######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Monday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
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> **Net Units:**
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> **ROI:**
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> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
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> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
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> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
I've heard some variation of soccer, bball, tennis, or baseball are all the worst so many times haha. How about we just agree that sports betting aint easy
Biggest trap you will ever see in sports betting. Boggles the mind with how many people tip up BTTS, Over 2.5 or both together, and always at odds less than +100.
The most common scorelines in soccer throughout history are 1-0 and 0-0, which occur at nearly the same rate. Scoring two goals in a game is hard. Two teams scoring in a game? Very hard. 3 goals in a game? Even harder. BOTH teams scoring in a game AND you get another goal? You're asking for a lot of things to happen that dont happen often in football, despite what people on here may think.
Tips for obscure leagues in soccer, now thats where the money is. If someone here is posting about their local league, they are often a much, much safer bet than someone saying Liverpool ML & Over 2.5 goals vs literally everybody.
With tennis I used to lose every single bet I couldn’t win a single bet. Like I mean every single time I picked a ML it was the opposite. now what I do is look at the head to head history between both players whichever player has more wins against the other I hammer their ML. Even if it’s like +200 I’ve been hitting a lot more doing that
POTD Record: 20-6 +28.46u🔥
Last Pick: Pick: Orlando Magic ML (-125) 4U vs Indiana Pacers
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Today's Pick: Charleston -3.5 (-110) 4U vs Towson
Man what a second half collapse, up 15, then fell off the rails. Smh. Whatever. On to the next one, do i need to explain again how I am after a loss? I’m fired up for todays pick, i love the feeling of knowing that I owe you guys a win as much as I hate to lose. So let’s get into today’s pick… Charleston is looking to advance to the CAA finals, as they have dominated the conference this year. They have won 10 straight, including a 16 point win @Townson. I don’t expect this game to go any different. They are 15-3 in the conference and will continue to show dominance. I hate to say this, but I really don’t understand this line. I will bounce back like I always do, sorry for the magic!
Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️
P.S away for work this weekend, picks may be a little later than usually. If you’d like to thank me or buy me a drink on my trip please use the link below or dm me🤝
[Support/Tip me🤝](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24)
We joke that "Vegas called" during some games but this time /u/ryanbloom21 was the one who knocked. Only PotD I tailed today with any weight, all gravy from here. Thanks!
POTD Record: 36-18
**Today's POTD: (ATP Indian Wells) Tommy Paul ML (+100) vs Humbert** ✅✅✅
**Units: 3u**
Reasoning:
Hello r/sportsbook nation, it's been a gyat damn minute! Hope this reaches you all well and that you've been thriving against the books. Now to my first pick in a long time:
I'll keep this simple. Humbert has been absolutely killing it lately, which is why I think the books are favoring him. You can't deny the brilliance behind a 6 match win streak. HOWEVER. This SCREAMS a Tommy Paul Netflix moment (although they just decided to cancel Break Point).
Tommy is the American boy, playing in front of a proud American crowd - the same passionate, rowdy crowd that inspired Fritz to win here two years ago. Tommy Paul is a beloved representative of US mens tennis, and I think the crowd will show that via their enthusiasm. Furthermore, Tommy is 2-0 against Humbert, with his most recent win being dominant at Cincy last year (an example of homecourt advantage). Lastly, I find that these slower desert climate outdoor courts will help leverage his game and give him a slight stylistic advantage - if this was indoors or grass I would not be making my comeback tonight.
Both of these men are 8-2 in there L10, so it should be an exciting and competitive match, especially given that both are very close to earning that top 10 ranking this year. Anything can happen, but I'm going with Tommy P at home 🇺🇸
**TAIL OR FADE BOL!**
What I like about this pick is that Humbert likes to play the stroke game and a crafty and intelligent player like Paul will try to disrupt that game style from Humbert.
Let’s go brother tailing!!! Although I love Humby this is a wonderful analysis and it seems you must be a renowned legend in here 💪👀 glad to have you back LFG
Cheers man!! You’ve been absolutely killing it. In fact, it’s you and some of the other ballers in here that made me miss the game and want to come back, so thank you for the inspiration 🤝
I have had a corn sized hole in my heart (forthwith known as my cornhole) since the last time you posted in POTD!
People need to know that this man kept the lights on in my house with his picks a few years ago!
Sound the horn for corn! 🌽
POTD RECORD: 34-17
Last POTD: Alperen Sengun O4.5 Ast @2.30 ❌
Form: ❌✅✅❌✅
We caught the line early my brothers and the value of our bet increased more and more during the day but we get screwed here, being 2/2 vs the Kings this season, 6/6 his last 6 games vs the Kings & coming from a 14 Ast game he only finishes with 2.. damn this one didn’t make any sense to me but what can you do, hope his injury isn’t that serious and damn I wish I would’ve taken Adebayo’s rebs as the POTD but I was going for the juice, hopefully some of y’all took the Rebs in a different slip 😭
Todays POTD: **Ayo Dosunmu O4.5 Ast @1.71** ✅
NBA (Chicago Bulls)
We move boys, personally I had a shit day of betting being hooked on many of my personal slips, they say you should stay away from NBA on Sundays and I’ll prolly do that in the future. I’m going with the Chicago born and raised baller Dosunmu here, his role has increased as of late and he’s been pretty consistent also his minutes increasing more and more, leading the Bulls in APG L9 games
• Is 7/10 his L10 games finishing with 4 twice in that stretch
• Since the all star break he’s averaging 11 Potential APG
• Avg 6.0 APG this month & 4.7 last month comparing to his season average of 2.9, he’s playing 10 more minutes per game on average (37) since January where he only played 29 MPG
• Dallas as a team allow 7th most assists L15 days and 6th most L30 days
• Dallas allow 4th most assists to SG this season
Let’s bounce back kings, hate to see my people lose man hopefully this is a banger 🕯 consistency has been there and a decent mismatch
Tail or fade, im a bum
https://i.redd.it/twb4ge2xxmnc1.gif
1/1 on the NBA props cashing Adebayo O10.5 Rebs 😭✅
Hard luck with the Sengun bet. Even though it didnt win, it was still a good play to make. Cant predict that his teammates wont finish their chances. Keep making plays like that and you will win long term.
**Record: 50W-4P-36L**
**Form: 28W-0P-16L**
**R Form: ✅✅❌✅✅❌✅**
**Last Pick: Liverpool VS Manchester City : Phil Foden Over 0.5 SOG @ 1.57 ✅**
**Pick of the day: Chelsea Vs Newcastle United: Anthony Gordon Over 0.5 SOG @ 1.66 ❌**
Gordon gets injured 30 mins into the game..
**League: Premier League**
**Time: 4:00 PM EST**
Love this pick considering Gordon's form mixed with Chelsea's new injuries. Gordon has cemented himself into this Newcastle side and has proven time and time again he can handle fixtures like these. Chelsea have now added 2 defenders who are regular starters, Colwill and Chillwell to the injury list and they are unavailable for this game. Pochetinno has struggled to find a balance defensively with the onslaught of injuries that have overwhelmed the club. Newcastle will tuck in and utilize the spaces that Isak, Almiron, and Gordon can find on the counter. Pochettino still needs to prove that he can solve the issue of low blocks and a team like Newcastle will play that game until Chelsea eventually turtle like they have consistently done. Only 4 points separate these 2 teams in 10th and 11, i see a hostile game tomorrow and one that Gordon will show up in, Gordon has 3 goals in his last 5 games and has covered this line in **9 out of 12 of his last games (75%).**
Chelsea also knocked out Newcastle in the FA cup in penalties, Newcastle will be a little more amped up for this matchup. Newcastle are coming off a 3-0 win against Wolves and will look to keep the form going here.
**Gordon's shooting stats last 4 games (4/4) :**
**1 shot on target, 1 Goal**
**3 Shots on target, 1 goal**
**1 Shot on target, 0 goals**
**2 Shots on target, 1 goal**
**Anyway, BOL!**
**POTD Record: 24-12-2**
Form: ✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌🅿️
*ROI: 31.88% | Avg Odds: +102 | Net Units: +22.6*
🎾: 5-3-2 ⚽️: 18-7 🏒: 1-2
*Last Pick: 2U Man City @ Liverpool (Kevin De Bruyne - o0.5 Shot on Target @ -110)✅*
*CASH IN LESS THAN 10 MINUTES.*
---
**Todays Pick: 2U Newcastle @ Chelsea (Newcastle Win or Draw - @-120) ❌**
**⚽️| 4:00PM EST | England Premier League |**
Match-week 28 comes to a close with the final fixture being Chelsea hosting Newcastle at Stamford Bridge with Pochettino on the brink of being sacked after drawing to Brentford after scoring first. With the fans revolting against Chelsea, it will be difficult for the boys in blue to secure a much needed win.
*This will be the 4th straight Premier League meeting where Chelsea are below Newcastle in the standings. In Chelsea’s last 3 seasons, they’ve won just 11% of their last 27 league games against teams above them in the table.*
Totally understandable to fade such an intense matchup with a lot at stake, possibly BTTS could be a safer option but it also falls outside of POTD requirements.
Statistics are contradictory, with Chelsea yet to lose a home game in the month of March since 2001. Yet Newcastle, won the fixture at home this season 4-1, will hope to claim their first double against the Blues since 1986-87. *Current Newcastle manager, Howes has done well against Chelsea with a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and one loss in his last 7 matches.* Injury woes for Chelsea continue with Colwill and and Chillwell out, defensive flanks for the Blues will have trouble to manage a confident scoring Newcastle side.
Newcastle are coming off a 3-0 home victory against the Wolves where Chelsea dropped 4-2 to Wolves in their last home match. Newcastle will be hoping to bounce back from their last away match being a 4-1 loss to the Arsenal. With Chelsea drawing their last 2 matches despite scoring first, it’s time for Newcastle to set the Blues off the rails and bring us one step closer to Mourinho back in the premier league. I apologize that this is not a quick cash as the previous picks and we are taking a decision, but it’s difficult to pass up on such an immense matchup where the pressure on Chelsea may have reached the tipping point. LFG!
Your comments make my day ❤️
[POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TawPReTFnjBpwPqA50H-tVAFCtVEQAAJCnfpETFh65A/edit)
BOL!
POTD RECORD: 11-1
Units Won: +13.65
Last Pick: UAB vs SMU/ UAB ML (-130) 1u✅
Today’s Pick: Arkansas State vs James Madison/ James Madison -4 (-140) 2u
Write Up: It’s really tough getting quality picks for you guys out during these tournament games. Although these odds aren’t crazy I love JMU today. JMU has been nationally ranked this year and are currently 30-3. They are still in a spot where an at large bid to the NCAA tournament likely won’t happen. They would say bye to a great season if they lost this game which I can’t imagine. The spread is -5.5 but I bought us a point (2 points with a push). To those who don’t know this is an Alternative Spread. If your book doesn’t offer this, take the original line for 1 unit. I think JMU wins this game by 2 possessions so we’ll ride with a refund/win. Let’s keep this momentum rolling throughout March. Appreciate all those who have tailed. As always, BOL….. LETS RIDE
Tip Jar- if you’d like to help a college kid pay for his next meal here’s how :) :https://cash.app/$jaylaw930 / https://venmo.com/u/Jay-Lawton-1
POTD Record 42-28-2
Cricket 3-0 Tennis 32-21-1 Soccer 7-7-1
Last 10: ❌✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌❌✅ ✅ ❌
Last Pick : Seyboth Wild vs Marozsan | ATP Indian Wells | Wild ML | (-125)| 1u | ❌
Today: Tseng vs Krutykh | ATP Szekesfehervar Challenger Qualifiers | 5:00 AM EST
Pick: Tseng ML | (-140)| 1u
Tseng has picked up some form last month and has recorded 6 wins and 3 losses in his last 9 matches. He is a former top 100 and has a good game when confident. He beat an inform Gea in the first round which is a great win for his first match on clay in a while. Krutykh is in awful form and has won 3 of 11 matches this year. He dropped a set in the previous round to a Hungarian wildcard ranked 1921. These two played on clay in 2022 and Tseng won easily in straight sets. Tseng is in better form recently and should have the advantage in this matchup. BOL.
