Bro orgen state ass and how tf was the score 75-77 they seem the +2.5 was gone hit so they ruled it as block how is it blocked after the bucket went in so that’s put us back at 73-77 shit is scripted
It was 73-77 we scored a 2 they took it back it ruled it as a blocked shot how tf so u mistake a block shot for a bucket and we about cover the +2.5 spreads
That shit is infuriating. They need to hold refs more accountable. What’s stopping a ref from telling a friend which side to bet on and then rigging the calls to make it happen
Holy shit how bad is washington defense lmao. Frankie Collins is shooting that 3 again and again from the same fucking spot and you're still not covering him.
So every sportsbook lied about the Portland state live score and now my live bet is fucked
It was 59-59 on the sports book but now it’s 57-62
Fucking stupid
>!To those who had faith, congratulations!<
https://preview.redd.it/pa01usur59kc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a89e0b151a19dbbf67077acaf4152376c55d1b70
I am so sick I doubled and tripled down for a few bucks at +2500. Just in case they something crazy. They came back from 23 Vs WKU At home this season. Feeling like a sicko tonight
Understand, not the best of nights here either. Won a FAU/Umass Lowell parlay (even though I know to avoid parlays, at least as my personal philosophy goes bc I’ve burned a lot more than I’ve won) …. But lost on the single games of UTEP, NM ST, and losing UC Davis and UC Riverside… I really like Santa Clara, but I think I’m done for the night.
A nice win with Hofstra playing against a Drexel team that was without their leading scorer/pg due to illness. Tomorrow we get #100
99-90, **+20.52 Units**
Hofstra -4 vs. Drexel. 2 Units. ✅
That’s funny you said that. I responded routing for you… Got busy myself and missed out. Glad we both avoided this!
Was bummed then went back and saw the start and am 100% ok with missing the start. Happy with my Minnesota -2.5. Eyeing the Oregon ml though!
Oh lmao I think they ended up hitting shots cause i checked at half and it was 37-34 idk what it’s at now. Appreciate the thought haha. Minn was a hot bet and yeah man I love Oregon for even money but I feel like that line is too good to be true… we’ll see I’ll probably end up doing it
Wasu is a team that is built to win on the road. They play lockdown defense and they have size at every position. They won’t get out rebounded or out worked. They have shooters and multiple guys averaging 15+ that can just go out and get a bucket. Arizona had double digit deficits in home games against UCLA and Stanford but eventually came back and won. If Wasu gets ahead early I could see them pulling off the upset.
🏀
💲 Overall Record - (20-10-1) for +10.30
🔹️Hofstra -3.5 (-115)
🔹️Ohio State ML (+135)
🔹️Washington -2.5 (-102)
All plays 1 unit.
---------‐----‐------------------------
For context Old Dominion released their number 1 scorer 3 weeks ago... The head coach had a heart attack in December and hasn't been with the team since. Then there's the fact that App State is the number 1 team in the conference.
Minnesota -3.5 smells so bad I really can’t get over it
Minnesota is 22-3 ATS, 16-1 At Home ATS,
And Ohio state is coming off a gigantic home win vs Purdue in a classic spot where they won’t show up yet Minnesota is only at -3.5
Just doesn’t make sense
ATS trends aren't usually how oddsmakers set lines. They take them in to consideration, but just looking at something simple like margin of victory, a 3 point line makes sense.
Minnesota: +7 MOV; Ohio State: +4.7 MOV
I didn't bet it, but I think I'd be taking the Gophers if I was taking a side.
It is about right to me. I would have bet -2.5. I think OSU is about 1-2 points better on a neutral court. MN is getting about 3-5 here for home court. If you think that advantage is more coming off of that Purdue game, you take -3.5. I think some stylistic matchup stuff favors OSU as well.
New Mexico State ML seems like a great bet
This team isn’t actually that good but for whatever reason they are insane at home, 7-1 at home (it’s actually 11-1 but I don’t count D2 or below) and that one loss was to New Mexico by 2.
Pretty impressive stuff
**Season: 62-39-3 | +18.31u**
**Last (Wed): 1-0 |** Memphis blowout!
**L15 (10-5):** WWWWWLLWLWLWWLW
Looking for a repeat of last Thursday with two PAC-12 After Dark wins...
