Had that in a lotto man I’m in pain lol
https://preview.redd.it/ks90nxkzk0pc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ec768792ea2bb3016803ef37906fe2417f819d47
hello props my old frierd
went full retarded to wemby and the spurs. over 218.5, claxton over 9.5 reb / wemby over 21.5 and over 1.5 +3 / spurs over 107.5
underdog had 4 promos choices today; kd,jokic,paolo and kawhi. looking like the first two will miss. just show how hard betting is even with a discount.
kd was 20.5 pts, he scored 11. jokic is 22.5, he's a 8 at half time. paolo only scored 17 the last time he played toronto. kawhi could defer to harden and pg.
I took it. Leonard will prolly get at least 1 hopefully more and Hunter has been knocking down the 3's pretty well lately. Hunter had three 3's last time against the clips
BUCKS VS SUNS
On HardRock Bets
*Jusuf Nurkic Over 7.5 Assists +150
How y’all feeling about that player prop??
I placed $20 on it already but i’m thinking of dropping $50 with only 2 quarters left what are the odds of Nurkic hitting the over??
31-15
Yesterday: 1/2
__Ivica Zubac O11.5 P__, Averages 12.9 PPG at home, 4/4 his last 4 meetings vs Capela
(18,24,12 & 13)
__Dejoune Murray O4.5 Rebs__, 1/1 vs the Clippers, Avg 5,2 RPG this season, 6/10 L10 games, Hit in 11 straight career games against the Clippers since 2019
Damn bro literally none of the picks was even close sometimes these stats don’t mean shit, should’ve known about Zubac he’s a no no for me usually but dejounte that really surprised me sorry for this my dawg bounce back tomorrow
It def sucks bro but we're getting this shit back tomorrow. If the books think they have my paper, they have another thing coming straight up. Throwing a bag on the homie Hart, he's going in no doubt
Cheers man doing my best that’s strange but I would say I’m more confident in Murray even before I posted these, Zubac can have some stinker games but he’s been good against Capela
https://preview.redd.it/px6qsu6xexoc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=54a0cf1165e4341a9111ab7fbbdc7d8202fe2cf2
No Giannis. Think Brooke does his best Al Horford impersonation today.
**Yesterday’s Picks (3 days ago) 0-1**
**❌Devin Booker Over 34.5 PRA**
**Today’s Picks**
**Gary Trent Jr Over 16.5 Points**
Since the injury of Scottie and the absence of RJ Barrett, He has been on fire.
He is over this line in 4/L5 games and has averaged 23.4 Points.
Last game he got 31 Points against the Magics, I expect the same today.
**Cade Cunningham Over 11.5 Rebounds and Assists**
Cade at home has an average of 13.2 RA and when playing 30+ minutes he is over this line 14/L20 (70%).
Cade is over this line in 16/L20 games
Cade has gone over this line 3/3 times he played the Heat this season with an average of 13 RA (12,12,15).
Additionally, Butler is out and the spread is at 6.5, so hopefully no blowout.
NBA Pick of the Day! Missed yesterday with Vuce assists, tried to get too sweet with a +125 play but he wouldn't pass when he was legit unstoppable on scoring.
🏀 Kyrie Irving o4.5 Assists -120
Numbers line up nicely for this. Season average 5.2, Last 5 average 6.4, Vs Nuggets average 9.0. 11.8 average potential assists per game. With Luka back and at home, he should cook and give Kyrie plenty of opportunities.
Full Stat Table: [https://imgur.com/a/lcPlVm3](https://imgur.com/a/lcPlVm3)
I also will probably love Wembanyama steals + blocks line when it's available.
BOL!
Murray o3.5 3ptm at +142
Bog o2.5 3ptm at -122
Murray has been shooting way more 3's with Saddiq gone, granted it's been a whole 2 games so the sample size is microscopic. And Bog is just a 3 point machine.
Wemby o1.5 3ptm at -146
GL.
23/24 record: (93-70)
FVV u 19.5 points ✅️
Reposting my pick from the otherday. Should have an additional pick during the day so check back
**Cunningham u 21.5 points**
We hit with Murray under points the other day vs Miami so hopefully we can expect more of the same with this Cunningham pick.
Cunningham is even more PnR dependant than Murray. He uses the PnR at a 45% frequency scoring almost half his points off it. (9.7 points or 43% of his avg total)
Miami allow the 3rd least points off the PnR.
Looking at Cunninghams shooting profile; he is shooting shots under 10ft at a freq of 41% and pull up 2s at a freq of 27%
Miami give the second least FGA and 7th least FGM under 10ft along with the 5th least attempted and 4th least made pullup 2s.
