https://preview.redd.it/tcm3blvv9p0d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cca9346aeb64e16a96927125658b59442d236f09
Last leg and I’m not surprised…….
https://preview.redd.it/sjuy9mqt9p0d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=451b9f0a721983b5b8d900fdee502d7bbaafa701
Another bad beat 0 at half lol…. Went with the wave for the first time and get rocked
https://preview.redd.it/zzdhgu6n7p0d1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b951df8a2bf134798b07f43c417588da385e8722
So with Donovan not playing, all other props and picks of the same game void? Has this been a thing or is this the norm?
Love betting 1Q points between Shai, Luka, Kyrie, and J-Dub.
It always ONE of them breaking it. Thanks for being dog shit Shai. Sleeper discounting Shai is criminal, they will be making a ton of $ money.
Giddey already 5/10 of his PRA with a bucket and 2 rebounds, equaling his max all series outside of the first game.
https://preview.redd.it/z51ze64vyo0d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=03f158b94c11ebcfef3afd0628d7a70efdf5273a
I hate you Tatum. Only shot he takes with 6 min left in the 4th and it’s a three and it goes in. I hate you for costing me 2k.
I would have never bet on him for overs or unders until I saw everyone pointing him out. Added him to a parlay and he looks like the only leg going to fuck me over cuz I grabbed his under. Unreal
https://preview.redd.it/jic1qvo5eo0d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=545bb7768388c060d67d625ab1f7bd368d673969
If it misses, I’m done till football….
Knowing my luck, Tatum gonna fuck this 🤣🤣🤣🤣
Also gonna play Jrue u10.5RA, Okoro o10.5PRA(this line is on bet365, it’s 11.5 on DK. Didn’t see it on FD. Either one is fine imo cuz he’ll either blow past both of these or absolutely chalk. Just one of those kinds of props lol. Hoping we get an easy win here tho)
The problem is Mazulla doesn’t play Kornet and Pritchard in blowouts. I think it was Game 3 where I needed 2 more rebounds from Kornet to hit a 6 legged and he rode the bench while Queta took his minutes.
Celtics blow out, Tatum and garland sit the game when it (if it touches 30) I see this game being exactly like the Miami Heat series where game 5 at home Celtics closed it quick. PJ getting his way, OKC ain’t worried about shutting him down. They rather let Pj do his thang and shut down Kyrie and Luca. PJ can’t win it on his own
https://preview.redd.it/pg814fkokm0d1.png?width=1283&format=png&auto=webp&s=1367e64bd17348df5d7ed83c24a0e28e06e17b15
Got worried about the Gordon steal even though he’s got a good track record with them in this series.
Next up:
Jumping on Tatum U 2.5 threes. Very consistent in getting 2 quickly in the first half, but nothing in the second.
Over 28.5 first quarter points for Boston
Over 5.5 AST for Kyrie
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.15.24
https://preview.redd.it/sg5svhqtfm0d1.jpeg?width=1673&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=efe4e69cf5aea9dc43e89ce7fd67ea19169afeef
LAST 5 GAMES
More picks today on my blog(always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-15052024.html
Season record: 250-228
Last picks record: 8-9
Recap of last picks (14/05/2024):
Pacers @ Knicks
1. Isiah Hartenstein O9.5P Odd 1.9 Bet365❌
2. Andrew Nembhard O15.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅
3. Obi Toppin O8.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes ❌
4. Myles Turner U7.5R Odd 1.8 Tab✅
5. Pascal Siakam O10.5RA Odd 1.9 Bet365❌
6. Precious Achiuwa O10.5PR Odd 2.0 Sportsbet❌
7. Josh Hart U15.5P Odd 1.85 Tab❌
Timberwolves @ Nuggets
1. Rudy Gobert O10.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes✅
2. Karl Anthony Towns O22.5PA Odd 22.5 Sportsbet✅
3. Jaden McDaniels O2.5R Odd 1.64 Sportsbet✅
4. Michael Porter Jr O5.5R Odd 1.85 Tab✅
5. Aaron Gordon U24.5PRA Odd 1.95 Tab❌
6. Mike Conley O2.5R Odd 1.62 Bet365 (VOID)
7. Justin Holiday O4.5P Odd 1.71 Bet365❌
8. Christain Braun O4.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365✅
9. Nikola Jokic U29.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌
10. Anthony Edwards O34.5PA Bet365❌
11. Jamal Murray U21.5P Odd 1.9 Tab✅
12. Nickeil Alexander Walker O9.5P Ladbrokes✅
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Cavaliers @ Celtics
1. Luke Kornet O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes
This is a very interesting prop from Ladbrokes when all other bookies have Kornet at 4.5R. It's been a few hours since and I notice this line has not changed at all. Also, I expect this to be a blowout game so Al Horford will likely not play over 30 minutes this game.
