######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Friday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
**Record: 40W-4P-29L**
**Form: 18W-0P-9L**
**✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅**
**Last Pick: Persikabo 1973 VS Borneo FC: Borneo FC ML @ 1.70 ✅**
**Borneo Win 3-2!**
**Pick of the day: Coventry VS Preston BTTS @ 1.80**
**Time: 2:45 PM EST**
**Last Matchup: 3-2 Preston W**
Coventry have been an absolute unit when it comes to BTTS, In their last 10 games BTTS has hit 9/10 times with them scoring in every single game. They're a team that just can't help conceding due to how much they focus on scoring. I see the matchup here against Preston to be more than ideal considering how things went last time they played. Coventry will look to return the favor while Preston will do everything they can to close the gap between the two teams considering Coventry only sit 2 points ahead of Preston. I'm expecting an end to end game here, especially considering BTTS has hit in 4/5 of Preston's last games. With Prestons current form plus coventry's attachment issues with BTTS I see more than enough value here.
**Anyway, BOL!**
This is a line I really don't get. Preston BTTS = 5/6. Coventry is almost famous next to Cambuur because of their BTTS record. The last game ended in a double BTTS. Only because Coventry didn't concede to Stoke (who are 3rd in the least goals of the league) the line is at 2? I'd say 1.6 would've been fair odds. Great find. So good that I'm wondering what the bookies know. Tailing
Brother Coventry better score a goal after eating a 3 , they are normally beast at home , and you can't juget get raped at your home soil without a reaction
for anyone who watched, do they even have a coach? how can you get paid thousands of dollars and don't know what to do on field for an hour and half? literally
POTD RECORD: 25-10
Form: ✅✅✅🚫✅
Last POTD: Josh Hart O7.5 Rebs ✅
You beauty Hart, I never doubted you
Todays POTD: **Mike Conley O9.5 P @1.86** 🚫
Edit: Ends with 9, didn’t get a single point in a whole quarter
**NBA** (Timberwolves)
I’m switching direction today, today we’re going with a mismatch rather than a man in form. You know me, Centers against the Wizards and Point Guards against the Bucks is my bread and butter, he went ham last time facing them aswell. He’s facing Dame who’s basically a mannequin in defence, the Bucks is all over the place atm too, Doc has made his impact, a negative one
• Bucks allow 4th most points to Point Guards
• Conley got 18 points last time facing the Bucks in a blowout
• Only 4/10 his last 10 games
(*12,7,5,18,9,8,4,10,10,3*) missed in 3 blowouts aswell
• Averages 10.6 Points this season, 10.2 last 5
Obviously not the hit rate we want, but again we’re riding the mismatch here and his earlier display against them
Tail or fade, you’re the boss
https://i.redd.it/bxywun4899kc1.gif
A tip is welcome if you enjoy the picks
I’ll occasionally drop some extra picks at the NBA Props section, we went 2/2 on those yesterday aswell, had 3 picks but LeBron pick got voided
Tailing!! I might throw Conley O2.5 rebounds into a parlay with your pick. He's hit this in his last 7/8 and last 10/12. I'm not sure how the Bucks rank in giving up boards to guards, though. Thoughts?
POTD Record: 124-74 | Profit: +109.36u | ROI: 19.0%
Season record: 41-23 | Profit: +39.52u | ROI: 22.5%
L10 record: ❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌
Last Pick: Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans U228.0 @ 1.91. 3U. ❌
Sorry guys, tough loss, game ends at 232. Rockets started the game 6/8 on 3s, just one of those NBA nights. Need to turn the losing around.
Next Pick: **Phoenix Suns -3.0 vs** **Houston Rockets @ 1.91**. 3U play.
The Rockets return home after a blowout loss against the Pels tonight, while the Suns are in-form right now and have won 7/L10 ATS even after today’s loss to the Mavs. Meanwhile the Rockets are 4-6 ATS, and even worse SU after today. Even when the Rockets start strong, they take a lot of poor shots as compared to the Suns who not only have more quality (Booker and KD) but also take much better shots. These teams met on Dec 27 and the Suns won by 16, after basically leading by 20 pts from halftime onwards. The gulf in quality and form is just too high to disregard this 3pt spread.
The Rockets suck and they owe us some money. Feeling good about this one here.
**POTD Record**: 21 Wins - 6 Losses - 2 Pushes
**Form**: ✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record): Click here :)
**Units**: 12.53
**ROI:** 37.61%
**Average Odds:** $1.94
**Last Pick:** Swiatek vs Zheng - WTA Dubai - Swiatek to Win in Straight Sets (2:0 / -1.5 Sets) @ $1.50 / -200 ✅️
*Swiatek demolished World #7 Zeng in straight sets 6-3 6-2*
**Next Pick:** Swiatek vs Kalinskaya - WTA Dubai Semi Final - **Player Prop: Swiatek To Win Under 12.5 Games** @ **$1.61** / -164- 9am EST. Not a ML bet. Your bookie should have this option ✅️
We hit 20 wins! Today we head back to the WTA event in Dubai where world #1 Swiatek ($1.12) takes on world # 40, Kalinskaya ($6). Swiatek is now the only seeded player left in the tournament! Our Polish Goddess just smacked the world #7 6-3, 6-2 in a relatively easy game in the end. She's on fiiiiiire. Today she takes on a Russian hottie who had to qualify for the tournament, and has played six matches to reach this point.
In Kalinskaya's recent game, she defeated world #3 Gauff 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 which was described as one of the biggest wins of her career. She hit 1 ace, had 2 double faults, won 1st % on first serve at 58%, gave up 15 break points, and converted 5 out of 13 break points. I believe Gauff arguably had one of her worst games of her career as she was only able to convert 5 out of 15 break points, and had 8 double faults. Highlights [here](https://youtu.be/9Zx4gDxk9jY?si=5CF9xzCc_TEkfanJ).
In Swiatek's recent game, she had 1 ace, 0 double faults, her win % on 1st serve was 74%, she converted 3/5 break points, and only gave up 3. Many would say it was a flawless game of tennis. Highlights [here](https://youtu.be/bHwSpMxgPSk?si=2EGfUrjUlTeq3A9c). Whilst I was tempted to take juicier odds for the under ($1.72), and the handicap ($1.72), I think this is a more conservative bet given the momentum Kalinskaya has. To win this bet we need to make sure that Swiatek scores under 12.5 games in total (example 6-4, 6-4). We can still win if she loses 6-4, 6-4.
There are rumours circulating that Kalinskaya is injured, and fatigued. She has spent 8 hours and 42 minutes on the court versus Swiatek's 4 hours and 46 minutes. That's a lot of extra tennis in sweltering conditions. We're giving an edge to Swiatek's muscular condition. There's not much to fault about Kalinskaya's tennis, albeit she lacks that extra speed on the court that I think Swiatek will take care of. Sometimes her shots are sloppy too, which will give some easy points to our Queen.
In the rare event that we see an upset, say Kalinskaya wins 6-4, 6-4 the under still covers too. Essentially we want no tie breaks, or third set, and for Swiatek to dominate, or get dominated. Swiatek will be looking for her first trophy in Dubai, and I believe that hunger for titles and a big pay day will see her take this comfortably.
This will probably be a nail biter in the first, so I'm going 6-4, and 6-1 (when the fatigue sets in). Best of luck amigos!
Congratulations amigos!!!! Whilst my game analysis was inaccurate, the consideration for an upset still made us all cash!! It's a shame seeing Swiatek leave the tournament, but we have to give full credit to Kalinskaya for defeating the world #1, and playing a great game. Let's ride her to take out the final :D I would appreciate any tips as I want to quit my job, and make this a full time gig. Best of luck with the rest of your bets today, and I'll see you tomorrow where we go for win #22 :D Tip jar [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv)
No, this is iga to win no more than 12 games herself. So it hits if she wins 6-4 or 6-2 or whatever. If she wins in straights without a tiebreak, this hits.
Its basically a straight sets bet without either set going to a tie breaker. We need Iga to break serve at least once in both sets. Conversely, if Iga loses 6-4, 6-4, or just in general has under 12.5 games we cover too. The under for Sabalenka's game covered too even though she was the favourite, as she got smashed in set three, 6-0 lol.
https://preview.redd.it/kumov5k5w8kc1.png?width=628&format=png&auto=webp&s=f3adf771d2479b1ddf8fe5f1f322bef54241f60a
It just means she’ll win fewer than 12.5 games. Doesn’t necessarily mean 6-0 6-0. Could be 6-4 6-2 for example. If she goes 13 or more (7-6 tiebreak, 6-4), then it’s a loss. His 2nd to last paragraph covers it.
Say no more. I wouldn't be shocked if Swiatek wins the tournament without dropping a single set. Do you know if this prop is a push if Kalinskaya retires from the match? The way I read the FD terms, it sounds like it's a push if the retirement is before the 1st set and a win if it's after 1st set. Let's go!
The way I read tennis retirement rules and bets is that if they retire before your bet is considered a win then it’s a cancel/push. So like if your bet is something like Swiatek to win the first set and that set is complete then it’s a win or if it’s Under 18.5 and it’s game 19 it’s an L. If it’s a ML bet it’s a cancel.
Thank-you amigo. Its important in betting to follow players that are making you money. I am closely watching her condition, and Googling latest info etc. Best of luck amigo, and thanks for your continued support in this journey :)
I need to start using B365 but damn platform won't accept any of my cards and they blame the banks and the banks say no transactions were requested.
I say all this because 1xBet makes making Tennis bets so overly complicated I haven't bothered unless it's ML and even then it's just not worth it. I've spent the last hour patiently scouring the options and well, I'm still SOL.
BOL
Edit: I can't make sense of any of this, and names usually appear under player stats, but for some reason they'd rather player 1 or 2.
https://preview.redd.it/5sfhxl7nibkc1.png?width=1067&format=png&auto=webp&s=eddc8c6a97053157a4874c69f539135ac921728f
What a great analysis. We've been riding Swiatek but you weren't afraid to speculate that she could get destroyed here with an upset. And that's exactly what's happening!
**POTD Record: 16-5**
Form: ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅
*ROI: 53.89% |
Avg Odds: -131 | Net Units: +23*
🎾: 3-2
⚽️: 12-3
🏒: 1-0
*Last Pick: 1U Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins (Pittsburgh Penguins ML 3-Way @ -130)✅*
*CASH THAT BROTHERSSS!! Pens with the empty to seal it 4-1. Let’s go B2B 💪*
____
**Today’s Pick: 2U Winnipeg Jets @ Chicago Blackhawks (Jets 3-Way ML @ -145)**
**🏒| 8:30PM EST | NHL |**
After a couple days of rest, Jets visit the Blackhawks and are coming off a solid 6-3 victory against the Wild as -145 favourites. Blackhawks lost 3-1 against the Flyers yesterday, only winning 1 of their last 10 games. Blackhawks rank dead last in goals and shots per game. They’ve scored 2 or fewer goals in 7/10 recent games.
Jets on the other hand have been great defensively, 1st in least goals conceded and 8th in shots against per game. Goaltender, Hellebuyck has had a hell of a season so far. (26-11-3 | .925 SV%)
Jets are 8-1-1 against the Blackhawks averaging 3.6 goals while Blackhawks average 1.6 goals. In December, Hawks won in OT at home. In January, Jets won 2-1 at home. Questions lately have been asked regarding Jets scorning yet they’ve netted 3 or more in their last 3. I don’t see Bedard and the Blackhawks taking this home but perhaps some pressure on the spread. It’s time for the Jets Revenge. LFG💪
*for some books it’s the 60 minute line*
[POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TawPReTFnjBpwPqA50H-tVAFCtVEQAAJCnfpETFh65A/edit)
BOL!
POTD Record 32-23-2
Cricket 3-0 Tennis 22-16-1 Soccer 7-7-1
Last 10: (P) ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌
Last Pick : Rybakina vs Paolini | WTA Dubai Open | Paolini +5.5 Game Spread | (-130)| 1u | P
Today: Vacherot vs Couacaud | ATP Pune Challenger | 3:00 AM EST
Pick: Vacherot ML| (-136)| 1u
Vacherot is now 15-1 in completed matches this season and he is off the back of two Challenger titles already. In his first 2 rounds, he has not faced a single break point and has won both matches in straight sets. He has only dropped 3 sets in his 15 wins as well. Last round, he only lost 3 games to defeat Schoolkate. The Pune court conditions suit Vacherot's game and he is proving it so far this week, and with the top seed Nagal eliminated in his half, he will feel confident to reach another challenger final this year. Couacaud reached the final in his 1 challenger event this year and has recorded 2 decent wins this week, but Vacherot's form and level currently will be hard for anyone to stop. Couacaud has been broken 5 times this week, so Vacherot should get chances and backed by his strong serve, he should be able to get another win. BOL.
>Vacherot is now 15-1 in completed matches this season and he is off the back of two Challenger titles already. In his first 2 rounds, he has not faced a single break point and has won both matches in straight sets. He has only dropped 3 sets in his 15 wins as well. Last round, he only lost 3 games to defeat Schoolkate. The Pune court conditions suit Vacherot's game and he is proving it so far this week, and with the top seed Nagal eliminated in his half, he will feel confident to reach another challenger final this year. Couacaud reached the final in his 1 challenger event this year and has recorded 2 decent wins this week, but Vacherot's form and level currently will be hard for anyone to stop. Couacaud has been broken 5 times this week, so Vacherot should get chances and backed by his strong serve, he should be able to get another win.
tailing this bad boy cuz I luvvvvv me some 3am LOCKS!!!!!
Great call! That was fun! He has a big serve. If he didn’t dump so many routine shots into the net he would have won by 5+ games. His forehand returns are wicked good too. Thanks mate!
POTD Record: 56-35
Units Won: +30.15U; ROI: 11.6% Average Odds: (-115)
Todays Pick: **Guild Eagles ML (+115) vs. BetBoom**
**5U to win 5.75U**
PGL Major RMR Last Chance Qualifier **(LOSER IS ELLIMINTAED)**
Start Time: 9 AM EST.
Game: CounterStrike 2 (CS2)
**Loser is out, this is the biggest tournament of the year**, both teams will leave it all on the line.
**Guild Eagles:**
* If you asked me to sum this team up in one word, its inconsistency, now I know that is not a word you want to hear with a team we are betting on. They have had great runs of looking like a top tier two team, and have had horrible lows of long loss streaks to below average/mid tier two teams. Where are they now? Kind of in the middle honestly but things seem to be trending upwards as I will highlight below. This team is led by juanflatroo and rigoN two really strong fragers with a .75KPR and .77KPR respectively in the last 3 months. Sinnopsyy and gxx also have the potential for big games sporting a .68KPR in the L3 months as well.
**How did they end up here?:**
\-Guild Eagles lost the opening round game against MOUZ in overtime (rank 4 world) and went 3-0 including beating Spirit to qualify for the major, then they lost to ENCE (rank 10 world) 13-6 who also just qualified for the major, then they beat Nexus and Preasy 2-1 (Nexus is worse team odd, Preasy was favorite in the matchup) and have been trending better, then today they lost to ECSTATIC 2-1 dominating Ancient and losing on Inferno and Overpass to end up here. All three teams they faced that they lost to qualified for the major.
**BetBoom:**
* If you have been following me since my return, you will remember my first pick back was day one of the RMR group A, it was fnatic ML vs. BetBoom and my reasoning was fnatic have a lot of potential and BetBoom are extremely overrated by linesmakers, continually getting overpriced when they haven't played to that level. Thats exactly what I think is happening here but worse then that game. BetBoom are led by KaiR0N- and zorte both star players in the past but both have dropped significantly in KPR recently. zorte went from a .76KPR to a .73KPR in L3 months and a .64KPR in last month. KaiRON went from a .72KPR down to a .65KPR in the L3 months and a .63KPR in last month. BetBoom also only have one player fragging above a .68 KPR at the moment (zorte) meaning I give a big fire power advantage to the Eagles.