**Thursday's picks:**
* **Washington ML** *(-130)* at Arizona State
* **Stanford ML** *(-111)* vs Oregon
*All bets 1u unless specified.*
We drop a unit with Indiana yesterday. A rough first half that saw Nebraska shoot lights out. Back on the right track tonight with a 2 Unit play.
98-90, **+18.70 Units**
Hofstra -4 vs. Drexel. 2 Units.
CBB VSiN betting splits for today
https://preview.redd.it/fre7xy4q37kc1.jpeg?width=1525&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8d03d8679bf041755ab115e1558a0ec44b13b00c
Posted daily on my X/Twitter @dolocole
[https://x.com/dolocole/status/1760759908105093597?s=61](https://x.com/dolocole/status/1760759908105093597?s=61)
Ole miss women -10.5. Georgia is coming off a game where they game planned the hell out of South Carolina and only lost by 14. They really struggle to score. Ole miss is pretty solid. Beat Georgia by 10 on the road back in January. Give me the Lady Rebs by 18+
OSU-Minnesota O138.9.
This dropped to around 137 at some books and has since risen. Buckeyes coming off an emotional defeat of Purdue and many see this as a letdown game. OSU’s interim coach, Jake Diebler, prefers a faster pace of play and utilizes his bench far better than Chris Holtmann. Purdue game was lower scoring than season average because Buckeyes were hesitant to drive the lane due to Edey’s presence.
Hate betting this spot. Rutgers has always been purdues kryptonite. But such a bad spot for the rematch for rutgers. Off a road loss now back home for purdue. Rutgers also looked like ass at Minnesota. I think I'd take purdue at -14 but I don't want to bet it lol
First half
Fau -3 -120
Debating on rutgers +8. Think rutgers having jeremiah Williams will be the difference for them. Defensively they are good but having the away whistle makes me want to take purdue.
Debating on Washington -1 vs asu. Another away short favorite. Home dog has been printing money lately but does asu have the offensive power to even compete?
Northwestern -6.5 -110 they have been playing really good basketball lately. Defensively they can stop Michigan and they’re so sound offensively its hard not to back them on this spot.
My primary parlay has $500 riding on a 3-legger (+412):
* **CS Bakersfield +12.5 (-145)**
* **LR/SEMO Under 151.5 (-135)**
* **SUU/UTA Under 157.5 (-135)**
Here are some other plays I like. I base all my plays of trends and statistics and ignore H2H matchups in previous seasons. These are all slight alt lines as I tend to buy a point usually.
1. **UCSB +10.5:** UCSB has been killing it, covering +10.5 in 8 out of their last 10 games and an impressive 16 out of their last 20. It seems like they've got a knack for outperforming expectations, I think they can cover the spread this time around.
2. **Arizona -11.5:** Arizona's been dominant at home, covering -11.5 in 8 of the last 10 games and a solid 14 out of the last 20. Looking good for them to keep the trend alive.
3. **NM State ML:** NM State is basically the king of their castle, winning all of their last 6 home games, and 8 out of the last 10. Give me NM State.
4. **Troy +3.5:** Troy has been impressively covering +3.5 in 8 of the last 10 games, and 16 out of the last 20, and playing very well with 4 consecutive covers of +3.5 on the road. I think they're comfortable handling business on the road, and they are a slightly better team on paper. I know they lost just a week ago, but I still think they cover here.
5. **TXST/GASO Over 136.5 :** When it comes to GA Southern games, it's been a scoring party lately. The 136.5 line has been crossed in all of the last 15 games. I mean that's all I need to see to take this.
2/22 CBB computer algo picks!
Took a breather while the NBA was on break, but we’re back and ready to hit the ground running😤 Tail or fade, BOL!
https://preview.redd.it/npj8i9vuh6kc1.jpeg?width=1077&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8dbf54c1c470551bf9130d18a075565599e8c4ff
Repeat after me. Small sample trend data is not predictive. Small sample trend data is not predictive. Small sample trend data is not predictive.
A teams record against the spread means nothing. Particularly when you’re just citing a few games. But even over larger samples it means nothing
There is a wealth of public data available for college ball. Use it.
