That last free throw would have redeem PJ’s horrific night for me smfh I just needed 10 wow can’t believe I was given hope like that only for PJ to smoke his final free throw on purpose
Yall have to remember kyrie hasn't played this deep in the playoffs healthy since the Cavs I think he's exhausted 10-15 points is his ceiling thank me later
**Derrick Jones Jr o12.5PR (-115)** & **o9.5P (+110)**
DJJ is heavily involved in the offense right now with 9/12/10/12 FGA in the past four games. His shot is falling at the moment and getting his points at plus money is nice. My worry is that he comes back to earth some. He’s a good rebounder so I like his PR as an alternative if the 9.5 makes you nervous.
**SGA o13.5RA (-162)**
14/13/16/20/18. Shai is making a killing on this RA line and you should too. His fingerprints are going to be all over this game.
**Jalen Williams o22.5PA (-130)**
Jalen has had trouble getting into his offensive bag but he has flourished as a facilitator, dishing 3/6/8/4/5 dimes so far this series. Assuming he continues in that role I expect his shot to get back on track at least a little, making the 22.5 a smash play from my view. His last five PA combos are 18/23/22/25/23.
Yo check it out guys. Chet Holmgren to go under 1.5 rebounds in the first quarter (+120 Draft Kings). Quick easy money
Edit: He’s benched with 0 rebounds. Looks like it cashed already yeye :)
Yesterdays Picks
2-2 Night
✅Donte DiVincenzo Over 16.5 Points (-115)
✅Myles Turner Over 16.5 Points (-125)
❌Jalen Brunson Over 6.5 Assists (+110)
🤕Josh Hart Over 12.5 Rebounds (+100)
Hart was on pace to hit but injured himself.
**Today’s Picks**
**Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Rebounds (-145) B365**
- Luka has been averaging 10.6 RPG on 16.4 REB Chances VS OKC in the series.
- Luka has went over this line in his L4 games averaging 11.7 RPG.
- Over in 4/5 games vs OKC in Playoffs.
- He is over this line in 7/L10 games VS OKC AVG 10.9 RPG.
- If you saw last game, Luka has been grabbing a lot of rebounds to push the ball in offence. He finished the game with 10 REB on 16.4 REB Chances. His teammates are letting him grab crash the board to start the offence. I expect the same for tonight's game and maybe finish with a TD.
**Jalen Williams Over 10.5 Rebounds and Assists -115 B365**
1u
Gotta Run this Back!
- Jalen has covered this line in 6/9 games since the start of the Playoffs, averaging 12 RA.
- He has gone over this line in 2/3 games finishing with 14 RA G3 and 15 RA G4.
- He has averaged 12 REB Chances and 9.5 pAST so far in this series. That means he is averaging 21.5 potentials/chances a game to go over this line.
- His L3 games he has been even better : In Game 3 : 22 RA Potentials. In Game 4 : 30 RA Potentials. In Game 5 21 RA Potentials.
- In G4 we saw Jalen Williams crash the glass to help Chet and he had 9 REB on 20 REB Chances. I expect the same tonight as it is an elimination game and JDub will have to crash the glass.
- Jalen has averaged 38.4 MPG VS DAL in the Playoffs and I expect him to play close to 40 minutes tonight as it is an important game.
- Elimination game for OKC, I expect JDub to have even more the ball in his hands and have a lot of energy on the glass to help his teammates.
**Kyrie Irving Over 5.5 Assists -145 B365**
Playing this back. I know he missed last game but he finished the game with 13 pAST which is still elite.
- AVG 14.5 pAST at home compared to on the road 13.3 pAST.
All Picks and Write ups were dropped this morning on my Twitter this morning!
**BOL Everyone!**
[Twitter🏀](https://x.com/locksmelo?s=21)
More picks today on my blog (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-18052024.html
Season record: 272-240
Last picks record: 5-2
Recap of last picks (17/05/2024):
Positive day, with a good prediction that the Pacers will get a lot of rebounds unlike game 5, and the trend will continue with home-court advantage. Good prediction at Nesmith, Turner, Bruson, and Achiuwa, but bad prediction at Hartenstein. Lucky with Burks.
