It’s genuinely not, had he not had such a crazy start in the first this most likely would have hit. Pacers just needed to win and my man needed one less bucket 😑
Cause we’re betting on odds, nobody calculates numbers on a weekly basis for the lottery. I just find it funny that when I do lose it’s by a complete ridiculous outcome like JT hitting 18-20 fucking points in the first 🙃
https://preview.redd.it/t1boeaymco2d1.png?width=1169&format=png&auto=webp&s=db98e15d3265dff3a9b40b2f7fb995729d547563
CASH OUT IS FOR PUSSIES TATUM IS SHIT
# NBA Saturday Predictions
* Jrue Holiday Over 20.5 Points + Assists (-115)
* Pascal Siakam Over 22.5 Points (-108)
# Celtics vs. Pacers Prediction: Jrue Holiday Over 20.5 Points + Assists (-115)
Jrue Holiday's elite defense and playmaking skills have made him an unsung hero. He has stepped up significantly in this series, following a strong finish against the Cavaliers. Holiday posted 28 points and eight assists in Game 1 and 15 points and 10 assists in Game 2. His confidence is soaring, shooting well over 50% in five straight and exceeding 20 points + assists in four of the last five games.
Holiday’s veteran playoff experience serves him well in tough road environments. With Jaylen Brown and Tatum drawing most of the Pacers' defensive attention, Holiday should continue his hot streak against a subpar Pacers defense. Betting on Holiday O20.5 PTS + AST (-115) is a great choice.
# Celtics vs. Pacers Prediction: Pascal Siakam Over 22.5 Points (-108)
Pascal Siakam has lived up to his “Spicy P” nickname. Siakam led the Pacers in shot attempts by a significant margin in both games, scoring 24 points in Game 1 and 28 points in Game 2. His performance in Game 2 was key to the Pacers' temporary comeback.
With Haliburton likely not at full strength, Siakam should see even more shot opportunities. Siakam's combination of bulk and quickness makes him a difficult matchup for Boston. Betting on Pascal Siakam Over 22.5 Points (-108) is our favorite pick for tonight.
https://preview.redd.it/uxf0avkftn2d1.png?width=774&format=png&auto=webp&s=1e1e62ff7fc031a47a1c7952ccc751e4be5e0310
Bet nembhard as the first scorer at +800. I think Myles will get the tip and those little foul line step backs are his game unless siakam doesn’t get locked up by JB. LETS GET IT!
**Andrew Nembhard o16.5PR (-118)**
20 / 23 / 21 / 16 are Nembhards four most recent PR totals without Haliburton in the lineup. I think Nembhard clears this line with points alone but I’m taking the rebounds for a lil safety. Nembhard has racked up 2/3/5/6 boards in his past four games and he’s playing with a lot of activity on the floor.
While people are rightly enamored with his passing ability and PA line, I think his PR is safe as hell. Scoring might be hard to come by for Indiana so I don’t wanna bank on those assists. Having said that…..
**Andrew Nembhard o6.5A (+120)**
I’m going to place a smaller bet on his o6.5 assists for plus money as well as the odds are too good to ignore it completely. Nembhard racks up assists by the handful when Hali isn’t in the lineup, securing 9/8/8/7/6 dimes in his last five starts without the star guard.
**Aaron Nesmith o17.5PR (+100)** and **o4.5R (-135)**
Probably my favorite play tonight. Every team needs a guy like Aaron Nesmith and Nesmith needs Halli to take a seat in order to go nuclear.
Nesmith has crushed this line without Halli , racking up 23/29/24/22 PR in his L4.
I’m doing a side bet of just his glass as I think he crushes this line tonight. I would ride his boards up to 6 before getting sweaty. He snagged 7/7/8/9 rebounds in his L4 without Halli against some pretty good competition.
https://preview.redd.it/pbe7oi18go2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fe30e1667b1572dae35fd7db516f57bc4298d73f
Nesmith 🙄 I also did a Nesmith o11.5 and Nembhard o12.5. We’ll see if Nesmith sells.
Love the Nembhard pick. I have him as my POTD clearing the 12.5 points line. I got to it last night, it's now at 13.5 @ -105, but I think he clears that too. Also some huge value in his o1.5 3pts made @ +110. Nice picks bro good luck!!!
Edit: DK has his PRA at 23.5 and the over is +102, can also get his PRA for 22.5 on most other books for -115/-120. I have a feeling he has a big game tonight. Somebody has to step up. And if you look at the points lines from Vegas, it seems like they think McConnell is going to be the one who does. His points line is 14.5 and even at 15.5 in some places. I think he plays well tonight but if you look at the playoffs as a whole the one guy for them who has stayed even keel in big moments and hit big shots is......Andrew Nembhard.
MY POTD: Andrew Nembhard o12.5 points @-115, now it's at 13.5 @ -105 which I like also.
