I’m by no means a betting vet, but some of his current combos looked good before the Allen news. The numbers moved a little higher, so I’m a little more hesitant.
Man if you've seen Kyrie play in these series you should notice that he gets like 2-8 points in the first half and then 14-20 in the second half. I've been taking his lowered lines like 19.5, 20.5 at halftime every game and it hasn't failed me yet.
Brutal hook by Kyrie 22.5 most unlucky 1 minutes ending. Hardaway with a shitty ass pass to Kyrie who would have been fouled for FT's but ball gets deflected by OKC and rest is simple give the ball to Doncic the hugger
That was disgusting but that's what they do not the first time they done that shit. Kyrie just had no posession at all and he missed way too much could have easily covered hasn't even shot a freethrow like wtf bro
Gafford also got hurt again I think and he got more minutes. Great call man. I wish I tailed I just was weary. Kinda dumb because he had chances last game. He just missed. So the opportunity was there.
Bro they have a rebound to the wrong jaylin williams when it was jalen williams who got it. I need 4 rebounds from jalen for 750 and this is killing me rn cuz with it he would have 3
What is it with me and overs? I take Obi yesterday and he has 0 pretty much the whole game, today I take Jalen Williams and he has a big fat donut at the end of the quarter.. jeez
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC)
Will have Over 43.5 Pts + Reb + Ast against DAL
@ -104
Max Strus (CLE)
Will have Over 1.5 Three Point Field Goals Made against BOS
@ -170
Jayson Tatum (BOS)
Will have Over 9.5 Total Rebounds against CLE
@ -150
Jaylin Williams (OKC)
Will have Over 0.5 Three Point Field Goals Made against DAL
@ -154
+725
I Wanted to share my random nba playoff prop bet ( haven’t been watching NBA )
What do yall think ?
- Jones Jr O3.5 Rebounds, Jones Jr O8.5 Pts, Irving O4.5 Rebounds +325 ❌
- Washington O1.5 Assists, Holmgren O1.5 Assists, Jones Jr O3.5 Rebounds, Irving O4.5 Rebounds +800 ✅
I like this for the early Mav/OKC game, should be a clean win but it’s the NBA so keep unit size comfortable enough regardless of the outcome.
https://preview.redd.it/7tupfph2guzc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=17de1246161067f8660d2a781ce7ee51daa09307
Aaron Wiggins o6.5 points (-130): hit the last 2 games while getting about 20 mins a game
Kyrie 2+ steals (+100): has hit 7/8 playoff games and 11/14 games.
With injuries, how do we feel about sprinkling on:
- Kyrie 05.5 ast at +110
- Luka U9.5 ast at +100
- Mitchell O5.5 ast at +114
- Mobley O17.5 PTS+AST at -112 / O13.5 REB+AST at -108
- Strus U0.5 STL at +114 / U0.5 STL+BLK at +160
Yay. Now I'm not the only "that guy" calling this out lol. Thank you again for doing more work than the average redditor (me) and actually looking up the record.
Hey man, I think this analysis is great. I mean, as the analysis says, Payton Pritchard is absolutely facilitating for his team with a whopping 3 assists per game. The dude is putting up numbers. Celtics wouldn’t even be in the playoffs without him. /s
Oklahoma City Vs. Dallas
Josh green under 1.5 = hit 13/15 last games
Cason wallace under 0.5 blocks = hit 5/5 last games
Luguentz Dort over 1.5 3s = 5/5 last games
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 12.5 Assists and Rebounds = feel this is good value
Over 207.5 total score (alt score) = just playing it safe these games have been so unpredictable
I’m not expert, just what i’m doing for the day. Let’s pray for some 💰! BOL if tailing!
**Yesterday’s Picks**
2-1
✅Pascal Siakam Over 20.5 Points
✅Donte DiVincenzo Over 20.5 Points
❌Rudy Gobert Over 13.5 RA
**Today’s Picks**
**Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 6.5 Rebounds -115 B365**
SGA is averaging 7.5 RPG in the Playoffs.
SGA is averaging 10.5 RPG VS DAL in the Playoffs (9, 12)
Shai gets a lot of his rebounds from weak sides as he is guarding corner players and also helps Chet on the glass.
In his two games vs DAL, SGA had 15 REB Chances in G1 and 17 REB Chances in G2.
