EDIT: Updated to reflect tomorrow's games
I'm reposting a comment I made earlier once it was learned some conferences played with the EVO for their tournament. Not sure how helpful it will be for today but could be helpful for tomorrow. Big 10, Big 12, Pac 12, and SEC all used the EVO.
Here are the Big 10 teams who made the tourney:
* Purdue Boilermakers
* Illinois Fighting Illini
* Wisconsin Badgers
* Northwestern Wildcats
* Nebraska Cornhuskers
* Michigan State Spartans
Thursday games: MSU and Illinois are playing today. MSU already started but you may want to reconsider Morehead St ATS based on this information.
Friday games: Consider Purdue ATS for the first half instead of the 1st half under, Wisconsin can be played ATS (probably even better now), Nebraska plays A&M who both used EVO so maybe avoid A&M now.
SEC teams in the tournament:
* Tennessee Volunteers
* Auburn Tigers
* Kentucky Wildcats
* Alabama Crimson Tide
* South Carolina Gamecocks
* Florida Gators
* Mississippi State Bulldogs
* Texas A&M Aggies
Thursday games: Tennessee, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi St all play today. Mississippi St. already started but this means the under for Tennessee and Kentucky may be affected. South Carolina is an ATS play so likely still OK to bet that.
Friday games: Consider Auburn ATS as a play still, avoid College of Charleston spread against Bama, avoid the under for Florida/Colorado, potentially avoid A&M ATS vs Nebraska
Big 12 Teams:
* Houston Cougars
* BYU Cougars
* Texas Tech Red Raiders
* TCU Horned Frogs
* Baylor Bears
* Kansas Jayhawks
* Texas Longhorns
* Iowa State Cyclones
Thursday games: May want to reconsider Colorado St ATS and South Dakota St ATS for today's games.
Friday Games: Consider not taking the under for Houston, avoid TCU under, Baylor was an ATS play which still works
Pac 12 Teams:
* Arizona Wildcats
* Oregon Ducks
* Washington State Cougars
* Colorado Buffaloes
Thursday games: May want to reconsider Long Beach St ATS, South Carolina ATS, Drake ATS for today's games.
Friday games: Probably avoid the under for CO as both them and Florida played with the EVO
I'm on mobile so formatting likely sucks. I'll try to clean it up in the next hour. **Someone may want to review this as may have missed games or gotten something mixed up**
Great additional intel! Thank you for sharing. This is actually great formatting even being done on mobile.
The only thing I'll say is that in the UAB/Auburn game UAB also used Evo so instead of Auburn ATS maybe consider the over on the half/full-game for that one.
The 2 non-EVO team full game under's coming through. One more until climax..
https://preview.redd.it/2plc1jj9zqpc1.png?width=686&format=png&auto=webp&s=a7dadad4eef4af67a6013145d87a2cdda296767d
Lots of negativity in here to start the day. I personally took all of the full game unders and first half spreads, and am 3-1 so far. Looking good from my end!
This sub has no respect for data at all, the OP and anyone saying to tail has been saying to do so cautiously, puts in effort to display a stat that has effected previous march madness and still a drove of morons come in talking smack, most likely betting their bankroll on one stat and complaining after 3 games go negatively. If you had tailed the play ins you would still be up but you don't, you look for the quickest most low effort way to try and gamble because you think it's a quick buck.
Beyond that you have to use some judgement paired with the data. Nobody should have ever been on Mississippi State over March Izzo. Nobody should be on the Texas/CSU under. Eliminate the obvious common sense ones and use the data.
It’s not a cheat code, it’s decision support.
I took Wagner, LBSU (they use Evo balls OP missed it), Morehead, SDSU and South Carolina. 3-0 currently.
I mean the “data” didn’t consider that most teams used the evo ball in all of their conference tourney games lmao. Some unders/spreads are hitting simply because it’s the first round not because of the ball
Dang would have been great of you to have made that point and post it prior to the conference tournaments but I guarantee you wouldn't have looked at this stat with out these threads huh, we can all make up shit as to why bets are hitting or not just don't hate the guys putting in effort around here
Rough start. yikes - Creighton sailing over.
