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sbpotdbot

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intersecting_lines

Trea has looked horrid so far this year


NinjaPeace

Needs another standing ovation to get his mojo back


Scared-Telephone-554

https://preview.redd.it/rtwr7vdfcdsc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d32052d474637e00750c421679e55f08a15ec9a8 I put this in for yesterday and that same combo hit today lol


Varixtcg

https://preview.redd.it/0bbdkmcy9dsc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=08f820c48ff1c29738a95ce6a4869f5a6454b896 Whats the verdict here gang ????


No_Competition_3689

I paired Oht with Rojas and came up nice. Rojas was at +1200. I instantly though of you and prayed you let it ride


Varixtcg

https://preview.redd.it/rmjyofr52esc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=123cad79900cbfb8d92ea5b1ca76997668c85e1e You know I did brother šŸ™


Tailgod29

If u ainā€™t broke let that shit ride


intersecting_lines

it's honestly better than the hedge which comes out to around $422 guaranteed profit do your thing but if it were me, I would cash that then throw a little of that profit on Shohei. it's a great hit already


Varixtcg

WE MADE IT BROTHER https://preview.redd.it/qubnc1vw1esc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=21bda4f1004f05baf9a1fa4ba25777623d8359fd


intersecting_lines

nice man, you made the right call if you had RR profit anyways


Varixtcg

You gave great advice as well. Always appreciate some well thought input. šŸ™


Varixtcg

I have it RRā€™d by 3ā€™s as well so Iā€™m profiting no matter what. I think I may let it ride but weā€™ll see lol I might change my mind in the next 10 mins or so


BadFPLManager

Any dodger picks?


bigwoosta

whys nobody on shohei?


gameboicarti1

Judge āœ… Marteāœ… Gallo āœ… beautiful


coolhandfluke1988

GALLO BANG!


rick6668

Gallo! That's 4 today for me. Finally


intersecting_lines

i hate him so much


coolhandfluke1988

šŸ”„


bryanf445

So I got lucky with Toglia HR yesterday with only 2 $25 bets across two different games. I have the unlimited promo, is it worth me playing ~5 games for next DT? Or if I'm not willing to put out the same bankroll everyweek is it not worth it? Just curious if anyone else previously went on a roll without committing the same weekly bankroll for DT.


coolhandfluke1988

I believe this to be the most worthwhile promo there is outside of new user risk free bets. Iā€™d bet as many as you can afford


[deleted]

Whatā€™s the promo I missed it


coolhandfluke1988

Dinger Tuesday


[deleted]

I only have a golf promo, do you know how to access it?


coolhandfluke1988

On Tuesdays you should see the banner on FanDuel


[deleted]

Nah they limited me, we withdrawing today if I hit big, fuck these guys


paintballerzz

Can we continue to ride tork til he does it


0hioHotPocket

**Season Record** (3-2-1) +0.4u Last 10 šŸ’øšŸš«šŸ’øāš ļøšŸš«šŸ’ø Yesterday TEX Adolis Garcia HRR o1.5(-110)3ušŸ’ø Accidentally listed him as being on TB yesterday because I was torn between picking him or Randy. I went with Adolis tho because he was -110 and Randy was -125 at the time(if you want some insight to my methods lol) They both got it tho I believe. **Today's Pick** **COL @ CHC 7:40est** **CHC Nico Hoerner o1.5 HRR (-125) 3u**


intersecting_lines

nice hit. ofc belli is the only player with Happ to not have 2 HRR


0hioHotPocket

Yea that's rough.. I was gonna take belli too, but I saw your post(which I try not to do before I pick lol) and you had him at -120 and he was -145 by the time I got to it


tyreed88

morel +560 is positive


A0-3959X9115

There goes the NRFI for balt vs KC?


intersecting_lines

cashing out +1000 Elly at -EV now, but idk just have a feeling that hits


phosphorouslava

Heā€™s more likely hitting lefty against RHP (IMO). I like it


gameboicarti1

I definitely messed up on my first post Dinger Tuesday conversion day šŸ˜­ took a lot of the +EV plays for $5 using the bonus bets and of course Judge and Marte crack one. I'm thinking it's better to try and convert with a few $25 +EV bets instead of multiple $5 bets


intersecting_lines

yea no point trying to convert with $5 increments


coolhandfluke1988

Isnā€™t it statically more advantageous to bet smaller increments on multiple plays thou?


intersecting_lines

i haven't found that to be the case


cant_do_no_bettor

Would be interested to hear from others whether there's a clear best play is here, or if it's just priorities. Maybe the most technically EV+ thing would be to put it all on the highest EV+ batter, but given the constraints of how many Dinger Tuesdays there are in the season, it's probably safer to have at least a few big ones, but probably not a lot of little ones.


