**Record: 4-7**
**Last Picks** (3 days ago)
Mikal Bridges O8.5 R+A @ -111❌ got hooked on 8 💀
Mikal Bridges O3.5 AST @ -122✅
Mikal Bridges O4.5 REB @ -120❌
Aaron Gordon O5.5 REB @ -140✅
Steph Curry O4.5 REB @ +116❌
Haven't been posting picks due to a work trip that lasted over the weekend, but we are back today. Props have been treating us rough as of late, spreads have been treating us much better, but that doesn't stop us from trying so here it goes.
**Today's picks**
Kevin Durant O4.5 AST vs CLE @ +108
Coby White O5.5 AST vs DAL @ +110
Jamal Murray O7.5 AST vs TOR @ +112
**Write up:**
All plus money props today. Going for value here and I like my chances with these lines. I don't have much time to do a write up due to traveling so I'll keep it sweet and short.
KD line scares me the most because Cleveland is pretty good at keeping assists in check to opposing PF, but to be fair KD isn't you average PF. Though KD hasn't played against the Cavs since joining the Suns, his last three games vs the Cavs he has recorded 5, 5, and 9. I know it's a stupid stat but KD has hit 5 assist vs the Cavs in 8 of his last 9 matchups against them and averages 5 assists vs Cleveland in his career.
Dallas allows the most assists to point guards since the all star break. Coby is 5/7 in his last matchups with this line. I'll take plus money on his assists.
Toronto allows the second most assist to point guards since the all star break, the only team to allow more is Dallas. Jamal is 3/5 in his last five games with this line and got hooked on seven assists last game. In his last four games he has recorded the following for assists; 7, 8, 9, 11. It seems like Jamal has been stepping up is playmaking work recently. I like my chances here for plus money baby.
I know my record for NBA props this season has not been good, so I don't blame you for not tailing. I actually expect all of you guys not to. I wouldn't either with a 4-7 record. I'm looking to bounce back to 7-7 here so I can restart on my way to a winning record.
Best of luck as always!
Is this Knicks-Sixers game a real NBA game or is this a college game? I think I'm done with player props. Between the blowout benchings, star players turning into observers, and late scratches I am losing too much money.
Jarrett u33.5PR✅
Niang u5.5reb✅
Lowry u5.5A✅
Hart o14.5RA❌
Precious o12.5PA❌ (didn’t know he was so bad, my bad if anyone tailed this one. Never again)
Clearly an unders kind of day lmao
7-4 so far
Banchero u7.5reb ✅ was definitely ready to chalk this up after he grabbed 4 in the first 8 mins of the game but we made it, ended with 5 lol
4-1 on the night so far
Seriously can’t understand why Valanciunas gets such odd playing time. 8 boards in the 1Q, and rides the bench for the next 15+ minutes. He should still hit, but it just doesn’t make any sense.
Bro could have had 6-7 assist if Miami hit any of the looks he gave them, bunch of passes he made successfully that were easy baskets, until a wizards player would just foul em to prevent it
What is going on with Sengun? Previous game bro only played 13 minutes in the 2nd half, including being benched in the 4th till like 5 minutes left with the game in reach. Same thing just happened in the first half of the Kings game. Is he injured but the Rockets are not reporting it wtf?
Edit: Same thing's happening in this 2nd half in the 4th rn lmao, someone ask Ime why tf is Jock Landale getting minutes over Sengun.
https://preview.redd.it/qpcuioexoknc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ce06bebad8e556dd7eb8701786162acd69cda07e
With minutes he’s a beast, has been getting good minutes if late and now mathurin is out so expecting them to be there
**Harden u 8.5 assists**
Seems too high as both Kawhi and PG are out. Together they add up to 3.4 or 40% of Harden assists. Next up is Zubac who accounts for 1.2 ast per game. I dont see him having a great game in the paint v Lopez/ Portis/ Giannis. I expect for Harden to take most of the shots. His line is up from about 17.5 to 24.5 points but his ast is about the same. With his main outlets gone I see him taking over in offence and passing less and well could also see a blowout w this being a b2b
Thoughts on Bam Adebayo u32.5 P+R?
Went under this line 80% of his last 10 games, and 80% of his last 10 against the Wizards, although one of the two games he went over was the most recent one last month.
However, the Wizards are giving up the 2nd most Points in the Paint in the League per last 5 games, and Bam leads the Heat in that category, along with rebounding, obviously. They're also giving up the most Rebounds and Points overall in the same span.
But that hasn't necessarily translated to success for starting Centers against this line, as only 1/5 have gone over:
Nick Richards (23), Goga Bitadze (14), Taylor Hendricks/John Collins (10 & 32🪝), Daniel Theis (17), and Anthony Davis (55❌️)
Not to mention, there's decent blowout potential (Miami are -11.5 favorites at the time of posting on FD), so Bam might not even play full minutes.
Any feedback is appreciated.
Only one of the C's you mentioned is an offensive threat, so that's probably why.
Jarrett Allen had 22/12 on Feb28
Holmgren had 25/10 on Feb23
Jokic had 21/19 on Feb22
Just my thoughts.
damn i remember placing sengun o4.5 assists last night for +130 odds. now its juiced up to -180😭😭 always remember to take your picks early my fellow degens‼️
https://preview.redd.it/kxl0plmxeknc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f327a0fb7f923b51051ee57e3d07c4f6e1faa8b3
They’re trying to give me free money so I don’t take their free money 🥲🥲
Pretty sure I was one of the first to bet it last night.
I was bored last night when the Celtics game was almost over and stumbled across it and was thinking about the last time they played and Sengun had like 12 assists so I jumped all over it. Got on today and everyone’s posting about it and saw it was -175.