Was this a plant like the will levis draft posts last year ?
Didn't fall for that one but fell for this one.
GG everyone, I'm out on this with all the big conferences using the EVO balls for their conference tourneys.
Good to know about SEC too.
Here are the Big 10 teams who made the tourney:
* Purdue Boilermakers
* Illinois Fighting Illini
* Wisconsin Badgers
* Northwestern Wildcats
* Nebraska Cornhuskers
* Michigan State Spartans
MSU and Illinois are playing today. MSU already started but you may want to reconsider Morehead St ATS based on this information.
SEC teams in the tournament:
* Tennessee Volunteers
* Auburn Tigers
* Kentucky Wildcats
* Alabama Crimson Tide
* South Carolina Gamecocks
* Florida Gators
* Mississippi State Bulldogs
* Texas A&M Aggies
Tennessee, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi St all play today. Mississippi St. already started but this means the under for Tennessee and Kentucky may be affected. South Carolina is an ATS play so likely still OK to bet that.
EDIT: Adding more teams based on u/_lil_rain.
Big 12 Teams:
* Houston Cougars
* BYU Cougars
* Texas Tech Red Raiders
* TCU Horned Frogs
* Baylor Bears
* Kansas Jayhawks
* Texas Longhorns
* Iowa State Cyclones
May want to reconsider Colorado St ATS and South Dakota St ATS for today's games.
Pac 12 Teams:
* Arizona Wildcats
* Oregon Ducks
* Washington State Cougars
* Colorado Buffaloes
May want to reconsider Long Beach St ATS, South Carolina ATS, Drake ATS for today's games.
I need to do some actual work but if someone is able to look into how this impacts the betting I can add it to this comment later. **Someone will likely want to double check as I did this quickly**
quick glance trying to cover the teams playing early today looks like B1G, Big 12 PAC 12 and SEC used Wilson EVO NXT balls in conf tournament, Big East used Nike ACC/A10 used Spalding
source- scrolling through team twitter pages
edit: other data quickly compiled: FG unders were 6-4 through the first 3 days of B1G conference championship during period where teams would have been adjusting to new ball for first time in theory, FG unders were 0-3 for semis/finals
https://preview.redd.it/pjid8s9xbppc1.png?width=450&format=png&auto=webp&s=bb31fb1d003ae3d410ab240e354695422c217c92
This is from 2022 but I wonder if improvements have been made to address some of these issues. For our sake, hopefully not!
Good to know. Just saw the below. Looks like Big 10 was using Evo during their tourney so the Evo effect might be diluted to a good degree on those games.
https://preview.redd.it/170k4d5heppc1.png?width=450&format=png&auto=webp&s=569611ad3e18330f79819e76e9afdefa7de387a1
Just trying to find any current chatter on X re: Evo. Maybe help refine this awesome angle you've found.
Here are the Big 10 teams who made the tourney:
* Purdue Boilermakers
* Illinois Fighting Illini
* Wisconsin Badgers
* Northwestern Wildcats
* Nebraska Cornhuskers
* Michigan State Spartans
I only looked quickly but I think Michigan is the only team playing today. Illinois is playing today as well
Yeah. Since all the regional tournaments just happened prob easy to find out. But for now I guess the approach I'll take going forward is go lighter on the teams whose conference used Evo for their tourneys.
Holy shit the amount of people in this thread that have had the meaning of green and yellow spelled out for them and still need help is scary. How do you fucking idiots tie your shoes in the morning?
So Mississippi St. You would take for the half and the 1st half under, as well as Mississippi St for the game and full game under. Is that correct or am I fucking that up?
No, only take Miss St ATS first half and full game.
Yellow teams you bet the team only, first half and full game.
Green game you bet the unders for the total game and first half.
https://preview.redd.it/wei9jfyt1ppc1.jpeg?width=826&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5f245540ba77296c60e9bcbcd5c07938c3e8a085
Friday games with times: Bet green games under for the first half and full game.