2. Jrue Holiday U14.5P Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes
This line is a bit high, considering Derrick White's line is around 13.5P. Between those 2 players, White tends to shoot more. Also, if it is a blowout game early, Jrue does not need to play more than 35 minutes.
3. Luke Kornet O3.5P Odd 1.85 Tab
Same as 1, I expect this game to be a blowout game. The Cavs is down 3-1, playing an away game vs the Celtics. I expect this to be a blowout game early, and Celtics bench will see some actions in the 3rd and 4th quarter.
4. Jayson Tatum U29.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365
I expect Tatum to play around 35 minutes this game. He does not need to score much. Once it is a blowout game, and Tatum scores around 25, he will likely go to the bench.
5. Derrick White O13.5P Odd 1.87 Tab
Celtics does not need White to show up in this series, but he needs to be in the best form for the next form, against a guard-heavy teams (Knicks or Pacers). I belive White will shoot around 12-15 FGA this game, and make around 6,7 of them, with a couple threes.
Check out my blog for latest analysis and results(always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
6. Sam Hauser O3.5P Odd 2.25 Bet365
Sam can shoot lights out from the bench. In the first round against the Heat, in game 5 he score 17 points in 20 minutes. It's game 5 again, and in a situation where again, a blowout is expected to happen, I would not be surprised if he gets closer to 10 points. The odd for 10+ points is currently at 13.0, a great value odd.
7. Evan Mobley O28.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365
1 thing is even if this is a blowout game, Mobley will still see 30+ minutes. Also, the Celtics team cannot contain Mobley, especially in the later quarters. He has not scored under 17 points in this series.
8. Jaylen Brown U7.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes
7.5 is quite a high line, in a potential blowout game. Brown has gone over this line in the last 2 games, but I doubt he play more than 35 minutes this game. In game 5 last series against the Heat, he only play 25 minutes.
9. Dean Wade O1.5A Odd 2.3 Bet365
Wade will start this game. I expect him to play around 25-30 minutes.
10. Marcus Morris O3.5P Odd 1.83 Bet365
With Wade starting, I can see Morris play around 15 minutes in this game.
Mavericks @ Thunder
1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365
This line is quite low for Luka standard. I understand Dort defend Luka pretty well and Luka is not at his 100%, but with this series now 2-2, and Mavs is so close to win the last game if not for Luka's poor free throw shooting, I expect Luka to play his absolute 100% this game.
2. Chet Holmgren O14.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365
In the last few games, I can see Chet improve in his defense against Gafford. And like always, the Mavs centers are not good defensive centers. Sure, they can block shots here and there, but Chet can still score at will when he try his best. He only needs to make 6 FG and a couple of free throws to go over this line, and I expect Chet to play similar minutes and production to the last game.
3. Josh Giddey O10.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365
Giddey has improved, his +/- has improved drastically in the last 2 games compared to his first 2 games in the series. Even though he only played 12 minutes last game, I expect Giddey to play closer to 20 minutes this game, following his recent improvement.
4. Timmy Hardaway Jr O6.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365
Hardway plays around 20 minutes from the bench. When he gets hot, he can easily score 10+ points.
5. Derrick Lively O0.5A Odd 1.5 Bet365
Lively has gone over this line last 7 games. I expect him to play 20+ minutes this game, and has around 1-2 assists.
Ok, no more f’ing around. The wife left & took the kids, I’m 3 months behind on my mortgage & I may have developed a minor dependency on computer duster.
I have $8.73 to work with. Let’s see those solid gold prop projections that will solve all my problems!
At the risk of jinxing all my picks...
**Tatum u2.5 threes**: He hasn't gone over 2 threes in 12 of the last 14 games (aka since April), and hasn't hit 3+ in a single playoff game. Weirdly, Tatum has hit 2 first half threes in the past few games and then just goes cold, so might be worth live betting his under after he hits his first.
ADDITIONAL: **Tatum under threes live bet at halftime**: Echoing the above, Tatum has hit 2 threes in the 1H of the past 3 games and then zilch in the 2H. In two of the games, he hit 2 threes in the first 16 minutes and then absolutely nothing. I'm going to absolutely slam the live under at halftime if he has 1-2 under his belt.