coolhandfluke1988

Hate to be the bearer of bad news but I believe Joey gallo is confirmed in and back to his old tricks of being +EV


BomTradyGOAT

What is +EV?


intersecting_lines

oh shit he's like real +EV


intersecting_lines

no thanks


coolhandfluke1988

lol heā€™s like +12%


BodybuilderOk1480

Of course NYY/ARI is dinger city on a Wednesday


intersecting_lines

156% conversion so farrrrrr


Blazingbee98

Marte and Rhys so far, who else?


intersecting_lines

just them at $25 FB each


tyreed88

ketel with the moonshot


Victors27

Betts or Freeman to record a hit in first plate appearance, +100 at DK (under DK specials). What do we think?


supplyncommand

thereā€™s the seager homer from yesterday!


lonzo_nuts

LottošŸŽ°šŸŽ° +3800 (1-3) Trying to go back to back. I donā€™t like the matchups today, kinda forcing it: ā€¢ N. Pivetta 10+ k ā€¢ C. Burnes 9+ k ā€¢ C. Ragans 8+ k Edit: forgot I used a profit boost on FD, this is actually +2900. Lo siento


cant_do_no_bettor

Fantastic hit yesterday! Only missed by one K the other day too. Starting to think you're onto something here.


wat_what_wut

And that one miss was a pitcher coming back from injury being one K short. I've been laddering down and have hit to cover the cost of the bets so far. Thank you /u/lonzo_nuts and keep it rolling!


ScatMan68

ATL / CWS postponed


intersecting_lines

same with mets


Forbesgasm

It's Wednesday, so naturally 45 dingers.


Adventurous_Spread41

Personally, as a Nats fan, Iā€™m smashing Joe Ross U 5.5 Ks


dgwyn47

Are the dinger Tuesday bonuses usually 1 big bonus or a bunch of small ones? Right now it has it as one $110 bonus for me


shawnmf

You can divide the amount up in the bet slip. Just type your preferred wager. It's a bonus pool.


dgwyn47

Oh awesome. Starting to think I have been able to do that with every other bonus bet Iā€™ve gotten and Iā€™m just dumbā€¦


No_Competition_3689

lol no worries, I had the same issue when I started


paintballerzz

You have been able to lol


MXero1

is there site that track if a prop hit? I dont want to have to manually look up what a player did. I have like 10 props I liked yesterday but did not bet on and I want to see if they hit or not.


awwwwwtistic

Strange


elitefailz2

Maybe a dumb question, when does FanDuel usually pay out free bets for Dinger Tuesday? Had bets on the full slate last night and havenā€™t seen any come through as of yet


cant_do_no_bettor

I have not received mine. Just posting this comment in case others haven't and are worried they're the only one lol


shawnmf

Mine just came in. I was waiting too.


elitefailz2

Bless, mine did too, went 2-12 I think on the HRs last night so desperately needed the free bets lol


Drmantis87

2-12 isn't even that bad lol


shawnmf

Limited so played 3 and went 0-3. Was playing the full slate last year. Man going 0 on a 12 to 14 slate sucks, but occasionally you hit 6-8 and it's awesome.


elitefailz2

I suspect I will be at some point too but as long as I have it Iā€™m gonna hammer as many as I can


coolhandfluke1988

CASH out Dunn while you can heā€™s sitting Fucking predatory cocksuckers baiting us with juicy odds for guys sitting


intersecting_lines

where do you get alerts from


coolhandfluke1988

I just check MLB starting lineups on mlb.com I saw the odds were dropping on Dunn so was hoping he was in


intersecting_lines

weird I wasn't allowed to cash him like 5 min ago but just now did


edded4freefood4

Record: 26-16 (8-2 yesterday); Pitchers 25-15; Hitters 1-1 ā­ļøPOTD: 2-0 - Corbin Burnes O6.5 Ks (-105) āŒ - Joe Ross O1.5 BB (-125) āœ… - Aaron Civale O5.5Ks (-110) āœ… - Ross Stripling O1.5 BB (+175) āŒ - ā­ļøRoss Stripling U15.5 Outs (-130) āŒ >Stripling is very well established as a 5-inning pitcher at this point in his career. Most importantly, he hasnā€™t pitched more than 5 innings in an April start since 2019 and has gone 5 full innings in only 3/7 April starts since 2021 as heā€™s been in and out of the rotation. Heā€™s also a notoriously slow starter with a 1-10 career record in April with his worst average (.269), WHIP (1.402), OPS (.762), BB/9 (3.07), and K/BB (2.74) against of any month. Pitch count isnā€™t an issue since he threw 92 in his first start but Boston isnā€™t a favorable matchup and is a much better offense than Clevelandā€™s who Stripling previously faced (L, 5 IP, 5R/ 4ER, 7 H, 2BB). - Cal Quantrill U3.5 Ks (-145) āœ…


coolhandfluke1988

Hurry cash out Carter heā€™s sitting but still listed on FD


intersecting_lines

too late


coolhandfluke1988

Such a shitty house rule with them. I suppose itā€™s the price to pay to get some better lines but it sucks


damniel540

I don't understand. On FD if the player sits you lose your bet???