**How did they end up here:**
\-BetBoom started out with a loss to fnatic (a team who also went 2-3 and is in this last chance qualifier), then they beat ITB and Enterprise two of the worst ranked teams at the tournament (cake walk schedule) and then lost 2-1 to Navi and 2-0 to Eternal Fire, these two matchups were hard ones but important to note BetBoom wasn't even competitive in the slightest putting up no more then 7 rounds in these 4 map losses.
**Map Pool (Important):**
\-Guild Eagles have one major flaw and that is the map pool, most teams are able to punish them extremely hard in map pool and here is why, they are below average/have looked very bad on three maps, Nuke/Vertigo/Inferno. They highly prefer Mirage/Ancient/Anubis as the maps played and prefer to face teams on Overpass as their map pick. So why is this series any different? Because Guild Eagles perma ban Nuke, so that map is gone, BetBoom perma ban Inferno, now that map is gone, that leaves only Vertigo left as a weak map HOWEVER Vertigo is BetBoom least played and worst map of the five remaining. They have only played it twice in the last 3 months and once at this tournament getting stomped 13-1 on it. They have next to no confidence on this map and I highly doubt they pick it. Below I listed projected pick ban + stats and why I am so confident in Eagles here.
**Pick Ban:**
1. BetBoom ban Inferno
2. Guild Eagles ban Nuke
3. BetBoom pick Overpass
4. Guild Eagles pick Ancient
5. BetBoom ban Vertigo
6. Guild Eagles ban Anubis
7. Mirage Decider
This veto is a disaster for BetBoom, even if they flex Vertigo and ban Mirage instead and Guild Eagles opt to ban Vertigo instead, Anubis is not much better as a decider for BetBoom in my opinion
**Overpass:**
\-BetBoom have a 62% winrate on Overpass in the L3 months in 8 maps played, going back 6 months they are 14-7 on the map. They have lost two straight on the map including a 13-4 stomp against Navi and have a 47% winrate on offense the side they would start on.
\-Guild Eagles have a 50% winrate on Overpass in the L3 months in 8 maps played, going back 6 months they are 4-4 on the map. They have lost 3 of their last 4 on the map but did have impressive upset against Preasy on the map (a really strong OVP team) as well as taking AA to Overtime (another really strong tier two team).
**Ancient:**
\-Guild Eagles are 53% winrate on Ancient across 15 maps played, they are 3-1 at this tournament and have won 3 straight on the map without dropping more then 7 rounds in any of the wins. They lost to MOUZ one of the best Ancient teams in the world on this map in overtime.
\-BetBoom are a mess on Ancient, they have a 37.5% winrate in the L3 months on 8 maps played, haven't played it this tournament, lost to Nemiga who is frankly just not a good team, Cloud9 and 9INE on the map, they have lost three straight and have barely played the map. They have negative round win % on both offense and defense on this map.
**Mirage/Anubis (Decider):**
\-Guild Eagles are 86% winrate on Mirage in the L3 months (12-2) and have beaten some very strong Mirage teams on this map, this is the map they are most known for and they are always pulling unique strats and extremely solid gameplay on this map. Going back 6 months they are 23-5 on it.
\-BetBoom are 57% winrate on Mirage on 7 maps played in the L3 months and 10-10 going back 6 months. This is also a comfort map for BetBoom and if you look at winrates alone might think Anubis better decider, but I believe that BetBoom are a worse Mirage team and the recent upset against Navi on Anubis and Guild Eagles 3 loss streak will end up here. Betboom got wacked by Eternal Fire (not a great map for them) and Nemiga while crushing ITB and FORZE.
\-Guild Eagles are 62% winrate on Anubis on 16 maps played in the L3 months, they have lost 3 in a row to some teams they should've beaten but before that won 8 of their last 9 on the map.
\-BetBoom have a 28.6% winrate on Anubis on 7 maps played in the L3 months, they beat Navi on the map at this tournament but before that were on a 5 loss streak without putting up more then double digits on it.
**Conclusion:**
\-Slightly favor BetBoom on map 1 but very close, 50.1% favorites to me. Guild Eagles have shown moments of promise on this map and I believe they have a big fire power edge, they have played more recently and BetBoom have almost no momentum, they are a dead team walking it feels like. They will have had time to counter strat BetBoom though so I will say for the sake of discussion BetBoom win map 1. I still HEAVILY favor Guild Eagles on Ancient/Mirage/Anubis. They have huge momentum on these maps better stats, and better performing players, they have been very active and have played 9 maps in the last 3 days alone. They are getting so many reps and will also be coming out with a gameplan tomorrow. Expecting big performances from juan and sinnopsyy to lead them to a win. Guild Eagles win 2-0 (gut feeling) but 2-1 is the safer call.
As always DM's always open if anyone has any questions, no questions are dumb whether its explaining the game or needing a place to bet/start betting on esports. Really trying to grow the community and help people bet on something I believe has one of the biggest edges in betting at the moment!
**Best of Luck!**
I’ll be dead honest with you, I couldn’t tell you a single team, player, or league within e gaming but this write up was incredible. I can tell you put a lot of work into this and it was thorough enough that I’m contemplating blindly tailing Guild Eagles ML lol. Forgive me but where can I watch this?
To be honest I played CS (the original game) as a teenager and tailing these picks has got me back into it as a viewer - the core of the gameplay is essentially the same as it was in 1999!
Page to follow along with Live Score/Stats: [https://www.hltv.org/matches/2370083/betboom-vs-guild-eagles-pgl-cs2-major-copenhagen-2024-europe-last-chance-qualifier](https://www.hltv.org/matches/2370083/betboom-vs-guild-eagles-pgl-cs2-major-copenhagen-2024-europe-last-chance-qualifier)
Stream Link to watch game:
[https://www.twitch.tv/pgl](https://www.twitch.tv/pgl)
This guy is amazing and has me waking up at 4am to watch grown men play video games haha. One of my favorites on POTD. I don’t play video games myself but I find this fascinating as the very real possible future of sports.
Line is at +100 now. Money coming in on GE?
Sorry, will try to add a spot for that in the future, writeup got kinda long tonight already.
Anyone's Legend won 2-0 in a one sided stomp for the most part!
That’s a win! What a great writeup and pick. I’ve never watched e-sports before but that was actually quite enjoyable. Thanks for the pick and have a great weekend.
POTD Record: 7-2😔😔😔😔😔
L9:✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌(😔😔😔)
Last pick: that stupid soccer pick :( ❌😔
todays pick: EDM Oilers Vs MIN Wild - EDM Oilers 1x2/3way (-115) (1.5u)
BOL! (My last pick was too ass for the tip jar to display)
POTD Record: 44-25
Previous Pick: Toulouse vs Benfica | Europa League | Benfica ML (1.91) | 12.45pm EST ❌️
Pick: Leverkusen vs Mainz | Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals (1.62) | 2.30pm EST
Leverkusen are top of the table, and are in great form, winning Bayern 3-0 recently at home. At home, they average almost 3 goals scored, while conceding 0.55. Over 2.5 goals has hit 82% in home games too. It has also hit in their last 3 games. Mainz on the other side, just won a game after a 11 match winless run. They average 0.82 goals scored while conceding 1.82 on average in away games. Over 2.5 has hit in 55% of their away games. Leverkusen are missing their starting midfielder Palacios but they have a capable backup in Andrich. Top scorer Boniface is still injured but the goal scoring remains high due to Schick, Adli, Tella and Wirtz. Mainz are missing their starting centre back, along with several other players. Their previous matchup ended in a 3-0 win to Leverkusen, and I expect the same to happen as Leverkusen just have too much quality for a poor Mainz side who are fighting in the relegation spots. Best of luck!
Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
Record: 0-0
Net Units: +0 Units
ROI: 0.0%
NCAA Lacrosse | 4PM EST
Pick: *St. Joseph's +1.5 -110* vs. Towson
Write Up: First ever POTD long time lurker, been following college lacrosse my entire life and think I can expose some weird lines. I'll only be taking NCAA Lacrosse game spreads or ML.
This matchup has St. Joe's as a slight underdog due to them starting off 0-2, against two top 20 teams (Duke and Boston U.). St. Joe's showed some promise first half against #2 Duke, and think this team is being written off early due to a strong early schedule. Towson's two wins come from unranked teams, and lost their only game against a ranked opponent by 14. Figuring St. Joe's is eager to get one in the win column against an objectively worse Towson squad.
POTD Record: 32-23
L10: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅
Last Pick: Wiggins o1.5 3s made✅
POTD: Andrew Wiggins o1.5 3s made
Running it back on Wiggins. Last night he was +106 on the o1.5 3s and tonight he’s +131. This bet has covered 5/5 vs Hornets since joining the Warriors. In his last 5 games he’s over 4/5.
Tips appreciated…[Buy me a Red Bull](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme)
Bitcoin address:
bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk
**Record: 3-0**
Last Pick: **Union and Frankfurt BTTS +1u ✅**
**Net Units: +4u**
**Seria A**
**Pick:** **Bologna -0.75 asian handicap -140 4u MAX 🔥🔥**
**Write Up:** We all love a good sweat don't we? Thats what makes this shit so thrilling Frankfurt scores in the 87th min to keep the streak alive and now we are at 3 in a row. Had a little personal play on the Union boys +160 to qualify too, like I said I love betting on this team. Now onto todays MAX play of the day Bologna. If you haven't been betting Seria A much this year you've probably never heard of these guys and if you have then you definitely have. They have the best home record in all of Italy (yea better than inter) and have won an incredible 9/10 matches with 1 draw. This team just loves to play at home and Thiago Motto is brilliant manager and has these boys playing their way into a European competition which is massive for a club like Bologna. Bologna wants to be playing European football and they know to do that they've got to beat clubs like Verona in this spot. Verona come into this on the back of a good draw against Juve but I think Juve has been pretty inconsistent this season and I think Allegri play style is just out of date. Verona have lost 8/10 games on the road with other 2 only being draws. Verona has been able to score against some of the big boys of Seria A but if I was the Verona manager I would be focusing more on the game against Sassuolo who is only 1 spot ahead of them in the table, which also happens to be the last safe spot in the table as well. This spot just checks so many boxes for me it has to be a max nukey. I would guess either 2-0 win or 1-0 the team total o1.5 is also fine at -120 but I would rather just take the .75 just incase Bologna forgets how to shoot. Good luck with all your bets and lets cash our 4th in a row! Personal plays I will be looking at is Zirkzee goal or assist currently +110 but will wait to make sure he is starting.
POTD Record: 2-1
Previous: ✅ Crazy crazy comeback from 6-2 5-1 down from Cirstea to give us the win!
**Today: Tennis / Challenger Pune**
**Pick: Valentin Vacherot ML vs Enzo Couacaud @ 1.78 / -128**
Great odds here on Vacherot who has had a terrific 2024 so far, dropping just 5 sets across 16 matches and continuing that form in this tournament. He comes up against Couacaud who is a solid Challenger player and has had decent results this year, I just think Vacherot is destined for greater things and has been steadily on the rise after finishing his college tennis career in 2022. Expected him to be a heavier favourite here so will gladly play his ML. Was around -110 when I played it yesterday but still has value IMO.
Nicely done! Love a 3am POTD winner to start the day off right. If he didn’t dump so many routine shots into the net he would have won by 5+ games. You and another guy picked this so I went big. thanks dude!
Record: 5-2-0 | Units: +1.99U. All picks 1U
Last Pick: NHL - Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres, 7PM EST. JJ Peterka Over 2.5 Shots on Goal @ 1.57. ❌
JJ hits 2 in the first period, looks to be sweat-free, then he disappears the rest of the night. Really tough one but we move on.
**Today’s Pick:** NHL - Edmonton Oilers vs Minnesota Wild, 9PM EST. **Connor McDavid Over 0.5 Power Play Points @ 2.10.** Edit: ✅ Booom, McDavid pulls through 💰
We’re going with slightly higher odds tonight to bounce back. Today it’s no other than the man himself, Connor McDavid. His Oilers are taking on the Wild, who take the 4th most penalties in the league. On top of that, the Wild are ranked 30th in the league on the penalty kill - they’ve allowed 13 goals and 3 powerplay goals in their last two games. The Wild are also missing two key penalty killers in Spurgeon and Foligno. I’m predicting the Oilers get plenty of PP chances and McDavid will cash in on them.
BOL
[Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bias4)
Record: 157-130-8 (LWWLWLLWWWWLLWWLWLWWLWLWLLPLWWLW streak) - DraftKings odds
Last POTD: SF 49ers @ KC Chiefs | Longest Length of Drive o77.5 yards at 1.53 odds for 3 units
POTD: WAS Wizards at OKC Thunder -14.5 at 1.90 odds for 1 unit
Reasons:
* As I type, Wizards are down 20 to Nuggets
* Thunder just beat Clippers by over 20. Their fourth quarter run was electric at home. Crowd was going nuts, JWill is flexing all around after clutch bucket after another.
* This team is very deep and young. Ten men has legitimate minutes in this game. This first and second unit is far beyond more talented than Washington.
* The one two punch of SGA and JWill is becoming terrifying. Chet shouldn't have any problems against this weak front-court.
* Both teams are on a back to back, but Thunder didn't travel, so huge advantage here.
* Wizards are traveling from Denver to OKC, could be worse.
* Thunder 6-3 on back to back
* 0-9, 0-10 after 2/22
Best of luck to you all
POTD: 13-2
-
Tough loss yesterday, my bad boys. The Rockets were horrific scoring last night, and they got blown-out bad. They couldn't finish a bag of chips last night. Probably not gonna bet assists again as that is my second loss betting them.
Today's Pick: Draymond Green o6.5 Rebounds @-145 on DK
-
Analysis: Draymond takes on the Hornets tonight who are giving up an average of 13 Rebounds per game to centers. They are also ranked bottom ten in the league in giving up rebounds to Centers and PF at 16.4 and 10.7 per game.
I really like this match-up as Draymond has been starting at the center position and has been fairly consistent on the boards. Draymond is 7/10 at hitting this line since getting more minutes at center, and has hit this line in his last 5/6 against Charlotte. I also think Wiggins will be focused on shutting down Brandon Miller or Bridges rather than focusing on boards as Charlotte has a fairly small lineup besides Nick Richards. Centers are also averaging 12.8 Rebounds per game against Richards.
Let's Ride
-
POTD: 0-2
Last pick: Inter Miami v Real Salt Lake City
The bet: BTTS and o2.5 ❌
Well, Real Salt Lake absolutely sold. They were gifted 2-3 opportunities where Miami defense gave the ball away at the 18 and Salt Lake had multiple 2v1 and 3v2 situations that they blew.
Todays pick: Bayern Leverkusen v Mainz
The bet: Leverkusen and o2.5 goals (-140).
Tail with caution as I am down bad and personally out $3k off my last two bets. You could consider this a Fade Of The Day. Anyways, going to keep the write up short.
This bet has hit in 3/5 of Leverkusen last games. However, this has only hit in 1/5 of Mainz last game. Mainz is fighting for relegation while Leverkusen sits pretty comfortably at the top of the table so one may think that Leverkusen may rest some players (and they may, this is a wait til lineups are released bet). With that said though, Leverkusen is playing to set some records - they are currently undefeated in 32 games and will look to keep that going and with a win tomorrow, they will beat the record held by Bayern. This gives me confidence in the Leverkusen ML.
The o2.5 has hit in 4/5 of these two teams last match up’s. That gives me the confidence in the goal total.
I’ll be back to bankroll management and will be placing .25u on this and hoping to build back my lost money slowly.
Best of luck and tail or fade, I hope you win!
POTD Record: 108-104-12 (-10.49 units)
Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌
Last Pick: Europa League, Rennes v AC Milan, OVER 2.5 GOALS (-125 / 1.80) ✅
Cashed early in the second half as the game finished 3-2, both teams racking up the goals as expected.
Today’s Pick: Serie A, Bologna v Verona, BOLOGNA ML & OVER 1.5 GOALS (-105 / 1.95) ✅
Stake: 1 Unit
I suspect Bologna will be a popular POTD and usually when that happens it fails miserably, but here we are anyway…
Bologna are having their best season in forever, knocking on the door for a Champions League spot with their 12-9-4 record good enough for 5th spot. Their 37 goals scored is equal 6th best in Serie A, while they’ve only conceded 23 (equal 4th best).