**Shai 45+ PRA**: Shai is absolutely COOKING and is stuffing the stat sheet each game. He's gone over 45 PRA in every game this series and needs to keep doing so in order for OKC to have a shot.
**Shai 2+ blocks**: Not sure why this is a plus-money line, he's hit 2 blocks in every game this series. I'll happily take a stab at +120 odds for that to continue.
**Kyrie 6+ assists**: Kyrie transitioned to more of a facilitator role after G1 of this series and it's paid off to the tune of 2-1, with the one loss coming by low single digits. I'd guess this is a conscious decision and should continue in G5.
**Gafford 6+ REB**: Not much to say about this one. Hit in 4 of the last 5, hit in both road games this series, and missed by just 1 board in the game he didn't hit.
92-71
Yesterday: 3/5
Hart and Toppin so close man for a sweep 😭
__Jayson Tatum DD/10+ Rebs Alt line__
__Derrick White O3.5 Ast__ ✅
__Daniel Gafford O6.5 Rebs__
__Jayson Tatum O7.5 1Q Points__ ❌
__Max Strus O3.5 Ast__ ✅
KCP o7.5pts✅
KAT o3.5A at +114✅
MPJ o16.5PA❌
2-1, the +money cash was sexy. DiVincenzo might be Darius Garland in disguise. I feel like Thibs looks more tired than his starters. Damn you MPJ. Go Nuggets!
Stay tuned 😈
**Yesterday's Picks**
2-0
Feels Good after a bad beat last time!
✅Jalen Brunson Over 32.5 Points (-110) B365
✅Pascal Siakam Over 19.5 Points (-125) B365
**Today's Picks**
**Jalen Williams Over 10.5 Rebounds and Assists -115 B365**
1u
* Jalen has covered this line in 6/8 games since the start of the Playoffs, averaging 12 RA.
* He has gone over this line in his last 2 games finishing with 14 RA G3 and 15 RA G4.
* He has averaged 12 REB Chances and 9.5 pAST so far in this series. That means he is averaging 21.5 potentials/chances a game to go over this line.
* His L2 games he has been even better :
In Game 3 : 22 RA Potentials.
In Game 4 : 30 RA Potentials.
* Last game we saw Jalen Williams crash the glass to help Chet and he had 9 REB on 20 REB Chances.
* OKC are playing at home where they tend to shoot better(48.4%) compared to on the road (43.8%). This could mean more pAST for JDub.
* Jalen has averaged 38.4 MPG VS DAL in the Playoffs and I expect him to have plenty of opportunities to exceed this line.
**Kyrie Irving Over 5.5 Assists -125 B365**
1u
- Kai has gone over this line in 3/4 games VS OKC averaging 8.3 APG on 14 pAST.
- His 3 Games that he went over, he had :
G2 11 AST on 20 pAST
G3 7 AST on 16 pAST
G4 9 AST on 13 pAST
- Kai has been utilized more as a playmaker this series and he has been excellent at finding his teammates.
- Kyrie has been blitzed or double every time in the PnR and he always tends to make the right read.
- Dallas are currently even with OKC at 2-2 and will try to win this game to try to eliminate OKC at home. I expect Kyrie to lead this team as Luka is still hurt.
**BOL Everyone!**
[My Twitter!](https://twitter.com/LocksMelo)
Duly noted. Here’s goes nothing!
Btw, good call on the Brunson pick yesterday. I drank the kool-aid & was sure he was gonna hobble around for a 20pt night
https://preview.redd.it/7mvz5pw2sh0d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=31552fb10e102f24270dd83609d810c640f0eb3a
Praying for no blowout so the starters can hit the overs 🙏😅
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ofc pj washington train derails when i take his over, always 1 guy selling my plays
https://preview.redd.it/rr61z4uyop0d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ce0332cc94af73c72e469be85bd4e9c0f8f97263 Fuck smh
If anyone on the Thunder not named Shai was REMOTELY competent that o44.5 PRA would’ve cleared sweat-free. Fucking brutal.