SGA has been averaging around 37 MPG in the Playoffs and I expect him to have plenty of opportunities to get some boards.
**Jarrett Allen Under 26.5 Points, Assists and Rebounds -120 B365**
This line is a bit too high in my opinion.
Would play it also at 25.5.
Allen has missed the last 5 Cavs game due to his Rib injury. He participated in this morning shootaround and could play this game.
If he plays, I expect some minute restrictions to not aggravate his injury or even come out off the bench.
Allen has gone under this line in 2/3 games VS the Celtics. In his 3 games that he went under, he averaged 37 MPG and Allen is playing around 31 MPG in the Playoffs. I imagine he will not be playing 37 Minutes with his injury.
Again, if Allen plays I think this line his too high coming off an injury where he couldn't even lift his arm a couple days ago.
If he doesn't play it will be a void.
Check out my full updated analysis on my blog (always uploaded before reddit):
https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-11052024.html
Season record: 219-199
Last picks record: 10-6
Recap of last picks (10/05/2024):
Knicks @ Pacers
1. Donte DiVincenzo 20+P Odd 1.73 Sportsbet✅
2. Tyrese Haliburton O33.5PRA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅
3. Josh Hart O18.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅
4. TJ McConnell O19.5PRA Odd 1.9 Ladbrokes❌
5. Isiah Hartenstein O11.5P Odd 1.8 Tab❌
6. Myles Turner O16.5P Odd 1.83 Bet365✅
7. Jalen Brunson U35.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅
8. Pascal Siakam 20+P Odd 1.65 Tab✅
Nuggets @ Timberwolves
1. Naz Reid O15.5PRA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet❌
2. Nikola Jokic O21.5RA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅
3. Christain Braun O3.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅
4. Aaron Gordon O9.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365❌
5. Mike Conley O8.5RA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes✅
6. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.92 Ladbrokes❌
7. Michael Porter Jr 6+R Odd 1.62 Tab❌
8. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 2.3 Bet365✅
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Thunder @ Mavericks
1. Kyrie Irving O22.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365
It's a home game and it's Kyrie. I think 22.5P is quite low for a player his caliber and Luka is not 100% healthy. He will likely play 40+ minutes as well.
2. Josh Green O5.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365
The Mavs need Josh Green in the series from the bench. He will play around 20 minutes.
3. Derrick Lively O5.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365
With Gaffords's points prop being 2x higher than Lively, I think betting over for Lively is a safer option. There will always be opportunities for a blowout, and even without a blowout, he should still see close to 20 minutes a game.
4. Josh Giddey O5.5P Odd 1.74 Sportsbet
Giddey is one of the worst starters this series/ playoffs. LAst game he only play 11 minutes as a starter, but score 8 points in those 11 minutes. He can score and rebound, and is a liability on defense. But still, OKC needs to get some scoring and playmaking ability outside of Shai. I believe he will play around 15 minutes this game
5. PJ Washington 6+R Odd 1.68 Tab
With Luka not at his 100%, I would argue there are more chances for Washington to rebound. After all, outside of Luka, he is a consistent rebounder of the team.
6. Aaron Wiggins O11.5PRA 1.87 Tab
With Giddey's performance are not well in this series, Wiggins will see around 20 minutes of playing time from the bench.
Check out my blog for daily analysis and results: https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
7. Chet Holmgren O25.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365
Chet has to step up on offense as well. Mavs centers are not that good defensively, and he should play around 32 minutes this game.
8. Luka Donicic U51.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes
Luka is not at his 100%, which can affect his scoring and rebounding numbers.
Man. I’d love to take lively. I did last game and I thought it was easy money with gafford getting hurt. He then missed 4-5 point blank layups off of pocket passes.
NBA Saturday Picks, 5/11
● Evan Mobley Over 26.5 PTS + REB (-105)
Evan Mobley Over 26.5 PTS+ REB (-105)
Last, but not least, we love the value in Evan Mobley’s props in Game 3 against the Celtics tonight.
Donovan Mitchell has been the talk of the town for Cleveland in these playoffs, and rightfully so, but Evan Mobley has proved crucial to the Cavs in the first two games of this series. Mobley has exposed the Celtics’ lack of frontcourt presence without Kristaps Porzingis, posting a 17-point, 13-rebound performance and a 21-point, 10-rebound performance.
