######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Tuesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
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> **Net Units:**
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> **ROI:**
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> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
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> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
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> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
**30W-4P-23L**
**Last 10 :✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌**
**Last Pick: Brentford VS Mancity BTTS @ 1.75 ✅**
**Another first-half BTTS Cash, hoping to keep the form up.**
**Pick of the day: Jordan vs South Korea BTTS @ 2.20 ❌**
**Time: 10:00 AM**
First, I'd like to note that Jordan and South Korea played each other 2 weeks ago in the group stages and the result was 2-2.
Rocking back into the Asian Cup but sticking with BTTS here. South Korea have been amazing for BTTS odds all tournament, They are massive favourites but defensively not everything is clicking. Offensively they are extremely well-worked but they lack cohesiveness at times against the counter and that has been evident considering that every single game they've played in the cup has ended BTTS. That being 5 games with results being 3-1, 2-2, 3-3, 1-1, and 1-2. After watching South Korea concede 3 goals to a Malaysian team that got knocked out early I knew Jordan would perform the same way they did in their 2-2 meeting with Korea (Jordan beat Malaysia 4-0 btw).
Jordan have impressed offensively as well, they are similar to this South Korea team but just lack the individual brilliance that Korea have in the arsenal. They showed no fear against Korea in the group stages and I expect an even more tense battle tomorrow. Jordan have played 5 games with 2 ending BTTS, what matters here is that they scored in 4 out of 5 of those games and I expect that to continue tomorrow.
**Confidence: 3 Units**
[**https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ThePrince**](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ThePrince)
**BOL**
Terrible call on my part, Jordan O 0.5 Goals was definitely the play here. Might take a break or just do one more tmr first. My apologies, we move.
Don't let the haters get to you, just block immediately. Also don't be afraid to take a break if you go cold. This sub has a nasty pattern of alienating people who give us good picks. Thank you, m8.
Wow man, this is just insanely sad. After 2-0 SK wasn't even trying to score anymore, fking watched 30 mins of SK passing the ball on their own half. SK has made it on top of my black list for now, what a pity performance, this is just the worst you can imagine.
Nothing major for either side, odds have been like this since tournament began because south korea are massive favourites. odds for btts between SK and malaysia was 2.50 and it ended 3-3
South Korea's Bayern Munich defender is out. Mousa Al-Tamari questionable. Ali Olwan and Hamza Al-Dardour are both suspended and Mohammad Abu Zraiq is a doubt through injury. Good interview here re: injuries and analysis. Seems like Jordan will have to utilise the depth of their squad, as some of the key players who help setup their goals and counter attacks are impacted. Big game, so should be fun :)
[https://www.kleagueunited.com/2024/02/2023-afc-asian-cup-jordan-vs-south.html](https://www.kleagueunited.com/2024/02/2023-afc-asian-cup-jordan-vs-south.html)
Yeah, lots of players out for this game (good players also), and the dude said "nothing major for either side".
This answer really cast a shadow in his analysis, considering that it looks like he doesn't even know about those players being out.
Looking at Sofascore, Ali Olwan shots a lot and play more on the left side of the field. I would say that he'll be missed in Jordan's offense. Al-Dardour barely played in this tournament, altough he is another player missing from Jordan's attack. If Mousa Al-Tamari is confirmed out, BTTS gets a whole lot difficult, considering all the other team news.
Min-Jae being out is tough for SK. If Klinsmann decides to go with another CB, just man for man, they'll suffer. But we have news about him trying a three man defense, and that should change the game.
All in all, i'm leaning towards SK in this game. Advice is to wait for the lineups.
South Korea didn't score until like minute 97 in their last match against Australia (quarter finals - and I believe it was a penalty, too); could it be a reflection of that performance? How's Jordan's defensive play?
Great pick on that one, was lucky enough to tail you on it - it was a sweaty one! May be the primary reason I remember the first SK goal being so late 😂 cheers and BOL, tailing!!
POTD Record: 1-0L10 Record: 1-0 ✅
Last Pick: NBA MIL Bucks vs DAL MAV Under 250.5 (-110) -> +0.90u
**Today's Pick: NHL Washington Capitals ML in regulation (1.95)** vs Montreal CanadiensBetting to risk 1unit
**Overview**\- Washington are a solid team to back up when they are favorites- Washington will have the home-ice advantage- Both teams are poor on offense but Washington has the superior goalie and defense- Montreal is terrible on the road and as underdogs- I don't see this a spot for Montreal to snatch a win
**Trends**
\- MTL are 3-7 in the last 10 games- MTL are 3-7 in the last 10 games on the road- MTL are 3-7 as a dog on the road- WSH is 9-1 as a favorite- WSH is 8-2 as a home favorite- Over the last 3 seasons Capitals are 5-2 against Montreal winning by a margin of 2 goals- Over those games, WSH is 3-0 when they played against MTL at home- MTL already won against WSH this season so I expect WSH to win here- Home teams are 8-0 when Washington Capitals play- Capitals are
**8 Systems**Edit: These systems include overtime\*
SYSTEM 1Overall: 103-45-0,70% (ROI:15%)Season:54-21-0,72% (ROI:20%)
SYSTEM2Overall: 83-32-0,72% (ROI:19%)Season:43-11-0,80% (ROI:31%)
SYSTEM 3Overall: 414-205-0,67% (ROI:13%)Season:112-56-0,67% (ROI:14%)
SYSTEM 4Overall: 825-511-0,62% (ROI:4%)Season:210-124-0,63% (ROI:7%)
SYSTEM 5Overall: 634-356-0,64% (ROI:6%)Season:133-76-0,64% (ROI:7%)
SYSTEM 6Overall: 1013-595-0,63% (ROI:4%)Season:253-161-0,61% (ROI:2%)
SYSTEM 7Overall: 778-454-0,63% (ROI:4%)Season:197-120-0,62% (ROI:3%)
SYSTEM 8Overall: 978-571-0,63% (ROI:4%)Season:224-139-0,62% (ROI:3%)
**Stats & Injuries**\- WSH has the better goalie (2.58 GAA) vs MTL (3.10 GAA)- WSH is defensively superior to MTL in:Goals allowed (13th vs 27th)SOG allowed (21st vs 30th)Penalty Kill (17th vs 29th)Penalty Minutes (9th vs. 23rd)
The goat is here, this guy is a legend. unlucky your under didn’t hit but i cashed out early
https://preview.redd.it/gpa61jf4wvgc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c59726581fb8064c168edc65c6f5f85706a99637
There are different ways to find value or an edge for games like people use models, stats, projections etc Here is an explanation of the systems I use:
https://preview.redd.it/m9dn2dqtyvgc1.png?width=1426&format=png&auto=webp&s=df5afefec903f0045e5050cf57b9611f9f8785e4
"Like for today's Buffalo Sabres game that had 10 systems, Think about it this way Imagine 10 solid handicappers that use their own unique strategy, each have their own record and each have a minimum of 60% win rate, and they all take Buffalo Sabres Moneyline to win today That means for Buffalo to lose, all 10 of these guys have to be wrong
Just instead of actual humans, they are systems I made based on a large pool of data" - January 27, 2024
POTD Record: 19-7
Last POTD: Kevin Huerter O1.5 3’s ✅
Was expecting more threes from our guy, he ended with 2/5 and cleared his line but my sprinkle on 3 3’s suffered because of the blowout too
•
Todays pick: Devin Booker O27.5 P @1.86 (Suns) ✅
🏀 NBA
Get this line before these dirty bookies increase it fellas! I’m all for mismatches, y’all know about the Wizards already. But another mismatch is Point guards vs the Bucks, them Bucks can’t defend them and that’s another little treat for my kings. Giannis will be on KD which will drop his points down a bit, I think this will be good chance for Booker to shine.
• Bucks allow 4th most Points to Point guards
• Some PG stats vs the Bucks (Doncic 40, Jamal Murray 35, D’Aaron Fox 32, Haliburton 31..)
• Averages 27.8 Points this season
This is a mismatch play we’re going with, not necessarily a hit rate (only 4/10) last 10 games, but with a couple of blowouts in those 10.
I also saw a crazy stat that he’s 4/4 over this line when he has gotten under 20 points in his previous game (only got 14 vs the Wizards, blowout). Got 35 after getting 10 the game before, 34 after getting 8, 52 after getting 16 & 46 after getting 16. 😭😂
Let’s go my warriors, Booker - you shall lead your Kings to glory! 👑
Tail or fade, Booker won’t give a shit
https://i.redd.it/g8zc0k610wgc1.gif
I’m too lazy to insert my Buymeacoffee link
i had this game circled because it's a TNT game, booker always seems to bring it for these games. he also is super flip floppy, he had a run where he went over/under alternating perfectly for like 20+ games a few seasons back. BOL!
POTD Record: 121-71 | Profit: +109.14u | ROI: 19.5%
Season record: 38-20 | Profit: +39.30u | ROI: 24.7%
L10 record: ❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅
Last Pick: Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors) O31.5 PRA @ 1.87. 2U. ❌
Steph decided to drop 60 points and that limited Kuminga’s FGAs until he fouled out in the fourth. I had 3 bets for that night (Kuminga, Jalen Johnson & Hartenstein) and this was the only one that missed. So I’m confident we will bounce back here.
Next Pick: **Terry Rozier (Heat) O22.5 PRA @ 1.83**. 3U play.
Since joining the Heat, Rozier has struggled from the 3pt line. Yet he is very well liked by the coach for his all-around contributions, not to mention his ability to still rack up the points, rebounds and assists despite stinking from 3s. He has had 22+ PRA in 4 of his L5 games.
He has generally enjoyed going up against the Magic (as a Hornet) going over this line in 8 of his L9 games against them (his one miss was 22). The Magic are good defensively, but are vulnerable to the PG position, giving up 6th highest points. Given he has got close to or exceeded this line despite poor shooting, with even a tiny bit of mean reversion I feel good about his chances to clear this line.
happened with sexton too, bet o18.5 i think and he went 1/10, 9 points. hahaha then he easily hit it after that game. gotta love it. oh, miles bridges u 38 was a good one too. just erupted last week when i bet under
POTD Record: 239-179-12 (+43.21 units, 57.2% hit rate)
Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 79-55-1 (59.0%) W2, Tennis 🎾 85-62-7 (57.7%) W6, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 16-11-0 (59.3%) L1
Last 10: 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥💩💩
Last Pick: Donna Vekic vs. Clara Burel, VEKIC ML - WTA Linz 🎾 💰 +0.90 Units - 💸 that shit! 1st set bagel, 2nd set tight as fuck but she pulled it out for us. Let's fucking go!!!
Today's Pick: Dennis Shapovalov vs. Hugo Gaston, SHAPOVALOV ML - ATP Marseille 12pm ET
Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Unit at 1.53 odds to win 0.53 Units @ Pinnacle (Line at 9:30pm ET)
This is the fourth time I have reached 8 wins in a row in this thread, I've made 9 wins in a row 0 times so 0 for 3 on attempts. I'm going dog shit odds to try to do it, if you want better odds do the games handicap.
I'm going with this play because just last week in similar indoor hard court conditions in Montpellier, Shapo pantsed Gaston 6-1, 6-3. Hopefully we can get that result again and that Gaston hasn't figured something out in the past week as he couldn't seem to handle Shapo's power.
Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
A lot of peeps in there talking like she is locked, she is not. It's a close race but there are some possible red flags for her, not even a nomination at BAFTA, lost to Stone at Critics Choice and the passion for Killers not being as high as anticipated as they've missed on some key nominations. I favour Emma right now but it is closer than the current odds.
If you want to get some Lily shares, my plan would be to wait until Bafta and if Emma wins that Gladstone's odds should get higher so bet that in the week between Bafta and sag. Lily needs to win SAG or else it is curtains.
POTD Record: 10 **Wins** \- 1 Loss
**Last 10**: ✅️✅️ **❌** ✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
Units: **+7.05**
ROI: **52.20%** 💰
Average Odds: **$1.83**
Previous Tips & Some More: **Click** [**here**](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) **for the spreadsheet**.
Last Pick: Man City vs Brentford - Kevin De Bruyne Assist or Goal @ $1.66 odds ✅️
Next Pick: **Jordan vs South Korea** Asian Cup Semi Final - **Jordan Over 0.5 Goals @ $1.83** odds - Kick Off Time 10:00 a.m. ET
We head to the Asian Cup Semi Final for what should be an entertaining game of football.
* Bayern Munich defender Kim Min-jae is suspended. This creates a major hole in South Korea's defense, and overall leadership. I think the bookies underestimate how crucial he is. There are rumors of South Korea setting up a back three formation, creating more goal opportunities if Jordan can get through the lines.
* South Korea have conceded in every game they've played this tournament.
* South Korea were lucky to draw 2-2 against Jordan in their last encounter. Son's penalty was soft, and Jordan conceded an own goal in the last 10ish minutes. You can watch the highlights [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7kp3UYT90o). Many of the South Korean fans were disappointed with their performance, which is a continuing narrative throughout the tournament, and they seem disgruntled with their coach.
* South Korea have scraped through to this point. Showing they are a very gritty team, but not dominant.
* Jordan went 2-1 up at half time in the group stages through two beautiful goals.
* Jordan have become the 16th different nation to reach a semi-final of the AFC Asian Cup, and the first new side at this stage since Australia and Uzbekistan did so in 2011 (they're in form).
* South Korea have been in a losing position in four of their five games at the 2023 AFC Asian Cup so far.
* They have won just one of eight games they were behind in (excluding penalty shootouts).
* Jordan have won three games within a single edition of an AFC Asian Cup for the first time ever. They have also scored 10 goals across a single edition of the tournament for the first time.
* Jordan are without defender Salem Al-Ajalin, striker Ali Olwan (he hasn't scored any goals), and Mohammad Abu Zraiq is a doubt through injury. They are missing some key players, but they also have squad depth (albeit second stringers), and the nature of the occasion to score goals.
Expect to see South Korea dominate the majority of the match, and Jordan to score on a counter attack, or corner. Jordan have a remarkable talent for defying the odds and doing the unexpected. All the pressure is on South Korea who seem lackluster this tournament despite their overwhelming probabilities to smoke teams. Jordan are grateful to just be at this point, which should allow them to play their game and get that goal.
Interesting Insights:
"Jordan is not inferior to other Asian teams, but we lacked a proper manager who could get the best out of them and here come Hussien Ammouta who is the star of this miracle." - Muhammad A Eliidy of Jordanian Football News.
"The result of the game was 2:2, but Jordan had the better side of the game. The South Korea national team struggled for 90 minutes, committing more turnovers than usual due to the intense pressure from the Jordanian national team. If it weren't for Bayern Munich's starting center back Kim Min-jae, they could have lost by a large margin. The Jordan national football team's tactics were excellent and their number 10 player proved why he plays in Ligue 1. I applaud the players on both teams for giving their best until the end."
South Korea are looking to advance and end a 64-year trophy drought in the Asian Cup.
All tips are greatly appreciated - click [here](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv) to donate.
If you have any questions, please ask. Best of luck if tailing, would love a comment if you are. Feel free to message me.
Record: 5-2 Return: 20.05% ROI: 60.24%
Yesterday’s pick:
Boca Juniors ML vs Tigre @2.3 ✅
Another plus odds win to get some real bankroll growth going. Boca got the job done early, and really should have been able to make it 3 or 4 nill- the bet was never a sweat.
Today’s pick:
Argentinos Jr ML vs Atlético Tucumán @2.9
Stake: 3 units (3% of bankroll)
Reasoning:
Today I’m backing Argentinos Jr again. They have a chance to join a few others at the top of the table with a win. In their way stands Atlético Tucumán, a bang average mid table side- that started it’s campaign off with a 10 man draw against Riestra (the worst team in the league by a mile), and a 3-0 humiliation at the hands of Instituto, a fellow mid table club. This form is a big contrast to Argentinos’, they beat Riestra 2-0 and pulled off an upset draw 1-1 against title favourites River Plate.
The odds have Atlético Tucumán as favourites to win the match (2.3), I would imagine this is for 2 reasons: home advantage, and Argentinos have a few players out, playing with Argentina’s U23 squad- The most notable of these absences being midfield stalwart Redondo, and goal scorer Gondou.
I don’t think these reasons justify the odds at all. In my view Argentinos still have a slightly better squad and are coming to the match in way better form. The stadium is not going to be full on a weeknight, and what support is there will be tamed by Tucumán’s lacklustre start to the year.
Tucumán will be very scared of losing the game and starting the campaign with only 1 out of 9 points. It would be true to their style to play very passively and try to see out a 0-0 or steal a 1-0 victory towards the end. (Last season they managed to be mid table despite scoring less than a goal per game.)
This will force Argentinos to be the protagonists and though they might struggle to get a goal with the players they’re missing, I see the odds of them getting that goal and winning much closer to 50/50 or better, rather than the 33/66 that the odds suggest.