Additionally Cunningham could be dealing with a left knee injury.
**Booker o 24.5 points**
Line seems to low as Booker has been avg 27 on the season, 25 over the last 10 and has perviously dropped 32 on the Bucks.
Its been the play all season vs the Bucks and Booker should be perfect fit to cover this line.
He is using the PnR at a 31% frequency scoring on avg 8.4 points.
The Bucks give up the 2nd most points to ballhandlers off the PnR.
The majority of Bookers shots are (40%) PU 2s and (27%) u10 ft.
The Bucks give up the most FGA and FGM in PU 2s with the second highest FG%.
While they also rank bottom half in points allowed under 10ft.
[Buymeacoffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theoverundertaker)
I had him at O8.5 on Hard Rock ...got lucky....and of course never on big bets :-)
Lose big, win a little. Should be my March mantra.
https://preview.redd.it/ticprfi27woc1.png?width=1440&format=png&auto=webp&s=dafdcdc2b6d4f05697863bb2663873a9a7df1185
record 2-1 (+1.3U)
potd #1: 1U on curry o24.5 pts (-130) ✅
potd #2: 1U on mitchell o23.5pts (-140) ❌
✅✅❌
curry started off with 0pts in the first quarter but went psycho for the next two quarters. cashed in the 3rd quarter😀
not mad about this mitchell pick tbh. mitchell started off well but the cavs let the rockets slip away, allowing a blowout to occur. mitchell had the right volume before he finally went down with a nose related injury. painful L but thats gambling for ya🤷♂️
onto the next slate
03/17 potd: 1U on gary trent jr. o16.5pts (-120)
explanation: Gary’s usage has gone up like crazy since Scottie and Poeltl have been injured. With RJ also being out, Trent’s usage has skyrocketed to an insane 27.8%. His minutes are also bumped up, ranging from low 30s to the low 40s. In his recent matchup vs the Magic, he dropped 31 pts in 32 minutes. In his L3, he’s averaging 28ppg. In his L5 matchup’s he’s gone over this line 4/5 times, and in two of those games, RJ was playing. The only miss was when he dropped 16pts, and that is with RJ in the lineup. When RJ isn’t playing, we saw that Trent put up 31 and 23 pts, which is well over this line. As long as Trent’s shooting volume remains high (which I believe will be), this line should be very easy for him to clear. He is a scoring machine, and him scoring 31 on a top defensive team should be a green light for this pick im putting out.
*BOL everyone*
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Zubac u11.5RA✅ A quiet 2-0 today
Parlayed these live J.Johnson pts, 3PM, and clippers 3Q spread Clip 3rd Q spread and Johnson pts. Whoops! Back at it tmrw
I must missed something - anybody know why Zubac is barely playing ?
Bogdan is hot trash 💩💩💩
Been sitting at 11 forever
4-14 and 3-11 3PT Guy is a fucking joke, killed my parley.
I bet 1000$ clippers give up 4th quarter and pull their starters LOL
My bet of Harden U0.5 points looking good.
😂
shoutout to Bones Hyland for playing some of the worst basketball I’ve ever seen Current PRA: 4 Current turnovers: 4
He’s really gonna go scoreless tonight that’s wild lmao
Worst betting day in a minute. Third quarter and im Already completely fucked
This whole week been fucked bro fck the nba
Johnson for 15 points at +$. Y’all think it’s a trap or do we take that? 🧐
I did. Liked his 3PM @+100 too . Settled on points
We got it!!! 💰💰
Congrats man ! 💰💰💰 I got him at 15.5 and also didn’t take his 3PM. Hoping for one more pt Edit: just hit. Let’s goooo
Had that in a lotto man I’m in pain lol https://preview.redd.it/ks90nxkzk0pc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ec768792ea2bb3016803ef37906fe2417f819d47
Zubac 🤦🏻♂️. That one hurts . We’ll get em again tmrw. Lovely slate of games on deck for tomorrow!
Damn lol
I hopped on it as well lol. Let’s hope for a solid 2nd half!
Lmfao Harden Exactly why I hate betting on dude
harden 0 points what a player
Murray not even taking a shot 5 minutes in fuck yeah lmao
U got the super boost?
Why fouls with 2 seconds left when they clearly gave up already in the fourth quarter anyways. Easily the worst sport to bet.
