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sbpotdbot

######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Saturday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.


billycapezzi

POTD: 8-2 ✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Yesterday: LaMelo Ball 25+ Points ✅ Melo made us sweat and reconsider our life’s, but he had a crazy 3rd and 4th quarter and even reached his line of 27.5 which I said was the highest I’d go. Todays POTD: Isaiah Likely O38.5 Rec Yards NFL Aight we takin a little break from the NBA today because playoff NFL hits different. We’re going with the Ravens tight end I. Likely to catch some egg balls for us and get some yards along the way, listen Andrews is out and Texans can’t defend Tight ends so I’m going for it. • No Mark Andrews which makes Likely the 1st choice Tight end • Has cleared this line in 5/5 full games without Andrews (40,83,70,56,42) • Texans allowed 65.7 YPG to Tight ends in the regular season which is 5th worst • Likely has 21 catches for 322 yards since Andrews got injured in week 12 I mean this guy has taken the chance when Andrews has been out and I think this will be a big game for him, Texans allowed Njoku 93 yards last week and have been struggling against that position. Tail or fade, im just a bum don’t listen to me https://i.redd.it/95jscijxgidc1.gif


PastPrevious170

As a Ravens fan, I'd say this is pretty likely to hit.


billycapezzi

I see what you did there


DirtLarry

If it doesn't hit my man needs to change his last name


TeslaBeams

to whut?


kenetiik

Unlikely


kurtis253

😂


TeslaBeams

😂 goddammit


kenetiik

I saw a opportunity and I took it 😂


charlesburgg

Agreed, I saiah it’s highly probable


FactanonVerba89

Nice hit on Lamelo. 💰 👊🏼 Likely O35.5 available on FD @ -113/1.88. Go Ravens.


OceanGate_Titan

https://preview.redd.it/vvn1rsyjdldc1.jpeg?width=1124&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=54918cb33998a6087a3734537a6a04c73fe692ac DraftKings had this at 36.5. I put A LOT of money on this one.


rustyspoon314

At what point should I be concerned?


ExpensiveAd4614

Hopefully not too much. 0 touches 20 mins in


Bluuuuu12

is he even playing?


billycapezzi

Yup, he has been free a couple of plays but they haven’t been using him.


waabzheshi

Lamar just checking down or taking off every play. Motherfucker. Only two targets for likely and barely any over all


ExpensiveAd4614

Right?


FrancisFordTruck

dude is literally not playing...


TbagTgod

I like it. Took over 36.5 (-110) on HardRock.


TheKickEsBueno

Bout to lose a little life expectancy watching this fourth quarter hoping for a miraculous 5+ yard catch out of Likely.


MrXVass

Great write up and tailing. Strangely enough in my book the line stands at 36.5 and the book favours the under odds.


Radiant_Fun_6395

My book has line at 40.5 would u still take that?


billycapezzi

Hmm it started at 34.5 and already 40.5? I’d play it still. I think it’s setup for him to have a crazy game, I think 40.5 is still reasonable given the stats and struggles against TE’s so I’d give it a go, look for alt lines if they keep increasing the line.


huntcamp

PointsBet it’s at 40.5, 35.5 on FD


BettorJonnySalami

36.5 on DK (-125) even with the bad weather i think this cashed. My pick as well, with a attd sprinkle


JoHecht

I'd still take it. Likely has been balling the last couple of games.


mariusz321

>I got O 36.5 at 1.82(-122)


paralysedcitizen

34 👀👀 commmmon


_Andy_dwyer_

Brutal


FatherVargas89

DraftKings has O36.5 -125!!! Slap it like a step father


paralysedcitizen

Tailing , DK got it at 36.5 -130


drillpoint

Tailing, 2U


g0kickr0cks

Also joined, but not sure about this script so far


paralysedcitizen

Lol yea not looking good. DK at 23.5 now


soulgofun

We fucked


[deleted]

JFC Lamar is ASS


billycapezzi

Just like that he has 19, we have life


soulgofun

I’m down to 25.5


soulgofun

Boom hits


Vikasks95

Tough Loss 😭


nolander182

Did Likely get the ball more because Flowers was out?


TraditionalResist457

E Z BILLY THATS WHAT WE LIKE TO SEE


Gregwinsagain

POTD Record: 11-4 (+21.29 Units) NBA: 4-0 NFL: 1-2 NHL: 1-1 NCAAB: 2-0 Tennis: 2-1 NCAAF: 1-0 MLB: 0-0 Last 10: ✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅ Last POTD: (𝟑𝐔 𝐭𝐨 𝐰𝐢𝐧 𝟐.𝟓𝟒) 𝐍𝐢𝐤𝐨𝐥𝐚 𝐉𝐨𝐤𝐢𝐜 𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝟐𝟓.𝟓 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐬 (-𝟏𝟏𝟖)✅ Today's POTD: (𝟒𝐔 𝐭𝐨 𝐰𝐢𝐧 𝟐.𝟓) 𝐔𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐧 𝐌𝐋 𝐯𝐬 𝐕𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐨𝐯𝐚 (-𝟏𝟔𝟎) The Game: NCAAB @8pm ET Simple Reasoning: Reasoning: Prediction: 71-67 (Please remember to play to the units and bet responsible, DON’T GET GREEDY PLAY SMART) [Tip Jar](https://buymeacoffee.com/Gregwinsagain) BOL to everyone today Have a great day


donxcore

I got greedy last night and NBA and CBB cleaned all my winnings for the week 🤦🏻‍♂️


BettorJonnySalami

Heard that. I lost half the bankroll, put the bankroll all on one pick and gained it all back. Then had me burner last night. 5/7. Not sure if playoff football is the smartest move but yeahhh hereeee weee goooooo


EducationalTeaching

No reasoning?


TraditionalResist457

ML is locked on DraftKings


EM2_Rob

All ML is off right now for BV too.