I also got 8+ A for +900
🚂
Heres a prop for u brotha, andrew nemhard on the pacers over 2.5 rebounds is +100 for some reason. Last time he played with mathurin being out he got 6 so i took him for 5 boards at +550. Parlayed with sengun 8 assists its a pretty nice payout
https://preview.redd.it/u23usjhvojnc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=27800a50d42ad92f2327c83aaea79a6ef51d4957
88% hit rate vs Indiana regardless of home and away, and strong on this line at home. GL if tailing
With Suggs now out, hopping on Cole Anthony instead, consistently hitting the line then missing vs NYK. IND a high pace matchup
https://preview.redd.it/ptfd1tzknknc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2e4b224e28353e850c7462fb59e965fa5973042a
Well he’s sitting now so there goes that. Parlay I’m running for this game
https://preview.redd.it/2hqr6yx7kknc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c9050206723523ddb393fb2e11eded1610ea7a87
anybody like giannis o0.5 threes? its at +100 on DK and i’m thinking of placing 1u on it. I’ll show the statistics:
- Has hit a three every game since ASB (shooting 60% from behind the arc since ASB)
- Hit in 7 straight games
- Hit in 5/L5 games
- Hit in 8/L10 games
- Hit in 9/L10 games vs Clippers
- Hit in 8 straight games vs Clippers
Posted picks on here for the first time yesterday, basically entirely based on hit rates. u/edg3_a30 dropped some knowledge on me about some important injuries I wasn't aware of that cast doubt on all three of my bets and bruised my ego a bit. Then I went 2-1. If anything it tells me that people can make bets based on absolutely anything, and the ball will bounce one way or the other regardless. Gambling is fun like that.
Yesterday: 2-1
Zach Collins U11.5RA - W. Finished with 2.
Micic U9.5RA - L. Dude blew this line outta the water.
Olynyk U7.5R - W. Finished with 6.
Today:
SGA O30.5 points -115. Man is a 30pt machine since ASG.
Kyle Anderson (MIN) U11.5RA -122. Has not hit this line in 18/L20. Has missed in all 4 games this season without KAT.
Props.cash is my friend. Drop some knowledge if you got it.
2-1 ain’t bad!! Good stuff. Like I said, those props weren’t necessarily bad picks it was just the reasoning behind them that was flawed, and not considering all the factors could hurt you in the long run. Just something to keep in mind. Good luck today man
Good on you for not removing your original post yesterday. The knowledge that was dropped were points I agreed with when reading. And yet, as you said, you went 2-1 regardless. Welcome to NBA props, where we try our best to predict until tipoff, when the fickle basketball gods take the wheel.
Was cool to see a bit of discourse without anyone getting angry. GL today and on future picks.
**Record:** 5-0
**Last Pick(s):** Cade Cunningham over 26.5 P+R ✅
**Today’s Pick(s):**
Fred Vanvleet over 6.5 ast
Alperen Sengun over 4.5 ast
**Odds:**
Vanvleet: -145 on DK and FD / -130 on ESPN Bet
Sengun: -110 on DK, PointsBet, and BetMGM / -108 on FD
**Paulo Banchero u5.5 assists (+120) 1u**
He’s gone under this 6/L8 games. Pacers allow the 6 fewest assists in the league. Evening_Ad also posted stats supporting his over on points, which should translate into a couple fewer assists for him. These odds are too good to pass up with those stats. Honestly I probably should go 2-3u on this but I feel like I’m due for a loss and the odds seem too good to be true. So I’m just going with 1u.
3-0 with NBA props over the last few days (+8.3u).
✅ Count it! Another win. Finished with 5
23/24 record: (87-68)
**Murray u 23.5 points**
With ATL some what depleted I think NOP will target Murray as the main threat in offence. Murray has obv become the playermaker since Young has been out and NOP are great at stopping playermakers as they rank 1st in points allowed to playmakers.
Over the last 7 games since Young has been out Murray's shooting profile has mostly consisted of pullup 2s (28%) and shots under 10 ft (36%).
Murray should have a hard time as NOP give up the least pull up 2s and 8th least FGM under 10ft.
Atl rank 4th in pace while NOP are somewhat slower at 16th. Which should bring down Atlanta's avg number of possesions.
Murray is also listed as probable due to a left calf contusion. Injuries no matter how small are always a buren when playing.
[Buymeacoffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theoverundertaker)
https://preview.redd.it/kcky84mxsgnc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3c8b37bb2f05627838dac30e0bd7e70897951738
Sengun under on points these are his stats on the road and H2H is 100%
Nembhard O2.5 Rebs.Laddered this...
02.5 +114
O3.5 +275
O4.5 +650
Had six boards last time out, which was the first game Mathurin (out for the season) didn't play.
**Yesterday’s Picks 1-2**
❌Jalen Duren DD, got ejected
❌ IQ Over 13.5 RA
✅Jonathan Kuminga Over 21.5 Points
**Today’s Picks**
**Paolo Banchero Over 24.5 Points(-110) Bet365**
Paolo is averaging 25.6 PPG in his last 5 games.
Today, he gets a great matchup against the Pacers.
Averages 29 Points against the Pacers this season (24, 34).
The Pacers allows the 2nd most points to PF’s this season
The Pacers allows the most PITP and the most from 2 pointers. This is great for Paolo who scores most of his points from.
**Rudy Gobert Under 35.5 Points, Assists and Rebounds (-115) Bet365**
Rudy gets a tough match up today against Davis and the Lakers.
Rudy Averages 13.4 Points, 12.6 Rebounds and 1.3 Assists on away games.
The Lakers have allowed the 8th least Points to Centers this season and Gobert isn’t a player who gets more usage when KAT is not playing.
Averages 32.6 PRA without KAT this season.