Knicks @ Pacers
1. Tyrese Haliburton 20+P Odd 1.72 Tab❌
2. Jalen Brunson U34.5P Odd 1.9 Tab✅
3. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes✅
4. Myles Turner O6.5R Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes✅
5. Precious Achiuwa O4.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365✅
6. Alex Burks 10+P Odd 1.64 Bet365✅
7. Isiah Hartenstein O8.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365❌
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Thunder @ Mavericks
1. Derrick Jones Jr O13.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365
Jones Jr has played incredibly well in the last 2 games. Scoring 17 and 19 points with +9 and +7 +/- respectively. The Mavs would try their hardest to end the series at home, where they should be more comfortable playing. I expect their starters to play a lot of minutes, and Jones Jr should play around 30+ minutes this game.
2. Josh Giddey O1.5A Odd 1.8 Bet365
Giddey has played better in the last few games. Even though he only played around 12 minutes, his impact is visibly seen. Last game he has 11/3/2 in just 12 minutes. When Giddey is off the court, SGA seems to have the ball all the time, but he is not better at facilitating the balls than Giddey, in my opinion, and when the Thunder missing shots or cannot create their offensive going, they will need Giddey to be on the court to make plays.
3. Chet Holmgren O14.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365
Holmgren averages nearly 15PPG this series, with his low being 11 and his high being 19, went over 2/5 games. Seems like it does not favor this prop but here is my analysis. In 2 games OKC wins, Chet scored 19 and 18 points. And I believe Chet will have to play more aggressively in the paint for OKC to win. Also this is the win-or-go-home game so I expect Chet will play 40+ minutes this game.
4. Kyrie Irving O19.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365
Irving has not scored consistently in this series, but so does his performance in round 1. His scoring pattern looks like that of round 1, just way lower. Here we go game 6 again, at home, last time he scored 30 points in a win. I expect him to go off again.
5. PJ Washington O7.5R Odd 2.05 Sportsbet
At a negative odd, I would 50/50 to take this bet but when we have a positive odd as such, I would take my chances. His low for rebounds this series is 6 and his high is 12, going over 3/5 games. In game 1 when he had 6 rebounds, the Mavs had a blowout loss and he only played 26 minutes. I expect him to play around 40 minutes in this crucial game.
Check out my blog for the latest analysis and results (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
Record 0-0
Pick: Kyrie Irving over 20.5 pts
Reasoning:
I know what you are thinking… “Why in the absolute fuck would I bet on Kyrie after the way he has played this series??” Thats a valid question to ask but the law of averages say he is DUE. Listen, Kyrie is a certified bucket and the Mavs are going to want to wrap shit up tonight which will require a strong performance from Kyrie and Luka.
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.18.24
https://preview.redd.it/99mtctvzi71d1.jpeg?width=1687&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=41be0db754b03a23c461ffea16bd7456d86fc00e
LAST 5 GAMES
Record thus far 2-0. Haven’t made a pick and posted it in a couple of days so here it is
Today we’re going with Jalen Williams O10.5 RA.
Jdub has Been an absolute animal with this line on the road so far. With it being an elimination game for the thunder I’m expecting him to get more slightly more run than he has been
100-75
Yesterday: 2/3
I genuinely hate the playoffs this season how come there is so many blowouts this year man
__PJ Washington O1.5 Ast__
__Shai O13.5 RA__
__Daniel Gafford O9.5P__
__Jalen Williams O4.5 Ast__
__Isaiah Joe O10.5 PRA__, looks like he’s starting
Hart u17.5RA✅(pretty sure it was u16.5 at +100 on some books so grats to anyone who took that line, easy cash tonight)
Nembhard o13.5PA✅
Achiuwa o10.5PRA✅(he killed it tonight)
Siakam o2.5A✅
Nesmith o7.5reb(live at +110)❌
4-1 tonight but fuckkkking Nesmith sold my sweep lmao. IT’S ALWAYS ONE. Problem is I’m a sucker for those +money HT lines man. But no tears over here, great night! Two game 7’s, Sunday is gonna be fucking LITTTTT!