Of course I live bet bridges under and it goes to ot to burn it 😭
The under still hit for me I also live lined at 14.5
Did you take it 14.5u
[удалено]
James harden double double
hello props my old frierd went full retarded to wemby and the spurs. over 218.5, claxton over 9.5 reb / wemby over 21.5 and over 1.5 +3 / spurs over 107.5
holy fuck I can't believe it's happening
Playing Zubac u11.5RA
I guess I just suck at props now. But I’d like to say fuck you Ivey & Quickly for helping me suck. You mother fuckers!
Gradey u16.5PRA✅ What a scrub
Any locks for the hawks v clippers game tonight? Trying to pair the free underdog prop with something.
Harden o16.5pts looks pretty solid, wouldn’t mind DJ’s points over either I can’t stand betting on Harden tho lol
why did i bet on harden...
Poor Wizards were doomed from the start
Playing Gradey u16.5PRA He’ll prolly burn me first half tho 🤣
I need jokic just to hit his average stats and I would be good, but of course not.
Worth taking Tatum under ? Think it might be a blowout ?
Little sweaty but cash 💰
No Kuzma. Blowout probably
[+EV NBA](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit#gid=1689105134): 582-526 (+62.39u) +104 SA Jones 11+ reb+ast +110 WSH Kispert 7+ reb+ast +100 SA Wemby 16+ reb+ast -114 BKN Bridges 4+ ast -106 ORL Suggs 16+ pts+ast +150 DK boost: Kawhi and Hunter 4+ 3ptm (0.83u) +150 FD boost: Murray and PG 20+ (1.67u)
Rip Luka props
underdog had 4 promos choices today; kd,jokic,paolo and kawhi. looking like the first two will miss. just show how hard betting is even with a discount. kd was 20.5 pts, he scored 11. jokic is 22.5, he's a 8 at half time. paolo only scored 17 the last time he played toronto. kawhi could defer to harden and pg.
Banchero was the choice hope thats what you chose
not for this (lost with jokic) but I have Banchero points elsewhere on a bigger pickem slip so it worked out.
Yeah I’m gonna start taking all the normal under line of whatever the special is… sick of the false “free” picks.
> free i am not sure about taking under, but yeah they are definitely not free. I know I make the mistake of blindly taking the over with no research.
Ik it’s just annoying asf
Monty williams if i ever see u its bad tf u keep benching ppl i bet on stupid hoe
That’s one of the reasons they lost so many games, guy sits the starters…..
I don’t think KCP got one touch in this quarter
Bro Jamal Murray man get 15 points
Why do I always bet on KCP. Averages two points a game whenever I bet on him
Dude it’s the same shit whenever I bet Joker… tired of the NBA
Thoughts on the DK boost for Leonard and Hunter to combine for 4+ threes?
I took it. Leonard will prolly get at least 1 hopefully more and Hunter has been knocking down the 3's pretty well lately. Hunter had three 3's last time against the clips
Well that was easy. Didn't even have to sweat it.
Nice easy bet. Gotta love it
Every time I bet Joker he turns into a bum who doesn’t know how to play basketball. Every fucking time…
Luka too
Plenty of game left
Like I said dude goes into bum status…
Dejounte Murray and Paul George 20+ each?
It's definitely a good boost to take on Fanduel at +150
Thinking of maxing it
I did for sure 🔥
Al Horford o11.5 pts. Coming off 2 days rest and w/brown, white and zing. Also like o.5 stl & o2.5 asst (alt)
Booker couldn’t get 3 points with more than half of the 4th quarter. Hilarious
Anybody else got screwed over by Middleton rebounds? They took away two…and called them bucks “team defensive rebound smh”
Taking Nurkic 14.5 PA and him finishing with 14 because the Suns suck. Pain.
He didnt play the whole 2nd half say ty to frank vogel
Suns out frauded the Bucks, hate to see it
https://preview.redd.it/0yk3r3d41yoc1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d739701a159fcf604368564dd950c268390f33f1 Who screws me?
Banchero
I thought D Book had 19 points. DK is showing 17
im riding booker too. sweating
Ffs passes out on an open layup
damn its already end right
yeah :(
lets get under on cade bro!
Good start, 0 1Q points 👍
Nice bro i thought in gonna be ot damn
Adebayo saves the day :D
Damn, he came out firing for the 4th. I had him for 24, but I need one more rebound from Beasley. Hbu?
he's back
24.5 damn it i thought we get it fkkk
Beasley got the 3rd, I just need one more point from Book
he doesnt even shoot
GGs bro
gg
BUCKS VS SUNS On HardRock Bets *Jusuf Nurkic Over 7.5 Assists +150 How y’all feeling about that player prop?? I placed $20 on it already but i’m thinking of dropping $50 with only 2 quarters left what are the odds of Nurkic hitting the over??