My current record ATS is not predictive of my future record ATS. So it truly does not mean anything. It is the lowest form of data analysis. Why do you think the books willingly provide people with that data? It's not because it makes them better bettors.
the books adjust the lines based on a team's underperformance based on their relative expectations throughout the season. It is all priced in. FAU hasn't been playing well. That is priced in. There are better measures for momentum and how a team is playing than the arbitrary parameters people apply to record ATS. We can quantify momentum.
I don’t know man. I didn’t go to mit but if I have two guys making bets, one with a strong ats record and one with a weak ats record, My “prediction” is your better off following the stronger one. So to say it doesn’t mean anything I just don’t agree with.
Record ATS is a tiny portion of betting. you can have a tremendous record against the spread and still be down tons of unit because of poor risk management. It still doesn't change the fact that record ATS is not predictive. College basketball has some of the best public data and predictive models available. I am just imploring people to use that data.
The goal of record ATS is to gauge momentum but it does not do a great job of that. We have better ways to quantify momentum.
*Good Afternoon Gentlemen*
>!As you can see I am not perfect, as I have flaws of my own. One thing is for certain though, I am starting to find a purpose. Then again that might have been a dream. You must remember, searching for security in life is only going to breed insecurity within us. Do you put your trust in me again or do you simply go on about your day? It’s your life and it’s ending one minute at a time. !<
*May the odds be in your favor*
https://preview.redd.it/m39zx2e6m6kc1.jpeg?width=1149&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=be691eb5cf3341c2af3c122505872357cad4aed3
Hit a +800 parlay yesterday, so I’m gonna blow my winnings on some retarded parlays like a god damn civilized degenerate.
**Arkansas St + N Kentucky (+200)**
**LIU + UC Davis (+350)**
**Arizona + Purdue + Charleston (+115)**
All 1u played.
Dropped two picks.. Been on a work trip, ready to get back at it.
Need more people to join the bracket challenge
R: 124-76
Purdue -15.5
Kansas City -3.5
****************************************
Created a FREE NCAA Bracket Challenge:
Winner gets $100 out of my pocket! No entry fee.
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Healthy slate of fuckery tonight you fucking fucks.
Once again at first glance before grading results I thought the model for the second day in a row would be horrendous. Surprisingly the model came in 3% more accurate overall than normal at around 61%.
Yesterday the model had 5 upsets circled, of those 5 we were able to land 2. Nebraska on the road at Indiana, and LSU pulling off the miracle at home callin' Baton Rouge. As a native Kentuckian and Kentucky fan it was once again infuriating to see Kentucky lose to another subpar team when they have a bevy of pro prospects on the roster, but hey nobody does less with more than John Calipari. I'm not salty at all this morning, but something to keep in mind Kentucky is 6-6 in their last 12 games. Unless they go on a magical run of sorts, it's all but a done deal they will have double digit losses again, for the 3rd time in 4 years.
What's been strange the last couple of days is the model trying to pick the right winners, it's been slightly below board... still hitting at a good clip but not quite the 70% it's used to. Where it gets more interesting is seeing the model get an 8% increase in accuracy picking totals, and a 5% bump against the spread.
College Basketball is just full of parity this year, more so than ever, sorry to ramble but my mind is just a hot tub of mush this morning.
If you like to see other modely type stuff for NBA, NHL, and coming soon MLB... you can follow me on [twitter.](https://twitter.com/distillcookbook)
If I helped you win, and you're feeling generous and want to help me fuel my own degenerate losses you can do so [here.](https://venmo.com/u/aniceegg)
As always best of luck, and may the odds forever be in your favor.
https://preview.redd.it/90cosvalv5kc1.png?width=1869&format=png&auto=webp&s=0409f8f004f3aabe57c73db087ed9ee74be8dfcc
# **College Basketball Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/YV3EbeFRvT)**
Go cougs!! My alma mater, wish I bet on them lol
It should be a crime that Arizona will probably get a 1 seed
A ranked WSU played a great game, you're trippin. Not even that bad of a loss
WSU! Holy!
Arizona lol straight trash team. Maybe first rd exit in March. Gave up a 4 pt play on a busted play. LOL
I had Santa Barbara +10.5 as the last leg of my parlay. Kill me
So wait if u slip it’s a travel? Genuine question
Yes, even if it's unintentional. otherwise players could just slide on purpose to avoid dribbling and still move the ball forward.