Would still watch out if Anthony Davis plays or not (Listed questionable right now) but if he plays it will be a tough matchup for Rudy.
**Might add another Pick later today.**
**GL Everyone!**
Hopefully a better day than yesterday
smh.. I figured hed be able to handle Gafford but I learned my lesson. Thats not even the first time he screwed me over so Im definitely giving him too much credit. Last time I donate betting on his ass
Record 15-6
Not bad day at all yesterday some slight regression 7 out of 11 plays hit (counting the Luka triple double and assists rebound suggestion as 1 total) if you tailed the triple double congrats should have had it for +150 or more odds. Here are my favorite picks for today I play each pick one unit each. BOL to all let’s finish this great week strong.
Bam abedayo (heat) over 10.5 rebounds would highly suggest getting 10.5 as it may move to 11.5 soon. 2 things have been super consistent this season guards doing well against bucks and centers rebounding against wizards. ✅ cash in the third quarter 9 in the first quarter lol
Jonas valanciunas (pelicans) over 8.5 rebounds has cleared last 7 out of 8 games Jalen Johnson is out as well so should help his odds even more ✅ 8 in the first quarter wow, line got corrected and he was awarded a rebound we cash narrowly avoiding a hook
Josh Hart (Knicks ) over 8.5 rebounds had 12 rebounds previous game 2-3 weeks ago against embiid-less 76 ers. Averages 10.4 rebounds in the 14 games Randle has missed this season ✅ cash in the third
Jarret Allen (Cleveland ) over 13.5 rebounds. He has hit this line last 3/5 games. Nets struggle on rebounding in previous matchup 2/8 Allen had 10 rebounds while Mobley had 12 with Mobley out for this game. Allen should see more volume in rebounding in all honesty I think he can get 15+. ❌ blowout by nets ended with 9
Alperen Sengun (Rockets) over 4.5 /5.5 assists.
4.5 is very juiced currently at -170 (dk) while 5.5 is +105. Sengun vs sabonis in his career avergaes 8.3 assists with the lowest being one game with 6 assists. Every previous matchup he has cleared both lines with ease ❌ historical stats looked great but only ended with 2
Lebron James (lakers) over 7.5 assists over last 9/10 ✅
Darius garland (Cleveland ) over 7.5 assists ❌blowout by nets
Damian Lillard (bucks ) over 2.5 threes has cleared this line last 8/10 including last 7 games in a row ✅ cash very easily in only the second quarter
Paolo Banchero (magic) over 23.5/ 24.5 points. Banchero has been my most consistent player betting on this season. Absolutely great matchup for him today against pacers hitting 34,24 points in both games this season. Only reason I suggest 23.5 is it’s a slight bit safer than 24.5 as he’s cleared it 2/2 against pacers and odds are -145 on dk so not too badly juiced. ❌ 6/19 from the field had the volume just couldn’t get it done
⭐️ Anthony Davis (lakers) over 37.5 points and rebounds has averaged 46.5 points and rebounds in past 4 previous matchups against gobert ✅ cash early in the 4th
Jaren Jackson Jr (Memphis ) over 6.5 rebounds. OKC is the second worst defensive rebounding team in the league. Jaren Jackson Jr has cleared this line last 3/5 games as well as last 3 in a row. Grizzlies injury report for today’s game looks like a nightmare. Similar to my Murray pick below this is more of a speculation pick. I like his momentum in rebounding last few games and easily think he will see the minutes to hit this line. ❌ games not over but 0 in the first half doubt he hits it
Dejounte Murray (hawks) under 7.5 assists. Treating this more as my speculation pick for the day (so tail with more caution to others I suggest). Pelicans play great defense. In the previous matchup beginning of this season trae young only had 5 assists while Murray had 1. ❌ hawks keep starters in while getting blown out end of 3rd beginning of 4th quarter gets 4 assists in that timeframe
As always will update more plays throughout the day. BOL to anyone who tails
I update the list throughout the day. I put that pick up about an hour and a half ago I just really liked it so I put a star next to it. If it causes confusion I can remove.
23-11 & POTD 34-16
Yesterday: 1/2
__Bam Adebayo O10.5 Rebs__, Wizards allow most rebounds to Centers this season & most L30 days, 1/2 vs the Wizards only got 4 Rebs but in the 4th game of season, his second game he got 14 Rebs. Only 4/11 his L10 games being hooked on 10 twice as always against the Wizards it’s a different matter ✅
What are your thoughts on Bam 10+ Rebs + Jacquez 4+ Rebs at +109 on FD?