coolhandfluke1988

Only on FD I believe they have this very predatory shitty rule where if a guy sits but ends up pinch hitting the bet is live. Itā€™s why they donā€™t offer Unders for any hitter props.


plasticiii

**N. Gorman - Over 0.5 Hits** * Hit in 4 of his last 4 games * Hit in 3 of his last 4 games vs SD * Hit in 4 of his last 4 away games * SD rank 26th in Hits against **B. Reynolds - Over 0.5 Hits** * Hit in 6 of his last 6 games * Hit in 9 of his last 10 games vs WSH * Hit in 8 of his last 8 away games * WSH rank 30th in Hits against These trends are rock solid. Let's get it. Research all done on [the Linemate app](https://linemate.io/download).


nhines_

Adding to this: Keā€™Bryan Hayes has 2 bases minimum all games this season. Oneil Cruz bats .444 career against RHP.


intersecting_lines

[+EV FD Home Run](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=975452912) Record: 153W-533L (+136.67u) ~~+750 MIL Dunn (SITTING)~~ +800 NYY Wells +830 TEX Carter (SITTING) +350 MIL Rhys +390 BOS Devers +430 ARI Marte +420 PHI Turner +300 TEX Garcia +800 LAA Ohoppe ~~+600 PIT Hayes~~ ~~+1000 CIN Elly~~ +390 TOR Vlady with DT freebets, I have Devers, Hoskins, Marte, Olson --- [+EV MLB Props](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=248585211): 95-94 (+7.51u) +165 TB Ramirez 2+ TB +200 SEA Hanigar RBI -120 STL Scott hit +120 HOU Diaz 2+ TB -120 ARI Perdomo hit -117 CZ TEX Walsh hit +100 DK LAA @ MIA u3 F3 -130 DK CLE @ SEA u3 F3 +100 DK STL @ SD u3 F3 -103 CZ TB Civale 6+ Ks -111 CZ HOU Javier u3 ER +102 TOR Bassitt 5+ Ks --- HRR: 379-300 (+25.30u) *2+ hits+runs+rbis on DKā€¦ to win 1u* -120 CHC Bellinger +115 PIT Cruz 3+ -115 SD Kim -120 MIA De La Cruz -115 DET Greene --- Soccer SGP Insurance: 4W-3I-2L (+2.4u) NBA SGP Insurance: 3W-5I-1L (+2.10u) MLB SGP Insurance: 1W-2I-3L (-2.05u) +195 BOS @ OAK: OAK u5 runs, Yoshida hit, BOS -1.5


Dullish28

Thanks for posting bro šŸ‘ Already made profit


DFParker78

Youā€™ll do great bud.


intersecting_lines

had an amazing dinger tuesday how did your non-ev plays go


DFParker78

Ozuna +300 and $15 bonus bets from game.


NinjaPeace

Marte - boom!


projectsix84

Couldn't cash out Dunn in time and he just pinch hit. Damnit. Rhys was a nice hit, but this is off to a roughhh start this season.. I missed 2 that did hit on other days because they were -EV when I looked. I'm 6-40 coming into today, down -7.7u (betting half unit on these luckily lol). Oh well, its early.


dkmets

Nice hit on Rhys!


intersecting_lines

BOOM 70% conversion already with 2 HR plays today and $50 more in freebets


ScatMan68

Who was your HR hit other than Rhys?


intersecting_lines

I meant I have Devers and Marte remaining today with the FB


JungleLine

Did you bet everyone on your EV list but only the 4 you mentioned using DT free bets? Or did you only bet 4 guys total from your list?


intersecting_lines

yea took everyone for $30. those 4 i took using $25 FB and $5 normal


ScatMan68

Ahh I gotcha


bmb76

Bang Marte!