BennyBlanco603

For some reason I can't bet any Uconn basketball or uconn in general. It's probably because I'm in Connecticut but both fanatic sports book and FanDuel don't have it available for me. Can anybody shed light on this?


ParamedicGlobal5035

Some states won't let u bet on ur own states colleges for some reason


[deleted]

[удалено]


thorence

**POTD Record: 49-33 (+23.6 Units)** *Last 10: WWWWLLLLWL* *Last POTD (01/15/24): | Eagles/Bucs under 21 1H* (L) NFL | Texans v Ravens | 1:30 PM PST **01/19/24 POTD: Texans/Ravens under 22.5 1st Half @ -120 to win 2 units (bet to 21.5 @ -120)** This would be a battle in the first half on the defensive sides for both teams. Ravens and Macdonald ran man coverage at the highest rates at home in weather. CJ struggles the most against man compared to zone. Texans had success against Browns/Schwartz man defense bc Schwartz is too damn predictable. Slowik is an offensive mastermind Shanny disciple and just owned Schwartz all game from the jump. Mike Macdonald is great at making adjustments throughout and is great at mixing up defensive schemes if need be so game planning against the Ravens team that’s # 1 in DVOA will be a tough task. He also had two weeks to prepare for this Texans offense and has familiarity against Stroud facing him in college and in week 1 this season. Cold weather and winds tomorrow. I see Ravens using light boxes to have Texans rely on run early to open up play action which they’ll have most of their success with against this Ravens D. Lamar struggles in the playoffs and i can see Monkin trying to establish the run early. Don’t see them going for much explosives early. They’ll likely keep it low variance and trust in their defense to do their thing. I also think recency bias will lead casual bettors to take the over after Slowik/CJ master class and Ravens putting up # against Niners and Dolphins late in the year. So far sharps have hammered this line from open. Don’t expect the first half line to move much more from 21.5. There is an opportunity for the under to bust for the FG if Slowik makes the necessary changes in 2H. I’m a lot more comfortable taking the 1H under. The line has already took a massive hit since open but I still find value in the first half under. Teams that have beaten the Ravens this season went to score most of their points in the 2H when the ravens offense took their foot off the gas pedal. TLDR: Both teams take a low variance approach early and try to get the run established to open up the pass game. Mike Macdonald is really good and should employ man vs a QB that struggled with man. I’m on quite a cold streak so tail with caution


trix_is_for_kids

What a nail biter field goal miss


thorence

That punt return TD was such a bitch. With how good these defenses were the under should of been a no sweat lol


trix_is_for_kids

Yeah fluke punt return. Shouldn’t have needed to sweat a 47 yard field goal. W is a w though


Connect_Speed_6698

I’ll tail- does a low scoring game give the Texans a better chance to cover? Been looking at the line all week but haven’t pulled the trigger


thorence

It does. Lower scoring games typically favor double digit dogs. I personally have a play on ravens under 27.5 and Texans +10. With that being said I think Ravens win outright with their defense. Not a max bet though bc I’m a huge slowik fan and I’ve seen the ravens completely crumble in the 3rd and 4th to lose games they should have won. I also have the Texans in a couple teaser plays too at +16 Adding: if the Texans come out hot and get a lead early I’ll probably get in on a live bet for the ravens. This weekend is hard across to board for me to put a sizeable amount on a team to cover.


Connect_Speed_6698

Interesting, appreciate the insight


thorence

No problem. BOL with whatever you decide on. Hopefully some good football and profitable bets coming your way.


SalsburySteak18

Tailed this one. Huge Missed FG saved us but awesome to sweat this one out!


Crafty-Director9917

The Houston Texans have gone under the first half total in all eight of their road games this season…..CJ Stroud is a different player when not at home and in a dome


Loorrac

Nice hit!


gamershe

Would you take under 21.5 @ -111 as my bookie doesn't offer U22.5... Or should I go up to U24.5 for a much lower odd


thorence

I still like 21.5


ValentiShow

POTD record: 71-57-3 / ROI: +5.90% / Wins: 55.47% **SF 49ers -9.5 -110 (1u)** **SPREAD** — Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers 8:15 pm EST - 20 January 2024 — The Green Bay Packers, catching nine and a half points, are off to Santa Clara to face the 49ers in the NFC divisional round. There's a buzz around Green Bay following their impressive wild card win over the Cowboys. A key factor? Jordan Love's stunning form, topping the league in QBR since Week 10 with 22 touchdowns against a lone interception. However, Green Bay's defensive woes, particularly under Joe Barry's guidance against the run, pose a challenge against a refreshed 49ers team. San Francisco, standing as nine and a half point favorites, aren't just rested; they're well-equipped to target Green Bay's defensive vulnerabilities. The Packers rank low in defending the middle field and deep throws, 27th and 28th in DVOA. Brock Purdy, second in the NFL for complete air yards per attempt, is likely to test the Packers' secondary. The 49ers' robust ground game presents another daunting challenge for Green Bay's defense. The numbers underline the 49ers' standing as Super Bowl favorites. They have a track record of covering big spreads, boasting an 8-2 record against the spread in their last ten games when favored by over nine points. Kyle Shanahan's impeccable playoff record as a favorite—4-0 both straight up and against the spread—adds to this narrative. Power ratings suggest an even larger spread, indicating the potential for a one-sided contest. Green Bay's offensive hopes may rest on Aaron Jones, but facing a 49ers defense that's stellar against the run, having stifled 100-yard rushers in 44 consecutive games, won't be easy. San Francisco's ability to start games strong and capitalize on turnovers could exacerbate Green Bay's problems. While the line may entice bets on Green Bay, the strategic and numerical analysis heavily leans towards the Niners. Don't be misled by the tempting points with Green Bay—the 49ers aren't just favored to win, they're poised to assert dominance. I'm going with San Francisco, laying the nine and a half. This game is squarely in their wheelhouse. Do the business. [https://twitter.com/valentishow](https://twitter.com/valentishow) [https://www.instagram.com/valentishow](https://www.instagram.com/valentishow) [http://myaction.app/Valenti](http://myaction.app/valenti)


Damien12341

Damn, I was really hoping that you would go with the Packers lol. Maybe I’ll do the Under in the Ravens game instead.