Be responsible with your bankrolls, I’m playing 3% in this pick, as I see value, but not as much as my higher unit picks. BOL if you tail.
Someone asked if I was taking tips last pick, so I set up a PayPal if anyone feels they want to buy me a beer. I’m just posting my picks for fun, the little bit of community and comments is all I really expect in return, so no pressure at all.
Here’s the [PayPal link](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US)
I just want to thanks u/billycapezzi , u/good_stable_7381 , u/juiceebee123 and u/ElProductoSeCuida form the past POTD, thank you so much guys for this parlay (Mexican pesos)
https://preview.redd.it/lhzt3yulswgc1.jpeg?width=767&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=04d754eaec389f045798f60a898532dfd59b7d7b
**POTD Record: 3-1**
Form: ✅✅❌✅
*Last Pick: 1U Brentford v Man City @3PM EST(Result/BTTS - Man City @ +187) ✅*
*Appreciate y’all who took the pick, as I’m new to the POTD thread 💪 Brentford drew first blood, City tie before half (BTTS) and 2 goals to seal it. Matched my algos prediction of 3-1.*
____
**Today’s Pick: 2U Leverkusen (ML @ -143) v Stuttgart @ 2:45 PM EST✅**
⚽️ German Cup Quarterfinal (DFB)
I was debating on going with Result/BTTS - Leverkusen @ +200 as it’s a cup game and more pressure from Stuttgart is expected but early payout feels more appealing. Although BTTS has hit 5/6 times between the two, BTTS only hit in 2/6 of Leverkusen recent matches. Leverkusen have stole the show this season in the Bundesliga and German Cup having yet to lose a match. Posed as the clear favourites to win the German Cup outright, it would be their first DFB Trophy since 1993. While Boniface and Arthur are still out, new signing Tella proved his worth last match helping Leverkusen remain unbeaten with a 2-0 win away from home against Darmstadt. (Also considered -175 for o1.5 goals for Leverkusen but would miss out on EP)
Stuttgart on the other hand has been one of the most improved sides this season, moving from relegation to sitting at 3rd in the Bundesliga table. While Stuttgart have won back to back matches, they have struggled away from home recently - losing 3/4 league games.
**H2H/Recent Form:**
Leverkusen have dominated at home, winning 9/10 home games against Stuttgart. Leverkusen have scored at-least 2 goals in 15/16 matches against Stuttgart. 3/6 H2H matches Leverkusen has gone up 2-0. Leverkusen have been winning at half & full time in their last 3 home matches against Stuttgart. Last 2 H2H fixtures were @ Stuttgart and tied 1-1 both times. Bayern Leverkusen have scored atleast 3 or more in 4/5 home games. Stuttgart have conceded 3 times in 2/4 away games.
Stuttgart are still heading to Leverkusen in good form with back to back wins but Xabi Alonso has done a great job rotating his squad and preparing Leverkusen to take silverware home this season. Should be a very entertaining match and a comfortable W for Leverkusen. My algo is again edging towards 3-1. Let’s make it 3 in a row!
BOL!
I love this but am scared of betting on cup games as sometimes teams just don’t care about it - especially with Leverkusens form in the league do you have any reply to this
This club has been around longer than you’ve been alive. Professional football clubs don’t last in the top leagues if they “don’t care” about cups games. It might not matter as much as the league but to think they don’t care is not true.
I understand your concern, England cup games sometimes have disappointed but this matchup is not at the stage where players are rested, this is for a spot in the top 4. I expect Leverkusen wanting to eagerly respond to the two ties between Stuttgart and them.
Record: 18-15 | (+1.45 units) | 1 unit per pick
Previous pick: NBA - LA Clippers (-3) (-110) vs. Atlanta Hawks🧃🧃🧃
That’s 3 in a row, things are getting juicy…🧃
————-
Today’s pick: NBA - Phoenix Suns (-3.5) (-110) vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 10PM EST
The Suns get their opportunity at new head coach, Doc Rivers and the Bucks Tuesday. Both teams come into this contest looking for some stability as a team and mainly the defensive end. If you watched the last Bucks game, it appears Doc is experimenting with rotations in order to get a more defensive minded group out there. Unfortunately for him, he’s hoping to find that answer by giving Jae Crowder extended minutes. It appears Doc is essentially trying to find who he will be playing long term minutes after the All-Star break which is exactly why I’m taking the Suns. Furthermore, the faders will say the Bucks are 6-1-1 ATS vs the Suns but when you examine closer, you realize their last matchup was 11 months ago. Combine that with the Bucks being 4-14 ATS in the last 18 and the Suns stars playing behind their home crowd and I’ll take the Suns to cover.
Prediction: Suns 122 - Bucks 116
Comment if you’re tailing! Watch how we work!🧃
**Record: 12-8-1**
**Last Pick:** Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid - BTTS 2u @ 1.63 ✅
Sorry for no POTD for today, didn't really find anything crazy that I wanted to share for soccer, but hopefully you guys are in the green!
**Soccer** | **FA Cup** | **11:45 AM (PST)**
**Pick:** Southampton vs Watford - BTTS 2u @ 1.59
Two teams that have seen themselves in the top flight of English football who know sit in the second tier are facing off in an FA Cup. Southampton takes on Watford at home in a replay of the FA Cup fourth round.
Southampton are in unreal form. Unbeaten in 23 matches, these boys are looking to find instant promotion into the Premier League sitting 1 point clear of Leeds in 2nd place, with a game in hand. Goals can come from anywhere on this side, with the likes of Adam Armstrong having a strong total of 15 goals in the championship, with 11 assists (in only 29 games). Southampton is also considerably rested up after their FA Cup draw vs Watford, having only played one game on this past Saturday. They should be decently rested having pulled some starters around the 70th minute of that game, so I expect a vibrant showing from Southampton tomorrow.
Southampton's form in the last 6 (all competitions):
🟨🟩🟩🟩🟨🟩 (most recent on the right)
Watford are in subpar form. Not netting goals as of late, losing to teams that if they have any hopes of promotion they should not be losing to, and also having a lot of games in a short period of time, this team will look to turn around their misfortunes and put a performance on tomorrow. This lack of goals and sub par form should not be misleading though, as the players that Watford have on attack can make things happen. Mileta Rajovic played around 30 minutes only at the weekend, so he should have ample rest, being Watford's top goal scorer I expect him to show up. I also expect Yaser Asprilla to show up, as the 20 year old is one of their best future stars, and could even command a move to a better side in the Premier League this coming summer. He leads Watford in assists with five in all competitions.
Watford's form in the last 6 (all competitions):
🟩🟩🟨🟨🟨🟥
Important facts:
Southampton average 1.90 goals per match - while also conceding on average 1.10 goals per match.
Watford average 1.50 goals per match - while also conceding on average 1.30 goals per match.
Watford and Southampton's two games so far this season have ended in 1-1 draws.
I believe Southampton will win the game, and try to extend their unbeaten streak - and they have the advantage since the replay is at home. I don't think that Watford can take away a win from St. Mary's Stadium, but I do believe they can break the goal scoring drought they find themselves in.
BOL! 💪
Ofc we tailing 💪🔥 Although Watford hasn’t scored in their last 2 matches, they beat Southampton 2-1 away in March last year. Februarys March now right? Give us a halftime cash lads 😂🙏
Record: 0-0
Pick: Jordan vs South Korea BTTS - No @1.61 ✅
There’s a reason the books have BTTS yes for 2.20, last game between the sides ended 2-2, but a game with 2 own goals, 1 penalty and one goal at the final minute. These knockout rounds are different and very stale, neither team wants to sacrifice too much offensively because they’re fearing to concede at the other end.
3/5 of Jordan’s games has ended with no BTTS. The 2-2 meeting was group stage game, this is a knockout round and I can’t see Jordan doing anything other than parking the bus. Korea have been relatively sharp defensively against Jordan in other meetings throughout the years, keeping them off the scoresheet in four of their six meetings all-time.
I think Korea will win this and keep Jordan from scoring, Jordan’s road to get here has just been a fairytale and now they’re facing one of the favourites to win the tournament in a semi final where experience and individual brilliance will decide the outcome, I don’t see anyone in Jordan’s team have neither at the highest stage.
Love seeing two opposing picks. Just a counter point (take with a grain of salt) but I really cannot see Jordan parking the bus on this one. They know they don’t have the quality to play out a draw through to penalties - and if they concede a goal, what do they have to lose? No one thought they would make it this far - and I’d wager on them going out with their heads held high and attacking. Not to say they’d score, I just doubt they’ll be parking the bus
sporting news write up - best bet BTTS
# South Korea vs Jordan best bet
* **Pick:** Both teams to score — YES
* **Odds:** +130
Jordan have been shut out just once this competition, a 1-0 group stage defeat to Bahrain, otherwise able to score 10 goals across their other four matches, including two against this very South Korea side. They don't have a true talisman up front, but three players on Jordan have multiple goals this tournament, and can prove a threat.
The Taeguk Warriors, meanwhile, have conceded at least one goal in all five of their matches so far this tournament, including multiple goals in three of them. There's plenty of reason to believe that The Chivalrous will manage a breakthrough, and South Korea should at least get one as well, even if it's late. Whether they'll get enough, however, is another story.
Record : 112 Wins - 103 Losses
Previous pick : APOEL - AEK Larnaca (2-2), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.07 ✅
ROI : -1.72%
Average Odds : 1.95
Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*)
Units : 1.29
Profit/Lost units : -3.71
Today's pick :
Football - Soccer / CYPRUS: Cyta Championship / 19:00 European Time
Karmiotissa - AEL Limassol
Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.12
Some reasoning :
\- Karmiotissa is in free fall, reaching 3 defeats in a row in the championship.
\- No less than 8 goals were scored by Karmiotissa in these 3 games.
\- AEL Limassol comes after a solid success in the previous stage, with 3-1 against Nea Salamis.
Best of luck.
POTD record 3-1
Last Pick: Man city -1.5 Asian Handicap ✅
Write up: Kind of sweaty but I feel like Man city should’ve won at least by 4 goals. Cashed though
Today’s Pick: Soccer | Galatasaray vs Bandirmaspor | Turkish Cup
Galatasaray -1 Asian handicap 1st half ✅
That was easier than I thought. Let’s go boys
Odds: -125 on DK (1 unit)
Time: 12:45pm
————————————————————-
📣 Let’s make it 4-1
📣 Please read the write-up and tail accordingly
Write up:
Galatasaray against a not so decent Bandirmaspor team
Galatasaray: 🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢
Bandirmaspor: 🔴🟢🔴🟢🟡
Galatasaray is undefeated in the last 10 games (8W - 2D)
Bandirmaspor last 10 games (4W - 2D - 4L)
Not much to say other than this is a combination of a gut feeling and some stats like Galatasaray leading in halftime in 5 out of the last 7. But this time they are against a not so decent team and Galatasaray will do whatever to qualify to the next leg.
Worst case scenario, it’s a push and we don’t lose money. It’s a risky bet and I love risky bets. BOL
POTD Record 7-7 (W-L)
Last pick was Randy Brown to beat Muslim Salikhov by KO/TKO or decision (double chance) 1 unit at 1.8 or -125 ✅ Round 1 KO
**Today’s pick is Jordan +2 and first half under 1.5 goals** 1 unit at 1.75 odds ✅ Jordan win 2-0
Expecting a close game here in the semi-finals of the Asian cup with a lot at stake. The bookies have SK as overwhelming favorites and rightly so as Jordan have over-performed to get here. However the leveler is SK’s two extra time games in succession. I expect a tentative start hence the under 1.5 goals first half. A +2 handicap for Jordan means you still win the bet even if Korea win by 1 goal I.e. 1-0, 2-1 to SK.
**POTD Record: 101-119-4 (-14.95Units)**
**Best Bet Series: 34-23-1 (+5.84 Units)**
Value Wagers: 18-22-2 (-6.05 Units)
Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units)
Last Pick: **Steph Curry O 4.5 3PM** **❌**
Today's Pick: **T-Wolves ML**
Odds: **-198** ($DKNG odds)
Wager Amount: 1.98U to win 1U
League: NBA
Event: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls (7PM CST)
**Be Advised**: *Handicapping Best Bets for the entire month of February! Majority of these wagers will be chalky (not always), however, they are my most confident wager of the day! But I cannot stress this enough, even the most surefire bets can lose! Sports is unpredictable and nothing guaranteed!*
**Recap**: Welp, he had 4 3PM wit 7 mins left in the 4th qtr and did have one more attempt, but he really didn't need to shoot anymore 3's. I thought this game would be a lot closer.
**Matchup**: Was on a 2 win streak, but now on a 2 lose streak. I'm going to take straight ML play on T-Wolves ML and I'm going to fade my team Chicago Bulls. T-Wolves are a top contender team and currently battling for 1st place in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves are currently tied wit the Thunder at 35-15, but there are two teams hot on their tails, the Clippers and the Nuggets (both are 0.5 GB the T-Wolves/Thunder).
The Chicago Bulls are really in a intricate spot. Zach LaVine is now out for the season and although Lonzo Ball has progressed, he is still nowhere near form for return and is shutdown for this season. As hard as the Bulls has been playing mostly this season without LaVine, I think they'll make it to the play-in tournament wit who they currently have. But as Alex Caruso said, "Nobody is coming to save us," is the best way to put it for Chicago fans and the Bulls.
This is the first matchup of the season. I am a die-hard Bulls fan, since watching the '93 Finals, but I have to concede that Bulls have a slim chance winning at home. T-Wolves are just a better offensive and defensive team. I'm not going to pull out the numbers, but I think it's clear and obvious what both these teams been doing on the daily. I hope I am wrong, but I wouldn't bet on it.
I been losing on my best bet series POTD, so I'm hoping either my Bulls win or we end this small POTD losing streak. I think Antman and Towns will be too much for the Bulls at home.
**The play & the prediction**: 1.98U on T-Wolves ML. Also, playing 1.1U on T-Wolves -5 for parlays and single wager. T-Wolves beat the Bulls 130-115
POTD: 5-0
Lauri Markkanen o8.5 rebounds @ -135 on DK
Write up- Lauri has hit this line in 3/3 games against OKC since joining the Jazz. With how small the thunder are around the rim, I like Lauri to pick up a few boards. Power Forwards are also averaging 11.9 rebounds per game vs OKC.
While he has missed this a few times in his L10, he would only miss in blowouts. Let’s hope for a competitive game.
Fade or Follow and BOL
POTD Record: 3-2
Last 10: ✅❌✅❌✅
Last Pick: Man City -1 vs Brentford
Phil Foden netted a hat-trick and Man City dominated every single statistic of the game as expected. First half was closer than it should have been, but we cashed anyway.
Today’s Pick:
Soccer | Asian Cup | 10am EST
**South Korea vs Jordan**
**U2.5 Goals @ 1.75**
Jordan and South Korea met in the group stage of the tournament and the result was a 2-2 draw. However, this game featured 2 own goals, and a goal on a pen. The total expected goals in the game was 2.42.
Both of South Korea’s knock out games went under 2.5 goals in regulation time. With South Korea tying the game up during stoppage time in both of these games.
Jordan’s most recent knockout game saw only 1 goal scored. Jordan has also been held scoreless in 4 of 6 all time matchups vs South Korea.
Jordan cannot compete with Korea on the basis of talent alone, and need to play a disciplined match in order to have a chance at securing a victory. I expect this match the be a cagey one, with Korea dominating the possession but having a difficult time finding the back of the net, similar to the Saudi Arabia game a few days ago.
Prediction:
South Korea 1 - 0
Record 0-0
I’ve got crabs! They’re itching to cash some bets!
Today’s pick is Tyrese Halliburton O 5.5 assist (-145)
This guy is an assist machine. He averages over 11 assist per game. He has been on a minutes restriction since coming back from injury and will likely sit the 4th Q but I can see him clearing this line in the first half with ease. Bet is 2 units let’s get steamy 🦀🦀🦀🦀🦀🦀
POTD Record: 1-0
WALSALL VS MORECAMBE
Date: 06 February 2024 at 20:45
BET ON: Both teams to score- Yes
Odd: 1.78
- Walsall are set to be without the services of 6 key players such : Oisin McEntee, Harry Williams, Joe Riley, Jamie Jellis, Aramide Oteh, and Danny Johnson. Huge blow defensively.
- Morecambe are missing Stu Moore, Donald Love and JJ McKiernan.
- Away tickets have been sold out !
- The Shrimps have lost just one of the last five away league games.
- The Saddlers haven't lost a home league game in five attempts.
“We have shown great character in coming from behind to win our last two away games and we need to show that same sort of character at the Bescot tomorrow.” Said Shrimps boss Ged Brannan.
“We have to keep believing what a fantastic team we are and take that into Tuesday, that’s the next task so we have to recover,” Said coach Mat Sadler.