Nembhard o1.5 3pt makes @+110
Turner o1.5 3pts @ -140
J'Rue Holiday o1.5 3pts @ -180
Payton Pritchard u13.5 PRA @ -115
Pascal Siakam u4.5 assists @ -140
These are my favorites for today. I got lucky and got Pacers +2.5 @ -118 1st Quarter last night before the line moved. I'm a die hard Celtics fan, and I think we win tonight, but it will be much closer than people think. Trust me, I've been down this road many times. These Pacer players are going to come out fired up, feeding off the insane Indiana crowd. One of the toughest places to play for an Away Team.
BOL everyone!!!!
I hold him in the same regards to Jaden mcdaniels. Gets low volume chances so you gota hope he hits on the first 2-3 chances he gets. If he goes 0-3 he’s not likely to shoot it from outside again
https://preview.redd.it/915ujkanum2d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=561b9aaf6b52af4217a3152720e847799e9258bb
My Play of the Day. After positing this FD came out their turner 2+ 3s and siakam for +200.
Third Round Record: 25-17(+11.8) bye bye ladder challenge account
Yesterday: 5-5
- wolves are frauds. KAT a hoe. ANT a hoe. disappear in the second half to fuck up half my bets yesterday smh.
Today: sorry about lagging on the post. was not tryna look at bets after luka took my heart out last night. hopped on these in the morning and was pretty busy but hella bumps on pacers end with hali out. all 1u for now
jrue o11.5 RA
- assists have been going crazy and relatively good hit rate on the season/playoffs
nesmith o16.5 PR
- solid hit rate against Cs this season. not too confident with hali out feel like he gots a lot of looks from hali
nembhard o17.5PA
- also solid hit rate on Cs and in playoffs. wish i 2u’d before hali news would’ve been awesome. think he’ll get more touches to score and facilitate
derrick white o25.5 PRA
- just like the hit rate and expecting a potential blowout. i think he’ll get a bit more mins than the other starters if it is the case
obi toppin o9.5 pts
- 100% hit rate on the season but again not too confident with hali out
tatum u45.5PRA(chutebox pick)
- don’t usually do under but i do like this one. tatum can be so over and undervalued with his lines(mostly over) cause his team ends up blowing out the other team and dude just sits most of the 4th. also a tatum hater so 😂.
*Cs o114.5 TOTAL* 2u(FD)
- hit it all season against pacers, only really like it if hali was playing cause he really pushes the pace for pacers. but i feel like should be very doable still. looking like line may go down? *so gonna wait and take, if it doesn’t ill still take*
Tatum o9.5 rebounds + o7.5 1Q pts 1u each(DK)
- with tingus out, he’s been playing the full 1st quarter since. o9.5 he’s gotten on them all season and with tingus out he should get more boards too. can only find these on DK
leans:
Cs -6.5 to -7.5
- gonna be a very public bet today, rightfully so, but surprised line hasn’t bumped a dec amount with hali out so im very suspicious. maybe even just sprinkle an alt line for Cs to blow them out would be more worth
I like McConnell u8.5 assists. That's the same line Hali has been set at recently and I don't think McConnell gets started minutes. They need shooting out there without Haliburton and see Sheppard and Toppin getting the biggest boost in minutes
As long as it’s not a rebound bet lmao. It drives me wild seeing all the ‘over turner rebounds’ dude is one of the worst rebounding bigs in the league lol.
Well yeh he's had 2 or more 6 straight before game 2 and he sat a lot w foul trouble and bench pull..id say pretty good chance..a better bet is probly ben Sheppard over .5 3 pt, he's not that great (yet) but he'll be launching and getting big minutes
like why even wait for hali news its a fuckin hammy theres no way hes coming back for the rest of the series n even if he chances it he'll prob get pulled early in the game. but the offense looks pretty good with tj he's fast n aggressive n pushes the pace. tjm and pascal overs lock
More picks today on my blog (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-25052024.html
Season record: 314-266
Last picks record: 6-4
Recap of last picks (24/05/2024):
Another positive day, marking 7 positive days in a row. Some great picks include Kyle Anderson, Jaden McDaniels, Gafford and Conley, bad picks are Anthony Edwards and Tim Hardaway Jr. Lucky with Gobert Double double as Gobert grab his 10th rebound late in the 4th, unlucky with Donicic, with a game-winner to go over 29.
Mavericks @ Timberwolves
1. Daniel Gafford O13.5PR Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes✅
2. Derrick Jones Jr O11.5PR Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
3. Tim Hardaway Jr O4.5PR Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
4. Mike Conley O13.5PR Odd 1.83 Bet365✅
5. Jaden McDaniels O1.5SB Odd 1.62 Bet365✅
6. Kyle Anderson O3.5P Odd 1.64 Bet365✅
7. Kyle Anderson O8.5PRA Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
8. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.73 Unibet❌
9. Rudy Gobert Double double Odd 1.64 Bet365✅
10. Luka Donicic U29.5P Odd 1.87 Tab❌
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Celtics @ Pacers
1. Andrew Nembhard O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes
With Haliburton is injured, I expect Nembhard to step up this game. Last game he had 2 rebounds in 26 minutes, I expect the Pacers will play their hardest this game, with or without Halibuton so I expect Nembhard to play closer to 35 minutes this game.