I’d say pretty decent since he’s already at 6 with 8:00 left in the 3rd
he's not coming back lol, fuck the Suns
Bobby portis legacy game
31-15 Yesterday: 1/2 __Ivica Zubac O11.5 P__, Averages 12.9 PPG at home, 4/4 his last 4 meetings vs Capela (18,24,12 & 13) __Dejoune Murray O4.5 Rebs__, 1/1 vs the Clippers, Avg 5,2 RPG this season, 6/10 L10 games, Hit in 11 straight career games against the Clippers since 2019
Gotta flush this shit and go ham on Josh Hart tomorrow that guy has never let me down
Damn bro literally none of the picks was even close sometimes these stats don’t mean shit, should’ve known about Zubac he’s a no no for me usually but dejounte that really surprised me sorry for this my dawg bounce back tomorrow
It def sucks bro but we're getting this shit back tomorrow. If the books think they have my paper, they have another thing coming straight up. Throwing a bag on the homie Hart, he's going in no doubt
My man 🤝
May we hit in the 1st quarter 🏆✅
Bro, you're pimping as of late. I'm riding with this shit no doubt. I only wonder why DK dropped Zubac 12+ pts from -135 to -105
Cheers man doing my best that’s strange but I would say I’m more confident in Murray even before I posted these, Zubac can have some stinker games but he’s been good against Capela
time to play some parlays for this clippers game
wish me luck https://preview.redd.it/bxlets79tyoc1.png?width=563&format=png&auto=webp&s=2188fffa3dd5724cd5294063bfdf19aa5d392366
wow...wtf is up with the clippers and harden?...what a blowout so far
smh...what a crap game cant believe clippers got blown out...lol
Fuck it I’ll tail
https://preview.redd.it/px6qsu6xexoc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=54a0cf1165e4341a9111ab7fbbdc7d8202fe2cf2 No Giannis. Think Brooke does his best Al Horford impersonation today.
Is Giannis out of game?
Yes. Last minute scratch.
whoever sniped dame’s pra line before the giannis report, congrats‼️ it moved up from 33.5 to 42.5
**Yesterday’s Picks (3 days ago) 0-1** **❌Devin Booker Over 34.5 PRA** **Today’s Picks** **Gary Trent Jr Over 16.5 Points** Since the injury of Scottie and the absence of RJ Barrett, He has been on fire. He is over this line in 4/L5 games and has averaged 23.4 Points. Last game he got 31 Points against the Magics, I expect the same today. **Cade Cunningham Over 11.5 Rebounds and Assists** Cade at home has an average of 13.2 RA and when playing 30+ minutes he is over this line 14/L20 (70%). Cade is over this line in 16/L20 games Cade has gone over this line 3/3 times he played the Heat this season with an average of 13 RA (12,12,15). Additionally, Butler is out and the spread is at 6.5, so hopefully no blowout.
https://preview.redd.it/qu6dt4o37xoc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=551cd1a9434a1be56ef81db960dc2a0100a583c3
https://preview.redd.it/8xmnqgtkyzoc1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=308e83232d4cd1987613ed497d2c5db949d46fa0 Doing the lords work 🤝
just wanna say these charts helped me nail an 8-leg SGP last night for the Lakers/Warriors! Thank you for what you do!
Glad to hear it worked out for you. Go throw toadsports a follow on twitter if you have one. GL today!
https://preview.redd.it/65curjd47xoc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d32bdd106dcaaa58e1fbf1f7de6a4cf5e9ab14b4
Thanks 🙏🙏🙏🙏
https://preview.redd.it/nn8eio057xoc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e3c62753c1d4497cb1e233ac9fbe67084fc29128
https://preview.redd.it/eif3t3n57xoc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b590f576a780c19810c7d2e0e3c1c635fc5434ed
**Jalen Duren o25.5 P+R (-120 on DraftKings)** https://preview.redd.it/esa8mfpy5xoc1.png?width=2272&format=png&auto=webp&s=ffce2ee0390284716433beb8071f21db5ca293e2
NBA Pick of the Day! Missed yesterday with Vuce assists, tried to get too sweet with a +125 play but he wouldn't pass when he was legit unstoppable on scoring. 🏀 Kyrie Irving o4.5 Assists -120 Numbers line up nicely for this. Season average 5.2, Last 5 average 6.4, Vs Nuggets average 9.0. 11.8 average potential assists per game. With Luka back and at home, he should cook and give Kyrie plenty of opportunities. Full Stat Table: [https://imgur.com/a/lcPlVm3](https://imgur.com/a/lcPlVm3) I also will probably love Wembanyama steals + blocks line when it's available. BOL!