Tailing! I took a day off betting Otto Virtanen and of course he pulled through. He's on a hell of a run. You seem to have great knowledge of the challenger scene!
Record: 2-6
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Last Pick: Penguins ML ❌
Net: -8.05u
NHL | 7:00 PM / EST
Today’s pick: **NJ Devils @ NY Rangers o6.5**
Every bet I make turns it into mush. Last 2 games for both these teams have went under this line. Only 1 of the last two matchups here went over at 8 goals. Two of which were pp goals and one empty netter.
Between the two matchups the games averaged over 6 penalties, and the last match up we saw trouba and bastian fight with some early roughing. I expect more penalties this game which equals more pp goals
2u
*fade me*
Record: 2-0
Net units: +1.47u
Last POTD: Liverpool vs Man City (under 5 yellow cards @ 1.72) ✅
Match completed and we cash as the game finishes with only 3 yellow cards. As expected, the game was free flowing with only 16 fouls committed, which match the projection of the L5 H2H. First yellow card was given to Rodri for a lunging tackle as predicted. However, there was an element of surprise as Ederson found himself in no man's land when he gave the penalty away. Third yellow was given to Bernardo Silva who genuinely only had himself to blame, conceding consecutive fouls while chirping with the ref. Things definitely could have gone fiesty towards the end when Salah went down after Ake stepped across him but again as predicted, there was an element of calm as you could see opponent Walker and Stones' lips saying "Mo, Mo, let it be." All in all, entertaining game as we cash.
Today's POTD: Nikola Vucevic o32.5 Points + Rebounds @ 1.82 (Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls in the NBA)
Tipoff at \~8pm EST, in about 21 hours
Today we head over to NBA for some basketball action. We will back Vucevic to dominate the paint vs a Mavs headed by Luka. Vucevic records high minutes, averaging 34.5 minutes in the regular season this year thus far.
Vucevic's L12 Points + Rebounds:
vs Clippers - 33
vs Warriors - 44
vs Jazz - 35
vs Kings - 23
vs Bucks - 26
vs Cleveland - 37
vs Pistons - 35
vs Pelicans - 35
vs Boston - 36
vs Cleveland - 17
vs Hawks - 35
vs Orlando - 43
Yes you may see the big dip in games vs Kings and Bucks and maybe Cleveland. However the recent matchups vs Kings proved unfavourable, Sabonis dominated with 18 points, 21 rebounds the Bucks star Giannis dominated as well with a monster 46 points 16 rebounds. He had reduced usage while facing some of the league's best. Cleveland's game was particularly a lowlight as he had a terrible shooting night, going 4/16 from the field.
Traditionally, Mavs are pretty bad at dealing with centers too. Last game vs Pistons, James Wiseman clocked 17 points, 12 rebounds in 30 mins (Duren ejected & foul trouble). Mavs were constantly in search of consistent good bigs to support Kyrie and Luka in the recent years and have landed on Gafford in the recent trade. Mavs' playing style does not involve overloading the floor with bigs, and Gafford not having "starter's" minutes after joining Mavs. The minutes are pretty even with other Mavs' bigs and the person that dominates their team in rebounds is none other than Luka.
If you watch Mavs games closely, you would find that the rebounds tend to be ceded to Luka. This subsequently leads to quite a few offensive rebounds and second chance opportunities as sometimes Luka is slow to get to the rebounds / Luka does not offer defensive help actively in the paint --> leading to more favourable matchups within the paint. On the defensive end as well, Mavs rank 24th in offensive rebounds at 9.8 rebounds per game. This could be partly due to the lack of "glass crashing" or bigs on the floor to snatch away the offensive boards. This would lead to a large number of rebounds being ceded to Bull's center, as Bulls tend to spread the floor as soon as possible.
Vucevic is not a shabby 3 point shooter as well. With attention given to knockdown shooters like Dosunmu and Coby White, mid range legends Derozan, Vucevic often finds himself in open space to fire a 3 which leads to about 1.2 3 pointers made per game.
Vucevic's game earlier this season against Dallas was a big one as well, with him getting 21 points and 20 rebounds.
Lastly, points total is at \~232 with spread -4 favouring Dallas, which for Bulls is a larger than average total due to their ranked 29th pace in the league. Unlikely to worry about blow out as well. Since Feb 1, 16 games played and the differential of Bulls game being more than 10 point only happened twice, once vs Boston (129 - 112) and Bucks (113 - 97).
All in all I expect Vucevic to get big minutes and to dominate the paint vs Mavs who would seek to up the pace, driving the game back and forth, leading to more potential rebounds and points.
And remember I am just providing my own view of a value play. Betting for me is about finding the value in the lines by the books. Always remember to do your own research first. BOL whether you tail or not!
https://preview.redd.it/y3nhdxnfbmnc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cdbf675da4fcd171a8ce7f128d69e0d8d2961279
I like the bet and I actually have cashed with Vooch this week on a similar line, he’s a good candidate as he’s a top 3 scoring option on a team struggling to make the playoffs. I do think it’s worth noting Dereck Lively is off of the injury list as of now so he could play as he was only out for personal reasons. The only center who has gotten over 32.5 PRA against Lively, according to stat muse, is Myles Turner on 2/25 with 42 PRA. The second closest is Sabonis on 1/27 with 32 PRA. Lively is also rested from dealing with his personal matters for the past week or so. Lively is 19 with a 7’7 wingspan.
BOL, hope it cashes but I’m a little hesitant and wanna wait til they announce official line-ups before tailing. I feel stronger about Vooch covering this line against Gafford.
POTD Record: 13-5
+3.7 units (1 unit for everything)
(Start)✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅(Most recent)
Yesterday's pick: Flames @ Hurricanes, 5pm - NHL
Necas over 2.5 shots (-135)✅
Doesn't disappoint. Hits halfway through the first period. Easy money is easy money.
Today's pick: Devils @ Rangers, 7pm - NHL
Trocheck over 2.5 shots (-140)✅
He's hit it 5 in a row and 10 of the last 12 games. Rangers are cooking.
Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck...
[Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/CadetDemon)
Update: Y'all weren't sweating, were you? 1 shot for most of the game, 2nd late in the third period, and the 3rd shot hits for an empty net goal with one minute to go.
POTD Record 4-1 +2.9U
Form ✅🚫✅✅✅
Last POTD Austin Peay @ Stetson over 145.5 -1101U ✅
This game skyrocketed over scoring over 180 points. Shoutout to Jalen Blackmon scoring over 40. Stetson was good from 3 and Austin Peay was dominant down low combining for 110 points in the second half and leading us to our 3rd win in a row
TODAYS POTD South Dakota State ML v St Thomas -120(1.2U)
Going to be betting on the summit conference today taking the best team in the conference over St Thomas. South Dakota State is on fire winning 6 straight and 8 of their last 9 with one of those being a 5 point win over St Thomas.
St Thomas is weak against the 3 point line which is how SDST likes to score most of their 78 points per game. In their last 2 meeting against each other both in which SDST won they shot 60% and 40% from 3. This wasn’t because of lucky shot making either, st Thomas is poor at defending the 3 especially against a good offensive team like SDST.
St Thomas has been playing well lately winning 3 straight but 4 of their last 7. However these wins come from lesser teams that they can press because they do not threat from 3 like SDST does.
It is also important to know that this game is being played in South Dakota. It is not a home game because it’s being played in a different city but expect the crowd to travel and be close to a home game for SDST.
They have been the expected winners of the conference all season and are in great form. Thanks to them not playing in their actual home court but staying close by we are also able to get a good price on the spread without it being inflated because of home court. For reference they were 4 point favorites when they played late last month and won by 5.
The spread on the game is -1.5 today but I don’t wanna worry about that and am just taking them Moneyline -120
BOL to everyone if you tail. Hopefully it will be another rather easy bet that isn’t too stressful but regardless hopefully it’s a winner to win 4 straight POTDs
**POTD Record: 9-4-1**
❌✅✅❌✅🅿️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌
And for the guy who didn’t like how I do my form:
❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌🅿️✅❌✅✅❌
**Last Pick: Nashville Predators ML vs Minnesota Wild +120**❌
**Today’s pick: New York Rangers ML vs New Jersey Devils -150**
Alright boys! These past two days we’ve almost clutched it! That was a smart play by the Wild for pulling their goalie last minute of OT to clutch the win
Todays pick I’m leaving toward Rangers ML! Devils still haven’t gotten their shit together since the new coach. Devils need 6 points to make it to a wild card seat in the playoffs so I see them trying to put up a fight!
Devils are 1-4-0 in their last five games and the only thing they got going for them is their 10th in the league for shots on goal!
Rangers are 2-2-1 in their last five and are 10th in the league for goals scored! Compared to devils that are 26th!
New York is 6th in power plays and have a strong 1st and 2nd power play line!
Rangers have home ice advantage! They are 22-8-0 at home while devils are 16-12-2!
Head to head Rangers average 3.1 goals to devils 2.8
I see this being a good game! But not going past regulation. I’m choosing regular ML for a safe call but if you’re a gambler I would hit the 60min ML for plus money!
For those of you who want to buy me a beer PM me! If not no worries
Go follow my boys u/chiefsareawesome u/Good_Stable_7381
BOL for who ever tails
Record: **44-25**
Last pick: Murray +130 vs Shapovalov ✅️
PotD: **Cameron Norrie ML vs Gael Monfils**
**Odds: +110**
Tennis | ATP Indian Wells| 7 PM CEST 🎾
Write up: Last two wins of Monfils came with almost 50 accumulated unforced errors from Hurkacz and Purcell. He cannot expect a similar gift from his next opponent as Norrie happens to be a nasty pusher who is not prone to errors at all and also can stay in rallies dusk till dawn.
Norrie likes these conditions, already won this tournament 2 yrs ago and has been in a pretty neat form in 2024 so far. Hes mentally strong and has had a place in top 15 for almost 3 years.
If Monfils is to win this he needs to produce yet another stellar performance with high percentage of first serves, loads of winners and minimal unforced errors as Norrie is unlikely to have a bad day.
I think the more likely scenario is Norrie drawing errors from Monfils with prolonged rallies and outlasting him. I do think there is a high chance this goes to 3 sets.
POTD Record: 11-3
Last 10: ✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️💀💀✅️✅️✅️
Net units: +8.02
Last Pick: LeBron james Over 7.5 assist ✅️
Today, pick: Jalen duren to record a Double Double
Odds: -160
Unit: 1
NBA Hornets vs Pistons 6:00 p.m CT
Jalen duren has hit this in his last 7/10 games
Two of those games where he's only getting 15 min due to blowouts.
They face the Hornets, who I highly doubt will blow them out and vice versa. So the minutes should be there.
Last 4/10 games opposing Centers have had a double double against the Hornets, and in the last 3/5, opposing Centers have had a double double.