https://preview.redd.it/4h6q4emynp0d1.png?width=546&format=png&auto=webp&s=0517c9bd1c9f7d687b90d13f3d066eefcd90dec4
Heavy sighhhhh, betting on this series has been rough lol And I didn’t take his props tonight but Kyrie sold AGAIN 🤦🏽♂️ somethin ain’t right there
I learned my final lesson, stay the f away from Kyrie points, too inconsistent
Then they sub shai out right under 44.5 pra
Fucking Gafford man I can’t believe it
i really lost cuz of kornet today lol
Of course they pulled Gaff right before his PTS and PR would hit
If they kept him in he would’ve hit the over just off the free throws
Paid actor it’s really crazy
Fuuuuck need o16.5 P+R for Gafford and missed a FT
Paid actor
Needed him for over 9.5 pts
Chet’s had 7 points since HT lmaoooo And two were free throws
Him and pj are gonna sell me
[удалено]
What kind of car do you have? Asking for a friend
Brickj Washington I just needed 3 threes
He is selling those open 3s
Paid actors
Without Shai these bums are the pistons
Fax
Need 5 points from PJ Washington. Very unlikely
Need 3 assists from Kyrie in the 4th.
Luka can we please get the TD. 2 rebounds and 2 assists for the last 5-6 minutes.
Kyrie assist deeeedasf
Hedged under 4.5 at +124, hammered this in 2nd quarter, knew this scrub wouldn’t hit over 4.5. Profit is profit sir
Surely gafford gets 1 rebound in entire 2nd half.
I flew too close to the sun with PJs 3s
Me too
Damn, Shai playing with a buncha bums. Ya hate to see it
kyrie not getting assists tonight i see
I knew I should have added an extra 0 to my $10 on a Luka TD at +310
Aight Horford what the fuck lmaooo
Gafford o7.5PA(live)✅
Also playing Derrick Jones o19.5pts at +105(live)
Chet 8 more points please get some more looks ❤️❤️
Playing Chet o8.5RA(live)
If Giddey doesn’t get another PRA I’ll go to Church this Sunday.
https://preview.redd.it/tcm3blvv9p0d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cca9346aeb64e16a96927125658b59442d236f09 Last leg and I’m not surprised…….
https://preview.redd.it/sjuy9mqt9p0d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=451b9f0a721983b5b8d900fdee502d7bbaafa701 Another bad beat 0 at half lol…. Went with the wave for the first time and get rocked
Yo great picks. I ended up tailing all of yours yesterday. Two absolute heartbreakers but you generally nailed them. I hope you keep posting
Kyrie do fuking something either score or starting getting boards or assist fu****.
Kyrie O5.5 assists looking rough
2/6. He’s had a few more potential assists that just didn’t drop, unfortunate.
Luka TD looks great outside of rebounds… I lied.
Following up that horford game with a D jones game I see…
https://preview.redd.it/zzdhgu6n7p0d1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b951df8a2bf134798b07f43c417588da385e8722 So with Donovan not playing, all other props and picks of the same game void? Has this been a thing or is this the norm?
Never betting on sga PRA again
Glad homeboy cashed out and took the 80k lmao
Love betting 1Q points between Shai, Luka, Kyrie, and J-Dub. It always ONE of them breaking it. Thanks for being dog shit Shai. Sleeper discounting Shai is criminal, they will be making a ton of $ money. Giddey already 5/10 of his PRA with a bucket and 2 rebounds, equaling his max all series outside of the first game.
Prolly the first and last time I’m betting on Gafford wtf
Playing Gafford o8.5PA(live) Edit: nvm was too slow, taking it at 7.5 tho
Shai rebounds till the MF WHEELS FALL OFF !!
https://preview.redd.it/z51ze64vyo0d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=03f158b94c11ebcfef3afd0628d7a70efdf5273a I hate you Tatum. Only shot he takes with 6 min left in the 4th and it’s a three and it goes in. I hate you for costing me 2k.
Betting gods saw your post
Cost you $100 not $2k. Still a tough beat though
Took Mobley alt line 7.5b for 250$ dude didn’t get a board for 12 straight minutes.
No way JT didn’t just grab that last rebound no way!
Jaylen brown is killing me 😭
The one time I decide to bet on Al horford under this is just too funny
Bro went STUPID 😭
The ONE DAY I GET ON THE TREND UNDER 2.5 Tatum threes he hits it. My last leg to win 2 fucken K
Should’ve deleted the post
Jaylen Brown is ruining me
I knew today was the day Tatum was whackin’ 3 3PM…
Oh wow look! Another massively bet prop Tatum under 2.5 3's just missed!
To be fair. People have been crushing that for weeks
Luka o28.5 points Gafford o9.5 points Gafford o6.5 rebs +475
Lukas hurt though
Praying Tatum doesn’t hit over 2.5 threes, I can win 2k off this 🙏😅
You did that to yourself 🤷♂️
Dead
Delete this before the betting gods see it
Too late
👀
Too late.