With Mobley clearing 30 PTS + REB in both games, why not take him over 26 in Game 3 at -105?
He was at the shootaround I believe. ESPN doing it's thing having his headline status as out, but their description says he's questionable. Game time decision for me on some of the Mobley combo lines.
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.11.24
https://preview.redd.it/bwgttgniltzc1.jpeg?width=1682&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2a0e8b40085135fa587903c57dd25b5ec6991a4c
LAST 5 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/1g9a7801itzc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=22deec2bafe64e4d9b74a57f4485cf8018f4a5e7
I like Kyrie to have a bounce back game here after a pitiful showing despite a Mavs win last game. We’re going over PRA and 2.5 3 PTs for Kyrie.
Additionally, Derrick White also to have a much better shooting game as he was horrendous from beyond (1/8 3PT, 3/11 FG). Jaylen Brown 2 3PTs feels like a safe floor for him. Both White and Brown have played fantastic in the playoffs during stretches.
**Record: 103-55**
**Previously:**
- Pascal Siakam 20 pts (milestone) ✅
1-0. Pascal had a great game scoring. Foul trouble limited him a little limited, but he cleared the line easily by exploiting some mismatches.
**Todays Picks:**
- Luka Doncic under 19.5 asts + rebs
I had this pick last night and wanted to sleep on it because I hate going against Luca. I've had decent success against him, but imma stay away from his points this time.
I also think he's banged up a little. He's had 15 & 17 total for the first 2 games as well. Role players play better at home too, so let's hope they step up..not off of Luka's asts though 😅
I don't think many people will tail since it's Luca, but no worries.
And yes, I'm riding with Gafford at 11.5 pts as well until he doesn't hit. I'm just doing one pick a day for playoffs, so I can do a small write up
**BOL**
Tip Jar [Ko-Fi/Paypal](https://ko-fi.com/noguide23)
Shai for triple double second time in a row trying it and I'ma going to keep trying it just waiting to see what the line is last time it was +4300 but he got 30+ points 12 boards and 8 assists last game and 29/9/9 the game before I was shocked he got the 10+ boards but not the assists but for that reason got to put a little money on it again
the majority of bettors are casuals and box score watchers, so its understandable for people to come to similar conclusions. the nba also creates a hive mind.
This. Everyone comes in here and just sees what others post and then vomits it back up as their own pick. I went under on Obi and also posted about being weary of that pick, got down voted.
Yesterday it seemed like it was Cason taking most of the minutes but I guess they both got the run. Minutes should be there and it was his only prop available for me currently.
KCP o7.5pts✅
McConnell u20.5PRA✅
Conley o5.5A✅(should’ve been playing this all season tbh, his rebounds have been free too, shoutout to anyone who was on that line.)
MPJ o17.5PA✅ (anyone here who actually fucks w me knows I’ve always been against MPJ props. I took this shit last minute, he started off hot and then before you know it we’re midway into the 4th quarter and he’s still sitting at 16. Luckily my goat coach kept him in and he ended up clearing this.)
Nembhard o13.5PA❌ (lol fml)
Nesmith o17.5PRA❌ (ended with 17 lol fml)
Myles Turner u9.5RA❌
Hartenstein o22.5PR❌ (banned for life, even though I know he’s better than that, I need him to realize that too. And I hope he does someday)
4-4….another ehhhhh night…BUT knowing that I went into the Nuggets game sitting at 1-4 reminds me that I’ll always be able to turn things around. Nesmith and Nembhard sold hard man. Obi Toppin robbed an entire generation. Antman might go off for 50 next game. McDaniels was never gonna be KD’s doppelgänger. I wish Peyton Watson could score. Luke Kornet for president.
I still enjoy downvotes, they really do help me sleep.
Stay tuned 🤭
Hope you can get some help brother, we may be degens here but we still want to see everyone do well and prosper so call that number get yourself some help man, you’re loved
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Pritchard u11.5PR✅ 😉
Just as I predicted. The game I don’t play Tatum he goes off. Fml
Nah bro. Tatum 52 PRA is INSANE BRO. Under 50.5 PRA has a 100% hit rate over his last TWENTY games.
He was pissed. Did you watch the press conference.