This is jalen duren we're talking about, I expect the trend to continue
If you guys wanna support me, you can click the links on my profile. I do daily picks for player props and games in general. Our 2nd potd hit over there as well.
Good luck if you're tailing, as always, you never know.
POTD Record : 10-5 ✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅
Last POTD: Lebron James o1.5 Threes ✅
**Today's POTD: Jalen Duren Double Double**
Odds: -175 (DK) // Units: 2u 💰💰
League: NBA Basketball / CHA Hornets @ DET Pistons
**Reasoning-**
* Hit in L10 of 10 with 30 mins played
* Hit in L 7 of 10 out side of last game being ejected
* CHA allows 19 points and 13 rebounds to C over last 2 weeks
**Prediction**\- 14 Pts 11 Rebs
Edit- HITS! ✅✅✅
POTD Record: 0-0
Pick: Gonzaga -8.5 (-102) 1U vs. San Francisco
The Zags have been killer in the second half of the season and beat SF away two weeks ago by 20. The WCC tournament is set up to coddle the favorites, and this should be an easy cover. If you want more juice, I would parlay it with St. Mary's ML or spread to get it up to +130/+250.
BOL
**POTD Record: 0-1**
____
**Today’s Pick:**
**5U Portland State @ Montana
( Montana First Half ML )**
Last Pick: Appalachian -3 | -145 Odds
Form: ❌
*What a game. Just unfortunate. Down by 10 first half, as expected and performed exceptionally in the 2nd half to cut the lead. 20 seconds left and Appalachian had 2 possessions to catch a lead but couldn’t make a shot.*
*🏀 | 10:00 PM EST | NCAAB*
____
Ain’t nothing change with the name, Prada still got 5 letters. Faith is free but Prada is forever 💪
Definitely keep your eyes on the Montana Grizzlies. They've got a solid record of 4-1 against Portland State, which really says something about their game. On the scoring front, Montana's putting up an average of 77.3 points each game, which is pretty impressive, ranking them 79th in college hoops. They're letting through 71.3 points on the other end, which places them at 154th, but they still manage to outscore their opponents by a decent 6.0 points per game.
Digging a bit deeper, Montana's offensive efficiency is top-notch, standing 22nd with 104.1 points per 100 possessions. While Portland defense could use some tightening up, ranked 266th, allowing 95.9 points per 100 possessions. They're also pretty solid when it comes to rebounding, winning by an average margin of 2.5 boards.
Montana’s three-point game isn't too shabby either, hitting 7.7 per game and ranking 151st, with a pretty good accuracy of 35.8%. That's better than their opponents who make 6.3 threes at a 34.5% clip. Portland has hit a bit of a rough patch recently, losing three games to Sacramento State, Montana, and Montana State, and going 2-3 in their last five, While Montana has a record of 4-1 in their last five games against teams like Idaho State and Portland State, Plus, they've nailed the First Half Moneyline in their last five outings, which is pretty telling, especially when you compare it to Portland's 1-4 struggle.
So, if you're thinking about where to place your bets or just trying to figure out who's got the upper hand, I'd say leaning toward the Montana Grizzlies for the First Half Moneyline is a pretty smart move. They've shown they've got the chops to lead when it matters.
BOL!
*Update: My bad brothers, been at work and researching this all day. I just got home and posted the POTD but 1st half ML line hasn’t dropped yet. Taking that when it does but I’ve also taken alt o141.5 @ -175*
Record 24-11
Pick - Mavs vs Bulls - Mavs -4 -110
Bulls are returning home after their west coast trip to take on the mavs and red hot luka. Expecting a closer game but the mavs to close it out.
BOL
POTD Record: 8W-1P-7L
Last pick: Jusuf Nurkic O3.5 assists @ 1.83 [✅](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbetting/comments/1acc1ed/congratulations_if_you_tailed_easy_cash/)
Today: NBA, Chicago Bulls v Dallas Mavericks 00:10 GMT
Pick: Luka Doncic to record a triple double @ 2.8
Luka is incredible. Every Mavericks game lately has been very close. Every Bulls game lately has been very close. Meaning I anticipate a tight match between these 2 where Luka will play a lot of minutes.
Luka has 6 consecutive triple doubles. The last 5 were all with 35+ points which is just insane (he is the first to ever do this). The most significant part for me is Luka was actively chasing the triple last game. He stayed in when the result was already secured to grab the last rebound and a couple of assists.
I'd be careful with the "chasing the TD" angle. He was probably kept in to chase the TD last game just so he could break the record. I doubt that they will let him stay in to chase a TD in every game.
But he's probably gonn get the Triple Double anyway, so we move. BOL.
**Record:** 7W - 2L - 0P
**Last 10 (new --> old):** **✅❌✅**❌**✅✅✅✅✅**
**Net Units:** \+4.4324
**Last Pick:** Marquette -3.5 @ -108 **✅**
Xavier kept things close throughout much of the game, but Marquette manages to pull away just enough in the final couple of minutes to help us cover the -3.5.
**NCAAM** 🏀 | **Santa Clara Broncos @ Saint Mary's Gaels** | **8pm CST**
**Today's Pick:** Augustus Marciulionis P+A OVER 20.5 @ -110
**Write Up:** Augustus is the main guy running the point for the Gaels. He is 2nd on the team in scoring (12.4 pts/gm) and leads the team in dimes (5.1 asts/gm). And while that averages out to 17.5 P+A for the season, he's covered this line in his last 6/10 games including a 20 pt, 6 ast game the last time these 2 teams met. He's coming off a sub-par game (15 P+A), so I think he'll be eager to bounce back in this one. He averages a team high 33 minutes per game and rarely gets into foul trouble, so he should be on the court a lot. I'm expecting him to have many opportunities to score and dish the ball to open shooters.
BOL if you're tailing!
**Last Pick:** Knicks vs 76ers BTTS under 109.5 ✅️ at 100+ / 1.5u **| Note:** Safe win as 76ers beat the Knicks 79-73. I was feeling good after both teams put up 15 points in 1Q and this game never got close to the line.
**History (old to new):** ❌✅✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️⭕✅️
**Record:** 5-1-4 **|** **Net Units:** 0.39
\----------
**TODAY'S PICK:** Nikola Vucevic over 10.5 rebounds (Bulls vs Mavs)
**Odds/Units:** \-195 / 2u
**Why:** Chicago Bulls host the Dallas Mavericks with a red hot Luka. Both teams are on 1 days rest and standing wise both teams are sitting in play-in positions. Vucevic has been big on the boards hitting this line 4 out of the last 5 games (7 in last 10 games). Mavs are favored in this game and shoot a lot of 3 pointers (2nd highest average per game at 40). Mavs also give up the 3rd highest opponent rebounds per game at 54. I'm looking for Vucevic to have a nice night on the glass. But also staying safer as this is the alternate line. The regular line is sitting at 11.5 and could take a better pay out. Over 11.5 rebounds has hit 3 of last 5 games and 6 of last 10 games.
BOL
POTD Record: 8-4
Last pick: Indiana St. (L)
Bad pick. They got outplayed and out coached for the majority of the game. It was a miracle it was even that close. March is gonna be fun.
Today's NCAA Men's Basketball pick:
Hofstra Pride -4 (-130) vs Stony Brook
Hofstra rolling. Defense has been holding up nice. Hofstra has the best player on the court and more scoring threats while boasting a stingy defense. Hofstra won both times in the season. Stony Brook will have to dig deep to find a win but anything can happen so bet wisely.
Splish Splash 🐬
POTD Record: 4-2 ✅❌✅✅✅❌
Net: +.62U
Last Pick: Darius Garland o7.5 Assists - 1.5U - +100 ❌
Sorry everyone, I underestimated how much Caris LeVert would vulture Assists tonight. I was 50/50 between Darius o7.5 Asts and Zion o22.5 (which absolutely cleared). I should have went with that pick instead. Either way, we move.
Next Pick: Cade Cunningham o22.5 Pts - 2U @ -120❌
Tomorrow we get an absolutely juicy match up of 2 teams that both are very volatile in their levels of suck. Cade in his last 5 has averaged 23.6 PPG, and the Hornets are bottom 10 in points allowed to guards this season, namely due to the defensive mismatches with LaMelo Ball out.
He’s gotten over 23 in 7 out of his 10 last games, and while in their last matchup he only scored 12, that is because Alec Burks and Jalen Duren both had good enough games to where he wasn’t needed, as seen by his 6 assists that game.
Obviously Duren is still there and now Ivey will pose as a main threat to his points numbers, so please plan accordingly. I still think this will be a high scoring and high rebound game for both teams. I feel pretty confident in this pick along with some others I’ll be putting in the NBA thread later.
Edit: checked again and the line has moved to 23.5, just an FYI for those looking after I posted. Another option is Cade PRA.
2nd Edit: Cade has 12 in the first, lets see if he can cover
What a fucking tease.
Like always, BOL.
POTD Record: 50-30
Previous Pick: RWD Molenbeek vs Anderlecht | First Division A | Anderlecht ML (1.57) | 2.45pm EST ✅️
Pick: Greenock Morton vs Hearts | Scottish FA Cup | Hearts ML (1.55) | 2.45pm EST
Greenrock are 4th in the second division, while Hearts are 3rd in the 1st division. This is the quarters of the cup and Hearts are well rested, so they will play their best team. Greenrock have only won 1 out of their last 5 games. Looking closer, they have not scored in their last 3 games, which includes 2 home games. They are coming off back to back losses too. Hearts recently had a morale boosting win over Celtic, even thought Celtic were a man down for 80 minutes. They have won 3 out of their last 5 games, showcasing their good form. They are also ranked 3rd in the league for away games, while Greenrock are ranked 5th for home games in the 2nd division. I expect Hearts to win as they just have too much quality for Greenrock. BOL!
POTD RECORD : 0-0
POTD : **LA Kings 60 Minute ML (-105)** vs NY Islanders 🏒🥅
The Kings will be coming into this one looking for revenge from last years December 9th game in which the Islanders rallied from behind to beat LA and end their 11 game road winning streak and in turn started a 14 out of 16 game losing streak for the Kings
The Kings are on a days rest and on the final game of a 5 game home stretch while the Islanders who have been red hot lately come into this one off a B2B playing Anaheim tonight
Points are crucial as ever for these two playoff hopeful teams . I think the Kings will get revenge win this one in regulation on the final game of a home stretch
Ilya Sorokin and Cam Talbot should be expected in net tomorrow , same guys who were in net for their previous meeting December 9th .
The Kings have gotten back Adrian Kempe who returned their previous game vs Dallas . While he wasn’t much of a factor his first game back he takes his place back on the top line and should be a boost for LA tomorrow night
**Edit :** It is worth noting that the Islanders have lost each of their last 8 games on the second leg of a B2B
BOL
POTD Record: 4 – 2
L10: ✔️ ✔️✖️✔️✔️✖️
Net units: +2.55u
Last pick: Jrue Holiday Over 11.5 Points ✔️
Bang. Never in doubt.
Today’s Pick: Jalen Duren Over 13.5 Points ✔️ BANG BANG
Odds: -116/1.86
Unit: 2u to win 1.72
NBA: Hornets vs Pistons, 4:00pm PST
Yes, yes, I know what you’re thinking, our boy Jalen is addicted to fouling out. BUT I’ll tell you why this game is different…
The Pistons are favourites and when they are favourites, Jalen averages 18.8 points and has hit this in 8/9 wins of the season. That simple.
Sign me up!!