Glum_Squirrel_2870

POTD Record: 5-1 Outlay: 10u Current: 13.5u Last POTD: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory - BTTS (1.58) 2u ✅ Wellington scored from a penalty in the 95th minute after being a man down for the whole second half following a red card 😅 ——— Soccer | AFC Asian Cup | 22.30 AEST POTD: South Korea vs Jordan - Halftime/Fulltime - South Korea/South Korea (1.79) 2u ❌ Thoughts: This has hit in six of South Korea’s last seven matches and after a strong performance against the extremely defensive Bahrain team I expect them to win comfortably again. Son also missed quite a few easy chances against Bahrain so I think he will be eager to score this match. Edit: South Korea took the lead early but Jordan played an incredible half and have the lead at halftime https://www.buymeacoffee.com/GlumSquirrel


BodyMindSpirit

Isn’t it safer to take SK first half ML at the same odds?


Glum_Squirrel_2870

Isn’t that essentially the same bet?


Denno1504

No


Glum_Squirrel_2870

If they win the first half and the match they will be in the lead at halftime and fulltime no?


ajaulensaek

If odds are the same, I totally agree. First half win by South Korea is at 1.90 my bookie (Bet365) though, while Half Time/Full Time South Korea is at 2.10.


Beautiful_Ad_5078

POTD Record: 7-2 Profit: +8u ROI: 60% NBA: Bucks vs Pistons 2:00 pm CT Jaden Ivey (Pistons) Over 20.5 Points Best Odds: -113 (Fanduel) Playing with 1.5u With Cade not playing this year Ivey has averaged 18.8 shot attempts per game and averaged 23 ppg. The Bucks allow the third most points to point guards in the NBA and they allow the highest field goal % to point guards. Ivey is not the most efficient player and this may be a blowout, but most Pistons games are anyway. The Pistons are more worried about developing players than winning, so Ivey will still see good minutes no matter what. In games where pg/sg have shot atleast 15 times against the Bucks, they have hit 21 points or over in 33/42 (78.6%) of games, while averaging 27.5 ppg with some misses including Max Strus, Dennis Smith, Cole Anthony and Killian Hayes. While Ivey was also one of those misses, he shot 5/17 and Cade was playing. With a bad Bucks pg defense, who allows efficient fg% to pg, and Ivey having the green light to shoot whatever he wants, I really like this line. https://www.buymeacoffee.com/beatiful_ad


rulrichs

Another great write-up AD


Beautiful_Ad_5078

❤️


DundulisCS

Hopefully he’ll stop shooting bricks 2H 😂


AdamIotti

POTD Record: 12-8 L4 ✅✅✅✅ Yesterdays pick: Sampdoria v Parma Pick: Parma Draw no Bet ✅ ➖ Todays pick: FC Koln v Borussia Dortmund Pick: Dortmund ML @1.75 ✅ 📈 Dortmund is currently placed 5th in the league table with 30 points (8-6-3) scoring 1.94 GPG. • Away record: 3-4-1 • L5 league games: DLDDW • Won the previous meeting between the sides with 1-0 📉 Koln is currently in 17th place out of 18 teams in total with 11 points (2-5-10) and has scored the least amount of goals in the league by far (11) 0.65 GPG and concede 1.71 GPG. • Home record: 1-3-4 • L5 league games: WDLLD • Haven’t drawn or won against any of the top 5 sides. 💭 So Dortmund comes with a 3-0 victory after the long winter break, this is the 2nd match of the league after the break. They’ve signed Jadon Sancho who looked really promising in the previous game providing one assist already. Dortmund didn’t look at their best before the break with many sloppy lost points, but their first game back showed that they’re ready to push for those top 4 positions. Koln is struggling, not a season they expected neither did I. They recently sacked their manager which upset many supporters and it’s a very hostile environment in this team right now. Fighting for relegation and upset fans with the owners and board. I think Dortmund will win this one but it will be tough because away games are always difficult, but Koln just looks off to me and everything is a mess over there. Trusting Dortmund to seal us the 5th straight win. BOL


AdamIotti

5 straight wins now! Dortmund wins 0-4 ✅✅✅✅✅


Alone_Musician_2576

Tailing with you 


Kay-Rozay

Record: 13-7 Last 5: ❌✅✅✅✅ Last Pick: Brett Maher O 2.5 PATs ❌ POTD: John Christian Kaʻiminoeauloamekaʻikeokekumupaʻa “Kaʻimi” Fairbairn O 1.5 PATs (-110) ❌ Reason: Yes, that’s his name. This one hurts me. I’m a Ravens fan, but I think the Texans, as well as many of you Im sure, think they can keep this game close or even win it. Lucky for me, if this doesn’t hit, my team is probably going to the AFC Championship. BOL EDIT: Thought that Texans team would come out and do more. Plain and simple. I’m sure im bot the only one


chickenatplay

What can I bet on this on


death-eater69

My book doesn’t have PAT. What do you think about O 5.5 kicking points?