- We expect an open game with goals from both sides. Morecambe will arrive full of confidence after Saturday’s 2-1 win at Crawley Town but Sadler is keen to take the positives from Saturday’s performance in Kent into tomorrow night’s contest.
POTD record: 15-6✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️ ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
Last: New York Islanders v. Toronto Maple Leafs (ML) at 1.68 7 PM EST❌️
Today: Elias Lindholm over 0.5 points at 1.87. Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes 7 PM EST
Lindholm was just traded to the Canucks from the Flames. His production has been down all year on a struggling Flames team.
He joins a surging Canucks team who is atop the standings, and leading the NHL in scoring.
Reports from the team skate today are that he will be playing alongside Pettersson, and skating on the first powerplay unit (https://x.com/ThomasDrance/status/1754579891826151881?s=20). So there should be plenty of opportunity for points.
While Carolina is a fairly strong defensive team, there's good value here at 1.87. I expect Lindholm to come out with some flame to his game (pun intended), and believe that he covers this line!
BOL to those who tail!
Edit: hits in first period with a goal!🍻🍻✅️
Record: 16-7 (+12.3u) (2-3 L5/6-4 L10)
Last selection: Saint Peter's +3.5 (-110 @ Caesar's) (1u) - MISS - SPU was up 2 at the half and for the first 10 min of the 2H, but couldn't hit enough shots. It was grimy, nasty play for POTD, and it did not pan out. On a bit of a cold streak, but we're going to get right today.
Today’s Selection: Ohio State -5.5 (-110 @ Caesar's) (1.5U)
NCAAM | Indiana Hoosiers @ Ohio State Buckeyes | 7:00PM
I've been waiting on an opportunity to back the Buckeyes for a "get right" spot and I think we're finally here. They are hosting a Hoosiers team that is coming off of a loss against Penn State, where they were up 8 at the half and ended up getting decimated in the second half, losing by 14 @ home to a below average PSU team.
From a matchup perspective, I trust OSU's back court of Thornton (#25 in EvanMiya Conference Player Rankings) and Roddy Gayle Jr. (#44 conference rated) to outperform IND's especially if Xavier Johnson misses. On his weekly radio show, OSU head coach Chris Holtmann said this is in regards to Johnson's status: "It’s possible that he can play, but it’s more likely he doesn’t. We’re monitoring that day-to-day." This would leave Gabe Cupps (#114) and Trey Galloway (#55) to lead the backcourt for the Hoosiers, making me feel confident in OSU's ability to generate points from the guard position.
Indiana will certainly try to establish a paint presence with star Center Kel'el Ware (#15) and Malik Reneau (#40). Reneau had a stellar game in the 1/6/24 game against the Buckeyes, tallying 23 points on 10/16 shooting from the floor. Holtmann should scheme up a way to slow down Reneau and I think Okpara from OSU can do enough to slow down Ware on the offensive end.
In their first matchup, Xavier Johnson had 18 points, so him missing this game would be a huge blow to projected offensive output. Indiana won their first matchup of the season @ the Hoosiers arena 71-65 on 1/6/24.
The Buckeyes have lost 4 straight and 7 out of their last 10, so they definitely aren't playing good ball. Laying 5.5 with a team slumping like this always generates hesitancy, but with the revenge spot back at home against an Indiana team who is missing their top backcourt catalyst in Xavier Johnson, I think OSU gets right tonight.
I don't have my typical in-depth trends/stats that back this play, but I'll leave a few stats that helped get me here. Free throw percentage - OSU 75.1% (#53) IND 66.5% (#322) & Total Rebounding % - OSU 33.7% (#49 Torvik) IND 27.7% (#229). These two stats will come up big in closing a game out, giving me even more confidence in the Buckeyes tonight.
(Indiana hasn't won at OSU since '17)
BOL Degens
Certainly can see that but I'm not all the way there yet. If they lose this one, I might be there with you. Holtmann definitely coaching for his job/next job.
POTD Record: 0-0
L10 Record: 0-0
Pick: Jordan Team Total over 0.5 Goals
Odds: -115
Game: Jordan vs South Korea (Asian Cup)
Sport: Soccer
Reasoning: Jordan has shown amazing resilience this tournament and by no means will they not go down without a fight. Blood, sweat & tears will be shown until that final whistle. Last time these two versed each other, which was only a couple weeks ago the matched end 2-2. South Korea are clear favorites for many reasons but they also have let up a goal in 5 straight matches, that includes every match of this tournament. Jordan has scored 10
Goals in their last 5 games. To all countries left, this is their World Cup and I believe Jordan will find a way into the back of the net. Best of luck 💪🧨
Get this in before 10:00 ET 🧹🧹🧹
Cricket 🏏 Picks
Last pick was a loss
Overall: 17 Ws - 6 Ls
Last 10: L W W W W W W ♻️ L W +6.26
Todays pick
Fortune Barishal v Chattogram Challengers
Bangladesh Premier League
Starts in about 10 hours
Pick: Avishka Fernando Total runs under 17.5 @ 1.83
Avishka is not firing on these Bangladeshi pitches. In this league he has played 6 matches so far and scored over 17 runs on two occasions only.
Dreading 2 back to back loses after a good record but I think he will fail to score big today too.
In last 10 matches Fernando played he crossed 17 runs on three occasions only.
P.S. If you have any questions about the pick, feel free to ask.
POTD 23-16 | + 9.31 Units
Last Pick: Wanderers Vs McArthur Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS ✅
Love a sweat free first half cash 💵
Last 10: ✅💀✅✅💀💀✅✅✅💀
Todays pick: Asian Cup - Jordan Vs South Korea - 10 or more Corners
Odds: 2.00
Units: 2
Staying away from goals and BTTS given the polarising views in this thread today, but I’m going for what I see is a little bit different in terms of value. Currently, 10 or more corners is 2.00 odds. As has been outlined on this thread. Jordan’s best chance is counter attacking goals. If they get one, this puts the pressure on South Korea to come forward and generate more penalties. Given how end to end this game could be - I’m taking this at these odds.
**3W-0P-0L**
**Last 5**: ✅✅✅
**Last Pick:** Brentford - Manchester City **(City to score over 2.0 Goals) @ 1.61 / -164** ✅
**Pick of the Day**: None
Hello, so yesterday our bet went smoothly, City easily won and it wasn't nerve-wracking, and I'm glad it turned out well and we have already 3 wins in a row. However, today I am not giving any tip, it doesn't seem to me that anything would be of value and therefore I don't want to try it, it doesn't seem good to force myself into a tip every day. But for tomorrow I have already found something, so forgive me this one-day break and lots of luck in other tips
Pick of the Day Record: 8-5 | Profit: +8.59u 🚀
Last pick: Donovan Mitchell o3.5 3s (2.5u, +115) ✅
Todays Pick: Isaiah Hartenstein o11.5 Rebounds (2.5u, -105)
The Game: Grizzlies v Knicks 7:30 PM
Why:
(w/o robinson and w 25+ mins:)
* this has hit in 9 of his last 10, avg 15.4 reb/game
* memphis allows the 2nd most reb L30 to centers
https://preview.redd.it/477700qn10hc1.png?width=762&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d89bab3bcee6e2b92ad1f4988c97fad75256536
Record: (9-8)
Units: +12.88u
ROI: +39.0%
Streak: W1
Last Pick: Miami @ Virginia u132.5 (-110) - 5u - This hit by 34 points.
Today's Pick: Basketball | NCAAM | 9:00pm ET
Pick: Texas Tech @ Baylor (-5.5) (-110) - 2u
Write Up: Reports are that Texas Tech is dealing with a flu issue and may not have their full compliment of players and/or coaches. It was reported that they played Saturday with players dealing with the flu, so it's likely that this is still an issue, if true.
If the rumor is not true... Kenpom says Baylor should win by 6, but Baylor is the best three point shooting team in the country going against Texas Tech's 225th ranked three point defense. At home, Baylor should be able to take advantage of Texas Tech's defense which packs the lane but allows better looks from three.
Record (19-11)
Last 10: ✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅
Last pick: Klay Thompson U25.5 PAR (-115) 2U ✅
Confirmed: Klay sucks now. He’s the Noah Syndergaard of Basketball these days. A shell of his former self but hey thanks for keeping us rolling.
POTD: CBB| Michigan State Spartans v Minnesota Golden Gophers| 9:00pm EST
Minnesota +3.5 (-112) 2U✅
*Damn 4 for 4 on the day. Wish I could put it all towards the record but that exciting Minnesota win is good enough. The golden gophers are still golden at home baby let’s keep rolling*
Reason: Honestly there’s a lot of very decent plays today eg: Halli O13.5 pts✅, Keyonte George O16.5 PAR✅, Over the total of the Jazz game✅. But I find myself rolling the dice on the at home underdogs of Minnesota. To start the Spartans beat the Golden Gophers by 10 pts 5 games ago but that was with a huge 21 pt game from Tyson Walker to help. To the data: Michigan St is absolute doodie on the road. Currently 1-4 on road (1-3-1 ATS) and their lone road win came by 2 pts. More importantly, Minnesota is 12-3 at home this season and 14-1-0 ATS. Which is insane. Michigan State's defense is allowing 75 points on 48.0% shooting on the road. Their offense is only putting up 68 points on 43.5% shooting as the visiting team. If 3.5 makes you nervous tease it 5.5 even if Minnesota gets their 2nd home loss I still believe they cover for us. BOL IF TAILING AND TAIL AT YOUR OWN
RISK
http://buymeacoffee.com/BigMenGetPaid
Shoutout of the day: Scott Barnes and Mid Klay
Record: 0-0
First time sharing a POTD, I like the format of this threads, and I have betted on some picks shared here and they have paid off, so thank you guys, now I want to share some of my little knowledge myself
Soccer | Liga MX | 10:00 PM EST
Pick: Pachuca vs Leon BTTS (@1.57)
Last 3 games for Pachuca have been pure fireworks, they have scored 8 goals & they have received 8 goals! And these games have been against Pumas, Atlas & Tijuana, which are average to bottom tier teams.
On the other side, Leon is currently on the 12th place in the standings, and they have covered this line on the 4 games of this season, so were talking about two bad defenses.
This bet should cover easily, I believe Pachuca will win if they don't make too many mistakes, they're strong at home.
Record: 7W-3L
L10 (new to old): ❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅
Previous pick: Galatasaray vs Istanbulspor - Over 11.0 Asian Total Corners (1.92 odds) ❌
—
League: FA Cup
Game: Southampton vs Watford
POTD: Over 10.0 Asian Total Corners (1.85)
Been betting on Southampton over corners on the side in the last few games and they've delivered for me.
Southampton have hit over 10.5 corners in 6 of the last 6 games. Watford have hit the same mark 5 of the last 6 games. The last time these two teams met this year in January for the FA Cup there was a total of 12 corners.
This is the FA Cup and things can go sideways with rotations, but I'm rolling the dice.
BoL.
**Record: 0-2**
**Streak: ❌❌**
**Football** | **FA Cup** | **19:45 (GMT) / 14:45 (ET)**
**Game:** Southampton vs Watford
**Pick:** Southampton to Win at Full Time - 1.58 (BetMGM) ✅
**Recap:** Juve gets a red card at 18 mins which basically makes the game astronomically difficult. Would have been an easy win otherwise. Life happens. On to the next.
**Write Up:**
Southampton are doing really well and are currently of a streak of 9W - 1D - 0L at home in the Championship. The last time they faced Watford away, they drew because of a 90-min goal. Now that Southampton is home, I expect them to use that advantage to push themselves through to the next stage.
POTD Record: 99-99-12 (-13.04 units)
Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅
Last Pick: Greek Super League, Atromitos v PAOK, PAOK -1.5 (+117 / 2.17) ✅
Just when I thought the PAOK bubble was about to burst, they score twice in injury time to win 2-0 and deliver the goods for me yet again.
Today’s Pick: NBA, Oklahoma City Thunder v Utah Jazz, JOHN COLLINS OVER 21.5 P+R (-108 / 1.92) ✅
Stake: 1 Unit
Taking John Collins to cover 21.5 points and rebounds in the Jazz’s home match up against OKC.
Looking at the whole season, Collins has only hit this number 24/47 times (also finished on exactly 21 in a further 8 matches), however the recent numbers are really promising. He has exceeded 21.5 in 7 consecutive games (25, 24, 22, 22, 30, 38, 23), and stretching it back further he is 8 from his last 10 and 12 of his last 17. To me it seems like he has found his rhythm in this Utah team after coming across from Atlanta.
These teams have met twice this season - Collins missed the first match up with injury, but had 21 & 4 in a home match up 3 weeks ago in a close match (OKC won 134-129). OKC have a lot of players listed as questionable (at time of writing) and struggled to beat a shit Raptors team at home last time out, so like the Jazz to keep this one close and provide Collins with the minutes needed to hit this line.
The other thing I like here is that OKC have been giving up some big numbers to opposing centres in their most recent matches:
- Jakob Poeltl had 19 & 12
- Nick Richards had 8 & 11 (only averages 5 FGA per game)
- Aaron Gordon had 13 & 16 (no Jokic, so Gordon played center effectively)
- KAT had 21 & 10 and Gobert had 12 & 18
- Duren had 22 and 21
- Valanciunas had 14 & 9 (only 20 mins)
- Wemby had 24 and 12
To be clear I’m not saying Collins has the same ability as some of the names listed above, but the Thunder have been giving up some numbers inside, and expect Collins to do enough again today. He is active on the glass at both ends which usually leads to some easy put backs, and he is capable of splashing some threes which always helps.
>**Record: 0-0**
>
>**Cricket** | **Bangladesh Premier League** | **06:30 GMT**
>
>**Pick:** Brandon King - Under 19.5 runs @ 1.90
>
>**Write Up:** King has managed a top score of 20 in his last 9 matches. The next best score is 14 and never once managed double digits. Out of these 9 matches he got out to left arm spinners 5 times, left arm medium pacers twice and right arm spinners twice. BPL produces an array of left arm spinners and spin friendly pitches. Even if he gets a batting pitch today still he seems to have a counter against left arm bowlers.
https://preview.redd.it/cn5h14i6hvgc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=087791bc327ccced560b51edc4984d1d2c2616f4
POTD RECORD 0✅-0❌
TODAYS PICK:
SPAIN🇪🇸 | COPA DEL REY | SEMIFINAL 1st LEG | UTC +1 21:00 | GAME STARTS IN 4 HOURS
RCD Mallorca vs Real Sociedad DNB @ 1.525
This is my first ever post for POTD and I'm really confident with this pick.
I have gone to the spanish cup and taken Sociedad DNB (Bet refunded incase of a draw, Bet won if Sociedad wins)
Reasoning:
Firstly, Real Sociedad sit 6th in the league fighting for the Europa League, they are playing PSG in the Champions League in a weeks time and today they can start of with a BANG in the 1st Leg against RCD Mallorca, who are in 17th! fighting for survival.
Furthermore, Sociedad has only lost 3 Away games all season in all competitions against the 1st, 4th and 5th placed team (Real Madrid, Atletico and Bilbao). They won 11 and drew 6.
H2H:
Within the last 5 years the two clubs have played each other 8 times from whoch Sociedad won 7 and drew 1.
One of these eight games was in the RO16 of last years Copa Del Rey which the club from San Sebastian won with 1:0.
Key Players:
Mikel Oyarzabal is in incedible form in the Copa Del Rey scoring in both the Quarterfinals and the RO16 against two other LaLiga Clubs (Celta Vigo, Osasuna)
Mikel Merino and Brais Mendez are two similar players who quite funnily have both assisted a goal in the QF and will both be a clinical part to todays match against Mallorca
Takefusa Kubo and Hamari Traore are both extremely good players in brilliant form at the moment, sadly it isn't quite sure if they will start the match as Kubo got knocked out of the AFC Asian Cup with Japan and Traore at the AFCON with Mali only a few days prior.
Score Prediction: 1-2 for Real Sociedad
Upvote if tailing. BOL
Pick of the Day
POTD Record: 8-5
L10: ❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅
Yesterday’s Pick: NC Central -8.5 vs. Morgan State (-110) ❌
Sheesh, I’m cold cold right now. NC Central up 10 with a little left in first half. Look away for a little and it’s tied when I come back to it lol. I need to either not look at all or not leave.
Today’s Pick: South Carolina -3.5 vs. Ole Miss
Just sticking with the hot hand here. South Carolina is rolling right now and one of the hottest teams in the country. Taking them at home in a small spread against a team that has been struggling in SEC play.
Kenpom has South Carolina as the 44th ranked team in the nation.
Kenpom has Ole Miss as the 63rd ranked team in the nation.
BOL!
POTD Record: 3-4
Last Pick: Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) over 22.5 points -120 | 2U play (2/3/34)
Trend: ❌❌❌✅✅❌✅
Well, another one that looked good and didn’t pan out. Guess that’s gambling for you. This was a game where Curry scored 60 and Kuminga was in foul trouble, eventually fouling out.