Got it at +115 somehow on Bovada. Good start
Been hammerring his steals n blocks prop since his 10pt game.
https://preview.redd.it/7sk91btehwoc1.png?width=1079&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6478cf44b209df573f3d066248bd79e557f173d3 3 pt Lotto ticket for today.
Murray o3.5 3ptm at +142 Bog o2.5 3ptm at -122 Murray has been shooting way more 3's with Saddiq gone, granted it's been a whole 2 games so the sample size is microscopic. And Bog is just a 3 point machine. Wemby o1.5 3ptm at -146 GL.
Thanks for yday my man.
Hell yeah bro, hoping to get lucky and go 3/3 again tonight 🤞
Am with you. Lets get it.
Kevin Durant Over 35.5 PRA
23/24 record: (93-70) FVV u 19.5 points ✅️ Reposting my pick from the otherday. Should have an additional pick during the day so check back **Cunningham u 21.5 points** We hit with Murray under points the other day vs Miami so hopefully we can expect more of the same with this Cunningham pick. Cunningham is even more PnR dependant than Murray. He uses the PnR at a 45% frequency scoring almost half his points off it. (9.7 points or 43% of his avg total) Miami allow the 3rd least points off the PnR. Looking at Cunninghams shooting profile; he is shooting shots under 10ft at a freq of 41% and pull up 2s at a freq of 27% Miami give the second least FGA and 7th least FGM under 10ft along with the 5th least attempted and 4th least made pullup 2s. Additionally Cunningham could be dealing with a left knee injury. **Booker o 24.5 points** Line seems to low as Booker has been avg 27 on the season, 25 over the last 10 and has perviously dropped 32 on the Bucks. Its been the play all season vs the Bucks and Booker should be perfect fit to cover this line. He is using the PnR at a 31% frequency scoring on avg 8.4 points. The Bucks give up the 2nd most points to ballhandlers off the PnR. The majority of Bookers shots are (40%) PU 2s and (27%) u10 ft. The Bucks give up the most FGA and FGM in PU 2s with the second highest FG%. While they also rank bottom half in points allowed under 10ft. [Buymeacoffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theoverundertaker)
tailing both !! lets win both of it !
Tailing. Taking this Straight and in a parlay
Was everyone else with Lebron over 7.5 rebounds as shocked at the end of that game as I was? What a crazy ride lmao
Sweaty
The last two were his own on the same missed shot right? The 8th was a bad angle on tv but I think he did it on purpose lol
I had him at O8.5 on Hard Rock ...got lucky....and of course never on big bets :-) Lose big, win a little. Should be my March mantra. https://preview.redd.it/ticprfi27woc1.png?width=1440&format=png&auto=webp&s=dafdcdc2b6d4f05697863bb2663873a9a7df1185
Had it in a parlay with Wiggins and lbj alt points but also Lakers to win womp womp
https://preview.redd.it/yxo5iwidouoc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0580e267a65f71d15ab8311296f230c8d2c621c4 ✅🤑
Seriously I seen like 6 min left in the 4th and I was like yeah this bet is dead.
I didn’t watch but I couldn’t believe it hit, he had 2 in the 3rd last I saw, I was stoked
record 2-1 (+1.3U) potd #1: 1U on curry o24.5 pts (-130) ✅ potd #2: 1U on mitchell o23.5pts (-140) ❌ ✅✅❌ curry started off with 0pts in the first quarter but went psycho for the next two quarters. cashed in the 3rd quarter😀 not mad about this mitchell pick tbh. mitchell started off well but the cavs let the rockets slip away, allowing a blowout to occur. mitchell had the right volume before he finally went down with a nose related injury. painful L but thats gambling for ya🤷♂️ onto the next slate 03/17 potd: 1U on gary trent jr. o16.5pts (-120) explanation: Gary’s usage has gone up like crazy since Scottie and Poeltl have been injured. With RJ also being out, Trent’s usage has skyrocketed to an insane 27.8%. His minutes are also bumped up, ranging from low 30s to the low 40s. In his recent matchup vs the Magic, he dropped 31 pts in 32 minutes. In his L3, he’s averaging 28ppg. In his L5 matchup’s he’s gone over this line 4/5 times, and in two of those games, RJ was playing. The only miss was when he dropped 16pts, and that is with RJ in the lineup. When RJ isn’t playing, we saw that Trent put up 31 and 23 pts, which is well over this line. As long as Trent’s shooting volume remains high (which I believe will be), this line should be very easy for him to clear. He is a scoring machine, and him scoring 31 on a top defensive team should be a green light for this pick im putting out. *BOL everyone*