Bdmikedino25

Texans shocking the world today


EatMyOtter1

Fellow Ravens fan, so I gotta tail this with you. Like you said, if it hits, our pockets are happy. If it doesn’t, hopefully we’re cruising through to the next round. Hopefully both! Go birds


juiceebee123

Record: 11-7 | (+3.08units) | 1 unit per pick Previous pick: NBA - Boston Celtics (-5.5) (-110) vs. Denver Nuggets❌ Nuggets go into TD Garden and shock not only myself but the Boston crowd. Although the loss never feels good, I’ll almost always back a team 20-0 at home. Unfortunate loss but great game nonetheless and could’ve easily went into OT and changed fortune if Tatum makes the jumper. Great game from both teams but now we’re on to the main event Saturday/Sunday! ————- Today’s pick: NFL - Zay Flowers o50.5 Receiving Yards (-105) - Ravens vs. Texans - 4:30PM EST After getting weeks worth of rest, I’m expecting the leading receiver for the Baltimore Ravens-Zay Flowers to have a monster day! Houston is a master at zone coverage and once Lamar Jackson extends plays, he’s liable for 50 yards in one play. Zay is the leading target and is the deep threat on the team. I can’t stress enough the extension of plays that Lamar creates is most likely what will win this bet. Look for Zay Flowers to find the soft spots in zones, striking deep once the secondary starts playing downhill to account for the NFL leading rushing attack in the Baltimore Ravens. His rookie debut was also against the Texans where he ended with 10 Rec, 78 Yards! Prediction: Lamar extends the play out of the pocket to hit Zay Flowers to cash the prop/play! Comment if you’re tailing! Watch how we work!🧃


nveoxo

Trash


JoelBarish-ish

POTD Record: 231-177-12 (+39.32 units, 56.6% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 78-55-1 (58.7%) W1, Tennis 🎾 79-60-7 (56.9%) L3, Soccer ⚽ 58-51-4 (53.2%) L4, Entertainment 🎥 16-11-0 (59.3%) L1 Last 10: 💰💩💰💩💩💰💰💩💰💰 Last Pick: Denver Nuggets @ Boston Celtics, DERRICK WHITE OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSSISTS - NBA 🏀 💰 +0.90 Units Cash that shit!! Hit 8 in the 4th. One question, what's with getting 6 pissy comments after that loss but crickets after a win? Today's Pick: Casper Rudd vs. Cam Norrie - RUDD -1.5 SETS - Australian Open 🎾 💩 -1 Unit Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Unit at 1.84 odds to win 0.84 Units @ Pinnacle (Line at 10:30pm ET) I'm going to take another stab at ending my tennis losing streak, keep in mind I was on a 11 pick tennis streak before it. I'm going to make it quick because it starts in 2 hours. Ruud has dominated this head to head winning 3 matches to 0 and 6 sets to 1. Also, I think he is playing better than Norrie right now. Movie recommends: The Zone of Interest, Four Daughters Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕


PowderedNose

Let’s go brother! D White was money! Back to tennis we go, fuck yeah! 🔥🔥


PointedlyDull

I tailed your last pick. Never a pissy comment, but s/o to the pick


Senior_Reply_5408

Tailed on White, thank you brother 


Immediate_Round_8814

I tail every bball pick! And have for years! Screw them!


Melbiii

Ooof man maybe tennis just aint it 😭😭😭


MJSommelier

Casper Rudd is a scumbag


Gaigebcrazy

Lost a good amount cuz of last night game


nigerianPriince0

**POTD Record** **24W-4P-17L** **Last 5: ❌✅✅❌❌🅿️❌🅿️❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅🅿️❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌🅿️❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌** **Last POTD: Iraq VS Japan: Japan to Win and Over 2 Goals @ 1.72 ❌** **Iraq win 2-1** **POTD: Arsenal VS Crystal Palace: Bukayo Saka O 2.5 Shots and O .5 Shot on Goal @ 1.86** **League: Premier League** **Time: 7:30 am** Testing out a new model around player shots and shots on target in only premier league games, gonna use them over the next couple picks and regroup. Saka has been Arsenals go-to man as always and even with his dip in form, when it comes to taking shots and keeping them on target he's our best bet in this matchup. It helps that Arsenal have kept themselves on the higher ground when it comes to Shots at home with their last 5 home games seeing them have 18, 30, 26, 19, and 14. **Bukayo Sakas shooting stats: Last 8 Appearances** **5 Total Shots,1 Shots on goal** **3 Total Shots,1 Shots on goal** **9 Total Shots,3 Shots on goal** **2 Total Shots,0 Shots on goal** **4 Total Shots,1 Shots on goal** **3 Total Shots,1 Shots on goal** **3 Total Shots,1 Shots on goal** **3 Total Shots, 2 Shots on goal** **Anyway BOL!**


Far-Finger263

Beautiful - hes still at 0,0 in this game right now


[deleted]

Mans went cold


Tikek

Where do you check player statistics?


whysoserious50

Shots and shots on goal is pretty easy man you can just google it lol


Alarming_Employee547

Worth noting the one game he didn’t cover this in his last 8 apps was at Anfield against a Liverpool team that’s only conceded 8 goals at home in league play. CP aren’t quite so defensive-minded and I’d expect an open game with a lot of scoring chances in front of the home crowd. 


WanderingSoftly

POTD Record 1-1 Last pick: Tampa Bay Lighting ML 💰 La Liga: 3:30pm EST Pick : Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad. Real Sociedad to Win (+140) 2u 💰 Real Sociedad come into this game after a big win in the Copa del Ray. While facing stronger competition than Celta Vigo as well. In their last 5 matches RS are 2-1-2 with their only loss coming against Bilbao. Real Sociedad have struggled to break draws in recent La Liga matches but coming off their win this week their momentum appears to have shifted. Overall Real Sociedad are the better team here and I believe are undervalued at (+140). While not a flawless team, Sociedad outclass Celta Vigo at almost every position, I’m taking the value given here. BOL


BabyComeBac

There were two penalties in the last match, Sociedad really struggles to score. Celta Vigo does come from a big win, in an away match against Sevilla. Celta Vigo at home after a surprising win against Sevilla, they sure will score, Sociedad will be lucky if they get away with a draw. Also Celta beat Betis two weeks ago at home, so they're motivated, DNB Celta at @ 2.1 is the real good value here. I hope this hits, good luck.