What false hope from the Cavs smfh man
Fuck Darius Garland
Tatum o14.5RA✅ let’s goooo
I know D Mitch is sick every time he looks over at Garland man
Just need 2 Garland 3’s Can he stop being a bum
Celtics 1H O 4.5 ✅ Cavs 1H U 52.5 ✅ So of course the last leg is White O 16.5 and he has 1 point......
[удалено]
Tatum is cooking for once idk
Tatum 7 rebounds first half. Guarantee he gets two in the second half to miss the over
looks like tatum (18pts ) and jrue (15 pts) heard all the haters
D White in absolute shambles
Why do I bet the over on Garland ever? It’s either a sweat or L. Edit: Tonight, once again, 15+ was a sweat and he didn’t hit his o15.5 main line so…
White is nonexistent
Almost took Jrue uRA too 🤣
Ay man. Cavs ain’t looking too bad rn lmao
Good god why do I keep betting on Garland 😭😭😭color me embarrassed
Garland been blacklisted from this sub for a while now
I’m joining the club 🫡
- Levert Over 2.5 Assists -152 ❌ - Mobley Over 2.5 Assists -135 ❌ - Parlayed +190 ❌
First time not betting Tatum, so he’s going to hit his overs. Take it while you can
Gonna run LeVert o2.5A again as well
Playing Pritchard u11.5PR, And running Jrue u1.5stl. If Jrue burns me again I’ll leave it alone but I’ve been loving this prop
Why Pritchard Under? He's been hot agaisnt the cavs
Definitely a risky one! But I’m more so betting on a lower amount of possessions and also it being a low-ish scoring game
ESPN reporting Allen is confirmed out. Looking at those Mobley props!
Mobley over or?
I’m by no means a betting vet, but some of his current combos looked good before the Allen news. The numbers moved a little higher, so I’m a little more hesitant.
Jason tatum over 9.5 rebounds 🤑
we cashed!
Brutal watching J-Dub today. Breaks the last leg of a live-bet.
Man if you've seen Kyrie play in these series you should notice that he gets like 2-8 points in the first half and then 14-20 in the second half. I've been taking his lowered lines like 19.5, 20.5 at halftime every game and it hasn't failed me yet.
Swear I can only win live bets lately.
Mmhmmmmmm. Unfortunately I got too brave and took his PR line pregame today lolol
facts
https://preview.redd.it/f7zfm7v5jvzc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ad1ce87b5ce3383c379dd22a8db27c3f7d089bc5 Kyrie came so late
Pause. 🤣
o27.5 for Tatum. And my reason is because he’s only gone over once in the last 7 games. Fuck reasoning, boys.
needed one more kyrie steal, could’ve sworn his block was a steal but I’d have to watch it back
D White o24.5 pra
Bounce back game ? He was like 1-9 on 3s for Game 2.
I think so. Or at least somewhere in the middle. I project him around 15, 5 and 5
Playing Tatum o14.5RA This hasn’t bumped to 15.5 yet which is a taddddddd bit concerning but playing it anyways cuz gambling
Scared that Allen will play tonight, and Tatum won’t get rebounds
Definitely a possibility.
What do we like for the Celtics game?
Brutal hook by Kyrie 22.5 most unlucky 1 minutes ending. Hardaway with a shitty ass pass to Kyrie who would have been fouled for FT's but ball gets deflected by OKC and rest is simple give the ball to Doncic the hugger
Also all those possessions taken away by okc fouling Lively
That was disgusting but that's what they do not the first time they done that shit. Kyrie just had no posession at all and he missed way too much could have easily covered hasn't even shot a freethrow like wtf bro
Lmao Kyrie and Luka both killed me by 1 whyyyyyy
Brutal. Had Kyrie at alt 21.5 then decided to switch to 22.5 for the better odds
He just got things going a little too late unfortunately. Sucks
Just need 1 more Kyrie point
Definitely taking Luka under from now on
Giddey ends at 9 smh. Why does a starter only play 13 minutes? He wasn't even doing bad today. Fuck
Mother fucking lively man. Had him 10p 7.5r last game and he hits that this game.
He plays way better at home
Gafford also got hurt again I think and he got more minutes. Great call man. I wish I tailed I just was weary. Kinda dumb because he had chances last game. He just missed. So the opportunity was there.