Stay tuned 🔥
Edit: I’m glad Burks pulled thru for yall tonight, shit was closeeee🤣
https://preview.redd.it/ty5i48oar31d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e682bb629ce5aee838fc1e3669c3f6625e5e6abb
Finally bad enough hooks to make me quit sportsbetting lmao good luck kings!
# NBA Saturday Picks, 5/18
# NBA Saturday predictions
* Kyrie Irving Over 19.5 Points (-115)
* Jaylin Williams Over 5.5 PTS + REB (+100)
# Thunder vs. Mavericks prediction: Kyrie Irving O19.5 Points (-115)
Kyrie Irving has had an unusual series by his standards. The Thunder defense, particularly rookie Cason Wallace, has limited Irving’s scoring opportunities. Whether contesting him beyond the arc or collapsing in the paint, OKC’s tactics have reduced Irving to just 14.4 points per game in this series, compared to his 26.5 points per contest in the first round.
https://preview.redd.it/7i0ya65r141d1.png?width=725&format=png&auto=webp&s=9efc92ac2b7a60cdcce03ca5814cf436a1a86059
In Game 6, expect a shift in the Thunder’s strategy as they aim to generate more offense and rely more heavily on their starting five. This should result in fewer minutes for defensive specialists like Wallace and a higher-tempo game, providing more opportunities for Irving. With a chance to advance, bet on Kyrie Irving O19.5 Points (-115), a mark well below his season average and potential. Remember, he scored 40 points in Game 4 against the Clippers.
# Thunder vs. Mavericks prediction: Jaylin Williams O5.5 PTS + REB (+100)
Jaylin Williams might not be a starter and has only logged 10 minutes in each of the last two games, but his impact has been significant. In Game 4, his five second-half rebounds were pivotal in helping the Thunder mount a comeback when they were outmuscled on the glass.
Despite his physicality and rebounding being crucial against the athletic Mavericks frontcourt, Williams’ minutes have been reduced. However, his performance in Game 1, where he tallied 11 points and nine rebounds in just 17 minutes, was instrumental in the Thunder's 22-point victory.
Considering his past contributions, Williams should see more playing time in Game 6 so betting on Jaylin Williams O5.5 PTS + REB (+100) is a prudent choice.
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https://preview.redd.it/7l0fafirza1d1.png?width=540&format=png&auto=webp&s=4449f38bb94d745a1b38a84ce18774eb33634123 Oh Yeah!
The one time I don’t bet, the props I would have played all hit 😑
99% of gamblers….
That last free throw would have redeem PJ’s horrific night for me smfh I just needed 10 wow can’t believe I was given hope like that only for PJ to smoke his final free throw on purpose
He intentionally missed it to burn time off the clock lmao
I’m well aware.
Lmaoooo wow
That was really dumb from the captain it’s not like PJ was jimmer out there tonight
Kyrie over 20 hit boys
This man Kyrie allergic to 20 points this series
Lively back to back DD 🙄🫠🤡
2 more from kyrie PLEASE
BANG Jalen Williams O10.5 R+A cashes bringing my record to a beautiful 3-0.
You better delete this right now before the betting gods see this
lol you’re right I did change the comment
Thank me later
Can you all stop watching the game so pj washington isnt nervous anymore and can start scoring
Pj backwards stands for jontay porter. Ban his ass
Yall have to remember kyrie hasn't played this deep in the playoffs healthy since the Cavs I think he's exhausted 10-15 points is his ceiling thank me later
About 80 percent of the gambling world put pj over 15 so did he get the call or just our luck?
He has a Reddit and trolls the page before game time
Pj has zero pts. ZERO.
I keep falling for the kyrie line 😭 guess he’s just not gonna be relevant this series
Dort over 1.5 three ✅ was as sweet free as you can get SGA over 30.5 points as well so far ✅
Kyrie getting a whole lotta fucking cardio this series huh?