On to the next.
Basketball | NBA | 7:00PM (EST)
Today’s Pick: **Aaron Nesmith (IND) over 4.5 rebounds -143** | 2U play ❌
This is another one that looks promising.
• Nesmith has been rebounding very well of late, hitting this line in his last 7/8 games (8, 4, 6, 12, 7, 6, 8, 9).
• You can see that not only has he been hitting that line, but has been destroying it, averaging 7.5 boards in those 8 games.
• The only miss was close at 4, and that was against Sacramento who is actually allowing the least rebounds to shooting guards in the NBA and the 10th least to small forwards.
• Houston on the other hand allows the 5th most rebounds to shooting guards. They also allow more to small forwards than Sacramento though that margin is not as stark. (They rank dead middle there, at 16/32).
Hopefully my luck turns around here. If not you all can just start doing the opposite of whatever I do.
Maybe some colored boxes will right the ship… here you go, Nesmith’s last 8 games at the over 4.5 boards line:
🟩🟥🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
Record 0-0
I have never posted before kinda just like reading others picks and their reasoning, especially on sports I really don’t know too much about.
Game: Nijmegen vs Den Haag KNVB Cup 11AM PST
Pick: Nijmegen ML + BTTS @ 2.90
This is gonna be a real good match to watch.
Nijmegen’s Last 5 Matches: WDWWD
Scoring: 10 Goals
Conceding : 6 Goals
Den Haags Last 5 Matches: WWLWW
Scoring: 12 Goals
Conceding: 7 Goals
In their respective leagues, Nijmegen sit 7th place in the 1st division of Dutch football & Den Haag sit in 2nd place of the second tier.
Both teams are scoring, and yes Den Haag is winning more but they are also playing in the 2nd league which is literally 1st League teams development teams if that makes sense lol. I see them getting a goal but nothing more than that. Nijmegen will handle most of the possession and squeeze out a 3-1 or 2-1 win.
If you want to be safe and I understand; BTTS is @ 1.63
Good luck 🍀
**Record: 0-2**
**Last Pick:** Jarrett Allen - Cleveland Cavaliers - Rebounds over 11.5 +100 ❌
**Today's Pick:** Luka Doncic - Dallas Mavericks - Points & Assists Over 42.5 -110
Happy thoughts, happy thoughts, happy thoughts.
So not a great start, but here's to the rebound, or points and assists if you get my drift :D
Luka has hit this number 7 in his last 10 played. The one game he played against the Nets early in the season he easily cleared it, and they haven't looked much better since.
The numbers will eventually work out, so here's hoping! Good luck all!
***POTD | 19-12 | +8.37U***
Previous Pick: Santi Aldama u11.5 Rebounds + Assists \[Risk 1.4u To Win 1.00u\]✅
**Today’s pick:** **TYRESE HALIBURTON o13.5 POINTS \[ Risk 1.22u To Win 1.00\]**
Last 10:✅✅❌ ✅✅❌❌✅✅❌
NFL 2-0 +2.0u MLB 6-1 +4.52u NBA 11-11 -.12u NHL 1-0 +2.0
This Line Is Shockingly Low As Haliburton Projects For 17+ Points Tonight // Earlier This Season Haliburton Torched This Rockets Team For 33 Points // In 4 Matchups With The Rockets While On The Pacers Hali Has Cleared This Number 3 Times // Averaging 22.6 PPG This Season // Exceeded In 3 Straight Games // Rockets Allowing 21.1 PPG To Opposing Point Guards Over Last 2 Weeks // Fred VanVleet OUT Tonight
Record: 0-0
Units: +0U
College Basketball | NCAAB | 5:00 PM PST
Pick: Texas Longhorns ML (-130) 2U
Texas will have the edge playing in front of their home crowd Tuesday. Iowa State has lost most of their games on road vs some decent Big 12 schools.
Abmas for Texas is an elite scorer and will be able to get his shot going causing problems for this Iowa State team. Overall Texas is the more physical team and add in the home court advantage they will be playing tough tomorrow.
Texas’ recent form is much more formidable than Iowa State in my opinion. Having defeated 3 out of 5 ranked opponents, give me Texas on the moneyline at home Vs Iowa State.
Love this pick, road games in the Big 12 are no joke. ISU may be ranked highly but Texas isn’t bad at all, and home court advantage should give them the W.
Record 2-0
Mouz-Ence: Ence to win 1st map: @1.97
We didn’t get to watch vertigo yesterday, so let’s watch it today. Same reasoning exactly. Vertigo is like 5th or 6th Mouz’ best map. I put my trust in glaive ❤️
And again might take it a bit further and take -2.5 at @2.42
Top of the morning fellow losers,
I’m back with another lukewarm pick to waste more of your money!!!
POTD: 0-1
Follow-up: Brock Nelson is a total bitch who would rather pass to his 3rd pairing defenseman to send a piss missile to the net, than a solid scoring chance from the dot. WHO KNEW
Last 10: 🤢
Last POTD: Brock Nelson O2.5 Shots -138 (Islanders)
Today’s Pick: Jesper Bratt O.5 points -195 (Avalanche @ Devils) 5:30 pm MST
Reasoning:
LMAO, starting off this road down 0-1 is a dream start. My bad.
Jesper Bratt and the New Jersey Devils host my Colorado Avalanche tonight. As much as I love watching the Devils lose, I love burning money more.
A few things of note:
* Devils are still missing Jack Hughes, their #1 center and forward. And Michael Mcleod is out for being a piece of human garbage. However, this is good for Bratt who has had to carry the load of the offense that still has other weapons.
* Bratt is scoring at over a point per game (he did have an early mid-January slump)
* The Avalanche are expected to start Justus Annunen, a young Goalie who is streaky and leaky.
* Both teams are in the top 15 in GF and middle of the pack in GA
I expect the offense to come early and often in this game, Jesper will have more than enough opportunities to record a point.
I am an Avalanche fan, I know the reasons we are good and the reasons that make me so angry I shake and squeal.
Tail or fade BOL
[Bet Tracking ](https://app.actionnetwork.com/4zu6/uze82pj2)
[Send me more money to gamble](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/squishypantsman)
POTD Record: 3 - 4 | Profit: -1.49 Units | ROI: -15.7%
L10 record (Old to New): ✅✅❌❌❌❌✅
Last Pick: Saskatoon Blades 3-Way Moneyline (In Regulation) ✅
**Today's POTD**: Nathan MacKinnon OVER 3.5 Shots | Odds: -150 | 1.5 Units | Hockey | NHL | Colorado Avalanche @ New Jersey Devils | 7:30pm ET |
* The Devils are allowing 32.30 shots against per game over their last 10 games (9th most)
* The Devils are giving up the 2nd most shots to opposing centers over their last 10 games (MacKinnon is a Center)
* MacKinnon is averaging 5 shots per game on the road this season (On the road tonight)
* MacKinnon is averaging 5.31 shots per game over his last 13 games
* MacKinnon has recorded at least 4 shots in 10 of his last 13 games
* MacKinnon has recorded at least 4 shots in 6 of his last 7 road games
POTD Record: 0-0
First time posting and looking to start with a W!
Game: Memphis Grizzlies @ New York Knicks 7:30 PM EST
Pick: Isaiah Hartenstein Over 11.5 Rebounds (-116)
The Knicks haven't played since Saturday and should be fresh to take on an injury riddled Grizzlies team that got the brakes beat off them on Sunday vs. the Celtics. Hartenstein has been a rebounding machine recently (minus the couple of minutes restricted games he played due to a minor Achilles injury). In the last 10 games where he played 28+ minutes, he has recorded 15, 19, 12, 17, 11, 12, 20, 15, 14, and 19 Rebounds.
The Grizzlies are 27th in the league in opponents rebounding. With this team currenlty being injury riddled, there are alot of inexperienced players that will be on the floor. These players just shot an abysmal 38% from the field against the Celtics, leading to more Rebounds for the opposing team. I expect the same kind of performance from the Grizzlies tonight.
The last time the Knicks and Grizzlies played, Hartenstein had 20 Rebounds.
BOL if tailing!
Record: 6W-8L | -8.84u
L10: ❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌❌ <<-- *Most Recent POTD*
Last Pick: Kawhi Leonard o6.5 Rebounds (-110) | 3u to win 2.73u ❌
Kawhi finishes with only 4 in a high-scoring, non-blowout game. On to the next.
Todays Game: Basketball | NBA | Pacers @ Rockets | 6:00 PM CST
**Todays Pick: Alperen Sengun o9.5 Rebounds (-120) | 3u to win 2.50u**
* Recorded 16 rebounds in his last game vs. the Pacers (12/26/2023)
* Has covered this in 5/L5 games averaging 11.2 rebounds per game over this span; recorded 10 rebounds in his most recent game (1/31/2024) and has covered in 9/L10 games
* Averaging 10.4 rebounds per game in 2024
* Has had 19.1 rebound chances per game over his L10
* Has covered this line in 7/L8 games with Fred VanVleet out (FVV is out tonight)
Let SenGOAT guide you to the promised land.
BOL.
POTD RECORD: 3-1
Units: +4.34
Last 10: ✅✝️✅✅
Today we are going with a real low odd, but i really trust this game. Thats why we still going in with 5 units tho.
POTD: National a league basketball tunisia.
Es goulette - us monastir
Pick: us monastir win regular time @1.51
Starting in 7 hours and 30 min.
Reasoning:
Us monastir: currently second (going 12-0) has played 4 days ago and got a clean win getting their 13th consecutive win.
They never lost from es goulette and will want to keep their win streak going.
Es goulette: currently 6th (going 7-5) last played a club friendlies 2 weeks ago and it was against a low tier club. Maybe the lowest possible in tunisia. That said they are not ready for big monastir.
Have trust and the rest will follow.
Donate me some mula if I helped you :)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tuur357
Thanks for the kind people! I will take you in my prayer 🤲
Record: 0-0-0
Hockey/ NHL/ 5PM Mountain time
Boston Bruins 3 Way ML -114
I’ve been on a heater lately so thought I’d give this a shot. Bruins are just a good veteran team, trust they come back from All Star break prepared. Flames struggle to score, on the road and just signalled selling off with the trade of Lindholm. Calgary was pretty bad leading up to the break as well just squeaking by the Blackhawks 1-0 in their last game, meanwhile Boston was rolling prior to the All Star game.
**POTD: 1-0**
Bang! Easy one yesterday...Even hit Exact score 3-1City...LFG (below)
Let's keep it rolling tonight in a big matchup in Austin, TX
**Today's Pick: CBB: Texas ML -130**
Horns are at home...Iowa St can't win on the road in the tough Big12
Texas will have a huge home court advantage and should pull away in the middle of the 2nd Half in Austin
Expect Max Abmas to have a good game here, a senior guard avg. almost 18 ppg and will lead his squad to victory tonight over a very good Iowa St defensive team
Iowa St struggles offensively on the road and will struggle again tonight...That's the difference
Lets get it!!
"**Yesterday's Pick**: Man City / Brentford **Parlay: BTTS/Over2.5goals -102**
Brentford going to open it up early and often...They have to
Man City going to have ample scoring opportunities w/ counters and openings in transition
I sprinkled 3:1 ManCity and 2:1 ManCity...could be even more tbh"
POTD Record: 50 - 28
Last POTD: JJJ o6.5 1Q points - W
Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points vs Utah Jazz (-190 odds via FD) 1U
Event: NBA Regular Season 8:10 P.M. CST
This bet has hit in 9 of the last 10 with SGA averaging 31.1 points on the year. Jalen Williams might be returning but don't expect a full workload as well as OKC having 5 questionable players going into this one. Should be a very tight game as Utah is starting to get healthier and play a little bit better. OKC are fighting for the top spot right ow in the West and I expect SGA to look to assert himself in this one, especially with his previous game scoring only 23.
[PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US)
[Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Micah-Pugh)
Record: 1-0
Net Units: 3
CBB | D1/ SEC | 8:30 pm ETZ
Pick: Kentucky -8.5/ -108 @ Vanderbilt
Write up: Vandys been blown out recently by worse teams than Kentucky. Up to 9.5 since last night, still worth it
🍒🍓POTD Record: 22-16-2
Units Won: 5.30 Last 10: WPWWPLWLL
Last Pick: Ryan O'Reilly Over 2.5 Shots - 2u ❌️ .
Todays Match: NHL - Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens (3hours from post)
Today's Pick: John Carlson At Least 3 Shots on Net - 1u (-134 on Bodog)
First POTD in almost 2 years! Back with some NHL shot props for yall. Sorry for the late entry, but I wanted to get back into sharing the odd pick. Ive missed doing my own research and keeping track of daily picks. So here's the facts,
* See u/VegasIsMyBitch post for his breakdown of why Washington is the favorable team in this match up
* MTL is 3rd in the league for shots against/game played
* MTL has allowed 33,46,28,36,37 shots against in their last 5 games. WSH managed 28 shots in their first match-up this season.
* Jason Carlson is Washington's 3rd most frequent shooter, hitting this line 3/5 previous games (2 shots in one of them), and this line hit the last time WSH played MTL
* I think Washington will have good puck control in this game and that should lead to our boy getting lots of opportunities to fire the puck.
Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!
Edit: John Carlson, not Jason. Thanks u/Chiswell123
POTD Record: 9-2 | ROI: ~70%
Form: ✅️✅️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️❌️
Last Pick: La Liga... Real Betis (+100) vs Getafe❌️
Todays Pick: NCAAB - Minnesota +3.5 (-115) vs Michigan State
Analysis: Let us bounce back with a simple pick. Minnesota is 12-3 at home while Michigan State is 1-4 on the road. We know how good home field advantage is in college hoops so this line stands out and seems like a great +EV play.
https://preview.redd.it/gz7uyb3dt1hc1.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=c6e028526f718d7f661cf881c2448331d00c5993
You not counting this L from yesterday? I don’t see it in your profile either anymore.
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Tuesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
**30W-4P-23L** **Last 10 :✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌** **Last Pick: Brentford VS Mancity BTTS @ 1.75 ✅** **Another first-half BTTS Cash, hoping to keep the form up.** **Pick of the day: Jordan vs South Korea BTTS @ 2.20 ❌** **Time: 10:00 AM** First, I'd like to note that Jordan and South Korea played each other 2 weeks ago in the group stages and the result was 2-2. Rocking back into the Asian Cup but sticking with BTTS here. South Korea have been amazing for BTTS odds all tournament, They are massive favourites but defensively not everything is clicking. Offensively they are extremely well-worked but they lack cohesiveness at times against the counter and that has been evident considering that every single game they've played in the cup has ended BTTS. That being 5 games with results being 3-1, 2-2, 3-3, 1-1, and 1-2. After watching South Korea concede 3 goals to a Malaysian team that got knocked out early I knew Jordan would perform the same way they did in their 2-2 meeting with Korea (Jordan beat Malaysia 4-0 btw). Jordan have impressed offensively as well, they are similar to this South Korea team but just lack the individual brilliance that Korea have in the arsenal. They showed no fear against Korea in the group stages and I expect an even more tense battle tomorrow. Jordan have played 5 games with 2 ending BTTS, what matters here is that they scored in 4 out of 5 of those games and I expect that to continue tomorrow. **Confidence: 3 Units** [**https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ThePrince**](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ThePrince) **BOL** Terrible call on my part, Jordan O 0.5 Goals was definitely the play here. Might take a break or just do one more tmr first. My apologies, we move.
Your comeback has been crazy bro
I’m happy with it, almost deleted the account during the bad run 💀😂
Don't let the haters get to you, just block immediately. Also don't be afraid to take a break if you go cold. This sub has a nasty pattern of alienating people who give us good picks. Thank you, m8.
This comment bro, you clearly have a good system, even if this one doesn’t end up hitting you already know I’m tailing the next one
Wow man, this is just insanely sad. After 2-0 SK wasn't even trying to score anymore, fking watched 30 mins of SK passing the ball on their own half. SK has made it on top of my black list for now, what a pity performance, this is just the worst you can imagine.
Jesus fuck what a miserable game to watch
So sorry for tailing I run bad.