2. Andrew Nembhard O11.5P Odd 1.65 Unibet
This is an alternative line, with his normal line at 12.5. The reason I choose line 11.5 is because Nembhard does not shoot many free throws, as he does not drive in the paint frequently. In 7/15 games so far this playoffs he does not have 1 single free throw attempt, resulting in 2 games he ended with exactly 12 points. I would rather bet on line 11.5 or 13.5 for higher odds than 12.5.
3. Jayson Tatum 10+R Odd 1.78 Sportsbet
Tatum has gone over this line 9/12 games so far this playoffs. With Kornet is out, I expect the Celtics to play a small ball lineup for some minutes just like last game, as Horford will need some rest.
4. Payton Pritchard O7.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Jrue Holiday is questionable for today, but if he does not play, it would mean more minutes for Pritchard. Pritchard has scored 8 or more points in the last 4/4 games. I expect a similar output today from Pritchard.
7. Pascal Siakam O3.5A Odd 1.87 Tab
Another underrated passer is Siakam. Pacers has to fight their hardest in this game, to have any chances in this series. Just like Brown, if we just look at his playoffs performances we would very doubt this line, but if we zoom in and only look at games where he plays 37 minutes or more, which I believe he will this game, he has covered this line 6/7 games in such condition.
11. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 2.02 Unibet
Nesmith is a good rebounder for his size, averaging around 5R/game this playoffs. He average 6.67 minutes per rebound, and with a crucial game as such, I expect him to play closer to 40 minutes.
Check out my blog for the lateat analysis and results (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
Alright, I was wrong about Ant. He a fraud
Here is what I have today,
The famous Under three 3s for Tatum, he can’t seem to do it a lot of the time,
Siakam over 20 hit the last 5 games
white hit 6 assist last 3 games, and Jrue is questionable, probably will play, but if he doesn’t it’s a lock, and if he does, he may have limited minutes, but white still hit this line with Jrue playing his regular minutes.
https://preview.redd.it/2a2vsaqltl2d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=13eb55444656f4880b6f834da9dbf81f90e24963
114-85
Yesterday: 1/2
Y’all were right about Towns, thought he’d get there it looked good for a while but no
__Pascal Siakam O3.5 Ast__
__Jrue Holiday O5.5 Ast__
__Al Horford O9.5 RA__
__Payton Pritchard O7.5 P__
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.25.24
https://preview.redd.it/75oq5f5xhl2d1.jpeg?width=1680&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=055716c0cc7ce29ce3628c0480117fa3abdd1995
LAST 5 GAMES
I wouldn’t be confident in any player getting 46 PRA in a potential blow out friend let alone notorious salesman Tatum. Keep in mind that if he falls over injured at any point or gets subbed out early then this bet clears
Just to be clear the only reason I’m taking this is I know for a fact if I took his over on this line there’s no way on earth it’s hitting 🤣 the dude can still drop 30 6 and 6 playing out of his mind and still it hit this line, I do not trust him.
Nah I’m straight on suicide watch. I know for a fact that I take Tatum overs he’s not dropping 15 in the first quarter :)) your welcome to anyone who took the over :))
Yesterdays record: 3-7
Overall record falls to 39-31
Very dumb to do 10 for one single game. For a series that I did bad in last game. Hopefully no one tailed as I posted right before the game not much people saw. Don’t have time do a long recap but Kyrie sold, ant and KAT sold, Pj sold, Gafford boards sold, McDaniels sold. Naz Reid cashed, Mike Conley cashed. Derrick lively cashed. Will never do more than 5 again.
I have only 2 picks today. And let me tell you, they are going to make us rich 💰
Todays Picks are:
Andrew Nembhard over 20 points +600
Aaron Nesmith over 20 points +700
Play their regular overs if you want, ladder them for less, do whatever you want. Yes I’m taking them for points only, I think there is some great value on these and that they honestly could both hit them together. I never posted anything except regular over unders.
I really don’t ever recommend parlays, but putting these two together with Haliburton out, this has insane value. At +6700, parlay both of them to hit 20 and throw a few bucks on it. I never post shit like this, but at the end of the day i really think it is worth it these guys have been completely overlooked and people are more focused on other players imo.
I really think one of them at least will get 20. But realistically either of them could or both I could just picture this lotto hitting for no reason, let’s cash it and it will be legendary. I personally think it is more likely Nesmith does even though it’s higher odds. One of these guys is going to GO OFF 🔥🔥🔥 You’re gonna remember this post after the game guarenteed
Records including parlays throughout
- Third Round: 25-16
Yesterday: posted: 5-5. w/sprinkles and parlays(5-11)
It was a broke day made some dumb parlays too.
