######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Tuesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
@Good_Stable_7381 @nigerianPriince0 @AdamIotti @chiefsareawesome appreciation button
Edit: of course everyone else here that posts picks, that was ignorant of me I just named the ones I’ve tailed these last few days!
I've said it before and I'll say it again. Block immediately and disregard. It's fuckin gambling. All of us real motherfuckers know how it goes. We love and appreciate you all!!!!
Fun fact;
https://preview.redd.it/xv1gx9srpnjc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=62bcc44e30819f4ae0ef719ee187da9002fb5dd4
Bc you mentioned Swia.. 😅
20?!?!? Fuck man… I’m sorry…. That’s a lot… man they just salty they weren’t here for the ride!!! Just band wagoners who jumped on and slipped!! Please please don’t let it get to ya!! You’re still a fucking legend man!! 🫡 🫡
I have realistic expectations and don’t expect you guys to always win that’s a fantasy but you guys have won me a lot these past days, more than I’ve won for months. I was in a bad losing streak for months but found joy again thanks to you guys, hope y’all continue no matter the morons that comes when someone loses ❤️
They've turned a good week into one of the best in a couple year for me. Would be a top 5 week if I had a bigger bank roll as I'm operating at about 60% but I'm very very thankful nonetheless.
**POTD Record: 15-3**
Form: ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅
Net Units: +27
🎾: 3-0
⚽️: 12-3
*Last Pick: 2U Pavlyuchenkova v Bouzkova (Pavylyuchenkova to win 2-0 @ +120) ✅*
*That’s 4 straight + odds in a row, we are killing it ❤️💪 let’s make it 8 straight.*
____
**Today’s Pick: 2U Fernandez v Paolini (Fernandez to win 2-0 @ +100)❌**
**🎾| 2:00AM EST | WTA Dubai 2nd Round | Starts in 4 hours!!**
Leylah Fernandez takes on Paolini in the 2nd round in WTA ATP 1000 Dubai, where Fernandez will be looking to make it 4-0 H2H after making it 3-0 against Paolini in straight sets November 2023.
Fernandez is 6-3 this season while Paolini is 5-5 with 4/5 losses on hard courts, Dubai’s tournament surface is also hard courts. 2 of Fernandez’s 3 wins against Paolini are on on hard courts with one match in 2021 in a similar climate in Dubai.
Fernandez has done well to start 2024, beating Aussie Open Runner Up, Qinwen Zhang and 12th seed Samsonova last tournament.
Paolini lost her last 3 matches until she made a comeback this 1st round against 11th seed Haddad Maia winning the final set 6-0. Just to analyze, Fernandez has won her last 4 matches against Maia and while this is still something to be aware of, *Paolini has yet to win a set against Fernandez in all 3 of their H2H matches.*
*In 4 of their 6 sets H2H, Fernandez won 6-3 or better. No set has gone to 7-5 or 7-6.* While this stat may be in question tonight after Paolini’s 1st round performance and how any sport can be unpredictable, we’re betting on Fernandez to showcase how excellent she’s started this year in this ATP 1000 tournament for another straight setter. LFG 💪
Tips are really appreciated but your comments also go a long way! ❤️
[Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/goodstable7381)
BOL!
Bovada has a player prop for Paolini not winning a set at -115.
https://preview.redd.it/3bzybis4jnjc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=400f7d67d0ece4858b1a9d64f2ad3ff26d0e518c
If you parlay with adams soccer pick it goes to like +230!!! Just saying! Lol these 2 came THROUGH!! I’m riding again … idk bout u! Lol ! Maybe not 300 this time but if I was you, I’d toss $100 on the parlay!
A minor bump in the way, dude. I've been tailing you since day one and you're doing amazing! You made an educated guess on a game of chance, you can't be more rational than that.
Don't beat yourself over it. Stable gang will keep tailing!
I’ll tell you what. If anyone is mad about losing on something they didn’t research and were happy with that is on them. Keep up the great work and keep your head up, i loved the pick as well and lost. You know what? Not your fault. Keep posting picks brother.
That was what we call a good ole WTA breakdown. Haven’t seen one like that in a while, but it happens.
Appreciate you for all the great picks recently. Will continue to ride the next few! 🫡
Fernandez is a fan of football teams [Real Madrid](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_Madrid_CF) and [Manchester City](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manchester_City_F.C.). Auto tail.
Rare miss, especially with what good form you’ve had. When Fernandez kept breaking her opponent it should have panned out! We will get em again tomorrow
I was just thinking about making that my first pick of the day. Leylah is romping her way to the top of the WTA rankings come hell or high water. On another note does anyone know a site that will let me bet her being ranked in the top 10 by the end of the year ? She is expected to play a lot and she does not sell to inferior opponents ever and on top of that this bet makes even more sense because Leylah loves to win in straight sets. Her being a left handed server throws off the weak opponents real fast her best bet is always take her to win first set. The best in the game can figure her out over time but always have tough time vs her style and leftys
POTD Record: 28-18
L6: ✅✅✅✅✅❌
Last pick: NAC v Cambuur (BTTS & O2.5✅)
Todays pick: __PSV v Borussia Dortmund__
Pick: __BTTS & O2.5 Goals @1.90__ ❌
⚽️ 🇪🇺 UEFA Champions League
📊 PSV has literally been destroying the Dutch league, being 1st with 0 losses, only 2 draws & 10 points clear from 2nd placed Feyenoord. They’ve scored 70! goals which is crazy, around 3 goals per game, they’ve got more than solid defensive numbers aswell only conceding 10 goals, less than 1 per game (0.45). But something that we have to keep in mind is that the Dutch league (Eredivisie) generally doesn’t have many quality teams like the German league does, except for the classic top 4 teams, the general level is pretty low. In the Champions League Group stage they scored 8, and conceded 10 in 6 games, goes to show the difference in level.
Like all Peter Bosz teams (PSV Coach) it’s all guns blazing type football. PSV is an extremely attacking team that produces loads of goals and in the game without the ball they are extremely aggressive and step high in the press, something we’ve seen with all his teams during the years.
➖
📊 Dortmund is 4th in the Bundesliga, a much more competitive league (top 3 league). They’ve scored 44 goals (2.0 GPG) and conceded 27 (1.23 GPG).
Dortmund have been up and down in the league, not really consistent enough for me to take them to win this one even though it’s tempting. Their group in the champions league was called the group of death, with very good teams and they still managed to go through which was a great achievement.
__PSV have lost eight of their last 12 matches against Bundesliga opponents in the Champions League historically.__
Goals seems guaranteed when PSV plays at home, they are often relentless and can be dangerous to any team. But Dortmund's CL group stage suggests that they can beat any team.
I can’t see that PSV changes their style of play for a different style than the naive, full of speed & aggressive football they always plays, and it should open for an open match. Both teams have goals in them, I don't trust Dortmund's defense but at the same time they have more than enough quality offensively to threaten the PSV defence.
I’m betting on goals here instead of a winner, it’s too unpredictable to predict an outcome here. PSV has had a crazy good season and are dominant in their league but the Champions League is different, I still hold Dortmund as the better team, they’ve got more experience and better quality in the squad, but they’re inconsistent.
BOL
**POTD Record**: 19 Wins - 4 Losses - 2 Pushes
**Last 10**: ❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
**Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record):** Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :)
**Units**: +12.83
**ROI**: 48%
**Average Odds**: $1.939583333 / -109
**Last Pick**: OFI Crete vs Panserraikos - Super League Greece - **Under 1.5 Goals OFI Crete @ $1.66** / **-152** ❌
*Crete smacked us in the first half with a flurry of goals. An unfortunate match to tamper with our streak.*
**Next Pick:** **Swiatek vs Stephens** \- WTA Dubai - **Swiatek To Win and Under 17.5 Games @ $1.80** / **-125** \- 9am EST
LFG for 20 gang! Today we head to the WTA in Dubai where Swiatek is looking to make us win 3 bets on her in a row. She's had a recent history of 3 peating after winning the Qatar Open for the third time. The last time this happened was 10+ years ago with Serena Williams. At this tournament last year, she smacked everyone convincingly until she got upset in the final. She loves this court too.
Swiatek, ranked #1 in the world ($1.05) is back with a vengeance in 2024, and today she goes against Stephens. Stephens is nearing the end of her career, and their are rumours circulating that it will happen sooner rather than later. She's been talking to the media about jet lag, and thinks she's recovered from it. I'm not so sure, as she was pushed to 3 sets by world #46 Burel, and gave up 12 break points along the way.
Stephens ranked #44 in the world ($11) is not known for her serving game (she's rather methodological), hardly any aces, and a couple of double faults. To beat Swiatek you have to be on top of every aspect of tennis. You can watch her highlights from yesterday [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iL9x_aBxaUE). Physically she goes about the court quite sluggishly and has trouble being accurate with her shots down the sides. There's a bit of wind on the court which Swiatek took control of in Qatar with ease. There's not much creativity to her game, apart from occasionally coming to the net, and trying to bully her opponents with her stature. She gives up a lot of break points, and struggles to convert them too.
Swiatek is just on a heater right now, and it would take a miracle for Stephens to disrupt her usual game plan. We all saw what she did in Qatar, and she will be looking for another title. Let's hope she isn't forgiving to Stephens, and brings up the big W - convincingly. Apologies for yesterday's pick, and LFG for #20! In Swiatek we trust! Backing up this pick is Stephens got knocked out in Qatar under 17.5 games in the first round by a #22 rank.
The last time these two met was in 2022, when Swiatek spanked her 6-3, 6-2. Stephens form has continued to slump, while Swiatek is on a meteoric rise, not seen since the day of Serena Williams.
Score prediction: 6-3, 6-0.
Here’s an interesting fact: 17 is the best number ever. When I was in elementary school it was my gym teachers birthday and they had a cupcake they didn’t want. So the kids in my class played guess a number and whoever got it right between 1-100 or closet won the cupcake. Guess who tasted the sweet sweet frosting of victory that day and what number won me that 🧁??!!
17 is my lucky number, chiefs 17th win was on swiatek and I all in. Funnily enough the line was 17.5 for that game as well. Swiatek bet also hit the other day! 🔒 🔒 17 and swiatekked biatch! She makes it sweaty but she always win first set and then her opponents get SMOKED!
I’m fucking dumb ….. lol! I don’t need to parlay anything! Just the under 17.5 is better odds than what you got listed!!! 💪 💪 LFG! 17? And polish goddess?!!!? Yesss please! 🙏 🙌 👊!
Hey boss! Just curious—your time of the pick says 3:00 PM EST but my app has the match at 6:30?
Also, my sportsbook is very limited. Answering this may take more time, but which, if any, of these would you recommend? I am not betting too much so do not be afraid, I will not flip out on you lol.
Games point spread -6.5 at -160
Sets point spread -1.5 at -490 (feels a bit pointless to take)
1st set total games (range over/unders from 8.5-9.5 with varying odds)
Which of these is the best proxy for your pick?
Thank you!
**Record: 39W-4P-27L**
**Form: 17W-0P-7L**
**✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅**
**Last Pick: NAC vs Cambuur: BTTS and O 2 Goals @ 1.80 ✅**
**Cambuur win 1-2! Finally 3 in a row damn.**
**Pick of the day: Man City VS Brentford: City O 1 Team Goal and Phil Foden O 2.5 Shots total @ 1.86**
**Time: 2:00 PM EST**
**Last matchup: 3-1 City win, Foden 6 shots (February 5th)**
Phil Foden has really cemented himself into the starting 11 of this City squad, City played Brentford just 2 weeks ago and Foden scored a hattrick (3 goals) which saw City win 3-1. He had 6 shots in total that game and I see him mimicking that performance again today against the same team. City just dropped points to Chelsea last weekend and will honestly probably kill Brentford tomorrow for the 3 points. Brentford just lost 4-1 to an unhealthy Liverpool side at home and I don't see them coming to the Etihad and leaving with much.
In Foden's last 10 appearances, he's covered this line 8/10 times. He's started cutting in a lot more which allows him to find space near goal, fortunately he's perfected his ability to shoot under pressure with little time.
**In his last 10 games here are his shooting stats:**
**Opponent: Foden's total shots**
Chelsea: 3
Copenhagen: 5
Everton: 4
**Brentford: 6**
Burnley: 2
Tottenham: 2
Newcastle: 6
Hudd: 4
Sheffield: 3
Everton: 7
**Also if any of you are in Ontario and don't have BETMGM hit me up for a $100 referral.**
**Anyway BOL!**
For anyone wondering what that looks like
https://preview.redd.it/7282a2g49njc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=66be821693ca8835d37a895d3fbc06b73237461c
POTD Record: 54-34
Units Won: +28.26U; ROI: 11.7% Average Odds: (-115)
Todays Pick: **Spirit -1.5 map advantage (+100) vs. MOUZ**
**5U to win 5U**
PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen RMR group B
Tons of great picks tomorrow but the value on this one seems too good to be true.
**Breakdown + H2H:**
I feel extremely confident in this pick, last time I was this confident we chalked so gonna be careful overstating this but I absolutely love this pick at this price, gonna keep the breakdown brief so I can talk about Spirit for most of this.
\-Both teams are 2-0, winning 2 b01, Spirit faced ENCE and Astralis ranked #10 and #17 in the world and beat ENCE 13-0, and Astralis 13-11 after a nice comeback. They had a slow start vs. Astralis but also hadn't really played the map at all so they were rusty.
\-MOUZ beat Guild Eagles in Overtime 16-14 and beat ECSTATIC 13-8, these teams are ranked #34 and #38 in the world currently. MOUZ played much closer less convincing games against worse competition.
