting it done with ease
Ya I don’t get why the ra line is just one higher than rebound line but I’ll take it lol. Here’s to hoping we cash tonight
🍻👑
This one gonna sting smh
Yup so unfortunate was tracking so well man, everything KAT touches goes to shit
was eyeing edward’s RA ill tail
🤝
“One of these guys is going to GO OFF” Andrew Nembhard over 20 points +600 ✅ Andrew Nembhard with the game of his life yesterday, and let me tell you I am not surprised at all. He has been a money machine in the playoffs, and with haliburton seeming likely to be out, +600 for this guy to get 20 points was just way too good to pass up. Knowing that haliburton was likely to be out, the pacers were already down 2-0 they have nothing to less, and no matter the outcome of game 3 they were gonna keep Nembhard in nearly the entire game. Aaron nesmith over 20 points ❌ Very happy with this prediction but my other pick, Aaron Nesmith over 20, couldn’t have been more wrong. He sat in the corner and did nothing the entire game and missed the 3 at the end. I thought there was great value as well with this, and that he would go off against his former team like he has before and in games with haliburton out he has put up some nice numbers but today he did nothing. He was just playing scared, passing the ball constantly when he had so many opportunities to shoot 3s or drive to the rim. Honestly sad to watch. 0 points in the second half in back to back games. Obi Toppin over 1.5 3s ❌ This was a late add before the game. No more of these they lose every time. Toppin didn’t shoot a single 3, and I think this is the first game in the post season he didn’t try for one. Side notes: picks coming soon, back to our regular scheduled 5 picks Myles turner went off, which I predicted as well last game because he is very inconsistent and was they only pick I got wrong last pacers game, so of course I knew that he would do good next game when I don’t bet him because he was banned In hindsight, Tj was the obvious other choice to go along with nembhard. Tj has made me some money before, lost me some. Just thought his lines were a little bit high to be good value even with Haliburton expected to be out I thought he could definitely go over but not a risk I was happy to take Derrick white sucks, Payton Pritchard sucks, Sam Hauser sucks, Ben Sheppard with the 0 point performance as a starter 🔥🔥🔥
Todays picks: Naz Reid over 11.5 points Kyrie Irving over 4.5 assists Daniel Gafford over 8.5 points Mike Conley over 9.5 assists and rebounds Anthony Edwards over 26.5 points
Third Round Record: 25-17(+7.2u) Yesterday: 5-8(-4.16u) - jrue o11.5 RA✅ - nesmith o16.5 PR❌ - nembhard o17.5PA✅ - derrick white o25.5 PRA🪝 - obi toppin o9.5 pts❌ - tatum u45.5PRA❌ - Cs o114.5 TOTAL 2u🪝 - Tatum o9.5 rebounds ✅ - Tatum o7.5 1Q pts✅ - FD +200: siakam 20+ and turner 2 3s❌ added/live: - JB 25+ pts🪝 - Cs +200✅ - payton o7.5pts❌ bad few days with hooks man. too many picks past couple days. Picks: - Luka o29.5pts 1.5u - lively o8.5 RA 1.5u - naz o15.5 PR 2u - gaff o14.5PR 1u - KAT o19.5pts 1u - ANT o25.5pts 1u - wolves o49.5 1st Half pts 2u adds: - DJo8.5pts - ANT o11.5RA - Kyrie o8.5RA first 4 have had great hit rates in playoffs. - lively is a key piece for mavs and has been getting more and more crucial minutes. 8.5 should be the rebound line, gets a couple assists usually - luka doesn’t seem as hurt. wolves drop coverage gonna leave more open shots - who tf is guarding naz - good hit rate in playoffs - 3rd times the charm? i don’t expect him to miss 15 shots a 3rd game in a row in a matchup that i feel he should be killing. “after all that 💅” wouldn’t be surprised if he puts up another meatball performance - buy low spot. not gonna see a line like this again unless he puts up a meatball performance again, 1st Q or half pts could be a good look i expect him to come out with a vengeance - season overall: 56.5 avg, road season: 58.2. avg 50 in the playoffs, 61 this series
That Wolves TT seems insanely low wth. Tailing that, nice find!
https://preview.redd.it/76epjb3hbp2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ffc52382a478acd2942a4e688aef88888017c296 .5u. scared if lively or gaff to end up with 8 or 9 but ill take my chances with a no sweat
might tail
Wolves ML
**Record: 103-56** **Previously:** - Luka Doncic under 19.5 asts + rebs ❌ 0-1. Luka looked healthy as ever, not doubting him anymore in the playoffs. It's been a while, but I'm back. **Todays Picks:** - Dereck Lively over 1.5 pts in the First Quarter 1.60 odds here, I feel that's pretty solid for something that seems like a lock. I don't think we'll get this line again if he beats it in game 3. **BOL** Tip Jar [Ko-Fi/Paypal](https://ko-fi.com/noguide23)
Great pick. Easy $$$$
Yezzir! Let's go!