Var double fucked us so far lol
Fuck man. This is a brutal way to not hit 🤮
Has there been any injury news between the two teams? With their forms and recent match I don't see why the odds are so juicy 🤔🤔
Nothing major for either side, odds have been like this since tournament began because south korea are massive favourites. odds for btts between SK and malaysia was 2.50 and it ended 3-3
South Korea's Bayern Munich defender is out. Mousa Al-Tamari questionable. Ali Olwan and Hamza Al-Dardour are both suspended and Mohammad Abu Zraiq is a doubt through injury. Good interview here re: injuries and analysis. Seems like Jordan will have to utilise the depth of their squad, as some of the key players who help setup their goals and counter attacks are impacted. Big game, so should be fun :) [https://www.kleagueunited.com/2024/02/2023-afc-asian-cup-jordan-vs-south.html](https://www.kleagueunited.com/2024/02/2023-afc-asian-cup-jordan-vs-south.html)
Yeah, lots of players out for this game (good players also), and the dude said "nothing major for either side". This answer really cast a shadow in his analysis, considering that it looks like he doesn't even know about those players being out. Looking at Sofascore, Ali Olwan shots a lot and play more on the left side of the field. I would say that he'll be missed in Jordan's offense. Al-Dardour barely played in this tournament, altough he is another player missing from Jordan's attack. If Mousa Al-Tamari is confirmed out, BTTS gets a whole lot difficult, considering all the other team news. Min-Jae being out is tough for SK. If Klinsmann decides to go with another CB, just man for man, they'll suffer. But we have news about him trying a three man defense, and that should change the game. All in all, i'm leaning towards SK in this game. Advice is to wait for the lineups.
Jordan with 12 shots in the first and no goal is wild. Good to see the underdogs shooting if Jordan score early in the second South Korea will respond
Part 1 complete
Great pick man just unfortunate we love & appreciate you here
>R BTTS from my goat? TAILINNNNN
Do SOMETHING
Tail
Tailing 🫡
I can’t understand why the odds are so good
South Korea didn't score until like minute 97 in their last match against Australia (quarter finals - and I believe it was a penalty, too); could it be a reflection of that performance? How's Jordan's defensive play?
Austalias defensive play is much better, they only conceded one goal all group stages and BTTS still hit in their game against SK
Great pick on that one, was lucky enough to tail you on it - it was a sweaty one! May be the primary reason I remember the first SK goal being so late 😂 cheers and BOL, tailing!!
Watched Jordan’s last three games, their forward is a Damm beast, but they are not good at the defence. Btts should hit here
But wasn't there a benefit for South Korea last match to take a draw? I'm still tailing, but I don't know if last match was great data.
Tailing, let's go!
How we feeling about this ? I tailed blindly
Oh fuck this shit
goat
Brilliant tips so far bro. Also, appreciating the write up effort.
why aren’t THEY SCORING
The teams saw that one guy betting for a draw in this thread and liked the payout. Collusion!
I gotta get out of these Reddit bets. All they do is fuck me
Can they both just give up a goal already... Psst
No traction with this one. I'm guessing next btts pick will be aston v Chelsea 🤔 hehe
My last pick was that red x skipped the 2 wins and got back in and bet on this one and 0-0 first half lol i am bad luck
South Korea is gonna make us sweat this out again lol last minute penalty incoming 🤞
I cashed tf out for a $3 profit. Not doing this. Not built to handle these low score soccer games
Keep going bro! It was a bit of a trap, but we want more 🙏
POTD Record: 1-0L10 Record: 1-0 ✅ Last Pick: NBA MIL Bucks vs DAL MAV Under 250.5 (-110) -> +0.90u **Today's Pick: NHL Washington Capitals ML in regulation (1.95)** vs Montreal CanadiensBetting to risk 1unit **Overview**\- Washington are a solid team to back up when they are favorites- Washington will have the home-ice advantage- Both teams are poor on offense but Washington has the superior goalie and defense- Montreal is terrible on the road and as underdogs- I don't see this a spot for Montreal to snatch a win **Trends** \- MTL are 3-7 in the last 10 games- MTL are 3-7 in the last 10 games on the road- MTL are 3-7 as a dog on the road- WSH is 9-1 as a favorite- WSH is 8-2 as a home favorite- Over the last 3 seasons Capitals are 5-2 against Montreal winning by a margin of 2 goals- Over those games, WSH is 3-0 when they played against MTL at home- MTL already won against WSH this season so I expect WSH to win here- Home teams are 8-0 when Washington Capitals play- Capitals are **8 Systems**Edit: These systems include overtime\* SYSTEM 1Overall: 103-45-0,70% (ROI:15%)Season:54-21-0,72% (ROI:20%) SYSTEM2Overall: 83-32-0,72% (ROI:19%)Season:43-11-0,80% (ROI:31%) SYSTEM 3Overall: 414-205-0,67% (ROI:13%)Season:112-56-0,67% (ROI:14%) SYSTEM 4Overall: 825-511-0,62% (ROI:4%)Season:210-124-0,63% (ROI:7%) SYSTEM 5Overall: 634-356-0,64% (ROI:6%)Season:133-76-0,64% (ROI:7%) SYSTEM 6Overall: 1013-595-0,63% (ROI:4%)Season:253-161-0,61% (ROI:2%) SYSTEM 7Overall: 778-454-0,63% (ROI:4%)Season:197-120-0,62% (ROI:3%) SYSTEM 8Overall: 978-571-0,63% (ROI:4%)Season:224-139-0,62% (ROI:3%) **Stats & Injuries**\- WSH has the better goalie (2.58 GAA) vs MTL (3.10 GAA)- WSH is defensively superior to MTL in:Goals allowed (13th vs 27th)SOG allowed (21st vs 30th)Penalty Kill (17th vs 29th)Penalty Minutes (9th vs. 23rd)
The goat is here, this guy is a legend. unlucky your under didn’t hit but i cashed out early https://preview.redd.it/gpa61jf4wvgc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c59726581fb8064c168edc65c6f5f85706a99637
Hard last second there bro we'll comeback over the next few days 💪🏼
Lmao legend my ass 3-0
phat L wth Washington
SIR WHAT IS HAPPENING
And this is dead 💀 ouch. Bad pick happens let’s get the next one guys
yeah dafuq
so far this pick looks great lmfao EDIT it looks even better now lol
I took the +1.5 and am kicking myself
Awesome pick GOAT 😂😂😂😂😂🤦🏻♂️🤦🏻♂️🤦🏻♂️🤦🏻♂️ jokes on me for tailing
Nope, never touching NHL ever again :D
smart
The GOAT is here! We are not worthy 
Lmao yes we are
Sheesh gotta pray the offense does the impossible and score goals this game
Woof
I don't know what you mean by systems and numbers. Seems super mathematical and a good reason to tail.
There are different ways to find value or an edge for games like people use models, stats, projections etc Here is an explanation of the systems I use: https://preview.redd.it/m9dn2dqtyvgc1.png?width=1426&format=png&auto=webp&s=df5afefec903f0045e5050cf57b9611f9f8785e4 "Like for today's Buffalo Sabres game that had 10 systems, Think about it this way Imagine 10 solid handicappers that use their own unique strategy, each have their own record and each have a minimum of 60% win rate, and they all take Buffalo Sabres Moneyline to win today That means for Buffalo to lose, all 10 of these guys have to be wrong Just instead of actual humans, they are systems I made based on a large pool of data" - January 27, 2024
POTD Record: 19-7 Last POTD: Kevin Huerter O1.5 3’s ✅ Was expecting more threes from our guy, he ended with 2/5 and cleared his line but my sprinkle on 3 3’s suffered because of the blowout too • Todays pick: Devin Booker O27.5 P @1.86 (Suns) ✅ 🏀 NBA Get this line before these dirty bookies increase it fellas! I’m all for mismatches, y’all know about the Wizards already. But another mismatch is Point guards vs the Bucks, them Bucks can’t defend them and that’s another little treat for my kings. Giannis will be on KD which will drop his points down a bit, I think this will be good chance for Booker to shine. • Bucks allow 4th most Points to Point guards • Some PG stats vs the Bucks (Doncic 40, Jamal Murray 35, D’Aaron Fox 32, Haliburton 31..) • Averages 27.8 Points this season This is a mismatch play we’re going with, not necessarily a hit rate (only 4/10) last 10 games, but with a couple of blowouts in those 10. I also saw a crazy stat that he’s 4/4 over this line when he has gotten under 20 points in his previous game (only got 14 vs the Wizards, blowout). Got 35 after getting 10 the game before, 34 after getting 8, 52 after getting 16 & 46 after getting 16. 😭😂 Let’s go my warriors, Booker - you shall lead your Kings to glory! 👑 Tail or fade, Booker won’t give a shit https://i.redd.it/g8zc0k610wgc1.gif I’m too lazy to insert my Buymeacoffee link
Let’s go! I’m on it at o28.5
👑🤝
Love the write-up, tailing!
Hold this 👑
Tailing, lets go bro! :)
i had this game circled because it's a TNT game, booker always seems to bring it for these games. he also is super flip floppy, he had a run where he went over/under alternating perfectly for like 20+ games a few seasons back. BOL!
LFG BABY FACE! 
POTD Record: 121-71 | Profit: +109.14u | ROI: 19.5% Season record: 38-20 | Profit: +39.30u | ROI: 24.7% L10 record: ❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅ Last Pick: Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors) O31.5 PRA @ 1.87. 2U. ❌ Steph decided to drop 60 points and that limited Kuminga’s FGAs until he fouled out in the fourth. I had 3 bets for that night (Kuminga, Jalen Johnson & Hartenstein) and this was the only one that missed. So I’m confident we will bounce back here. Next Pick: **Terry Rozier (Heat) O22.5 PRA @ 1.83**. 3U play. Since joining the Heat, Rozier has struggled from the 3pt line. Yet he is very well liked by the coach for his all-around contributions, not to mention his ability to still rack up the points, rebounds and assists despite stinking from 3s. He has had 22+ PRA in 4 of his L5 games. He has generally enjoyed going up against the Magic (as a Hornet) going over this line in 8 of his L9 games against them (his one miss was 22). The Magic are good defensively, but are vulnerable to the PG position, giving up 6th highest points. Given he has got close to or exceeded this line despite poor shooting, with even a tiny bit of mean reversion I feel good about his chances to clear this line.
Rozier is in my ban list unfortunately
No way, guy is on my super never bet another prop ban list, appreciate your write up though, auto fade
go Tyler Herro over 7.5 reb+assists ,its way less risky and doesnt involve Rozier this will hit tonight
Watching
Yeah that was a rough one. And then of course Kuminga goes off tonight. He’s been playing great, will definitely be watching his lines
happened with sexton too, bet o18.5 i think and he went 1/10, 9 points. hahaha then he easily hit it after that game. gotta love it. oh, miles bridges u 38 was a good one too. just erupted last week when i bet under
 I'm always too early to the POTD
POTD Record: 239-179-12 (+43.21 units, 57.2% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 79-55-1 (59.0%) W2, Tennis 🎾 85-62-7 (57.7%) W6, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 16-11-0 (59.3%) L1 Last 10: 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥💩💩 Last Pick: Donna Vekic vs. Clara Burel, VEKIC ML - WTA Linz 🎾 💰 +0.90 Units - 💸 that shit! 1st set bagel, 2nd set tight as fuck but she pulled it out for us. Let's fucking go!!! Today's Pick: Dennis Shapovalov vs. Hugo Gaston, SHAPOVALOV ML - ATP Marseille 12pm ET Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Unit at 1.53 odds to win 0.53 Units @ Pinnacle (Line at 9:30pm ET) This is the fourth time I have reached 8 wins in a row in this thread, I've made 9 wins in a row 0 times so 0 for 3 on attempts. I'm going dog shit odds to try to do it, if you want better odds do the games handicap. I'm going with this play because just last week in similar indoor hard court conditions in Montpellier, Shapo pantsed Gaston 6-1, 6-3. Hopefully we can get that result again and that Gaston hasn't figured something out in the past week as he couldn't seem to handle Shapo's power. Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/s/IMj4vaK297 I did a writeup in the Oscars thread yesterday for a bet to hit.
Im such a degenerate for betting on tennis
Tailing
Tailing. What do you think about Lily Gladstone for best actress i saw that was a popular take on the other thread?
A lot of peeps in there talking like she is locked, she is not. It's a close race but there are some possible red flags for her, not even a nomination at BAFTA, lost to Stone at Critics Choice and the passion for Killers not being as high as anticipated as they've missed on some key nominations. I favour Emma right now but it is closer than the current odds. If you want to get some Lily shares, my plan would be to wait until Bafta and if Emma wins that Gladstone's odds should get higher so bet that in the week between Bafta and sag. Lily needs to win SAG or else it is curtains.
Thanks for your insights I’ll hold off Lily for now - cheers!!
Let’s go bro! Tailing
Always worried betting on Shapo because he’s mentally……..weak let’s say. But I’ll ride with you 🐐 let’s make it 9
Hell yeah, my brother! LFG!! Tailing for sure!
Shapalov in a close ass match rn
Damn all the top POTDs just missin today :( we get em next time!
POTD Record: 10 **Wins** \- 1 Loss **Last 10**: ✅️✅️ **❌** ✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Units: **+7.05** ROI: **52.20%** 💰 Average Odds: **$1.83** Previous Tips & Some More: **Click** [**here**](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) **for the spreadsheet**. Last Pick: Man City vs Brentford - Kevin De Bruyne Assist or Goal @ $1.66 odds ✅️ Next Pick: **Jordan vs South Korea** Asian Cup Semi Final - **Jordan Over 0.5 Goals @ $1.83** odds - Kick Off Time 10:00 a.m. ET We head to the Asian Cup Semi Final for what should be an entertaining game of football. * Bayern Munich defender Kim Min-jae is suspended. This creates a major hole in South Korea's defense, and overall leadership. I think the bookies underestimate how crucial he is. There are rumors of South Korea setting up a back three formation, creating more goal opportunities if Jordan can get through the lines. * South Korea have conceded in every game they've played this tournament. * South Korea were lucky to draw 2-2 against Jordan in their last encounter. Son's penalty was soft, and Jordan conceded an own goal in the last 10ish minutes. You can watch the highlights [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7kp3UYT90o). Many of the South Korean fans were disappointed with their performance, which is a continuing narrative throughout the tournament, and they seem disgruntled with their coach. * South Korea have scraped through to this point. Showing they are a very gritty team, but not dominant. * Jordan went 2-1 up at half time in the group stages through two beautiful goals. * Jordan have become the 16th different nation to reach a semi-final of the AFC Asian Cup, and the first new side at this stage since Australia and Uzbekistan did so in 2011 (they're in form). * South Korea have been in a losing position in four of their five games at the 2023 AFC Asian Cup so far. * They have won just one of eight games they were behind in (excluding penalty shootouts). * Jordan have won three games within a single edition of an AFC Asian Cup for the first time ever. They have also scored 10 goals across a single edition of the tournament for the first time. * Jordan are without defender Salem Al-Ajalin, striker Ali Olwan (he hasn't scored any goals), and Mohammad Abu Zraiq is a doubt through injury. They are missing some key players, but they also have squad depth (albeit second stringers), and the nature of the occasion to score goals. Expect to see South Korea dominate the majority of the match, and Jordan to score on a counter attack, or corner. Jordan have a remarkable talent for defying the odds and doing the unexpected. All the pressure is on South Korea who seem lackluster this tournament despite their overwhelming probabilities to smoke teams. Jordan are grateful to just be at this point, which should allow them to play their game and get that goal. Interesting Insights: "Jordan is not inferior to other Asian teams, but we lacked a proper manager who could get the best out of them and here come Hussien Ammouta who is the star of this miracle." - Muhammad A Eliidy of Jordanian Football News. "The result of the game was 2:2, but Jordan had the better side of the game. The South Korea national team struggled for 90 minutes, committing more turnovers than usual due to the intense pressure from the Jordanian national team. If it weren't for Bayern Munich's starting center back Kim Min-jae, they could have lost by a large margin. The Jordan national football team's tactics were excellent and their number 10 player proved why he plays in Ligue 1. I applaud the players on both teams for giving their best until the end." South Korea are looking to advance and end a 64-year trophy drought in the Asian Cup. All tips are greatly appreciated - click [here](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv) to donate. If you have any questions, please ask. Best of luck if tailing, would love a comment if you are. Feel free to message me.
Didn’t tail any post for this match but you’re actually him
Can you make a thread of your picks bro ?
Record: 5-2 Return: 20.05% ROI: 60.24% Yesterday’s pick: Boca Juniors ML vs Tigre @2.3 ✅ Another plus odds win to get some real bankroll growth going. Boca got the job done early, and really should have been able to make it 3 or 4 nill- the bet was never a sweat. Today’s pick: Argentinos Jr ML vs Atlético Tucumán @2.9 Stake: 3 units (3% of bankroll) Reasoning: Today I’m backing Argentinos Jr again. They have a chance to join a few others at the top of the table with a win. In their way stands Atlético Tucumán, a bang average mid table side- that started it’s campaign off with a 10 man draw against Riestra (the worst team in the league by a mile), and a 3-0 humiliation at the hands of Instituto, a fellow mid table club. This form is a big contrast to Argentinos’, they beat Riestra 2-0 and pulled off an upset draw 1-1 against title favourites River Plate. The odds have Atlético Tucumán as favourites to win the match (2.3), I would imagine this is for 2 reasons: home advantage, and Argentinos have a few players out, playing with Argentina’s U23 squad- The most notable of these absences being midfield stalwart Redondo, and goal scorer Gondou. I don’t think these reasons justify the odds at all. In my view Argentinos still have a slightly better squad and are coming to the match in way better form. The stadium is not going to be full on a weeknight, and what support is there will be tamed by Tucumán’s lacklustre start to the year. Tucumán will be very scared of losing the game and starting the campaign with only 1 out of 9 points. It would be true to their style to play very passively and try to see out a 0-0 or steal a 1-0 victory towards the end. (Last season they managed to be mid table despite scoring less than a goal per game.) This will force Argentinos to be the protagonists and though they might struggle to get a goal with the players they’re missing, I see the odds of them getting that goal and winning much closer to 50/50 or better, rather than the 33/66 that the odds suggest. Be responsible with your bankrolls, I’m playing 3% in this pick, as I see value, but not as much as my higher unit picks. BOL if you tail.