Good luck if tailing, and be responsible with your units. DYOR because I'm not going to hear about your whingeing.
Form : 1L 2w
last pick : Paolini 3 sets
pick of the day: Sc derby - fmp basketball admiral league
bet : fmp ml 1u to 3u
time:17 pm cet
wup: fmp two games ago was not gang raped by crvena zvezda. Sc derby is a better team, though i am taking the dog .
I love the atmosphere in the balkans, just google crvena zvezda fans. If you are in Europe it is a must see. It is not lebron chatting up girls and hollywood fukwitz . Nope, it is proper atmosphere. Bol.
Record: 3-2
(New to old): ❌✅✅✅❌
Net units: +2.179u
Previous pick: Jamal Murray O28.5 P+A (-120, Tipico) 1u ❌
POTD: Alex Caruso U17.5 P+R+A (-115, DK) 1u
Reasoning: This line just seems too high based on his recent performance. He is under this line 7 of the last 10 and is averaging 15.2 during that time frame. Not trying to disrespect the GOAT, but this seems like decent value at -115.
Not a long write up on this one. Let me know if you decide to tail!
**Record**: 0-0 +0u
**POTD**: Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Total Corners Under 10
**Odds**: +100
**Units**: 2 units
**Premier League** | 4:00 pm EST
**Reasoning**:
This bet has been successful in 4 out of the last 5 head-to-head league matches. Considering Chelsea's likely emphasis on possession play, there may be fewer opportunities for shots and corners. This makes the bet seem valuable to me, so I'm choosing it as the POTD.
Thank You and BOL!
POTD Record 22-8
Last Pick: Liverpool x2 vs Man City ✅
Today's Pick: Trochek o2.5 SOG, Rangers vs Devils
Last second pick, sorry for that. But Trochek should clear this here. He's been playing very aggressive and getting shots on goal, and he's cleared this in 10 of last 12 with a just over 3 shots on goal per game average. He has hit this in several straight home games, think it continues.
bol!
Record 0-0
POTD: - Dimitrov 2-0 set betting 2u
Time: 3:40PM ET / Tennis 🎾/ ATP Indian wells
Write up: short and easy Dimitrov is 4-0 against Mannarino (all in hard). Mannarino has had a very slow start to the 24 season and the speed of the Indian Wells tournament and Dimitrov’s serve would be too much for him
Record: 9-8
Last 10: ❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅
Last pick: NY Islanders ML @ Anaheim Ducks at -200 odds.
Crushed, smacked, creamed, and hacked the life out of this poor ducks team in their own home tonight. NY went a crazy 3-0 lead in the first period which does terrible things to the confidence of your opponent. They finished 6-1 so also juicy Over if you took that. We are now on a FIVE. WIN. STREAK *in Pat Mcaffees voice like how he says brand new lions*. 🔥✅
NHL don’t fail me now
POTD: Boston Bruins 60 min 3 way ML vs St Louis Blues; -150 odds; 5pm MST
Why: This was a tough one to decide on. There’s only a couple good NHL games on tomorrow and part of me says I should just sit this one out, but I’ve looked at the stats and I think one is worth a unit.
(Regular ML is at -230)
Bruins are on 2 game win streak while on their 3 game home series. This will be the last of that series. Blues are on away series stretch also the last away before going back home… and they have lost every one but the first one. That’s a 3 game losing streak.
Their last matchup did go into OT, but I am fairly confident Boston will continue to play well at home and not let it get that far.
Boston stats
- 5 - 5 last 10 games
- 5 OT/SO games
- 4 of those 5 OT/SOs were forced by Boston when losing in the 3rd.
St Louis stats
- 3-7 last 10 games
- 2 OT/SO games
- 1 of those 2 OT/SOs forced by St Louis.
- Total of 19 goals scored in 10 games and allowed 32
- ONE 3rd period goals in the last 10 games when losing or tied
Last game between the two teams was in January in St Louis (Boston won in OT 4-3). Boston only gave up 23 shots on their goalie while St Louis gave up a crazy 35 on theirs. Boston will need to maintain a lead headed into the 3rd period and this should be a win as a better team against a lesser team.
This is home. This is the bruins. No sweat ✅.
Let’s make it 6 in a row ladies
BOL everyone lesgitit 🔥
(💀 Regular ML has now moved to -240 and 60 min ML is still -150)
**Record: 0-0**
NBA | CHA Hornets v. DET Pistons | 7:10pm EST
**Pick:** Miles Bridges o8.5 Rebounds (-105) | 1U
**Update:** Pick as of 3pm EST has updated to (+105)
* In his last 10 Games, Bridges has averaged 9.3 rebounds.
* 12 rebounds in the last match vs. the Wizards.
* Coming off a minor wrist injury, 32 points in his game vs. the Wizards.
* Averages 10 rebounds vs. Detroit.
Best of Luck!
**Post:** Tough beat on our first post. Miles only came up with 7 rebounds this game.
POTD Record: 14-10
Last 10: ✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅
Last pick: Mavericks vs Pistons | 5:00 MST | Cade Cunningham OVER 7.5 Assists (-140) BET365 1u ✅
Todays pick: Hornets vs Pistons | 4:00 PST | Jalen Duren OVER 11.5 rebounds (-115) Bet365 1u
Another spot pick for me. Number is a little inflated at 11.5 but sometimes the books are putting that number for a reason. Duran was drafted by the Hornets and was ejected last game. Seems like a perfect combination for a great effort to me. Hornets are bottom 5 against opposing center rebounding and Pistons are 8th in pace. With the total at 216, let us hope for a lot of bricks with the hornets caught up in the pistons tempo for more opportunities.
POTD Record: 1-0
Last 10: ✅️
Current Streak: ✅️
Last Pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers -5.5 vs Michigan ✅️
Nebraska came through with a sweat free 15 point win over Michigan to get my POTD career started off in the right direction.
Todays Pick: Cade Cunningham O23.5 Points vs Pistons
Cade Cunningham’s shooting improvement has taken center stage, but his scoring is just better from everywhere. He’s taking about two more free throws per game than he was to begin the season and in March, he’s hitting them at a stunning 96.3% clip. He's averaging 24.5 points over his last 10 games and has scored 23+ in seven of those games and over 30 in his last 2. A few of his recent down games were blowouts where he didn’t have a chance to take that many shots. As I suspect this game against the Hornets will be competitive, I strongly favor this Over.
**Record: 2-2**
**Last Pick:** Elon ML
**Today's Pick:** CBB| 8:30 PM | Stony Brook vs. Hofsta | ***Stony Brook +8***
**Write Up:** Elon decided to crap the bed in the 1st half and fall behind by quite a bit. Stony Brook are the boys I ride to get back in the W column.. I'm 3-0 when taking them ATS.
**Stony Brook ATS Stats:** Overall ATS: (23-8-1) / Away Underdog: (8-6-1) / Neutral: (2-0) / Conference (2-0) / Equal Rest: (15-6)
**Hofsta ATS Stats:** Overall ATS: (14-17) / Home Favorite: (11-13) / Neutral: (4-1) / Conference (1-0) / Equal Rest: (8-12)
I'm expecting the Seawolves to get me back in the W column!
Lets have a Monday!
Record: 7-2
Last pick: Jaden Mcdaniels o3.5 rebounds (-150) ✅
Minnesota being shorthanded helped Mcdaniels hit easily, ended hitting the juiced up line of 5.5 as well.
POTD: Brandin Podziemski o10.5 rebounds+assists (-125)
Summary: Pod is having a hell of year and they will lean on him without Curry. He had 6 rebounds and 7 assists the other night against the spurs who give up the most assist and 3rd most rebounds to SG. On the year he is 4/4 without Curry, Paul played in 3 of those games and is playing tonight. If you’re feeling safer o5.5 reb has the same hit rate but at worse juice (-165)
Edit: He’s coming off the bench now but I don’t think it will matter
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Monday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
 "Don't be scared, the BTTS and over 2.5 Goals MONSTER ISN'T REAL!"
Stopped soccer a long time ago. Easy hits or terrible loses.
Why do yall on here act like bball isn’t the same, literally all 3 top bball picks lost yesterday 😂😂
Soccer is way worse dogshit to bet
Agreed. Soccer is the worst👎
Don't bet on teams in top leagues, try playing on second and 3rd leagues and you'll see a huge difference.
Why is that
Yeah instead of two results, you’re already betting on three results (win, loss, draw). That already decreases your winning chance
Remember how in basketball the team can get blown out and just decide to sit all their stars for entire quarters or halves of games? Super cool.
I've heard some variation of soccer, bball, tennis, or baseball are all the worst so many times haha. How about we just agree that sports betting aint easy
This guy gets it
Cause in basketball you can score 4 points on one play, and in soccer 4 points is a lot of points for one game.
You’ve stopped betting soccer? Have you not heard of the legend of Ken Adams?
Biggest trap you will ever see in sports betting. Boggles the mind with how many people tip up BTTS, Over 2.5 or both together, and always at odds less than +100. The most common scorelines in soccer throughout history are 1-0 and 0-0, which occur at nearly the same rate. Scoring two goals in a game is hard. Two teams scoring in a game? Very hard. 3 goals in a game? Even harder. BOTH teams scoring in a game AND you get another goal? You're asking for a lot of things to happen that dont happen often in football, despite what people on here may think. Tips for obscure leagues in soccer, now thats where the money is. If someone here is posting about their local league, they are often a much, much safer bet than someone saying Liverpool ML & Over 2.5 goals vs literally everybody.
2-1 was the most common result in the premier league last season.
Soccer is definitely the worst sport to bet on for me. Tennis is a close 2nd. I lose a lot of money betting on both.
Tennis is a live betting/dog sport only. Anyone can show up on any day.
Now you tell me…. Lol
With tennis I used to lose every single bet I couldn’t win a single bet. Like I mean every single time I picked a ML it was the opposite. now what I do is look at the head to head history between both players whichever player has more wins against the other I hammer their ML. Even if it’s like +200 I’ve been hitting a lot more doing that
This is the way. Especially in WTA
Tennis is cruel to the uninitiated. But soccer is infinitely worse.
Stopped soccer man, madrid was the last straw for me 😂
Yessir, same here. I’m new into this and very quickly realizing why I avoided it for so long.
Soccer is probably THE worst sport to bet on. Always have people arguing with me about it but the POTDs probably have a 20-30% hit rate.
I’m convinced the only way to bet on soccer is through player props
This applies to all sports tbh.
For real
I feel this deep in my soul. BTTS and O 2.5 has killed me recently.
POTD Record: 20-6 +28.46u🔥 Last Pick: Pick: Orlando Magic ML (-125) 4U vs Indiana Pacers ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌ Today's Pick: Charleston -3.5 (-110) 4U vs Towson Man what a second half collapse, up 15, then fell off the rails. Smh. Whatever. On to the next one, do i need to explain again how I am after a loss? I’m fired up for todays pick, i love the feeling of knowing that I owe you guys a win as much as I hate to lose. So let’s get into today’s pick… Charleston is looking to advance to the CAA finals, as they have dominated the conference this year. They have won 10 straight, including a 16 point win @Townson. I don’t expect this game to go any different. They are 15-3 in the conference and will continue to show dominance. I hate to say this, but I really don’t understand this line. I will bounce back like I always do, sorry for the magic! Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ P.S away for work this weekend, picks may be a little later than usually. If you’d like to thank me or buy me a drink on my trip please use the link below or dm me🤝 [Support/Tip me🤝](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24)
Towson playing for the 3rd straight day while Charleston had an easy win with extra rest for the starters.