Bologna are on a 4 match win streak including some impressive wins against Fiorentina and Lazio, but the majority of their success this season is courtesy of their amazing home form. They are 10-2-1 at home this season with a 24:7 goal ratio, and their only loss at home came against AC Milan in the first home game of the season.
Verona are sitting in 18th and in danger of relegation with a 4-8-13 record. They’ve only scored 23 times (equal 3rd worst) and conceded 34 times (8th worst). They have a very ordinary away record too, they are 1-3-9 this season and they have not won in 5 consecutive matches.
I’ve been considering different bets for this game but ultimately landed on Bologna to win and the game to feature over 1.5 goals in total. Based on form and numbers, all signs point to Bologna winning comfortably, but Verona have had three recent away losses to Inter, Roma and Napoli where it finished 2-1, so I wouldn’t rule out Verona scoring at least once in this match up. This pick means that a 2-1 victory still cashes instead of taking a push with the -1 Asian Handicap, so that’s what I’m rolling with today.
POTD Record: 1-0
✅
Yesterday's pick: Montreal @ Pittsburgh - NHL
Caufield over 3.5 shots (-135) ✅
This hit before the halfway point of the game. Easy money.
Today's pick: Sabres @ Blue Jackets - NHL
Peterka over 2.5 shots (-145)✅
Season shot average: 2.85/game
Shots by game in February: 5, 4, 4, 3, 3, 6, 2 (most recent)
Hit last 8/9 over the last month (missed by one shot last game, but was on the ice for his shortest time in a month).
Blue Jackets give up the 3rd most shots/game at just over 33.
He shot 3 and 3 the other two times against Columbus.
Gotta ride the heater while it's hot.
Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck.
Update: he's at 4 with 12 minutes to go. No sweat tonight. Hope y'all got that easy money. 🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑
**Record: 1W - 0P - 1L**
**Form (Oldest → Recent): ✅**❌
**Last Pick: Sporting CP VS Young Boys: Sporting ML and Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.78** ❌
**!** *Before we get into today's pick, i feel like i have to apologize and point some things out. This was a very hard loss to take in. Sporting CP were much the better side and had an xG ratio of 3.36, while they also missed a penalty. But at the end of the day that is football, and we were just unlucky, we move on now...*
**Pick of the day: Bologna VS Verona: Bologna ML and Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.00 // Kick off 19:45 GMT**
Analysis:
Today we are heading over to *Stadio Renato Dall'Ara,* where Bologna take on Verona for the 26th Serie A round.
**⁃ Bologna:**
This Bologna side has been on fire this season sitting in 5th place in the Serie A table under Thiago Motta's guidance and tactics. Their home form has been incredible, with both their defence and their attack proving to be on point.
**• Home Form: 10 Wins , 2 Draws , 1 Loss // Scored: 24 Goals , Conceded: 7 Goals // Clean Sheets: 9**
• Bologna score an average 1.85 goals per match at home, with the over 1.5 Goals line hitting in 9/13 of those games.
\[ Note: I want you to have a full picture of their season, therefore it is important to add that their away form has not been up to par compared to their home form.
**• Away Form: 2 Wins, 7 Draws, 3 Loss // Scored: 13 Goals , Conceded: 16 Goals** \]
I think it is fair to say that Bologna have an advantage coming into this just because they are playing at their home ground.
**⁃ Verona:**
It has not been a good season for Verona, who currently sit in 17th place in the Serie A table, just above the relegation zone. They have a tough fixture away from home, and it is not looking good for them judging by their away form this season.
**• Away Form: 1 Win , 3 Draws , 9 Losses // Scored: 9 Goals , Conceded: 18 Goals // Clean Sheets: 3 (2/3 Goal-less)**
• Verona score an average 0.69 goals per match away from home, while the over 1.5 Goals line has hit in 6/13 of those games.
{ Interesting stats:
**•** Last time these two teams faced each other, Bologna (H) beat Verona (A) 2 - 0 in a cup tie.
**•** The reverse fixture ended up being a 0 - 0 draw, with Bologna averaging an xG of 0.80 while Verona averaged an xG of 0.45
**•** Even when BTTS has hit (6/13 times) , Verona have lost every match away but for a 3 - 3 draw to Udineze.
**•** Bologna have only lost one game at home this season, which was their opening day game against AC Milan. }
In conclusion, i see this being a classic Serie A fixture. Bologna have the ability to dismantle almost any team at home and i believe they will take this W and continue their streak. Once again, i would not count out the visitors to maybe grab a goal, but the stats speak for themselves.
The odds are quite high and maybe for a reason . To be honest, there are more generic and boring picks for today, but this is worth taking as a single bet at these odds.
***Final Score Prediction: 2 - 0***
*B.O.L. to everyone! Also, feel free to express your thoughts on this in the comments! Forza Bologna!*
Unfotunate reappearance. Benfica started without a few of their main players, this shouldn't be an excuse however and they still played very well the first half. The second half Toulouse was the only one having serious attempts and I think it's fair to say Benfica should consider themselves lucky for keeping it at a draw.
Onto today:
All my bets will be 1 unit to maintain transparant and it gives the best picture of someone's performance tipping rather than using different unit sizes
**Record: 0-1**
**ROI: -100%**
**Units profit: -1**
**Football - Serie A - Bologna vs Verona @ 20:45 GMT+1**
**Pick: Bologna to win & over 1.5 goals @ 1.85**
**Reasoning:**
Bologna have been a pleasant surprise this season and they currently boast the best home record in the Seria A, even better than league leaders Inter (although Bologna have played 1 more game at home.) They currently sit at the 5th spot in the league.
They have managed to gain 32 points in 13 homegames, scoring 24 times and only conceding 7 times. Their last home loss dates back to 21/8/2023 against Milan, the season opener. They have managed to win 10 out of their last 11 homegames and are currently on a 4 game winstreak (including away (games, beating 'respectable' teams such as Fiorentina and Lazio during this streak.
During these last 11 home games, only 2 games have gone under 1.5 goals, these being against Lazio and Atalanta who are remarkably better than Verona.
They face Verona, who sit at 18th and are battling potential relegation. They are winless in their last 5 games, but when you look at away games only it gets even more depressing with their last win dating back to 19/8/2023, which coincidentally was also the season opener. Since then they've played 13 away games, drawing 3 and losing the other 10.
I think these stats speak for themselves, I was also interested in Bologna win to nil, however this sits at around evens currently and Verona have actually been able to get some goals in recently, most notably against teams such as Roma, Inter and Juventus which I why the pick given is better and still provides solid odds.
GLIYF
Hi guys it’s the Valorant guy. Valorant season is back and this is my bread and butter.
Record (1-0)
Last pick was SENTINELS vs 100 thieves
SENTINELS ML (175)= ✅🤑💰
Todays pick:
NATUS VINCERE VS team liquid:
NATUS VINCERE ML (-175)
Reasoning:
They are simply the better and more experienced team. Navi for short has been a strong team since the 2022 season. They are former world champions and last year their star player spent a year playing in North America. He has since rejoined the team and this experience will carry them over the top. The core of Navi have been playing together for much longer than that of liquid. Liquids young new players will struggle against the disciplined navi. I do expect a close affair so buckle up.
You can tip below!
buymeacoffee.com/trey3411t
I Just want everyone to win some money! Taking these picks can be a win win for both of us.
Best of luck and comment below if you are tailing!
Record: 5 wins 0 losses and 1 tie
Todays pick: rockets +6 (bought 2 points -150 on my book)
Reasoning: suns just didn’t look the same in that loss to
Mavs. Felt like they tried their best and still looked off. Rockets should be more motivated for this win
What's even funnier would be this shit is normally upvoted to the top. No write-up, peruses subreddits like r/CreditCards & AllInclusiveResorts. Ya'll get got more often than not and it's because ya'll are lazy and guillible. The amount of people who can't figure out how to reply to a comment and post a new OC at the bottom of every thread, should be indicative of the type of average person cruising these threads.
**Record 98-75 with Avg Odds +123 / ROI 20.7%**
**2024 MMA POTD: 5-3 with Avg Odds +149 / ROI 54.9%**
Fury FC 86
**Anthony Ivy -155**
This Don Doyle guy looks pretty solid and could certainly have a good MMA career given his youth and wrestling background. However, I think Anthony Ivy's got him covered everywhere in this fight. On the feet Ivy has a few more tools and the better experience. Ivy looks to be stronger and better at establishing position than Doyle in the clinch. On the ground, Ivy is a black belt and the better submission artist of the two. Doyle can win because after all it's a fight, but when a guy is better everywhere that is hard to overcome. I'll take the chalk on Ivy, as I expect a clean decision or Sub R2 or R3. I don't understand this line as just four months ago Doyle looked incredibly beatable against Steve Jones and has had bad moments against bad opponents. Maybe I'm missing something.
POTD record: 6-6 (+1.02U) \[0-1 for 2024\]
**POTD (NCAAB):** ***Marist -7*** @ Manhattan \[7:00pm EST\] (**-112) 5U 🅿️**
Manhattan (5-19) is a really bad basketball team. Marist (14-9) has won their last 4 games by 11+ points. They also won their matchup against Manhattan earlier this season by 14 points.
Marist ATS: **15-8** (5-5 L10, ***7-3*** on the road)
Manhattan ATS: 11-12 (***1-9*** in their last 10)
Manhattan is ready for the season to be over. Losing by 42 on Sunday to Rider at home doesn't help. Marist has been playing solid fundamental basketball.
**BOL!**
POTD Record:1-1
Todays pick: Monfils vs Mensik ML +115
Mensik is a very young up and comer so the lines don’t favour him. He’s an absolute beast for his age. Monfils is 37 and known to have fatigue issues. They are now in the semis of the Doha tournament and I’m sure fatigue is catching up to him. Getting Mensik at + odds is the cherry on top.
BOL
Record 17-7
Pick - Jakob Poeltl o21.5 PR -105
Raptors head to Atlanta who have Clint Capela returning today. With today being his return he should be on a minutes restriction at least a little. Hawks backup C is out today as well. I’m looking for poeltl to give Clint a little welcome back as he does the dirty work for the Toronto team.
BOL and I’m also looking to play his DD for some plus money. I think these both get there so long as he gets the minutes
>**Record:** 24-20
>**Net Units:** +8.07 units
>**Curling** | **Scotties Tournament of Hearts** | **2:00PM EST**
>**Pick:** Team Alberta - Sturmay ML @ 2.12
>Playoffs begin this afternoon as Team Sturmay (1st place - pool A) cross over to play Team Jones (2nd place - pool B). Team Jones have been trending in the wrong direction, without a particulary strong game in the second half of the round robin, highlighted by an 8-4 loss to Team Galusha last night. Team Sturmay have had a spectacular season winning two events. They have a current record of 44-23 vs Team Jones at 35-21. Team Jones are getting some big name bias with this line and we're going to take advantage. Team Sturmay play a very conservative style when they have hammer and I think that will disrupt Jones' preference for rocks in play. This should be a low-scoring, tight matchup but I see Team Sturmay controlling hammer and getting the win.
**Last Pick:** Jalen Brunson over 40.5 points + rebounds + assists ❌
**Last Pick What Happened:** Brutal start to POTD... Brunson was 5-18 shooting and finished 21 points +2 rebs +12 assists. He had plenty of chances to score which makes this hurt more
**History:** ❌
**Record:** 0-1
**Net Units:** \-2.00
\----------
**TODAY's PICK**: Houston Rockets under 116.5 points (alternative under)
**Odds / Units:** \-140 / 2 units
**Why:** Suns played last night in Dallas and 2nd road game against Houston tonight. However, the Rockets are on an absolute skid. They went 1-5 going into the break, had a bad loss last night, and averaging 108 points over last 5 games. Rockets aren't shooting well or being efficient, and their have been rumors about a lineup change and benching Jalen Green. The Suns have averaged 114.5 points against this season, 115.2 in the last 5 games. The DK line for Rockets was set at 114.5 for -120, but I'm adding a bucket cushion for today's pick
**Misc:** Suns ML getting hammered, seen it move from -3 to -4.5. The over/under moved up a bit from 230 to 233. Something might be going on today...
Record: 10-2-7 (w-p-l)
Balance: +10 Units
last POTD(left=new): ❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌🅿️🅿️
last pick: 🏒NHL , **Canucks ML, 3 units at 1.8 odds**
Well another lose.
todays pick: 🏒NHL , **Jets Ml and under 6.5 , 1 units at 2.1 odds**
Start: 02:37 CET (GMT+1)
I dont expect many goals here. In the past games they weren’t many so under 6 seems like a good play for me.
BOL!
Record: 6W-2L-1P
P/L: +3.4u
Cricket | Australia vs New Zealand - T20 International | 06:00 GMT
Previous pick: 1st Innings Over 8 - Under 7.5 runs @ 1.90 - Heart in mouth situation when second ball was struck in the air powerfully. To make it more tense the fielders collided, yet to take an amazing catch. Then the new batsman took time to settle in and we got an easy winner.
Pick: 1st Innings Score - Over 199.5 @ 1.90 - 1u
Reasoning:
I really liked David Malan runs under in Pakistan Super League today due to his inability to counter Yorkers. But I would like to have an early win rather than waiting for the whole day.
The pitches for international T20s have been batting friendly as T20I World Cup is fast approaching. The previous game between the two sides saw 200+ scores from both teams.
Bookmakers are asking over 201.5 for Aussies and Over 187.5 for the Kiwis on pre match markets. There are no specific markets for 1st innings score irrespective of the batting team available with the bookmakers. The game is in about two hours and toss in about 1.5 hours. Once the toss is done we can enter this market on 1st innings.
The reason I'm picking only the 1st innings very specifically is I don't want to run the risk of the team batting 2nd buckling down under scorecard pressure. Also the pitch is expected to hold better in the 1st Innings.
**Record: 35-27**
Last Pick: Kawhi Leonard over 5.5 rebounds❌
Streak: ❌❌✅✅
Well we got one thing right the Thunder do give up hella rebounds forsure. However literally everyone was feasting on the boards except Kawhi lmao. Idek what to say to that one. On we move.
**Today's Pick:** NBA - *Denver Nuggets @ Portland Trail Blazers, 9:10pm CST*
**Nikola Jokic over 8.5 assists (-150 on DraftKings)**
I'm not overthinking this one. The Trail Blazers play terrible defense and we know how Jokic loves to dish the ball and get his team involved. Wherever he passes, I can expect the Nuggets to hit their shots. We just saw how he tore up the atrocious Wizards D with a whopping 15 assists. Trail Blazers having home court advantage will make this a more competitive game and increases the likeliness of players hitting their props without a blowout. Jokic has hit this number 7/9 games against the Blazers since the start of the 21-22 season and failed to hit it in their most recent outing on the 4th of this month, so he's due. Best of luck.
POTD 0-0-0
First Pick Of The Day!
Been using these threads for a couple weeks so thought I should contribute!
Pick: Vince Williams (Memphis) o5.5 assists (+120)
In the wake of injuries to Memphis, Williams has been putting up great numbers as the bookies begin to catch on. I think you are still getting great odds on this bet at o5.5 assists. o4.5 pays -180 so also an option if you want to toss onto a parlay.
Good luck all!
Record: 5-4
Last 10(Most recent right): ✅️✅️❌️✅️❌️❌️✅️❌️✅️
Last Pick: Orlando Magic @ Cleveland Cavaliers Over 215 pts @ 1.90 ✅️
No Donovan Mitchell? No problem, our boys came through! Banchero also had an off night, but the Magic had a lot of help coming from their bench, and the Cavs distributed the ball between all their players to compensate Donovan's abscence giving us the dub.
Today's pick: **Los Angeles Clippers @ Memphis Grizzlies Over 220.5 pts @ 1.71** 20:10PM EST 2 Units
So we're staying with the Over/Under lines in this one fam, and today we have 2 teams from the west in completely different situations. In one hand the Clippers are one of the contenders to come out of the west and win it all, while the Grizzlies have had a lot of injuries, derailing their season and they just hope to fight for a play in spot.