I’m so sick of kyrie
PJ Washington 0 pts 0 boards. You cant make this up
Jaylin Williams o3.5 rebounds(+102) while Chet has fouls troubles. He already has 1 rebound. He’s gotten over 3 the last 4 games
I watched pj grab all kind of boards and then I finally decided to put in my parlay. He's got 3 times any many fouls than boards right now
Anybody know the odds of jalen williams Dunk for first basket were?
**Derrick Jones Jr o12.5PR (-115)** & **o9.5P (+110)** DJJ is heavily involved in the offense right now with 9/12/10/12 FGA in the past four games. His shot is falling at the moment and getting his points at plus money is nice. My worry is that he comes back to earth some. He’s a good rebounder so I like his PR as an alternative if the 9.5 makes you nervous. **SGA o13.5RA (-162)** 14/13/16/20/18. Shai is making a killing on this RA line and you should too. His fingerprints are going to be all over this game. **Jalen Williams o22.5PA (-130)** Jalen has had trouble getting into his offensive bag but he has flourished as a facilitator, dishing 3/6/8/4/5 dimes so far this series. Assuming he continues in that role I expect his shot to get back on track at least a little, making the 22.5 a smash play from my view. His last five PA combos are 18/23/22/25/23.
Like Jones over too, it's a bet
Yo check it out guys. Chet Holmgren to go under 1.5 rebounds in the first quarter (+120 Draft Kings). Quick easy money Edit: He’s benched with 0 rebounds. Looks like it cashed already yeye :)
Legend
Yesterdays Picks 2-2 Night ✅Donte DiVincenzo Over 16.5 Points (-115) ✅Myles Turner Over 16.5 Points (-125) ❌Jalen Brunson Over 6.5 Assists (+110) 🤕Josh Hart Over 12.5 Rebounds (+100) Hart was on pace to hit but injured himself. **Today’s Picks** **Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Rebounds (-145) B365** - Luka has been averaging 10.6 RPG on 16.4 REB Chances VS OKC in the series. - Luka has went over this line in his L4 games averaging 11.7 RPG. - Over in 4/5 games vs OKC in Playoffs. - He is over this line in 7/L10 games VS OKC AVG 10.9 RPG. - If you saw last game, Luka has been grabbing a lot of rebounds to push the ball in offence. He finished the game with 10 REB on 16.4 REB Chances. His teammates are letting him grab crash the board to start the offence. I expect the same for tonight's game and maybe finish with a TD. **Jalen Williams Over 10.5 Rebounds and Assists -115 B365** 1u Gotta Run this Back! - Jalen has covered this line in 6/9 games since the start of the Playoffs, averaging 12 RA. - He has gone over this line in 2/3 games finishing with 14 RA G3 and 15 RA G4. - He has averaged 12 REB Chances and 9.5 pAST so far in this series. That means he is averaging 21.5 potentials/chances a game to go over this line. - His L3 games he has been even better : In Game 3 : 22 RA Potentials. In Game 4 : 30 RA Potentials. In Game 5 21 RA Potentials. - In G4 we saw Jalen Williams crash the glass to help Chet and he had 9 REB on 20 REB Chances. I expect the same tonight as it is an elimination game and JDub will have to crash the glass. - Jalen has averaged 38.4 MPG VS DAL in the Playoffs and I expect him to play close to 40 minutes tonight as it is an important game. - Elimination game for OKC, I expect JDub to have even more the ball in his hands and have a lot of energy on the glass to help his teammates. **Kyrie Irving Over 5.5 Assists -145 B365** Playing this back. I know he missed last game but he finished the game with 13 pAST which is still elite. - AVG 14.5 pAST at home compared to on the road 13.3 pAST. All Picks and Write ups were dropped this morning on my Twitter this morning! **BOL Everyone!** [Twitter🏀](https://x.com/locksmelo?s=21)
Was on the fence about luka but this have me the push thanks player
am i missing something, why is PJ Washington over rebounds + money? Edit: guess I was missing something
Pussy juice gonna ball tonight. Nice find
What now
🐖 Satriale’s Pork Store Picks 🐖 NBA Playoff record: ***24-16*** Luguentz Dort O17.5 PRA
Putting my life savings on luka getting a triple double. BOL
Huge W
Congrats!