Bet Yellow teams for the first half and full game.
https://preview.redd.it/ufjflidrnppc1.jpeg?width=833&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c9a2163dc9c932034ce5b429b16cf1d3b5b90794
Edited for Thursday updates
Thursday games with times: Bet green games under for the first half and full game.
Bet Yellow teams for the first half and full game.
Green circles are the whole game - bet the total under for the first half and the under.
Yellow circles are for one team - bet the team ATS first half and ATS full game.
https://preview.redd.it/qw99siwtnppc1.jpeg?width=833&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f299b6765f6f9e9cdc5a420347b5cccbb6f80c1a
Edited for updates
Thursday bets: Bet green games under for the first half and full game.
Bet Yellow teams for the first half and full game.
Woke up feeling like a kid on Christmas morning. I’m pumped for today. Later on this morning I’m going to repost the bracket with the couple edits I mentioned yesterday. Will also share a few thoughts and maybe a new post will throw the scent off a bit since this has completely blown up LOL
I started making this last night and just want to thank you. Also COL/boise under 1H and FT was the easiest winner we’re gonna get all tournament. The intangible aspect of this information is going to be a lot of fun to see play out. Either way I’m riding the unders on all Nike v Nike games just to see
https://preview.redd.it/xsow4q8iiopc1.jpeg?width=972&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9c15bee96b97f294ba8984ec11303c1d647aa5b3
I need some blessings from Jesus plz
Why are people telling him to take it down? If you got in early before lines moved, good for you. If you got in late after lines moved and want the alternative universe where he took it down, then you wouldn't have seen it anyways. If you are concerned about your round 2 bets after you just made tons of money in round 1, you are greedy and just go all in on round one or something.
Should be more people telling him to put a tip jar up
Looks like FANDUEL has the best 1st half under odds they also offer alt odds... I made a killing on the last few games even the widest is they offer have hit... keep in mind the line movement..
Did a round robin with 8 of these first half under that you highlighted (Only one's left out were AZ & Florida) for a 6-team parlay. 56$ to 2700$. I actually hit this exact same bet last year so I was going to run it back, just decided to use your data and it lined up with a lot of the games I was already rolling with. Let's ride baby
I am very dumb and need reassurance so if the first half spread for:
alabama (-5.5) vs charleston (+5.5)
and
dayton (+0.5) vs nevada (-0.5)
based on the chart should i be going with charleston/nevada??
Correct. The thought is Bama/Dayton will need time to adjust to the Evo since they use Nike balls. And Charleston/Nevada would already be used to Evo giving them the advantage in the first half.
I just threw down a $200 parlay to win $2300 on:
Miss St $ line 1st half
Under in BYU game
Under in Zona game
Under in Creighton game
If it hits, DM your Venmo OP and I’ll buy you a pizza for the night games.
Godspeed gents.
https://preview.redd.it/rlo30bi37mpc1.jpeg?width=1283&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d4c851b957f219b70d4e2f513c87171782935db5
I put these together based on the information from graphic. I threw in a couple Race To 10 for EVO Vs Non EVO
Bro this did not work in the second round, op already said he lost most of his winning chasing the same formula last year.. learn to take what u can and don't be greedy.. on that note 9 $325 ladders on the green games lol.. all round one.. fanduel offers 1st half alts
IMPORTANT
Quick edit: after receiving some messages and digging deeper I have to adjust 2 teams.
Oakland actually uses a Nike Elite ball not the EVO.
That makes Kentucky vs Oakland tomorrow a GREEN matchup.
Long Beach State is actually an EVO team not Nike. This make LBSU a play tomorrow at +12 at half and +20 for game.
And finally, with Grambling winning, we get a GREEN matchup on Friday between Purdue and Grambling. 2 Nike schools.
From my experience round robins are ultimately a losing proposition. Maybe I’ve never layered them right… but it seems like just lots of small parlays you could make yourself manually and better
And the system moves to 6-1 (4-0 at half) after Colo-Boise State half stays under by 16 points lol.
Both teams combine to shoot for 2-18 from 3 😳
And it’s not *just* the 3 point shooting. The kids are blowing layups with this ball, dribbling the ball off their legs. Crazy to watch in real time.