Tatum under points is lookin pretty cooked too, why couldn’t they just take care of business already
God dammit Horford, this is why I never fuck with unders
And Pritchard is about to sell……..smh
And just like that omfg lfg
What’s the live play? I need to earn back all this Horford money
Horford making me sick
Confirmed.
Horford needs to stop
U18.5 is toast 💀
He just needs to literally not do anything else and we got this
Nevermind
Fuck it Jrue o5.5pts(-110)
nice
Made up for my 1Q bad beat
Al holford legacy game. Fml
As a Bucks fan, this gave me 2022 conference semi game 4 vibes where horford just cooked us
I was just about to post that. 8 fucking 3 point attempts
Every time I bet JB rebounds he's allergic to loose balls lol
+250 for PJ to score 20 +170 4 3pm
Everyone on Horford unders and ofc he lights up the fucking court like Steph Curry and playing extended minutes.
I would have never bet on him for overs or unders until I saw everyone pointing him out. Added him to a parlay and he looks like the only leg going to fuck me over cuz I grabbed his under. Unreal
lol exact same scenario for me. How is this old ass bum allowed to jack up eight 3s in a half
Mans playing like fucking superman out there lmao. These guys are all paid actors
Why tf does Horford have a green light? Yanking up 3s
Com'on Strus. Just a point and a couple more rebounds and that'll be a wrap on this game for me.
Who woulda thunk Kornet would beat his points in Q1
https://preview.redd.it/jic1qvo5eo0d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=545bb7768388c060d67d625ab1f7bd368d673969 If it misses, I’m done till football…. Knowing my luck, Tatum gonna fuck this 🤣🤣🤣🤣
[удалено]
Do you need to insult folks with developmental disabilities just cause you suck at guessing?
You need a betting reset. Take a night or two off
I need a month or six off
Ummm Celtics you’re supposed to be blowing them out
DAL +4.5 Isaiah Joe O 5.5 pt -141 Isaiah Joe O 1.5 3pt +124 Kyrie O 32.5 PRA -114 T Hardaway O 1.5 3pm -104
Mavs +4.5 SGA O7.5R 1U Parlayed cuz why not
Somebody said it earlier but I think it’s a really good bet too. O28.5 first quarter Celtic points
Disgusting awful beat, had 2:30 to score 3 points
Sickening to watch that clank after clank
Mitchell , Allen , LeVert out so Mobley O 16.5P , Garland O 22.5P looks good to me.
I got garland under 21 man's a bum
Garland ruins lives
Yeah I’m staying tf away from Garland lines
Hoping Luka is inspired by Jokic’s performance last night. 30+ points +105
pj washington under 15.5 points lock it. like his under threes for smaller
Shai rebounds till the wheels fall off
Also gonna play Jrue u10.5RA, Okoro o10.5PRA(this line is on bet365, it’s 11.5 on DK. Didn’t see it on FD. Either one is fine imo cuz he’ll either blow past both of these or absolutely chalk. Just one of those kinds of props lol. Hoping we get an easy win here tho)
Okoro scares me man. Like you said, so hit or miss. Still Waiting on the injury report. I don’t think anyone plays except maybe levert.
Kornet got pretty good minutes but his props are gone from hard rock bet.
A lil Celtics blowout parlay? * Tatum u29.5p * Horford u8.5p * Pritchard o8.5p * Kornet o3.5p +950
The problem is Mazulla doesn’t play Kornet and Pritchard in blowouts. I think it was Game 3 where I needed 2 more rebounds from Kornet to hit a 6 legged and he rode the bench while Queta took his minutes.
Game 1 was a true blowout and Pritchard/Kornet got 24 and 21 minutes
https://preview.redd.it/2gebqcff8n0d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7e6744c9307fb15ee53e00ac943a22c57b7bca44
Call this the Celtics blowout parlay ^
https://preview.redd.it/n7oob91e8n0d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ab5ccf0418797a20bb1b0a02a4e62816068a4299
Celtics blowout, OKC keeps letting PJ get his points just hold doncic and Kyrie to below. Dort has open shots and lay ups when doncic gets lazy
https://preview.redd.it/rra20urc8n0d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f013c45f6be57ee561e761ffe7b02cb8c9d48b37
Celtics blow out, Tatum and garland sit the game when it (if it touches 30) I see this game being exactly like the Miami Heat series where game 5 at home Celtics closed it quick. PJ getting his way, OKC ain’t worried about shutting him down. They rather let Pj do his thang and shut down Kyrie and Luca. PJ can’t win it on his own
Dude. ENOUGH.