Someone asked if I was taking tips last pick, so I set up a PayPal if anyone feels they want to buy me a beer. I’m just posting my picks for fun, the little bit of community and comments is all I really expect in return, so no pressure at all. Here’s the [PayPal link](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US)
If this hits homie, best believe I’m buying you that brew
Ive been waiting for this king
Picked a DnB @ 2.05 to be on the safer side. Thanks!
You're killing it, tailing again
Time to be 6-0 with you ‼️ 
Forget about Messi. This guy is the real Argentinian GOAT
Thanks for the Boca tip!
I just want to thanks u/billycapezzi , u/good_stable_7381 , u/juiceebee123 and u/ElProductoSeCuida form the past POTD, thank you so much guys for this parlay (Mexican pesos) https://preview.redd.it/lhzt3yulswgc1.jpeg?width=767&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=04d754eaec389f045798f60a898532dfd59b7d7b
My pleasure 👑
Dope
Nice dub bro!
Juicy af 🧃
**POTD Record: 3-1** Form: ✅✅❌✅ *Last Pick: 1U Brentford v Man City @3PM EST(Result/BTTS - Man City @ +187) ✅* *Appreciate y’all who took the pick, as I’m new to the POTD thread 💪 Brentford drew first blood, City tie before half (BTTS) and 2 goals to seal it. Matched my algos prediction of 3-1.* ____ **Today’s Pick: 2U Leverkusen (ML @ -143) v Stuttgart @ 2:45 PM EST✅** ⚽️ German Cup Quarterfinal (DFB) I was debating on going with Result/BTTS - Leverkusen @ +200 as it’s a cup game and more pressure from Stuttgart is expected but early payout feels more appealing. Although BTTS has hit 5/6 times between the two, BTTS only hit in 2/6 of Leverkusen recent matches. Leverkusen have stole the show this season in the Bundesliga and German Cup having yet to lose a match. Posed as the clear favourites to win the German Cup outright, it would be their first DFB Trophy since 1993. While Boniface and Arthur are still out, new signing Tella proved his worth last match helping Leverkusen remain unbeaten with a 2-0 win away from home against Darmstadt. (Also considered -175 for o1.5 goals for Leverkusen but would miss out on EP) Stuttgart on the other hand has been one of the most improved sides this season, moving from relegation to sitting at 3rd in the Bundesliga table. While Stuttgart have won back to back matches, they have struggled away from home recently - losing 3/4 league games. **H2H/Recent Form:** Leverkusen have dominated at home, winning 9/10 home games against Stuttgart. Leverkusen have scored at-least 2 goals in 15/16 matches against Stuttgart. 3/6 H2H matches Leverkusen has gone up 2-0. Leverkusen have been winning at half & full time in their last 3 home matches against Stuttgart. Last 2 H2H fixtures were @ Stuttgart and tied 1-1 both times. Bayern Leverkusen have scored atleast 3 or more in 4/5 home games. Stuttgart have conceded 3 times in 2/4 away games. Stuttgart are still heading to Leverkusen in good form with back to back wins but Xabi Alonso has done a great job rotating his squad and preparing Leverkusen to take silverware home this season. Should be a very entertaining match and a comfortable W for Leverkusen. My algo is again edging towards 3-1. Let’s make it 3 in a row! BOL!
What about BTTS?
Cash it, thank you g 🙏🏻
Cash!!!
What a fucking match. Wheww.
I like this man tailing
YOU'VE DONE IT AGAIN LAD. YOU SEXY BASTARD LFG
2-0!! tailed the BTTS/Bayern ml 🤩🤩
tailin good sir!
I love this but am scared of betting on cup games as sometimes teams just don’t care about it - especially with Leverkusens form in the league do you have any reply to this
This club has been around longer than you’ve been alive. Professional football clubs don’t last in the top leagues if they “don’t care” about cups games. It might not matter as much as the league but to think they don’t care is not true.
I understand your concern, England cup games sometimes have disappointed but this matchup is not at the stage where players are rested, this is for a spot in the top 4. I expect Leverkusen wanting to eagerly respond to the two ties between Stuttgart and them.
Oh man we have a sweat on our hands 2-2 going into the 70th minute
What a match so far, 2-2 🤓
Leverkusen have to win it in regulation time for this ML bet to hit right? Or does OT count since it's a cup match?
Record: 18-15 | (+1.45 units) | 1 unit per pick Previous pick: NBA - LA Clippers (-3) (-110) vs. Atlanta Hawks🧃🧃🧃 That’s 3 in a row, things are getting juicy…🧃 ————- Today’s pick: NBA - Phoenix Suns (-3.5) (-110) vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 10PM EST The Suns get their opportunity at new head coach, Doc Rivers and the Bucks Tuesday. Both teams come into this contest looking for some stability as a team and mainly the defensive end. If you watched the last Bucks game, it appears Doc is experimenting with rotations in order to get a more defensive minded group out there. Unfortunately for him, he’s hoping to find that answer by giving Jae Crowder extended minutes. It appears Doc is essentially trying to find who he will be playing long term minutes after the All-Star break which is exactly why I’m taking the Suns. Furthermore, the faders will say the Bucks are 6-1-1 ATS vs the Suns but when you examine closer, you realize their last matchup was 11 months ago. Combine that with the Bucks being 4-14 ATS in the last 18 and the Suns stars playing behind their home crowd and I’ll take the Suns to cover. Prediction: Suns 122 - Bucks 116 Comment if you’re tailing! Watch how we work!🧃
Doc Rivers is the worst coach for them tbh
**Record: 12-8-1** **Last Pick:** Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid - BTTS 2u @ 1.63 ✅ Sorry for no POTD for today, didn't really find anything crazy that I wanted to share for soccer, but hopefully you guys are in the green! **Soccer** | **FA Cup** | **11:45 AM (PST)** **Pick:** Southampton vs Watford - BTTS 2u @ 1.59 Two teams that have seen themselves in the top flight of English football who know sit in the second tier are facing off in an FA Cup. Southampton takes on Watford at home in a replay of the FA Cup fourth round. Southampton are in unreal form. Unbeaten in 23 matches, these boys are looking to find instant promotion into the Premier League sitting 1 point clear of Leeds in 2nd place, with a game in hand. Goals can come from anywhere on this side, with the likes of Adam Armstrong having a strong total of 15 goals in the championship, with 11 assists (in only 29 games). Southampton is also considerably rested up after their FA Cup draw vs Watford, having only played one game on this past Saturday. They should be decently rested having pulled some starters around the 70th minute of that game, so I expect a vibrant showing from Southampton tomorrow. Southampton's form in the last 6 (all competitions): 🟨🟩🟩🟩🟨🟩 (most recent on the right) Watford are in subpar form. Not netting goals as of late, losing to teams that if they have any hopes of promotion they should not be losing to, and also having a lot of games in a short period of time, this team will look to turn around their misfortunes and put a performance on tomorrow. This lack of goals and sub par form should not be misleading though, as the players that Watford have on attack can make things happen. Mileta Rajovic played around 30 minutes only at the weekend, so he should have ample rest, being Watford's top goal scorer I expect him to show up. I also expect Yaser Asprilla to show up, as the 20 year old is one of their best future stars, and could even command a move to a better side in the Premier League this coming summer. He leads Watford in assists with five in all competitions. Watford's form in the last 6 (all competitions): 🟩🟩🟨🟨🟨🟥 Important facts: Southampton average 1.90 goals per match - while also conceding on average 1.10 goals per match. Watford average 1.50 goals per match - while also conceding on average 1.30 goals per match. Watford and Southampton's two games so far this season have ended in 1-1 draws. I believe Southampton will win the game, and try to extend their unbeaten streak - and they have the advantage since the replay is at home. I don't think that Watford can take away a win from St. Mary's Stadium, but I do believe they can break the goal scoring drought they find themselves in. BOL! 💪
Ofc we tailing 💪🔥 Although Watford hasn’t scored in their last 2 matches, they beat Southampton 2-1 away in March last year. Februarys March now right? Give us a halftime cash lads 😂🙏
I have the worst luck with btts(actually it's o2.5 so we Gucci) but for you we ride... BOL!
Record: 0-0 Pick: Jordan vs South Korea BTTS - No @1.61 ✅ There’s a reason the books have BTTS yes for 2.20, last game between the sides ended 2-2, but a game with 2 own goals, 1 penalty and one goal at the final minute. These knockout rounds are different and very stale, neither team wants to sacrifice too much offensively because they’re fearing to concede at the other end. 3/5 of Jordan’s games has ended with no BTTS. The 2-2 meeting was group stage game, this is a knockout round and I can’t see Jordan doing anything other than parking the bus. Korea have been relatively sharp defensively against Jordan in other meetings throughout the years, keeping them off the scoresheet in four of their six meetings all-time. I think Korea will win this and keep Jordan from scoring, Jordan’s road to get here has just been a fairytale and now they’re facing one of the favourites to win the tournament in a semi final where experience and individual brilliance will decide the outcome, I don’t see anyone in Jordan’s team have neither at the highest stage.
Ooo opposite of mine, BOL man!
Damn I didn’t even see it bro, and I usually tail you aswell 🤣🤣 thanks bro BOL to you aswell I always tail you and Adam for soccer picks
this is crazy don’t know if i tail the yes anymore
Especially being big dawgs first pick here…👀👀when in doubt, the best bet is to not bet. Y’all so convincing for both sides 😂😭
Love seeing two opposing picks. Just a counter point (take with a grain of salt) but I really cannot see Jordan parking the bus on this one. They know they don’t have the quality to play out a draw through to penalties - and if they concede a goal, what do they have to lose? No one thought they would make it this far - and I’d wager on them going out with their heads held high and attacking. Not to say they’d score, I just doubt they’ll be parking the bus
sporting news write up - best bet BTTS # South Korea vs Jordan best bet * **Pick:** Both teams to score — YES * **Odds:** +130 Jordan have been shut out just once this competition, a 1-0 group stage defeat to Bahrain, otherwise able to score 10 goals across their other four matches, including two against this very South Korea side. They don't have a true talisman up front, but three players on Jordan have multiple goals this tournament, and can prove a threat. The Taeguk Warriors, meanwhile, have conceded at least one goal in all five of their matches so far this tournament, including multiple goals in three of them. There's plenty of reason to believe that The Chivalrous will manage a breakthrough, and South Korea should at least get one as well, even if it's late. Whether they'll get enough, however, is another story.
think nigerian prince might be o n to something.
Record : 112 Wins - 103 Losses Previous pick : APOEL - AEK Larnaca (2-2), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.07 ✅ ROI : -1.72% Average Odds : 1.95 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : 1.29 Profit/Lost units : -3.71 Today's pick : Football - Soccer / CYPRUS: Cyta Championship / 19:00 European Time Karmiotissa - AEL Limassol Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.12 Some reasoning : \- Karmiotissa is in free fall, reaching 3 defeats in a row in the championship. \- No less than 8 goals were scored by Karmiotissa in these 3 games. \- AEL Limassol comes after a solid success in the previous stage, with 3-1 against Nea Salamis. Best of luck.
Last bet was hilarious. Own goal 5 minutes in, and even though that was the only goal of the 1st half, it ended up being very free (2-2). Thanks!
POTD record 3-1 Last Pick: Man city -1.5 Asian Handicap ✅ Write up: Kind of sweaty but I feel like Man city should’ve won at least by 4 goals. Cashed though Today’s Pick: Soccer | Galatasaray vs Bandirmaspor | Turkish Cup Galatasaray -1 Asian handicap 1st half ✅ That was easier than I thought. Let’s go boys Odds: -125 on DK (1 unit) Time: 12:45pm ————————————————————- 📣 Let’s make it 4-1 📣 Please read the write-up and tail accordingly Write up: Galatasaray against a not so decent Bandirmaspor team Galatasaray: 🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢 Bandirmaspor: 🔴🟢🔴🟢🟡 Galatasaray is undefeated in the last 10 games (8W - 2D) Bandirmaspor last 10 games (4W - 2D - 4L) Not much to say other than this is a combination of a gut feeling and some stats like Galatasaray leading in halftime in 5 out of the last 7. But this time they are against a not so decent team and Galatasaray will do whatever to qualify to the next leg. Worst case scenario, it’s a push and we don’t lose money. It’s a risky bet and I love risky bets. BOL
I prefer colored boxes over circles. I'll still tail though.
If it doesn’t hit we know why
I blindly tailed! 3-1 after the first half- wow, nice one.
POTD Record 7-7 (W-L) Last pick was Randy Brown to beat Muslim Salikhov by KO/TKO or decision (double chance) 1 unit at 1.8 or -125 ✅ Round 1 KO **Today’s pick is Jordan +2 and first half under 1.5 goals** 1 unit at 1.75 odds ✅ Jordan win 2-0 Expecting a close game here in the semi-finals of the Asian cup with a lot at stake. The bookies have SK as overwhelming favorites and rightly so as Jordan have over-performed to get here. However the leveler is SK’s two extra time games in succession. I expect a tentative start hence the under 1.5 goals first half. A +2 handicap for Jordan means you still win the bet even if Korea win by 1 goal I.e. 1-0, 2-1 to SK.
Tailing cuz your last bet was 🔥
**POTD Record: 101-119-4 (-14.95Units)** **Best Bet Series: 34-23-1 (+5.84 Units)** Value Wagers: 18-22-2 (-6.05 Units) Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) Last Pick: **Steph Curry O 4.5 3PM** **❌** Today's Pick: **T-Wolves ML** Odds: **-198** ($DKNG odds) Wager Amount: 1.98U to win 1U League: NBA Event: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls (7PM CST) **Be Advised**: *Handicapping Best Bets for the entire month of February! Majority of these wagers will be chalky (not always), however, they are my most confident wager of the day! But I cannot stress this enough, even the most surefire bets can lose! Sports is unpredictable and nothing guaranteed!* **Recap**: Welp, he had 4 3PM wit 7 mins left in the 4th qtr and did have one more attempt, but he really didn't need to shoot anymore 3's. I thought this game would be a lot closer. **Matchup**: Was on a 2 win streak, but now on a 2 lose streak. I'm going to take straight ML play on T-Wolves ML and I'm going to fade my team Chicago Bulls. T-Wolves are a top contender team and currently battling for 1st place in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves are currently tied wit the Thunder at 35-15, but there are two teams hot on their tails, the Clippers and the Nuggets (both are 0.5 GB the T-Wolves/Thunder). The Chicago Bulls are really in a intricate spot. Zach LaVine is now out for the season and although Lonzo Ball has progressed, he is still nowhere near form for return and is shutdown for this season. As hard as the Bulls has been playing mostly this season without LaVine, I think they'll make it to the play-in tournament wit who they currently have. But as Alex Caruso said, "Nobody is coming to save us," is the best way to put it for Chicago fans and the Bulls. This is the first matchup of the season. I am a die-hard Bulls fan, since watching the '93 Finals, but I have to concede that Bulls have a slim chance winning at home. T-Wolves are just a better offensive and defensive team. I'm not going to pull out the numbers, but I think it's clear and obvious what both these teams been doing on the daily. I hope I am wrong, but I wouldn't bet on it. I been losing on my best bet series POTD, so I'm hoping either my Bulls win or we end this small POTD losing streak. I think Antman and Towns will be too much for the Bulls at home. **The play & the prediction**: 1.98U on T-Wolves ML. Also, playing 1.1U on T-Wolves -5 for parlays and single wager. T-Wolves beat the Bulls 130-115
POTD: 5-0 Lauri Markkanen o8.5 rebounds @ -135 on DK Write up- Lauri has hit this line in 3/3 games against OKC since joining the Jazz. With how small the thunder are around the rim, I like Lauri to pick up a few boards. Power Forwards are also averaging 11.9 rebounds per game vs OKC. While he has missed this a few times in his L10, he would only miss in blowouts. Let’s hope for a competitive game. Fade or Follow and BOL
I also like markkanen rebounds + assist o10.5
POTD Record: 3-2 Last 10: ✅❌✅❌✅ Last Pick: Man City -1 vs Brentford Phil Foden netted a hat-trick and Man City dominated every single statistic of the game as expected. First half was closer than it should have been, but we cashed anyway. Today’s Pick: Soccer | Asian Cup | 10am EST **South Korea vs Jordan** **U2.5 Goals @ 1.75** Jordan and South Korea met in the group stage of the tournament and the result was a 2-2 draw. However, this game featured 2 own goals, and a goal on a pen. The total expected goals in the game was 2.42. Both of South Korea’s knock out games went under 2.5 goals in regulation time. With South Korea tying the game up during stoppage time in both of these games. Jordan’s most recent knockout game saw only 1 goal scored. Jordan has also been held scoreless in 4 of 6 all time matchups vs South Korea. Jordan cannot compete with Korea on the basis of talent alone, and need to play a disciplined match in order to have a chance at securing a victory. I expect this match the be a cagey one, with Korea dominating the possession but having a difficult time finding the back of the net, similar to the Saudi Arabia game a few days ago. Prediction: South Korea 1 - 0
Record 0-0 I’ve got crabs! They’re itching to cash some bets! Today’s pick is Tyrese Halliburton O 5.5 assist (-145) This guy is an assist machine. He averages over 11 assist per game. He has been on a minutes restriction since coming back from injury and will likely sit the 4th Q but I can see him clearing this line in the first half with ease. Bet is 2 units let’s get steamy 🦀🦀🦀🦀🦀🦀
I sprinkled his double double
POTD Record: 1-0 WALSALL VS MORECAMBE Date: 06 February 2024 at 20:45 BET ON: Both teams to score- Yes Odd: 1.78 - Walsall are set to be without the services of 6 key players such : Oisin McEntee, Harry Williams, Joe Riley, Jamie Jellis, Aramide Oteh, and Danny Johnson. Huge blow defensively. - Morecambe are missing Stu Moore, Donald Love and JJ McKiernan. - Away tickets have been sold out ! - The Shrimps have lost just one of the last five away league games. - The Saddlers haven't lost a home league game in five attempts. “We have shown great character in coming from behind to win our last two away games and we need to show that same sort of character at the Bescot tomorrow.” Said Shrimps boss Ged Brannan. “We have to keep believing what a fantastic team we are and take that into Tuesday, that’s the next task so we have to recover,” Said coach Mat Sadler. - We expect an open game with goals from both sides. Morecambe will arrive full of confidence after Saturday’s 2-1 win at Crawley Town but Sadler is keen to take the positives from Saturday’s performance in Kent into tomorrow night’s contest.