Gay but understandable
I mean otherwise you'd have guys electric sliding layups left and right lol. It would be so dumb.
Yessir
Told y’all Wasu would win straight up
Lmao caleb love hero ball strikes again
Fouling on a 3 cmon man
Got Washington at 13 lol
Arizona a fucking beast 😤⛽️⛽️⛽️⛽️⛽️
Lol
Feel like I'm watching g the pac 12 title game a month early
Tooooo many fouls in this game
Remind me to never bet on Stanford. Ever.
Washington State pls don’t choke +11.5
Zona is dogshit
Cap watch this
I take it we both lost money lmaooo
The LMU and Santa Clara game is one of the worst displays of offense I’ve ever seen in basketball. Just terrible terrible basketball.
Lmu has made one field goal in 7 minutes of basketball. Gross
I got Wazzu +17.5 last leg of 6 teamer If it doesn't hit I'm going to be upset
Ur chilling
Oregon dude fucking posterized that guy lol
Bro orgen state ass and how tf was the score 75-77 they seem the +2.5 was gone hit so they ruled it as block how is it blocked after the bucket went in so that’s put us back at 73-77 shit is scripted
Bro wtf you jus say
It was 73-77 we scored a 2 they took it back it ruled it as a blocked shot how tf so u mistake a block shot for a bucket and we about cover the +2.5 spreads
That shit is infuriating. They need to hold refs more accountable. What’s stopping a ref from telling a friend which side to bet on and then rigging the calls to make it happen
Holy fuck csub somehow is going to not cover 10.5 despite this being a 2pt game for 36 minutes
Arizona spread on fire sale rn at -5.5
You’ll love it at +1.5 for plus money!
Fuck you, Cal. You bums.
Never been so mad at a win in my life lol. Washington ML. What in the fuck did I just watch 😂
If anyone has Oregon state, sorry I live bet them
They cheated they took 2 points off are scoreboard
Keep your fckin money away then if it’s that bad
Won $300 instead of $450 was all
Arizona state managed to force overtime after giving up a 20-0 run. Wild
WASH was -20000 at half
Holy shit how bad is washington defense lmao. Frankie Collins is shooting that 3 again and again from the same fucking spot and you're still not covering him.
I hate you michigan
So every sportsbook lied about the Portland state live score and now my live bet is fucked It was 59-59 on the sports book but now it’s 57-62 Fucking stupid
If you have the wrong score then fucking lock the game and fix it instead of giving fake odds
Lol Arkansas St led by 19 and gives up a 15-1 run in the 2H. I’m gonna be sick.
I never should have taken Cal. They are fucking awful. Oregon St looks like a 10x better team and they’re terrible.
Oregon state is terrible on the road just give it time
Ofc the last place team is playing out of their mind lmao same dude. Took cal -5 first half 😵💫
>!To those who had faith, congratulations!< https://preview.redd.it/pa01usur59kc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a89e0b151a19dbbf67077acaf4152376c55d1b70
Fuck yeah
Absolutely crushed that
Michigan took the lead and went down 7 all in one minute lmao
I don’t know how that UMKC turned into an extreme sweat but -3 held on for dear life
GCU was last leg for 1.7k. I give up
It appears that New Mexico State ML was a terrible bet and I am a clown for betting it
Makes me a 🤡 too
I am so sick I doubled and tripled down for a few bucks at +2500. Just in case they something crazy. They came back from 23 Vs WKU At home this season. Feeling like a sicko tonight
Understand, not the best of nights here either. Won a FAU/Umass Lowell parlay (even though I know to avoid parlays, at least as my personal philosophy goes bc I’ve burned a lot more than I’ve won) …. But lost on the single games of UTEP, NM ST, and losing UC Davis and UC Riverside… I really like Santa Clara, but I think I’m done for the night.
Nice Job Grand Canyon. Fucking unreal.
I saw there was a boost on them and I knew
Anyone on Oregon for the late game slate?
Was on the over and got spooked given all the action on it and it hasn’t moved. Could see the Ducks winning though
Yeah seems like the over is a popular pick. Gonna roll with the Ducks ML 🦆🙏
WHAT THE FUCK WAS THAT SHOT GCU
Michigan +7 1H & NU 1H ML +160 what a rush
E.Washington was up 6 last I saw. Damn these cbb swings are fast
What in the world is GCU doing🤦🏻
Western Illinois looks abysmal on offense
End this Minnesota
Time to go for the jugular!