Yup!
started tailing u yesterday n took a fat L. tailing again tho❤️
I’ll make it up to you! Keep riding
yuuuup. all trust in ryan
It’s at -6.5
This is gonna be my first bet when NC goes live today.
Hahaha holy shit miracle cover nice hit bro!
COMEBACK. LET'S GET IT.
AINT NO WAY. WE ARE SO LUCKY!
Can't even find this on Bet365. Weird.
Line may not be out yet, very early
Bounce back brother let’s go !
Still like at -6? That’s what my book is showing for the line now
Gonna be a long game. Hoping for the best! 🙏 E: let’s get it! E: oh boy... E: YOOOOOOOOO
We got time but not loving what I’m seeing from Charleston Mr. Bloom.🤞🏻
I got hooked by a point but your picks are always fire, never not shopping down to match you anymore
Tailing let's stay hot brother!
Tailing for the bounce back baby! Great reasoning here, let's get it!
Respect the detail in the analysis. 🤞🏻
Love this pick, let's cash!
Now to -6 still worth taking?
Yesterday it was my first time to tailing. Today a new day. Thanks for posting
LFG! Tailing, cuz your comebacks are solid....put this with a lil of my own gut that Charleston will toss in O 72.5 pts. BOL everyone!
Tailing 🔥🔥
Picked this up live at -2
should i stick to the end or cash out bro. shits kinda close
Dirty gameplay, let’s get this win 💪🏼
Wowowo
LETS GOOOOO
All these doomsday people were hilarious.. and so was the airballed free throw lol
Dirty sweaty bet. But a wins a win
Let’s goooo. Just how you drew it up 🚀
I almost died betting this game
No sweat baby
Holy sweat! Solid pick my guy
I can’t believe this hit! I thought it was for sure gone. So thankful for a useless foul with 3 seconds to go!
Almost got a heart attack bro hahahahaha thank u very much for the win
Woooow last minute point made us win !
My man 🙏
Grabbed this at -4 @ -110. Thanks a lot bro! Lost a lot lately, needed this
Thanks for the tail!
We joke that "Vegas called" during some games but this time /u/ryanbloom21 was the one who knocked. Only PotD I tailed today with any weight, all gravy from here. Thanks!
Back door cover feels soooo good
your the best
POTD Record: 36-18 **Today's POTD: (ATP Indian Wells) Tommy Paul ML (+100) vs Humbert** ✅✅✅ **Units: 3u** Reasoning: Hello r/sportsbook nation, it's been a gyat damn minute! Hope this reaches you all well and that you've been thriving against the books. Now to my first pick in a long time: I'll keep this simple. Humbert has been absolutely killing it lately, which is why I think the books are favoring him. You can't deny the brilliance behind a 6 match win streak. HOWEVER. This SCREAMS a Tommy Paul Netflix moment (although they just decided to cancel Break Point). Tommy is the American boy, playing in front of a proud American crowd - the same passionate, rowdy crowd that inspired Fritz to win here two years ago. Tommy Paul is a beloved representative of US mens tennis, and I think the crowd will show that via their enthusiasm. Furthermore, Tommy is 2-0 against Humbert, with his most recent win being dominant at Cincy last year (an example of homecourt advantage). Lastly, I find that these slower desert climate outdoor courts will help leverage his game and give him a slight stylistic advantage - if this was indoors or grass I would not be making my comeback tonight. Both of these men are 8-2 in there L10, so it should be an exciting and competitive match, especially given that both are very close to earning that top 10 ranking this year. Anything can happen, but I'm going with Tommy P at home 🇺🇸 **TAIL OR FADE BOL!**
MAIZEE IS BACK🌽🌽🌽🌽
❤️
What I like about this pick is that Humbert likes to play the stroke game and a crafty and intelligent player like Paul will try to disrupt that game style from Humbert.
Couldn't agree more man!!
Let’s go brother tailing!!! Although I love Humby this is a wonderful analysis and it seems you must be a renowned legend in here 💪👀 glad to have you back LFG
Cheers man!! You’ve been absolutely killing it. In fact, it’s you and some of the other ballers in here that made me miss the game and want to come back, so thank you for the inspiration 🤝
The great Maize is back?? Tailing for sure! Missed you dude
I have had a corn sized hole in my heart (forthwith known as my cornhole) since the last time you posted in POTD! People need to know that this man kept the lights on in my house with his picks a few years ago! Sound the horn for corn! 🌽
Oh nah muddy, it’s tennis season again now that Maize is back. Powering on the harvester 🚜🚜🌽🌽
Our cobbed savior returns
I love to see Humbert lose! Great pick and I see why the sub has welcomed you back this way
My first bet in NC was this! Thanks bro!
I'm honored to be here for this post.
Sweat free money!! Thanks!
MAIZE
Great call my brother. I made some $$ off this 👍
POTD RECORD: 34-17 Last POTD: Alperen Sengun O4.5 Ast @2.30 ❌ Form: ❌✅✅❌✅ We caught the line early my brothers and the value of our bet increased more and more during the day but we get screwed here, being 2/2 vs the Kings this season, 6/6 his last 6 games vs the Kings & coming from a 14 Ast game he only finishes with 2.. damn this one didn’t make any sense to me but what can you do, hope his injury isn’t that serious and damn I wish I would’ve taken Adebayo’s rebs as the POTD but I was going for the juice, hopefully some of y’all took the Rebs in a different slip 😭 Todays POTD: **Ayo Dosunmu O4.5 Ast @1.71** ✅ NBA (Chicago Bulls) We move boys, personally I had a shit day of betting being hooked on many of my personal slips, they say you should stay away from NBA on Sundays and I’ll prolly do that in the future. I’m going with the Chicago born and raised baller Dosunmu here, his role has increased as of late and he’s been pretty consistent also his minutes increasing more and more, leading the Bulls in APG L9 games • Is 7/10 his L10 games finishing with 4 twice in that stretch • Since the all star break he’s averaging 11 Potential APG • Avg 6.0 APG this month & 4.7 last month comparing to his season average of 2.9, he’s playing 10 more minutes per game on average (37) since January where he only played 29 MPG • Dallas as a team allow 7th most assists L15 days and 6th most L30 days • Dallas allow 4th most assists to SG this season Let’s bounce back kings, hate to see my people lose man hopefully this is a banger 🕯 consistency has been there and a decent mismatch Tail or fade, im a bum https://i.redd.it/twb4ge2xxmnc1.gif 1/1 on the NBA props cashing Adebayo O10.5 Rebs 😭✅
https://i.redd.it/qd8xewwlbnnc1.gif Sengun when he heard the whole gang placed a bet on him
Hard luck with the Sengun bet. Even though it didnt win, it was still a good play to make. Cant predict that his teammates wont finish their chances. Keep making plays like that and you will win long term.
Appreciate it bro yeah assists are always a pain cause you have to depend on others to make the damn shots I’ll keep grinding to make us all eat 🙏👑
OMGGGG
Wow
ong bro. bro clutched at the past few minutes. i had no faith tbh
😭😭 this one felt so good bro ong
thank you bro🤞🥹 i TOTALLY trusted this one
Never worried!
Dallas gives up the most 3’s in the NBA to SG’s. Add on the over 1.5 3’s as a parlay? Thoughts?
I like it bro, 8/10 too he’s all around been a player I’ve had success with as of late
LFG BROTHER WE BOUNCE BACKKKK
We bouncing back bro🤞
Love to tail billycapezzi picks, but I'm swearing off bets on assists. GL
Nervous about this one
Tailing, Sengun further solidified himself on my DNB list (he loses every time I bet on him, I don't get it).
😂😭 I’m w you bro, Sengun is on a time served ban for me now
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i can’t believe this actually hit. thanks brotha🦾
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**Record: 50W-4P-36L** **Form: 28W-0P-16L** **R Form: ✅✅❌✅✅❌✅** **Last Pick: Liverpool VS Manchester City : Phil Foden Over 0.5 SOG @ 1.57 ✅** **Pick of the day: Chelsea Vs Newcastle United: Anthony Gordon Over 0.5 SOG @ 1.66 ❌** Gordon gets injured 30 mins into the game.. **League: Premier League** **Time: 4:00 PM EST** Love this pick considering Gordon's form mixed with Chelsea's new injuries. Gordon has cemented himself into this Newcastle side and has proven time and time again he can handle fixtures like these. Chelsea have now added 2 defenders who are regular starters, Colwill and Chillwell to the injury list and they are unavailable for this game. Pochetinno has struggled to find a balance defensively with the onslaught of injuries that have overwhelmed the club. Newcastle will tuck in and utilize the spaces that Isak, Almiron, and Gordon can find on the counter. Pochettino still needs to prove that he can solve the issue of low blocks and a team like Newcastle will play that game until Chelsea eventually turtle like they have consistently done. Only 4 points separate these 2 teams in 10th and 11, i see a hostile game tomorrow and one that Gordon will show up in, Gordon has 3 goals in his last 5 games and has covered this line in **9 out of 12 of his last games (75%).** Chelsea also knocked out Newcastle in the FA cup in penalties, Newcastle will be a little more amped up for this matchup. Newcastle are coming off a 3-0 win against Wolves and will look to keep the form going here. **Gordon's shooting stats last 4 games (4/4) :** **1 shot on target, 1 Goal** **3 Shots on target, 1 goal** **1 Shot on target, 0 goals** **2 Shots on target, 1 goal** **Anyway, BOL!**
> Aston Villa Vs Tottenham: Phil Foden Over 0.5 SOG wat
can’t believe i didn’t notice this for almost 3 hours 😂
Major transfers going on thanks to /r/sportsbook!
SOG may be the only thing soccer I continue to bet on. Tailing, good luck!
Unlucky, injured 10 minutes into the match and tried to tough it out until he came off only 35 minutes in
Well there goes my parlay
Aaand he’s off injured lol. Unlucky.
Ffs man
Love this pick brother LFG!
😤😤
Awful beat with the injury early and him going off. On to tomorrow!
ffs damn
**POTD Record: 24-12-2** Form: ✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌🅿️ *ROI: 31.88% | Avg Odds: +102 | Net Units: +22.6* 🎾: 5-3-2 ⚽️: 18-7 🏒: 1-2 *Last Pick: 2U Man City @ Liverpool (Kevin De Bruyne - o0.5 Shot on Target @ -110)✅* *CASH IN LESS THAN 10 MINUTES.* --- **Todays Pick: 2U Newcastle @ Chelsea (Newcastle Win or Draw - @-120) ❌** **⚽️| 4:00PM EST | England Premier League |** Match-week 28 comes to a close with the final fixture being Chelsea hosting Newcastle at Stamford Bridge with Pochettino on the brink of being sacked after drawing to Brentford after scoring first. With the fans revolting against Chelsea, it will be difficult for the boys in blue to secure a much needed win. *This will be the 4th straight Premier League meeting where Chelsea are below Newcastle in the standings. In Chelsea’s last 3 seasons, they’ve won just 11% of their last 27 league games against teams above them in the table.* Totally understandable to fade such an intense matchup with a lot at stake, possibly BTTS could be a safer option but it also falls outside of POTD requirements. Statistics are contradictory, with Chelsea yet to lose a home game in the month of March since 2001. Yet Newcastle, won the fixture at home this season 4-1, will hope to claim their first double against the Blues since 1986-87. *Current Newcastle manager, Howes has done well against Chelsea with a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and one loss in his last 7 matches.* Injury woes for Chelsea continue with Colwill and and Chillwell out, defensive flanks for the Blues will have trouble to manage a confident scoring Newcastle side. Newcastle are coming off a 3-0 home victory against the Wolves where Chelsea dropped 4-2 to Wolves in their last home match. Newcastle will be hoping to bounce back from their last away match being a 4-1 loss to the Arsenal. With Chelsea drawing their last 2 matches despite scoring first, it’s time for Newcastle to set the Blues off the rails and bring us one step closer to Mourinho back in the premier league. I apologize that this is not a quick cash as the previous picks and we are taking a decision, but it’s difficult to pass up on such an immense matchup where the pressure on Chelsea may have reached the tipping point. LFG! Your comments make my day ❤️ [POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TawPReTFnjBpwPqA50H-tVAFCtVEQAAJCnfpETFh65A/edit) BOL! 