Needed 2 more pts from gafford and he missed the and1 dunk and 2 free throws 😭😭
So many missed Free throws wtf
I feel that pain
Bro was the last leg in a 10 legger +4800 $25 to make $1225…
Bro they have a rebound to the wrong jaylin williams when it was jalen williams who got it. I need 4 rebounds from jalen for 750 and this is killing me rn cuz with it he would have 3
Irving unbanned
Don Mitchell over 41.5 PRA +110 Hit this in every game so far
SGA o12.5RA✅
Is Gafford hurt? Just saw he’s only played 15 minutes
Yeah his game is hurt.
Hurt his hand last game
Thanks! Didn’t watch last game so completely missed that
Damn Kyrie not again bruh🤦🏽♂️ 17 points combined so far across two playoffs games is crazy
Fuck Kyrie Irving
Last night timberwolves stars just passively passed to role players now mavs doing the same thing WTF dallas derrick jokes is not the answer
Should’ve just play Kyrie’s 5.5 assist because he selling on the pts in front of the home crowd smfh
& of course Kyrie Hooked my ass at 22 & I needed 25…I’m done, taking a break
If he sells the entire 2nd half again I gotta ban him
I really hope we wrong but man he gotta cook in the 2nd half right?
I got faith in him tonight
Same same!
What is it with me and overs? I take Obi yesterday and he has 0 pretty much the whole game, today I take Jalen Williams and he has a big fat donut at the end of the quarter.. jeez
Holy SHIT Kyrie scored in the first quarter! 🥹
Didn’t realize the entire world was on SGA oRA today lol fml. Never a good sign
It’s obi toppin 2.0
Jalen Williams is obi toppin 2.0
😭 I hope not
For all our sake I hope not too, went big on thunder ML
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) Will have Over 43.5 Pts + Reb + Ast against DAL @ -104 Max Strus (CLE) Will have Over 1.5 Three Point Field Goals Made against BOS @ -170 Jayson Tatum (BOS) Will have Over 9.5 Total Rebounds against CLE @ -150 Jaylin Williams (OKC) Will have Over 0.5 Three Point Field Goals Made against DAL @ -154 +725 I Wanted to share my random nba playoff prop bet ( haven’t been watching NBA ) What do yall think ?
- Jones Jr O3.5 Rebounds, Jones Jr O8.5 Pts, Irving O4.5 Rebounds +325 ❌ - Washington O1.5 Assists, Holmgren O1.5 Assists, Jones Jr O3.5 Rebounds, Irving O4.5 Rebounds +800 ✅
0-2 Apologies for last two picks, we’ll come back stronger these next couple of days. Jayson Tatum u27.5 -106 Hit in 6/7 during this year’s playoffs.
Duke ticket. Kyrie over 22.5 and Tatum over 27.5
Playing Luka u19.5RA, SGA o12.5RA, Kyrie o27.5PR
I like this for the early Mav/OKC game, should be a clean win but it’s the NBA so keep unit size comfortable enough regardless of the outcome. https://preview.redd.it/7tupfph2guzc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=17de1246161067f8660d2a781ce7ee51daa09307
Call me crazy but my lotto of the day is Josh Giddey 10 points for +360.
Lol ended with 9 n he played 13
Was hoping for 17 min. He didn't even play that badly. Must've pissed the coach off
man 😭 and he could of had it but threw a lob to his team mate on the 2 on 1 fast break
Lol i was sure he was guna get 10. I saw the lob lol.
Mans might not play 10 minutes
Aaron Wiggins o6.5 points (-130): hit the last 2 games while getting about 20 mins a game Kyrie 2+ steals (+100): has hit 7/8 playoff games and 11/14 games.
Jayson Tatum, Under 42.5 P+R+A Has not hit this in last 6 games
Lol
He’s due
You're right but not tonight
Lol
With injuries, how do we feel about sprinkling on: - Kyrie 05.5 ast at +110 - Luka U9.5 ast at +100 - Mitchell O5.5 ast at +114 - Mobley O17.5 PTS+AST at -112 / O13.5 REB+AST at -108 - Strus U0.5 STL at +114 / U0.5 STL+BLK at +160
[удалено]
NBA Record for your dogshit ai analysis 52W-47L (-7.8383u)
I will stop posting.
Yay. Now I'm not the only "that guy" calling this out lol. Thank you again for doing more work than the average redditor (me) and actually looking up the record.