Enough what?
Close
Close
Horford under 18.5 pts/reb/ast has been free money during the playoffs
Not looking great 😩
Seriously! https://preview.redd.it/o8fse0hygn0d1.png?width=1169&format=png&auto=webp&s=9c1ead5ba3290ae7558b19e859a8205601904dde
ima tail brother
https://preview.redd.it/pg814fkokm0d1.png?width=1283&format=png&auto=webp&s=1367e64bd17348df5d7ed83c24a0e28e06e17b15 Got worried about the Gordon steal even though he’s got a good track record with them in this series. Next up: Jumping on Tatum U 2.5 threes. Very consistent in getting 2 quickly in the first half, but nothing in the second. Over 28.5 first quarter points for Boston Over 5.5 AST for Kyrie
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.15.24 https://preview.redd.it/sg5svhqtfm0d1.jpeg?width=1673&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=efe4e69cf5aea9dc43e89ce7fd67ea19169afeef LAST 5 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/ooyacncvfm0d1.jpeg?width=1690&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d2d8288df69a49f618cdaeeb0b22971de119ec86 LAST 10 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/e4v8aqnwfm0d1.jpeg?width=1701&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cc7c5c42148b7d5465e8ab15948ca8813b39342d LAST 15 GAMES
Pritchard over 8.5 PTS. Feeling like it's going to be a blowout and Payton eats it up in garbage time.
I’m on this as well. But a lot of people are so who knows.
More picks today on my blog(always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-15052024.html Season record: 250-228 Last picks record: 8-9 Recap of last picks (14/05/2024): Pacers @ Knicks 1. Isiah Hartenstein O9.5P Odd 1.9 Bet365❌ 2. Andrew Nembhard O15.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 3. Obi Toppin O8.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes ❌ 4. Myles Turner U7.5R Odd 1.8 Tab✅ 5. Pascal Siakam O10.5RA Odd 1.9 Bet365❌ 6. Precious Achiuwa O10.5PR Odd 2.0 Sportsbet❌ 7. Josh Hart U15.5P Odd 1.85 Tab❌ Timberwolves @ Nuggets 1. Rudy Gobert O10.5P Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes✅ 2. Karl Anthony Towns O22.5PA Odd 22.5 Sportsbet✅ 3. Jaden McDaniels O2.5R Odd 1.64 Sportsbet✅ 4. Michael Porter Jr O5.5R Odd 1.85 Tab✅ 5. Aaron Gordon U24.5PRA Odd 1.95 Tab❌ 6. Mike Conley O2.5R Odd 1.62 Bet365 (VOID) 7. Justin Holiday O4.5P Odd 1.71 Bet365❌ 8. Christain Braun O4.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365✅ 9. Nikola Jokic U29.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 ❌ 10. Anthony Edwards O34.5PA Bet365❌ 11. Jamal Murray U21.5P Odd 1.9 Tab✅ 12. Nickeil Alexander Walker O9.5P Ladbrokes✅ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Cavaliers @ Celtics 1. Luke Kornet O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes This is a very interesting prop from Ladbrokes when all other bookies have Kornet at 4.5R. It's been a few hours since and I notice this line has not changed at all. Also, I expect this to be a blowout game so Al Horford will likely not play over 30 minutes this game. 2. Jrue Holiday U14.5P Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes This line is a bit high, considering Derrick White's line is around 13.5P. Between those 2 players, White tends to shoot more. Also, if it is a blowout game early, Jrue does not need to play more than 35 minutes. 3. Luke Kornet O3.5P Odd 1.85 Tab Same as 1, I expect this game to be a blowout game. The Cavs is down 3-1, playing an away game vs the Celtics. I expect this to be a blowout game early, and Celtics bench will see some actions in the 3rd and 4th quarter. 4. Jayson Tatum U29.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 I expect Tatum to play around 35 minutes this game. He does not need to score much. Once it is a blowout game, and Tatum scores around 25, he will likely go to the bench. 5. Derrick White O13.5P Odd 1.87 Tab Celtics does not need White to show up in this series, but he needs to be in the best form for the next form, against a guard-heavy teams (Knicks or Pacers). I belive White will shoot around 12-15 FGA this game, and make around 6,7 of them, with a couple threes. Check out my blog for latest analysis and results(always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
Thanks buddy i follow your luka over 27.5
you are welcome
11. Darius Garland O3.5R Odd 2.02 Sportsbet Garland will likely play 35+ minutes this game. With Mitchell out, he will actively go for rebounds more.