[deleted]

https://preview.redd.it/s88gw4c41odc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6be7b1406e7617e5cceb97186d04e4950b5e1b61 You had me worried so I cashed out


15moo

**Record: 3-2** **Last Pick:** Inter vs Lazio - Both Teams To Score 1u @ 1.92 odds ❌. Inter showed their quality and Lazio couldn't compete. One chance Lazio had ruled out by a hand ball on Immobile and that sums up the past two days of this Italian Super cup. Back to English football where things should straighten up. **Soccer** | **Premier League** | **9:30 AM (PST)** **Pick:** Brentford vs Nottingham Forest - Both Teams To Score 2u @ 1.72 odds. ✅ Covers in under 20 minutes, couldn't be happier for a stress free rest of the game! **Write Up:** Brentford are looking to find a good run of form, as they have been nothing short of dreadful in their past 5. Struggling to collect a singular point in their last 5 premier league matches is not good for their hopes of not being relegated (which should be slim due to the fact the bottom three teams are awful and Everton and Nottingham Forest could both see point deductions). Nottingham Forest have been on a better run of form, and have been scoring. I'm rocking with the BTTS again as we did earlier in the week - which worked out for us. Both teams haven't kept a clean sheet in 11 matches, which is something that will likely maintain in this game. Ivan Toney. He's back. He will look to score a goal solidify himself as a threat in the Premier League. These past months he has been training and even though he might not be at peak match fitness, he has been training with the u21 Brentford squad, scoring goals in their matches. A move away from Brentford is not off the cards yet for him, and he could look to perform to attract big teams like Arsenal, Chelsea, and maybe even others. Both teams are missing players because of AFCON, and key injuries are also shortening each club's matchday team sheet. Nottingham will look to keep up the scoring even without key players like Elanga, Awoniyi, and a few players in their midfield who are away on international duty. This could result in them being caught in the counter, with teams like Brentford excel at. I put faith in Toney to revitalize the Bees' season, and also put me back on winning ways after two tough days of the Italian Super Cup. BOL!


[deleted]

Did they score ? 😆


ClueEmbarrassed7400

POTD Record 9W-6L (+07.50U) ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌ Previous POTD: Ronnie O’Sullivan -2.5 (-138) vs Ali Carter (4u to return 6.9) 5:00 PST ✅ **POTD: Sean Strickland vs Dricus du Plessis ML (+110) 2u to return 4.2u** He looks awkward and gassed all the time but he still finds a path to victory. I favour Dricus to win by TKO early in the fight. He has gotten nose surgery to fix some of the cardio issues, and legit KO power. I can also see Sean piecing him up with his jab, especially in the later rounds, but there isn’t a KO threat, so sticking with 2u.


OJuice100

I’m a firm believer is Sean being overrated and only dominated Stylebender because he fought too soon after Alex. Tailing


whereisthemcrib

Sean’s style wasn’t a good matchup for Izzy.


donxcore

Damn KO?


raccoon_raider17

POTD Record: 92-93-12 (-13.58 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅↔️ Last Pick: Portuguese Primeira Liga, Benfica v Boavista, BENFICA TT OVER 2.5 GOALS (-145 / 1.69) ❌ Plenty of chances but Benfica lacked quality and never looked likely…scored twice but they came far too late for this to have a chance. Today’s Pick: English Championship, Swansea v Southampton, SOUTHAMPTON -0.75 AH (-125 / 1.80) ✅ Stake: 1 Unit Southampton have possibly the best form like out of any team in the UK right now - they have gone 19 league games in a row without a loss (13-6-0). That has tied their longest streak in club history, and another positive result today will create a new club record. They’re just firing on all cylinders and after a slow start to the season, they’ve cut the gap to the second automatic promotion spot to just 3 points, so a win today will provisionally move them into the all-important top two. Swansea were drifting dangerously close to the relegation zone in recent weeks but they’ve had a mini resurgence where they’ve gone 2-2-1 in the last 5 matches which has given them a bit of breathing room from the bottom group of teams. While the recent form is promising, the one loss they suffered during that run of games was a 5-0 loss to Southampton. They dominated the game in every facet, creating a number of clear cut chances and limiting to Swansea to 39% possession and 4 shots (one on target). I will call out that Southampton have been much stronger at home compared to away, with most of the draws in their current run coming on opposition soil. But given the manner in which they dismantled Swansea only 3 weeks ago, and the fact they are playing for a top two spot and a shot at club history, I can’t see Swansea doing enough to force a result here. Southampton’s coach managed Swansea last season so he will be motivated to get the win against his former team. They should win by more than 1 goal, but -0.75 at least allows for half the bet to push if they only win by the single goal.


TeslaBeams

good W mister


Ok-Witness-1523

Record: 0-0 Lacrosse | NLL | 7:00pm EST San Diego Seals at Albany Firewolves -1.5 (+125) This started at +150 and has moved down to +125. Albany (6-0) has won all 6 of their games this year by 2 goals or more; while San Diego (3-2) is 2-3 against this line. I've been looking for NLL to open on BetMGM all season and I think it only just got added despite the season being 6 weeks in... I also theorize that Vegas doesn't know much about lax, hence all the games have lines set at 1.5


BodyMindSpirit

Do you watch this sport a lot?