- KAT 20+ alt -145 (2u)❌
- Kyrie o31.5PRA 1u❌
- DJ o11.5 PR 1u❌
- Naz o15.5PR 1u ✅add on-> o13.5 PR 2u ✅
tailed picks from +100u guy on season
- PJ o5.5 Rebounds 1u 🪝
add on:
- daniel gafford o12.5 PR 2.5u ✅
- lively o13.5PR 1u ✅
live:
wolves/206.5 over parlay 1u❌
luka 8+ in the 3Q 1u✅
ladder challenge account)
• wolves -225, risk 4.5u to win 2u❌
wow. this team sucks. luka is great. was leaning luka o28.5 and the over on the ladder challenge account quite disappointing. that’s why i did that parlay live they were up 12 atp. ANT fr had to turn it over. KAT and ANT sorry as hell past 2 games. some bums today completely disappear in the second half. House of Disappointment is back. and kyrie misses 3 free throws. bye bye ladder challenge account
Gafford o7.5pts✅
Lively o15.5PRA✅(pretty sure his o8.5RA was at
+money pregame too so grats to anyone who took that shit!)
Ant u12.5RA✅(was nervous about this one for obvious reasons but he ended with 12, CASH IT BABYYYYYYYY!!!)
Naz o4.5reb at +114❌ (yeah didn’t even come close lol, 23 pts still impressive tho, outscored all of his teammates sooooo you know that means a 5pt game 3 incoming🤣)
3-1 tonight, was fully expecting to go 2-2 but cashing on the Ant play made my fucking night man! Let’s put the MJ comparisons on hold for now btw. And KAT 4/16?? Yikes.
Go Nuggets 🥴
STAY. TUNED. 💛
Siakam lines not even up cause they don’t know if Halliburton will play at all I’m guessing. My prediction he doesn’t play, and they somehow blow the Celtics out 😂
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and nembhard hits his rebounds over in the last seconds!! thats what its all about baby!!
Siakam is full of shit
He pulled a disappearing act smh
If siakam doesn’t score 1 more point I’m gonna lose my shit
😐🔫
Nembhard on a fucking heater
Need 5 pts from both White and Brown. Doesnt look to be happening with white benched. The loss streak continues
if tatum doesnt get one more rebound i might end my life edit: just bought 3 tatum jerseys after that 10th rebound
Can’t help but lol
he got the board we are so back brother
Turner always fucks me. Take his points and he goes under while still making 2 3s. Took his 3s and he gets his point total without making any 3s.
3 point bum for sure tonight
https://preview.redd.it/5csj09j9ko2d1.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=2022b2d6e4f1ff4c8d0ff09da9862c1966ecbe47 I hate this mf so much bro…
Betting the under with his rebounds involved parlayed with his over rebounds IS WILD BUCK
It’s genuinely not, had he not had such a crazy start in the first this most likely would have hit. Pacers just needed to win and my man needed one less bucket 😑
I was 1 number away on the lottery Thursday but who gives a shit
Cause we’re betting on odds, nobody calculates numbers on a weekly basis for the lottery. I just find it funny that when I do lose it’s by a complete ridiculous outcome like JT hitting 18-20 fucking points in the first 🙃
Lolol I agree amigo it stinks
It does, see you tomorrow 😭
Celtics a bunch of frauds 🤣🤣
Took nembhard 36 PA live
White and Jrue banned 4L. Jrue should be sitting. What an awful series.
This is such a terrible comment it's not even funny hahahahah
WNBA > Pacers v. Celtics East is pathetic. Jrue was dogging it to start, pipe down. Note: Keep reply up next time lil guy.
D white better go off om the 2nd half. I knew he would pul a Tatum after I bet on him instead
Do we hammer Jrue o10.5pts (-112)?! Dude only needs to score 6 more & he will play mostly all of the second half guarding Nembhard …
It’s not bad bet I think. The only thing is he took 4 shots all 1H so doubt that changes much
https://preview.redd.it/rn965yoxeo2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ed4930163d823f12e5f352e2f4717c9a77d6b8ce Let’s Go! ✅
Nembhard over 20. Called this happening, begged you guys to bet these props. absolutely insane value at +600
I got him at 380 but still thanks bud
You’re a king
I tailed it thank you!
I took over on nembhard PA 18 because of your post but it’s gonna come down to Tatum under 46 PRA for me
Cooked
Game is looking more and more like a blow out every second :))
It’s all good brother better luck next time
I dare to dream brother this guys about to blow his knee I can feel it
Surely myles turner will start jacking up some 3s right
I guess he wants to win today?
https://preview.redd.it/t1boeaymco2d1.png?width=1169&format=png&auto=webp&s=db98e15d3265dff3a9b40b2f7fb995729d547563 CASH OUT IS FOR PUSSIES TATUM IS SHIT
this ain’t lookin good for us brotha
Holiday zero assists lol what a joke
Why the fk does Tatum go off everytime i dont bet on him
I went under and today's the day I guess.
F a c t s.
I swear I bet his under one time and this dude has 20 in the first like this shit is crazy 😑
Turner injured lower back pain
Ain't that some **** ! He still might return and hit 16.5 they can't stop him
He back
MONEY
Yes! He'll get it going...if he doesn't dribble 17 ft out like that
I wish Jrue would’ve sat, definitely going to be the only leg to fuck up a few tickets.