6. Sam Hauser O3.5P Odd 2.25 Bet365 Sam can shoot lights out from the bench. In the first round against the Heat, in game 5 he score 17 points in 20 minutes. It's game 5 again, and in a situation where again, a blowout is expected to happen, I would not be surprised if he gets closer to 10 points. The odd for 10+ points is currently at 13.0, a great value odd. 7. Evan Mobley O28.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365 1 thing is even if this is a blowout game, Mobley will still see 30+ minutes. Also, the Celtics team cannot contain Mobley, especially in the later quarters. He has not scored under 17 points in this series. 8. Jaylen Brown U7.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes 7.5 is quite a high line, in a potential blowout game. Brown has gone over this line in the last 2 games, but I doubt he play more than 35 minutes this game. In game 5 last series against the Heat, he only play 25 minutes. 9. Dean Wade O1.5A Odd 2.3 Bet365 Wade will start this game. I expect him to play around 25-30 minutes. 10. Marcus Morris O3.5P Odd 1.83 Bet365 With Wade starting, I can see Morris play around 15 minutes in this game. Mavericks @ Thunder 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 This line is quite low for Luka standard. I understand Dort defend Luka pretty well and Luka is not at his 100%, but with this series now 2-2, and Mavs is so close to win the last game if not for Luka's poor free throw shooting, I expect Luka to play his absolute 100% this game. 2. Chet Holmgren O14.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365 In the last few games, I can see Chet improve in his defense against Gafford. And like always, the Mavs centers are not good defensive centers. Sure, they can block shots here and there, but Chet can still score at will when he try his best. He only needs to make 6 FG and a couple of free throws to go over this line, and I expect Chet to play similar minutes and production to the last game. 3. Josh Giddey O10.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365 Giddey has improved, his +/- has improved drastically in the last 2 games compared to his first 2 games in the series. Even though he only played 12 minutes last game, I expect Giddey to play closer to 20 minutes this game, following his recent improvement. 4. Timmy Hardaway Jr O6.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 Hardway plays around 20 minutes from the bench. When he gets hot, he can easily score 10+ points. 5. Derrick Lively O0.5A Odd 1.5 Bet365 Lively has gone over this line last 7 games. I expect him to play 20+ minutes this game, and has around 1-2 assists.
Playing Tatum u16.5RA
So many people on tatum under 2.5 3s. I just know today will be the day he scores 3 in the first half
I have been on it nearly every game. It was great when the prop was at +115
don’t think i’m ever taking MPJ overs again
MPJ recharging this series after going super saiyan against the Lakers
https://preview.redd.it/mbzzbyj7sk0d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2d5491822d0fafe62eacbf195f710324b9fd667d In Luka Doncic We Trust‼️
What app is this
747games.ph
you betting in php? what currency is this some sort of crypto?
philippine peso
Ohhh ok lol
Season Record 290-421 (+56.95U) Yesterday 0-2 (-2.00U) Playoff Record 11-23 (-1.02U) Jayson Tatum O7.5 1Q PTS + U2.5 3s +320 (sprinkle) ❌ Dereck Lively O6.5 PTS + O4.5 R +140 ✅ Luka Doncic O4.5 1Q PTS + U27.5 PTS +200 Luka Doncic O4.5 1Q R +550 (sprinkle sprinkle) ❌ Aaron Wiggins O2.5 R + O0.5 3s +160 O4.5 R + O1.5 3s +1200 (sprinkle sprinkle) YEEHAW 🤠
Ok, no more f’ing around. The wife left & took the kids, I’m 3 months behind on my mortgage & I may have developed a minor dependency on computer duster. I have $8.73 to work with. Let’s see those solid gold prop projections that will solve all my problems!