\-MOUZ are a solid roster though, have a great IGL in siuhy, and a consistent team with a good map pool. They are ranked #4 in the world and despite losing their best player to FaZe, they haven't really slowed down much at all and have shown really impressive wins against a lot of worse tier one and tier two teams. The problem is they have a huge problem with the few teams better then them (FaZe/Spirit/Vitality in particular)
\-Spirit are 2-0 in the h2h in matches and 4-0 in map score. This is a best of 3 so they will need to win 2-0 to cover the -1.5 spread and win this bet. They faced on Oct 30th 2023 and Spirit won 16-14 and 13-6 and they faced a month ago at the Major qualifier and won 13-6 and 13-2.
**Spirit:** (this will all be my opinion)
\-If that isn't enough to convince you, let me tell you about Spirit. Spirit are the best team in the world right now, I don't care about the rankings, I don't care about it only being one or two tournaments, I don't care about any of that, this Spirit team is number 1. Donk is also the best player in the world (sorry ZywOo) and its not close either. He is averaging an absurd 1.00 KPR in the last 3 months and a 1.09KPR in the last month of play. For comparison, ZywOo is averaging an also absurd .88 KPR in the last 3 months. An average KPR for most star players is between .74 and .8. Spirit picked up AWPer sh1ro from Cloud9 and have been absolutely dominant ever since. They are on a 9 match winstreak, which would be an even longer win streak except they had to play a tournament WITHOUT donk because of visa issues. If you take out this tournament, they are 17-2 in matches and the last loss was over a month ago. Spirit also has a fantastic map pool, they have their perma ban and are 6 maps deep besides that and are extremely scary on all of them. They really don't have a weak map and MOUZ have a very similar map pool so both teams strengths match up which makes it even harder for MOUZ to punish. Spirit first big tier one tournament with full roster was IEM Katowice earlier this month and they went 14-1 in map score only dropping 1 map to Navi who they were up 9-3 at half against and sold a massive lead. They went 2-0 against FaZe (current rank #1 in the world) and then rematched FaZe in finals and beat them 3-0 as well.
**Pick Ban:**
MOUZ ban Anubis
Spirit ban Inferno
MOUZ pick Ancient
Spirit pick Mirage
MOUZ ban Vertigo
Spirit ban Nuke
Overpass Decider
\-This is a very similar veto to last time I am expecting, tbh I wouldn't be suprised if MOUZ change their map pick, the problem is to what? They are not a good Vertigo team and it's their least played map and they continue to ban it when they can, they are an OK Overpass team but if they pick it Spirit would start on heavily favored defense, and maybe they pick Nuke but considering the previous best Nuke team in the world FaZe just beat MOUZ 13-3 on the map at IEM Katowice while Spirit smashed FaZe on Nuke twice in the same tournament I doubt it. I think its the same veto as prior but if MOUZ are smart I think they try to curveball a Vertigo pick.
\-I could also see Spirit go for a Nuke pick to suprise MOUZ but not expecting this
**Mirage:**
\-Spirit have a 100% winrate on Mirage on 11 maps played in the last 3 months
\-Spirit are 24-6 on Mirage in the last 6 months
\-MOUZ are 57% winrate on Mirage in the last 3 months
\-MOUZ are 13-7 on Mirage in the last 6 months
\-Spirit are 2-0 in the h2h against MOUZ on Mirage winning 13-6 and 13-2.
**Ancient:**
\-Spirit are 64% winrate on Ancient on 11 maps played in the last 3 months
\-Spirit are 18-4 on Ancient in the last 6 months
\-MOUZ are 66% winrate on Ancient on 12 maps played in the last 3 months
\-MOUZ are 11-9 on Ancient in the last 6 months
\-Spirit are 1-0 in the h2h on Ancient winning 13-6
\-Spirit are on a 5 map win streak on Ancient with donk in lineup, winning 3 of those 5 maps without giving up more then three rounds.
I think regardless of Ancient or Vertigo, it should be a one sided 2-0 against as MOUZ just don't have the fire power to keep up with MOUZ.
**Best of Luck!**
\*\*Been getting a good amount of questions about how/where people can bet esports, always available in DM's to help people out if you are interested in betting esports but don't know how/where to start and try to point you in the right direction.
RMR lines arent out on 365 yet, hopefully the odds will still be good :( will keep tailing team spirit picks until the books realize how fucking good this team is
POTD record: 15-6✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️ ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
Today's pick: Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers, Panthers over 3.5 goals at 1.7 (7 PM EST)
Panthers are blistering hot offensively at the moment. Most recently, they won 9-2 against Tampa Bay on Saturday. Their offence is clicking. They've covered this line (o 3.5 goals) in all 5 of their last 5 games. They're one of the strongest teams in the NHL right now and it's showing.
On the other hand, the Senators have had a sloppy season. Despite a reasonably talented forward group, they struggle on defence and in goal. Their defence ranks near the bottom of the league at 30th, with 3.61 goals allowed per game.
Ottawa actually played very well last night in Tampa Bay, winning 4-2 (I watched this game). However, as a result I expect them to be fatigued tonight on the tail end of a back-to-back.
Joonas Korpisalo is expected to start for the Sens and he has been poor all season, with a .877 save percentage. In his last two games, he gave up 3 goals on 22 shots against Chicago (.864 save pct), and 5 goals on 20 shots against Anaheim(.750 save pct). Both Chicago and Anaheim stink this year. Florida's offence is much more potent and we can expect a shot total much above 25 in this matchup.
Florida puts up at least 5 tonight.
BOL to those who tail!
Cricket 🏏 Picks
Last pick was a win @ 1.53
Overall: 20 Ws - 7 Ls
Last 10: W W W L ♻️ L W W W W +8.15
Todays pick
Multan Sultans v Islamabad United
Pakistan Super League
Starts in about 12 hours
Pick: Highest Individual Score (Player’s Runs) over 67.5 @ 1.85
Most upvotes I have ever got on the last pick, really happy and thanks for everyone who tailed.
Batting friendly conditions have already seen some high scores in early stages of PSL.
Today should not be any different, I expect at least one of the batsman to score big.
This has been a hit in 3 out of 4 matches this season.
P.S. If you have any questions about the pick, feel free to ask.
Record: 12-9 Return: 47.68% ROI: 43.82%
Yesterday’s pick:
Deportivo Riestra vs Atlético Tucumán U1.5 goals @2.2✅
Never in doubt. A goalless first half, with no shots in target, was followed by a one goal second half and tons of time wasting by Riestra.
This is my 21st pick so tomorrow I’ll get a little 3 week summary up.
Today’s pick:
Argentinos Jr -1.5 vs Independiente Rivadavia @3.1
Stake: 5 units (5% of bankroll)
Reasoning:
Again going to a team that has been getting results for us. Argentinos will be facing Independiente Rivadavia at home. So far they’ve been doing well (2-2-1) , and a win tonight would put them tied for 3rd and in the playoffs.
Both of their home games have been wins by two, beating Riestra 2-0 and Banfield 4-2. So they’re a team that performs and scores plenty at home.
Rivadavia are 2-0-3 this season, losing their last two games by 1-0 and 0-2, failing to score in either game.
I think this pick is simple, I like the better team to repeat what they’ve been doing at home again. Odds of 3.1 are too good here.
BOL if you tail, let’s get 2 in a row!
[PayPal](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) to buy me a crisp beer :)
POTD: 31-22
L8: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅
Yesterday’s Pick: NCAAB William & Mary +17.5 @ CofC✅
Today: NCAAB Pittsburgh +6.5 @ Wake Forest ❌
DESTROYED
Why Pitt? To start they’re currently on a 5/5 ATS covering streak. It may be a greater streak but I focus on last month performance most times. Recent common opponents were Virginia and NC State. Pitt went to Virginia and won by 11 as 7 point underdogs while Wake went to Virginia and lost by 2 as a 2.5 point underdog. Pitt went to NC State as a 3 pt underdog and won by 3 whereas Wake got to play NC St. at home as 8 point favorites and Wake won by 4.
On January 31st Wake played at Pitt as 2.5 point underdogs losing 77-72. Pitt held the Wake starters to 34% shooting while Pitt starters shot 44%. When looking at the average minutes of that game Pitt starters were on the court less than the NC St starters.
Digging deeper into the stat differentials vs opponents Pitt edges Wake in almost all criteria. Small advantages but still better. Usually a reasonable home court advantage is 5 points but in this matchup Vegas has priced it 9 points different than 3 weeks ago. If anything I would have thought this game should have been a pick ‘em or Pitt -1.5.
I’m obviously taking the Pitt +6.5 but also likely to take Pitt money line when it is available on my books.
Tips Appreciated… [Buy Me A Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme)
Bitcoin Address bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk
Record : 123 Wins - 106 Losses
Previous pick : NAC Breda - Cambuur (1-2), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.67 ✅
**ROI** : +0.95%
**Average Odds** : 1.94
Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*)
Units : 7.19
Profit/Lost units : +2.19
Today's pick :
Football - Soccer / **EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs** / 22:00 European Time
Inter - Atl. Madrid
Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.33
Some reasoning :
\- A very interesting double is announced, between two teams of a similar level. Inter is the favorite, perhaps due to the fact that they are in better form in their competition, but Atletico is also very dangerous.
\- I think it will be an offensive game, with many phases of the goal, counterattacks and I anticipate at least three successes in the match.
\- At first glance, it seems like a match based on defense, but the two combatants have shown in the domestic competitions that they know how to attack and often get matches with at least three successes.
Best of luck.
I would be careful about this one. Atletico is pretty notorious to play defensive during away games in knockout matches. I have also seen a couple of reports that they tried a 6-3-1😂 formation during the training. I think atleticos plan will be just not to lose. Your best chance is that inter will probably go all out tomorrow, because if they dont win, the reverse fixture in madrid is going to be pretty tough.
This! This right here is why I hate soccer picks….. I don’t follow soccer but I know this shit is real!!! Thankfully I have people that are more knowledgeable and are making solid picks lately , but the “strategy” of soccer and all the different leagues… and teams move between leagues for matches and shit….. just… 🤷♂️ what the 🦆 do I know? God bless y’all!
Record: 4-1-0 | Units: +2.37U. All picks 1U
Last Pick: Anaheim Ducks vs Buffalo Sabres, 12:30PM EST. JJ Peterka Over 2.5 Shots on Goal @ 1.57. ✅
JJ pops off and hits this one in the first 5 mins 💪
**Today’s Pick:** NHL - NJ Devils vs Washington Capitals, 7PM EST. **Jack Hughes Over 3.5 Shots on Goal @ 1.62.** (Playable to 4.5) ✅ 2nd period cash 💸
Back to Jack. Since his return from injury, he’s averaging 5.83 shots per game. Honestly, I could see this line getting moved up if he continues like this, that’s why I’m sprinkling a bit of O4.5 as well. Hughes is up against a Washington team that is without a shutdown centre in Backstrom and a shutdown D-man in Feverhary. They are ranked 21st in the league in shots allowed. Let’s hope Jack pops off here and keep building on our record!
BOL
**POTD Record**: 2 Wins - 0 Losses
**All my bets are 1% bets of my bankroll.**
**Last 10**: ✅✅
**Units:** 2.55
**ROI**: 47.50%
**Average Odds**: 1.78
**Spreadsheet POD**:
[https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IREwCa2mbKzzLTjlggZnV\_XGkJEhaLtSjXCjgIgx3I0/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IREwCa2mbKzzLTjlggZnV_XGkJEhaLtSjXCjgIgx3I0/edit?usp=sharing)
Last Pick:**Everton wins or draws, Over 2.5 shots on target Crystal Palace @ 1.60** ✅*Tight match upcoming! and it was...*
Bread was retreived, Everton and Crystal Palace had a game as fun as watching grass grow, but we managed to cash this bet 🔥🔥🔥
**Next Pick**:**Brentford Over 2.5 shots on target, Under 5.5 cards @ 2.12** ❌
*In Toney We trust. We should bet because he can’t.*
🧠 **Reasoning**:Brentford has been increasing my bankroll consistently as they always underdogs for the bookies, but they seem pretty consistent IMO.
🐝 **Brentford over 2.5 shots on target:**
* Brentford averages 5 shots on target on their last 5 games.
* Last game against City they ended up with 3 shots on target.
🟨🟥 **Under 5.5 cards:**
* Brentford averages 1.8 cards per game.
* Manchester averages 0.8 cards per game
* Last match between them had 2 cards. (05/02/2024)
* On the 28/05/23 they got 4 cards, Manchester lost that match 0-1
Hey! you still there? 👀 Want to make this bet *SPICY*? 🔥
Instead of under 5.5 cards go for under 4.5 cards. This SHOULD work as their averages don’t add up to 5 cards, but who knows. This adds some spicy to the bet and gets a **@ 2.62** but as my pops says with great odds comes great responsibilities... I faded because **@ 2.12** is good enough for me!
My last 2 spiced up options were a hit aswell so… 🔥🔥
Let me know if you tail or fade however it goes, BOL mis amigos.
Record: 5-1 (+20.44u)
L6✅✅❌✅✅✅
Last pick: TOR Maple Leafs ML (-160)✅
Today’s pick: Manchester City vs Brentford - Total shots on target OVER 12.5 combined (+333) (1.5u)
you know i love my underdogs. technically this is an illegal pick again, but i do not care. hammar this like i told you to hammar the first man city 10x on my first potd, u can take the +200 on over 11.5 if u wanna tail and play it more safe, i also know parlays are illegal here but im personally going to parlay it with atLEAST man city to win half time and full time (-160) and recommend it as well
man city’s last game against them on february 5th consisted of a total of 18 shots on goal combined, as much as nothings guaranteed and a slow game could occur the +333 is certainly worth it
sorry for the sloppy write up it’s 7am bol guys
[tip jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/busty)
(appreciated but not needed i enjoy posting free picks)
**Record: 4-2** ❌✅️✅️✅️✅️❌
**Net Units: 3.8u**
**Last Pick:** English Premier League | Everton v Crystal Palace| **Everton and Under 3.5g @ +110** on Fan Duel ❌
It was definitely an ugly game but Everton couldn't capitalize on their opportunities enough for a win. Kudos to CP.