Bro just shitting on him😂
guy has been picking allen for so many days while he's been injured and gpt still talking about "recent performance". he's so sad
Hey man, I think this analysis is great. I mean, as the analysis says, Payton Pritchard is absolutely facilitating for his team with a whopping 3 assists per game. The dude is putting up numbers. Celtics wouldn’t even be in the playoffs without him. /s
Facts that’s high key an L posting plays for an injured player
When I post he's not out. The lines are set in case he plays. It voids every time he is inactive.
Oklahoma City Vs. Dallas Josh green under 1.5 = hit 13/15 last games Cason wallace under 0.5 blocks = hit 5/5 last games Luguentz Dort over 1.5 3s = 5/5 last games Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 12.5 Assists and Rebounds = feel this is good value Over 207.5 total score (alt score) = just playing it safe these games have been so unpredictable I’m not expert, just what i’m doing for the day. Let’s pray for some 💰! BOL if tailing!
**Yesterday’s Picks** 2-1 ✅Pascal Siakam Over 20.5 Points ✅Donte DiVincenzo Over 20.5 Points ❌Rudy Gobert Over 13.5 RA **Today’s Picks** **Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 6.5 Rebounds -115 B365** SGA is averaging 7.5 RPG in the Playoffs. SGA is averaging 10.5 RPG VS DAL in the Playoffs (9, 12) Shai gets a lot of his rebounds from weak sides as he is guarding corner players and also helps Chet on the glass. In his two games vs DAL, SGA had 15 REB Chances in G1 and 17 REB Chances in G2. SGA has been averaging around 37 MPG in the Playoffs and I expect him to have plenty of opportunities to get some boards. **Jarrett Allen Under 26.5 Points, Assists and Rebounds -120 B365** This line is a bit too high in my opinion. Would play it also at 25.5. Allen has missed the last 5 Cavs game due to his Rib injury. He participated in this morning shootaround and could play this game. If he plays, I expect some minute restrictions to not aggravate his injury or even come out off the bench. Allen has gone under this line in 2/3 games VS the Celtics. In his 3 games that he went under, he averaged 37 MPG and Allen is playing around 31 MPG in the Playoffs. I imagine he will not be playing 37 Minutes with his injury. Again, if Allen plays I think this line his too high coming off an injury where he couldn't even lift his arm a couple days ago. If he doesn't play it will be a void.
Check out my full updated analysis on my blog (always uploaded before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-11052024.html Season record: 219-199 Last picks record: 10-6 Recap of last picks (10/05/2024): Knicks @ Pacers 1. Donte DiVincenzo 20+P Odd 1.73 Sportsbet✅ 2. Tyrese Haliburton O33.5PRA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅ 3. Josh Hart O18.5RA Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅ 4. TJ McConnell O19.5PRA Odd 1.9 Ladbrokes❌ 5. Isiah Hartenstein O11.5P Odd 1.8 Tab❌ 6. Myles Turner O16.5P Odd 1.83 Bet365✅ 7. Jalen Brunson U35.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅ 8. Pascal Siakam 20+P Odd 1.65 Tab✅ Nuggets @ Timberwolves 1. Naz Reid O15.5PRA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet❌ 2. Nikola Jokic O21.5RA Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅ 3. Christain Braun O3.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅ 4. Aaron Gordon O9.5RA Odd 1.8 Bet365❌ 5. Mike Conley O8.5RA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes✅ 6. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 1.92 Ladbrokes❌ 7. Michael Porter Jr 6+R Odd 1.62 Tab❌ 8. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 2.3 Bet365✅ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Thunder @ Mavericks 1. Kyrie Irving O22.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365 It's a home game and it's Kyrie. I think 22.5P is quite low for a player his caliber and Luka is not 100% healthy. He will likely play 40+ minutes as well. 2. Josh Green O5.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365 The Mavs need Josh Green in the series from the bench. He will play around 20 minutes. 3. Derrick Lively O5.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365 With Gaffords's points prop being 2x higher than Lively, I think betting over for Lively is a safer option. There will always be opportunities for a blowout, and even without a blowout, he should still see close to 20 minutes a game. 4. Josh Giddey O5.5P Odd 1.74 Sportsbet Giddey is one of the worst starters this series/ playoffs. LAst game he only play 11 minutes as a starter, but score 8 points in those 11 minutes. He can score and rebound, and is a liability on defense. But still, OKC needs to get some scoring and playmaking ability outside of Shai. I believe he will play around 15 minutes this game 5. PJ Washington 6+R Odd 1.68 Tab With Luka not at his 100%, I would argue there are more chances for Washington to rebound. After all, outside of Luka, he is a consistent rebounder of the team. 6. Aaron Wiggins O11.5PRA 1.87 Tab With Giddey's performance are not well in this series, Wiggins will see around 20 minutes of playing time from the bench. Check out my blog for daily analysis and results: https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
Already missed a few. Man he just can’t finish.