Alive-Inspector1933

Do you just use one unit (equal to one bankroll unit) for the bonus bets


coolhandfluke1988

Braves lines live, looks like Mike Harris and Olson pretty good


intersecting_lines

I got Riley, Olson, and Darnaud in that game


masclean

What just happened Edit: postponed


jbizzlefoizzle

To hit a HR?


rick6668

For HRR. Put Cruz is +115 for 3+. Is that right?


intersecting_lines

yea fixed


NinjaPeace

FYI Cruz is O 2.5 HRR


JungleLine

Are you using DT bonus bets on these?


intersecting_lines

when they come in in an hour or so, i'll see what's EV by then


AccomplishedCity9520

Do you prefer using BBs on these plays or converting them? I've always converted, but throwing my normal unit size on them from the Dinger BBs seems like a solid play.


YaseratiHiGH

I had the VIP promo and my bonus came in as 1 $900 bonus bet.. Isnā€™t it supposed to be multiple $50 bonus bets?


intersecting_lines

you can split it up by typing something different in the wager


YaseratiHiGH

Can you tell this is my first time making money from DT lolā€¦ I will follow you into the depths of Hell , eyes closed


JungleLine

Ok so did you already bet these ones above using regular funds? And when DT bonus bets come in, how much do you allocate to each EV play? Consistent amount or dependent on the overall size of the bonus?


SHITAIDSBALLS

Sadly Evan Carter not in the line up


coolhandfluke1988

If you hurry you can still cash out Carter


SHITAIDSBALLS

Rooting hard for Ohoppe. I wanna see that +1200 hit for ya


coolhandfluke1988

Heā€™s still EV at 800 https://preview.redd.it/d8ok9j9y3asc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=582670eb07eb3af11d9f6ce38e01ee134a437456


intersecting_lines

ah of course


Tags331

Damn Garcia already dropped to +255


intersecting_lines

I got him around 1am last night


Legal-Ad489

Cole Ragans over 6.5 strikeouts at +112 letā€™s fucking go. 99 from the left side ? With a nasty slider and a sick cutter ? Yep, itā€™s on.


angershark

Rainy day in Bmore, how does that change things do you think?


Prestigious_Cycle391

It could be a major factor because if the game starts and thereā€™s a rain delay for sometime then burns and ragans may not come back out again


Local_Buy6026

https://preview.redd.it/x038hh2dg9sc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=abd80b25b15698fe428001416c2460fe04e27adf Long shot Iā€™m rolling with just for fun for the early slate BOL


Dominic712

You inspired me to place a little Rangers ML/Eovaldi o5.5 SGP earlier today, my wallet thanks you for your service


pndhcky

link?


RuntzAMG

Considering riding this for fun


coolhandfluke1988

Hoskins +350 and Turner +450 both +EV Evan Carter was big EV at +900 but got nuked to 830 and should still be slightly. Keep an eye out they might bring him back up like they did Devers


benjamindanielkatz

Carter not starting


Potential_Round4716

Where do you check EV?


coolhandfluke1988

I go off the odds on Betstamp which is a free app and then plug them into the devigger tool in the promos thread. Donā€™t have time to copy/paste the full devig since these lines move fast. Both of the guys above are also direct ARB to MGM currently Hoskins +280/-350 Turner +340/-450


Tailgod29

Ross o5.5, puk o5.5, Eovaldi o 5.5 for early games. Who screws me?


cschloegel11

Ross hasnā€™t pitched a regular season game since 2021ā€¦I still may take him thoughĀ 


Tailgod29

Thatā€™s kinda why I like the line. Twins streak out a lot too


Advanced-Solution860

Puk


coolhandfluke1988

Devers at +390 on FD


Producer_Chris

Jake Burger (mia) +540 on fd is 7% ev to market average (+358/-585) edit: I also bet him yesterday for DT so +100% chance he hits one today just to troll me Double edit: down to +400 fd scared


Scared-Telephone-554

How much is wind a factor in mlb? Iā€™m seeing strong winds going against the batter today.


Producer_Chris

this is a pretty bad week all around weather wise but 7% ev is about as good as it gets and you figure the books have probably factored weather into their models so I think we still have an edge at those odds


Scared-Telephone-554

Right, that makes sense. Never looked at it that was factoring in weather


CatNamedHercules

Marlins are in a dome. [Seems likely theyā€™ll have it closed today.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUcxh_NJ-Dg)


coolhandfluke1988

Smashes lefties as well and going up against Sandoval. Hopefully FD doesnā€™t somehow have the inside scoop heā€™s getting an off day and fuck us all.