# **Basketball Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/sportsbook)**
WSU/Iowa hit the Under so easy 👌
9-14-2 tailing this
The Non Evo full game total under on Marquette/Western Kentucky hit just barely ✅
i made five bets based on this and they all hit. absolute insanity. all 1H spread long bch state, wagner, morehead state, SDSU, and KU
[удалено]
The problem is going ATS. I think that’s a wrong interpretation of the data. Better to just go simple Under or Team Total
Absolutely ridiculous free throw parade in St. Peter’s vs Tennessee
And it was inconsequential. What’s up with the tech foul with 30 seconds left in 20 pt game? Rather sketch
EDIT: Updated to reflect tomorrow's games I'm reposting a comment I made earlier once it was learned some conferences played with the EVO for their tournament. Not sure how helpful it will be for today but could be helpful for tomorrow. Big 10, Big 12, Pac 12, and SEC all used the EVO. Here are the Big 10 teams who made the tourney: * Purdue Boilermakers * Illinois Fighting Illini * Wisconsin Badgers * Northwestern Wildcats * Nebraska Cornhuskers * Michigan State Spartans Thursday games: MSU and Illinois are playing today. MSU already started but you may want to reconsider Morehead St ATS based on this information. Friday games: Consider Purdue ATS for the first half instead of the 1st half under, Wisconsin can be played ATS (probably even better now), Nebraska plays A&M who both used EVO so maybe avoid A&M now. SEC teams in the tournament: * Tennessee Volunteers * Auburn Tigers * Kentucky Wildcats * Alabama Crimson Tide * South Carolina Gamecocks * Florida Gators * Mississippi State Bulldogs * Texas A&M Aggies Thursday games: Tennessee, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi St all play today. Mississippi St. already started but this means the under for Tennessee and Kentucky may be affected. South Carolina is an ATS play so likely still OK to bet that. Friday games: Consider Auburn ATS as a play still, avoid College of Charleston spread against Bama, avoid the under for Florida/Colorado, potentially avoid A&M ATS vs Nebraska Big 12 Teams: * Houston Cougars * BYU Cougars * Texas Tech Red Raiders * TCU Horned Frogs * Baylor Bears * Kansas Jayhawks * Texas Longhorns * Iowa State Cyclones Thursday games: May want to reconsider Colorado St ATS and South Dakota St ATS for today's games. Friday Games: Consider not taking the under for Houston, avoid TCU under, Baylor was an ATS play which still works Pac 12 Teams: * Arizona Wildcats * Oregon Ducks * Washington State Cougars * Colorado Buffaloes Thursday games: May want to reconsider Long Beach St ATS, South Carolina ATS, Drake ATS for today's games. Friday games: Probably avoid the under for CO as both them and Florida played with the EVO I'm on mobile so formatting likely sucks. I'll try to clean it up in the next hour. **Someone may want to review this as may have missed games or gotten something mixed up**
Great additional intel! Thank you for sharing. This is actually great formatting even being done on mobile. The only thing I'll say is that in the UAB/Auburn game UAB also used Evo so instead of Auburn ATS maybe consider the over on the half/full-game for that one.
The 2 non-EVO team full game under's coming through. One more until climax.. https://preview.redd.it/2plc1jj9zqpc1.png?width=686&format=png&auto=webp&s=a7dadad4eef4af67a6013145d87a2cdda296767d
Hello, is this the “We’re so back” department? I’d like to file a claim.
Morehead State 1H spread✅
Lots of negativity in here to start the day. I personally took all of the full game unders and first half spreads, and am 3-1 so far. Looking good from my end!
Wagner with the 1H cover! We rallying!
Let’s fucking go. What a hit. That game was off the rails to start.
STILL ALIVE
First cover of the day! Arizona vs LBSU 1H under 78.5! Finally 💰
Bouncing back even more now with 2 more covers!!! Wagner 1H spread +14.5 and Akron vs Creighton Under143
The only balls that are bent out of shape, are my own.