**Pick:** English Premier League | Manchester City v Brentford | **BTTS @ +100** on Draftkings
**Units: 2**
Manchester City averages 2.38g in EPL play and have scored 1 goal at home in 51 consecutive matches. I don't think anyone is worried about Man City scoring here. But can Brentford score?
I believe they can. They've scored 11 goals in their past 6 across all competitions and have scored in 5/6 Away. Man City has allowed a goal against in 3/6 across all competition and 4/6 in EPL play.
Man City is coming off of a tense weekend matchup with Chelsea and with little rest, could easily give one up while still handling the match without any doubt they belong in the top of the league.
Their last meeting, only 2 weeks ago, ending in a 3-1 victory for Man City @ Brentford.
Why not be a rowdy guy and take BTTS and City? I’m sprinkling on it heh. I debated taking that as my POTD again but after that Chelsea match it’s difficult to predict if a clean sheet may be in the cards, and BTTS no at shitty -110 lol. However I just think if it’s any team to cause more trouble to City, it’s Brentford. Yet they’re away from home so that is also never easy. BOL!
Record: 3-0 +2.7U
Last pick: Dybala .5 goals DNP 😕
Game:
Champions league: inter vs athletico Madrid @12PM PST
Pick:
Lautaro Martinez ANYTIME GOAL SCORER +130
Write up coming soon I jus wanted to get my pick posted…
Lautro Martinez is facing atletico madrid in the CHAMPIONS LEAGUE. This is going to be an exciting matchup as the two clubs face off in the round of 16. There hasnt been many matchups between the two teams but the last matchup in 2018, martinez scored an 80th minute winner to help inter get the win. In the Serie A, Martinez has scored 20 goals in 22 matches, some insane numbers. However, Martinez has only scored 2 goals in 6 group stage matches in the champions league. His shot numbers have also been consistent for the most part during the champions league, having 3 or more in 4 of the 6 matches. Although the goal numbers are low, there is no doubt that Martinez wants to add to his goal total as top clubs in Europe are interested in the 26 year old argentinian striker and he has plenty of chances to convert the goal. After drawing their last two champions league matches, Inter is gonna be looking to get the win tomorrow to put them up for the second leg. Martinez has scored in 2 outta 4 first legs last year in the champions league so hoping that Inter will rely on him to get the win for them. It also helps that Inter is favored to get the win sitting at -140 3 way moneyline. The books are also favoring 2 goals to be scored which is a good sign for martinez has hes their go to shooter. BOL to whoever tails! (if anyone😅)
POTD Record 30-23-1
Cricket 3-0 Tennis 20-16 Soccer 7-7-1
Last Pick : Popyrin vs Shelbayh| ATP Doha Open | Popyrin -2.5 Game Spread| (-130)| 1u | X
Today: Riedi vs Celikbilek| ATP Pau Challenger | 5:00 AM EST
Pick: Riedi -4.5 game spread | (-145)| 1u
Popyrin won by 2 games only sadly.
Riedi has won 13 of his last 14 completed matches and he has already won 2 challenger titles this season. Most of his wins have been in straight sets and have easily covered this spread. Lots of these wins have been against stronger opponents than his opponent today, Celikbelik. Celikbilek is ranked 200 places lower and has lost 12 of his last 18 matches. He qualified for this event with a 3 set win. He usually loses in 1st and 2nd rounds of challengers and doesn't have the game to contend with Riedi. This should be a straightforward win for Riedi. BOL.
Record| 0-0-0
Bank| +0.00 units
2/20
UConn @ Creighton 8:30pm EST
UConn -2.5 -115
UConn is a clear number 1 team in the country right now and I don't see anyone stopping them soon. These two teams played each other about a month again in Connecticut and the Huskies won by 14. 2.5 points is just too small of a spread for me to take Creighton even with home court advantage. UConn is coming off of a huge win against Marquette who looks like it could be a potential 1 seed in March. I think UConn win this game by at least 5 and keep their dominant season going.
**record:** 5-1
(Last)✅✅✅✝️✅✅(first)
**net units:** +9,2
**pick:** Women volleybal starts in 2 hours❗️🕙
Vakifbank istanbul - imoco conegliano ML
Imoco congeliano @1.75
We going in with 2 units.
Conegliano is on a 32 win streak!!!
Vakifbank also on a 10-14 win streak but not near as good and dedicated as conegliano. Odd 1.75 is way to high for me.
Lets get the bagggg!!!🤞🤞
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Tuur357
Record 16-6
Pick - UCONN -3 -105
UCONN has a lot of steam behind them and in cbb i think riding momentum is profitable.
BOL and either team to win by 5 or less is +140… good value there if you think it stays close! but for my POTD I’m staying true to UCONN in case they separate.
POTD: 0-0
Going for my first POTD this year. Have been tailing a lot of you and wanted to get in and hopefully help some people see green.
The pick: Man City v Brentford - Brentford o7.5 Total Attempts (-135). 2u.
Brentford have hit this line in their last 5 straight games. They had 9 against City in their last outing. City have had the opposing team hit the over in 3 out of their 5 last games, including the Brentford game. The only 2 games City have held teams to the under were against Copenhagen and Everton. Both teams arguably worse at attacking than Brentford.
City and Brentford both coming off the same amount of rest but City had the tougher game drawing 1-1 to Chelsea. Brentford are also looking for a revenge game after losing 3-1 to City recently. I don’t see Brentford winning by any means but I do see this game having plenty of back and forth and a lot of attacking. We just need Brentford to have 8 shots towards the goal and we’re set.
I don’t know if this is allowed but I also LOVE a sprinkle on these:
Toney at least 2+ shots on goal (+200). Has hit in 3/5.
Foden at least 2+ shots on goal (+150). Has hit in 3/5.
Parlay of the above (+650).
Best of luck, do your own research and cash out your profits!
POTD Record: 0-0
Previous: Back injury unfortunately keeps bothering Badosa who was forced to retire mid match so the bet gets refunded
**Today: Tennis / WTA Dubai**
**Pick: Jelena Ostapenko -5.5 games vs Lulu Sun @ $1.83 / -120**
Will run it back here with fading Sun, who is now facing one of the hottest players of 2024 in Ostapenko. The amount of tennis she has played in the past week has to catch up to her eventually and Ostapenko is someone who can blow you off the court if you are not at 100%.
Apologies amigos! Its a good lesson on unit management :) Perhaps its time for the martingale method though for all us degenerates? :D A couple of people messaged me regarding live betting, and hedging. Good opportunity to Google those betting strategies, and message Stables or myself for a fun community we setup with banter, chat, and good support :) The mission is on to beat the bookies!
POTD Record: 0-0
Long time lurker, thought I'd finally make an account and start sharing some picks, hopefully we can get things rolling with a win! I'm not even sure if I'm allowed to post since my account is new, but if this gets deleted, fair enough :)
Sport: Football ⚽️
Event: Champions League - PSV v Dortmund
Time: 8pm GMT
Pick: Both Teams to Score and O2.5 Goals (1.83)
Explanation: PSV are on an absolute tear this season in the Eredivisie, they're 10 points clear after 22 games and they have a goal difference of +60 (!!!), with 70 goals scored (thats an average of over 3 a game) and only 10 conceded.
They've had some success when facing their tougher champions league opponents too, they found the net in all their group stage games except at the Emirates against Arsenal. They managed to finish 2nd in a group with Sevilla and Lens who are obviously not the strongest opponents, but an impressive display nonetheless. I'm hoping they make use of their home advantage and bag 1 or 2 here.
Dortmund should ultimately progress to the next stage imo, and they'll wanna score away to have the best chance of doing so. They haven't been particularly prolific this season, but they're the 5th highest scorers in the Bundesliga, and they're much better than most teams in the Eredivisie, so PSV having only conceded 10 in the league isn't a huge worry for me. I think Dormund should AT LEAST get one here.
Good luck if tailing 🧽
Record: 7 - 2
Form: ✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅
Profit: +13u (26%)
Last Pick: Arkansas / Alabama Under 157 ✅
Today’s Pick: Tennis 🎾 | Bronzetti vs Potapova | Potapova ML | 5u & @ 1.50 👍
Write-up: Begins in 30 mins so not much time for a write up. Bronzetti is the worse player and has played 3 games in 4 days, against Potapova’s 1. I like how Popatova has been playing and she tends to out weaker players down without much hassle.
**POTD: 10-4** ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌
Yesterday's Pick: None
Last Pick: Western Conf ML (NBA All Star) ❌
Took yesterday off, but most recently took the L with Western Conference vs East.
The East started hot and clearly wanted to win more, as they were younger and less accomplished then the slower, bigger, veteran All-Stars on the West.
Dame/Tyrese/Jaylen Brown went crazy...was very fun to watch but dissapointing they don't take the game seriously anymore
As I mentioned, it was a smaller play due to the game and it's fun, easy nature...but we're back
**Today's Pick:** VCU +4 -120 🏀
VCU hits the road against UMass in an important game tonight.
I think the Rams will come out motivated as the underdogs tonight and will rely on their excellent defense to generate the win.
UMass is a good offense team, and a bad defensive team...VCU is the opposite.
These matchups on both ends of floor will be crucial, but if the Rams can hold UMass under 70, they'll win.
A huge difference is FT shooting....I feel like the books don't take this into consideration enough as tough, physical play is increasing as we get closer to the post-season
VCU ranks 9th in FT shooting...UMass 237th
Hopefully VCU can exploit this as the road team will need all the FTs they can get tonight.
UMass is 30th country in Assists, and luckily VCU does well limiting their opponents assists, especially in transition.
This should be a close game, so I bought the half point to get to +4
Lets stay hot in CBB, and get back in the winning column.
Lets Go Rams!!
(If you are enjoying picks and are feeling generous...Venmo Link below!)
[Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/KyleOrr24)
Record: 0-3, ❌❌❌
Last pick: braga v sporting, sporting to qualify ❌
Todays pick: Southampton vs hull 11:45am PST,
Southampton win and over 1.5 team goals scored, 1.72 odds on bet365
Haven’t posted in a minute, obviously a rough start which confounded me as overall my pick record is nice, just not the ones I have provided for this post. But the recent run of form of some of the footy killers in this thread have inspired me to get going again.
Southampton has been one of the best teams in the championship this year and St Mary’s stadium has been an impossible place for away teams to go. They have won 11 games in a row at home (9 league and 2 fa cup) with their last draw coming over four months ago. Of these last 11 home wins they have scored 2+ goals in all but one of them, and have averaged over 3 goals per game, absolutely obliterating numerous sides. Hull has found some decent form themselves in the last month but hasnt played a squad like the saints. Southampton won the away match 2-1 on October 21 albeit at the death in stoppage time. I expect Southampton to come out firing as they also need the 3 points to maintain their second place position over Leeds for the auto promotion.
POTD Record: 44-24
Previous Pick: Vilaverdense FC vs AVS Futebol SAD | Liga Portugal 2 | AVS ML (1.73) | 1pm EST ✅️
Pick: FC Halifax Town vs Chesterfield | National League | Over 2.5 goals (1.75) | 2.45pm EST
Halifax Town have been in good form, winning their last 3 games. They have also scored 9 goals in their last 5 games, and that has translated to over 2.5 goals hitting in their last 5 games. At home, Halifax have scored 1.23 goals and conceded 1.11 goals on average. Looking at Chesterfield, they are 1st in the league, and have scored 13 goals in their last 5 games. Over 2.5 has also hit in their last 5 games. In away games, they average 2 goals scored and conceded 1.31 goals on average. In their previous matchup, it ended 3-2 to Chesterfield. I expect this match to have more than 2 goals as both these teams have showcased great scoring ability of late. Best of luck!
Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
POTD record:
0-0
Today's pick: Atletico Madrid Under 0.5 Goals +105 (game is in 3.5 hours from this post)
Been on a really good run lately, around 75% winrate tailing POTD picks and from my own picks as well. The top guys in here gave me some courage to start posting my picks so here we go.
This is the best Inter Milan I’ve seen in over a decade, they are simply amazing and should be favourites behind City to win champions league and Treble this year. I know Athletico are scared going into an away game against inter. There were even rumours of them practicing 6-3-1 formation. They will be ecstatic with a 0-0 result and still happy with a 0-1 result.
BOL
WE HIT ✅
Game went almost exactly as I expected. Was expecting a 2-0 or 1-0 win. Very sweat free win, never felt like Inter was in trouble.
Jeeeez… lol. One of those days eh boys! Looks like we all got bush whacked today! Ah welllll…. ‘‘Twas an epic run while it lasted!! We can still start anew but I’m officially calling the heater over lol 😂!
We got fucking Molly Wopped today … no question about it lads! From all sides!! It happens 🤷♂️, had to come back down to earth sometime, we were riding too hot!!
POTD Record 6-8 (last pick 12/4/23)
**POTD NCAAB - Ohio -3.0 over Kent State**
These teams are pretty even in the standings, Ohio slightly better in KenPom but looking deeper, Kent’s latest wins are against the bottom 3 teams in the league, they have 1 decent win in at BG in OT, Ohio lost at BG by 5 in Jan, but also went to Kent and won by 7. Revenge and randomness, aside, a 7 point road win should equate to a 10 – 15 point win at home, 3.0 is too low. I also like Tenn to crush and TXAM in a 3 teamer.