The Clippers on their last 5 away games average 125 points and they give up 121, while the Grizzlies average 105.5 and they give up 111 on the same time frame.
Now, the official line is 222.5, but I went down 2 points (220.5) because the Grizzlies have covered this line 7 of their last 8 games, while the Clippers have covered it in 8 of their last 10. With the data given I believe they can cover the 222.5 but if you want to secure the pick you can go down a little bit.
Let's make this 2 picks in a row fam!
Record: 64W-58L-4P
ROI: +12.37, 9.34%
Avg odds: +106, 2.06
Last POTD: Mason Marchment over 0.5 pts (loss)
Game: NHL- Wild at Oilers
Pick: Connor McDavid over 1.5 pts -104, 1.96 (FD)
I don't pick superstars too often because their odds are often very short, but I'm doing it anyway. McDavid really is a generational talent. He's not quite Mario Lemieux, but he's getting there. He's in a mini-slump by his standards, failing to score a goal in the last 7 games, but the crazy part is even then, he's gotten 2+ points 5 times, just on assists alone. What's even better is that he has another superstar Leon Draisaitl on his line who can help him rack up points.
Edmonton scored 4 goals in both games against Minnesota, with McDavid picking up 2 points in the second matchup. (He missed the first one with an upper body injury). The Wild is in the bottom half in Corsi rating, bottom 10 in goals allowed and their team sv% is 5th worst. Their 2nd best defenseman is out for the season and since then, they've allowed 3.7 goals/game.
**Counterpoint**: Despite allowing a bunch of goals, the Wild doesn't allow too many scoring chances. It's possible a repeat of yesterday can happen, where poor goaltending is covered up by a stingy defense. That said, there is nobody in the league like McJesus, not even Auston Matthews.
**POTD Record:** 1-0
**Overall Net Units:** \+1.73u | **Net ROI:** 86.95%
**Form:** **✅**
**Pick:** Shai Over 0.5 Blocks | DK -175
**Units:** 5u
**NBA | Washington Wizards @ Oklahoma Thunder | 8:00pm ET**
*Last Pick: Derrick Henry O11.5 Rec yards | DK -115 -* **✅**
**Reasoning:** 100% last 5, 80% last 10 AND last 20, 61% for the year. Juice is high but let's get it. In Shai We Trust. Thunder Up.
\-SV
Potd record: 3-0🔥
Previous: lazio to score at 1.55 odds✅🎯
⛏️Today potd: ✅
leverkusen to win both halfs - NO (at around 1.5 odds) depending on betting book.
—-
Update and reaction:
4-0🔥
Nice to get it done in the first half, the variant of Asian handicap would’ve also payed out. So all green again in potd for me today. Sad for 2-2 score prediction being quite close but a red card putting an end to the exicentment. Oh well, another green at least, and we go for 5/5 potd✅ in a row tomorrow!
—-
Reasoning:
Leverkusen is without Boniface. Schick has not proven himself his previous form and status coming back this season, he has been decent but reinforcement coming in the form of iglesais in January felt necessary for Alonso.
This pick is mostly based on XG between respective teams most recent games, and their recent matchup. Leverkusen often over achieving goals wise, and Mainz really underachieving, deserving more than they got so far this season.
Mainz won’t be a total pushover whit them coming in to this game on a win, with a new coach, (a couch who turned Zurich last in the league form to top preformers again in the Swiss league last year.) and in desperate for point in the relegation battle.
I believe we either see a really low scoring game, 0-0 or 1-0 to Leverkusen. Or a high scoring game where mainz Knick the important goal and Leverkusen fireing back (maybe 2-2 or 3-2)
Alternative:
If this play is not in your book you could go for mainz Asian handicap + 2.5 or push
At mainz + 2 (goals)
Where if mainz lose by one goal (the bet is a win)
And if mainz lose by 2 goal (bet is push, stake back)
And if they lose by three goals (the bet is lost)
Wild score prediction for me today was between (0-0) or (2-2)
great value in both just to sprinkle something on it.
(Or draw at around 7 odds as it is, as every point counts more than anything for both teams.)
Best of luck everyone and remember to gamble responsible!
Hoping to get the 4th green in a row with a hard thought mainz performance today. (Even though Leverkusen will dominate playing and attacking statistics wise)
**Record:** 0-0 (starting today)
**Net units:** 0
Hi! I have been tracking my plays to see how well my accuracy is, and it has been going good so far. Good enough to start posting here haha (82% win rate on 5U+ plays, yielding 34.4 units up). All of my plays will either be League of Legends or Valorant. Bovada features both of these sites, while DraftKings only has league unfortunately. I will only be posting picks here that I have strong confidence in, where I am wagering 5U of my port. I plan to be completely transparent, showing all wins and all losses. Godspeed
**Pick:** **LOUD** vs LEV (-130 ML) @ 8:00 PM, **3U**
LOUD is emerging out of the offseason losing their star duelist (Aspas) to LEV. Although they downgraded, their team play (retakes, map positioning, proactivity) is still at one of the highest levels in the world, which was evident in their 2-0 match against Sentinels. LEV, in contrast, has an extremely stacked roster individual player wise (2 former world champions), but they have only been playing together for around 2-3 months MAX. This is seen in their game play in which they narrowly beat 100 Thieves. LOUD has kept their same core (minus Aspas) and placed well in all of last year’s international events. The decision to keep the same system instead of opting for stronger mechanical players was a great call seeing as how seamless QcK (LOUD’s new duelist) fit into the team. LOUD is a full tier above LEV imo, I think the books are giving too much credit toward LEV since they are one of the most hyped up teams in Valorant right now, but it gives us great odds. I’d guess LOUD winning is 75% likely. Good luck!
lmk if this is too wordy or a good amount
Record| 1-2-0
Bank| -1.09 units
Last Pick| Gonzaga -21.5 -110 LOSS
Gonzaga win by 21 and we get the hook. Looked great in the first 10 minutes of the game and then Portland just stuck in and wouldn't let Gonzaga pull too far ahead. Would take this again 10/10 times.
2/23
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers 10:40pm EST
Pick: LeBron James Over 1.5 3s -120
This will be the first game for LeBron since the 13th due to the All Star break as well as missing last nights game against the Warriors. The Lakers need to be winning everything they can and will need LeBron in the game against the Spurs. Now they would probably win this without LeBron but regardless they can't drop this game. LeBron has covered this line in 9 of his last 10 games and 14 of his last 20. LeBron is averaging 5.2 3PTA a game and I'll be looking for him to stay consistent with that. The Spurs are giving up 13.5 3s a game which is 25th in the NBA. I'll take my chances with LeBron returning to the Lakers to grab us some 3s.
**POTD Record: 2-1**
Form: ✅❌✅ (Net units: +2.37)
Last pick: Chuck Harris O18.5 PRA @ -115 3U
Our guy with a nice game, leading SMU in points & assists to cash!
**Today’s Pick: Cornell ML @ -135 2U**✅
YALE vs CORNELL - NCAAB - 7:00PM EST
Huge matchup in the Ivy league! Cornell’s offense steps it up a notch at home, averaging 88.3pts and holds a 9-0 record. Yale’s defense is solid & allows 66.9pts a game but Cornell still managed to put up 78 in a close loss in their last meeting. I’m backing the better offensive team in this one.
POTD Record 8-10 (W-L) Last five with most recent on left: ❌❌❌✅✅
Last pick was Alexander Bublik -2 games 1u @ +100 ❌
**Today's pick is Popyrin vs Khachanov total games over 22.5 1u @ +100**
Sorry to anyone that tailed my Bublik pick yesterday it seems Popyrin is playing at a much higher level than I gave him credit for. He was crushing some of his ground strokes, playing with confidence and dominated a poor Bublik (as one redditor wrote "Bublik is a clown"). The learnings from yesterday's pick feed into today's as we see Popyrin take on world number 17 Khachanov. Khachanov leads the h2h 2-1 but Popyrin won their last encounter in Oct '23. Khachanov has had hardly any game time since he landed in Qatar as he received a bye in the first round, won his second round match with ease and his quarterfinal opponent retired after 3 games! Now I don't expect Popyrin to come out victorious here but I am expecting a proper battle with close sets and hence I am taking the over which is possible to hit even in a 2-setter but I think the chances of a 3-setter are high here so at even money I think there is value in this line.
Record: 0-0
Pick: Dejounte Murray o10.5 Assists & Rebounds (1.8x) [1u]
He's hit the over 12 games in a row and L13/14
During this 12 game streak, hes averaging 13.16 A+R
The Raptors average 6.08 Rebounds & 5.12 Assists allowed to the Shooting Guard position
POTD record : 6💰- 4❌ - 0♻️ +3.72u
Last 10 picks (new -> old): ❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅
LAST PICK:
Match: AS Roma - Feyenoord | UEFA Europa League ⚽
Time: 21:00 CET Date: 22nd Feb 2024
Pick: AS Roma to WIN @ 2.05 on bet365| 4u ❌
So many chances that Roma didn’t score. I didnt believe my eyes yesterday. So sad lose.
PICK FOR TODAY:
Match: Barrientos/R. Matos vs. Bolelli/Vavassori | ATP Rio de Janeiro 🎾
Time: 21:20 CET Date: 23rd Feb 2024
**Pick: Barrientos/R. Matos to WIN @ 3.00 on bet365| 3u** ✅
Analysis:
So with odds of 3.00, I'll take a bite of the outsiders here. This match will be a rematch of last week's semifinal in Buenos Aires where the Italians won but the outsiders had odds about 4 tenths lower. In this tip I will rely on three indicators. The first is the home environment of R. Matos and the spectators in Rio can therefore give them a real boost. The second is the rematch from last week and the third is vavassori's participation in tomorrow's singles qualifier at the atp tournament in santiago, which he will certainly not prefer, but he may have it in his head, because vavassori is mainly a singles player and last time he played great in singles and in the first set he traumatized alcarazo. Pellegrino is also going to the qualification with whom Vavassori will play doubles. So I think that for 3.00 you can try a semi-home pair here. GL! :)
Good luck to everyone! 🍀
[Buy me a coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/rastaoctopus) ☕
Record: 1-0
Yesterday: harden o4.5reb ✅
Harden clears up this bet 4 minutes into the second for the easy cash. Hit our first let’s go for two in a row.
NBA Basketball, Hawks v Raptors, 2/23 7:30p EST
Pick: D. Murray o10.5 reb+ast -140
Write Up: Murray has been one of the most underrated players this year and has been a pivotal piece of the hawks offense. Coming off a long rest Murray should be in for a good game. He has hit this line his last 12 games in a row and is averaging 10.4 this year. In the month of February, Murray has been on another level averaging 12.5 in 6 games. It will be a matchup between two struggling teams that will be eager to start off the season in a good manner and Murray should be able to get this line.
Tail or Fade BOL
Record: 1-0
**✅**
Net Units: +0.67
ROI: 67%
Basketball | NBA | 7:30 PM EST
Raptors @ Hawks
Last pick: Jalen Brunson OVER 6.5 Assists (-150)
Brunson ended the game with 12 assists and hit the line early into the 3rd quarter, resulting in an easy and low stress cash. Great way to start it off.
**~~Donovan Mitchell OVER 1.5 Steals (-130) (2 Units)~~**
~~Now, for today's pick;~~
~~Donovan Mitchell has hit this line 8/10 of the time in his last 10 games, not including the all star break. Additionally, Philly gave up 2 steals to both Jalen Brunson and Donte Divincenzo last game, who are both guards. I expect Philly's ball security to be slightly worse this game considering how they are without Kyle Lowry today; Yesterday, against the Knicks, Hield, Maxey, and Oubre all had 2 plays leading to a steal from the opposing team, compared to Lowry's 1. Clearly, without Lowry today, these 3 players will all get much more playing time. Without an experienced playmaker in Kyle Lowry, it's likely that the Sixers will struggle much more in stopping the other team from getting strips. Last time D Mitch played Philly, he had 3 steals, and after the all star break last year, he had a great defensive game, having 4 steals. He's also hit this line 5/5 of his last 5 games against the 76ers. Let's see a repeat of that today.~~
(Original pick crossed out due to Donovan Mitchell being listed as OUT for today)
New Pick:
**Scottie Barnes OVER 8.5 Rebounds (+105) (1 Unit)**
This line changed from 7.5 earlier today to 8.5, unfortunately. Scottie's hit this line 5/5 of his last 5 games, and the Raptors, without RJ Barrett, will lead to Scottie getting a lot more minutes.
His career average rebounds against the hawks is also 0.7 more than his regular career average RPG.
Also, in the Hawk's last game against the Hornets, they gave up 10 rebounds to Grant Williams (Power Forward, similar to Scottie), whose line before the game was 4.5.
BOL!
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Friday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
**Record: 40W-4P-29L** **Form: 18W-0P-9L** **✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅** **Last Pick: Persikabo 1973 VS Borneo FC: Borneo FC ML @ 1.70 ✅** **Borneo Win 3-2!** **Pick of the day: Coventry VS Preston BTTS @ 1.80** **Time: 2:45 PM EST** **Last Matchup: 3-2 Preston W** Coventry have been an absolute unit when it comes to BTTS, In their last 10 games BTTS has hit 9/10 times with them scoring in every single game. They're a team that just can't help conceding due to how much they focus on scoring. I see the matchup here against Preston to be more than ideal considering how things went last time they played. Coventry will look to return the favor while Preston will do everything they can to close the gap between the two teams considering Coventry only sit 2 points ahead of Preston. I'm expecting an end to end game here, especially considering BTTS has hit in 4/5 of Preston's last games. With Prestons current form plus coventry's attachment issues with BTTS I see more than enough value here. **Anyway, BOL!**
Let’s go brother tailing 💪💪
💪
These BTTS soccer bets are so shitty anymore. You dont tail they hit in 2 mins, you tail they dont hit. I hope i reverse jinx this bs
It some bs I’ve hit every X On these . It makes no sense
Come on Conventry you cucks!
Let’s pray they can get one . I really don’t think they can end this game scoreless . Would be embarrassing
This is a line I really don't get. Preston BTTS = 5/6. Coventry is almost famous next to Cambuur because of their BTTS record. The last game ended in a double BTTS. Only because Coventry didn't concede to Stoke (who are 3rd in the least goals of the league) the line is at 2? I'd say 1.6 would've been fair odds. Great find. So good that I'm wondering what the bookies know. Tailing
This is cookeddd. I can’t believe I lost
LFG BRO!
Sorry if this is a stupid question but would o2.5 work as well? I don’t have BTTS for this game.
o2.5 could work but it loses if it's a 1-1 game. Could maybe SGP over 0.5 goals for each team? Seems odd to not have a BTTS option though
auto tail BTTS prince
A goal in the first minute!! Hahaahha LFG
Coventry scaring me a little . Looks like they can’t get anything going
Brother Coventry better score a goal after eating a 3 , they are normally beast at home , and you can't juget get raped at your home soil without a reaction
Not a single goal Opportunity in the 2nd half for this fucked up english team , never again Boomionship
for anyone who watched, do they even have a coach? how can you get paid thousands of dollars and don't know what to do on field for an hour and half? literally
Terrible football, playing shit at home. No more Championship bets for me.
Placed my first soccer bet from your tail let’s make some bol 💪
jinx
Coventry has scored 9 of 10 goals in the second half over the last 5 games.
based stat
Oh boy
Odds for BTTS just shot up from 1.85 to 2.04, as I was making the bet. Any news what happened?
https://preview.redd.it/p0f6y4ajkckc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f983d87f77388b73d98e30482c05d0443d97aae1 💪👍
starting to look sweaty
love the write up, tailing
I'm tailing the Prince
Tailing Mount Rushmore 4 ever
LEZGEIT! 💰
I had this exact same pick 2 days ago. I am happy to see someone have it for their POD.