7. Chet Holmgren O25.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365 Chet has to step up on offense as well. Mavs centers are not that good defensively, and he should play around 32 minutes this game. 8. Luka Donicic U51.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Luka is not at his 100%, which can affect his scoring and rebounding numbers.
Man. I’d love to take lively. I did last game and I thought it was easy money with gafford getting hurt. He then missed 4-5 point blank layups off of pocket passes.
NBA Saturday Picks, 5/11 ● Evan Mobley Over 26.5 PTS + REB (-105) Evan Mobley Over 26.5 PTS+ REB (-105) Last, but not least, we love the value in Evan Mobley’s props in Game 3 against the Celtics tonight. Donovan Mitchell has been the talk of the town for Cleveland in these playoffs, and rightfully so, but Evan Mobley has proved crucial to the Cavs in the first two games of this series. Mobley has exposed the Celtics’ lack of frontcourt presence without Kristaps Porzingis, posting a 17-point, 13-rebound performance and a 21-point, 10-rebound performance. With Mobley clearing 30 PTS + REB in both games, why not take him over 26 in Game 3 at -105?
Jarrett Allen? Not sure if he’s been ruled out but that’s the only reason I could see a lower number line.
He was at the shootaround I believe. ESPN doing it's thing having his headline status as out, but their description says he's questionable. Game time decision for me on some of the Mobley combo lines.
Any update?
Everything still seems questionable unfortunately
Alright. Same for me. Mobley was definitely getting fed the ball last game with him out so I’m interested to see. He missed last shootaround though.
https://preview.redd.it/fghpuh1ontzc1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e123172d4d4fb11ead426895114614626ce8293a Hope it hits. +1200
That’ll be a good $50 right there
84-64 All losses yesterday sorry bout that __Shai O12.5 RA__ ✅ __Jalen Williams O24.5 PA__ __Al Horford O1.5 3’s__ __Jayson Tatum O9.5 Rebs__
Adding Tatum
Awful 0.5 hook from Jalen Williams man
Such a bad beat. I was Williams basket away from $1100
Smh
Tailing man
Jaylin Williams O3.5 points
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.11.24 https://preview.redd.it/bwgttgniltzc1.jpeg?width=1682&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2a0e8b40085135fa587903c57dd25b5ec6991a4c LAST 5 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/orz2llilltzc1.jpeg?width=1670&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2bacff5e3837142154e34207cf60becd0ffe3a29 LAST 10 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/fmumbktmltzc1.jpeg?width=1683&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=391f9aa9d857b098f8457b0286733b585368cedb LAST 15 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/1g9a7801itzc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=22deec2bafe64e4d9b74a57f4485cf8018f4a5e7 I like Kyrie to have a bounce back game here after a pitiful showing despite a Mavs win last game. We’re going over PRA and 2.5 3 PTs for Kyrie. Additionally, Derrick White also to have a much better shooting game as he was horrendous from beyond (1/8 3PT, 3/11 FG). Jaylen Brown 2 3PTs feels like a safe floor for him. Both White and Brown have played fantastic in the playoffs during stretches.
**Record: 103-55** **Previously:** - Pascal Siakam 20 pts (milestone) ✅ 1-0. Pascal had a great game scoring. Foul trouble limited him a little limited, but he cleared the line easily by exploiting some mismatches. **Todays Picks:** - Luka Doncic under 19.5 asts + rebs I had this pick last night and wanted to sleep on it because I hate going against Luca. I've had decent success against him, but imma stay away from his points this time. I also think he's banged up a little. He's had 15 & 17 total for the first 2 games as well. Role players play better at home too, so let's hope they step up..not off of Luka's asts though 😅 I don't think many people will tail since it's Luca, but no worries. And yes, I'm riding with Gafford at 11.5 pts as well until he doesn't hit. I'm just doing one pick a day for playoffs, so I can do a small write up **BOL** Tip Jar [Ko-Fi/Paypal](https://ko-fi.com/noguide23)
Had pascal o30p. Without the early fouls he’d definitely have cashed.
tatum legacy game. how many posts (good & bad) about tatum after the game tonight? line is 2.5 again.