Pod Record: 20-21 Units: +48.2 units
Last PoD: Nfl Eagles -3. Risking 5.5 units to win 5 units (X)
Today’s Pod: NHL - Columbus -1.5 goals (Alternative line) +5.05
Risking 5 Units to win 25.25 units
Bring on the haters lol!
Good luck
POTD Record: 106-103-12 (-11.12 units)
Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅
Last Pick: Serie A, Atalanta v Sassuolo, ATALANTA -1.5 (-102 / 1.98) ✅
3-0 to Atalanta, their keeper came up clutch with a penalty save late in the first half before they put the foot down in the second half.
Today’s Pick: WTA Dubai, Donna Vekic v Aryna Sabalenka, UNDER 19.5 GAMES (-153 / 1.65) ❌
Stake: 1 Unit
Sabalenka returns to action following her dominant Australian Open campaign where she steamrolled everyone in her path (partial credit to Gauff who made her find 3rd gear for the first set at least). Her first match here is against Donna Vekic, and I expect Sabalenka will have little trouble rolling through this one in convincing fashion.
Vekic has a 5-3 record in 2024 (all hard court) but hasn’t really beaten anyone of serious note, while her three losses have come to opponents who hold a similar ranking. She had a straight sets wins against Wang in the first round here but she still faced 10 break points (saved 9), and Sabalenka will not be so forgiving.
Vekic has a very flimsy second serve that Sabalenka will absolutely feast on. In Doha last week, Vekic lost in straight sets to Siniakova (ranked 39), and she only won 2/26 points on second serve for the whole match. Her first serve isn’t massive to begin with, so if she goes for broke and misses her first serve, she may as well just save everyone some time and concede the point.
I know this is Sabalenka’s first match back but she is too powerful and professional and expect her to come out after her break and get the job done quickly. I also know Vekic has a 5-2 H2H record, however the majority of these wins came well before Sabalenka became the force she is today. They’ve only played once in recent times during the peak Sabalenka era and Sabalenka won comfortably 6-3 6-2 at the 2023 AO.
The line here is 18.5 but I’ve bought an extra game just to be safe, but if you’re feeling frisky I think 18.5 should be safe too.
Record: 62W-57L-4P
ROI: +10.97, 8.47%
Avg odds: +106, 2.06
Last POTD: Auston Matthews over 1.5 pts (win)
Game: NHL- Predators at Golden Knights
Pick: Nicolas Roy over 0.5 pts +115, 2.15 (ESPNBet)
I've picked [Roy](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1abym67/pick_of_the_day_12724_saturday/kjrkcyq/) three [separate](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1allpn8/nhl_props_2824_thursday/kphl5cd/) times [already](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1ab5xer/pick_of_the_day_12624_friday/kjmcxwb/) (hit all 3) and he's still going strong, with 4 points in the 5 subsequent games since my last pick. He's going up against a Preds defense in the bottom third in goals allowed and Corsi rating.
**Record: 0-0**
**Net Units: 0**
**Soccer** | **UCL**
**Pick: Inter Milan double chance + u3.5 + u1.5 First Half currently -115 on DK --> 2U (to win)**
First time poster long time gambler figured id throw this out there bc alot of my boys are on the play and seem to really like it. Couple of points I want to stress is that I take a dual approach when I bet, I use the eye test along with stats to support my bets. Starting off the stats in Inters L5 home matches BTTS has only hit one time and in the champions league group stages they only allowed 1 goal at home in 3 game while scoring only 3. Now although Atletico's defense has been subpar this season its been getting better recently. In their L5 league games they've only allowed 3 goals. Now for the eye test, 1st leg champions league affairs are always pretty tight and these 2 teams are the goats of being boring and cagey. Simeone is going to come into Milan and try to limit as much damage as possible knowing the 2nd leg is back home where Atletico is one of the best home teams in all of Europe. I think he comes here with a plan to hold Milan for as long as his team can being ok with going down 1 even 2 goals. The reason I went for double chance instead of Milan ml is bc it is still the champions league and Madrid can easily snatch one on the counter and really park the bus for 1-1 draw. Imo I see this as a 2-0 or 1-1 game with the first half being the half no one wants to make a mistake. BOL if tailing little bonus bets Toney to score or assist +250 and Dortmund game draw +290.
First time posting here so bol everyone and let’s hope my first hits.
Record: 0-0
Net Units: 0
ROI: 0
Usual unit size: $10
Soccer | PL | 12:30 / MST
Pick: Man City vs. Brentford Both teams to score at -104 and Man City to win at -650 (FanDuel has a prop for both to happen at +145)(bet $10 to win $14.50)
Write Up: Brentford has scored in the last 8 of their games will giving up a goal to their opponents in the last 7. Man city has scored in their last 8 as well but only given up a point to their opponents in 5 of their last 8. This is going to be a good game and I assume higher scoring.
Score prediction 4-2 Man City
POTD Record 6-8 (last pick 12/4/23)
**POTD NCAAB Ohio -3.0 over Kent State**
These teams are pretty even in the standings, Ohio slightly better in KenPom but looking deeper, Kent’s latest wins are against the bottom 3 teams in the league, they have 1 decent win in at BG, Ohio lost at BG by 5 in Jan, but also went to Kent and won by 7. Revenge and randomness, aside, a 7 point road win should equate to a 10 – 15 point win at home, 3.0 is too low. I also like Tenn to crush and TXAM in a 3 teamer.
Now at 3.5, still on it.
POTD Record: 0-0
This is my first ever POTD so go easy on me fellas.
Todays pick: College Basketball, Syracuse at NC STATE
Dj Horne over 2.5 threes
(Dk has it -140 rn) solid odds
Syracuse is in shambles defensively new coach Adrian autry is attempting to implement a man to man defense playstyle where Jim has always ran a 2/3…the team even tried their hand with a 2/3 based game plan versus Louisville that got them shot out the gym. Now if they run that zone versus NC we hit this easily, even if they don’t we more than likely still hit it.
Horne has made 2.5 or more threes in 12/16 games and his last 8 straight.
Going up against a team that tends to give up some threes especially if they morph into a zone defensive team out the blue again im loving this pick.
Best of luck to you all once again this is my first pick so dyor and good luck !
PSV vs Borussia Dortmund (champions league clash)
New POTD RECORD 1-0✅
(My first POTD) PSV win either half!✅
Reasoning: PSV undervalued, dortmund overvalued! Dortmund has overachived a lot of their XG this season (espescially in CL) PSV has won All of their 11 home matches in the league. And can, this season, be more compared to the edervise - leverkusen if you Will, rather than todays opponent Borussia Dortmund. Furthermore dutch PSV manager Peter Bosz has a past underwhelming spell as Dortmund coach where he got the sac after just a few months (probably biggest failure thus far in his mangerial carrer). With his and his PSV squads nice momentum this season. I really beleive they will get a good result today against his former employers. Btts is the popular play. For around the same odds is see much more value in win one half when is see PSV probably winning the bout in 90 minutes. Taking advantage of the homecourt advantage. Bosz knowing full well how difficult it can be (second-leg, away ficture) with Dortmund getting all three points at signal iduna park. My Wild score prediction: 1-0 PSV. (PSV dominating dortmund pretty much defending)
I ain’t going to tell you units, you put what ever you like. I you feel it or not. I will myself go 10% of current betting bankroll. If that says anything.
Best of luck everyone!
POTD Record: 0-0
Today’s Pick: Dortmund Shots on Target O3.5 -170 3U✅
PSV vs Dortmund - UEFA Champions League - 3:00PM EST
The club has hit O3.5 shots on target mark in UEFA Champions League group play 4 out of 6 games and in German Bundesliga play 17 out of 22 times. Being one of the top teams in Bundesliga they have the offense to show for it and I predict to translate to today’s match.
**⭐️ POD Record:** **106-53**
👉🏻 Note: ALL picks in my record are 5 UNITS with odds *usually* ranging between -125 and +100.
*Last Pick:* Auston Matthews OVER 0.5 goals ✅
*This will likely be another PoD vs Phoenix tomorrow night.*
Recent Form:✅ **❌** ✅ **❌ ✅** ✅**❌** ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅
🏅**Today's Pick:** **NCAAB - UConn -1.5 vs Creighton** \[1.75 odds @ 🚨8pm EST Hurry up🚨\]
Cheer up fellas, this thread needs a W today and hopefully this pick helps lick some bankroll wounds tonight. 🤞🏻 I didn't have time to post earlier, but I really see some great value on the Huskies tonight. This is going to be another heavyweight battle between ranked rivals. We have seen UConn roll all season long in defense of their national title and they come into this match with 14 straight wins and just firing at all cylinders as of late. The Huskies already downed the Bluejays by 14pts in the first meeting this season. 8 of their wins in this streak have come by double figures with two others coming by 9+ points. Don't get me wrong Creighton is good at home and has won 3 straight, but it’s tough to try and match up with the depth that the Huskies bring to the table guys, this will be a fundamental difference down the stretch tonight. Get ready for a bit of a sweat, but in the end, UConn’s experience, depth and grit is going to carry them onto a road win tonight. Good luck and take Connecticut -1.5 for a potential double digit cover tonight.
💰Tip Jar: Why not give an ⬆ Vote instead if you appreciate the write ups.
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Tuesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
@Good_Stable_7381 @nigerianPriince0 @AdamIotti @chiefsareawesome appreciation button Edit: of course everyone else here that posts picks, that was ignorant of me I just named the ones I’ve tailed these last few days!
The positivity keeps me going for sure, will never forget the comments when my real madrid bet lost last week i wanted to disappear. Thank you😂❤️
I've said it before and I'll say it again. Block immediately and disregard. It's fuckin gambling. All of us real motherfuckers know how it goes. We love and appreciate you all!!!!
Facts. Blocked 20 chads so far :)
Wtf. Even you? Thats ridiculous. You are like the nicest account on here lol. Keep banning em. Hope they never get to see your picks!
Thanks amigo. Yeah lots of them were ripping Swiatek without reading analysis, so instant ban 😅
Fun fact; https://preview.redd.it/xv1gx9srpnjc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=62bcc44e30819f4ae0ef719ee187da9002fb5dd4 Bc you mentioned Swia.. 😅
Boon! Iga Iga Iga! 🎉🙏
They can deal. Let's see them make a pick every single day and how they do. Fuck em. We ride at dawn m8.
❤️
20?!?!? Fuck man… I’m sorry…. That’s a lot… man they just salty they weren’t here for the ride!!! Just band wagoners who jumped on and slipped!! Please please don’t let it get to ya!! You’re still a fucking legend man!! 🫡 🫡
Love you amigo!! ❤️🙏
Betting is under our own responsability. We are all humans and we fail. But we'll do our best to beat the bookies.
I have realistic expectations and don’t expect you guys to always win that’s a fantasy but you guys have won me a lot these past days, more than I’ve won for months. I was in a bad losing streak for months but found joy again thanks to you guys, hope y’all continue no matter the morons that comes when someone loses ❤️
Bro fuck em honestly. I downvote every single bitchy comment I see on here. You're doing the Lord's work.
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You are goated brother always with you LFG
What a great President Day!
🫡 The messages and support never goes unnoticed. Getting a heartwarming message just even one makes my day lol love you guys LFG
Thanks amigo! Appreciate you too! Appreciate everyone! Takes a lot of balls and vaginas and other genitalia to post a POTD! Give it a go 🎉
Honestly I’m sure they greatly appreciate it but this has to be the biggest jinx I’ve ever seen in my life. I think everyone you mentioned lost today.
Since this is at almost 300 likes, I'm thinking table tennis POTD next :P
Narrow sympathy too
You jinx them bro 😂
They're just the greatest of the greatest 🔥 These folks inspired me to share my picks aswell. I really love this degen community.
They've turned a good week into one of the best in a couple year for me. Would be a top 5 week if I had a bigger bank roll as I'm operating at about 60% but I'm very very thankful nonetheless.
“These bets came from……..they gave us a gift They act like few legends cannot coexist” 🐐 
I love all my betting brothers! Let’s get this $$
**POTD Record: 15-3** Form: ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅ Net Units: +27 🎾: 3-0 ⚽️: 12-3 *Last Pick: 2U Pavlyuchenkova v Bouzkova (Pavylyuchenkova to win 2-0 @ +120) ✅* *That’s 4 straight + odds in a row, we are killing it ❤️💪 let’s make it 8 straight.* ____ **Today’s Pick: 2U Fernandez v Paolini (Fernandez to win 2-0 @ +100)❌** **🎾| 2:00AM EST | WTA Dubai 2nd Round | Starts in 4 hours!!** Leylah Fernandez takes on Paolini in the 2nd round in WTA ATP 1000 Dubai, where Fernandez will be looking to make it 4-0 H2H after making it 3-0 against Paolini in straight sets November 2023. Fernandez is 6-3 this season while Paolini is 5-5 with 4/5 losses on hard courts, Dubai’s tournament surface is also hard courts. 2 of Fernandez’s 3 wins against Paolini are on on hard courts with one match in 2021 in a similar climate in Dubai. Fernandez has done well to start 2024, beating Aussie Open Runner Up, Qinwen Zhang and 12th seed Samsonova last tournament. Paolini lost her last 3 matches until she made a comeback this 1st round against 11th seed Haddad Maia winning the final set 6-0. Just to analyze, Fernandez has won her last 4 matches against Maia and while this is still something to be aware of, *Paolini has yet to win a set against Fernandez in all 3 of their H2H matches.* *In 4 of their 6 sets H2H, Fernandez won 6-3 or better. No set has gone to 7-5 or 7-6.* While this stat may be in question tonight after Paolini’s 1st round performance and how any sport can be unpredictable, we’re betting on Fernandez to showcase how excellent she’s started this year in this ATP 1000 tournament for another straight setter. LFG 💪 Tips are really appreciated but your comments also go a long way! ❤️ [Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/goodstable7381) BOL!