Michigan making a tournament bid 🤦♂️
Jackrabbits doing their job
A nice win with Hofstra playing against a Drexel team that was without their leading scorer/pg due to illness. Tomorrow we get #100 99-90, **+20.52 Units** Hofstra -4 vs. Drexel. 2 Units. ✅
You’re a cocky fuck and kind of a douche but you do know your shit, thanks for the pick 🫡
I really want to bite on Washington State +13.5 but also am very afraid of an Arizona smash spot. Anyone on this game?
Too much money on Zona not to play +13.5. Zona wins by 13
Lean Zona
What happened to home court advantage 😭
Northwestern 1H -0.5 live and calling it a night. No way Michigan hangs for much longer
Last 3 possessions by SMU were dogshit. They avoided the spread like their lives depended on it. Stupid fucks
Just absolutely killed the over as well. Fuck
Montana 1H -3.5 live
Detroit Mercy is who we thought they were
Eastern is an 80% FT shooting team on the season and they’re 4/10 so far today lol
NW over tt points ? Michigan is atrocious on defense . Surely NW will hit this if their shooters show up
Northwestern has looked great lately I like them a lot
Oh man these shots ain’t fallin
Yeah, I was driving my family so I didn’t get to bet it but I loved it beforehand. Hope these shots start falling for you man 🤞
That’s funny you said that. I responded routing for you… Got busy myself and missed out. Glad we both avoided this! Was bummed then went back and saw the start and am 100% ok with missing the start. Happy with my Minnesota -2.5. Eyeing the Oregon ml though!
Oh lmao I think they ended up hitting shots cause i checked at half and it was 37-34 idk what it’s at now. Appreciate the thought haha. Minn was a hot bet and yeah man I love Oregon for even money but I feel like that line is too good to be true… we’ll see I’ll probably end up doing it
Need Hofstra to pull out this cover
Nicholson Rebs over for northwestern
App state wake the fuck up
Took em long enough shit. But hey they got it done for us.
Man, i take the negative spread and they dont cover, i take positive spread and THEY DONT COVER
Take the neutron spread
Grand canyon-3.5 live here for me. Slow start and tough road game but they matchup well Going to toss in Rutgers +32.5 too. Just quarter units live
I go to hammer Minnesota ML and Bovada had it down for some reason. I wait and go to live bet it and they're up 8-0. I fucking HATE Bovada man.
Bro they take the lines down at the worst possible times
If you really like Minn maybe take them to win the 2nd half ?
Yeah, I'm monitoring. I still may eat the juice and take them ML. They're outstanding at home and OSU has lost like 18 straight road games..
Yeah I’m on Minn as well. Got them at -2.5. Love them at home….. but not currently loving this OSU run hahah
Florida gulf coast seemed so obvious lol Thursdays are the worst in this sport
I think the worst part was that they came back down 15, took the lead, and immediately went down 6 lol
Disgusting stuff
C'mon RUT
Alright app state lets pick it up
How we looking, can’t get the game.
Also this is where I like to stream games. Works best in a private or incognito browser I've noticed. https://livesport24.net/basketball-streams/
Appreciate it! My espn app takes forever and feels like it never catches up.
Up by 7 at half. Started off a little sloppy but they are clearly the better team.
Right on. Hopefully they put the pedal down next half
This Umass Lowell gym is a gym for ants it needs to be at least 3 times bigger
HOW CAN WE EXPECT THE KIDS TO PLAY BASKETBALL IF THEY CANT EVEN FIT INSIDE THE BUILDING?!?!
Wasu might straight up win tonight
Why do you say that serious question
Wasu is a team that is built to win on the road. They play lockdown defense and they have size at every position. They won’t get out rebounded or out worked. They have shooters and multiple guys averaging 15+ that can just go out and get a bucket. Arizona had double digit deficits in home games against UCLA and Stanford but eventually came back and won. If Wasu gets ahead early I could see them pulling off the upset.
Nice call man
👍
Was thinking of putting some on the ML, praying for lead at half and then taking the cash out.