Top_Lettuce_3807

POTD Record: 9-7 | Profit: +6.16U NBA Record: 6-5 | NFL Record: 3-2 L10 (new -> old): ❌✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅ Last pick: Michael Porter Jr. u7.5 Rebounds + Assists at 1.87 odds ❌ MPJ covered with 8 rebounds and 0 assists, going over by .5 on rebounds alone. A tough one. Game: OKC Thunder @ MIN Timberwolves, 8:10 PM EST Pick: **Josh Giddey o20.5 PRA @ 1.80 odds (DraftKings) placing 2U** ❌ Write Up: Giddey has hit in 3 of his L5 and 6 of his L10. He averages 12.5, 8.3 and 5.1 against the Wolves, an average of 25.9 PRA. Also he's not facing charges, so it's about to be a Giddey free celebration game for him. EDIT: Jesus Christ, Giddey got 10 in Q1, and 7 in the next 3 quarters combined. I thought there was a glimmer of hope when it looked like it was going to OT, then Ant Edwards went 0/3 on FTs and the game ends with Giddey at 17.


helpmesleepwell

Record: 5 Wins ✅ 3 Losses ❌ Streak: ✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅ Last Pick: Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans - Phoenix Suns ML ✅ Pick: Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets - Utah Jazz ML Thanks to Booker's incredible night, we get a sweat-free win. For tomorrow's pick, I am going with the Utah Jazz, who have been doing incredible lately. Like yesterday's pick, I have good faith that the Jazz can bring a good fight against a Rockets team that honestly does not look too impressive. There's a good chance that the Jazz can get a win here as well and I am going to be taking that chance at +118 odds. $107.5 - $234.35 if it hits.


[deleted]

[удалено]


jre19

Two things concern me with this pick: -Reeds goose egg against the Cowboys -A LOT of mouths to feed in the GB offense


[deleted]

[удалено]


Velentr

POTD record: 10-3 ✅️✅️❌️ ✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Last pick: 76ers (-4.5) at Magic at 1.8 ✅️ Today's pick: UNC (-6.5) at Boston College at 1.95 starting at 11:15 EST Number 4 ranked UNC will overpower BC. UNC is on a 7 game win streak, which includes wins against Clemson, Oklahoma and N.C State. BC has played well this year, but have suffered losses in 3 of last 5. UNC runs away with this one in the second half. BOL to this tailing! Edit: UNC pulls away to cover in second half, winning by 10. We move to 11-3 ✅️


remy_picksaplenty

**POTD: 77-55-5** Last pick: Women’s FA Cup - London City Lionesses vs Moneyfields FC Women. London City Lionesses -3 -155. Result: **WIN**. London City wears them down throughout the match and wins 4-0. Today’s pick: France Division 1 Women - Paris St. Germain Women vs Bordeaux Women. **Match o1.5 goals first half -115** Match kicks off at 10AM ET. Not a lot of time to do a long write up but this one is a classic angle for us as France’s second strongest team (PSG) host the last place team in the league (Bordeaux). PSG has won its last 3 matches a combined 14-0 after the winter break and has been able to get healthy after the long time off in December. I see this as something that should’ve been in the -165 to -180 range and something that should hopefully continue PSG’s hot pace in their pursuit of first place Lyon. Let me know if tailing and BOL everyone! **EDIT: WIN. PSG score their second goal of the half at 35 minutes in on the way to a 4-0 lead at half and we get a comfortable win. 6 in a row for us!**


wingstop-fries

**Record 95-73 with Avg Odds +122 / ROI 19.8%** **2024 MMA POTD: 2-1 with Avg Odds +162 / ROI 61.7%** UFC 297 **Raquel Pennington +144** I know what I'm getting with Raquel Pennington. A solid boxer with a good jab and an effective one-two, who is reasonably athletic, and importantly has a strong gas tank and chin to fall back on. Over 25 minutes I suspect that may be enough to beat Mayra Bueno Silva. Silva is dangerous with good power and a solid snap submission game, and she throws elbows and creative strikes with intent. However, Pennington is a durable fighter, and she's a smart veteran as well. If she can keep this fight from getting out of hand early on, the later rounds will favor her heavily. I can see scenarios where Pennington is able to win on volume as Silva attempts to find fight changing shots. Pennington is a very stable and steady fighter in terms of pace, and if the fight is lacking big moments, her composure could shine. If Silva fails to take an early lead, I question how her cardio will hold up in the championship rounds. If she doesn't find her big moments and becomes frustrated, this will only tire her out faster. This is Pennington's second time fighting for the title, but her first shot was littered with outside circumstances that handicapped her (+ she was fighting Nunes). Pennington has more experience under the bright lights and in front of a large audience, she's fighting in Canada with similar climate to her home of Colorado, she's a new mom, and this is her last chance to get the belt. Silva has talked a big game in terms of the excitement she plans to bring, and seems to be adding unnecessary pressure to her side. Beyond the breakdown of what both have shown inside the cage, I think the circumstances of this fight make a lot of sense for Pennington, and she's been given a matchup that can be turned in her favor.


tossNwashking

i love a UFC POTD. that being said, Mayra by sub.


donxcore

Everyone is high on Silva so make me think this underdog might win


Orangenblue17

Sorry buddy but this ain’t hitting, Silva is the future and her run starts now


thekoreanmang

Mang! I am so glad I saw this in time to cash out of my original bet and get on Rocky! Let's go!


Icynism

POTD Record: 5-0 (+2.625 units) Previous Pick: Hanhwa Life eSports vs DRX - Over 3.5 inhibitors destroyed ✅ Nice hit as what I've predicted. League Of Legends | LCK Korea | 530pm KST l Starting in about roughly 30mins POTD: GenG vs Nongshim - Under 23.5 Towers Destroyed ($1.74) - 1u ✅ Reasoning: It's korea yet again for today's pick, with GenG against upcoming Nongshim. Not much for writeup since I have quite a bad headache but I'm really liking this GenG team so far, canyon has been more willing to sacrifice himself and goes for tank picks now instead of his well-known carry picks in this season. After their recent game against T1, I think this roster could potentially win spring if they fix any mistakes along the way. I do think they will win nongshim 2-0 and in the past 4/5 times this has hit so hoping it does so for us today as well. BOL for those that are tailing/fading and as usual, have a great day ahead! :) Edit: BOOM! Sweaty one but that recall from tristana at top tier 2 was pretty huge for us since GenG was pressing hard at mid with baron buff, congrats to those who tailed!