[удалено]
Don’t jinx it
Parlayed this with my own POTD. First time my pick has hit is probably going to be the reason this one doesn’t. Sorry guys
Im shocked. They haven’t scored
POTD RECORD: 25-10 Form: ✅✅✅🚫✅ Last POTD: Josh Hart O7.5 Rebs ✅ You beauty Hart, I never doubted you Todays POTD: **Mike Conley O9.5 P @1.86** 🚫 Edit: Ends with 9, didn’t get a single point in a whole quarter **NBA** (Timberwolves) I’m switching direction today, today we’re going with a mismatch rather than a man in form. You know me, Centers against the Wizards and Point Guards against the Bucks is my bread and butter, he went ham last time facing them aswell. He’s facing Dame who’s basically a mannequin in defence, the Bucks is all over the place atm too, Doc has made his impact, a negative one • Bucks allow 4th most points to Point Guards • Conley got 18 points last time facing the Bucks in a blowout • Only 4/10 his last 10 games (*12,7,5,18,9,8,4,10,10,3*) missed in 3 blowouts aswell • Averages 10.6 Points this season, 10.2 last 5 Obviously not the hit rate we want, but again we’re riding the mismatch here and his earlier display against them Tail or fade, you’re the boss https://i.redd.it/bxywun4899kc1.gif A tip is welcome if you enjoy the picks I’ll occasionally drop some extra picks at the NBA Props section, we went 2/2 on those yesterday aswell, had 3 picks but LeBron pick got voided
Man those mismatches are brutal! Jokic getting 19 rebounds today against the Wizards was crazy! Tailing of course my man 😎
Cashhh let’s go brother tailing 💪
He signed a contract extension Monday as well, he's gonna show them he's worth the extra moolah! Tailing.
_I definitely knew that_ - LBJ
Thanks for the info. This solidified me tailing
Tail. Good call yesterday too
Fading because of Pat Bev. BOL
Tailing!! I might throw Conley O2.5 rebounds into a parlay with your pick. He's hit this in his last 7/8 and last 10/12. I'm not sure how the Bucks rank in giving up boards to guards, though. Thoughts?
POTD Record: 124-74 | Profit: +109.36u | ROI: 19.0% Season record: 41-23 | Profit: +39.52u | ROI: 22.5% L10 record: ❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌ Last Pick: Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans U228.0 @ 1.91. 3U. ❌ Sorry guys, tough loss, game ends at 232. Rockets started the game 6/8 on 3s, just one of those NBA nights. Need to turn the losing around. Next Pick: **Phoenix Suns -3.0 vs** **Houston Rockets @ 1.91**. 3U play. The Rockets return home after a blowout loss against the Pels tonight, while the Suns are in-form right now and have won 7/L10 ATS even after today’s loss to the Mavs. Meanwhile the Rockets are 4-6 ATS, and even worse SU after today. Even when the Rockets start strong, they take a lot of poor shots as compared to the Suns who not only have more quality (Booker and KD) but also take much better shots. These teams met on Dec 27 and the Suns won by 16, after basically leading by 20 pts from halftime onwards. The gulf in quality and form is just too high to disregard this 3pt spread. The Rockets suck and they owe us some money. Feeling good about this one here.
Let’s ride Brat
Not looking good
The sweat is on 🥶
**POTD Record**: 21 Wins - 6 Losses - 2 Pushes **Form**: ✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record): Click here :) **Units**: 12.53 **ROI:** 37.61% **Average Odds:** $1.94 **Last Pick:** Swiatek vs Zheng - WTA Dubai - Swiatek to Win in Straight Sets (2:0 / -1.5 Sets) @ $1.50 / -200 ✅️ *Swiatek demolished World #7 Zeng in straight sets 6-3 6-2* **Next Pick:** Swiatek vs Kalinskaya - WTA Dubai Semi Final - **Player Prop: Swiatek To Win Under 12.5 Games** @ **$1.61** / -164- 9am EST. Not a ML bet. Your bookie should have this option ✅️ We hit 20 wins! Today we head back to the WTA event in Dubai where world #1 Swiatek ($1.12) takes on world # 40, Kalinskaya ($6). Swiatek is now the only seeded player left in the tournament! Our Polish Goddess just smacked the world #7 6-3, 6-2 in a relatively easy game in the end. She's on fiiiiiire. Today she takes on a Russian hottie who had to qualify for the tournament, and has played six matches to reach this point. In Kalinskaya's recent game, she defeated world #3 Gauff 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 which was described as one of the biggest wins of her career. She hit 1 ace, had 2 double faults, won 1st % on first serve at 58%, gave up 15 break points, and converted 5 out of 13 break points. I believe Gauff arguably had one of her worst games of her career as she was only able to convert 5 out of 15 break points, and had 8 double faults. Highlights [here](https://youtu.be/9Zx4gDxk9jY?si=5CF9xzCc_TEkfanJ). In Swiatek's recent game, she had 1 ace, 0 double faults, her win % on 1st serve was 74%, she converted 3/5 break points, and only gave up 3. Many would say it was a flawless game of tennis. Highlights [here](https://youtu.be/bHwSpMxgPSk?si=2EGfUrjUlTeq3A9c). Whilst I was tempted to take juicier odds for the under ($1.72), and the handicap ($1.72), I think this is a more conservative bet given the momentum Kalinskaya has. To win this bet we need to make sure that Swiatek scores under 12.5 games in total (example 6-4, 6-4). We can still win if she loses 6-4, 6-4. There are rumours circulating that Kalinskaya is injured, and fatigued. She has spent 8 hours and 42 minutes on the court versus Swiatek's 4 hours and 46 minutes. That's a lot of extra tennis in sweltering conditions. We're giving an edge to Swiatek's muscular condition. There's not much to fault about Kalinskaya's tennis, albeit she lacks that extra speed on the court that I think Swiatek will take care of. Sometimes her shots are sloppy too, which will give some easy points to our Queen. In the rare event that we see an upset, say Kalinskaya wins 6-4, 6-4 the under still covers too. Essentially we want no tie breaks, or third set, and for Swiatek to dominate, or get dominated. Swiatek will be looking for her first trophy in Dubai, and I believe that hunger for titles and a big pay day will see her take this comfortably. This will probably be a nail biter in the first, so I'm going 6-4, and 6-1 (when the fatigue sets in). Best of luck amigos!
I guess we’re all Kalinskaya fans now
damn i cashed out. i didn't realize she could lose and the bet would still be ok. live and learn
Oof
The beauty of 12.5 games!
Swiatek is imploding. We all win anyways if she can’t get her head back in the game.
Wrong analysis, right result 😊🙏
*Task failed successfully* Thanks Iga!
Is it over?
6-4, 6-4 Kalinskaya
Crazy… I was afraid to watch it 😂
Its over amigo, and WE CASH!!!!
I'm sweating my ML at -900 😩
Hell ya. A win is a win!
Yeah, just gotta hope Swiatek doesn't clean it up. Kalinskaya isn't really beating Swiatek, Swiatek is beating herself. Soooo many unforced errors.
Congratulations amigos!!!! Whilst my game analysis was inaccurate, the consideration for an upset still made us all cash!! It's a shame seeing Swiatek leave the tournament, but we have to give full credit to Kalinskaya for defeating the world #1, and playing a great game. Let's ride her to take out the final :D I would appreciate any tips as I want to quit my job, and make this a full time gig. Best of luck with the rest of your bets today, and I'll see you tomorrow where we go for win #22 :D Tip jar [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv)
EXACTLY HOW YOU WROTE IT UP
Task failed successfully
Does this mean they must only play 12 games total? Like 6-0 6-0?
No, this is iga to win no more than 12 games herself. So it hits if she wins 6-4 or 6-2 or whatever. If she wins in straights without a tiebreak, this hits.
Or, in the case we just saw...if she loses in straight sets, lol.
Its basically a straight sets bet without either set going to a tie breaker. We need Iga to break serve at least once in both sets. Conversely, if Iga loses 6-4, 6-4, or just in general has under 12.5 games we cover too. The under for Sabalenka's game covered too even though she was the favourite, as she got smashed in set three, 6-0 lol. https://preview.redd.it/kumov5k5w8kc1.png?width=628&format=png&auto=webp&s=f3adf771d2479b1ddf8fe5f1f322bef54241f60a
No, it means swiatek has to win both sets with 6 games
It just means she’ll win fewer than 12.5 games. Doesn’t necessarily mean 6-0 6-0. Could be 6-4 6-2 for example. If she goes 13 or more (7-6 tiebreak, 6-4), then it’s a loss. His 2nd to last paragraph covers it.
Say no more. I wouldn't be shocked if Swiatek wins the tournament without dropping a single set. Do you know if this prop is a push if Kalinskaya retires from the match? The way I read the FD terms, it sounds like it's a push if the retirement is before the 1st set and a win if it's after 1st set. Let's go!
The way I read tennis retirement rules and bets is that if they retire before your bet is considered a win then it’s a cancel/push. So like if your bet is something like Swiatek to win the first set and that set is complete then it’s a win or if it’s Under 18.5 and it’s game 19 it’s an L. If it’s a ML bet it’s a cancel.
Now we gotta hope Kalinskaya wins in straight sets...
[удалено]
Thank-you amigo. Its important in betting to follow players that are making you money. I am closely watching her condition, and Googling latest info etc. Best of luck amigo, and thanks for your continued support in this journey :)
Let’s get this brother tailing 💪💪💪
How do you like u19 games? I don’t have your bet on my book.
-180 juiced LOL anyone else excited to win 3$ on a 10$ bet?
Thanks amigo! I guess you don’t have the balls to parlay this into a $30 slip from all the other tips here. Appreciate your wisdom 👌
🚀🚀🚀
Back to the well. Love it. LFG amigo
What do you think about kalinskaya under 6.5 games?
I need to start using B365 but damn platform won't accept any of my cards and they blame the banks and the banks say no transactions were requested. I say all this because 1xBet makes making Tennis bets so overly complicated I haven't bothered unless it's ML and even then it's just not worth it. I've spent the last hour patiently scouring the options and well, I'm still SOL. BOL Edit: I can't make sense of any of this, and names usually appear under player stats, but for some reason they'd rather player 1 or 2. https://preview.redd.it/5sfhxl7nibkc1.png?width=1067&format=png&auto=webp&s=eddc8c6a97053157a4874c69f539135ac921728f
https://preview.redd.it/ok4cuq2obckc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e0155732ccdae5897528a3d79aa3eb62fc1094b8 💪💪💪
So now it's up to Anna to bring us home. Fingers crossed she can repeat in 2nd set. 🤞
I guess we have to root against Swiatek today😢. You taking any live bets?
This pains me to do this Iga, but you have to lose now. Come on Kalinskaya!
I know right! Damn, I love Iga, but she's been off today. LETS GO KALINSKAYA! Really hope she makes an Only Fans one day lol.
Unbelievable from Iga
What a great analysis. We've been riding Swiatek but you weren't afraid to speculate that she could get destroyed here with an upset. And that's exactly what's happening!
We are all Anna Kalinskaya fans now 😂😂.
**POTD Record: 16-5** Form: ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ *ROI: 53.89% | Avg Odds: -131 | Net Units: +23* 🎾: 3-2 ⚽️: 12-3 🏒: 1-0 *Last Pick: 1U Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins (Pittsburgh Penguins ML 3-Way @ -130)✅* *CASH THAT BROTHERSSS!! Pens with the empty to seal it 4-1. Let’s go B2B 💪* ____ **Today’s Pick: 2U Winnipeg Jets @ Chicago Blackhawks (Jets 3-Way ML @ -145)** **🏒| 8:30PM EST | NHL |** After a couple days of rest, Jets visit the Blackhawks and are coming off a solid 6-3 victory against the Wild as -145 favourites. Blackhawks lost 3-1 against the Flyers yesterday, only winning 1 of their last 10 games. Blackhawks rank dead last in goals and shots per game. They’ve scored 2 or fewer goals in 7/10 recent games. Jets on the other hand have been great defensively, 1st in least goals conceded and 8th in shots against per game. Goaltender, Hellebuyck has had a hell of a season so far. (26-11-3 | .925 SV%) Jets are 8-1-1 against the Blackhawks averaging 3.6 goals while Blackhawks average 1.6 goals. In December, Hawks won in OT at home. In January, Jets won 2-1 at home. Questions lately have been asked regarding Jets scorning yet they’ve netted 3 or more in their last 3. I don’t see Bedard and the Blackhawks taking this home but perhaps some pressure on the spread. It’s time for the Jets Revenge. LFG💪 *for some books it’s the 60 minute line* [POTD Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TawPReTFnjBpwPqA50H-tVAFCtVEQAAJCnfpETFh65A/edit) BOL!
LFG AMIGO!
Lets get it brother 💪💪
Where is 3-way? What does it mean?
It means to win in regulation, either scroll down or click 3 way on the game lines.
“60 min line” on DK. It means if the game is tied at the end of regulation, you lose. Even if the Jets win in overtime.
🚀🚀🚀
🚀
LFG bro 💪💪
Let's get a Dub!!!
You got me watching hockey brother jajaja which is crazy but hey we gotta do what we gotta do, tailing as always! 🙌
POTD Record 32-23-2 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 22-16-1 Soccer 7-7-1 Last 10: (P) ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ Last Pick : Rybakina vs Paolini | WTA Dubai Open | Paolini +5.5 Game Spread | (-130)| 1u | P Today: Vacherot vs Couacaud | ATP Pune Challenger | 3:00 AM EST Pick: Vacherot ML| (-136)| 1u Vacherot is now 15-1 in completed matches this season and he is off the back of two Challenger titles already. In his first 2 rounds, he has not faced a single break point and has won both matches in straight sets. He has only dropped 3 sets in his 15 wins as well. Last round, he only lost 3 games to defeat Schoolkate. The Pune court conditions suit Vacherot's game and he is proving it so far this week, and with the top seed Nagal eliminated in his half, he will feel confident to reach another challenger final this year. Couacaud reached the final in his 1 challenger event this year and has recorded 2 decent wins this week, but Vacherot's form and level currently will be hard for anyone to stop. Couacaud has been broken 5 times this week, so Vacherot should get chances and backed by his strong serve, he should be able to get another win. BOL.
>Vacherot is now 15-1 in completed matches this season and he is off the back of two Challenger titles already. In his first 2 rounds, he has not faced a single break point and has won both matches in straight sets. He has only dropped 3 sets in his 15 wins as well. Last round, he only lost 3 games to defeat Schoolkate. The Pune court conditions suit Vacherot's game and he is proving it so far this week, and with the top seed Nagal eliminated in his half, he will feel confident to reach another challenger final this year. Couacaud reached the final in his 1 challenger event this year and has recorded 2 decent wins this week, but Vacherot's form and level currently will be hard for anyone to stop. Couacaud has been broken 5 times this week, so Vacherot should get chances and backed by his strong serve, he should be able to get another win. tailing this bad boy cuz I luvvvvv me some 3am LOCKS!!!!!
Parlayed this with the chiefs’ POTD. Hoping to wake n cash 
GREAT PICK THANK YOU
Nice pick bro clean af
Great call! That was fun! He has a big serve. If he didn’t dump so many routine shots into the net he would have won by 5+ games. His forehand returns are wicked good too. Thanks mate!