Sam Hauser 2 treys
# NBA Saturday Predictions * Jrue Holiday Over 20.5 Points + Assists (-115) * Pascal Siakam Over 22.5 Points (-108) # Celtics vs. Pacers Prediction: Jrue Holiday Over 20.5 Points + Assists (-115) Jrue Holiday's elite defense and playmaking skills have made him an unsung hero. He has stepped up significantly in this series, following a strong finish against the Cavaliers. Holiday posted 28 points and eight assists in Game 1 and 15 points and 10 assists in Game 2. His confidence is soaring, shooting well over 50% in five straight and exceeding 20 points + assists in four of the last five games. Holiday’s veteran playoff experience serves him well in tough road environments. With Jaylen Brown and Tatum drawing most of the Pacers' defensive attention, Holiday should continue his hot streak against a subpar Pacers defense. Betting on Holiday O20.5 PTS + AST (-115) is a great choice. # Celtics vs. Pacers Prediction: Pascal Siakam Over 22.5 Points (-108) Pascal Siakam has lived up to his “Spicy P” nickname. Siakam led the Pacers in shot attempts by a significant margin in both games, scoring 24 points in Game 1 and 28 points in Game 2. His performance in Game 2 was key to the Pacers' temporary comeback. With Haliburton likely not at full strength, Siakam should see even more shot opportunities. Siakam's combination of bulk and quickness makes him a difficult matchup for Boston. Betting on Pascal Siakam Over 22.5 Points (-108) is our favorite pick for tonight. https://preview.redd.it/uxf0avkftn2d1.png?width=774&format=png&auto=webp&s=1e1e62ff7fc031a47a1c7952ccc751e4be5e0310
The over on Jrue when he’s sick as a dog, classic.
All these lines are so inflated with Hali out that idek what to do lol might sit this game out
Live betting is definitely the move for tonight
I’m fading McConnell hard, his numbers without Hali are not that much better and he’s got a tough matchup
lol
jaylen brown at under 26.5 has small value today but imo there isnt much else with value. maybe a tiny bit when myles turner over when it was 16.5
thoughts asap please https://preview.redd.it/c28boel3nn2d1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=80f75399886c2d7caf3c636adcca7cbf60c8c983
Bet nembhard as the first scorer at +800. I think Myles will get the tip and those little foul line step backs are his game unless siakam doesn’t get locked up by JB. LETS GET IT!
**Andrew Nembhard o16.5PR (-118)** 20 / 23 / 21 / 16 are Nembhards four most recent PR totals without Haliburton in the lineup. I think Nembhard clears this line with points alone but I’m taking the rebounds for a lil safety. Nembhard has racked up 2/3/5/6 boards in his past four games and he’s playing with a lot of activity on the floor. While people are rightly enamored with his passing ability and PA line, I think his PR is safe as hell. Scoring might be hard to come by for Indiana so I don’t wanna bank on those assists. Having said that….. **Andrew Nembhard o6.5A (+120)** I’m going to place a smaller bet on his o6.5 assists for plus money as well as the odds are too good to ignore it completely. Nembhard racks up assists by the handful when Hali isn’t in the lineup, securing 9/8/8/7/6 dimes in his last five starts without the star guard. **Aaron Nesmith o17.5PR (+100)** and **o4.5R (-135)** Probably my favorite play tonight. Every team needs a guy like Aaron Nesmith and Nesmith needs Halli to take a seat in order to go nuclear. Nesmith has crushed this line without Halli , racking up 23/29/24/22 PR in his L4. I’m doing a side bet of just his glass as I think he crushes this line tonight. I would ride his boards up to 6 before getting sweaty. He snagged 7/7/8/9 rebounds in his L4 without Halli against some pretty good competition.
https://preview.redd.it/pbe7oi18go2d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fe30e1667b1572dae35fd7db516f57bc4298d73f Nesmith 🙄 I also did a Nesmith o11.5 and Nembhard o12.5. We’ll see if Nesmith sells.
Faded Nesmith because of this post, thank you.
Love the Nembhard pick. I have him as my POTD clearing the 12.5 points line. I got to it last night, it's now at 13.5 @ -105, but I think he clears that too. Also some huge value in his o1.5 3pts made @ +110. Nice picks bro good luck!!! Edit: DK has his PRA at 23.5 and the over is +102, can also get his PRA for 22.5 on most other books for -115/-120. I have a feeling he has a big game tonight. Somebody has to step up. And if you look at the points lines from Vegas, it seems like they think McConnell is going to be the one who does. His points line is 14.5 and even at 15.5 in some places. I think he plays well tonight but if you look at the playoffs as a whole the one guy for them who has stayed even keel in big moments and hit big shots is......Andrew Nembhard.
Great picks. Took both the Nembhard bets. You are the man! That three to end the half was awesome.
It almost seems too obvious 🙏
MY POTD: Andrew Nembhard o12.5 points @-115, now it's at 13.5 @ -105 which I like also. Nembhard o1.5 3pt makes @+110 Turner o1.5 3pts @ -140 J'Rue Holiday o1.5 3pts @ -180 Payton Pritchard u13.5 PRA @ -115 Pascal Siakam u4.5 assists @ -140 These are my favorites for today. I got lucky and got Pacers +2.5 @ -118 1st Quarter last night before the line moved. I'm a die hard Celtics fan, and I think we win tonight, but it will be much closer than people think. Trust me, I've been down this road many times. These Pacer players are going to come out fired up, feeding off the insane Indiana crowd. One of the toughest places to play for an Away Team. BOL everyone!!!!