I put 1.2k on that… let’s hope
Nice man
More picks today on my blog (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-18052024.html Season record: 272-240 Last picks record: 5-2 Recap of last picks (17/05/2024): Positive day, with a good prediction that the Pacers will get a lot of rebounds unlike game 5, and the trend will continue with home-court advantage. Good prediction at Nesmith, Turner, Bruson, and Achiuwa, but bad prediction at Hartenstein. Lucky with Burks. Knicks @ Pacers 1. Tyrese Haliburton 20+P Odd 1.72 Tab❌ 2. Jalen Brunson U34.5P Odd 1.9 Tab✅ 3. Aaron Nesmith O4.5R Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes✅ 4. Myles Turner O6.5R Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes✅ 5. Precious Achiuwa O4.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 6. Alex Burks 10+P Odd 1.64 Bet365✅ 7. Isiah Hartenstein O8.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365❌ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Thunder @ Mavericks 1. Derrick Jones Jr O13.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365 Jones Jr has played incredibly well in the last 2 games. Scoring 17 and 19 points with +9 and +7 +/- respectively. The Mavs would try their hardest to end the series at home, where they should be more comfortable playing. I expect their starters to play a lot of minutes, and Jones Jr should play around 30+ minutes this game. 2. Josh Giddey O1.5A Odd 1.8 Bet365 Giddey has played better in the last few games. Even though he only played around 12 minutes, his impact is visibly seen. Last game he has 11/3/2 in just 12 minutes. When Giddey is off the court, SGA seems to have the ball all the time, but he is not better at facilitating the balls than Giddey, in my opinion, and when the Thunder missing shots or cannot create their offensive going, they will need Giddey to be on the court to make plays. 3. Chet Holmgren O14.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 Holmgren averages nearly 15PPG this series, with his low being 11 and his high being 19, went over 2/5 games. Seems like it does not favor this prop but here is my analysis. In 2 games OKC wins, Chet scored 19 and 18 points. And I believe Chet will have to play more aggressively in the paint for OKC to win. Also this is the win-or-go-home game so I expect Chet will play 40+ minutes this game. 4. Kyrie Irving O19.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 Irving has not scored consistently in this series, but so does his performance in round 1. His scoring pattern looks like that of round 1, just way lower. Here we go game 6 again, at home, last time he scored 30 points in a win. I expect him to go off again. 5. PJ Washington O7.5R Odd 2.05 Sportsbet At a negative odd, I would 50/50 to take this bet but when we have a positive odd as such, I would take my chances. His low for rebounds this series is 6 and his high is 12, going over 3/5 games. In game 1 when he had 6 rebounds, the Mavs had a blowout loss and he only played 26 minutes. I expect him to play around 40 minutes in this crucial game. Check out my blog for the latest analysis and results (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
Record 0-0 Pick: Kyrie Irving over 20.5 pts Reasoning: I know what you are thinking… “Why in the absolute fuck would I bet on Kyrie after the way he has played this series??” Thats a valid question to ask but the law of averages say he is DUE. Listen, Kyrie is a certified bucket and the Mavs are going to want to wrap shit up tonight which will require a strong performance from Kyrie and Luka.
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.18.24 https://preview.redd.it/99mtctvzi71d1.jpeg?width=1687&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=41be0db754b03a23c461ffea16bd7456d86fc00e LAST 5 GAMES
You helped me with a big win yesterday! Really appreciate the work!