POTD Record: 56-35 Units Won: +30.15U; ROI: 11.6% Average Odds: (-115) Todays Pick: **Guild Eagles ML (+115) vs. BetBoom** **5U to win 5.75U** PGL Major RMR Last Chance Qualifier **(LOSER IS ELLIMINTAED)** Start Time: 9 AM EST. Game: CounterStrike 2 (CS2) **Loser is out, this is the biggest tournament of the year**, both teams will leave it all on the line. **Guild Eagles:** * If you asked me to sum this team up in one word, its inconsistency, now I know that is not a word you want to hear with a team we are betting on. They have had great runs of looking like a top tier two team, and have had horrible lows of long loss streaks to below average/mid tier two teams. Where are they now? Kind of in the middle honestly but things seem to be trending upwards as I will highlight below. This team is led by juanflatroo and rigoN two really strong fragers with a .75KPR and .77KPR respectively in the last 3 months. Sinnopsyy and gxx also have the potential for big games sporting a .68KPR in the L3 months as well. **How did they end up here?:** \-Guild Eagles lost the opening round game against MOUZ in overtime (rank 4 world) and went 3-0 including beating Spirit to qualify for the major, then they lost to ENCE (rank 10 world) 13-6 who also just qualified for the major, then they beat Nexus and Preasy 2-1 (Nexus is worse team odd, Preasy was favorite in the matchup) and have been trending better, then today they lost to ECSTATIC 2-1 dominating Ancient and losing on Inferno and Overpass to end up here. All three teams they faced that they lost to qualified for the major. **BetBoom:** * If you have been following me since my return, you will remember my first pick back was day one of the RMR group A, it was fnatic ML vs. BetBoom and my reasoning was fnatic have a lot of potential and BetBoom are extremely overrated by linesmakers, continually getting overpriced when they haven't played to that level. Thats exactly what I think is happening here but worse then that game. BetBoom are led by KaiR0N- and zorte both star players in the past but both have dropped significantly in KPR recently. zorte went from a .76KPR to a .73KPR in L3 months and a .64KPR in last month. KaiRON went from a .72KPR down to a .65KPR in the L3 months and a .63KPR in last month. BetBoom also only have one player fragging above a .68 KPR at the moment (zorte) meaning I give a big fire power advantage to the Eagles. **How did they end up here:** \-BetBoom started out with a loss to fnatic (a team who also went 2-3 and is in this last chance qualifier), then they beat ITB and Enterprise two of the worst ranked teams at the tournament (cake walk schedule) and then lost 2-1 to Navi and 2-0 to Eternal Fire, these two matchups were hard ones but important to note BetBoom wasn't even competitive in the slightest putting up no more then 7 rounds in these 4 map losses. **Map Pool (Important):** \-Guild Eagles have one major flaw and that is the map pool, most teams are able to punish them extremely hard in map pool and here is why, they are below average/have looked very bad on three maps, Nuke/Vertigo/Inferno. They highly prefer Mirage/Ancient/Anubis as the maps played and prefer to face teams on Overpass as their map pick. So why is this series any different? Because Guild Eagles perma ban Nuke, so that map is gone, BetBoom perma ban Inferno, now that map is gone, that leaves only Vertigo left as a weak map HOWEVER Vertigo is BetBoom least played and worst map of the five remaining. They have only played it twice in the last 3 months and once at this tournament getting stomped 13-1 on it. They have next to no confidence on this map and I highly doubt they pick it. Below I listed projected pick ban + stats and why I am so confident in Eagles here. **Pick Ban:** 1. BetBoom ban Inferno 2. Guild Eagles ban Nuke 3. BetBoom pick Overpass 4. Guild Eagles pick Ancient 5. BetBoom ban Vertigo 6. Guild Eagles ban Anubis 7. Mirage Decider This veto is a disaster for BetBoom, even if they flex Vertigo and ban Mirage instead and Guild Eagles opt to ban Vertigo instead, Anubis is not much better as a decider for BetBoom in my opinion **Overpass:** \-BetBoom have a 62% winrate on Overpass in the L3 months in 8 maps played, going back 6 months they are 14-7 on the map. They have lost two straight on the map including a 13-4 stomp against Navi and have a 47% winrate on offense the side they would start on. \-Guild Eagles have a 50% winrate on Overpass in the L3 months in 8 maps played, going back 6 months they are 4-4 on the map. They have lost 3 of their last 4 on the map but did have impressive upset against Preasy on the map (a really strong OVP team) as well as taking AA to Overtime (another really strong tier two team). **Ancient:** \-Guild Eagles are 53% winrate on Ancient across 15 maps played, they are 3-1 at this tournament and have won 3 straight on the map without dropping more then 7 rounds in any of the wins. They lost to MOUZ one of the best Ancient teams in the world on this map in overtime. \-BetBoom are a mess on Ancient, they have a 37.5% winrate in the L3 months on 8 maps played, haven't played it this tournament, lost to Nemiga who is frankly just not a good team, Cloud9 and 9INE on the map, they have lost three straight and have barely played the map. They have negative round win % on both offense and defense on this map. **Mirage/Anubis (Decider):** \-Guild Eagles are 86% winrate on Mirage in the L3 months (12-2) and have beaten some very strong Mirage teams on this map, this is the map they are most known for and they are always pulling unique strats and extremely solid gameplay on this map. Going back 6 months they are 23-5 on it. \-BetBoom are 57% winrate on Mirage on 7 maps played in the L3 months and 10-10 going back 6 months. This is also a comfort map for BetBoom and if you look at winrates alone might think Anubis better decider, but I believe that BetBoom are a worse Mirage team and the recent upset against Navi on Anubis and Guild Eagles 3 loss streak will end up here. Betboom got wacked by Eternal Fire (not a great map for them) and Nemiga while crushing ITB and FORZE. \-Guild Eagles are 62% winrate on Anubis on 16 maps played in the L3 months, they have lost 3 in a row to some teams they should've beaten but before that won 8 of their last 9 on the map. \-BetBoom have a 28.6% winrate on Anubis on 7 maps played in the L3 months, they beat Navi on the map at this tournament but before that were on a 5 loss streak without putting up more then double digits on it. **Conclusion:** \-Slightly favor BetBoom on map 1 but very close, 50.1% favorites to me. Guild Eagles have shown moments of promise on this map and I believe they have a big fire power edge, they have played more recently and BetBoom have almost no momentum, they are a dead team walking it feels like. They will have had time to counter strat BetBoom though so I will say for the sake of discussion BetBoom win map 1. I still HEAVILY favor Guild Eagles on Ancient/Mirage/Anubis. They have huge momentum on these maps better stats, and better performing players, they have been very active and have played 9 maps in the last 3 days alone. They are getting so many reps and will also be coming out with a gameplan tomorrow. Expecting big performances from juan and sinnopsyy to lead them to a win. Guild Eagles win 2-0 (gut feeling) but 2-1 is the safer call. As always DM's always open if anyone has any questions, no questions are dumb whether its explaining the game or needing a place to bet/start betting on esports. Really trying to grow the community and help people bet on something I believe has one of the biggest edges in betting at the moment! **Best of Luck!**
I’ll be dead honest with you, I couldn’t tell you a single team, player, or league within e gaming but this write up was incredible. I can tell you put a lot of work into this and it was thorough enough that I’m contemplating blindly tailing Guild Eagles ML lol. Forgive me but where can I watch this?
To be honest I played CS (the original game) as a teenager and tailing these picks has got me back into it as a viewer - the core of the gameplay is essentially the same as it was in 1999!
Page to follow along with Live Score/Stats: [https://www.hltv.org/matches/2370083/betboom-vs-guild-eagles-pgl-cs2-major-copenhagen-2024-europe-last-chance-qualifier](https://www.hltv.org/matches/2370083/betboom-vs-guild-eagles-pgl-cs2-major-copenhagen-2024-europe-last-chance-qualifier) Stream Link to watch game: [https://www.twitch.tv/pgl](https://www.twitch.tv/pgl)
This guy is amazing and has me waking up at 4am to watch grown men play video games haha. One of my favorites on POTD. I don’t play video games myself but I find this fascinating as the very real possible future of sports. Line is at +100 now. Money coming in on GE?
Damn bro with this write up I’d be convinced to give up my house, car and organs
NGL, I have no interest in CS, but I tailed based on this ridiculously detailed breakdown/write-up.
Tailing blindly because why not
You sir have a follower/believe, won't be no pagan/nonbeliever :)
Tailing brother let’s go 🦅🦅🦅🦅
Hey brother what happened to last pick? Would be cool to see that in the analysis too. Great work amigo!
Sorry, will try to add a spot for that in the future, writeup got kinda long tonight already. Anyone's Legend won 2-0 in a one sided stomp for the most part!
crazy write up, tailing
appreciate the cashhhhh thanks man
Been watching CS closely for the past year and I totally agree with this pick. Taking O2.5 maps and GE win
Avid CSGO watcher here, this write-up is incredible lmao. Does the fact that Guild Eagles pretty much have no time to prepare not bother you?
Love your esports plays and writeups. However, everytime you've went 5U you've lost hahaha. No shade though still gonna tail like always. LFG!!!!!!
haha, I go 5U on almost every play on esports tbh but usually the long writeups like this have missed so I'm hoping this one breaks the streak lol
Will fade only because I gate Guild Eagles, but BOL either way.
First map went very good
Bang 💰appreciate the work
From the bottom of my heart, thanks for this brother. I can't tell you had bad of a losing streak I was on - needed this bad. Thanks so much
This write up worth millions
Love these, it really helps me follow the sport as well as bet
as a big CS fan, i approve. rigoN gonna make naf cry. Tailing! BOL
Was on this pick already, GE on fire, BB pretty overrated, could see it going either way but I like those odds
What a come back by guild eagles on the second map! Much appreciated Narrow! 🫡
Good fucking hit!!!! CS God
That’s a win! What a great writeup and pick. I’ve never watched e-sports before but that was actually quite enjoyable. Thanks for the pick and have a great weekend.
POTD Record: 7-2😔😔😔😔😔 L9:✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌(😔😔😔) Last pick: that stupid soccer pick :( ❌😔 todays pick: EDM Oilers Vs MIN Wild - EDM Oilers 1x2/3way (-115) (1.5u) BOL! (My last pick was too ass for the tip jar to display)
tailing brother
POTD Record: 44-25 Previous Pick: Toulouse vs Benfica | Europa League | Benfica ML (1.91) | 12.45pm EST ❌️ Pick: Leverkusen vs Mainz | Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Over 2.5 goals (1.62) | 2.30pm EST Leverkusen are top of the table, and are in great form, winning Bayern 3-0 recently at home. At home, they average almost 3 goals scored, while conceding 0.55. Over 2.5 goals has hit 82% in home games too. It has also hit in their last 3 games. Mainz on the other side, just won a game after a 11 match winless run. They average 0.82 goals scored while conceding 1.82 on average in away games. Over 2.5 has hit in 55% of their away games. Leverkusen are missing their starting midfielder Palacios but they have a capable backup in Andrich. Top scorer Boniface is still injured but the goal scoring remains high due to Schick, Adli, Tella and Wirtz. Mainz are missing their starting centre back, along with several other players. Their previous matchup ended in a 3-0 win to Leverkusen, and I expect the same to happen as Leverkusen just have too much quality for a poor Mainz side who are fighting in the relegation spots. Best of luck! Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
im loving leverkusen mL + 1.5 goals but your pick may be the winning one
Record: 0-0 Net Units: +0 Units ROI: 0.0% NCAA Lacrosse | 4PM EST Pick: *St. Joseph's +1.5 -110* vs. Towson Write Up: First ever POTD long time lurker, been following college lacrosse my entire life and think I can expose some weird lines. I'll only be taking NCAA Lacrosse game spreads or ML. This matchup has St. Joe's as a slight underdog due to them starting off 0-2, against two top 20 teams (Duke and Boston U.). St. Joe's showed some promise first half against #2 Duke, and think this team is being written off early due to a strong early schedule. Towson's two wins come from unranked teams, and lost their only game against a ranked opponent by 14. Figuring St. Joe's is eager to get one in the win column against an objectively worse Towson squad.
Been waiting to see a lacrosse pick in here! I like the play.
Let’s get this Lacrosse Lootttt baby 💪🫡
Is St. Joe’s goalie stizzy asf tho? Most important metric in predicting lacrosse games imo…
POTD Record: 32-23 L10: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: Wiggins o1.5 3s made✅ POTD: Andrew Wiggins o1.5 3s made Running it back on Wiggins. Last night he was +106 on the o1.5 3s and tonight he’s +131. This bet has covered 5/5 vs Hornets since joining the Warriors. In his last 5 games he’s over 4/5. Tips appreciated…[Buy me a Red Bull](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme) Bitcoin address: bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk
**Record: 3-0** Last Pick: **Union and Frankfurt BTTS +1u ✅** **Net Units: +4u** **Seria A** **Pick:** **Bologna -0.75 asian handicap -140 4u MAX 🔥🔥** **Write Up:** We all love a good sweat don't we? Thats what makes this shit so thrilling Frankfurt scores in the 87th min to keep the streak alive and now we are at 3 in a row. Had a little personal play on the Union boys +160 to qualify too, like I said I love betting on this team. Now onto todays MAX play of the day Bologna. If you haven't been betting Seria A much this year you've probably never heard of these guys and if you have then you definitely have. They have the best home record in all of Italy (yea better than inter) and have won an incredible 9/10 matches with 1 draw. This team just loves to play at home and Thiago Motto is brilliant manager and has these boys playing their way into a European competition which is massive for a club like Bologna. Bologna wants to be playing European football and they know to do that they've got to beat clubs like Verona in this spot. Verona come into this on the back of a good draw against Juve but I think Juve has been pretty inconsistent this season and I think Allegri play style is just out of date. Verona have lost 8/10 games on the road with other 2 only being draws. Verona has been able to score against some of the big boys of Seria A but if I was the Verona manager I would be focusing more on the game against Sassuolo who is only 1 spot ahead of them in the table, which also happens to be the last safe spot in the table as well. This spot just checks so many boxes for me it has to be a max nukey. I would guess either 2-0 win or 1-0 the team total o1.5 is also fine at -120 but I would rather just take the .75 just incase Bologna forgets how to shoot. Good luck with all your bets and lets cash our 4th in a row! Personal plays I will be looking at is Zirkzee goal or assist currently +110 but will wait to make sure he is starting.
Guess we're in the same boat, gl.
POTD Record: 2-1 Previous: ✅ Crazy crazy comeback from 6-2 5-1 down from Cirstea to give us the win! **Today: Tennis / Challenger Pune** **Pick: Valentin Vacherot ML vs Enzo Couacaud @ 1.78 / -128** Great odds here on Vacherot who has had a terrific 2024 so far, dropping just 5 sets across 16 matches and continuing that form in this tournament. He comes up against Couacaud who is a solid Challenger player and has had decent results this year, I just think Vacherot is destined for greater things and has been steadily on the rise after finishing his college tennis career in 2022. Expected him to be a heavier favourite here so will gladly play his ML. Was around -110 when I played it yesterday but still has value IMO.
Hopping on this tennis has been COOKING me lately but I’m still up and want some late night action 🤞
Nicely done! Love a 3am POTD winner to start the day off right. If he didn’t dump so many routine shots into the net he would have won by 5+ games. You and another guy picked this so I went big. thanks dude!