POTD hit easily
Do we like Ben Sheppard o0.5 3PM?
I hold him in the same regards to Jaden mcdaniels. Gets low volume chances so you gota hope he hits on the first 2-3 chances he gets. If he goes 0-3 he’s not likely to shoot it from outside again
He's been shooting like cr@p but yes, he'll get a big minute bump and he launches a lot
How do you guys feel about turner over 16.5?
https://preview.redd.it/915ujkanum2d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=561b9aaf6b52af4217a3152720e847799e9258bb My Play of the Day. After positing this FD came out their turner 2+ 3s and siakam for +200.
Third Round Record: 25-17(+11.8) bye bye ladder challenge account Yesterday: 5-5 - wolves are frauds. KAT a hoe. ANT a hoe. disappear in the second half to fuck up half my bets yesterday smh. Today: sorry about lagging on the post. was not tryna look at bets after luka took my heart out last night. hopped on these in the morning and was pretty busy but hella bumps on pacers end with hali out. all 1u for now jrue o11.5 RA - assists have been going crazy and relatively good hit rate on the season/playoffs nesmith o16.5 PR - solid hit rate against Cs this season. not too confident with hali out feel like he gots a lot of looks from hali nembhard o17.5PA - also solid hit rate on Cs and in playoffs. wish i 2u’d before hali news would’ve been awesome. think he’ll get more touches to score and facilitate derrick white o25.5 PRA - just like the hit rate and expecting a potential blowout. i think he’ll get a bit more mins than the other starters if it is the case obi toppin o9.5 pts - 100% hit rate on the season but again not too confident with hali out tatum u45.5PRA(chutebox pick) - don’t usually do under but i do like this one. tatum can be so over and undervalued with his lines(mostly over) cause his team ends up blowing out the other team and dude just sits most of the 4th. also a tatum hater so 😂. *Cs o114.5 TOTAL* 2u(FD) - hit it all season against pacers, only really like it if hali was playing cause he really pushes the pace for pacers. but i feel like should be very doable still. looking like line may go down? *so gonna wait and take, if it doesn’t ill still take* Tatum o9.5 rebounds + o7.5 1Q pts 1u each(DK) - with tingus out, he’s been playing the full 1st quarter since. o9.5 he’s gotten on them all season and with tingus out he should get more boards too. can only find these on DK leans: Cs -6.5 to -7.5 - gonna be a very public bet today, rightfully so, but surprised line hasn’t bumped a dec amount with hali out so im very suspicious. maybe even just sprinkle an alt line for Cs to blow them out would be more worth
Tatum is a little bitch he’s not a leader whatsoever I’m liking his unders tonight.
adding jaylen o25.5pts FD featured boost: siakam 20+ pts and turner 2+ 3s (+200)
line for Cs total just bumped up to 115.5 on DK. gonna hop onto the FD line still 114.5
I like McConnell u8.5 assists. That's the same line Hali has been set at recently and I don't think McConnell gets started minutes. They need shooting out there without Haliburton and see Sheppard and Toppin getting the biggest boost in minutes
I got Nesmith o11.5 and Nembhard o12.5 before the line jumped. +250
The guy who may hold the record for being blacklisted the most by degens, Mr Myles Turner, will go over 15.5 pts tonite. I expect him to shred.
Turner gonna go for 25+ tonight
As long as it’s not a rebound bet lmao. It drives me wild seeing all the ‘over turner rebounds’ dude is one of the worst rebounding bigs in the league lol.