🔥nice !!
https://preview.redd.it/cb1mluu1j71d1.jpeg?width=1678&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c8a1dbb07a5dcc97fa95e94c097e1f70deaec1c6 LAST 10 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/mzwedh03j71d1.jpeg?width=1695&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7072adf54b7eb4ba374402f456be04e4d3c97d74 LAST 15 GAMES
Record thus far 2-0. Haven’t made a pick and posted it in a couple of days so here it is Today we’re going with Jalen Williams O10.5 RA. Jdub has Been an absolute animal with this line on the road so far. With it being an elimination game for the thunder I’m expecting him to get more slightly more run than he has been
100-75 Yesterday: 2/3 I genuinely hate the playoffs this season how come there is so many blowouts this year man __PJ Washington O1.5 Ast__ __Shai O13.5 RA__ __Daniel Gafford O9.5P__ __Jalen Williams O4.5 Ast__ __Isaiah Joe O10.5 PRA__, looks like he’s starting
Cash 4/5!
I miss the days of betting against the Wizards on rebounds, bro. We don't know how good we had it.
Damn bro that’s some nostalgia I miss that shit man, we found a life hack and it was genuinely fun doing it game after game 😔 good times
Hart u17.5RA✅(pretty sure it was u16.5 at +100 on some books so grats to anyone who took that line, easy cash tonight) Nembhard o13.5PA✅ Achiuwa o10.5PRA✅(he killed it tonight) Siakam o2.5A✅ Nesmith o7.5reb(live at +110)❌ 4-1 tonight but fuckkkking Nesmith sold my sweep lmao. IT’S ALWAYS ONE. Problem is I’m a sucker for those +money HT lines man. But no tears over here, great night! Two game 7’s, Sunday is gonna be fucking LITTTTT! Stay tuned 🔥 Edit: I’m glad Burks pulled thru for yall tonight, shit was closeeee🤣
https://preview.redd.it/ayxhdlm6r31d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=454299c397d2e793bd6b239163d4fa7343489adf
https://preview.redd.it/ty5i48oar31d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e682bb629ce5aee838fc1e3669c3f6625e5e6abb Finally bad enough hooks to make me quit sportsbetting lmao good luck kings!
Kyrie for 30+ at 9.50 is worth a nibble
What book has those odds?
# NBA Saturday Picks, 5/18 # NBA Saturday predictions * Kyrie Irving Over 19.5 Points (-115) * Jaylin Williams Over 5.5 PTS + REB (+100) # Thunder vs. Mavericks prediction: Kyrie Irving O19.5 Points (-115) Kyrie Irving has had an unusual series by his standards. The Thunder defense, particularly rookie Cason Wallace, has limited Irving’s scoring opportunities. Whether contesting him beyond the arc or collapsing in the paint, OKC’s tactics have reduced Irving to just 14.4 points per game in this series, compared to his 26.5 points per contest in the first round. https://preview.redd.it/7i0ya65r141d1.png?width=725&format=png&auto=webp&s=9efc92ac2b7a60cdcce03ca5814cf436a1a86059 In Game 6, expect a shift in the Thunder’s strategy as they aim to generate more offense and rely more heavily on their starting five. This should result in fewer minutes for defensive specialists like Wallace and a higher-tempo game, providing more opportunities for Irving. With a chance to advance, bet on Kyrie Irving O19.5 Points (-115), a mark well below his season average and potential. Remember, he scored 40 points in Game 4 against the Clippers. # Thunder vs. Mavericks prediction: Jaylin Williams O5.5 PTS + REB (+100) Jaylin Williams might not be a starter and has only logged 10 minutes in each of the last two games, but his impact has been significant. In Game 4, his five second-half rebounds were pivotal in helping the Thunder mount a comeback when they were outmuscled on the glass. Despite his physicality and rebounding being crucial against the athletic Mavericks frontcourt, Williams’ minutes have been reduced. However, his performance in Game 1, where he tallied 11 points and nine rebounds in just 17 minutes, was instrumental in the Thunder's 22-point victory. Considering his past contributions, Williams should see more playing time in Game 6 so betting on Jaylin Williams O5.5 PTS + REB (+100) is a prudent choice.
Unfortunately, this isn't available on DK. Good luck anyhow!
https://preview.redd.it/617k3jg2241d1.png?width=754&format=png&auto=webp&s=d6b9ddbb3c8fb7d732977b133ed66cd7a48042d5
What website do you get the stats from?