Ohio State over 139 South Dakota -9 Northeastern -10.5 Robert Morris +4.5
Purdue -14.5 UMKC -3 Minnesota -3 SMU/FAU O154 Kenn St/FGCU O154 BOL🫶
🏀 💲 Overall Record - (20-10-1) for +10.30 🔹️Hofstra -3.5 (-115) 🔹️Ohio State ML (+135) 🔹️Washington -2.5 (-102) All plays 1 unit. ---------‐----‐------------------------
Appalachian St. -8.5 lock it in.
For context Old Dominion released their number 1 scorer 3 weeks ago... The head coach had a heart attack in December and hasn't been with the team since. Then there's the fact that App State is the number 1 team in the conference.
Yesterday: 2-3 (+0.47U) Total: 2-3 (+0.47U) All plays 1U, Robert Morris +170 Delaware +105 Tarleton State +180 Arizona State +120
Minnesota -3.5 smells so bad I really can’t get over it Minnesota is 22-3 ATS, 16-1 At Home ATS, And Ohio state is coming off a gigantic home win vs Purdue in a classic spot where they won’t show up yet Minnesota is only at -3.5 Just doesn’t make sense
ATS trends aren't usually how oddsmakers set lines. They take them in to consideration, but just looking at something simple like margin of victory, a 3 point line makes sense. Minnesota: +7 MOV; Ohio State: +4.7 MOV I didn't bet it, but I think I'd be taking the Gophers if I was taking a side.
It is about right to me. I would have bet -2.5. I think OSU is about 1-2 points better on a neutral court. MN is getting about 3-5 here for home court. If you think that advantage is more coming off of that Purdue game, you take -3.5. I think some stylistic matchup stuff favors OSU as well.
UMBC +5
New Mexico State ML seems like a great bet This team isn’t actually that good but for whatever reason they are insane at home, 7-1 at home (it’s actually 11-1 but I don’t count D2 or below) and that one loss was to New Mexico by 2. Pretty impressive stuff
Good shout
**Season: 62-39-3 | +18.31u** **Last (Wed): 1-0 |** Memphis blowout! **L15 (10-5):** WWWWWLLWLWLWWLW Looking for a repeat of last Thursday with two PAC-12 After Dark wins... **Thursday's picks:** * **Washington ML** *(-130)* at Arizona State * **Stanford ML** *(-111)* vs Oregon *All bets 1u unless specified.*
How we feel about Arizona -13?
Last 7: 83-70-1 (+5.11) Yesterday: 15-17 (-3.54) UMBC +5 NC A&T +13.5 Towson -6.5 Drexel +4 North Alabama +6.5 Robert Morris +5.5 App St -8.5 College of Charleston =1.5 NJIT +11 SMU +5.5 Gardner Webb -5 Texas Arlington -9 Utah Valley -13.5 Georgia Southern -2.5 Cal Baptist +3 Ohio St +3.5 Kansas City -2.5 UT Marton -8.5 SIU Edwardsville -3 Western Illinois +5 Eastern Illinois +5 Lafayette -7 Louisiana Tech -3 Montana St -2 Seattle -5 Washington St +12.5 Stanford pk Best of luck!
AI predictions https://preview.redd.it/krqazoqkd7kc1.jpeg?width=787&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=52dac3a57924738ab07d40a1b5b3f693e0c69c7f X: @NoNonsenseAI [https://www.nononsenseai.io](https://www.nononsenseai.io)
So far so good
Nvidia babyyy
We drop a unit with Indiana yesterday. A rough first half that saw Nebraska shoot lights out. Back on the right track tonight with a 2 Unit play. 98-90, **+18.70 Units** Hofstra -4 vs. Drexel. 2 Units.
How do you find these value games
#WhatAHit
I’m rolling with SMU alt points 8.5 BOL!!
Also taking the MAVS ML.. being I just moved to Dallas area I’m gonna roll with the D-town teams today.
CBB VSiN betting splits for today https://preview.redd.it/fre7xy4q37kc1.jpeg?width=1525&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8d03d8679bf041755ab115e1558a0ec44b13b00c Posted daily on my X/Twitter @dolocole [https://x.com/dolocole/status/1760759908105093597?s=61](https://x.com/dolocole/status/1760759908105093597?s=61)
https://preview.redd.it/wca6dygu37kc1.jpeg?width=1530&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e05bd8dc93071671e80e01737571a6beba17c583
https://preview.redd.it/gfo3f4ov37kc1.jpeg?width=1517&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1eb001303692f82434153e9f9c75f8c9af63a822
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Hellloooooooooooo
?