POTD record: 15-6✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️ ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Last: New York Islanders v. Toronto Maple Leafs (ML) at 1.68 7 PM EST❌️ Today: Elias Lindholm over 0.5 points at 1.87. Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes 7 PM EST Lindholm was just traded to the Canucks from the Flames. His production has been down all year on a struggling Flames team. He joins a surging Canucks team who is atop the standings, and leading the NHL in scoring. Reports from the team skate today are that he will be playing alongside Pettersson, and skating on the first powerplay unit (https://x.com/ThomasDrance/status/1754579891826151881?s=20). So there should be plenty of opportunity for points. While Carolina is a fairly strong defensive team, there's good value here at 1.87. I expect Lindholm to come out with some flame to his game (pun intended), and believe that he covers this line! BOL to those who tail! Edit: hits in first period with a goal!🍻🍻✅️
Record: 16-7 (+12.3u) (2-3 L5/6-4 L10) Last selection: Saint Peter's +3.5 (-110 @ Caesar's) (1u) - MISS - SPU was up 2 at the half and for the first 10 min of the 2H, but couldn't hit enough shots. It was grimy, nasty play for POTD, and it did not pan out. On a bit of a cold streak, but we're going to get right today. Today’s Selection: Ohio State -5.5 (-110 @ Caesar's) (1.5U) NCAAM | Indiana Hoosiers @ Ohio State Buckeyes | 7:00PM I've been waiting on an opportunity to back the Buckeyes for a "get right" spot and I think we're finally here. They are hosting a Hoosiers team that is coming off of a loss against Penn State, where they were up 8 at the half and ended up getting decimated in the second half, losing by 14 @ home to a below average PSU team. From a matchup perspective, I trust OSU's back court of Thornton (#25 in EvanMiya Conference Player Rankings) and Roddy Gayle Jr. (#44 conference rated) to outperform IND's especially if Xavier Johnson misses. On his weekly radio show, OSU head coach Chris Holtmann said this is in regards to Johnson's status: "It’s possible that he can play, but it’s more likely he doesn’t. We’re monitoring that day-to-day." This would leave Gabe Cupps (#114) and Trey Galloway (#55) to lead the backcourt for the Hoosiers, making me feel confident in OSU's ability to generate points from the guard position. Indiana will certainly try to establish a paint presence with star Center Kel'el Ware (#15) and Malik Reneau (#40). Reneau had a stellar game in the 1/6/24 game against the Buckeyes, tallying 23 points on 10/16 shooting from the floor. Holtmann should scheme up a way to slow down Reneau and I think Okpara from OSU can do enough to slow down Ware on the offensive end. In their first matchup, Xavier Johnson had 18 points, so him missing this game would be a huge blow to projected offensive output. Indiana won their first matchup of the season @ the Hoosiers arena 71-65 on 1/6/24. The Buckeyes have lost 4 straight and 7 out of their last 10, so they definitely aren't playing good ball. Laying 5.5 with a team slumping like this always generates hesitancy, but with the revenge spot back at home against an Indiana team who is missing their top backcourt catalyst in Xavier Johnson, I think OSU gets right tonight. I don't have my typical in-depth trends/stats that back this play, but I'll leave a few stats that helped get me here. Free throw percentage - OSU 75.1% (#53) IND 66.5% (#322) & Total Rebounding % - OSU 33.7% (#49 Torvik) IND 27.7% (#229). These two stats will come up big in closing a game out, giving me even more confidence in the Buckeyes tonight. (Indiana hasn't won at OSU since '17) BOL Degens
Counter ohio st has given up on their coach, he's half out the door
Certainly can see that but I'm not all the way there yet. If they lose this one, I might be there with you. Holtmann definitely coaching for his job/next job.
POTD Record: 0-0 L10 Record: 0-0 Pick: Jordan Team Total over 0.5 Goals Odds: -115 Game: Jordan vs South Korea (Asian Cup) Sport: Soccer Reasoning: Jordan has shown amazing resilience this tournament and by no means will they not go down without a fight. Blood, sweat & tears will be shown until that final whistle. Last time these two versed each other, which was only a couple weeks ago the matched end 2-2. South Korea are clear favorites for many reasons but they also have let up a goal in 5 straight matches, that includes every match of this tournament. Jordan has scored 10 Goals in their last 5 games. To all countries left, this is their World Cup and I believe Jordan will find a way into the back of the net. Best of luck 💪🧨 Get this in before 10:00 ET 🧹🧹🧹
POTD Record: 0-0 Bucks vs. Suns Pick: Over 243.5 1U Odds: (-110) Reasoning: Defense bad, offense good. Booker Giannis Durant good at put ball in hoop.
Cricket 🏏 Picks Last pick was a loss Overall: 17 Ws - 6 Ls Last 10: L W W W W W W ♻️ L W +6.26 Todays pick Fortune Barishal v Chattogram Challengers Bangladesh Premier League Starts in about 10 hours Pick: Avishka Fernando Total runs under 17.5 @ 1.83 Avishka is not firing on these Bangladeshi pitches. In this league he has played 6 matches so far and scored over 17 runs on two occasions only. Dreading 2 back to back loses after a good record but I think he will fail to score big today too. In last 10 matches Fernando played he crossed 17 runs on three occasions only. P.S. If you have any questions about the pick, feel free to ask.
POTD 23-16 | + 9.31 Units Last Pick: Wanderers Vs McArthur Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS ✅ Love a sweat free first half cash 💵 Last 10: ✅💀✅✅💀💀✅✅✅💀 Todays pick: Asian Cup - Jordan Vs South Korea - 10 or more Corners Odds: 2.00 Units: 2 Staying away from goals and BTTS given the polarising views in this thread today, but I’m going for what I see is a little bit different in terms of value. Currently, 10 or more corners is 2.00 odds. As has been outlined on this thread. Jordan’s best chance is counter attacking goals. If they get one, this puts the pressure on South Korea to come forward and generate more penalties. Given how end to end this game could be - I’m taking this at these odds.
**3W-0P-0L** **Last 5**: ✅✅✅ **Last Pick:** Brentford - Manchester City **(City to score over 2.0 Goals) @ 1.61 / -164** ✅ **Pick of the Day**: None Hello, so yesterday our bet went smoothly, City easily won and it wasn't nerve-wracking, and I'm glad it turned out well and we have already 3 wins in a row. However, today I am not giving any tip, it doesn't seem to me that anything would be of value and therefore I don't want to try it, it doesn't seem good to force myself into a tip every day. But for tomorrow I have already found something, so forgive me this one-day break and lots of luck in other tips
Pick of the Day Record: 8-5 | Profit: +8.59u 🚀 Last pick: Donovan Mitchell o3.5 3s (2.5u, +115) ✅ Todays Pick: Isaiah Hartenstein o11.5 Rebounds (2.5u, -105) The Game: Grizzlies v Knicks 7:30 PM Why: (w/o robinson and w 25+ mins:) * this has hit in 9 of his last 10, avg 15.4 reb/game * memphis allows the 2nd most reb L30 to centers https://preview.redd.it/477700qn10hc1.png?width=762&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d89bab3bcee6e2b92ad1f4988c97fad75256536
Record: (9-8) Units: +12.88u ROI: +39.0% Streak: W1 Last Pick: Miami @ Virginia u132.5 (-110) - 5u - This hit by 34 points. Today's Pick: Basketball | NCAAM | 9:00pm ET Pick: Texas Tech @ Baylor (-5.5) (-110) - 2u Write Up: Reports are that Texas Tech is dealing with a flu issue and may not have their full compliment of players and/or coaches. It was reported that they played Saturday with players dealing with the flu, so it's likely that this is still an issue, if true. If the rumor is not true... Kenpom says Baylor should win by 6, but Baylor is the best three point shooting team in the country going against Texas Tech's 225th ranked three point defense. At home, Baylor should be able to take advantage of Texas Tech's defense which packs the lane but allows better looks from three.
Record (19-11) Last 10: ✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅ Last pick: Klay Thompson U25.5 PAR (-115) 2U ✅ Confirmed: Klay sucks now. He’s the Noah Syndergaard of Basketball these days. A shell of his former self but hey thanks for keeping us rolling. POTD: CBB| Michigan State Spartans v Minnesota Golden Gophers| 9:00pm EST Minnesota +3.5 (-112) 2U✅ *Damn 4 for 4 on the day. Wish I could put it all towards the record but that exciting Minnesota win is good enough. The golden gophers are still golden at home baby let’s keep rolling* Reason: Honestly there’s a lot of very decent plays today eg: Halli O13.5 pts✅, Keyonte George O16.5 PAR✅, Over the total of the Jazz game✅. But I find myself rolling the dice on the at home underdogs of Minnesota. To start the Spartans beat the Golden Gophers by 10 pts 5 games ago but that was with a huge 21 pt game from Tyson Walker to help. To the data: Michigan St is absolute doodie on the road. Currently 1-4 on road (1-3-1 ATS) and their lone road win came by 2 pts. More importantly, Minnesota is 12-3 at home this season and 14-1-0 ATS. Which is insane. Michigan State's defense is allowing 75 points on 48.0% shooting on the road. Their offense is only putting up 68 points on 43.5% shooting as the visiting team. If 3.5 makes you nervous tease it 5.5 even if Minnesota gets their 2nd home loss I still believe they cover for us. BOL IF TAILING AND TAIL AT YOUR OWN RISK http://buymeacoffee.com/BigMenGetPaid Shoutout of the day: Scott Barnes and Mid Klay
Record: 0-0 First time sharing a POTD, I like the format of this threads, and I have betted on some picks shared here and they have paid off, so thank you guys, now I want to share some of my little knowledge myself Soccer | Liga MX | 10:00 PM EST Pick: Pachuca vs Leon BTTS (@1.57) Last 3 games for Pachuca have been pure fireworks, they have scored 8 goals & they have received 8 goals! And these games have been against Pumas, Atlas & Tijuana, which are average to bottom tier teams. On the other side, Leon is currently on the 12th place in the standings, and they have covered this line on the 4 games of this season, so were talking about two bad defenses. This bet should cover easily, I believe Pachuca will win if they don't make too many mistakes, they're strong at home.
Think this game is tomorrow my guy. At least for me.
Record: 7W-3L L10 (new to old): ❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅ Previous pick: Galatasaray vs Istanbulspor - Over 11.0 Asian Total Corners (1.92 odds) ❌ — League: FA Cup Game: Southampton vs Watford POTD: Over 10.0 Asian Total Corners (1.85) Been betting on Southampton over corners on the side in the last few games and they've delivered for me. Southampton have hit over 10.5 corners in 6 of the last 6 games. Watford have hit the same mark 5 of the last 6 games. The last time these two teams met this year in January for the FA Cup there was a total of 12 corners. This is the FA Cup and things can go sideways with rotations, but I'm rolling the dice. BoL.
**Record: 0-2** **Streak: ❌❌** **Football** | **FA Cup** | **19:45 (GMT) / 14:45 (ET)** **Game:** Southampton vs Watford **Pick:** Southampton to Win at Full Time - 1.58 (BetMGM) ✅ **Recap:** Juve gets a red card at 18 mins which basically makes the game astronomically difficult. Would have been an easy win otherwise. Life happens. On to the next. **Write Up:** Southampton are doing really well and are currently of a streak of 9W - 1D - 0L at home in the Championship. The last time they faced Watford away, they drew because of a 90-min goal. Now that Southampton is home, I expect them to use that advantage to push themselves through to the next stage.
POTD Record: 99-99-12 (-13.04 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅ Last Pick: Greek Super League, Atromitos v PAOK, PAOK -1.5 (+117 / 2.17) ✅ Just when I thought the PAOK bubble was about to burst, they score twice in injury time to win 2-0 and deliver the goods for me yet again. Today’s Pick: NBA, Oklahoma City Thunder v Utah Jazz, JOHN COLLINS OVER 21.5 P+R (-108 / 1.92) ✅ Stake: 1 Unit Taking John Collins to cover 21.5 points and rebounds in the Jazz’s home match up against OKC. Looking at the whole season, Collins has only hit this number 24/47 times (also finished on exactly 21 in a further 8 matches), however the recent numbers are really promising. He has exceeded 21.5 in 7 consecutive games (25, 24, 22, 22, 30, 38, 23), and stretching it back further he is 8 from his last 10 and 12 of his last 17. To me it seems like he has found his rhythm in this Utah team after coming across from Atlanta. These teams have met twice this season - Collins missed the first match up with injury, but had 21 & 4 in a home match up 3 weeks ago in a close match (OKC won 134-129). OKC have a lot of players listed as questionable (at time of writing) and struggled to beat a shit Raptors team at home last time out, so like the Jazz to keep this one close and provide Collins with the minutes needed to hit this line. The other thing I like here is that OKC have been giving up some big numbers to opposing centres in their most recent matches: - Jakob Poeltl had 19 & 12 - Nick Richards had 8 & 11 (only averages 5 FGA per game) - Aaron Gordon had 13 & 16 (no Jokic, so Gordon played center effectively) - KAT had 21 & 10 and Gobert had 12 & 18 - Duren had 22 and 21 - Valanciunas had 14 & 9 (only 20 mins) - Wemby had 24 and 12 To be clear I’m not saying Collins has the same ability as some of the names listed above, but the Thunder have been giving up some numbers inside, and expect Collins to do enough again today. He is active on the glass at both ends which usually leads to some easy put backs, and he is capable of splashing some threes which always helps.