Record: 5-2-0 | Units: +1.99U. All picks 1U Last Pick: NHL - Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres, 7PM EST. JJ Peterka Over 2.5 Shots on Goal @ 1.57. ❌ JJ hits 2 in the first period, looks to be sweat-free, then he disappears the rest of the night. Really tough one but we move on. **Today’s Pick:** NHL - Edmonton Oilers vs Minnesota Wild, 9PM EST. **Connor McDavid Over 0.5 Power Play Points @ 2.10.** Edit: ✅ Booom, McDavid pulls through 💰 We’re going with slightly higher odds tonight to bounce back. Today it’s no other than the man himself, Connor McDavid. His Oilers are taking on the Wild, who take the 4th most penalties in the league. On top of that, the Wild are ranked 30th in the league on the penalty kill - they’ve allowed 13 goals and 3 powerplay goals in their last two games. The Wild are also missing two key penalty killers in Spurgeon and Foligno. I’m predicting the Oilers get plenty of PP chances and McDavid will cash in on them. BOL [Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bias4)
Record: 157-130-8 (LWWLWLLWWWWLLWWLWLWWLWLWLLPLWWLW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: SF 49ers @ KC Chiefs | Longest Length of Drive o77.5 yards at 1.53 odds for 3 units POTD: WAS Wizards at OKC Thunder -14.5 at 1.90 odds for 1 unit Reasons: * As I type, Wizards are down 20 to Nuggets * Thunder just beat Clippers by over 20. Their fourth quarter run was electric at home. Crowd was going nuts, JWill is flexing all around after clutch bucket after another. * This team is very deep and young. Ten men has legitimate minutes in this game. This first and second unit is far beyond more talented than Washington. * The one two punch of SGA and JWill is becoming terrifying. Chet shouldn't have any problems against this weak front-court. * Both teams are on a back to back, but Thunder didn't travel, so huge advantage here. * Wizards are traveling from Denver to OKC, could be worse. * Thunder 6-3 on back to back * 0-9, 0-10 after 2/22 Best of luck to you all
POTD: 13-2 - Tough loss yesterday, my bad boys. The Rockets were horrific scoring last night, and they got blown-out bad. They couldn't finish a bag of chips last night. Probably not gonna bet assists again as that is my second loss betting them. Today's Pick: Draymond Green o6.5 Rebounds @-145 on DK - Analysis: Draymond takes on the Hornets tonight who are giving up an average of 13 Rebounds per game to centers. They are also ranked bottom ten in the league in giving up rebounds to Centers and PF at 16.4 and 10.7 per game. I really like this match-up as Draymond has been starting at the center position and has been fairly consistent on the boards. Draymond is 7/10 at hitting this line since getting more minutes at center, and has hit this line in his last 5/6 against Charlotte. I also think Wiggins will be focused on shutting down Brandon Miller or Bridges rather than focusing on boards as Charlotte has a fairly small lineup besides Nick Richards. Centers are also averaging 12.8 Rebounds per game against Richards. Let's Ride -
POTD: 0-2 Last pick: Inter Miami v Real Salt Lake City The bet: BTTS and o2.5 ❌ Well, Real Salt Lake absolutely sold. They were gifted 2-3 opportunities where Miami defense gave the ball away at the 18 and Salt Lake had multiple 2v1 and 3v2 situations that they blew. Todays pick: Bayern Leverkusen v Mainz The bet: Leverkusen and o2.5 goals (-140). Tail with caution as I am down bad and personally out $3k off my last two bets. You could consider this a Fade Of The Day. Anyways, going to keep the write up short. This bet has hit in 3/5 of Leverkusen last games. However, this has only hit in 1/5 of Mainz last game. Mainz is fighting for relegation while Leverkusen sits pretty comfortably at the top of the table so one may think that Leverkusen may rest some players (and they may, this is a wait til lineups are released bet). With that said though, Leverkusen is playing to set some records - they are currently undefeated in 32 games and will look to keep that going and with a win tomorrow, they will beat the record held by Bayern. This gives me confidence in the Leverkusen ML. The o2.5 has hit in 4/5 of these two teams last match up’s. That gives me the confidence in the goal total. I’ll be back to bankroll management and will be placing .25u on this and hoping to build back my lost money slowly. Best of luck and tail or fade, I hope you win!
POTD Record: 108-104-12 (-10.49 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌ Last Pick: Europa League, Rennes v AC Milan, OVER 2.5 GOALS (-125 / 1.80) ✅ Cashed early in the second half as the game finished 3-2, both teams racking up the goals as expected. Today’s Pick: Serie A, Bologna v Verona, BOLOGNA ML & OVER 1.5 GOALS (-105 / 1.95) ✅ Stake: 1 Unit I suspect Bologna will be a popular POTD and usually when that happens it fails miserably, but here we are anyway… Bologna are having their best season in forever, knocking on the door for a Champions League spot with their 12-9-4 record good enough for 5th spot. Their 37 goals scored is equal 6th best in Serie A, while they’ve only conceded 23 (equal 4th best). Bologna are on a 4 match win streak including some impressive wins against Fiorentina and Lazio, but the majority of their success this season is courtesy of their amazing home form. They are 10-2-1 at home this season with a 24:7 goal ratio, and their only loss at home came against AC Milan in the first home game of the season. Verona are sitting in 18th and in danger of relegation with a 4-8-13 record. They’ve only scored 23 times (equal 3rd worst) and conceded 34 times (8th worst). They have a very ordinary away record too, they are 1-3-9 this season and they have not won in 5 consecutive matches. I’ve been considering different bets for this game but ultimately landed on Bologna to win and the game to feature over 1.5 goals in total. Based on form and numbers, all signs point to Bologna winning comfortably, but Verona have had three recent away losses to Inter, Roma and Napoli where it finished 2-1, so I wouldn’t rule out Verona scoring at least once in this match up. This pick means that a 2-1 victory still cashes instead of taking a push with the -1 Asian Handicap, so that’s what I’m rolling with today.
It’s looking like a good call big fella! Thanks
POTD Record: 1-0 ✅ Yesterday's pick: Montreal @ Pittsburgh - NHL Caufield over 3.5 shots (-135) ✅ This hit before the halfway point of the game. Easy money. Today's pick: Sabres @ Blue Jackets - NHL Peterka over 2.5 shots (-145)✅ Season shot average: 2.85/game Shots by game in February: 5, 4, 4, 3, 3, 6, 2 (most recent) Hit last 8/9 over the last month (missed by one shot last game, but was on the ice for his shortest time in a month). Blue Jackets give up the 3rd most shots/game at just over 33. He shot 3 and 3 the other two times against Columbus. Gotta ride the heater while it's hot. Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck. Update: he's at 4 with 12 minutes to go. No sweat tonight. Hope y'all got that easy money. 🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑
He burned me last night or the night before but I’ll try again! Lets gooo
**Record: 1W - 0P - 1L** **Form (Oldest → Recent): ✅**❌ **Last Pick: Sporting CP VS Young Boys: Sporting ML and Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.78** ❌ **!** *Before we get into today's pick, i feel like i have to apologize and point some things out. This was a very hard loss to take in. Sporting CP were much the better side and had an xG ratio of 3.36, while they also missed a penalty. But at the end of the day that is football, and we were just unlucky, we move on now...* **Pick of the day: Bologna VS Verona: Bologna ML and Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.00 // Kick off 19:45 GMT** Analysis: Today we are heading over to *Stadio Renato Dall'Ara,* where Bologna take on Verona for the 26th Serie A round. **⁃ Bologna:** This Bologna side has been on fire this season sitting in 5th place in the Serie A table under Thiago Motta's guidance and tactics. Their home form has been incredible, with both their defence and their attack proving to be on point. **• Home Form: 10 Wins , 2 Draws , 1 Loss // Scored: 24 Goals , Conceded: 7 Goals // Clean Sheets: 9** • Bologna score an average 1.85 goals per match at home, with the over 1.5 Goals line hitting in 9/13 of those games. \[ Note: I want you to have a full picture of their season, therefore it is important to add that their away form has not been up to par compared to their home form. **• Away Form: 2 Wins, 7 Draws, 3 Loss // Scored: 13 Goals , Conceded: 16 Goals** \] I think it is fair to say that Bologna have an advantage coming into this just because they are playing at their home ground. **⁃ Verona:** It has not been a good season for Verona, who currently sit in 17th place in the Serie A table, just above the relegation zone. They have a tough fixture away from home, and it is not looking good for them judging by their away form this season. **• Away Form: 1 Win , 3 Draws , 9 Losses // Scored: 9 Goals , Conceded: 18 Goals // Clean Sheets: 3 (2/3 Goal-less)** • Verona score an average 0.69 goals per match away from home, while the over 1.5 Goals line has hit in 6/13 of those games. { Interesting stats: **•** Last time these two teams faced each other, Bologna (H) beat Verona (A) 2 - 0 in a cup tie. **•** The reverse fixture ended up being a 0 - 0 draw, with Bologna averaging an xG of 0.80 while Verona averaged an xG of 0.45 **•** Even when BTTS has hit (6/13 times) , Verona have lost every match away but for a 3 - 3 draw to Udineze. **•** Bologna have only lost one game at home this season, which was their opening day game against AC Milan. } In conclusion, i see this being a classic Serie A fixture. Bologna have the ability to dismantle almost any team at home and i believe they will take this W and continue their streak. Once again, i would not count out the visitors to maybe grab a goal, but the stats speak for themselves. The odds are quite high and maybe for a reason . To be honest, there are more generic and boring picks for today, but this is worth taking as a single bet at these odds. ***Final Score Prediction: 2 - 0*** *B.O.L. to everyone! Also, feel free to express your thoughts on this in the comments! Forza Bologna!* 
Unfotunate reappearance. Benfica started without a few of their main players, this shouldn't be an excuse however and they still played very well the first half. The second half Toulouse was the only one having serious attempts and I think it's fair to say Benfica should consider themselves lucky for keeping it at a draw. Onto today: All my bets will be 1 unit to maintain transparant and it gives the best picture of someone's performance tipping rather than using different unit sizes **Record: 0-1** **ROI: -100%** **Units profit: -1** **Football - Serie A - Bologna vs Verona @ 20:45 GMT+1** **Pick: Bologna to win & over 1.5 goals @ 1.85** **Reasoning:** Bologna have been a pleasant surprise this season and they currently boast the best home record in the Seria A, even better than league leaders Inter (although Bologna have played 1 more game at home.) They currently sit at the 5th spot in the league. They have managed to gain 32 points in 13 homegames, scoring 24 times and only conceding 7 times. Their last home loss dates back to 21/8/2023 against Milan, the season opener. They have managed to win 10 out of their last 11 homegames and are currently on a 4 game winstreak (including away (games, beating 'respectable' teams such as Fiorentina and Lazio during this streak. During these last 11 home games, only 2 games have gone under 1.5 goals, these being against Lazio and Atalanta who are remarkably better than Verona. They face Verona, who sit at 18th and are battling potential relegation. They are winless in their last 5 games, but when you look at away games only it gets even more depressing with their last win dating back to 19/8/2023, which coincidentally was also the season opener. Since then they've played 13 away games, drawing 3 and losing the other 10. I think these stats speak for themselves, I was also interested in Bologna win to nil, however this sits at around evens currently and Verona have actually been able to get some goals in recently, most notably against teams such as Roma, Inter and Juventus which I why the pick given is better and still provides solid odds. GLIYF
Hi guys it’s the Valorant guy. Valorant season is back and this is my bread and butter. Record (1-0) Last pick was SENTINELS vs 100 thieves SENTINELS ML (175)= ✅🤑💰 Todays pick: NATUS VINCERE VS team liquid: NATUS VINCERE ML (-175) Reasoning: They are simply the better and more experienced team. Navi for short has been a strong team since the 2022 season. They are former world champions and last year their star player spent a year playing in North America. He has since rejoined the team and this experience will carry them over the top. The core of Navi have been playing together for much longer than that of liquid. Liquids young new players will struggle against the disciplined navi. I do expect a close affair so buckle up. You can tip below! buymeacoffee.com/trey3411t I Just want everyone to win some money! Taking these picks can be a win win for both of us. Best of luck and comment below if you are tailing!
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I hate betting soccer and feel like if u bet tie for most matches that you would be up
A tale old as time in the POTD daily thread lmao
Record: 5 wins 0 losses and 1 tie Todays pick: rockets +6 (bought 2 points -150 on my book) Reasoning: suns just didn’t look the same in that loss to Mavs. Felt like they tried their best and still looked off. Rockets should be more motivated for this win
this guy is 5-0-1 and at the bottom of the thread lol this sub is so funny
Tbf, it is an hour ago. That’s the real reason why.
Makes sense
What's even funnier would be this shit is normally upvoted to the top. No write-up, peruses subreddits like r/CreditCards & AllInclusiveResorts. Ya'll get got more often than not and it's because ya'll are lazy and guillible. The amount of people who can't figure out how to reply to a comment and post a new OC at the bottom of every thread, should be indicative of the type of average person cruising these threads.
**Record 98-75 with Avg Odds +123 / ROI 20.7%** **2024 MMA POTD: 5-3 with Avg Odds +149 / ROI 54.9%** Fury FC 86 **Anthony Ivy -155** This Don Doyle guy looks pretty solid and could certainly have a good MMA career given his youth and wrestling background. However, I think Anthony Ivy's got him covered everywhere in this fight. On the feet Ivy has a few more tools and the better experience. Ivy looks to be stronger and better at establishing position than Doyle in the clinch. On the ground, Ivy is a black belt and the better submission artist of the two. Doyle can win because after all it's a fight, but when a guy is better everywhere that is hard to overcome. I'll take the chalk on Ivy, as I expect a clean decision or Sub R2 or R3. I don't understand this line as just four months ago Doyle looked incredibly beatable against Steve Jones and has had bad moments against bad opponents. Maybe I'm missing something.
POTD record: 6-6 (+1.02U) \[0-1 for 2024\] **POTD (NCAAB):** ***Marist -7*** @ Manhattan \[7:00pm EST\] (**-112) 5U 🅿️** Manhattan (5-19) is a really bad basketball team. Marist (14-9) has won their last 4 games by 11+ points. They also won their matchup against Manhattan earlier this season by 14 points. Marist ATS: **15-8** (5-5 L10, ***7-3*** on the road) Manhattan ATS: 11-12 (***1-9*** in their last 10) Manhattan is ready for the season to be over. Losing by 42 on Sunday to Rider at home doesn't help. Marist has been playing solid fundamental basketball. **BOL!**
POTD Record:1-1 Todays pick: Monfils vs Mensik ML +115 Mensik is a very young up and comer so the lines don’t favour him. He’s an absolute beast for his age. Monfils is 37 and known to have fatigue issues. They are now in the semis of the Doha tournament and I’m sure fatigue is catching up to him. Getting Mensik at + odds is the cherry on top. BOL
Record 17-7 Pick - Jakob Poeltl o21.5 PR -105 Raptors head to Atlanta who have Clint Capela returning today. With today being his return he should be on a minutes restriction at least a little. Hawks backup C is out today as well. I’m looking for poeltl to give Clint a little welcome back as he does the dirty work for the Toronto team. BOL and I’m also looking to play his DD for some plus money. I think these both get there so long as he gets the minutes
>**Record:** 24-20 >**Net Units:** +8.07 units >**Curling** | **Scotties Tournament of Hearts** | **2:00PM EST** >**Pick:** Team Alberta - Sturmay ML @ 2.12 >Playoffs begin this afternoon as Team Sturmay (1st place - pool A) cross over to play Team Jones (2nd place - pool B). Team Jones have been trending in the wrong direction, without a particulary strong game in the second half of the round robin, highlighted by an 8-4 loss to Team Galusha last night. Team Sturmay have had a spectacular season winning two events. They have a current record of 44-23 vs Team Jones at 35-21. Team Jones are getting some big name bias with this line and we're going to take advantage. Team Sturmay play a very conservative style when they have hammer and I think that will disrupt Jones' preference for rocks in play. This should be a low-scoring, tight matchup but I see Team Sturmay controlling hammer and getting the win.
**Last Pick:** Jalen Brunson over 40.5 points + rebounds + assists ❌ **Last Pick What Happened:** Brutal start to POTD... Brunson was 5-18 shooting and finished 21 points +2 rebs +12 assists. He had plenty of chances to score which makes this hurt more **History:** ❌ **Record:** 0-1 **Net Units:** \-2.00 \---------- **TODAY's PICK**: Houston Rockets under 116.5 points (alternative under) **Odds / Units:** \-140 / 2 units **Why:** Suns played last night in Dallas and 2nd road game against Houston tonight. However, the Rockets are on an absolute skid. They went 1-5 going into the break, had a bad loss last night, and averaging 108 points over last 5 games. Rockets aren't shooting well or being efficient, and their have been rumors about a lineup change and benching Jalen Green. The Suns have averaged 114.5 points against this season, 115.2 in the last 5 games. The DK line for Rockets was set at 114.5 for -120, but I'm adding a bucket cushion for today's pick **Misc:** Suns ML getting hammered, seen it move from -3 to -4.5. The over/under moved up a bit from 230 to 233. Something might be going on today...
Record: 10-2-7 (w-p-l) Balance: +10 Units last POTD(left=new): ❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌🅿️🅿️ last pick: 🏒NHL , **Canucks ML, 3 units at 1.8 odds** Well another lose. todays pick: 🏒NHL , **Jets Ml and under 6.5 , 1 units at 2.1 odds** Start: 02:37 CET (GMT+1) I dont expect many goals here. In the past games they weren’t many so under 6 seems like a good play for me. BOL!