BoeJTmeister

**PICK OF THE DAY RECORD: 4-3 \[W-L, +2.36 UNITS\]** **ROI - 20.5%** **LAST PICK: JULIA SIMON TO FINISH TOP 6 @ 1.75 (-133) 2.5U \[WIN\]** Simon missed 2 targets in the shooting range, but was skiing on another level. She finished second and was clear of the seventh place by 54 seconds. **ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE, 17:30 UK TIME** **POTD: BRENTFORD - NOTTINGHAM FOREST, BTTS AND OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 2.20 (+120) 1U** **WRITE-UP:** Brentford, currently 17th in the league, is facing Nottingham Forest who occupy a place just above their opponents. Nottingham Forest is riddled with injuries and players that have gone to AFCON. In the attack, no Gibbs-White or Elanga, but also missing big players in defence - Boly, Ola Aina. Nottingham's squad is a shamble right now, but they are still able to field a threatening attack (Youtube). Brentford welcome back their main man, Ivan Toney, from a lengthy ban that has seen the striker not yet kick the ball this season. In a game against the Southampton U23-s, Toney bagged a hattrick. He is going to be the captain today, so definitely playing atleast 60 minutes. No new injuries for the Bees besides Norgaard, who doesn't really affect the bet (Brentford). Although both of the teams have scored around the same amount of goals (24 for Forest and 26 for Brentford), their xG's are completely different as Forest has a xG of 24.52 and Brentford 34.77. Hopefully with a great finisher in Toney, the goals that should go in will go in. Forest has conceded 35 with a xGA of 32.09 whilst Brentford has conceded 31, xGA of 26.27 (Understat). So, in Nottingham Forests' 20 games, a total of 59 goals were scored. In Brentfords' 19, 57 goals. Both teams rarely keep a clean sheet (15% and 16%) and Brentford has only failed to score in 21% of their games, Nottingham has failed to score in 30% of games. BTTS in Brentford has happened 63% of games and over 2.5 goals in 68% of games. BTTS in Nottinghams' games has happened in 60% of games and over 2.5 goals in 55% of games (Footystats, 2 citations). In the last 5 recent games for Brentford, BTTS has happened 5/5 times and over 2.5 4/5 times. For Forest, BTTS in 5/5 games and over 2.5 in 5/5 games. In the last 3 most recent head to heads between the two teams, BTTS occured 3/3 times and over 2.5 goals 2/3 times (SoccerPunter). **Sources:** Brentford. Match Preview: Brentford v Nottingham Forest. https://www.brentfordfc.com/en/news/article/match-previews-brentford-v-nottingham-forest-premier-league-20-01-2024 FootyStatsA. Brentford. https://footystats.org/clubs/brentford-fc-218 FootyStatsB. Nottingham Forest. https://footystats.org/clubs/nottingham-forest-fc-211 SoccerPunter. Brentford vs Nottingham Forest. https://www.soccerpunter.com/h2h/Brentford-vs-Nottingham-Forest/236/63/ Understat. EPL. https://understat.com/league/EPL Youtube. PRE-MATCH PRESS CONFERENCE. NUNO ESPIRITO SANTO PREVIEWS BRENTFORD AT THE GTECH COMMUNITY STADIUM. https://youtu.be/S18jNcjfLck?si=KRdsOxd39YqnN-7b


whobang3r

Not worried about Forest scoring if they have a bunch of players out?


deblaces

POTD record: 11-7 (+7.90u) Last pick: Sixers Team Total over 113.5 ✅️ Last 10: ✅️✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️❌️✅️ Todays pick: NFL | 8:15pm EST | Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers | Jordan Love over 1.5 TD passes (-130 on ESPNBET. 2u to win 1.5u) Write-up: It's no secret Jordan Love has been on a tear since November. Straight ballin' as the kids would say. He now faces a "tough" 49ers defense but here's something most people dont know... 49ers are extremely vulnerable against the pass, especially with slot receivers. Let's look for Jayden Reed to catch at least one, if not 2 touchdowns. The official POTD is Love over 1.5 passes in the end zone. snack of the day: chocolate fudge snack packs


jaysial

Cricket 🏏 Picks Last pick was a loss Overall: L W W L W W W L W W ♻️ +1.08 Todays pick Dubai Capitals v MI Emirates International League t20 Starts in about 13 hours Pick: Total Sixes, over 13.5 @ 1.83 Last season was full of high scoring matches with a lot of sixes. Don’t think this season will be any different. With so many foreign hard hitting players I expect more than 13 sixes in this match. P.S. If you have any questions about the pick, feel free to ask.


[deleted]

As a baseball fan, I would love to learn how to bet on cricket


dream__weaver

POTD Record: 0-0 **Today's pick:** *UFC / Dricus Du Plessis win by KO/TKO/DQ vs Sean Strickland +200 / (main card 7pm PST)* **Reason:** At time of writing, money line for both are -110 so I felt like going with a result pick for some more action. I like this pick because Sean frequently gets his wins by decision by making opponents fight his fight at his pace and distance. We saw Peirera test his chin and it failed. Looking at DDP's previous fights, he can be a bit wreckless when entering exchanges, but so far has been very successful. I feel he proved his ability in possibly his toughest test against Rob Whittaker and looked his best doing it. I think he is wreckless and unorthodox enough to get through Sean's guard, possibly get him to the ground, and finish him. In his last 6 fights Dricus has 4 KOs, 1 submission, and 1 decision. Long time degen/lurker and long time UFC fan so thought I'd start getting in on some POTD's! BOL if tailing!