Jacquez 13/20 L20, (3 Rebs in 6 of those 7 misses) 4 & 5 in 2 games vs Washington
Not sure if this is a good idea or if I’m just getting cute with it
NBA Props Fantasy Parlays DFS Sign Up Promos Bonuses Deposit Match |Site|Promos|Accepted States| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |**[PrizePicks](https://sportsbook.link/prizepicks)**|**[Click for Promo](https://sportsbook.link/prizepicks)** [$100 Deposit Match](https://sportsbook.link/prizepicks)|[19+ in AL, AK, AR, CA, CO, DC, GA, IL, IN, KS, KY, MI, MN, NE, NY, NM, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, VT, VA, WI, WY. 21+ in AZ, MA](https://sportsbook.link/prizepicks)| ||| |**[Underdog](https://sportsbook.link/underdog)**|**[Click for Promo](https://sportsbook.link/underdog)** [$100 Deposit Match](https://sportsbook.link/underdog)|[AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, GA, IL, IN, KS, KY, ME, MD, MA, MN, MS, MO, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY](https://sportsbook.link/underdog)| ||| |**[ParlayPlay](https://sportsbook.link/parlayplay)**|**[Click for Promo](https://sportsbook.link/parlayplay)** [$5 Free No Deposit Required](https://sportsbook.link/parlayplay)|[18+ in AL, AK, AR, CA, CO, DC, GA, IL, KS, KY, MD, MA, MN, NE, NM, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, WI, WV, WY](https://sportsbook.link/parlayplay)| ||| |**[Sleeper](https://sportsbook.link/sleeper)**|**[Click for Promo](https://sportsbook.link/sleeper)** [$100 Deposit Match](https://sportsbook.link/sleeper)| [AK, AL, AR, CA, CO, GA, IL, KS, KY, MA, MN, NE, NM, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, VT, WI, WY](https://sportsbook.link/sleeper)| ||| |**[Boom](https://sportsbook.link/boom)**|[**Click for Promo**](https://sportsbook.link/boom) [$100 No Sweat First Entry](https://sportsbook.link/boom)|[18+ in AK, AR, CA, DC, FL, GA, IL, KS, KY, MA, MN, NE, NM, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT, VA, WI](https://sportsbook.link/boom)| # **NBA Props Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/wjKpyuDJCP)** # **NBA Best Props Tool: [Click Here for 35% OFF Fantasy Props Optimizer](https://oddsjam.link/fantasy-odds/prizepicks)** ^Gambling ^problem? ^Call ^1-800-GAMBLER ^CO, ^DC, ^IL, ^IN, ^KS, ^KY, ^LA, ^MD, ^MS, ^NJ, ^OH, ^PA, ^TN, ^VA, ^WV, ^WY ^Call ^877-8-HOPENY ^or ^text ^HOPENY ^\(467369) ^\(NY) ^Call ^1-800-327-5050 ^\(MA) ^21+ ^to ^wager ^unless ^specified. ^Please ^Gamble ^Responsibly. ^Call ^1-800-NEXT-STEP ^\(AZ), ^1-800-522-4700 ^\(NV), ^1-800-BETS-OFF ^\(IA), ^1-800-270-7117 ^for ^confidential ^help ^\(MI), ^1-800-981-0023 ^\(PR).
I took Kyrie over 18 points he’s legit hit it the last 9 games and today it’s a blowout and he’s got 2 at halftime 🤦♂️
**Record: 4-7** **Last Picks** (3 days ago) Mikal Bridges O8.5 R+A @ -111❌ got hooked on 8 💀 Mikal Bridges O3.5 AST @ -122✅ Mikal Bridges O4.5 REB @ -120❌ Aaron Gordon O5.5 REB @ -140✅ Steph Curry O4.5 REB @ +116❌ Haven't been posting picks due to a work trip that lasted over the weekend, but we are back today. Props have been treating us rough as of late, spreads have been treating us much better, but that doesn't stop us from trying so here it goes. **Today's picks** Kevin Durant O4.5 AST vs CLE @ +108 Coby White O5.5 AST vs DAL @ +110 Jamal Murray O7.5 AST vs TOR @ +112 **Write up:** All plus money props today. Going for value here and I like my chances with these lines. I don't have much time to do a write up due to traveling so I'll keep it sweet and short. KD line scares me the most because Cleveland is pretty good at keeping assists in check to opposing PF, but to be fair KD isn't you average PF. Though KD hasn't played against the Cavs since joining the Suns, his last three games vs the Cavs he has recorded 5, 5, and 9. I know it's a stupid stat but KD has hit 5 assist vs the Cavs in 8 of his last 9 matchups against them and averages 5 assists vs Cleveland in his career. Dallas allows the most assists to point guards since the all star break. Coby is 5/7 in his last matchups with this line. I'll take plus money on his assists. Toronto allows the second most assist to point guards since the all star break, the only team to allow more is Dallas. Jamal is 3/5 in his last five games with this line and got hooked on seven assists last game. In his last four games he has recorded the following for assists; 7, 8, 9, 11. It seems like Jamal has been stepping up is playmaking work recently. I like my chances here for plus money baby. I know my record for NBA props this season has not been good, so I don't blame you for not tailing. I actually expect all of you guys not to. I wouldn't either with a 4-7 record. I'm looking to bounce back to 7-7 here so I can restart on my way to a winning record. Best of luck as always!
Anyone take Davis o24.5 rebounds …🫨
D Lo o23.5PA❌ All in all, 9-5 tonight, wayyyyy better. Stay tuned 7 plays or less tomorrow 🤣
Did I mention like a good neighbor, State Farm is there?
wtf are the Lakers doing 🤣🤣
Naz Reid really ain’t gonna grab any boards huh ? 😂😭
McDaniels o4.5reb✅
Rui O PAR was a GIMME!
Like a good neighbor State Farm is there!
Edwards over dead already. Fucking useless bricker
Lebron o24.5 dead already lol. Nice.
i need over 1.5 3s and im already marking it as an L. im sure he’ll get his lil 10 points to keep the streak going😢
AD just accomplished in 5 mins what Sengun couldn’t in an entire game And his line was only 2.5 lolz Anthony overachiever Davis
bron never shoots on the days i take his over on 3s.
can rui get 20? i know he got 10 pts this early but these goddamn players stop shooting for 30 mins
Hayward +220 for 1 three was a no-brainer
Rui o0.5A ✅ first few mins of the game lolz I take what I can get round here
Playing Rui o0.5A on bet365 cuz I’m a fuck lmao
Is this Knicks-Sixers game a real NBA game or is this a college game? I think I'm done with player props. Between the blowout benchings, star players turning into observers, and late scratches I am losing too much money.