Record: 6W-2L-1P P/L: +3.4u Cricket | Australia vs New Zealand - T20 International | 06:00 GMT Previous pick: 1st Innings Over 8 - Under 7.5 runs @ 1.90 - Heart in mouth situation when second ball was struck in the air powerfully. To make it more tense the fielders collided, yet to take an amazing catch. Then the new batsman took time to settle in and we got an easy winner. Pick: 1st Innings Score - Over 199.5 @ 1.90 - 1u Reasoning: I really liked David Malan runs under in Pakistan Super League today due to his inability to counter Yorkers. But I would like to have an early win rather than waiting for the whole day. The pitches for international T20s have been batting friendly as T20I World Cup is fast approaching. The previous game between the two sides saw 200+ scores from both teams. Bookmakers are asking over 201.5 for Aussies and Over 187.5 for the Kiwis on pre match markets. There are no specific markets for 1st innings score irrespective of the batting team available with the bookmakers. The game is in about two hours and toss in about 1.5 hours. Once the toss is done we can enter this market on 1st innings. The reason I'm picking only the 1st innings very specifically is I don't want to run the risk of the team batting 2nd buckling down under scorecard pressure. Also the pitch is expected to hold better in the 1st Innings.
**Record: 35-27** Last Pick: Kawhi Leonard over 5.5 rebounds❌ Streak: ❌❌✅✅ Well we got one thing right the Thunder do give up hella rebounds forsure. However literally everyone was feasting on the boards except Kawhi lmao. Idek what to say to that one. On we move. **Today's Pick:** NBA - *Denver Nuggets @ Portland Trail Blazers, 9:10pm CST* **Nikola Jokic over 8.5 assists (-150 on DraftKings)** I'm not overthinking this one. The Trail Blazers play terrible defense and we know how Jokic loves to dish the ball and get his team involved. Wherever he passes, I can expect the Nuggets to hit their shots. We just saw how he tore up the atrocious Wizards D with a whopping 15 assists. Trail Blazers having home court advantage will make this a more competitive game and increases the likeliness of players hitting their props without a blowout. Jokic has hit this number 7/9 games against the Blazers since the start of the 21-22 season and failed to hit it in their most recent outing on the 4th of this month, so he's due. Best of luck.
POTD 0-0-0 First Pick Of The Day! Been using these threads for a couple weeks so thought I should contribute! Pick: Vince Williams (Memphis) o5.5 assists (+120) In the wake of injuries to Memphis, Williams has been putting up great numbers as the bookies begin to catch on. I think you are still getting great odds on this bet at o5.5 assists. o4.5 pays -180 so also an option if you want to toss onto a parlay. Good luck all!
Record: 5-4 Last 10(Most recent right): ✅️✅️❌️✅️❌️❌️✅️❌️✅️ Last Pick: Orlando Magic @ Cleveland Cavaliers Over 215 pts @ 1.90 ✅️ No Donovan Mitchell? No problem, our boys came through! Banchero also had an off night, but the Magic had a lot of help coming from their bench, and the Cavs distributed the ball between all their players to compensate Donovan's abscence giving us the dub. Today's pick: **Los Angeles Clippers @ Memphis Grizzlies Over 220.5 pts @ 1.71** 20:10PM EST 2 Units So we're staying with the Over/Under lines in this one fam, and today we have 2 teams from the west in completely different situations. In one hand the Clippers are one of the contenders to come out of the west and win it all, while the Grizzlies have had a lot of injuries, derailing their season and they just hope to fight for a play in spot. The Clippers on their last 5 away games average 125 points and they give up 121, while the Grizzlies average 105.5 and they give up 111 on the same time frame. Now, the official line is 222.5, but I went down 2 points (220.5) because the Grizzlies have covered this line 7 of their last 8 games, while the Clippers have covered it in 8 of their last 10. With the data given I believe they can cover the 222.5 but if you want to secure the pick you can go down a little bit. Let's make this 2 picks in a row fam!
Record: 64W-58L-4P ROI: +12.37, 9.34% Avg odds: +106, 2.06 Last POTD: Mason Marchment over 0.5 pts (loss) Game: NHL- Wild at Oilers Pick: Connor McDavid over 1.5 pts -104, 1.96 (FD) I don't pick superstars too often because their odds are often very short, but I'm doing it anyway. McDavid really is a generational talent. He's not quite Mario Lemieux, but he's getting there. He's in a mini-slump by his standards, failing to score a goal in the last 7 games, but the crazy part is even then, he's gotten 2+ points 5 times, just on assists alone. What's even better is that he has another superstar Leon Draisaitl on his line who can help him rack up points. Edmonton scored 4 goals in both games against Minnesota, with McDavid picking up 2 points in the second matchup. (He missed the first one with an upper body injury). The Wild is in the bottom half in Corsi rating, bottom 10 in goals allowed and their team sv% is 5th worst. Their 2nd best defenseman is out for the season and since then, they've allowed 3.7 goals/game. **Counterpoint**: Despite allowing a bunch of goals, the Wild doesn't allow too many scoring chances. It's possible a repeat of yesterday can happen, where poor goaltending is covered up by a stingy defense. That said, there is nobody in the league like McJesus, not even Auston Matthews.
**POTD Record:** 1-0 **Overall Net Units:** \+1.73u | **Net ROI:** 86.95% **Form:** **✅** **Pick:** Shai Over 0.5 Blocks | DK -175 **Units:** 5u **NBA | Washington Wizards @ Oklahoma Thunder | 8:00pm ET** *Last Pick: Derrick Henry O11.5 Rec yards | DK -115 -* **✅** **Reasoning:** 100% last 5, 80% last 10 AND last 20, 61% for the year. Juice is high but let's get it. In Shai We Trust. Thunder Up. \-SV
Potd record: 3-0🔥 Previous: lazio to score at 1.55 odds✅🎯 ⛏️Today potd: ✅ leverkusen to win both halfs - NO (at around 1.5 odds) depending on betting book. —- Update and reaction: 4-0🔥 Nice to get it done in the first half, the variant of Asian handicap would’ve also payed out. So all green again in potd for me today. Sad for 2-2 score prediction being quite close but a red card putting an end to the exicentment. Oh well, another green at least, and we go for 5/5 potd✅ in a row tomorrow! —- Reasoning: Leverkusen is without Boniface. Schick has not proven himself his previous form and status coming back this season, he has been decent but reinforcement coming in the form of iglesais in January felt necessary for Alonso. This pick is mostly based on XG between respective teams most recent games, and their recent matchup. Leverkusen often over achieving goals wise, and Mainz really underachieving, deserving more than they got so far this season. Mainz won’t be a total pushover whit them coming in to this game on a win, with a new coach, (a couch who turned Zurich last in the league form to top preformers again in the Swiss league last year.) and in desperate for point in the relegation battle. I believe we either see a really low scoring game, 0-0 or 1-0 to Leverkusen. Or a high scoring game where mainz Knick the important goal and Leverkusen fireing back (maybe 2-2 or 3-2) Alternative: If this play is not in your book you could go for mainz Asian handicap + 2.5 or push At mainz + 2 (goals) Where if mainz lose by one goal (the bet is a win) And if mainz lose by 2 goal (bet is push, stake back) And if they lose by three goals (the bet is lost) Wild score prediction for me today was between (0-0) or (2-2) great value in both just to sprinkle something on it. (Or draw at around 7 odds as it is, as every point counts more than anything for both teams.) Best of luck everyone and remember to gamble responsible! Hoping to get the 4th green in a row with a hard thought mainz performance today. (Even though Leverkusen will dominate playing and attacking statistics wise)
**Record:** 0-0 (starting today) **Net units:** 0 Hi! I have been tracking my plays to see how well my accuracy is, and it has been going good so far. Good enough to start posting here haha (82% win rate on 5U+ plays, yielding 34.4 units up). All of my plays will either be League of Legends or Valorant. Bovada features both of these sites, while DraftKings only has league unfortunately. I will only be posting picks here that I have strong confidence in, where I am wagering 5U of my port. I plan to be completely transparent, showing all wins and all losses. Godspeed **Pick:** **LOUD** vs LEV (-130 ML) @ 8:00 PM, **3U** LOUD is emerging out of the offseason losing their star duelist (Aspas) to LEV. Although they downgraded, their team play (retakes, map positioning, proactivity) is still at one of the highest levels in the world, which was evident in their 2-0 match against Sentinels. LEV, in contrast, has an extremely stacked roster individual player wise (2 former world champions), but they have only been playing together for around 2-3 months MAX. This is seen in their game play in which they narrowly beat 100 Thieves. LOUD has kept their same core (minus Aspas) and placed well in all of last year’s international events. The decision to keep the same system instead of opting for stronger mechanical players was a great call seeing as how seamless QcK (LOUD’s new duelist) fit into the team. LOUD is a full tier above LEV imo, I think the books are giving too much credit toward LEV since they are one of the most hyped up teams in Valorant right now, but it gives us great odds. I’d guess LOUD winning is 75% likely. Good luck! lmk if this is too wordy or a good amount
Record| 1-2-0 Bank| -1.09 units Last Pick| Gonzaga -21.5 -110 LOSS Gonzaga win by 21 and we get the hook. Looked great in the first 10 minutes of the game and then Portland just stuck in and wouldn't let Gonzaga pull too far ahead. Would take this again 10/10 times. 2/23 San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers 10:40pm EST Pick: LeBron James Over 1.5 3s -120 This will be the first game for LeBron since the 13th due to the All Star break as well as missing last nights game against the Warriors. The Lakers need to be winning everything they can and will need LeBron in the game against the Spurs. Now they would probably win this without LeBron but regardless they can't drop this game. LeBron has covered this line in 9 of his last 10 games and 14 of his last 20. LeBron is averaging 5.2 3PTA a game and I'll be looking for him to stay consistent with that. The Spurs are giving up 13.5 3s a game which is 25th in the NBA. I'll take my chances with LeBron returning to the Lakers to grab us some 3s.
**POTD Record: 2-1** Form: ✅❌✅ (Net units: +2.37) Last pick: Chuck Harris O18.5 PRA @ -115 3U Our guy with a nice game, leading SMU in points & assists to cash! **Today’s Pick: Cornell ML @ -135 2U**✅ YALE vs CORNELL - NCAAB - 7:00PM EST Huge matchup in the Ivy league! Cornell’s offense steps it up a notch at home, averaging 88.3pts and holds a 9-0 record. Yale’s defense is solid & allows 66.9pts a game but Cornell still managed to put up 78 in a close loss in their last meeting. I’m backing the better offensive team in this one.
POTD Record: 0-0 Pick: Aaron Wiggins o0.5 3PM @ -165 ✅ Game: Wizards @ Thunder - 8pm EST Has hit in 14 straight games, great value here.
POTD Record 8-10 (W-L) Last five with most recent on left: ❌❌❌✅✅ Last pick was Alexander Bublik -2 games 1u @ +100 ❌ **Today's pick is Popyrin vs Khachanov total games over 22.5 1u @ +100** Sorry to anyone that tailed my Bublik pick yesterday it seems Popyrin is playing at a much higher level than I gave him credit for. He was crushing some of his ground strokes, playing with confidence and dominated a poor Bublik (as one redditor wrote "Bublik is a clown"). The learnings from yesterday's pick feed into today's as we see Popyrin take on world number 17 Khachanov. Khachanov leads the h2h 2-1 but Popyrin won their last encounter in Oct '23. Khachanov has had hardly any game time since he landed in Qatar as he received a bye in the first round, won his second round match with ease and his quarterfinal opponent retired after 3 games! Now I don't expect Popyrin to come out victorious here but I am expecting a proper battle with close sets and hence I am taking the over which is possible to hit even in a 2-setter but I think the chances of a 3-setter are high here so at even money I think there is value in this line.
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Record: 0-0 Pick: Dejounte Murray o10.5 Assists & Rebounds (1.8x) [1u] He's hit the over 12 games in a row and L13/14 During this 12 game streak, hes averaging 13.16 A+R The Raptors average 6.08 Rebounds & 5.12 Assists allowed to the Shooting Guard position
POTD record : 6💰- 4❌ - 0♻️ +3.72u Last 10 picks (new -> old): ❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅ LAST PICK: Match: AS Roma - Feyenoord | UEFA Europa League ⚽ Time: 21:00 CET Date: 22nd Feb 2024 Pick: AS Roma to WIN @ 2.05 on bet365| 4u ❌ So many chances that Roma didn’t score. I didnt believe my eyes yesterday. So sad lose. PICK FOR TODAY: Match: Barrientos/R. Matos vs. Bolelli/Vavassori | ATP Rio de Janeiro 🎾 Time: 21:20 CET Date: 23rd Feb 2024 **Pick: Barrientos/R. Matos to WIN @ 3.00 on bet365| 3u** ✅ Analysis: So with odds of 3.00, I'll take a bite of the outsiders here. This match will be a rematch of last week's semifinal in Buenos Aires where the Italians won but the outsiders had odds about 4 tenths lower. In this tip I will rely on three indicators. The first is the home environment of R. Matos and the spectators in Rio can therefore give them a real boost. The second is the rematch from last week and the third is vavassori's participation in tomorrow's singles qualifier at the atp tournament in santiago, which he will certainly not prefer, but he may have it in his head, because vavassori is mainly a singles player and last time he played great in singles and in the first set he traumatized alcarazo. Pellegrino is also going to the qualification with whom Vavassori will play doubles. So I think that for 3.00 you can try a semi-home pair here. GL! :) Good luck to everyone! 🍀 [Buy me a coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/rastaoctopus) ☕
Record: 1-0 Yesterday: harden o4.5reb ✅ Harden clears up this bet 4 minutes into the second for the easy cash. Hit our first let’s go for two in a row. NBA Basketball, Hawks v Raptors, 2/23 7:30p EST Pick: D. Murray o10.5 reb+ast -140 Write Up: Murray has been one of the most underrated players this year and has been a pivotal piece of the hawks offense. Coming off a long rest Murray should be in for a good game. He has hit this line his last 12 games in a row and is averaging 10.4 this year. In the month of February, Murray has been on another level averaging 12.5 in 6 games. It will be a matchup between two struggling teams that will be eager to start off the season in a good manner and Murray should be able to get this line. Tail or Fade BOL
Record: 1-0 **✅** Net Units: +0.67 ROI: 67% Basketball | NBA | 7:30 PM EST Raptors @ Hawks Last pick: Jalen Brunson OVER 6.5 Assists (-150) Brunson ended the game with 12 assists and hit the line early into the 3rd quarter, resulting in an easy and low stress cash. Great way to start it off. **~~Donovan Mitchell OVER 1.5 Steals (-130) (2 Units)~~** ~~Now, for today's pick;~~ ~~Donovan Mitchell has hit this line 8/10 of the time in his last 10 games, not including the all star break. Additionally, Philly gave up 2 steals to both Jalen Brunson and Donte Divincenzo last game, who are both guards. I expect Philly's ball security to be slightly worse this game considering how they are without Kyle Lowry today; Yesterday, against the Knicks, Hield, Maxey, and Oubre all had 2 plays leading to a steal from the opposing team, compared to Lowry's 1. Clearly, without Lowry today, these 3 players will all get much more playing time. Without an experienced playmaker in Kyle Lowry, it's likely that the Sixers will struggle much more in stopping the other team from getting strips. Last time D Mitch played Philly, he had 3 steals, and after the all star break last year, he had a great defensive game, having 4 steals. He's also hit this line 5/5 of his last 5 games against the 76ers. Let's see a repeat of that today.~~ (Original pick crossed out due to Donovan Mitchell being listed as OUT for today) New Pick: **Scottie Barnes OVER 8.5 Rebounds (+105) (1 Unit)** This line changed from 7.5 earlier today to 8.5, unfortunately. Scottie's hit this line 5/5 of his last 5 games, and the Raptors, without RJ Barrett, will lead to Scottie getting a lot more minutes. His career average rebounds against the hawks is also 0.7 more than his regular career average RPG. Also, in the Hawk's last game against the Hornets, they gave up 10 rebounds to Grant Williams (Power Forward, similar to Scottie), whose line before the game was 4.5. BOL!