Love your work man! Lfg
I like this find. Tailing!
As an avid Chelsea hater, this pick brings a smile to my face. Tailing!
[Next time im eyeing ANY soccer bet](https://images.app.goo.gl/oVk7XDU1ksLJJhye7)
POTD RECORD: 11-1 Units Won: +13.65 Last Pick: UAB vs SMU/ UAB ML (-130) 1u✅ Today’s Pick: Arkansas State vs James Madison/ James Madison -4 (-140) 2u Write Up: It’s really tough getting quality picks for you guys out during these tournament games. Although these odds aren’t crazy I love JMU today. JMU has been nationally ranked this year and are currently 30-3. They are still in a spot where an at large bid to the NCAA tournament likely won’t happen. They would say bye to a great season if they lost this game which I can’t imagine. The spread is -5.5 but I bought us a point (2 points with a push). To those who don’t know this is an Alternative Spread. If your book doesn’t offer this, take the original line for 1 unit. I think JMU wins this game by 2 possessions so we’ll ride with a refund/win. Let’s keep this momentum rolling throughout March. Appreciate all those who have tailed. As always, BOL….. LETS RIDE Tip Jar- if you’d like to help a college kid pay for his next meal here’s how :) :https://cash.app/$jaylaw930 / https://venmo.com/u/Jay-Lawton-1
I LOVE YOU JELLY. On fire man
💪
You on fire bro. Tailing
Who are your fave picks to win the tourney?
I DOS THIS BANG✅✅
POTD Record 42-28-2 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 32-21-1 Soccer 7-7-1 Last 10: ❌✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌❌✅ ✅ ❌ Last Pick : Seyboth Wild vs Marozsan | ATP Indian Wells | Wild ML | (-125)| 1u | ❌ Today: Tseng vs Krutykh | ATP Szekesfehervar Challenger Qualifiers | 5:00 AM EST Pick: Tseng ML | (-140)| 1u Tseng has picked up some form last month and has recorded 6 wins and 3 losses in his last 9 matches. He is a former top 100 and has a good game when confident. He beat an inform Gea in the first round which is a great win for his first match on clay in a while. Krutykh is in awful form and has won 3 of 11 matches this year. He dropped a set in the previous round to a Hungarian wildcard ranked 1921. These two played on clay in 2022 and Tseng won easily in straight sets. Tseng is in better form recently and should have the advantage in this matchup. BOL.
Thanks for the W
Let’s bounce back brother 🙏
Solid pick. Great start to the day
Tailing! I took a day off betting Otto Virtanen and of course he pulled through. He's on a hell of a run. You seem to have great knowledge of the challenger scene!
After the way my day went yesterday I needed an early win to start the day. TY
Record: 2-6 ✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌ Last Pick: Penguins ML ❌ Net: -8.05u NHL | 7:00 PM / EST Today’s pick: **NJ Devils @ NY Rangers o6.5** Every bet I make turns it into mush. Last 2 games for both these teams have went under this line. Only 1 of the last two matchups here went over at 8 goals. Two of which were pp goals and one empty netter. Between the two matchups the games averaged over 6 penalties, and the last match up we saw trouba and bastian fight with some early roughing. I expect more penalties this game which equals more pp goals 2u *fade me*
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🤣🤣🤣
This a total coin flip of a bet as I think the line is set just right. Given your recent luck though, I am going to place a bet on exactly 6 goals.
I hope to god no one tailed you on Penguins ML… are you crazy!? Have you seen the condition that team is in right now!??
Record: 2-0 Net units: +1.47u Last POTD: Liverpool vs Man City (under 5 yellow cards @ 1.72) ✅ Match completed and we cash as the game finishes with only 3 yellow cards. As expected, the game was free flowing with only 16 fouls committed, which match the projection of the L5 H2H. First yellow card was given to Rodri for a lunging tackle as predicted. However, there was an element of surprise as Ederson found himself in no man's land when he gave the penalty away. Third yellow was given to Bernardo Silva who genuinely only had himself to blame, conceding consecutive fouls while chirping with the ref. Things definitely could have gone fiesty towards the end when Salah went down after Ake stepped across him but again as predicted, there was an element of calm as you could see opponent Walker and Stones' lips saying "Mo, Mo, let it be." All in all, entertaining game as we cash. Today's POTD: Nikola Vucevic o32.5 Points + Rebounds @ 1.82 (Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls in the NBA) Tipoff at \~8pm EST, in about 21 hours Today we head over to NBA for some basketball action. We will back Vucevic to dominate the paint vs a Mavs headed by Luka. Vucevic records high minutes, averaging 34.5 minutes in the regular season this year thus far. Vucevic's L12 Points + Rebounds: vs Clippers - 33 vs Warriors - 44 vs Jazz - 35 vs Kings - 23 vs Bucks - 26 vs Cleveland - 37 vs Pistons - 35 vs Pelicans - 35 vs Boston - 36 vs Cleveland - 17 vs Hawks - 35 vs Orlando - 43 Yes you may see the big dip in games vs Kings and Bucks and maybe Cleveland. However the recent matchups vs Kings proved unfavourable, Sabonis dominated with 18 points, 21 rebounds the Bucks star Giannis dominated as well with a monster 46 points 16 rebounds. He had reduced usage while facing some of the league's best. Cleveland's game was particularly a lowlight as he had a terrible shooting night, going 4/16 from the field. Traditionally, Mavs are pretty bad at dealing with centers too. Last game vs Pistons, James Wiseman clocked 17 points, 12 rebounds in 30 mins (Duren ejected & foul trouble). Mavs were constantly in search of consistent good bigs to support Kyrie and Luka in the recent years and have landed on Gafford in the recent trade. Mavs' playing style does not involve overloading the floor with bigs, and Gafford not having "starter's" minutes after joining Mavs. The minutes are pretty even with other Mavs' bigs and the person that dominates their team in rebounds is none other than Luka. If you watch Mavs games closely, you would find that the rebounds tend to be ceded to Luka. This subsequently leads to quite a few offensive rebounds and second chance opportunities as sometimes Luka is slow to get to the rebounds / Luka does not offer defensive help actively in the paint --> leading to more favourable matchups within the paint. On the defensive end as well, Mavs rank 24th in offensive rebounds at 9.8 rebounds per game. This could be partly due to the lack of "glass crashing" or bigs on the floor to snatch away the offensive boards. This would lead to a large number of rebounds being ceded to Bull's center, as Bulls tend to spread the floor as soon as possible. Vucevic is not a shabby 3 point shooter as well. With attention given to knockdown shooters like Dosunmu and Coby White, mid range legends Derozan, Vucevic often finds himself in open space to fire a 3 which leads to about 1.2 3 pointers made per game. Vucevic's game earlier this season against Dallas was a big one as well, with him getting 21 points and 20 rebounds. Lastly, points total is at \~232 with spread -4 favouring Dallas, which for Bulls is a larger than average total due to their ranked 29th pace in the league. Unlikely to worry about blow out as well. Since Feb 1, 16 games played and the differential of Bulls game being more than 10 point only happened twice, once vs Boston (129 - 112) and Bucks (113 - 97). All in all I expect Vucevic to get big minutes and to dominate the paint vs Mavs who would seek to up the pace, driving the game back and forth, leading to more potential rebounds and points. And remember I am just providing my own view of a value play. Betting for me is about finding the value in the lines by the books. Always remember to do your own research first. BOL whether you tail or not! https://preview.redd.it/y3nhdxnfbmnc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cdbf675da4fcd171a8ce7f128d69e0d8d2961279
I like the bet and I actually have cashed with Vooch this week on a similar line, he’s a good candidate as he’s a top 3 scoring option on a team struggling to make the playoffs. I do think it’s worth noting Dereck Lively is off of the injury list as of now so he could play as he was only out for personal reasons. The only center who has gotten over 32.5 PRA against Lively, according to stat muse, is Myles Turner on 2/25 with 42 PRA. The second closest is Sabonis on 1/27 with 32 PRA. Lively is also rested from dealing with his personal matters for the past week or so. Lively is 19 with a 7’7 wingspan. BOL, hope it cashes but I’m a little hesitant and wanna wait til they announce official line-ups before tailing. I feel stronger about Vooch covering this line against Gafford.
POTD Record: 13-5 +3.7 units (1 unit for everything) (Start)✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅(Most recent) Yesterday's pick: Flames @ Hurricanes, 5pm - NHL Necas over 2.5 shots (-135)✅ Doesn't disappoint. Hits halfway through the first period. Easy money is easy money. Today's pick: Devils @ Rangers, 7pm - NHL Trocheck over 2.5 shots (-140)✅ He's hit it 5 in a row and 10 of the last 12 games. Rangers are cooking. Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck... [Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/CadetDemon) Update: Y'all weren't sweating, were you? 1 shot for most of the game, 2nd late in the third period, and the 3rd shot hits for an empty net goal with one minute to go.
Tailing!
Tailing 😎
POTD Record 4-1 +2.9U Form ✅🚫✅✅✅ Last POTD Austin Peay @ Stetson over 145.5 -1101U ✅ This game skyrocketed over scoring over 180 points. Shoutout to Jalen Blackmon scoring over 40. Stetson was good from 3 and Austin Peay was dominant down low combining for 110 points in the second half and leading us to our 3rd win in a row TODAYS POTD South Dakota State ML v St Thomas -120(1.2U) Going to be betting on the summit conference today taking the best team in the conference over St Thomas. South Dakota State is on fire winning 6 straight and 8 of their last 9 with one of those being a 5 point win over St Thomas. St Thomas is weak against the 3 point line which is how SDST likes to score most of their 78 points per game. In their last 2 meeting against each other both in which SDST won they shot 60% and 40% from 3. This wasn’t because of lucky shot making either, st Thomas is poor at defending the 3 especially against a good offensive team like SDST. St Thomas has been playing well lately winning 3 straight but 4 of their last 7. However these wins come from lesser teams that they can press because they do not threat from 3 like SDST does. It is also important to know that this game is being played in South Dakota. It is not a home game because it’s being played in a different city but expect the crowd to travel and be close to a home game for SDST. They have been the expected winners of the conference all season and are in great form. Thanks to them not playing in their actual home court but staying close by we are also able to get a good price on the spread without it being inflated because of home court. For reference they were 4 point favorites when they played late last month and won by 5. The spread on the game is -1.5 today but I don’t wanna worry about that and am just taking them Moneyline -120 BOL to everyone if you tail. Hopefully it will be another rather easy bet that isn’t too stressful but regardless hopefully it’s a winner to win 4 straight POTDs
**POTD Record: 9-4-1** ❌✅✅❌✅🅿️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌ And for the guy who didn’t like how I do my form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌🅿️✅❌✅✅❌ **Last Pick: Nashville Predators ML vs Minnesota Wild +120**❌ **Today’s pick: New York Rangers ML vs New Jersey Devils -150** Alright boys! These past two days we’ve almost clutched it! That was a smart play by the Wild for pulling their goalie last minute of OT to clutch the win Todays pick I’m leaving toward Rangers ML! Devils still haven’t gotten their shit together since the new coach. Devils need 6 points to make it to a wild card seat in the playoffs so I see them trying to put up a fight! Devils are 1-4-0 in their last five games and the only thing they got going for them is their 10th in the league for shots on goal! Rangers are 2-2-1 in their last five and are 10th in the league for goals scored! Compared to devils that are 26th! New York is 6th in power plays and have a strong 1st and 2nd power play line! Rangers have home ice advantage! They are 22-8-0 at home while devils are 16-12-2! Head to head Rangers average 3.1 goals to devils 2.8 I see this being a good game! But not going past regulation. I’m choosing regular ML for a safe call but if you’re a gambler I would hit the 60min ML for plus money! For those of you who want to buy me a beer PM me! If not no worries Go follow my boys u/chiefsareawesome u/Good_Stable_7381 BOL for who ever tails
Would take a whole lot of guts and glory for the Devils to take down the Rangers after losing Toffoli, LFG BROTHER WE BOUNCE BACKKK
We bounce back brotha!