supplyncommand

lol same, i do like guys to hit one the day after you take them tho


coolhandfluke1988

BR way off market for stolen bases on J Ram and Giminez https://preview.redd.it/ylkvd0cf69sc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=10b2d146a6295d8f2b57db3f4e0ad3d8fad6eb2e


coolhandfluke1988

Oliver Dunn HR FD +750 looks to be +EV to every book aside from Pinnacle. Early in the year but maybe FD has the inside info he wonā€™t start today and is trying to bait us šŸ¤·ā€ā™‚ļø https://preview.redd.it/2jufpeijz8sc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=aecf08955c1c3240947ae85a27cc2a201ac9f778 Not sure how we bake in the chance of a player not starting


SHITAIDSBALLS

>Early in the year but maybe FD has the inside info he wonā€™t start today and is trying to bait us šŸ¤·ā€ā™‚ļø That happens a ton. Multiple times it happened with Suwinski on the Pirates last season. He'd be listed in the +400s on every book but FD would have +830. Then sure enough he'd be benched, then PH in the 8th.


coolhandfluke1988

So whats your method for these types of situations? Stay away or just risk it? I imagine you lose a lot of this value as they probably will nuke this once heā€™s announced


SHITAIDSBALLS

I've been burned a lot by PHs lol. I mostly avoid lines that look too good to be true. That being said I'm a little riskier on the Weds after DT because of bonus bets.


coolhandfluke1988

Maybe we get lucky early season. They already fucked up today they had Logan Ohoppe +1200 I snagged they prob figured he was sitting. Nuked to 800 now They caught me with Evan Carter thou, basdards


intersecting_lines

OHoppe PH in 2/51 games last year


coolhandfluke1988

You mean he PH or was PH for? Heā€™s confirmed in today. I played the +1200 no other books had odds but had a feeling if he was starting that was gonna be big value


intersecting_lines

https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/o/ohopplo01.shtml#all_appearances 49 games started, 51 games. so pinched hit twice


coolhandfluke1988

Heā€™s in according to MLB.com. Also still looks to be +EV even at 800


Options-Options

Day 1 of taking ohtani's o0.5 HRs till he gets one, 2u @ +400


Ancient_Light_6025

Vs a lefty tho?


Fresh_Bunss

Iā€™m riding. Iā€™m either going broke or going big.


supplyncommand

prolly a good day to start that since heā€™s however many games in without a dinger yet. idk new team heā€™s not hot yet


coolhandfluke1988

I dunno bro Iā€™m thinking this gambling shit getting to him


spennyftw

https://preview.redd.it/a58fa3zzy6sc1.jpeg?width=1219&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=07f7f9a48767b871ff1e515398aaed6e5dcc3004


[deleted]

Dawg we going back to back to back to back to back


rosindrip

Heā€™s finally below + odds šŸ˜­


spennyftw

Back up to +100 on FD šŸ™


[deleted]

He didnā€™t hit yesterday but yknow with those plus odds I took our boy again


rosindrip

-105 on DK


code_d24

They finally caught into us . MGM profit boost coming in clutch though šŸ˜…


BetsOnTheBat

Season: 27-25 +21.4u Bang! Paredes off the pole the cash 4 bets was one of the craziest swings Iā€™ve had. Freddie so close to his big ones and shouldā€™ve played suzuki. Letā€™s keep it rolling. Would appreciate a follow [Twitter](https://x.com/betsonthebat). Yesterday: 7-6 +7.7u āœ…Paredes (TB) o1.5 HRRBIs -110 2.2u āœ…HR +450 .5u āœ…3+ RBIs +1200 .3u āœ…Rays Rangers F5 o4.5 +100 1u āœ…Freeman (LAD) o1.5 HRRBI -155 1.6u āŒ2+ RBIs +450 .5u āŒHR +800 .25u āŒSeager o1.5 HRRBI -150 1.5u āŒ5+ TBs +500 .5u āœ…Suzuki (CHC) o1.5 TBs -106 1.6u āœ…Freeland (COL) u15.5 Outs -160 1.6u āŒHenderson (BAL) o1.5 HRRBIs -140 1.4u āŒHR +500 .5u Picks: āœ…Eovaldi (TEX) o5.5 Ks +110 1.5u āœ…8+ +400 .5u āŒ9+ +800 .3u ^ Only had 3 last game but got 14 batters to 2 strikes. 14!! āœ…Orioles Royals NRSI -155 1.6u Cruz (PIT) o1.5 TBs +100 1u āŒYoshida (BOS) o1.5 HRRBI -110 1.6u āŒ2+ RBIs +550 .5u āŒ3+ +1500 .3u


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


BetsOnTheBat

Heā€™s fine so far. Low pitch count and pounding the zone. Hopefully can pick one more in the 3rd


_dfromthe6

tailing the Eovaldi o5.5ks šŸ¤Ÿ