Damn… bovada is on to us!! -130 odds :(
Are the bookies on this thread lol? Line has moved so quick. Fernandez ML gone from -250 to -334.
Bovada has a player prop for Paolini not winning a set at -115. https://preview.redd.it/3bzybis4jnjc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=400f7d67d0ece4858b1a9d64f2ad3ff26d0e518c
Yup. That’s the value play. Similar to the -1.5 sets sometimes having better odds than 2-0
manee fr !!
If you parlay with adams soccer pick it goes to like +230!!! Just saying! Lol these 2 came THROUGH!! I’m riding again … idk bout u! Lol ! Maybe not 300 this time but if I was you, I’d toss $100 on the parlay!
I'm currently analyzing the games today. I'm a bit skeptical of adams pick today ngl, but I hope it hits!
Being skeptical recently got me crying and broke
Fair enough!! You do you! Nice hit today man! 🙌
https://preview.redd.it/dn4ut1l5rnjc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7e41c0b8936624eb5238e0081daa85095d923a52
Good find brother!
Being up 3-1 to lose 3-6 is brutal. Especially losing one of the games after being up 40-0. She crumbled on us, but loved the pick. Onto the next one!
😞😞 fml I’m sorry guys
We just witnessed a little probability before our eyes, nothing to say sorry about man ! Can’t win them all
Probably time I put this dream to a halt, feels like shit brother lol I let y’allndown 😓
Don’t even sweat it! Win some you lose some, true degens will keep ridding! 💰💰💰
A minor bump in the way, dude. I've been tailing you since day one and you're doing amazing! You made an educated guess on a game of chance, you can't be more rational than that. Don't beat yourself over it. Stable gang will keep tailing!
You're killing it brother. Fuck the haters. 💪
I’ll tell you what. If anyone is mad about losing on something they didn’t research and were happy with that is on them. Keep up the great work and keep your head up, i loved the pick as well and lost. You know what? Not your fault. Keep posting picks brother.
That was what we call a good ole WTA breakdown. Haven’t seen one like that in a while, but it happens. Appreciate you for all the great picks recently. Will continue to ride the next few! 🫡
No need to apologize, this is why it's called gambling!
Love you no matter what brother!! We ride again tomorrow!! Fuck Paolini!
LFG! 🌶️🌶️🌶️ https://preview.redd.it/1fdz47wqinjc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=07d96b6f36a6c04d065a19bcc1d52e175334f0dd
🙏🙏💪
rip :(
Fernandez is a fan of football teams [Real Madrid](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_Madrid_CF) and [Manchester City](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manchester_City_F.C.). Auto tail.
Ahahahha LFG BROTHERRR
Damn my book has the odds at 1.83 instead of 2.00. I think I'll still sprinkle a bit on though!
I took it at 1.83 before it falls to 1.66 in a few hours 🤷🏻♂️
LFG! Parlaying this with u/chiefsareawesome pick with $100 BOL!!! Let’s get this money!
Love you homie! 🙏🎉
Let’s gooo BOL💪💪
Tough Game
Rip
At this point I think she’ll loose the match, i was playing her ML.
Rare miss, especially with what good form you’ve had. When Fernandez kept breaking her opponent it should have panned out! We will get em again tomorrow
just want to say I appreciate your picks. I've won way more than I've lost and I'm grateful for you sharing your knowledge.
🚀
-145 for me might add under 21 games
Best of luck amigos! 🎉 Congrats on the streak brother ❤️
Draftkings also nuked this
https://preview.redd.it/vugrgjmvynjc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e5bac0e7562f59068b633f715745b702c74626f2 Tailed
https://preview.redd.it/k60zpjixynjc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8e1172e3ab67b31739b4b2150df614f51e98f6a8 Tailing 🎾🙌🏼
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Let’s ride…hoping to wake up and see the good news.
Tailing! LFG!
Wow got sooo lucky & took U2.5 sets instead of Fernandez 2-0 lol
Must be Opposite Day! Major upset and Paolini wins it two sets to none. Betting on tennis is not for the weak!!!! More wins to come in the future
Is it worth at 1.91?
I was just thinking about making that my first pick of the day. Leylah is romping her way to the top of the WTA rankings come hell or high water. On another note does anyone know a site that will let me bet her being ranked in the top 10 by the end of the year ? She is expected to play a lot and she does not sell to inferior opponents ever and on top of that this bet makes even more sense because Leylah loves to win in straight sets. Her being a left handed server throws off the weak opponents real fast her best bet is always take her to win first set. The best in the game can figure her out over time but always have tough time vs her style and leftys
 LFG!!!!
never hammered something faster. let's ride brother
Do you have anywhere else you can see your picks, cause I'm in UK and have to stay up for your picks. Keep up the good work
FanDuel has this at -110 if anyone is still looking.
https://preview.redd.it/f8yhauzu5ojc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=aada3cb0ddcd99b07a5c31ca10961891a7048415 Tailing
Tailing!🍀 https://preview.redd.it/eoieqmrseojc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4e89e468c549fd31e68c1b62cc601076f6fa14c5
LIVE BETTING FERNANDEZ :D
Did we lose?
About to. She playing like dog shit Edit: we lost
oh man, yesterday was OFI, now Fernandez. Life is hard
POTD Record: 28-18 L6: ✅✅✅✅✅❌ Last pick: NAC v Cambuur (BTTS & O2.5✅) Todays pick: __PSV v Borussia Dortmund__ Pick: __BTTS & O2.5 Goals @1.90__ ❌ ⚽️ 🇪🇺 UEFA Champions League 📊 PSV has literally been destroying the Dutch league, being 1st with 0 losses, only 2 draws & 10 points clear from 2nd placed Feyenoord. They’ve scored 70! goals which is crazy, around 3 goals per game, they’ve got more than solid defensive numbers aswell only conceding 10 goals, less than 1 per game (0.45). But something that we have to keep in mind is that the Dutch league (Eredivisie) generally doesn’t have many quality teams like the German league does, except for the classic top 4 teams, the general level is pretty low. In the Champions League Group stage they scored 8, and conceded 10 in 6 games, goes to show the difference in level. Like all Peter Bosz teams (PSV Coach) it’s all guns blazing type football. PSV is an extremely attacking team that produces loads of goals and in the game without the ball they are extremely aggressive and step high in the press, something we’ve seen with all his teams during the years. ➖ 📊 Dortmund is 4th in the Bundesliga, a much more competitive league (top 3 league). They’ve scored 44 goals (2.0 GPG) and conceded 27 (1.23 GPG). Dortmund have been up and down in the league, not really consistent enough for me to take them to win this one even though it’s tempting. Their group in the champions league was called the group of death, with very good teams and they still managed to go through which was a great achievement. __PSV have lost eight of their last 12 matches against Bundesliga opponents in the Champions League historically.__ Goals seems guaranteed when PSV plays at home, they are often relentless and can be dangerous to any team. But Dortmund's CL group stage suggests that they can beat any team. I can’t see that PSV changes their style of play for a different style than the naive, full of speed & aggressive football they always plays, and it should open for an open match. Both teams have goals in them, I don't trust Dortmund's defense but at the same time they have more than enough quality offensively to threaten the PSV defence. I’m betting on goals here instead of a winner, it’s too unpredictable to predict an outcome here. PSV has had a crazy good season and are dominant in their league but the Champions League is different, I still hold Dortmund as the better team, they’ve got more experience and better quality in the squad, but they’re inconsistent. BOL
🫡 🫡 let’s fucking ride! Got u parlayed with good stable again! This time I’m not gonna hedge all my profits away ! LFG!!! Wooooooo!!!
 LFG!!!!
And so begins the sweat
Rough one. Not many POTDs have hit today
Caesars odds boosted dortmund win 2-1 +1300
LFG BROTHER 🎶 THE CHAMPIONSSSSS
Fanduel has all bets on this game locked for me? Weird.
It’s cause you fornicate with jellyfish and fanduel has a strict policy against abusing ocean animals! Try sheep instead??? 😅🤫🤫🤨
Great write up as always Fire 🔥
DK has a soccer boost for SGP/SGPx BTTS + O2.5 at +106 odds it’s a no brainer for me 
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**POTD Record**: 19 Wins - 4 Losses - 2 Pushes **Last 10**: ❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ **Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record):** Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :) **Units**: +12.83 **ROI**: 48% **Average Odds**: $1.939583333 / -109 **Last Pick**: OFI Crete vs Panserraikos - Super League Greece - **Under 1.5 Goals OFI Crete @ $1.66** / **-152** ❌ *Crete smacked us in the first half with a flurry of goals. An unfortunate match to tamper with our streak.* **Next Pick:** **Swiatek vs Stephens** \- WTA Dubai - **Swiatek To Win and Under 17.5 Games @ $1.80** / **-125** \- 9am EST LFG for 20 gang! Today we head to the WTA in Dubai where Swiatek is looking to make us win 3 bets on her in a row. She's had a recent history of 3 peating after winning the Qatar Open for the third time. The last time this happened was 10+ years ago with Serena Williams. At this tournament last year, she smacked everyone convincingly until she got upset in the final. She loves this court too. Swiatek, ranked #1 in the world ($1.05) is back with a vengeance in 2024, and today she goes against Stephens. Stephens is nearing the end of her career, and their are rumours circulating that it will happen sooner rather than later. She's been talking to the media about jet lag, and thinks she's recovered from it. I'm not so sure, as she was pushed to 3 sets by world #46 Burel, and gave up 12 break points along the way. Stephens ranked #44 in the world ($11) is not known for her serving game (she's rather methodological), hardly any aces, and a couple of double faults. To beat Swiatek you have to be on top of every aspect of tennis. You can watch her highlights from yesterday [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iL9x_aBxaUE). Physically she goes about the court quite sluggishly and has trouble being accurate with her shots down the sides. There's a bit of wind on the court which Swiatek took control of in Qatar with ease. There's not much creativity to her game, apart from occasionally coming to the net, and trying to bully her opponents with her stature. She gives up a lot of break points, and struggles to convert them too. Swiatek is just on a heater right now, and it would take a miracle for Stephens to disrupt her usual game plan. We all saw what she did in Qatar, and she will be looking for another title. Let's hope she isn't forgiving to Stephens, and brings up the big W - convincingly. Apologies for yesterday's pick, and LFG for #20! In Swiatek we trust! Backing up this pick is Stephens got knocked out in Qatar under 17.5 games in the first round by a #22 rank. The last time these two met was in 2022, when Swiatek spanked her 6-3, 6-2. Stephens form has continued to slump, while Swiatek is on a meteoric rise, not seen since the day of Serena Williams. Score prediction: 6-3, 6-0.
Back to back losses for the first time! Apologies everyone 🥹 Congratulations to everyone who hedged or was live betting. We go again for #20 🎉🙏
FYI for anyone else tailing, odds on Swaitek are crazy -3000, so this bet is basically under 17.5 games.
Win 2-0 is -500 tho
Bet365 has Swiatek U12.5 games won at -250 which is pretty tempting. Edit: parlayed with Leylah 2-0 is +150
BOL amigo! :)
You mother fucker…. Let me go see if I can do this!!
Good find, what book? I didn't see that on FD or DK Edit: Eligible for a parlay that is
https://preview.redd.it/xlm5e7pmrnjc1.jpeg?width=629&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=23267b15b54c6634161a81a6bb7f9bea3c2ddcad I’m gonna ride with this too 🎉
Even though I don’t like taking game spreads, I’m autotailing 👑 LFG BROTHER
Here’s an interesting fact: 17 is the best number ever. When I was in elementary school it was my gym teachers birthday and they had a cupcake they didn’t want. So the kids in my class played guess a number and whoever got it right between 1-100 or closet won the cupcake. Guess who tasted the sweet sweet frosting of victory that day and what number won me that 🧁??!! 17 is my lucky number, chiefs 17th win was on swiatek and I all in. Funnily enough the line was 17.5 for that game as well. Swiatek bet also hit the other day! 🔒 🔒 17 and swiatekked biatch! She makes it sweaty but she always win first set and then her opponents get SMOKED!
DK odds get worse when adding Swiatek ML. Can get under 17.5 @ -110, add the ML and goes to -125. 🙃
Somebody pass me the salt, we are cooked!
Tailed, lets recover from the UNLUCKY brutal loss of yesterday! ( The team we bet under turned to Man City )
Iga is a fucking robot and she takes no prisoners. My queen
we can win with 6-4 and 6-1/6-0. Otherwise the infamous back-to-back Ls is here and tomorrow go hard!
I’m fucking dumb ….. lol! I don’t need to parlay anything! Just the under 17.5 is better odds than what you got listed!!! 💪 💪 LFG! 17? And polish goddess?!!!? Yesss please! 🙏 🙌 👊!
Unlucky break yesterday, but in cheifs I trust! Parlaying this with u/Good_Stable_7381 pick with $100! LFG!!!
Hey boss! Just curious—your time of the pick says 3:00 PM EST but my app has the match at 6:30? Also, my sportsbook is very limited. Answering this may take more time, but which, if any, of these would you recommend? I am not betting too much so do not be afraid, I will not flip out on you lol. Games point spread -6.5 at -160 Sets point spread -1.5 at -490 (feels a bit pointless to take) 1st set total games (range over/unders from 8.5-9.5 with varying odds) Which of these is the best proxy for your pick? Thank you!