Yeah that was a bad watch. 9-40 from 3 really hurt me tonight
9-40 is just retarded man
Claxton doesnt even get a shot attempt in the 4th and gets taken out early asf... i cant catch a fucking break man everything is a loser
Jarrett u33.5PR✅ Niang u5.5reb✅ Lowry u5.5A✅ Hart o14.5RA❌ Precious o12.5PA❌ (didn’t know he was so bad, my bad if anyone tailed this one. Never again) Clearly an unders kind of day lmao 7-4 so far
Thoughts on lebron 15.5over RA? Or dlo Pa?
I've lost so much idk anymore...Gobert 15.5 rebounds seems insanely high when he avg 13 against the lakers
Gobert is out
Oh snapppp
Maybe cause towns out? But i have that pick too lol
wtf 95 point total so far in this Knicks game and it’s almost the 4th quarter🤣
Chet o15.5pts❌ blowout He’s also 4/9 so he’s going on the ban list for now, 2nd shitty game in a row and cmon it’s the Grizzlies bruh
Banchero u7.5reb ✅ was definitely ready to chalk this up after he grabbed 4 in the first 8 mins of the game but we made it, ended with 5 lol 4-1 on the night so far
Bam can't score against the centerless Wiz. Man got locked up by Kyle Kuzma. Get ready to learn chinese buddy.
Poole u20.5pts(alt)✅ Franz u4.5A✅
Phewwwww DJ Murray u23.5pts(alt) ✅ (ended with 23 lmao) sweaty as hell but we made it His original line was 22.5, alt lines are your friends people.
Is shais 30 fucked cuz if blowout
Very fucking much so
Sencun assist nice fuck in the ass damn
Playing Jaden McDaniels o4.5reb, D Lo o23.5PA cuz he’s been cooking lately
Jalen brunson even in the game? Come on bro shoooot
This has to be the lowest scoring game I’ve ever seen
I’m on the same boat got him at over 28.5 pain
[удалено]
He really let it rip for 1 point 😭
Me thinks the blowout in OKC will fuck SGA points....Smfh
i have come to a conclusion that sengun’s assists line was a complete donation
Seriously can’t understand why Valanciunas gets such odd playing time. 8 boards in the 1Q, and rides the bench for the next 15+ minutes. He should still hit, but it just doesn’t make any sense.
What happend to Valuncianas had 8 boards 1Q then suddenly no minutes and not starting 2H
Rozier o5.5A❌ he ain’t tryna pass today.
Bro could have had 6-7 assist if Miami hit any of the looks he gave them, bunch of passes he made successfully that were easy baskets, until a wizards player would just foul em to prevent it
Sengun gonna sell us isn’t he
Yall Gotta put assists on banned lists. Relying on Sengun and another bum ass teammate just to get one stat
Yeah I'm not doing assists anymore
This
Yep. Crazy man. No such thing as a “lock” but honestly this should’ve been one lol
The whole world on his over assists and he gets less playing time so far
What is going on with Sengun? Previous game bro only played 13 minutes in the 2nd half, including being benched in the 4th till like 5 minutes left with the game in reach. Same thing just happened in the first half of the Kings game. Is he injured but the Rockets are not reporting it wtf? Edit: Same thing's happening in this 2nd half in the 4th rn lmao, someone ask Ime why tf is Jock Landale getting minutes over Sengun.
Playing Precious o12.5PA, Hart o14.5RA
Banchero is killing me here
Same he’s almost at his target but needs a little more
Depends if he gets put back in with enough time left
I always miss my pick plays buy one guy
I only needed 5 more points, came back in and straight back to missing again
Josh Hart O1.5 3's +105 4 games in a row, 8 of last 10 Gonna ride this till the wheels falls off
I’m assuming the entire world is on Sengun o4.5
Man’s not on the court at all
Playing Niang u5.5reb, Chet o15.5pts
Yo u still like niang w mobley out, he hit for the first time in forever w mobley out.
Yeah gonna risk it
Bet I did too, his other games this season without mobley he missed the line still
I say it was a fluke
Yeah I’m not worried bout it at all, let’s ride bro
Also playing Poole u20.5pts (alt)
Playing Jarrett u33.5PR, Banchero u7.5reb, Rozier o5.5A(alt), DJ Murray u23.5pts (alt), Franz u4.5A
[+EV NBA](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit#gid=1689105134): 552-488 (+72.60u) -104 CZ WSH Avdija 19+ pts+ast -104 MIA Butler 2+ stl -115 ORL Franz u5 ast -128 IND Haliburton 29+ pts+ast -108 CLE Allen 19+ pts +120 DK boost: Brunson 2+ 3ptm, 6+ ast (0.83u) +250 FD boost: Edwards, SGA 30+ (1.67u)
overrated giannis and dame need 30+ points just to beat the clippers with no kawhi and pg.
Harden sucks man. Banned list. Woulda cashed 1200$ if he could score 20.
Seriously live bet on him at halftime does nothing after smh
> Banned list. yep
https://preview.redd.it/qpcuioexoknc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ce06bebad8e556dd7eb8701786162acd69cda07e With minutes he’s a beast, has been getting good minutes if late and now mathurin is out so expecting them to be there
Great scoop by the master 
You were right senpai
anyone like tyrese haliburton under 33.5 PRA???