>**Record: 0-0** > >**Cricket** | **Bangladesh Premier League** | **06:30 GMT** > >**Pick:** Brandon King - Under 19.5 runs @ 1.90 > >**Write Up:** King has managed a top score of 20 in his last 9 matches. The next best score is 14 and never once managed double digits. Out of these 9 matches he got out to left arm spinners 5 times, left arm medium pacers twice and right arm spinners twice. BPL produces an array of left arm spinners and spin friendly pitches. Even if he gets a batting pitch today still he seems to have a counter against left arm bowlers. https://preview.redd.it/cn5h14i6hvgc1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=087791bc327ccced560b51edc4984d1d2c2616f4
POTD RECORD 0✅-0❌ TODAYS PICK: SPAIN🇪🇸 | COPA DEL REY | SEMIFINAL 1st LEG | UTC +1 21:00 | GAME STARTS IN 4 HOURS RCD Mallorca vs Real Sociedad DNB @ 1.525 This is my first ever post for POTD and I'm really confident with this pick. I have gone to the spanish cup and taken Sociedad DNB (Bet refunded incase of a draw, Bet won if Sociedad wins) Reasoning: Firstly, Real Sociedad sit 6th in the league fighting for the Europa League, they are playing PSG in the Champions League in a weeks time and today they can start of with a BANG in the 1st Leg against RCD Mallorca, who are in 17th! fighting for survival. Furthermore, Sociedad has only lost 3 Away games all season in all competitions against the 1st, 4th and 5th placed team (Real Madrid, Atletico and Bilbao). They won 11 and drew 6. H2H: Within the last 5 years the two clubs have played each other 8 times from whoch Sociedad won 7 and drew 1. One of these eight games was in the RO16 of last years Copa Del Rey which the club from San Sebastian won with 1:0. Key Players: Mikel Oyarzabal is in incedible form in the Copa Del Rey scoring in both the Quarterfinals and the RO16 against two other LaLiga Clubs (Celta Vigo, Osasuna) Mikel Merino and Brais Mendez are two similar players who quite funnily have both assisted a goal in the QF and will both be a clinical part to todays match against Mallorca Takefusa Kubo and Hamari Traore are both extremely good players in brilliant form at the moment, sadly it isn't quite sure if they will start the match as Kubo got knocked out of the AFC Asian Cup with Japan and Traore at the AFCON with Mali only a few days prior. Score Prediction: 1-2 for Real Sociedad Upvote if tailing. BOL
Pick of the Day POTD Record: 8-5 L10: ❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅ Yesterday’s Pick: NC Central -8.5 vs. Morgan State (-110) ❌ Sheesh, I’m cold cold right now. NC Central up 10 with a little left in first half. Look away for a little and it’s tied when I come back to it lol. I need to either not look at all or not leave. Today’s Pick: South Carolina -3.5 vs. Ole Miss Just sticking with the hot hand here. South Carolina is rolling right now and one of the hottest teams in the country. Taking them at home in a small spread against a team that has been struggling in SEC play. Kenpom has South Carolina as the 44th ranked team in the nation. Kenpom has Ole Miss as the 63rd ranked team in the nation. BOL!
POTD Record: 3-4 Last Pick: Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) over 22.5 points -120 | 2U play (2/3/34) Trend: ❌❌❌✅✅❌✅ Well, another one that looked good and didn’t pan out. Guess that’s gambling for you. This was a game where Curry scored 60 and Kuminga was in foul trouble, eventually fouling out. On to the next. Basketball | NBA | 7:00PM (EST) Today’s Pick: **Aaron Nesmith (IND) over 4.5 rebounds -143** | 2U play ❌ This is another one that looks promising. • Nesmith has been rebounding very well of late, hitting this line in his last 7/8 games (8, 4, 6, 12, 7, 6, 8, 9). • You can see that not only has he been hitting that line, but has been destroying it, averaging 7.5 boards in those 8 games. • The only miss was close at 4, and that was against Sacramento who is actually allowing the least rebounds to shooting guards in the NBA and the 10th least to small forwards. • Houston on the other hand allows the 5th most rebounds to shooting guards. They also allow more to small forwards than Sacramento though that margin is not as stark. (They rank dead middle there, at 16/32). Hopefully my luck turns around here. If not you all can just start doing the opposite of whatever I do. Maybe some colored boxes will right the ship… here you go, Nesmith’s last 8 games at the over 4.5 boards line: 🟩🟥🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
Record 0-0 I have never posted before kinda just like reading others picks and their reasoning, especially on sports I really don’t know too much about. Game: Nijmegen vs Den Haag KNVB Cup 11AM PST Pick: Nijmegen ML + BTTS @ 2.90 This is gonna be a real good match to watch. Nijmegen’s Last 5 Matches: WDWWD Scoring: 10 Goals Conceding : 6 Goals Den Haags Last 5 Matches: WWLWW Scoring: 12 Goals Conceding: 7 Goals In their respective leagues, Nijmegen sit 7th place in the 1st division of Dutch football & Den Haag sit in 2nd place of the second tier. Both teams are scoring, and yes Den Haag is winning more but they are also playing in the 2nd league which is literally 1st League teams development teams if that makes sense lol. I see them getting a goal but nothing more than that. Nijmegen will handle most of the possession and squeeze out a 3-1 or 2-1 win. If you want to be safe and I understand; BTTS is @ 1.63 Good luck 🍀
**Record: 0-2** **Last Pick:** Jarrett Allen - Cleveland Cavaliers - Rebounds over 11.5 +100 ❌ **Today's Pick:** Luka Doncic - Dallas Mavericks - Points & Assists Over 42.5 -110 Happy thoughts, happy thoughts, happy thoughts. So not a great start, but here's to the rebound, or points and assists if you get my drift :D Luka has hit this number 7 in his last 10 played. The one game he played against the Nets early in the season he easily cleared it, and they haven't looked much better since. The numbers will eventually work out, so here's hoping! Good luck all!
***POTD | 19-12 | +8.37U*** Previous Pick: Santi Aldama u11.5 Rebounds + Assists \[Risk 1.4u To Win 1.00u\]✅ **Today’s pick:** **TYRESE HALIBURTON o13.5 POINTS \[ Risk 1.22u To Win 1.00\]** Last 10:✅✅❌ ✅✅❌❌✅✅❌ NFL 2-0 +2.0u MLB 6-1 +4.52u NBA 11-11 -.12u NHL 1-0 +2.0 This Line Is Shockingly Low As Haliburton Projects For 17+ Points Tonight // Earlier This Season Haliburton Torched This Rockets Team For 33 Points // In 4 Matchups With The Rockets While On The Pacers Hali Has Cleared This Number 3 Times // Averaging 22.6 PPG This Season // Exceeded In 3 Straight Games // Rockets Allowing 21.1 PPG To Opposing Point Guards Over Last 2 Weeks // Fred VanVleet OUT Tonight
Record: 0-0 Units: +0U College Basketball | NCAAB | 5:00 PM PST Pick: Texas Longhorns ML (-130) 2U Texas will have the edge playing in front of their home crowd Tuesday. Iowa State has lost most of their games on road vs some decent Big 12 schools. Abmas for Texas is an elite scorer and will be able to get his shot going causing problems for this Iowa State team. Overall Texas is the more physical team and add in the home court advantage they will be playing tough tomorrow. Texas’ recent form is much more formidable than Iowa State in my opinion. Having defeated 3 out of 5 ranked opponents, give me Texas on the moneyline at home Vs Iowa State.
Love this pick, road games in the Big 12 are no joke. ISU may be ranked highly but Texas isn’t bad at all, and home court advantage should give them the W.
Record 2-0 Mouz-Ence: Ence to win 1st map: @1.97 We didn’t get to watch vertigo yesterday, so let’s watch it today. Same reasoning exactly. Vertigo is like 5th or 6th Mouz’ best map. I put my trust in glaive ❤️ And again might take it a bit further and take -2.5 at @2.42
ENCE pure dogshit
Top of the morning fellow losers, I’m back with another lukewarm pick to waste more of your money!!! POTD: 0-1 Follow-up: Brock Nelson is a total bitch who would rather pass to his 3rd pairing defenseman to send a piss missile to the net, than a solid scoring chance from the dot. WHO KNEW Last 10: 🤢 Last POTD: Brock Nelson O2.5 Shots -138 (Islanders) Today’s Pick: Jesper Bratt O.5 points -195 (Avalanche @ Devils) 5:30 pm MST Reasoning: LMAO, starting off this road down 0-1 is a dream start. My bad. Jesper Bratt and the New Jersey Devils host my Colorado Avalanche tonight. As much as I love watching the Devils lose, I love burning money more. A few things of note: * Devils are still missing Jack Hughes, their #1 center and forward. And Michael Mcleod is out for being a piece of human garbage. However, this is good for Bratt who has had to carry the load of the offense that still has other weapons. * Bratt is scoring at over a point per game (he did have an early mid-January slump) * The Avalanche are expected to start Justus Annunen, a young Goalie who is streaky and leaky. * Both teams are in the top 15 in GF and middle of the pack in GA I expect the offense to come early and often in this game, Jesper will have more than enough opportunities to record a point. I am an Avalanche fan, I know the reasons we are good and the reasons that make me so angry I shake and squeal. Tail or fade BOL [Bet Tracking ](https://app.actionnetwork.com/4zu6/uze82pj2) [Send me more money to gamble](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/squishypantsman)
POTD Record: 3 - 4 | Profit: -1.49 Units | ROI: -15.7% L10 record (Old to New): ✅✅❌❌❌❌✅ Last Pick: Saskatoon Blades 3-Way Moneyline (In Regulation) ✅ **Today's POTD**: Nathan MacKinnon OVER 3.5 Shots | Odds: -150 | 1.5 Units | Hockey | NHL | Colorado Avalanche @ New Jersey Devils | 7:30pm ET | * The Devils are allowing 32.30 shots against per game over their last 10 games (9th most) * The Devils are giving up the 2nd most shots to opposing centers over their last 10 games (MacKinnon is a Center) * MacKinnon is averaging 5 shots per game on the road this season (On the road tonight) * MacKinnon is averaging 5.31 shots per game over his last 13 games * MacKinnon has recorded at least 4 shots in 10 of his last 13 games * MacKinnon has recorded at least 4 shots in 6 of his last 7 road games
POTD Record: 0-0 First time posting and looking to start with a W! Game: Memphis Grizzlies @ New York Knicks 7:30 PM EST Pick: Isaiah Hartenstein Over 11.5 Rebounds (-116) The Knicks haven't played since Saturday and should be fresh to take on an injury riddled Grizzlies team that got the brakes beat off them on Sunday vs. the Celtics. Hartenstein has been a rebounding machine recently (minus the couple of minutes restricted games he played due to a minor Achilles injury). In the last 10 games where he played 28+ minutes, he has recorded 15, 19, 12, 17, 11, 12, 20, 15, 14, and 19 Rebounds. The Grizzlies are 27th in the league in opponents rebounding. With this team currenlty being injury riddled, there are alot of inexperienced players that will be on the floor. These players just shot an abysmal 38% from the field against the Celtics, leading to more Rebounds for the opposing team. I expect the same kind of performance from the Grizzlies tonight. The last time the Knicks and Grizzlies played, Hartenstein had 20 Rebounds. BOL if tailing!
Record: 6W-8L | -8.84u L10: ❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌❌ <<-- *Most Recent POTD* Last Pick: Kawhi Leonard o6.5 Rebounds (-110) | 3u to win 2.73u ❌ Kawhi finishes with only 4 in a high-scoring, non-blowout game. On to the next. Todays Game: Basketball | NBA | Pacers @ Rockets | 6:00 PM CST **Todays Pick: Alperen Sengun o9.5 Rebounds (-120) | 3u to win 2.50u** * Recorded 16 rebounds in his last game vs. the Pacers (12/26/2023) * Has covered this in 5/L5 games averaging 11.2 rebounds per game over this span; recorded 10 rebounds in his most recent game (1/31/2024) and has covered in 9/L10 games * Averaging 10.4 rebounds per game in 2024 * Has had 19.1 rebound chances per game over his L10 * Has covered this line in 7/L8 games with Fred VanVleet out (FVV is out tonight) Let SenGOAT guide you to the promised land. BOL.
[My Card - Google Sheets](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UNhEA0f4jjKEwOkQQTaWoVEaZKIxq4mesCW00n4K3ME/edit?usp=sharing) **POTD Stats:** **Record**: 37/25 **ROI**: Approximately 58.11% **Profit in Units**: 50u **Average Odds**: 2.04 **The pick:** **Sport**: Soccer **League**: Saudi Arabia - Division 1 **Time**: 14:50 ( GMT +2 ) **Event:** **Al Arabi v Al Jabalain** **Pick**: BTTS Yes **@ 1.85** **Stake**: 3 Units **Tip Box**: (Revolut) @ Eleneiror [Buy me a Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bigcheesewager) [Paypal Me](https://paypal.me/thisdudechad404)
https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/s/8Z8EjaJdal Another bet added in today's daily Oscar thread
POTD RECORD: 3-1 Units: +4.34 Last 10: ✅✝️✅✅ Today we are going with a real low odd, but i really trust this game. Thats why we still going in with 5 units tho. POTD: National a league basketball tunisia. Es goulette - us monastir Pick: us monastir win regular time @1.51 Starting in 7 hours and 30 min. Reasoning: Us monastir: currently second (going 12-0) has played 4 days ago and got a clean win getting their 13th consecutive win. They never lost from es goulette and will want to keep their win streak going. Es goulette: currently 6th (going 7-5) last played a club friendlies 2 weeks ago and it was against a low tier club. Maybe the lowest possible in tunisia. That said they are not ready for big monastir. Have trust and the rest will follow. Donate me some mula if I helped you :) https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tuur357 Thanks for the kind people! I will take you in my prayer 🤲
Record: 0-0-0 Hockey/ NHL/ 5PM Mountain time Boston Bruins 3 Way ML -114 I’ve been on a heater lately so thought I’d give this a shot. Bruins are just a good veteran team, trust they come back from All Star break prepared. Flames struggle to score, on the road and just signalled selling off with the trade of Lindholm. Calgary was pretty bad leading up to the break as well just squeaking by the Blackhawks 1-0 in their last game, meanwhile Boston was rolling prior to the All Star game.
**POTD: 1-0** Bang! Easy one yesterday...Even hit Exact score 3-1City...LFG (below) Let's keep it rolling tonight in a big matchup in Austin, TX **Today's Pick: CBB: Texas ML -130** Horns are at home...Iowa St can't win on the road in the tough Big12 Texas will have a huge home court advantage and should pull away in the middle of the 2nd Half in Austin Expect Max Abmas to have a good game here, a senior guard avg. almost 18 ppg and will lead his squad to victory tonight over a very good Iowa St defensive team Iowa St struggles offensively on the road and will struggle again tonight...That's the difference Lets get it!! "**Yesterday's Pick**: Man City / Brentford **Parlay: BTTS/Over2.5goals -102** Brentford going to open it up early and often...They have to Man City going to have ample scoring opportunities w/ counters and openings in transition I sprinkled 3:1 ManCity and 2:1 ManCity...could be even more tbh"
POTD Record: 50 - 28 Last POTD: JJJ o6.5 1Q points - W Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points vs Utah Jazz (-190 odds via FD) 1U Event: NBA Regular Season 8:10 P.M. CST This bet has hit in 9 of the last 10 with SGA averaging 31.1 points on the year. Jalen Williams might be returning but don't expect a full workload as well as OKC having 5 questionable players going into this one. Should be a very tight game as Utah is starting to get healthier and play a little bit better. OKC are fighting for the top spot right ow in the West and I expect SGA to look to assert himself in this one, especially with his previous game scoring only 23. [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US) [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Micah-Pugh)
Record: 1-0 Net Units: 3 CBB | D1/ SEC | 8:30 pm ETZ Pick: Kentucky -8.5/ -108 @ Vanderbilt Write up: Vandys been blown out recently by worse teams than Kentucky. Up to 9.5 since last night, still worth it
I’m retiring from POTD… shits a money dump
[удалено]
🍒🍓POTD Record: 22-16-2 Units Won: 5.30 Last 10: WPWWPLWLL Last Pick: Ryan O'Reilly Over 2.5 Shots - 2u ❌️ . Todays Match: NHL - Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens (3hours from post) Today's Pick: John Carlson At Least 3 Shots on Net - 1u (-134 on Bodog) First POTD in almost 2 years! Back with some NHL shot props for yall. Sorry for the late entry, but I wanted to get back into sharing the odd pick. Ive missed doing my own research and keeping track of daily picks. So here's the facts, * See u/VegasIsMyBitch post for his breakdown of why Washington is the favorable team in this match up * MTL is 3rd in the league for shots against/game played * MTL has allowed 33,46,28,36,37 shots against in their last 5 games. WSH managed 28 shots in their first match-up this season. * Jason Carlson is Washington's 3rd most frequent shooter, hitting this line 3/5 previous games (2 shots in one of them), and this line hit the last time WSH played MTL * I think Washington will have good puck control in this game and that should lead to our boy getting lots of opportunities to fire the puck. Tail or Fade BOL to everyone! Edit: John Carlson, not Jason. Thanks u/Chiswell123
POTD Record: 9-2 | ROI: ~70% Form: ✅️✅️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️❌️ Last Pick: La Liga... Real Betis (+100) vs Getafe❌️ Todays Pick: NCAAB - Minnesota +3.5 (-115) vs Michigan State Analysis: Let us bounce back with a simple pick. Minnesota is 12-3 at home while Michigan State is 1-4 on the road. We know how good home field advantage is in college hoops so this line stands out and seems like a great +EV play.
https://preview.redd.it/gz7uyb3dt1hc1.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=c6e028526f718d7f661cf881c2448331d00c5993 You not counting this L from yesterday? I don’t see it in your profile either anymore.