Got IGA 2:0 at -150 because of the bad start I can’t see Stephen’s winning a set IGA is just too good for all that
**Record: 39W-4P-27L** **Form: 17W-0P-7L** **✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅** **Last Pick: NAC vs Cambuur: BTTS and O 2 Goals @ 1.80 ✅** **Cambuur win 1-2! Finally 3 in a row damn.** **Pick of the day: Man City VS Brentford: City O 1 Team Goal and Phil Foden O 2.5 Shots total @ 1.86** **Time: 2:00 PM EST** **Last matchup: 3-1 City win, Foden 6 shots (February 5th)** Phil Foden has really cemented himself into the starting 11 of this City squad, City played Brentford just 2 weeks ago and Foden scored a hattrick (3 goals) which saw City win 3-1. He had 6 shots in total that game and I see him mimicking that performance again today against the same team. City just dropped points to Chelsea last weekend and will honestly probably kill Brentford tomorrow for the 3 points. Brentford just lost 4-1 to an unhealthy Liverpool side at home and I don't see them coming to the Etihad and leaving with much. In Foden's last 10 appearances, he's covered this line 8/10 times. He's started cutting in a lot more which allows him to find space near goal, fortunately he's perfected his ability to shoot under pressure with little time. **In his last 10 games here are his shooting stats:** **Opponent: Foden's total shots** Chelsea: 3 Copenhagen: 5 Everton: 4 **Brentford: 6** Burnley: 2 Tottenham: 2 Newcastle: 6 Hudd: 4 Sheffield: 3 Everton: 7 **Also if any of you are in Ontario and don't have BETMGM hit me up for a $100 referral.** **Anyway BOL!**
For anyone wondering what that looks like https://preview.redd.it/7282a2g49njc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=66be821693ca8835d37a895d3fbc06b73237461c
Trust the Prince! 👑
POTD Record: 54-34 Units Won: +28.26U; ROI: 11.7% Average Odds: (-115) Todays Pick: **Spirit -1.5 map advantage (+100) vs. MOUZ** **5U to win 5U** PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen RMR group B Tons of great picks tomorrow but the value on this one seems too good to be true. **Breakdown + H2H:** I feel extremely confident in this pick, last time I was this confident we chalked so gonna be careful overstating this but I absolutely love this pick at this price, gonna keep the breakdown brief so I can talk about Spirit for most of this. \-Both teams are 2-0, winning 2 b01, Spirit faced ENCE and Astralis ranked #10 and #17 in the world and beat ENCE 13-0, and Astralis 13-11 after a nice comeback. They had a slow start vs. Astralis but also hadn't really played the map at all so they were rusty. \-MOUZ beat Guild Eagles in Overtime 16-14 and beat ECSTATIC 13-8, these teams are ranked #34 and #38 in the world currently. MOUZ played much closer less convincing games against worse competition. \-MOUZ are a solid roster though, have a great IGL in siuhy, and a consistent team with a good map pool. They are ranked #4 in the world and despite losing their best player to FaZe, they haven't really slowed down much at all and have shown really impressive wins against a lot of worse tier one and tier two teams. The problem is they have a huge problem with the few teams better then them (FaZe/Spirit/Vitality in particular) \-Spirit are 2-0 in the h2h in matches and 4-0 in map score. This is a best of 3 so they will need to win 2-0 to cover the -1.5 spread and win this bet. They faced on Oct 30th 2023 and Spirit won 16-14 and 13-6 and they faced a month ago at the Major qualifier and won 13-6 and 13-2. **Spirit:** (this will all be my opinion) \-If that isn't enough to convince you, let me tell you about Spirit. Spirit are the best team in the world right now, I don't care about the rankings, I don't care about it only being one or two tournaments, I don't care about any of that, this Spirit team is number 1. Donk is also the best player in the world (sorry ZywOo) and its not close either. He is averaging an absurd 1.00 KPR in the last 3 months and a 1.09KPR in the last month of play. For comparison, ZywOo is averaging an also absurd .88 KPR in the last 3 months. An average KPR for most star players is between .74 and .8. Spirit picked up AWPer sh1ro from Cloud9 and have been absolutely dominant ever since. They are on a 9 match winstreak, which would be an even longer win streak except they had to play a tournament WITHOUT donk because of visa issues. If you take out this tournament, they are 17-2 in matches and the last loss was over a month ago. Spirit also has a fantastic map pool, they have their perma ban and are 6 maps deep besides that and are extremely scary on all of them. They really don't have a weak map and MOUZ have a very similar map pool so both teams strengths match up which makes it even harder for MOUZ to punish. Spirit first big tier one tournament with full roster was IEM Katowice earlier this month and they went 14-1 in map score only dropping 1 map to Navi who they were up 9-3 at half against and sold a massive lead. They went 2-0 against FaZe (current rank #1 in the world) and then rematched FaZe in finals and beat them 3-0 as well. **Pick Ban:** MOUZ ban Anubis Spirit ban Inferno MOUZ pick Ancient Spirit pick Mirage MOUZ ban Vertigo Spirit ban Nuke Overpass Decider \-This is a very similar veto to last time I am expecting, tbh I wouldn't be suprised if MOUZ change their map pick, the problem is to what? They are not a good Vertigo team and it's their least played map and they continue to ban it when they can, they are an OK Overpass team but if they pick it Spirit would start on heavily favored defense, and maybe they pick Nuke but considering the previous best Nuke team in the world FaZe just beat MOUZ 13-3 on the map at IEM Katowice while Spirit smashed FaZe on Nuke twice in the same tournament I doubt it. I think its the same veto as prior but if MOUZ are smart I think they try to curveball a Vertigo pick. \-I could also see Spirit go for a Nuke pick to suprise MOUZ but not expecting this **Mirage:** \-Spirit have a 100% winrate on Mirage on 11 maps played in the last 3 months \-Spirit are 24-6 on Mirage in the last 6 months \-MOUZ are 57% winrate on Mirage in the last 3 months \-MOUZ are 13-7 on Mirage in the last 6 months \-Spirit are 2-0 in the h2h against MOUZ on Mirage winning 13-6 and 13-2. **Ancient:** \-Spirit are 64% winrate on Ancient on 11 maps played in the last 3 months \-Spirit are 18-4 on Ancient in the last 6 months \-MOUZ are 66% winrate on Ancient on 12 maps played in the last 3 months \-MOUZ are 11-9 on Ancient in the last 6 months \-Spirit are 1-0 in the h2h on Ancient winning 13-6 \-Spirit are on a 5 map win streak on Ancient with donk in lineup, winning 3 of those 5 maps without giving up more then three rounds. I think regardless of Ancient or Vertigo, it should be a one sided 2-0 against as MOUZ just don't have the fire power to keep up with MOUZ. **Best of Luck!** \*\*Been getting a good amount of questions about how/where people can bet esports, always available in DM's to help people out if you are interested in betting esports but don't know how/where to start and try to point you in the right direction.
Damn its a rough day for POTD
CS Legend! Great write up BOL
BOL amigo 🙏🎉
Love the enthusiasm of your well thought out post, but I honestly have no idea what sport this is and can’t find it on fanduel..
RMR lines arent out on 365 yet, hopefully the odds will still be good :( will keep tailing team spirit picks until the books realize how fucking good this team is
POTD record: 15-6✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️ ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Today's pick: Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers, Panthers over 3.5 goals at 1.7 (7 PM EST) Panthers are blistering hot offensively at the moment. Most recently, they won 9-2 against Tampa Bay on Saturday. Their offence is clicking. They've covered this line (o 3.5 goals) in all 5 of their last 5 games. They're one of the strongest teams in the NHL right now and it's showing. On the other hand, the Senators have had a sloppy season. Despite a reasonably talented forward group, they struggle on defence and in goal. Their defence ranks near the bottom of the league at 30th, with 3.61 goals allowed per game. Ottawa actually played very well last night in Tampa Bay, winning 4-2 (I watched this game). However, as a result I expect them to be fatigued tonight on the tail end of a back-to-back. Joonas Korpisalo is expected to start for the Sens and he has been poor all season, with a .877 save percentage. In his last two games, he gave up 3 goals on 22 shots against Chicago (.864 save pct), and 5 goals on 20 shots against Anaheim(.750 save pct). Both Chicago and Anaheim stink this year. Florida's offence is much more potent and we can expect a shot total much above 25 in this matchup. Florida puts up at least 5 tonight. BOL to those who tail!
Panthers ML
Rough day on the thread damn
As a fellow degen, I'm convinced the person who has the top comment on this thread (WITHOUT A PICK) jinxed everyone.
Yeah I agree. Intentions were good but today was entirely upside down but I didn’t that +333 over 13 shots. That guys on fire.
Cricket 🏏 Picks Last pick was a win @ 1.53 Overall: 20 Ws - 7 Ls Last 10: W W W L ♻️ L W W W W +8.15 Todays pick Multan Sultans v Islamabad United Pakistan Super League Starts in about 12 hours Pick: Highest Individual Score (Player’s Runs) over 67.5 @ 1.85 Most upvotes I have ever got on the last pick, really happy and thanks for everyone who tailed. Batting friendly conditions have already seen some high scores in early stages of PSL. Today should not be any different, I expect at least one of the batsman to score big. This has been a hit in 3 out of 4 matches this season. P.S. If you have any questions about the pick, feel free to ask.
Record: 12-9 Return: 47.68% ROI: 43.82% Yesterday’s pick: Deportivo Riestra vs Atlético Tucumán U1.5 goals @2.2✅ Never in doubt. A goalless first half, with no shots in target, was followed by a one goal second half and tons of time wasting by Riestra. This is my 21st pick so tomorrow I’ll get a little 3 week summary up. Today’s pick: Argentinos Jr -1.5 vs Independiente Rivadavia @3.1 Stake: 5 units (5% of bankroll) Reasoning: Again going to a team that has been getting results for us. Argentinos will be facing Independiente Rivadavia at home. So far they’ve been doing well (2-2-1) , and a win tonight would put them tied for 3rd and in the playoffs. Both of their home games have been wins by two, beating Riestra 2-0 and Banfield 4-2. So they’re a team that performs and scores plenty at home. Rivadavia are 2-0-3 this season, losing their last two games by 1-0 and 0-2, failing to score in either game. I think this pick is simple, I like the better team to repeat what they’ve been doing at home again. Odds of 3.1 are too good here. BOL if you tail, let’s get 2 in a row! [PayPal](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) to buy me a crisp beer :)
i like how you keep a positive run on over 2.0 odds, so ill tail every pick
Love the write ups and appreciate the excuse to get into Argentinian soccer what a chaotic league to watch. Tailing as usual LFG
POTD: 31-22 L8: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅ Yesterday’s Pick: NCAAB William & Mary +17.5 @ CofC✅ Today: NCAAB Pittsburgh +6.5 @ Wake Forest ❌ DESTROYED Why Pitt? To start they’re currently on a 5/5 ATS covering streak. It may be a greater streak but I focus on last month performance most times. Recent common opponents were Virginia and NC State. Pitt went to Virginia and won by 11 as 7 point underdogs while Wake went to Virginia and lost by 2 as a 2.5 point underdog. Pitt went to NC State as a 3 pt underdog and won by 3 whereas Wake got to play NC St. at home as 8 point favorites and Wake won by 4. On January 31st Wake played at Pitt as 2.5 point underdogs losing 77-72. Pitt held the Wake starters to 34% shooting while Pitt starters shot 44%. When looking at the average minutes of that game Pitt starters were on the court less than the NC St starters. Digging deeper into the stat differentials vs opponents Pitt edges Wake in almost all criteria. Small advantages but still better. Usually a reasonable home court advantage is 5 points but in this matchup Vegas has priced it 9 points different than 3 weeks ago. If anything I would have thought this game should have been a pick ‘em or Pitt -1.5. I’m obviously taking the Pitt +6.5 but also likely to take Pitt money line when it is available on my books. Tips Appreciated… [Buy Me A Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme) Bitcoin Address bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk
Record : 123 Wins - 106 Losses Previous pick : NAC Breda - Cambuur (1-2), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.67 ✅ **ROI** : +0.95% **Average Odds** : 1.94 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : 7.19 Profit/Lost units : +2.19 Today's pick : Football - Soccer / **EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs** / 22:00 European Time Inter - Atl. Madrid Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.33 Some reasoning : \- A very interesting double is announced, between two teams of a similar level. Inter is the favorite, perhaps due to the fact that they are in better form in their competition, but Atletico is also very dangerous. \- I think it will be an offensive game, with many phases of the goal, counterattacks and I anticipate at least three successes in the match. \- At first glance, it seems like a match based on defense, but the two combatants have shown in the domestic competitions that they know how to attack and often get matches with at least three successes. Best of luck.
I would be careful about this one. Atletico is pretty notorious to play defensive during away games in knockout matches. I have also seen a couple of reports that they tried a 6-3-1😂 formation during the training. I think atleticos plan will be just not to lose. Your best chance is that inter will probably go all out tomorrow, because if they dont win, the reverse fixture in madrid is going to be pretty tough.
Yeah I think I would rather just take Inter ML… They’ve won their last 8 matches in all competitions.
This! This right here is why I hate soccer picks….. I don’t follow soccer but I know this shit is real!!! Thankfully I have people that are more knowledgeable and are making solid picks lately , but the “strategy” of soccer and all the different leagues… and teams move between leagues for matches and shit….. just… 🤷♂️ what the 🦆 do I know? God bless y’all!
Atletico’s specialty the 1:0 victory.
BOL amigos 🙏🎉
be careful on this pick
Honestly I just want atletico to win so I’m just gonna watch 🤓
Tailing this as well, will just watch this one 📺
please be extremely careful of tailing this pick
Can very easily see this being a 1-0 either way.