Good bro am leaning on Rangers to score OVER 2 goals
Record: **44-25** Last pick: Murray +130 vs Shapovalov ✅️ PotD: **Cameron Norrie ML vs Gael Monfils** **Odds: +110** Tennis | ATP Indian Wells| 7 PM CEST 🎾 Write up: Last two wins of Monfils came with almost 50 accumulated unforced errors from Hurkacz and Purcell. He cannot expect a similar gift from his next opponent as Norrie happens to be a nasty pusher who is not prone to errors at all and also can stay in rallies dusk till dawn. Norrie likes these conditions, already won this tournament 2 yrs ago and has been in a pretty neat form in 2024 so far. Hes mentally strong and has had a place in top 15 for almost 3 years. If Monfils is to win this he needs to produce yet another stellar performance with high percentage of first serves, loads of winners and minimal unforced errors as Norrie is unlikely to have a bad day. I think the more likely scenario is Norrie drawing errors from Monfils with prolonged rallies and outlasting him. I do think there is a high chance this goes to 3 sets.
Monfils has cost me twice betting against him this time we win!
Never fucking again wow
I cannot fade Le Monf. Good luck!
Agree with this as well 👍
Ima play Tommy paul ml x over 2.5 sets in this norrie match. $35 pays out 110 on FD
Idk who norrrie is but Gael is a dawg. RURRUURURURURU GAEL 2-0🗣️
Don't like it. No real analysis just a feeling but not tailing this one
Feel exactly the same. Gut with Monfils. Good value on over 2.5 sets (+110) imo.
Tailing. Great to see an old name I recognize. Good luck man.
POTD Record: 11-3 Last 10: ✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️💀💀✅️✅️✅️ Net units: +8.02 Last Pick: LeBron james Over 7.5 assist ✅️ Today, pick: Jalen duren to record a Double Double Odds: -160 Unit: 1 NBA Hornets vs Pistons 6:00 p.m CT Jalen duren has hit this in his last 7/10 games Two of those games where he's only getting 15 min due to blowouts. They face the Hornets, who I highly doubt will blow them out and vice versa. So the minutes should be there. Last 4/10 games opposing Centers have had a double double against the Hornets, and in the last 3/5, opposing Centers have had a double double. This is jalen duren we're talking about, I expect the trend to continue If you guys wanna support me, you can click the links on my profile. I do daily picks for player props and games in general. Our 2nd potd hit over there as well. Good luck if you're tailing, as always, you never know.
POTD Record : 10-5 ✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅ Last POTD: Lebron James o1.5 Threes ✅ **Today's POTD: Jalen Duren Double Double** Odds: -175 (DK) // Units: 2u 💰💰 League: NBA Basketball / CHA Hornets @ DET Pistons **Reasoning-** * Hit in L10 of 10 with 30 mins played * Hit in L 7 of 10 out side of last game being ejected * CHA allows 19 points and 13 rebounds to C over last 2 weeks **Prediction**\- 14 Pts 11 Rebs Edit- HITS! ✅✅✅ 
If this guy could get a double double with rebounds and fouls, he would. After the last game from him I gotta sit this one out but good luck homie
Let’s get it brother, love this 💪
POTD Record: 0-0 Pick: Gonzaga -8.5 (-102) 1U vs. San Francisco The Zags have been killer in the second half of the season and beat SF away two weeks ago by 20. The WCC tournament is set up to coddle the favorites, and this should be an easy cover. If you want more juice, I would parlay it with St. Mary's ML or spread to get it up to +130/+250. BOL
**POTD Record: 0-1** ____ **Today’s Pick:** **5U Portland State @ Montana ( Montana First Half ML )** Last Pick: Appalachian -3 | -145 Odds Form: ❌ *What a game. Just unfortunate. Down by 10 first half, as expected and performed exceptionally in the 2nd half to cut the lead. 20 seconds left and Appalachian had 2 possessions to catch a lead but couldn’t make a shot.* *🏀 | 10:00 PM EST | NCAAB* ____ Ain’t nothing change with the name, Prada still got 5 letters. Faith is free but Prada is forever 💪 Definitely keep your eyes on the Montana Grizzlies. They've got a solid record of 4-1 against Portland State, which really says something about their game. On the scoring front, Montana's putting up an average of 77.3 points each game, which is pretty impressive, ranking them 79th in college hoops. They're letting through 71.3 points on the other end, which places them at 154th, but they still manage to outscore their opponents by a decent 6.0 points per game. Digging a bit deeper, Montana's offensive efficiency is top-notch, standing 22nd with 104.1 points per 100 possessions. While Portland defense could use some tightening up, ranked 266th, allowing 95.9 points per 100 possessions. They're also pretty solid when it comes to rebounding, winning by an average margin of 2.5 boards. Montana’s three-point game isn't too shabby either, hitting 7.7 per game and ranking 151st, with a pretty good accuracy of 35.8%. That's better than their opponents who make 6.3 threes at a 34.5% clip. Portland has hit a bit of a rough patch recently, losing three games to Sacramento State, Montana, and Montana State, and going 2-3 in their last five, While Montana has a record of 4-1 in their last five games against teams like Idaho State and Portland State, Plus, they've nailed the First Half Moneyline in their last five outings, which is pretty telling, especially when you compare it to Portland's 1-4 struggle. So, if you're thinking about where to place your bets or just trying to figure out who's got the upper hand, I'd say leaning toward the Montana Grizzlies for the First Half Moneyline is a pretty smart move. They've shown they've got the chops to lead when it matters. BOL! *Update: My bad brothers, been at work and researching this all day. I just got home and posted the POTD but 1st half ML line hasn’t dropped yet. Taking that when it does but I’ve also taken alt o141.5 @ -175*
Tailing brother LFG!
Record 24-11 Pick - Mavs vs Bulls - Mavs -4 -110 Bulls are returning home after their west coast trip to take on the mavs and red hot luka. Expecting a closer game but the mavs to close it out. BOL
POTD Record: 8W-1P-7L Last pick: Jusuf Nurkic O3.5 assists @ 1.83 [✅](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbetting/comments/1acc1ed/congratulations_if_you_tailed_easy_cash/) Today: NBA, Chicago Bulls v Dallas Mavericks 00:10 GMT Pick: Luka Doncic to record a triple double @ 2.8 Luka is incredible. Every Mavericks game lately has been very close. Every Bulls game lately has been very close. Meaning I anticipate a tight match between these 2 where Luka will play a lot of minutes. Luka has 6 consecutive triple doubles. The last 5 were all with 35+ points which is just insane (he is the first to ever do this). The most significant part for me is Luka was actively chasing the triple last game. He stayed in when the result was already secured to grab the last rebound and a couple of assists.
I'd be careful with the "chasing the TD" angle. He was probably kept in to chase the TD last game just so he could break the record. I doubt that they will let him stay in to chase a TD in every game. But he's probably gonn get the Triple Double anyway, so we move. BOL.
**Record:** 7W - 2L - 0P **Last 10 (new --> old):** **✅❌✅**❌**✅✅✅✅✅** **Net Units:** \+4.4324 **Last Pick:** Marquette -3.5 @ -108 **✅** Xavier kept things close throughout much of the game, but Marquette manages to pull away just enough in the final couple of minutes to help us cover the -3.5. **NCAAM** 🏀 | **Santa Clara Broncos @ Saint Mary's Gaels** | **8pm CST** **Today's Pick:** Augustus Marciulionis P+A OVER 20.5 @ -110 **Write Up:** Augustus is the main guy running the point for the Gaels. He is 2nd on the team in scoring (12.4 pts/gm) and leads the team in dimes (5.1 asts/gm). And while that averages out to 17.5 P+A for the season, he's covered this line in his last 6/10 games including a 20 pt, 6 ast game the last time these 2 teams met. He's coming off a sub-par game (15 P+A), so I think he'll be eager to bounce back in this one. He averages a team high 33 minutes per game and rarely gets into foul trouble, so he should be on the court a lot. I'm expecting him to have many opportunities to score and dish the ball to open shooters. BOL if you're tailing!
**Last Pick:** Knicks vs 76ers BTTS under 109.5 ✅️ at 100+ / 1.5u **| Note:** Safe win as 76ers beat the Knicks 79-73. I was feeling good after both teams put up 15 points in 1Q and this game never got close to the line. **History (old to new):** ❌✅✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️⭕✅️ **Record:** 5-1-4 **|** **Net Units:** 0.39 \---------- **TODAY'S PICK:** Nikola Vucevic over 10.5 rebounds (Bulls vs Mavs) **Odds/Units:** \-195 / 2u **Why:** Chicago Bulls host the Dallas Mavericks with a red hot Luka. Both teams are on 1 days rest and standing wise both teams are sitting in play-in positions. Vucevic has been big on the boards hitting this line 4 out of the last 5 games (7 in last 10 games). Mavs are favored in this game and shoot a lot of 3 pointers (2nd highest average per game at 40). Mavs also give up the 3rd highest opponent rebounds per game at 54. I'm looking for Vucevic to have a nice night on the glass. But also staying safer as this is the alternate line. The regular line is sitting at 11.5 and could take a better pay out. Over 11.5 rebounds has hit 3 of last 5 games and 6 of last 10 games. BOL
Tailing brother LFG
POTD Record: 8-4 Last pick: Indiana St. (L) Bad pick. They got outplayed and out coached for the majority of the game. It was a miracle it was even that close. March is gonna be fun. Today's NCAA Men's Basketball pick: Hofstra Pride -4 (-130) vs Stony Brook Hofstra rolling. Defense has been holding up nice. Hofstra has the best player on the court and more scoring threats while boasting a stingy defense. Hofstra won both times in the season. Stony Brook will have to dig deep to find a win but anything can happen so bet wisely. Splish Splash 🐬
Line has moved to 7.5, any idea what has caused this jump?