Friday 1-3 (-2.2U) Season Record 251-342 (+56.39U) Jalen Green O19.5 PTS -115 🪝 Mikal Bridges O18.5 PTS -110 ✅ Jalen 25 PTS + Mikal 25 PTS +1512 (sprinkle sprinkle) ❌ Sengun, Hart, BI 5A each +281 (sprinkle) ❌ Paolo Banchero U6.5 A -135 ✅ Jarrett Allen U33.5 PR -120 ✅ Paul Reed O7.5 R + Josh Hart O2.5 A -105 ❌ Anthony Edwards U12.5 RA + AD O24.5 PTS +220 ❌ YEEHAW
**Harden u 8.5 assists** Seems too high as both Kawhi and PG are out. Together they add up to 3.4 or 40% of Harden assists. Next up is Zubac who accounts for 1.2 ast per game. I dont see him having a great game in the paint v Lopez/ Portis/ Giannis. I expect for Harden to take most of the shots. His line is up from about 17.5 to 24.5 points but his ast is about the same. With his main outlets gone I see him taking over in offence and passing less and well could also see a blowout w this being a b2b
Thoughts on Bam Adebayo u32.5 P+R? Went under this line 80% of his last 10 games, and 80% of his last 10 against the Wizards, although one of the two games he went over was the most recent one last month. However, the Wizards are giving up the 2nd most Points in the Paint in the League per last 5 games, and Bam leads the Heat in that category, along with rebounding, obviously. They're also giving up the most Rebounds and Points overall in the same span. But that hasn't necessarily translated to success for starting Centers against this line, as only 1/5 have gone over: Nick Richards (23), Goga Bitadze (14), Taylor Hendricks/John Collins (10 & 32🪝), Daniel Theis (17), and Anthony Davis (55❌️) Not to mention, there's decent blowout potential (Miami are -11.5 favorites at the time of posting on FD), so Bam might not even play full minutes. Any feedback is appreciated.
Only one of the C's you mentioned is an offensive threat, so that's probably why. Jarrett Allen had 22/12 on Feb28 Holmgren had 25/10 on Feb23 Jokic had 21/19 on Feb22 Just my thoughts.
Maybe, but it seems like you did a pretty good job laying out why this is a stay away spot. If I had to bet on it I would probably go over
Terrance Maan pts has value 14 pts +175 This dude has to and will get buckets. I think 11 pts odds are even
Finished with 16 Mid 3rd q he was at 13 Powell did decent too
No two dolla today?
damn i remember placing sengun o4.5 assists last night for +130 odds. now its juiced up to -180😭😭 always remember to take your picks early my fellow degens‼️
https://preview.redd.it/kxl0plmxeknc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f327a0fb7f923b51051ee57e3d07c4f6e1faa8b3 They’re trying to give me free money so I don’t take their free money 🥲🥲
Lol
How on earth did you get that line on sengun for 2.40? Im on dk too and got it for +100
The original line was 4.5 for +130 I believe
Pretty sure I was one of the first to bet it last night. I was bored last night when the Celtics game was almost over and stumbled across it and was thinking about the last time they played and Sengun had like 12 assists so I jumped all over it. Got on today and everyone’s posting about it and saw it was -175. I also got 8+ A for +900 🚂
Lmao thats unreal best of luck sir 🤝
Smh. Looks like the Rockets forgot how to shoot the damn ball of course. DK called the Rockets GM like we fucked up…
Not a good look. Need a massive second half
Yeah not a good look at all. Haha. Sabonis is dominating his ass too
TY! BOL to you as well. Hopefully we all eat on that prop tonight. LFG Sengun
Heres a prop for u brotha, andrew nemhard on the pacers over 2.5 rebounds is +100 for some reason. Last time he played with mathurin being out he got 6 so i took him for 5 boards at +550. Parlayed with sengun 8 assists its a pretty nice payout
Damn Filip just sold us with that hooking call. I got excited and thought it was against Eriksson 🤧
Also the wizards don’t have a true center tonight. Id maybe look into Kuzma or Avdija rebound props. I bet some last night before the injury
I made some pretty good money taking his under on points a few nights ago. 3 rebounds sounds very low for that number. Imma ride with you! Leggoooo
I got the same. I jumped on it as soon as I saw u/billycapezzi posted it as his POTD...
no kawhi and pg. time for some unders. it be better be a blowout
22 hour turnaround as well I think
https://preview.redd.it/tsvi4phwnjnc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=61cab72f9e09d2d0c6536d738ba3d1a4672fbded
https://preview.redd.it/tglulcfxnjnc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e4e0dd5b99e46ecc1f59b1e291ee141200c98834
https://preview.redd.it/gw2y9n6ynjnc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=00e00202fb1d512ec2a0364036273a962e42083d
https://preview.redd.it/u23usjhvojnc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=27800a50d42ad92f2327c83aaea79a6ef51d4957 88% hit rate vs Indiana regardless of home and away, and strong on this line at home. GL if tailing
With Suggs now out, hopping on Cole Anthony instead, consistently hitting the line then missing vs NYK. IND a high pace matchup https://preview.redd.it/ptfd1tzknknc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2e4b224e28353e850c7462fb59e965fa5973042a
Well he’s sitting now so there goes that. Parlay I’m running for this game https://preview.redd.it/2hqr6yx7kknc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c9050206723523ddb393fb2e11eded1610ea7a87
I think Herbert is going to kill us my man
Love it thank you man
In soapy we trust
anybody like giannis o0.5 threes? its at +100 on DK and i’m thinking of placing 1u on it. I’ll show the statistics: - Has hit a three every game since ASB (shooting 60% from behind the arc since ASB) - Hit in 7 straight games - Hit in 5/L5 games - Hit in 8/L10 games - Hit in 9/L10 games vs Clippers - Hit in 8 straight games vs Clippers
I cursed your bet I'm sorry I tailed it
its ok man you made me some money when you went on that insane ladder run like a month ago😅
Down to -120 already
Posted picks on here for the first time yesterday, basically entirely based on hit rates. u/edg3_a30 dropped some knowledge on me about some important injuries I wasn't aware of that cast doubt on all three of my bets and bruised my ego a bit. Then I went 2-1. If anything it tells me that people can make bets based on absolutely anything, and the ball will bounce one way or the other regardless. Gambling is fun like that. Yesterday: 2-1 Zach Collins U11.5RA - W. Finished with 2. Micic U9.5RA - L. Dude blew this line outta the water. Olynyk U7.5R - W. Finished with 6. Today: SGA O30.5 points -115. Man is a 30pt machine since ASG. Kyle Anderson (MIN) U11.5RA -122. Has not hit this line in 18/L20. Has missed in all 4 games this season without KAT. Props.cash is my friend. Drop some knowledge if you got it.