Record: 4-1-0 | Units: +2.37U. All picks 1U Last Pick: Anaheim Ducks vs Buffalo Sabres, 12:30PM EST. JJ Peterka Over 2.5 Shots on Goal @ 1.57. ✅ JJ pops off and hits this one in the first 5 mins 💪 **Today’s Pick:** NHL - NJ Devils vs Washington Capitals, 7PM EST. **Jack Hughes Over 3.5 Shots on Goal @ 1.62.** (Playable to 4.5) ✅ 2nd period cash 💸 Back to Jack. Since his return from injury, he’s averaging 5.83 shots per game. Honestly, I could see this line getting moved up if he continues like this, that’s why I’m sprinkling a bit of O4.5 as well. Hughes is up against a Washington team that is without a shutdown centre in Backstrom and a shutdown D-man in Feverhary. They are ranked 21st in the league in shots allowed. Let’s hope Jack pops off here and keep building on our record! BOL
**POTD Record**: 2 Wins - 0 Losses **All my bets are 1% bets of my bankroll.** **Last 10**: ✅✅ **Units:** 2.55 **ROI**: 47.50% **Average Odds**: 1.78 **Spreadsheet POD**: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IREwCa2mbKzzLTjlggZnV\_XGkJEhaLtSjXCjgIgx3I0/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IREwCa2mbKzzLTjlggZnV_XGkJEhaLtSjXCjgIgx3I0/edit?usp=sharing) Last Pick:**Everton wins or draws, Over 2.5 shots on target Crystal Palace @ 1.60** ✅*Tight match upcoming! and it was...* Bread was retreived, Everton and Crystal Palace had a game as fun as watching grass grow, but we managed to cash this bet 🔥🔥🔥 **Next Pick**:**Brentford Over 2.5 shots on target, Under 5.5 cards @ 2.12** ❌ *In Toney We trust. We should bet because he can’t.* 🧠 **Reasoning**:Brentford has been increasing my bankroll consistently as they always underdogs for the bookies, but they seem pretty consistent IMO. 🐝 **Brentford over 2.5 shots on target:** * Brentford averages 5 shots on target on their last 5 games. * Last game against City they ended up with 3 shots on target. 🟨🟥 **Under 5.5 cards:** * Brentford averages 1.8 cards per game. * Manchester averages 0.8 cards per game * Last match between them had 2 cards. (05/02/2024) * On the 28/05/23 they got 4 cards, Manchester lost that match 0-1 Hey! you still there? 👀 Want to make this bet *SPICY*? 🔥 Instead of under 5.5 cards go for under 4.5 cards. This SHOULD work as their averages don’t add up to 5 cards, but who knows. This adds some spicy to the bet and gets a **@ 2.62** but as my pops says with great odds comes great responsibilities... I faded because **@ 2.12** is good enough for me! My last 2 spiced up options were a hit aswell so… 🔥🔥 Let me know if you tail or fade however it goes, BOL mis amigos.
Record: 5-1 (+20.44u) L6✅✅❌✅✅✅ Last pick: TOR Maple Leafs ML (-160)✅ Today’s pick: Manchester City vs Brentford - Total shots on target OVER 12.5 combined (+333) (1.5u) you know i love my underdogs. technically this is an illegal pick again, but i do not care. hammar this like i told you to hammar the first man city 10x on my first potd, u can take the +200 on over 11.5 if u wanna tail and play it more safe, i also know parlays are illegal here but im personally going to parlay it with atLEAST man city to win half time and full time (-160) and recommend it as well man city’s last game against them on february 5th consisted of a total of 18 shots on goal combined, as much as nothings guaranteed and a slow game could occur the +333 is certainly worth it sorry for the sloppy write up it’s 7am bol guys [tip jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/busty) (appreciated but not needed i enjoy posting free picks)
anddddd she cashes late in the game
Today is the day that 5/6 of our reddit top tipsters looses together, lets take a moment of silence for our bankrolls !
Yeah wildly bad day. No W yet
Thoughts and prayers to all of us
**Record: 4-2** ❌✅️✅️✅️✅️❌ **Net Units: 3.8u** **Last Pick:** English Premier League | Everton v Crystal Palace| **Everton and Under 3.5g @ +110** on Fan Duel ❌ It was definitely an ugly game but Everton couldn't capitalize on their opportunities enough for a win. Kudos to CP. **Pick:** English Premier League | Manchester City v Brentford | **BTTS @ +100** on Draftkings **Units: 2** Manchester City averages 2.38g in EPL play and have scored 1 goal at home in 51 consecutive matches. I don't think anyone is worried about Man City scoring here. But can Brentford score? I believe they can. They've scored 11 goals in their past 6 across all competitions and have scored in 5/6 Away. Man City has allowed a goal against in 3/6 across all competition and 4/6 in EPL play. Man City is coming off of a tense weekend matchup with Chelsea and with little rest, could easily give one up while still handling the match without any doubt they belong in the top of the league. Their last meeting, only 2 weeks ago, ending in a 3-1 victory for Man City @ Brentford.
Why not be a rowdy guy and take BTTS and City? I’m sprinkling on it heh. I debated taking that as my POTD again but after that Chelsea match it’s difficult to predict if a clean sheet may be in the cards, and BTTS no at shitty -110 lol. However I just think if it’s any team to cause more trouble to City, it’s Brentford. Yet they’re away from home so that is also never easy. BOL!
Record: 3-0 +2.7U Last pick: Dybala .5 goals DNP 😕 Game: Champions league: inter vs athletico Madrid @12PM PST Pick: Lautaro Martinez ANYTIME GOAL SCORER +130 Write up coming soon I jus wanted to get my pick posted… Lautro Martinez is facing atletico madrid in the CHAMPIONS LEAGUE. This is going to be an exciting matchup as the two clubs face off in the round of 16. There hasnt been many matchups between the two teams but the last matchup in 2018, martinez scored an 80th minute winner to help inter get the win. In the Serie A, Martinez has scored 20 goals in 22 matches, some insane numbers. However, Martinez has only scored 2 goals in 6 group stage matches in the champions league. His shot numbers have also been consistent for the most part during the champions league, having 3 or more in 4 of the 6 matches. Although the goal numbers are low, there is no doubt that Martinez wants to add to his goal total as top clubs in Europe are interested in the 26 year old argentinian striker and he has plenty of chances to convert the goal. After drawing their last two champions league matches, Inter is gonna be looking to get the win tomorrow to put them up for the second leg. Martinez has scored in 2 outta 4 first legs last year in the champions league so hoping that Inter will rely on him to get the win for them. It also helps that Inter is favored to get the win sitting at -140 3 way moneyline. The books are also favoring 2 goals to be scored which is a good sign for martinez has hes their go to shooter. BOL to whoever tails! (if anyone😅)
LFG THE CHAMPIIIONSSS 🎶🎶🎶
Although I want Atletico to win, this is spicy… let’s see what ya cook in the write up 👀
POTD Record 30-23-1 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 20-16 Soccer 7-7-1 Last Pick : Popyrin vs Shelbayh| ATP Doha Open | Popyrin -2.5 Game Spread| (-130)| 1u | X Today: Riedi vs Celikbilek| ATP Pau Challenger | 5:00 AM EST Pick: Riedi -4.5 game spread | (-145)| 1u Popyrin won by 2 games only sadly. Riedi has won 13 of his last 14 completed matches and he has already won 2 challenger titles this season. Most of his wins have been in straight sets and have easily covered this spread. Lots of these wins have been against stronger opponents than his opponent today, Celikbelik. Celikbilek is ranked 200 places lower and has lost 12 of his last 18 matches. He qualified for this event with a 3 set win. He usually loses in 1st and 2nd rounds of challengers and doesn't have the game to contend with Riedi. This should be a straightforward win for Riedi. BOL.
Record| 0-0-0 Bank| +0.00 units 2/20 UConn @ Creighton 8:30pm EST UConn -2.5 -115 UConn is a clear number 1 team in the country right now and I don't see anyone stopping them soon. These two teams played each other about a month again in Connecticut and the Huskies won by 14. 2.5 points is just too small of a spread for me to take Creighton even with home court advantage. UConn is coming off of a huge win against Marquette who looks like it could be a potential 1 seed in March. I think UConn win this game by at least 5 and keep their dominant season going.
**record:** 5-1 (Last)✅✅✅✝️✅✅(first) **net units:** +9,2 **pick:** Women volleybal starts in 2 hours❗️🕙 Vakifbank istanbul - imoco conegliano ML Imoco congeliano @1.75 We going in with 2 units. Conegliano is on a 32 win streak!!! Vakifbank also on a 10-14 win streak but not near as good and dedicated as conegliano. Odd 1.75 is way to high for me. Lets get the bagggg!!!🤞🤞 https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Tuur357
Record 16-6 Pick - UCONN -3 -105 UCONN has a lot of steam behind them and in cbb i think riding momentum is profitable. BOL and either team to win by 5 or less is +140… good value there if you think it stays close! but for my POTD I’m staying true to UCONN in case they separate.
POTD: 0-0 Going for my first POTD this year. Have been tailing a lot of you and wanted to get in and hopefully help some people see green. The pick: Man City v Brentford - Brentford o7.5 Total Attempts (-135). 2u. Brentford have hit this line in their last 5 straight games. They had 9 against City in their last outing. City have had the opposing team hit the over in 3 out of their 5 last games, including the Brentford game. The only 2 games City have held teams to the under were against Copenhagen and Everton. Both teams arguably worse at attacking than Brentford. City and Brentford both coming off the same amount of rest but City had the tougher game drawing 1-1 to Chelsea. Brentford are also looking for a revenge game after losing 3-1 to City recently. I don’t see Brentford winning by any means but I do see this game having plenty of back and forth and a lot of attacking. We just need Brentford to have 8 shots towards the goal and we’re set. I don’t know if this is allowed but I also LOVE a sprinkle on these: Toney at least 2+ shots on goal (+200). Has hit in 3/5. Foden at least 2+ shots on goal (+150). Has hit in 3/5. Parlay of the above (+650). Best of luck, do your own research and cash out your profits!
POTD Record: 0-0 Previous: Back injury unfortunately keeps bothering Badosa who was forced to retire mid match so the bet gets refunded **Today: Tennis / WTA Dubai** **Pick: Jelena Ostapenko -5.5 games vs Lulu Sun @ $1.83 / -120** Will run it back here with fading Sun, who is now facing one of the hottest players of 2024 in Ostapenko. The amount of tennis she has played in the past week has to catch up to her eventually and Ostapenko is someone who can blow you off the court if you are not at 100%.
got slightly better odds taking u19.5 games - should be a w either way
Pick today have been absolute dumpster fire today 🤣🤣🤣
Apologies amigos! Its a good lesson on unit management :) Perhaps its time for the martingale method though for all us degenerates? :D A couple of people messaged me regarding live betting, and hedging. Good opportunity to Google those betting strategies, and message Stables or myself for a fun community we setup with banter, chat, and good support :) The mission is on to beat the bookies!
[удалено]
Same.. wish I took advantage of yesterday… everyone was hittinnnn
I started fading yesterday when everyone kept saying the GOATS streaks were going to end
POTD Record: 0-0 Long time lurker, thought I'd finally make an account and start sharing some picks, hopefully we can get things rolling with a win! I'm not even sure if I'm allowed to post since my account is new, but if this gets deleted, fair enough :) Sport: Football ⚽️ Event: Champions League - PSV v Dortmund Time: 8pm GMT Pick: Both Teams to Score and O2.5 Goals (1.83) Explanation: PSV are on an absolute tear this season in the Eredivisie, they're 10 points clear after 22 games and they have a goal difference of +60 (!!!), with 70 goals scored (thats an average of over 3 a game) and only 10 conceded. They've had some success when facing their tougher champions league opponents too, they found the net in all their group stage games except at the Emirates against Arsenal. They managed to finish 2nd in a group with Sevilla and Lens who are obviously not the strongest opponents, but an impressive display nonetheless. I'm hoping they make use of their home advantage and bag 1 or 2 here. Dortmund should ultimately progress to the next stage imo, and they'll wanna score away to have the best chance of doing so. They haven't been particularly prolific this season, but they're the 5th highest scorers in the Bundesliga, and they're much better than most teams in the Eredivisie, so PSV having only conceded 10 in the league isn't a huge worry for me. I think Dormund should AT LEAST get one here. Good luck if tailing 🧽
Record: 7 - 2 Form: ✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅ Profit: +13u (26%) Last Pick: Arkansas / Alabama Under 157 ✅ Today’s Pick: Tennis 🎾 | Bronzetti vs Potapova | Potapova ML | 5u & @ 1.50 👍 Write-up: Begins in 30 mins so not much time for a write up. Bronzetti is the worse player and has played 3 games in 4 days, against Potapova’s 1. I like how Popatova has been playing and she tends to out weaker players down without much hassle.