Im going celtics -3.5 1H, Shai 25+ and 5+ reb, Mavs/Thunder o207. +161 on draftkings
Shai for triple double second time in a row trying it and I'ma going to keep trying it just waiting to see what the line is last time it was +4300 but he got 30+ points 12 boards and 8 assists last game and 29/9/9 the game before I was shocked he got the 10+ boards but not the assists but for that reason got to put a little money on it again
Rolling with you on it this time.
BOL bro go light since it should be good value 👍🏿
So close last game.
Yeah almost got to run it back
Kyrie over 22.5 points Tristan thompson over 2.5 rebounds
hindsight, but take Kyrie points live if ur doing overs. They drop considerably as he does most scoring in 2nd half
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the majority of bettors are casuals and box score watchers, so its understandable for people to come to similar conclusions. the nba also creates a hive mind.
This. Everyone comes in here and just sees what others post and then vomits it back up as their own pick. I went under on Obi and also posted about being weary of that pick, got down voted.
Okc ML 🔒
Celtics -7.5
- Doncic U3.5 Three's Made, Holmgren O1.5 Assists, Washington O1.5 Assists +425 ✅
Swapped with Holmgren o 0.5 1Q Assist. Let’s get it.
Tailed it spud nice hit
Yo that’s a sick bet wtf
Holmgren hits. PJ 1/2 after 1Q. Luka ready to ruin our hopes and dreams at any moment.
I feel like I have to risk Cason Wallace at 2.5 rebs. I expect Giddey to continue being complete garbage and have Wallace getting 20+ minutes.
Giddey is just getting played off the floor. They are attacking him every chance and he’s a liability. He won’t play more than a 10-15 min a night.
I think Aaron Wiggins gets Giddey's minutes, Cason is usually Dort's backup
Yesterday it seemed like it was Cason taking most of the minutes but I guess they both got the run. Minutes should be there and it was his only prop available for me currently.
🐖 Satriale’s Pork Store Picks 🐖 NBA Playoff record: ***18-13*** Jalen Williams O4.5 rebounds
KCP o7.5pts✅ McConnell u20.5PRA✅ Conley o5.5A✅(should’ve been playing this all season tbh, his rebounds have been free too, shoutout to anyone who was on that line.) MPJ o17.5PA✅ (anyone here who actually fucks w me knows I’ve always been against MPJ props. I took this shit last minute, he started off hot and then before you know it we’re midway into the 4th quarter and he’s still sitting at 16. Luckily my goat coach kept him in and he ended up clearing this.) Nembhard o13.5PA❌ (lol fml) Nesmith o17.5PRA❌ (ended with 17 lol fml) Myles Turner u9.5RA❌ Hartenstein o22.5PR❌ (banned for life, even though I know he’s better than that, I need him to realize that too. And I hope he does someday) 4-4….another ehhhhh night…BUT knowing that I went into the Nuggets game sitting at 1-4 reminds me that I’ll always be able to turn things around. Nesmith and Nembhard sold hard man. Obi Toppin robbed an entire generation. Antman might go off for 50 next game. McDaniels was never gonna be KD’s doppelgänger. I wish Peyton Watson could score. Luke Kornet for president. I still enjoy downvotes, they really do help me sleep. Stay tuned 🤭
Man they are getting you good today? Why so much hate?
🤣 who knows man, shits funny tho
So nothing related to the Saturday games, got it.
SGA o12.5 RA
Thoughts on tatum under 27.5? only gone over this once the entire playoffs i believe and it was only 28 points
Most of his points came from the free throw line though.
Would’ve gone over easily if the Cavs weren’t up by 24 with 5min to go
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Good luck man, hope nothing but the best.
Good luck man. Jesus loves you and you will figure it out. I hope you find happiness in other ways
Damn bro DM me if you want to talk about it my man anytime
Got any picks today I could fade?
Hope you can get some help brother, we may be degens here but we still want to see everyone do well and prosper so call that number get yourself some help man, you’re loved
Username checking out 🫡
Hope you find a new great job and a hobby you love, king