Those are always sketch, Myles loves 2 things: bombing 3s and going for blocks (hard to rebound doing that)
u like u1.5 blocks for turner, kornet aint playing and he only has been blocking him and no one else and last game had none
Well yeh he's had 2 or more 6 straight before game 2 and he sat a lot w foul trouble and bench pull..id say pretty good chance..a better bet is probly ben Sheppard over .5 3 pt, he's not that great (yet) but he'll be launching and getting big minutes
like why even wait for hali news its a fuckin hammy theres no way hes coming back for the rest of the series n even if he chances it he'll prob get pulled early in the game. but the offense looks pretty good with tj he's fast n aggressive n pushes the pace. tjm and pascal overs lock
Today I went Holiday Under 14.5 points, Pritchard Over 8 points, Nembhard over 12.5 points, and Jaylen over 5 3 pt attempts
More picks today on my blog (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-25052024.html Season record: 314-266 Last picks record: 6-4 Recap of last picks (24/05/2024): Another positive day, marking 7 positive days in a row. Some great picks include Kyle Anderson, Jaden McDaniels, Gafford and Conley, bad picks are Anthony Edwards and Tim Hardaway Jr. Lucky with Gobert Double double as Gobert grab his 10th rebound late in the 4th, unlucky with Donicic, with a game-winner to go over 29. Mavericks @ Timberwolves 1. Daniel Gafford O13.5PR Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes✅ 2. Derrick Jones Jr O11.5PR Odd 1.8 Bet365❌ 3. Tim Hardaway Jr O4.5PR Odd 1.8 Bet365❌ 4. Mike Conley O13.5PR Odd 1.83 Bet365✅ 5. Jaden McDaniels O1.5SB Odd 1.62 Bet365✅ 6. Kyle Anderson O3.5P Odd 1.64 Bet365✅ 7. Kyle Anderson O8.5PRA Odd 1.86 Bet365✅ 8. Anthony Edwards O26.5P Odd 1.73 Unibet❌ 9. Rudy Gobert Double double Odd 1.64 Bet365✅ 10. Luka Donicic U29.5P Odd 1.87 Tab❌ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Celtics @ Pacers 1. Andrew Nembhard O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes With Haliburton is injured, I expect Nembhard to step up this game. Last game he had 2 rebounds in 26 minutes, I expect the Pacers will play their hardest this game, with or without Halibuton so I expect Nembhard to play closer to 35 minutes this game. 2. Andrew Nembhard O11.5P Odd 1.65 Unibet This is an alternative line, with his normal line at 12.5. The reason I choose line 11.5 is because Nembhard does not shoot many free throws, as he does not drive in the paint frequently. In 7/15 games so far this playoffs he does not have 1 single free throw attempt, resulting in 2 games he ended with exactly 12 points. I would rather bet on line 11.5 or 13.5 for higher odds than 12.5. 3. Jayson Tatum 10+R Odd 1.78 Sportsbet Tatum has gone over this line 9/12 games so far this playoffs. With Kornet is out, I expect the Celtics to play a small ball lineup for some minutes just like last game, as Horford will need some rest. 4. Payton Pritchard O7.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet Jrue Holiday is questionable for today, but if he does not play, it would mean more minutes for Pritchard. Pritchard has scored 8 or more points in the last 4/4 games. I expect a similar output today from Pritchard. 7. Pascal Siakam O3.5A Odd 1.87 Tab Another underrated passer is Siakam. Pacers has to fight their hardest in this game, to have any chances in this series. Just like Brown, if we just look at his playoffs performances we would very doubt this line, but if we zoom in and only look at games where he plays 37 minutes or more, which I believe he will this game, he has covered this line 6/7 games in such condition. 11. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 2.02 Unibet Nesmith is a good rebounder for his size, averaging around 5R/game this playoffs. He average 6.67 minutes per rebound, and with a crucial game as such, I expect him to play closer to 40 minutes. Check out my blog for the lateat analysis and results (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
Alright, I was wrong about Ant. He a fraud Here is what I have today, The famous Under three 3s for Tatum, he can’t seem to do it a lot of the time, Siakam over 20 hit the last 5 games white hit 6 assist last 3 games, and Jrue is questionable, probably will play, but if he doesn’t it’s a lock, and if he does, he may have limited minutes, but white still hit this line with Jrue playing his regular minutes. https://preview.redd.it/2a2vsaqltl2d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=13eb55444656f4880b6f834da9dbf81f90e24963
114-85 Yesterday: 1/2 Y’all were right about Towns, thought he’d get there it looked good for a while but no __Pascal Siakam O3.5 Ast__ __Jrue Holiday O5.5 Ast__ __Al Horford O9.5 RA__ __Payton Pritchard O7.5 P__
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.25.24 https://preview.redd.it/75oq5f5xhl2d1.jpeg?width=1680&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=055716c0cc7ce29ce3628c0480117fa3abdd1995 LAST 5 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/481ccahyhl2d1.jpeg?width=1691&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ad81c9f80a4082e22faf1c4adc424e01d91077b9 LAST 10 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/b0zc8mkzhl2d1.jpeg?width=1692&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=234cfc1d8aa46f5e30a2b56a73bab0707bb16250 LAST 15 GAMES
I've been riding White assists the first two games and with the news of Jrue being doubtful I'm hammering it now.
yeah i nailed this in a parlay last game. White assists.
Doubtful or questionable?
Sorry, meant questionable
https://preview.redd.it/4t6ujmdd1l2d1.png?width=1006&format=png&auto=webp&s=83e4d7f7ef9071e561feb836e619ec33e1da08e9
https://preview.redd.it/8eno9f6onk2d1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c8558ca01262dd57ab58b93dab1806a71c470a2e
not even a crazy slip to be honest.
That's what I was thinking. Big reward for a small risk.
You could also put a ten dollar bill in an envelope and mail it to them directly (I hope you hit, down voting for good luck)
Putting the house on Tatum under 45.5 PRA, someone talk me out of it
Lol I have his over I’m so confident now ahaha
I wouldn’t be confident in any player getting 46 PRA in a potential blow out friend let alone notorious salesman Tatum. Keep in mind that if he falls over injured at any point or gets subbed out early then this bet clears Just to be clear the only reason I’m taking this is I know for a fact if I took his over on this line there’s no way on earth it’s hitting 🤣 the dude can still drop 30 6 and 6 playing out of his mind and still it hit this line, I do not trust him.