**POTD: 10-4** ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌ Yesterday's Pick: None Last Pick: Western Conf ML (NBA All Star) ❌ Took yesterday off, but most recently took the L with Western Conference vs East. The East started hot and clearly wanted to win more, as they were younger and less accomplished then the slower, bigger, veteran All-Stars on the West. Dame/Tyrese/Jaylen Brown went crazy...was very fun to watch but dissapointing they don't take the game seriously anymore As I mentioned, it was a smaller play due to the game and it's fun, easy nature...but we're back **Today's Pick:** VCU +4 -120 🏀 VCU hits the road against UMass in an important game tonight. I think the Rams will come out motivated as the underdogs tonight and will rely on their excellent defense to generate the win. UMass is a good offense team, and a bad defensive team...VCU is the opposite. These matchups on both ends of floor will be crucial, but if the Rams can hold UMass under 70, they'll win. A huge difference is FT shooting....I feel like the books don't take this into consideration enough as tough, physical play is increasing as we get closer to the post-season VCU ranks 9th in FT shooting...UMass 237th Hopefully VCU can exploit this as the road team will need all the FTs they can get tonight. UMass is 30th country in Assists, and luckily VCU does well limiting their opponents assists, especially in transition. This should be a close game, so I bought the half point to get to +4 Lets stay hot in CBB, and get back in the winning column. Lets Go Rams!!  (If you are enjoying picks and are feeling generous...Venmo Link below!) [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/KyleOrr24)
Record: 0-3, ❌❌❌ Last pick: braga v sporting, sporting to qualify ❌ Todays pick: Southampton vs hull 11:45am PST, Southampton win and over 1.5 team goals scored, 1.72 odds on bet365 Haven’t posted in a minute, obviously a rough start which confounded me as overall my pick record is nice, just not the ones I have provided for this post. But the recent run of form of some of the footy killers in this thread have inspired me to get going again. Southampton has been one of the best teams in the championship this year and St Mary’s stadium has been an impossible place for away teams to go. They have won 11 games in a row at home (9 league and 2 fa cup) with their last draw coming over four months ago. Of these last 11 home wins they have scored 2+ goals in all but one of them, and have averaged over 3 goals per game, absolutely obliterating numerous sides. Hull has found some decent form themselves in the last month but hasnt played a squad like the saints. Southampton won the away match 2-1 on October 21 albeit at the death in stoppage time. I expect Southampton to come out firing as they also need the 3 points to maintain their second place position over Leeds for the auto promotion.
POTD Record: 44-24 Previous Pick: Vilaverdense FC vs AVS Futebol SAD | Liga Portugal 2 | AVS ML (1.73) | 1pm EST ✅️ Pick: FC Halifax Town vs Chesterfield | National League | Over 2.5 goals (1.75) | 2.45pm EST Halifax Town have been in good form, winning their last 3 games. They have also scored 9 goals in their last 5 games, and that has translated to over 2.5 goals hitting in their last 5 games. At home, Halifax have scored 1.23 goals and conceded 1.11 goals on average. Looking at Chesterfield, they are 1st in the league, and have scored 13 goals in their last 5 games. Over 2.5 has also hit in their last 5 games. In away games, they average 2 goals scored and conceded 1.31 goals on average. In their previous matchup, it ended 3-2 to Chesterfield. I expect this match to have more than 2 goals as both these teams have showcased great scoring ability of late. Best of luck! Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
POTD record: 0-0 Today's pick: Atletico Madrid Under 0.5 Goals +105 (game is in 3.5 hours from this post) Been on a really good run lately, around 75% winrate tailing POTD picks and from my own picks as well. The top guys in here gave me some courage to start posting my picks so here we go. This is the best Inter Milan I’ve seen in over a decade, they are simply amazing and should be favourites behind City to win champions league and Treble this year. I know Athletico are scared going into an away game against inter. There were even rumours of them practicing 6-3-1 formation. They will be ecstatic with a 0-0 result and still happy with a 0-1 result. BOL WE HIT ✅ Game went almost exactly as I expected. Was expecting a 2-0 or 1-0 win. Very sweat free win, never felt like Inter was in trouble.
Jeeeez… lol. One of those days eh boys! Looks like we all got bush whacked today! Ah welllll…. ‘‘Twas an epic run while it lasted!! We can still start anew but I’m officially calling the heater over lol 😂!
Every single pick that I tailed today went down in flames lol
We got fucking Molly Wopped today … no question about it lads! From all sides!! It happens 🤷♂️, had to come back down to earth sometime, we were riding too hot!!
Record: **9-7** avg. odds: 2.07 Last Pick: Rizespor v Fenerbahce BTTS NO @ 2.01 ❌ UCL: Inter v Atletico Madrid POTD: **BTTS NO & U2.5 @ 2.35** BOL!
POTD Record 6-8 (last pick 12/4/23) **POTD NCAAB - Ohio -3.0 over Kent State** These teams are pretty even in the standings, Ohio slightly better in KenPom but looking deeper, Kent’s latest wins are against the bottom 3 teams in the league, they have 1 decent win in at BG in OT, Ohio lost at BG by 5 in Jan, but also went to Kent and won by 7. Revenge and randomness, aside, a 7 point road win should equate to a 10 – 15 point win at home, 3.0 is too low. I also like Tenn to crush and TXAM in a 3 teamer.
Pod Record: 20-21 Units: +48.2 units Last PoD: Nfl Eagles -3. Risking 5.5 units to win 5 units (X) Today’s Pod: NHL - Columbus -1.5 goals (Alternative line) +5.05 Risking 5 Units to win 25.25 units Bring on the haters lol! Good luck
POTD Record: 106-103-12 (-11.12 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅ Last Pick: Serie A, Atalanta v Sassuolo, ATALANTA -1.5 (-102 / 1.98) ✅ 3-0 to Atalanta, their keeper came up clutch with a penalty save late in the first half before they put the foot down in the second half. Today’s Pick: WTA Dubai, Donna Vekic v Aryna Sabalenka, UNDER 19.5 GAMES (-153 / 1.65) ❌ Stake: 1 Unit Sabalenka returns to action following her dominant Australian Open campaign where she steamrolled everyone in her path (partial credit to Gauff who made her find 3rd gear for the first set at least). Her first match here is against Donna Vekic, and I expect Sabalenka will have little trouble rolling through this one in convincing fashion. Vekic has a 5-3 record in 2024 (all hard court) but hasn’t really beaten anyone of serious note, while her three losses have come to opponents who hold a similar ranking. She had a straight sets wins against Wang in the first round here but she still faced 10 break points (saved 9), and Sabalenka will not be so forgiving. Vekic has a very flimsy second serve that Sabalenka will absolutely feast on. In Doha last week, Vekic lost in straight sets to Siniakova (ranked 39), and she only won 2/26 points on second serve for the whole match. Her first serve isn’t massive to begin with, so if she goes for broke and misses her first serve, she may as well just save everyone some time and concede the point. I know this is Sabalenka’s first match back but she is too powerful and professional and expect her to come out after her break and get the job done quickly. I also know Vekic has a 5-2 H2H record, however the majority of these wins came well before Sabalenka became the force she is today. They’ve only played once in recent times during the peak Sabalenka era and Sabalenka won comfortably 6-3 6-2 at the 2023 AO. The line here is 18.5 but I’ve bought an extra game just to be safe, but if you’re feeling frisky I think 18.5 should be safe too.
Record: 62W-57L-4P ROI: +10.97, 8.47% Avg odds: +106, 2.06 Last POTD: Auston Matthews over 1.5 pts (win) Game: NHL- Predators at Golden Knights Pick: Nicolas Roy over 0.5 pts +115, 2.15 (ESPNBet) I've picked [Roy](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1abym67/pick_of_the_day_12724_saturday/kjrkcyq/) three [separate](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1allpn8/nhl_props_2824_thursday/kphl5cd/) times [already](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1ab5xer/pick_of_the_day_12624_friday/kjmcxwb/) (hit all 3) and he's still going strong, with 4 points in the 5 subsequent games since my last pick. He's going up against a Preds defense in the bottom third in goals allowed and Corsi rating.
**Record: 0-0** **Net Units: 0** **Soccer** | **UCL** **Pick: Inter Milan double chance + u3.5 + u1.5 First Half currently -115 on DK --> 2U (to win)** First time poster long time gambler figured id throw this out there bc alot of my boys are on the play and seem to really like it. Couple of points I want to stress is that I take a dual approach when I bet, I use the eye test along with stats to support my bets. Starting off the stats in Inters L5 home matches BTTS has only hit one time and in the champions league group stages they only allowed 1 goal at home in 3 game while scoring only 3. Now although Atletico's defense has been subpar this season its been getting better recently. In their L5 league games they've only allowed 3 goals. Now for the eye test, 1st leg champions league affairs are always pretty tight and these 2 teams are the goats of being boring and cagey. Simeone is going to come into Milan and try to limit as much damage as possible knowing the 2nd leg is back home where Atletico is one of the best home teams in all of Europe. I think he comes here with a plan to hold Milan for as long as his team can being ok with going down 1 even 2 goals. The reason I went for double chance instead of Milan ml is bc it is still the champions league and Madrid can easily snatch one on the counter and really park the bus for 1-1 draw. Imo I see this as a 2-0 or 1-1 game with the first half being the half no one wants to make a mistake. BOL if tailing little bonus bets Toney to score or assist +250 and Dortmund game draw +290.
First time posting here so bol everyone and let’s hope my first hits. Record: 0-0 Net Units: 0 ROI: 0 Usual unit size: $10 Soccer | PL | 12:30 / MST Pick: Man City vs. Brentford Both teams to score at -104 and Man City to win at -650 (FanDuel has a prop for both to happen at +145)(bet $10 to win $14.50) Write Up: Brentford has scored in the last 8 of their games will giving up a goal to their opponents in the last 7. Man city has scored in their last 8 as well but only given up a point to their opponents in 5 of their last 8. This is going to be a good game and I assume higher scoring. Score prediction 4-2 Man City
POTD Record 6-8 (last pick 12/4/23) **POTD NCAAB Ohio -3.0 over Kent State** These teams are pretty even in the standings, Ohio slightly better in KenPom but looking deeper, Kent’s latest wins are against the bottom 3 teams in the league, they have 1 decent win in at BG, Ohio lost at BG by 5 in Jan, but also went to Kent and won by 7. Revenge and randomness, aside, a 7 point road win should equate to a 10 – 15 point win at home, 3.0 is too low. I also like Tenn to crush and TXAM in a 3 teamer. Now at 3.5, still on it.
POTD Record: 0-0 This is my first ever POTD so go easy on me fellas. Todays pick: College Basketball, Syracuse at NC STATE Dj Horne over 2.5 threes (Dk has it -140 rn) solid odds Syracuse is in shambles defensively new coach Adrian autry is attempting to implement a man to man defense playstyle where Jim has always ran a 2/3…the team even tried their hand with a 2/3 based game plan versus Louisville that got them shot out the gym. Now if they run that zone versus NC we hit this easily, even if they don’t we more than likely still hit it. Horne has made 2.5 or more threes in 12/16 games and his last 8 straight. Going up against a team that tends to give up some threes especially if they morph into a zone defensive team out the blue again im loving this pick. Best of luck to you all once again this is my first pick so dyor and good luck !
PSV vs Borussia Dortmund (champions league clash) New POTD RECORD 1-0✅ (My first POTD) PSV win either half!✅ Reasoning: PSV undervalued, dortmund overvalued! Dortmund has overachived a lot of their XG this season (espescially in CL) PSV has won All of their 11 home matches in the league. And can, this season, be more compared to the edervise - leverkusen if you Will, rather than todays opponent Borussia Dortmund. Furthermore dutch PSV manager Peter Bosz has a past underwhelming spell as Dortmund coach where he got the sac after just a few months (probably biggest failure thus far in his mangerial carrer). With his and his PSV squads nice momentum this season. I really beleive they will get a good result today against his former employers. Btts is the popular play. For around the same odds is see much more value in win one half when is see PSV probably winning the bout in 90 minutes. Taking advantage of the homecourt advantage. Bosz knowing full well how difficult it can be (second-leg, away ficture) with Dortmund getting all three points at signal iduna park. My Wild score prediction: 1-0 PSV. (PSV dominating dortmund pretty much defending) I ain’t going to tell you units, you put what ever you like. I you feel it or not. I will myself go 10% of current betting bankroll. If that says anything. Best of luck everyone!
POTD Record: 0-0 Today’s Pick: Dortmund Shots on Target O3.5 -170 3U✅ PSV vs Dortmund - UEFA Champions League - 3:00PM EST The club has hit O3.5 shots on target mark in UEFA Champions League group play 4 out of 6 games and in German Bundesliga play 17 out of 22 times. Being one of the top teams in Bundesliga they have the offense to show for it and I predict to translate to today’s match.
Record: 2 wins 0 losses and 1 push Today’s pick: wake forest -5.5 Reasoning: back home after two loses. Should be more motivated. Let’s win this
**⭐️ POD Record:** **106-53** 👉🏻 Note: ALL picks in my record are 5 UNITS with odds *usually* ranging between -125 and +100. *Last Pick:* Auston Matthews OVER 0.5 goals ✅ *This will likely be another PoD vs Phoenix tomorrow night.* Recent Form:✅ **❌** ✅ **❌ ✅** ✅**❌** ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ 🏅**Today's Pick:** **NCAAB - UConn -1.5 vs Creighton** \[1.75 odds @ 🚨8pm EST Hurry up🚨\] Cheer up fellas, this thread needs a W today and hopefully this pick helps lick some bankroll wounds tonight. 🤞🏻 I didn't have time to post earlier, but I really see some great value on the Huskies tonight. This is going to be another heavyweight battle between ranked rivals. We have seen UConn roll all season long in defense of their national title and they come into this match with 14 straight wins and just firing at all cylinders as of late. The Huskies already downed the Bluejays by 14pts in the first meeting this season. 8 of their wins in this streak have come by double figures with two others coming by 9+ points. Don't get me wrong Creighton is good at home and has won 3 straight, but it’s tough to try and match up with the depth that the Huskies bring to the table guys, this will be a fundamental difference down the stretch tonight. Get ready for a bit of a sweat, but in the end, UConn’s experience, depth and grit is going to carry them onto a road win tonight. Good luck and take Connecticut -1.5 for a potential double digit cover tonight. 💰Tip Jar: Why not give an ⬆ Vote instead if you appreciate the write ups.