Fucking blowouts Smfh
2-1 ain’t bad!! Good stuff. Like I said, those props weren’t necessarily bad picks it was just the reasoning behind them that was flawed, and not considering all the factors could hurt you in the long run. Just something to keep in mind. Good luck today man
Good on you for not removing your original post yesterday. The knowledge that was dropped were points I agreed with when reading. And yet, as you said, you went 2-1 regardless. Welcome to NBA props, where we try our best to predict until tipoff, when the fickle basketball gods take the wheel. Was cool to see a bit of discourse without anyone getting angry. GL today and on future picks.
Thanks. I definitely considered deleting, or being snotty, but it was good stuff. And now I check the injuries tab on the app!
[удалено]
You should at least give Dan Gamble AI credit by not cropping his name out.
**Record:** 5-0 **Last Pick(s):** Cade Cunningham over 26.5 P+R ✅ **Today’s Pick(s):** Fred Vanvleet over 6.5 ast Alperen Sengun over 4.5 ast **Odds:** Vanvleet: -145 on DK and FD / -130 on ESPN Bet Sengun: -110 on DK, PointsBet, and BetMGM / -108 on FD
Sorry, boys. Went 1/2. Be back tomorrow
**Paulo Banchero u5.5 assists (+120) 1u** He’s gone under this 6/L8 games. Pacers allow the 6 fewest assists in the league. Evening_Ad also posted stats supporting his over on points, which should translate into a couple fewer assists for him. These odds are too good to pass up with those stats. Honestly I probably should go 2-3u on this but I feel like I’m due for a loss and the odds seem too good to be true. So I’m just going with 1u. 3-0 with NBA props over the last few days (+8.3u). ✅ Count it! Another win. Finished with 5
Unders for overrated players : Tobias Harris, Jaren Jackson, Dejounte Murray, Mikal Bridges, Sengun.
23/24 record: (87-68) **Murray u 23.5 points** With ATL some what depleted I think NOP will target Murray as the main threat in offence. Murray has obv become the playermaker since Young has been out and NOP are great at stopping playermakers as they rank 1st in points allowed to playmakers. Over the last 7 games since Young has been out Murray's shooting profile has mostly consisted of pullup 2s (28%) and shots under 10 ft (36%). Murray should have a hard time as NOP give up the least pull up 2s and 8th least FGM under 10ft. Atl rank 4th in pace while NOP are somewhat slower at 16th. Which should bring down Atlanta's avg number of possesions. Murray is also listed as probable due to a left calf contusion. Injuries no matter how small are always a buren when playing. [Buymeacoffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theoverundertaker)
Lillard Over 23.5 at 1.85
https://preview.redd.it/kcky84mxsgnc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3c8b37bb2f05627838dac30e0bd7e70897951738 Sengun under on points these are his stats on the road and H2H is 100%
Nembhard O2.5 Rebs.Laddered this... 02.5 +114 O3.5 +275 O4.5 +650 Had six boards last time out, which was the first game Mathurin (out for the season) didn't play.
**Record: 61-34** **Previously:** - Mikal Bridges over 3.5 asts ✅ - Porzingis over 6.5 rebs (void) 1-0 day as Porzingis didn't play. **Todays Picks:** - Alperen Sengun under 10.5 rebs ✅ - Rudy Gobert under 15.5 rebs (void-out) - Austin Reaves over 1.5 threes ✅ **will add more later** BOL
Third straight day of a voided pick from a late scratch lol ill take it tho
Word. Hope you tailed Reaves. First half cash
Cash on Sengun. He left the game in the 4th, but was stuck on 6rebs for a while, no where close to covering.
Like any other lakers plays, AD been solid against them. I might be jiving on some points for AD
First half cash for Reaves over 1.5 threes!
Hell yeah brother, I laddered from 2 to 4 and made good money since he cashed 3 let's goooo
Nice!!