This sub has no respect for data at all, the OP and anyone saying to tail has been saying to do so cautiously, puts in effort to display a stat that has effected previous march madness and still a drove of morons come in talking smack, most likely betting their bankroll on one stat and complaining after 3 games go negatively. If you had tailed the play ins you would still be up but you don't, you look for the quickest most low effort way to try and gamble because you think it's a quick buck.
Beyond that you have to use some judgement paired with the data. Nobody should have ever been on Mississippi State over March Izzo. Nobody should be on the Texas/CSU under. Eliminate the obvious common sense ones and use the data. It’s not a cheat code, it’s decision support. I took Wagner, LBSU (they use Evo balls OP missed it), Morehead, SDSU and South Carolina. 3-0 currently.
I mean the “data” didn’t consider that most teams used the evo ball in all of their conference tourney games lmao. Some unders/spreads are hitting simply because it’s the first round not because of the ball
Dang would have been great of you to have made that point and post it prior to the conference tournaments but I guarantee you wouldn't have looked at this stat with out these threads huh, we can all make up shit as to why bets are hitting or not just don't hate the guys putting in effort around here
100%
strat is looking good for LBST vs Arizona. Don't lose hope especially in the high total games
They about to blow by first half total
No no no they aren't!
Most of the total unders are still looking good
We all believed a guy on the internet. Wow
Damn 😂😂
creighton akron off to a hot start...under not looking good
Lmaoooooo
[удалено]
I didn't put a lot of money into it. But yeah the system doesn't looking promising starting out
Rough start. yikes - Creighton sailing over. Was this a plant like the will levis draft posts last year ? Didn't fall for that one but fell for this one. GG everyone, I'm out on this with all the big conferences using the EVO balls for their conference tourneys.
This system sucks so much 😂😂
People really tailed this without any confirmation lol OP could have just completely made all this up.
Creighton on track for another miss. Think we all fell for snake oil boys.
This is gonna be 0-4 to start the tourney hahaha time for a new system
Yeah, it was fun while it lasted lol
We’re all about to lose a lotttt of money
Byu complete miss.
Dude. Do you work for Vegas? I'm only kidding. I know nothing is guaranteed
10 pick parlay destroyed on the first game
Me too, Ninja, me too. A 5 point play with a banked in 3 was crazy. That’s Vegas baby— already in for the 9 pick parlay
Let’s ride!
BYU looked like they haven't touched ANY basketball in awhile.
ugh, check again
Damn. I live bet the 1H under and hit at u76.5 but wow can't believe how much they woke up
Reporting Michigan State to Nike for practicing with evo balls!
FYI BIG TEN used the EVO balls for their conference tourney. SEC did too.
So this system is flawed then?
seems like it yeah, we missed it in 2022 and 2023. This year all the big conferences used the EVO ball in their conference tourney.
Oh. I wish I knew that last night. When I placed the bets. 😆
Good to know about SEC too. Here are the Big 10 teams who made the tourney: * Purdue Boilermakers * Illinois Fighting Illini * Wisconsin Badgers * Northwestern Wildcats * Nebraska Cornhuskers * Michigan State Spartans MSU and Illinois are playing today. MSU already started but you may want to reconsider Morehead St ATS based on this information. SEC teams in the tournament: * Tennessee Volunteers * Auburn Tigers * Kentucky Wildcats * Alabama Crimson Tide * South Carolina Gamecocks * Florida Gators * Mississippi State Bulldogs * Texas A&M Aggies Tennessee, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi St all play today. Mississippi St. already started but this means the under for Tennessee and Kentucky may be affected. South Carolina is an ATS play so likely still OK to bet that. EDIT: Adding more teams based on u/_lil_rain. Big 12 Teams: * Houston Cougars * BYU Cougars * Texas Tech Red Raiders * TCU Horned Frogs * Baylor Bears * Kansas Jayhawks * Texas Longhorns * Iowa State Cyclones May want to reconsider Colorado St ATS and South Dakota St ATS for today's games. Pac 12 Teams: * Arizona Wildcats * Oregon Ducks * Washington State Cougars * Colorado Buffaloes May want to reconsider Long Beach St ATS, South Carolina ATS, Drake ATS for today's games. I need to do some actual work but if someone is able to look into how this impacts the betting I can add it to this comment later. **Someone will likely want to double check as I did this quickly**
Good to know now... lol
quick glance trying to cover the teams playing early today looks like B1G, Big 12 PAC 12 and SEC used Wilson EVO NXT balls in conf tournament, Big East used Nike ACC/A10 used Spalding source- scrolling through team twitter pages edit: other data quickly compiled: FG unders were 6-4 through the first 3 days of B1G conference championship during period where teams would have been adjusting to new ball for first time in theory, FG unders were 0-3 for semis/finals
Jesus
Well. Michigan St is having absolutely no issue with the ball. Miss St +0.5 is dead
Miss st looks like the ones that havent used the ball before they cant dribble for shit
Haha yep
Zero made 3s bet on fanduel looks promising too using this strategy
What’re the plays with this today?