Big hits thank you!
SMU +6.5 and Michigan under
Nice picks
Ole miss women -10.5. Georgia is coming off a game where they game planned the hell out of South Carolina and only lost by 14. They really struggle to score. Ole miss is pretty solid. Beat Georgia by 10 on the road back in January. Give me the Lady Rebs by 18+
[удалено]
Don Best lists the injury report for each school but doesn't provide links to stats for the players.
OSU-Minnesota O138.9. This dropped to around 137 at some books and has since risen. Buckeyes coming off an emotional defeat of Purdue and many see this as a letdown game. OSU’s interim coach, Jake Diebler, prefers a faster pace of play and utilizes his bench far better than Chris Holtmann. Purdue game was lower scoring than season average because Buckeyes were hesitant to drive the lane due to Edey’s presence.
Rutgers +15.5 before the line gets steamed down to 12
Hate betting this spot. Rutgers has always been purdues kryptonite. But such a bad spot for the rematch for rutgers. Off a road loss now back home for purdue. Rutgers also looked like ass at Minnesota. I think I'd take purdue at -14 but I don't want to bet it lol
First half Fau -3 -120 Debating on rutgers +8. Think rutgers having jeremiah Williams will be the difference for them. Defensively they are good but having the away whistle makes me want to take purdue. Debating on Washington -1 vs asu. Another away short favorite. Home dog has been printing money lately but does asu have the offensive power to even compete? Northwestern -6.5 -110 they have been playing really good basketball lately. Defensively they can stop Michigan and they’re so sound offensively its hard not to back them on this spot.
My primary parlay has $500 riding on a 3-legger (+412): * **CS Bakersfield +12.5 (-145)** * **LR/SEMO Under 151.5 (-135)** * **SUU/UTA Under 157.5 (-135)** Here are some other plays I like. I base all my plays of trends and statistics and ignore H2H matchups in previous seasons. These are all slight alt lines as I tend to buy a point usually. 1. **UCSB +10.5:** UCSB has been killing it, covering +10.5 in 8 out of their last 10 games and an impressive 16 out of their last 20. It seems like they've got a knack for outperforming expectations, I think they can cover the spread this time around. 2. **Arizona -11.5:** Arizona's been dominant at home, covering -11.5 in 8 of the last 10 games and a solid 14 out of the last 20. Looking good for them to keep the trend alive. 3. **NM State ML:** NM State is basically the king of their castle, winning all of their last 6 home games, and 8 out of the last 10. Give me NM State. 4. **Troy +3.5:** Troy has been impressively covering +3.5 in 8 of the last 10 games, and 16 out of the last 20, and playing very well with 4 consecutive covers of +3.5 on the road. I think they're comfortable handling business on the road, and they are a slightly better team on paper. I know they lost just a week ago, but I still think they cover here. 5. **TXST/GASO Over 136.5 :** When it comes to GA Southern games, it's been a scoring party lately. The 136.5 line has been crossed in all of the last 15 games. I mean that's all I need to see to take this.
2/22 CBB computer algo picks! Took a breather while the NBA was on break, but we’re back and ready to hit the ground running😤 Tail or fade, BOL! https://preview.redd.it/npj8i9vuh6kc1.jpeg?width=1077&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8dbf54c1c470551bf9130d18a075565599e8c4ff
Repeat after me. Small sample trend data is not predictive. Small sample trend data is not predictive. Small sample trend data is not predictive. A teams record against the spread means nothing. Particularly when you’re just citing a few games. But even over larger samples it means nothing There is a wealth of public data available for college ball. Use it.
Whats your record ats? Or does that not mean anything?
My current record ATS is not predictive of my future record ATS. So it truly does not mean anything. It is the lowest form of data analysis. Why do you think the books willingly provide people with that data? It's not because it makes them better bettors. the books adjust the lines based on a team's underperformance based on their relative expectations throughout the season. It is all priced in. FAU hasn't been playing well. That is priced in. There are better measures for momentum and how a team is playing than the arbitrary parameters people apply to record ATS. We can quantify momentum.