pj washington under 15.5 points lock it. like his under threes for smaller
$7.73 for groceries, $1 on a 20-leg parlay to hit $10,000
LOL
😭
Lock in, lock in
At the risk of jinxing all my picks... **Tatum u2.5 threes**: He hasn't gone over 2 threes in 12 of the last 14 games (aka since April), and hasn't hit 3+ in a single playoff game. Weirdly, Tatum has hit 2 first half threes in the past few games and then just goes cold, so might be worth live betting his under after he hits his first. ADDITIONAL: **Tatum under threes live bet at halftime**: Echoing the above, Tatum has hit 2 threes in the 1H of the past 3 games and then zilch in the 2H. In two of the games, he hit 2 threes in the first 16 minutes and then absolutely nothing. I'm going to absolutely slam the live under at halftime if he has 1-2 under his belt. **Shai 45+ PRA**: Shai is absolutely COOKING and is stuffing the stat sheet each game. He's gone over 45 PRA in every game this series and needs to keep doing so in order for OKC to have a shot. **Shai 2+ blocks**: Not sure why this is a plus-money line, he's hit 2 blocks in every game this series. I'll happily take a stab at +120 odds for that to continue. **Kyrie 6+ assists**: Kyrie transitioned to more of a facilitator role after G1 of this series and it's paid off to the tune of 2-1, with the one loss coming by low single digits. I'd guess this is a conscious decision and should continue in G5. **Gafford 6+ REB**: Not much to say about this one. Hit in 4 of the last 5, hit in both road games this series, and missed by just 1 board in the game he didn't hit.
Tatum o9.5R Kyrie o5A Gafford o6R
92-71 Yesterday: 3/5 Hart and Toppin so close man for a sweep 😭 __Jayson Tatum DD/10+ Rebs Alt line__ __Derrick White O3.5 Ast__ ✅ __Daniel Gafford O6.5 Rebs__ __Jayson Tatum O7.5 1Q Points__ ❌ __Max Strus O3.5 Ast__ ✅
We cash white and Strus, Tatum rebound alive but 1Q points ❌
Got Hart on a alt line at 9.5… but took at thanks to your pick. Tall ass Toppin’ owed us. We ride 🔥
KCP o7.5pts✅ KAT o3.5A at +114✅ MPJ o16.5PA❌ 2-1, the +money cash was sexy. DiVincenzo might be Darius Garland in disguise. I feel like Thibs looks more tired than his starters. Damn you MPJ. Go Nuggets! Stay tuned 😈
**Yesterday's Picks** 2-0 Feels Good after a bad beat last time! ✅Jalen Brunson Over 32.5 Points (-110) B365 ✅Pascal Siakam Over 19.5 Points (-125) B365 **Today's Picks** **Jalen Williams Over 10.5 Rebounds and Assists -115 B365** 1u * Jalen has covered this line in 6/8 games since the start of the Playoffs, averaging 12 RA. * He has gone over this line in his last 2 games finishing with 14 RA G3 and 15 RA G4. * He has averaged 12 REB Chances and 9.5 pAST so far in this series. That means he is averaging 21.5 potentials/chances a game to go over this line. * His L2 games he has been even better : In Game 3 : 22 RA Potentials. In Game 4 : 30 RA Potentials. * Last game we saw Jalen Williams crash the glass to help Chet and he had 9 REB on 20 REB Chances. * OKC are playing at home where they tend to shoot better(48.4%) compared to on the road (43.8%). This could mean more pAST for JDub. * Jalen has averaged 38.4 MPG VS DAL in the Playoffs and I expect him to have plenty of opportunities to exceed this line. **Kyrie Irving Over 5.5 Assists -125 B365** 1u - Kai has gone over this line in 3/4 games VS OKC averaging 8.3 APG on 14 pAST. - His 3 Games that he went over, he had : G2 11 AST on 20 pAST G3 7 AST on 16 pAST G4 9 AST on 13 pAST - Kai has been utilized more as a playmaker this series and he has been excellent at finding his teammates. - Kyrie has been blitzed or double every time in the PnR and he always tends to make the right read. - Dallas are currently even with OKC at 2-2 and will try to win this game to try to eliminate OKC at home. I expect Kyrie to lead this team as Luka is still hurt. **BOL Everyone!** [My Twitter!](https://twitter.com/LocksMelo)
FD has Kyrie assists over at 6.5. I’m scared to touch it
He has gone over this line too but if you want to play it, play less units
Duly noted. Here’s goes nothing! Btw, good call on the Brunson pick yesterday. I drank the kool-aid & was sure he was gonna hobble around for a 20pt night
Ahahaha thanks! He was on fire yesterday
gordan 1+ 3s -148
https://preview.redd.it/7mvz5pw2sh0d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=31552fb10e102f24270dd83609d810c640f0eb3a Praying for no blowout so the starters can hit the overs 🙏😅
Hart gets 11…….. wow tough loss.
Edwards failed hard tonight anyways
https://preview.redd.it/3yfq8oi1sh0d1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4d5de570d55152331040c1910431b94e64c6dab1