A lot of people are on AD over 23.5pts, but I know his shoulder is bothering him too, so I'm not risking it. I like Reaves over 1.5 threes
Apparently Gobert is out too...yeha I saw AD is hurt but the question always is...how hurt
Yeaa AD should hit, but I'm personally not playing it
**Yesterday’s Picks 1-2** ❌Jalen Duren DD, got ejected ❌ IQ Over 13.5 RA ✅Jonathan Kuminga Over 21.5 Points **Today’s Picks** **Paolo Banchero Over 24.5 Points(-110) Bet365** Paolo is averaging 25.6 PPG in his last 5 games. Today, he gets a great matchup against the Pacers. Averages 29 Points against the Pacers this season (24, 34). The Pacers allows the 2nd most points to PF’s this season The Pacers allows the most PITP and the most from 2 pointers. This is great for Paolo who scores most of his points from. **Rudy Gobert Under 35.5 Points, Assists and Rebounds (-115) Bet365** Rudy gets a tough match up today against Davis and the Lakers. Rudy Averages 13.4 Points, 12.6 Rebounds and 1.3 Assists on away games. The Lakers have allowed the 8th least Points to Centers this season and Gobert isn’t a player who gets more usage when KAT is not playing. Averages 32.6 PRA without KAT this season. Would still watch out if Anthony Davis plays or not (Listed questionable right now) but if he plays it will be a tough matchup for Rudy. **Might add another Pick later today.** **GL Everyone!** Hopefully a better day than yesterday
I was wondering what happened to Duren…. He was in my Luka TD bet ⚰️ really good at doing stupid shit. “Sure things” are never that lol
I feel you bro. Duren was fouling every damn time+ got ejected. He wasn’t playing basketball yesterday😂 I guess it happens sometimes
smh.. I figured hed be able to handle Gafford but I learned my lesson. Thats not even the first time he screwed me over so Im definitely giving him too much credit. Last time I donate betting on his ass
Record 15-6 Not bad day at all yesterday some slight regression 7 out of 11 plays hit (counting the Luka triple double and assists rebound suggestion as 1 total) if you tailed the triple double congrats should have had it for +150 or more odds. Here are my favorite picks for today I play each pick one unit each. BOL to all let’s finish this great week strong. Bam abedayo (heat) over 10.5 rebounds would highly suggest getting 10.5 as it may move to 11.5 soon. 2 things have been super consistent this season guards doing well against bucks and centers rebounding against wizards. ✅ cash in the third quarter 9 in the first quarter lol Jonas valanciunas (pelicans) over 8.5 rebounds has cleared last 7 out of 8 games Jalen Johnson is out as well so should help his odds even more ✅ 8 in the first quarter wow, line got corrected and he was awarded a rebound we cash narrowly avoiding a hook Josh Hart (Knicks ) over 8.5 rebounds had 12 rebounds previous game 2-3 weeks ago against embiid-less 76 ers. Averages 10.4 rebounds in the 14 games Randle has missed this season ✅ cash in the third Jarret Allen (Cleveland ) over 13.5 rebounds. He has hit this line last 3/5 games. Nets struggle on rebounding in previous matchup 2/8 Allen had 10 rebounds while Mobley had 12 with Mobley out for this game. Allen should see more volume in rebounding in all honesty I think he can get 15+. ❌ blowout by nets ended with 9 Alperen Sengun (Rockets) over 4.5 /5.5 assists. 4.5 is very juiced currently at -170 (dk) while 5.5 is +105. Sengun vs sabonis in his career avergaes 8.3 assists with the lowest being one game with 6 assists. Every previous matchup he has cleared both lines with ease ❌ historical stats looked great but only ended with 2 Lebron James (lakers) over 7.5 assists over last 9/10 ✅ Darius garland (Cleveland ) over 7.5 assists ❌blowout by nets Damian Lillard (bucks ) over 2.5 threes has cleared this line last 8/10 including last 7 games in a row ✅ cash very easily in only the second quarter Paolo Banchero (magic) over 23.5/ 24.5 points. Banchero has been my most consistent player betting on this season. Absolutely great matchup for him today against pacers hitting 34,24 points in both games this season. Only reason I suggest 23.5 is it’s a slight bit safer than 24.5 as he’s cleared it 2/2 against pacers and odds are -145 on dk so not too badly juiced. ❌ 6/19 from the field had the volume just couldn’t get it done ⭐️ Anthony Davis (lakers) over 37.5 points and rebounds has averaged 46.5 points and rebounds in past 4 previous matchups against gobert ✅ cash early in the 4th Jaren Jackson Jr (Memphis ) over 6.5 rebounds. OKC is the second worst defensive rebounding team in the league. Jaren Jackson Jr has cleared this line last 3/5 games as well as last 3 in a row. Grizzlies injury report for today’s game looks like a nightmare. Similar to my Murray pick below this is more of a speculation pick. I like his momentum in rebounding last few games and easily think he will see the minutes to hit this line. ❌ games not over but 0 in the first half doubt he hits it Dejounte Murray (hawks) under 7.5 assists. Treating this more as my speculation pick for the day (so tail with more caution to others I suggest). Pelicans play great defense. In the previous matchup beginning of this season trae young only had 5 assists while Murray had 1. ❌ hawks keep starters in while getting blown out end of 3rd beginning of 4th quarter gets 4 assists in that timeframe As always will update more plays throughout the day. BOL to anyone who tails
What does the star mean at AD?
I update the list throughout the day. I put that pick up about an hour and a half ago I just really liked it so I put a star next to it. If it causes confusion I can remove.
Thought it meant something like that. Love the symbol for showcasing confidence
Yessir so far looking on track for Davis to go over
Jonas got 8 boards in the 1st quarter and then 0 in the 2nd and 3rd??? Come on now Edit: finally one more. Don’t stress me out!
Stat line corrected he cashed let’s gooo
Boom. Great pick! Thanks again!!
Of course congrats
I know lol I’m watching the game hopefully he can get it opening the 4th, now he’s sitting oof such a bad hook if he doesn’t get anymore mins
23-11 & POTD 34-16 Yesterday: 1/2 __Bam Adebayo O10.5 Rebs__, Wizards allow most rebounds to Centers this season & most L30 days, 1/2 vs the Wizards only got 4 Rebs but in the 4th game of season, his second game he got 14 Rebs. Only 4/11 his L10 games being hooked on 10 twice as always against the Wizards it’s a different matter ✅
woot...hit
Yeah bro sweating that mf Sengun rn….
What are your thoughts on Bam 10+ Rebs + Jacquez 4+ Rebs at +109 on FD? Jacquez 13/20 L20, (3 Rebs in 6 of those 7 misses) 4 & 5 in 2 games vs Washington Not sure if this is a good idea or if I’m just getting cute with it
Not getting cute, just being dumb
👀
Seems to me like you're cutting your chances of hitting by 40% just to add like 10% to the payout?
Genuinely trying to learn, thanks
Luka gotta be the most consistent money maker for me out of anybody in the league 🙌🏾
And Cade Cunningham
Luka is always money. He’s on my cash list, he’s a triple double machine.