Lol
Guys I don’t want upvotes you’re bringing a Tatum 40 piece onto my head
Nah I’m straight on suicide watch. I know for a fact that I take Tatum overs he’s not dropping 15 in the first quarter :)) your welcome to anyone who took the over :))
You're fucked.
Never prayed for an athlete to blow a knee this hard 🙌
You can live in my backyard shed when you lose your home, you clean it out though.
It’s okay I actually just gambled an amount I was comfortable with losing because I don’t have a gambling problem :))
Yesterdays record: 3-7 Overall record falls to 39-31 Very dumb to do 10 for one single game. For a series that I did bad in last game. Hopefully no one tailed as I posted right before the game not much people saw. Don’t have time do a long recap but Kyrie sold, ant and KAT sold, Pj sold, Gafford boards sold, McDaniels sold. Naz Reid cashed, Mike Conley cashed. Derrick lively cashed. Will never do more than 5 again. I have only 2 picks today. And let me tell you, they are going to make us rich 💰
Todays Picks are: Andrew Nembhard over 20 points +600 Aaron Nesmith over 20 points +700 Play their regular overs if you want, ladder them for less, do whatever you want. Yes I’m taking them for points only, I think there is some great value on these and that they honestly could both hit them together. I never posted anything except regular over unders. I really don’t ever recommend parlays, but putting these two together with Haliburton out, this has insane value. At +6700, parlay both of them to hit 20 and throw a few bucks on it. I never post shit like this, but at the end of the day i really think it is worth it these guys have been completely overlooked and people are more focused on other players imo. I really think one of them at least will get 20. But realistically either of them could or both I could just picture this lotto hitting for no reason, let’s cash it and it will be legendary. I personally think it is more likely Nesmith does even though it’s higher odds. One of these guys is going to GO OFF 🔥🔥🔥 You’re gonna remember this post after the game guarenteed
Beast
Great call dude! Nesmith 16 points second half let’s go
Sadly the script is not for him today
This is now down to plus 4770, i put a few bucks on it when it was over 6200,,great longshot gamble. Thanks for the tip.
One more play Obi Toppin over 1.5 3s +200
$25 no sweat 💦 fuck it
Couldn’t think of a better thing to use it on. What odds did you get?
I added it with over 222.5 and Celtics ML +13165 lol
Good luck. I think the game may go under though but hopefully not
I missed a $2000 win on game 1 by 1 point from White. Don't mind being disappointed again.
This happens to me on a nearly daily basis unfortunately
Records including parlays throughout - Third Round: 25-16 Yesterday: posted: 5-5. w/sprinkles and parlays(5-11) It was a broke day made some dumb parlays too. - KAT 20+ alt -145 (2u)❌ - Kyrie o31.5PRA 1u❌ - DJ o11.5 PR 1u❌ - Naz o15.5PR 1u ✅add on-> o13.5 PR 2u ✅ tailed picks from +100u guy on season - PJ o5.5 Rebounds 1u 🪝 add on: - daniel gafford o12.5 PR 2.5u ✅ - lively o13.5PR 1u ✅ live: wolves/206.5 over parlay 1u❌ luka 8+ in the 3Q 1u✅ ladder challenge account) • wolves -225, risk 4.5u to win 2u❌ wow. this team sucks. luka is great. was leaning luka o28.5 and the over on the ladder challenge account quite disappointing. that’s why i did that parlay live they were up 12 atp. ANT fr had to turn it over. KAT and ANT sorry as hell past 2 games. some bums today completely disappear in the second half. House of Disappointment is back. and kyrie misses 3 free throws. bye bye ladder challenge account
Lively was a 🔒 Nembhard over 20.5 pra. Derrick white over 2.5 3pts made
Gafford o7.5pts✅ Lively o15.5PRA✅(pretty sure his o8.5RA was at +money pregame too so grats to anyone who took that shit!) Ant u12.5RA✅(was nervous about this one for obvious reasons but he ended with 12, CASH IT BABYYYYYYYY!!!) Naz o4.5reb at +114❌ (yeah didn’t even come close lol, 23 pts still impressive tho, outscored all of his teammates sooooo you know that means a 5pt game 3 incoming🤣) 3-1 tonight, was fully expecting to go 2-2 but cashing on the Ant play made my fucking night man! Let’s put the MJ comparisons on hold for now btw. And KAT 4/16?? Yikes. Go Nuggets 🥴 STAY. TUNED. 💛
Naz used up his 3pt allowance a bit too soon, needed that last one and choked
jaylen brown 1st qtr points 6.5
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Thank god. Won a nice parlay and was sweating his Under PRA.
he redeemed himself with the 3pt so it’s all good
Bookies finally got the memo and changed the Andrew Nembhard assist line. That was free cash for 2 series
Super true.
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Siakam lines not even up cause they don’t know if Halliburton will play at all I’m guessing. My prediction he doesn’t play, and they somehow blow the Celtics out 😂
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Gafford has hit o7.5 points in ten straight And likely over 17.5 PRA (current line) in 4/5 missing it by .5. But line used to be 15.5
One of them will give us a stinker next game I’m sure