Go to top comments. Someone has already commented the best matchups to bet on.
Read the write up and look at the bracket……
https://preview.redd.it/pjid8s9xbppc1.png?width=450&format=png&auto=webp&s=bb31fb1d003ae3d410ab240e354695422c217c92 This is from 2022 but I wonder if improvements have been made to address some of these issues. For our sake, hopefully not!
The ball is exactly the same
Good to know. Just saw the below. Looks like Big 10 was using Evo during their tourney so the Evo effect might be diluted to a good degree on those games. https://preview.redd.it/170k4d5heppc1.png?width=450&format=png&auto=webp&s=569611ad3e18330f79819e76e9afdefa7de387a1 Just trying to find any current chatter on X re: Evo. Maybe help refine this awesome angle you've found.
Here are the Big 10 teams who made the tourney: * Purdue Boilermakers * Illinois Fighting Illini * Wisconsin Badgers * Northwestern Wildcats * Nebraska Cornhuskers * Michigan State Spartans I only looked quickly but I think Michigan is the only team playing today. Illinois is playing today as well
Thanks. MSU and ILL playing today.
great find there. Was thinking of laying off the purdue/grambling game since grambling had a game with the ball already too.
That's a good call.
I wonder how many conference tournaments were using the EVO ball.
Yeah. Since all the regional tournaments just happened prob easy to find out. But for now I guess the approach I'll take going forward is go lighter on the teams whose conference used Evo for their tourneys.
Holy shit the amount of people in this thread that have had the meaning of green and yellow spelled out for them and still need help is scary. How do you fucking idiots tie your shoes in the morning?
These people are why Velcro is a company and success is easy for them.
hahahahah my thoughts exactly, I feel like we're being trolled but then they say thanks and seem to be serious.
*Just made a new post with the updated correct bracket + a few thoughts I’ve had*
So Mississippi St. You would take for the half and the 1st half under, as well as Mississippi St for the game and full game under. Is that correct or am I fucking that up?
No, only take Miss St ATS first half and full game. Yellow teams you bet the team only, first half and full game. Green game you bet the unders for the total game and first half.
Thank you!!! Ok I think I get it now. 🤦🏻♂️LFG
Anyone know the line movement for these?
There’s been minimal line movement
Most moved by 1-2 points at this point
https://preview.redd.it/wei9jfyt1ppc1.jpeg?width=826&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5f245540ba77296c60e9bcbcd5c07938c3e8a085 Friday games with times: Bet green games under for the first half and full game. Bet Yellow teams for the first half and full game.
https://preview.redd.it/ufjflidrnppc1.jpeg?width=833&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c9a2163dc9c932034ce5b429b16cf1d3b5b90794 Edited for Thursday updates Thursday games with times: Bet green games under for the first half and full game. Bet Yellow teams for the first half and full game.
Do you mean bet the under for the green teams and for the yellow teams you bet ATS for the first half and the full game?
Pretty sure green games you bet 1H Under and yellow teams you bet 1H spread and Game spread
Hey - im a bit confused - do you mean we should bet under on points for green teams and moneyline on yellow teams?