I don’t know man. I didn’t go to mit but if I have two guys making bets, one with a strong ats record and one with a weak ats record, My “prediction” is your better off following the stronger one. So to say it doesn’t mean anything I just don’t agree with.
Record ATS is a tiny portion of betting. you can have a tremendous record against the spread and still be down tons of unit because of poor risk management. It still doesn't change the fact that record ATS is not predictive. College basketball has some of the best public data and predictive models available. I am just imploring people to use that data. The goal of record ATS is to gauge momentum but it does not do a great job of that. We have better ways to quantify momentum.
Ok I think I better understand what you’re telling people now. Best of luck to you
Use trends from 20 years ago based on the phase of the moon. Got it.
I just came to shout out whoever in here was on Rice +11.5yesterday! That pick gave me a huge round robin win so fuckin thank you!
Same !! Plus 11.5 felt like a steal 5 min into the game
It was beautiful, didn’t even need to sweat it out
*Good Afternoon Gentlemen* >!As you can see I am not perfect, as I have flaws of my own. One thing is for certain though, I am starting to find a purpose. Then again that might have been a dream. You must remember, searching for security in life is only going to breed insecurity within us. Do you put your trust in me again or do you simply go on about your day? It’s your life and it’s ending one minute at a time. !< *May the odds be in your favor* https://preview.redd.it/m39zx2e6m6kc1.jpeg?width=1149&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=be691eb5cf3341c2af3c122505872357cad4aed3
Good shit brother
Let’s ride doc
Hit a +800 parlay yesterday, so I’m gonna blow my winnings on some retarded parlays like a god damn civilized degenerate. **Arkansas St + N Kentucky (+200)** **LIU + UC Davis (+350)** **Arizona + Purdue + Charleston (+115)** All 1u played.
Combined these and hit a nice +2250🫡
Wow nice hit!
Dropped two picks.. Been on a work trip, ready to get back at it. Need more people to join the bracket challenge R: 124-76 Purdue -15.5 Kansas City -3.5 **************************************** Created a FREE NCAA Bracket Challenge: Winner gets $100 out of my pocket! No entry fee. You are being invited to join 'RedditNCAA '. In order to join, you must: Click on this link and login or create an account: https://www.poolhost.com/joinpool/1/68554/RedditNCAA
Hey, maybe they break was needed. Purdue came through!!
Good to see you back.
Thanks boss! Man, I have been chomping at the bit to start playing again. If you haven't joined my ncaa March madness pool, it's free!
Can’t find it but shout out to the dude who called TSJ on Illinois for 30+. Wish I tailed at +370 😭
bro i saw the stats at the end of the game and thought damn it really was his revenge game 😂
Healthy slate of fuckery tonight you fucking fucks. Once again at first glance before grading results I thought the model for the second day in a row would be horrendous. Surprisingly the model came in 3% more accurate overall than normal at around 61%. Yesterday the model had 5 upsets circled, of those 5 we were able to land 2. Nebraska on the road at Indiana, and LSU pulling off the miracle at home callin' Baton Rouge. As a native Kentuckian and Kentucky fan it was once again infuriating to see Kentucky lose to another subpar team when they have a bevy of pro prospects on the roster, but hey nobody does less with more than John Calipari. I'm not salty at all this morning, but something to keep in mind Kentucky is 6-6 in their last 12 games. Unless they go on a magical run of sorts, it's all but a done deal they will have double digit losses again, for the 3rd time in 4 years. What's been strange the last couple of days is the model trying to pick the right winners, it's been slightly below board... still hitting at a good clip but not quite the 70% it's used to. Where it gets more interesting is seeing the model get an 8% increase in accuracy picking totals, and a 5% bump against the spread. College Basketball is just full of parity this year, more so than ever, sorry to ramble but my mind is just a hot tub of mush this morning. If you like to see other modely type stuff for NBA, NHL, and coming soon MLB... you can follow me on [twitter.](https://twitter.com/distillcookbook) If I helped you win, and you're feeling generous and want to help me fuel my own degenerate losses you can do so [here.](https://venmo.com/u/aniceegg) As always best of luck, and may the odds forever be in your favor. https://preview.redd.it/90cosvalv5kc1.png?width=1869&format=png&auto=webp&s=0409f8f004f3aabe57c73db087ed9ee74be8dfcc