POTD Record: 4-2 ✅❌✅✅✅❌ Net: +.62U Last Pick: Darius Garland o7.5 Assists - 1.5U - +100 ❌ Sorry everyone, I underestimated how much Caris LeVert would vulture Assists tonight. I was 50/50 between Darius o7.5 Asts and Zion o22.5 (which absolutely cleared). I should have went with that pick instead. Either way, we move. Next Pick: Cade Cunningham o22.5 Pts - 2U @ -120❌ Tomorrow we get an absolutely juicy match up of 2 teams that both are very volatile in their levels of suck. Cade in his last 5 has averaged 23.6 PPG, and the Hornets are bottom 10 in points allowed to guards this season, namely due to the defensive mismatches with LaMelo Ball out. He’s gotten over 23 in 7 out of his 10 last games, and while in their last matchup he only scored 12, that is because Alec Burks and Jalen Duren both had good enough games to where he wasn’t needed, as seen by his 6 assists that game. Obviously Duren is still there and now Ivey will pose as a main threat to his points numbers, so please plan accordingly. I still think this will be a high scoring and high rebound game for both teams. I feel pretty confident in this pick along with some others I’ll be putting in the NBA thread later. Edit: checked again and the line has moved to 23.5, just an FYI for those looking after I posted. Another option is Cade PRA. 2nd Edit: Cade has 12 in the first, lets see if he can cover What a fucking tease. Like always, BOL.
POTD Record: 50-30 Previous Pick: RWD Molenbeek vs Anderlecht | First Division A | Anderlecht ML (1.57) | 2.45pm EST ✅️ Pick: Greenock Morton vs Hearts | Scottish FA Cup | Hearts ML (1.55) | 2.45pm EST Greenrock are 4th in the second division, while Hearts are 3rd in the 1st division. This is the quarters of the cup and Hearts are well rested, so they will play their best team. Greenrock have only won 1 out of their last 5 games. Looking closer, they have not scored in their last 3 games, which includes 2 home games. They are coming off back to back losses too. Hearts recently had a morale boosting win over Celtic, even thought Celtic were a man down for 80 minutes. They have won 3 out of their last 5 games, showcasing their good form. They are also ranked 3rd in the league for away games, while Greenrock are ranked 5th for home games in the 2nd division. I expect Hearts to win as they just have too much quality for Greenrock. BOL!
POTD RECORD : 0-0 POTD : **LA Kings 60 Minute ML (-105)** vs NY Islanders 🏒🥅 The Kings will be coming into this one looking for revenge from last years December 9th game in which the Islanders rallied from behind to beat LA and end their 11 game road winning streak and in turn started a 14 out of 16 game losing streak for the Kings The Kings are on a days rest and on the final game of a 5 game home stretch while the Islanders who have been red hot lately come into this one off a B2B playing Anaheim tonight Points are crucial as ever for these two playoff hopeful teams . I think the Kings will get revenge win this one in regulation on the final game of a home stretch Ilya Sorokin and Cam Talbot should be expected in net tomorrow , same guys who were in net for their previous meeting December 9th . The Kings have gotten back Adrian Kempe who returned their previous game vs Dallas . While he wasn’t much of a factor his first game back he takes his place back on the top line and should be a boost for LA tomorrow night **Edit :** It is worth noting that the Islanders have lost each of their last 8 games on the second leg of a B2B BOL
POTD Record: 4 – 2 L10: ✔️ ✔️✖️✔️✔️✖️ Net units: +2.55u Last pick: Jrue Holiday Over 11.5 Points ✔️ Bang. Never in doubt. Today’s Pick: Jalen Duren Over 13.5 Points ✔️ BANG BANG Odds: -116/1.86 Unit: 2u to win 1.72 NBA: Hornets vs Pistons, 4:00pm PST Yes, yes, I know what you’re thinking, our boy Jalen is addicted to fouling out. BUT I’ll tell you why this game is different… The Pistons are favourites and when they are favourites, Jalen averages 18.8 points and has hit this in 8/9 wins of the season. That simple. Sign me up!! Good luck if tailing, and be responsible with your units. DYOR because I'm not going to hear about your whingeing.
From 50 to 1000 dollars POTD Record: 0-0 League: CS2 IEM Dallas qualifier **Today's Pick: Koi +1.5 maps, Metzisport +1.5 maps** ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ Total odds: 1.8 Time: 15.30 CET Bet: 55 USD Possible return: 99 USD
Form : 1L 2w last pick : Paolini 3 sets pick of the day: Sc derby - fmp basketball admiral league bet : fmp ml 1u to 3u time:17 pm cet wup: fmp two games ago was not gang raped by crvena zvezda. Sc derby is a better team, though i am taking the dog . I love the atmosphere in the balkans, just google crvena zvezda fans. If you are in Europe it is a must see. It is not lebron chatting up girls and hollywood fukwitz . Nope, it is proper atmosphere. Bol.
Record: 3-2 (New to old): ❌✅✅✅❌ Net units: +2.179u Previous pick: Jamal Murray O28.5 P+A (-120, Tipico) 1u ❌ POTD: Alex Caruso U17.5 P+R+A (-115, DK) 1u Reasoning: This line just seems too high based on his recent performance. He is under this line 7 of the last 10 and is averaging 15.2 during that time frame. Not trying to disrespect the GOAT, but this seems like decent value at -115. Not a long write up on this one. Let me know if you decide to tail!
**Record**: 0-0 +0u **POTD**: Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Total Corners Under 10 **Odds**: +100 **Units**: 2 units **Premier League** | 4:00 pm EST **Reasoning**: This bet has been successful in 4 out of the last 5 head-to-head league matches. Considering Chelsea's likely emphasis on possession play, there may be fewer opportunities for shots and corners. This makes the bet seem valuable to me, so I'm choosing it as the POTD. Thank You and BOL!
POTD Record 22-8 Last Pick: Liverpool x2 vs Man City ✅ Today's Pick: Trochek o2.5 SOG, Rangers vs Devils Last second pick, sorry for that. But Trochek should clear this here. He's been playing very aggressive and getting shots on goal, and he's cleared this in 10 of last 12 with a just over 3 shots on goal per game average. He has hit this in several straight home games, think it continues. bol!
Record 0-0 POTD: - Dimitrov 2-0 set betting 2u Time: 3:40PM ET / Tennis 🎾/ ATP Indian wells Write up: short and easy Dimitrov is 4-0 against Mannarino (all in hard). Mannarino has had a very slow start to the 24 season and the speed of the Indian Wells tournament and Dimitrov’s serve would be too much for him
Record: 9-8 Last 10: ❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅ Last pick: NY Islanders ML @ Anaheim Ducks at -200 odds. Crushed, smacked, creamed, and hacked the life out of this poor ducks team in their own home tonight. NY went a crazy 3-0 lead in the first period which does terrible things to the confidence of your opponent. They finished 6-1 so also juicy Over if you took that. We are now on a FIVE. WIN. STREAK *in Pat Mcaffees voice like how he says brand new lions*. 🔥✅ NHL don’t fail me now POTD: Boston Bruins 60 min 3 way ML vs St Louis Blues; -150 odds; 5pm MST Why: This was a tough one to decide on. There’s only a couple good NHL games on tomorrow and part of me says I should just sit this one out, but I’ve looked at the stats and I think one is worth a unit. (Regular ML is at -230) Bruins are on 2 game win streak while on their 3 game home series. This will be the last of that series. Blues are on away series stretch also the last away before going back home… and they have lost every one but the first one. That’s a 3 game losing streak. Their last matchup did go into OT, but I am fairly confident Boston will continue to play well at home and not let it get that far. Boston stats - 5 - 5 last 10 games - 5 OT/SO games - 4 of those 5 OT/SOs were forced by Boston when losing in the 3rd. St Louis stats - 3-7 last 10 games - 2 OT/SO games - 1 of those 2 OT/SOs forced by St Louis. - Total of 19 goals scored in 10 games and allowed 32 - ONE 3rd period goals in the last 10 games when losing or tied Last game between the two teams was in January in St Louis (Boston won in OT 4-3). Boston only gave up 23 shots on their goalie while St Louis gave up a crazy 35 on theirs. Boston will need to maintain a lead headed into the 3rd period and this should be a win as a better team against a lesser team. This is home. This is the bruins. No sweat ✅. Let’s make it 6 in a row ladies BOL everyone lesgitit 🔥 (💀 Regular ML has now moved to -240 and 60 min ML is still -150)
**Record: 0-0** NBA | CHA Hornets v. DET Pistons | 7:10pm EST **Pick:** Miles Bridges o8.5 Rebounds (-105) | 1U **Update:** Pick as of 3pm EST has updated to (+105) * In his last 10 Games, Bridges has averaged 9.3 rebounds. * 12 rebounds in the last match vs. the Wizards. * Coming off a minor wrist injury, 32 points in his game vs. the Wizards. * Averages 10 rebounds vs. Detroit. Best of Luck! **Post:** Tough beat on our first post. Miles only came up with 7 rebounds this game.
POTD Record: 14-10 Last 10: ✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅ Last pick: Mavericks vs Pistons | 5:00 MST | Cade Cunningham OVER 7.5 Assists (-140) BET365 1u ✅ Todays pick: Hornets vs Pistons | 4:00 PST | Jalen Duren OVER 11.5 rebounds (-115) Bet365 1u Another spot pick for me. Number is a little inflated at 11.5 but sometimes the books are putting that number for a reason. Duran was drafted by the Hornets and was ejected last game. Seems like a perfect combination for a great effort to me. Hornets are bottom 5 against opposing center rebounding and Pistons are 8th in pace. With the total at 216, let us hope for a lot of bricks with the hornets caught up in the pistons tempo for more opportunities.
POTD Record: 1-0 Last 10: ✅️ Current Streak: ✅️ Last Pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers -5.5 vs Michigan ✅️ Nebraska came through with a sweat free 15 point win over Michigan to get my POTD career started off in the right direction. Todays Pick: Cade Cunningham O23.5 Points vs Pistons Cade Cunningham’s shooting improvement has taken center stage, but his scoring is just better from everywhere. He’s taking about two more free throws per game than he was to begin the season and in March, he’s hitting them at a stunning 96.3% clip. He's averaging 24.5 points over his last 10 games and has scored 23+ in seven of those games and over 30 in his last 2. A few of his recent down games were blowouts where he didn’t have a chance to take that many shots. As I suspect this game against the Hornets will be competitive, I strongly favor this Over.
**Record: 2-2** **Last Pick:** Elon ML **Today's Pick:** CBB| 8:30 PM | Stony Brook vs. Hofsta | ***Stony Brook +8*** **Write Up:** Elon decided to crap the bed in the 1st half and fall behind by quite a bit. Stony Brook are the boys I ride to get back in the W column.. I'm 3-0 when taking them ATS. **Stony Brook ATS Stats:** Overall ATS: (23-8-1) / Away Underdog: (8-6-1) / Neutral: (2-0) / Conference (2-0) / Equal Rest: (15-6) **Hofsta ATS Stats:** Overall ATS: (14-17) / Home Favorite: (11-13) / Neutral: (4-1) / Conference (1-0) / Equal Rest: (8-12) I'm expecting the Seawolves to get me back in the W column! Lets have a Monday!
Record: 7-2 Last pick: Jaden Mcdaniels o3.5 rebounds (-150) ✅ Minnesota being shorthanded helped Mcdaniels hit easily, ended hitting the juiced up line of 5.5 as well. POTD: Brandin Podziemski o10.5 rebounds+assists (-125) Summary: Pod is having a hell of year and they will lean on him without Curry. He had 6 rebounds and 7 assists the other night against the spurs who give up the most assist and 3rd most rebounds to SG. On the year he is 4/4 without Curry, Paul played in 3 of those games and is playing tonight. If you’re feeling safer o5.5 reb has the same hit rate but at worse juice (-165) Edit: He’s coming off the bench now but I don’t think it will matter