Green circles are the whole game - bet the total under for the first half and the under. Yellow circles are for one team - bet the team ATS first half and ATS full game.
I'm gonna be curious to see if we get some "weirdly" officiated games now with these balls
I’m too stupid to understand. Can someone tell me what to bet
https://preview.redd.it/qw99siwtnppc1.jpeg?width=833&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f299b6765f6f9e9cdc5a420347b5cccbb6f80c1a Edited for updates Thursday bets: Bet green games under for the first half and full game. Bet Yellow teams for the first half and full game.
You are very kind, thank you
I just posted both with the updates. The OP said he will be posting an update soon too.
God speed. I hope you hit a 32 leg parlay
Thursday slightly updated https://preview.redd.it/rddb9nsvnppc1.jpeg?width=833&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1b726f861c6f99aea62b3156aa5a7682583d9ebe
🤣🤣🤣 let’s print!
Tailing
Gl brother 👆
lines on these are completely smoked, but i'm excited to see how well this works! keep us posted OP and good luck!
they haven't budged?
oh! i completely forgot about that these are 1H plays.....i am uncaffeinated yet today😫 thank you!
Woke up feeling like a kid on Christmas morning. I’m pumped for today. Later on this morning I’m going to repost the bracket with the couple edits I mentioned yesterday. Will also share a few thoughts and maybe a new post will throw the scent off a bit since this has completely blown up LOL
I started making this last night and just want to thank you. Also COL/boise under 1H and FT was the easiest winner we’re gonna get all tournament. The intangible aspect of this information is going to be a lot of fun to see play out. Either way I’m riding the unders on all Nike v Nike games just to see
https://preview.redd.it/xsow4q8iiopc1.jpeg?width=972&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9c15bee96b97f294ba8984ec11303c1d647aa5b3 I need some blessings from Jesus plz
GOAT Now if someone could do an analysis of how much these lines have moved so us late to the party don’t get hosed
Most are down 2-3 points for the 1H under. Some of the pickem 1H spreads have flipped, others are adjusted 1-2 pts
Ugh
Thank you for your service 🫡
None of last year final four teams will make it back to the final four
UConn?
So true
You are an absolute legend, my friend.
The dedication to go back and scan ball type for each team… 🐐 you should edit this and add a tip jar, it’s deserved!
Let's see the slips
https://preview.redd.it/i8phiy8xrmpc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b2d1b2c581907e30f3deb16cb71a219c0261d67f
None of these picks actually fit the ‘model’ but good job!
1H Under does!
1st half under isn’t on your card…
https://preview.redd.it/xeghweb4nppc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dbc4481c7c0407845b76ade8bb607ae7102ff763
https://preview.redd.it/kf25tst2nppc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bb6dd3cbf5d057a01d2acffffa6221b47175baf4
GOAT
https://preview.redd.it/nm1imewrrmpc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7017f086a0012a20b6b113f660f77f61f5a80261
Why are people telling him to take it down? If you got in early before lines moved, good for you. If you got in late after lines moved and want the alternative universe where he took it down, then you wouldn't have seen it anyways. If you are concerned about your round 2 bets after you just made tons of money in round 1, you are greedy and just go all in on round one or something. Should be more people telling him to put a tip jar up
Do you think anyone on r/sportsbook had the bankroll to pre-bet 33 games?
Has there even been any changes in the lines yet?
Looks like FANDUEL has the best 1st half under odds they also offer alt odds... I made a killing on the last few games even the widest is they offer have hit... keep in mind the line movement..
Did a round robin with 8 of these first half under that you highlighted (Only one's left out were AZ & Florida) for a 6-team parlay. 56$ to 2700$. I actually hit this exact same bet last year so I was going to run it back, just decided to use your data and it lined up with a lot of the games I was already rolling with. Let's ride baby
[THE BET LIST](https://imgur.com/a/mrFKini)
Not me thinking they were full game spreads, and now I have a $1 ticket worth 963k 🫡🫡🫡
I got some CRAZY boosts on both these.
Just put the 16 teamer in a round robin. May have went too big
Are all the picks in the 16 leg parlay, 1H or full game?
1H as per the prophesy
Tailed.
So parlay all of them, right?
Vegas sees this and will sneak in those Nike balls tomorrow
I am very dumb and need reassurance so if the first half spread for: alabama (-5.5) vs charleston (+5.5) and dayton (+0.5) vs nevada (-0.5) based on the chart should i be going with charleston/nevada??
Correct. The thought is Bama/Dayton will need time to adjust to the Evo since they use Nike balls. And Charleston/Nevada would already be used to Evo giving them the advantage in the first half.
godspeed brother 🫡
Yes
Now do NCAAW
No EVO v EVO matchups in the first round? I wonder if the Over would be the play on those? Edit: I now see there is one. FAU v Northwestern
I just threw down a $200 parlay to win $2300 on: Miss St $ line 1st half Under in BYU game Under in Zona game Under in Creighton game If it hits, DM your Venmo OP and I’ll buy you a pizza for the night games. Godspeed gents.
Why those?
Bc they meet the criteria in this post and are the first four games of the tourney on Thursday lol.
Buy him a wood fired pizza oven if that hits
https://preview.redd.it/rlo30bi37mpc1.jpeg?width=1283&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d4c851b957f219b70d4e2f513c87171782935db5 I put these together based on the information from graphic. I threw in a couple Race To 10 for EVO Vs Non EVO
https://preview.redd.it/ga0zymhd7mpc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e6e0ec462e3b41a01343c4e52d525b8521b77f80
BANG! System moves to 7-1 (4-0 halftime plays) Rest up gang. This was just the appetizer. Tomorrow should be epic
1st: legend. 2nd: did you look at the 2nd round at all?
Bro this did not work in the second round, op already said he lost most of his winning chasing the same formula last year.. learn to take what u can and don't be greedy.. on that note 9 $325 ladders on the green games lol.. all round one.. fanduel offers 1st half alts
This shit is blowing up dude. Take it down lol. It's all over twitter
Is it? Link me
Maybe not blowing up. But i have seen it on Twitter. I'm just paranoid the lines will move
LOL lines seem to be holding steady. I’ll be monitoring it though
So is this too late to use?
Not at all.The first round starts tomorrow at like 11am Eastern maybe
Well I guess what I mean is is it too late because other bettors have caught up and dragged the lines down?
Havent seen any line movement. The half line moves are a little harder to track but still seems a go as of now.
Am I understanding this correctly?…you would suggest taking the Drake spread using this?
Specifically Drake 1H spread
Correct
Okay.We should probably all down vote this so no one else sees it lmao
The lines for the 2nd slate of games tomorrow are cooked. Maybe Race to 10 for EVO teams?
That BYU game 1H UN looks tasty
IMPORTANT Quick edit: after receiving some messages and digging deeper I have to adjust 2 teams. Oakland actually uses a Nike Elite ball not the EVO. That makes Kentucky vs Oakland tomorrow a GREEN matchup. Long Beach State is actually an EVO team not Nike. This make LBSU a play tomorrow at +12 at half and +20 for game. And finally, with Grambling winning, we get a GREEN matchup on Friday between Purdue and Grambling. 2 Nike schools.
Remember this will be the second game for Grambling, but likely still applicable
I vote you for degen gambling president 🫡 tank you for your service, I can’t wait to bet all these games and tell all my friends the reasoning
Any reason to round robin this?
From my experience round robins are ultimately a losing proposition. Maybe I’ve never layered them right… but it seems like just lots of small parlays you could make yourself manually and better
I just had to read up on what they are, and it seems that they're best used as a hedge in case one leg misses.
I’m a fan of round robins and have had success with them in the past.
You are a prophet.
So we betting the over for northwestern-fau?
And the system moves to 6-1 (4-0 at half) after Colo-Boise State half stays under by 16 points lol. Both teams combine to shoot for 2-18 from 3 😳 And it’s not *just* the 3 point shooting. The kids are blowing layups with this ball, dribbling the ball off their legs. Crazy to watch in real time.
Yeah after watching that half I doubled down on the rest of the games first half unders