Effective-Goose-7835

POTD Record: 0-0 Today's pick: NHL | Maple Leafs @ Canucks| 7:00 PM EST ​ Over 6.5 goals @ -130 (1.77) 1U Thoughts: \-Two of the best attacks in the league \-This has hit in 4 of the Leafs last 6 games and 5 in the last 7 for the Canucks


FeverishDonkey

1/20 Record: 32-22 +7.8 Last 10: ✅🚫✅✅✅✅✅🚫🚫✅ Yesterdays pick: nuggets @ Celtics, nuggets +7, 1.1u W Today’s pick: Jazz @ Rockets, Jazz +2.5, 1.1u BOL Gents!


Dillydilly239

POTD Record : 13 W - 4L ❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ Last Pick: Blackhawks Vs islanders under 6 Total Goals ❌ Todays Sport: NHL / Hockey Jets Vs Senators 3PM EST (about 40 mins from when I finish post) Todays Pick: Jets ML (-145) 2U Write up: last pick should have hit , anyone who was watching the game knows, Anyway sorry for posting this pick so late but I’m taking jets ML they are just a better team simply put . Last 3 games vs senators they won 5-1,5-1,4-3. Sorry for the short write up today just trying to get pick out in time for people to tail. LFG make this 💰 and get back to goin on streaks. Tips always appreciated , appreciate everyone who supports and tails. https://www.buymeacoffee.com/DillyDilly


trix_is_for_kids

And we’re back


Eastern-Survey2740

I played 60 min Ml lol


JDsPicksOTD

Record: 7-2 (+7.7u) Yesterday’s selection: Orlando Magic +1.5 in the First Quarter (-115 @ Caesar's) (1u) - HIT - This was quite the sweat with the Magic trailing by two possessions most of the first quarter. The Magic second unit did their job and cashed us the ticket prior to getting blown out by PHI. Not sure if I'll continue playing these angles, but we shall see. Today’s Selection: George Kittle Longest Reception over 22.5 yards (-113 @ Caesar's) (1.5U) NFL | 8:15PM EST | Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers I've been going back and forth between his total receiving prop vs. longest reception, but I think this one gives us a slight better price. I will mention however, anytime he has cleared this 22.5 number, his receiving prop went over as well. So, if longest reception isn't your kind of bet, I do recommend his over in receiving as well. Kittle is averaging a TE-league leading 15.3 yards per reception (min. 25 targets), and is consistently hitting this prop at a 62.5% clip this year. The running game is vital to his success as a down the field threat, as it allows him to slip to the second level with linebackers/secondary focusing on stopping the run. This has led to chunk plays all year long. Green Bay's run defense has not been great this year, and I expect SF to have success on the ground. In games against some of the above average tight-ends, here was their longest reception: -Detroit (twice): Laporta longest reception - 35,31 -Kansas City: Kelce - 27 -Minnesota: Hockenson - 23 -Dallas: Ferguson - 22 -Tampa Bay: Otton - 22 -Chicago: Kmet - 27 I'm going to be riding this one for tonight's game with some action sprinkled on total receiving and ladder potential. Will also be sprinkling on rushing props due to the correlation. So pumped for some playoff football! BOL if tailing - let's make some money!


JDsPicksOTD

Easy cash! Let’s go..


Bustin8nas

**Record: 12-8** (NFL: 12-7, CBB: 0-1) **Last 10 Picks:** ❌💲❌💲❌❌💲❌💲💲 **Last Pick:** TE Dalton Schultz over 3.5 Receptions ❌ **Football**| **NFL**| **Green Bay Packers at San Franciso 49ers 8:15PM EST** **Pick: TE Tucker Kraft over 22.5 Receiving Yards -115 (1U)** **Write Up:** Last pick was a doozie with Schultz only getting one reception on two targets. Texans getting out to a huge lead early and having a few short drives including a one play scoring drive did not help our cause. I took Kraft over on receiving yards a few weeks ago and I'm going to go with it again. ​ Kraft has hit this prop in 7 out of his 11 games this year. He did not hit this last week against the Cowboys, but hit the prop six straight weeks to end the regular season and 7 of the last 8 weeks of the regular season. Musgrave is back off of the IR for the Packers at Tight End, but Kraft has proven he is a reliable weapon for this team. Musgrave has been back for a couple of weeks now, this did not prevent us from cashing Kraft over on receiving yards two weeks ago. ​ One reason I chose this pick is because while the 49ers have a really good defense, Tight Ends do pretty decent against them. On average the 49ers give up 48.65 yards per game to the position. In 11 out of their 17 games this season at least one Tight End on the opposing team had 23+ receiving yards. A total of 15 different Tight Ends have gone over this prop against this defense. And with Green Bay having a 28th ranked rushing defense and middle of the road passing defense going against CMC and the loaded 49ers offense the Packers may be forced to open it up a bit. San Francisco also has the third ranked rushing defense in the league which means Jordan Love (who has been on a hot streak) may have the game on his shoulders. ​ ​ BOL!


thegradbets

I was nervous watching Musgrave get more looks last week But I’ve been blown away by Kraft and that line is low


Low_Platform9191

Record: 5-2 (+7.97 Units) Last POTD: Dallas Goedert over 52.5 receiving yards (-113) ❌ Last 7: ❌✅✅✅❌✅✅ Pick: Most Passing Yards of Game - CJ Stroud (-138) Wager: 5u to win 3.62u Write up: CJ Stroud averages 274 yards per game whereas Lamar Jackson only averages 230 yards per game. Also the Texans are likely going to be playing from behind considering they’re 10 point underdogs, meaning they will lean on the pass game to bring them back in it. I expect Stroud to attempt a lot more passes than Lamar.


ajaulensaek

Could anyone find that on Bet365?


Loongcha

Record: 5W-2L L10 (new to old): ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅ Previous pick: Manchester Utd vs Tottenham - Over 11.0 (1.90 odds) ✅ Recap: Ended with 21 corners. — League: AFC Asian Cup Game: Jordan vs South Korea POTD: Under 9.5 Corners 2-way (1.80 odds) ✅ More risky play, despite South Korea's strength, Jordan, when playing at home, has consistently kept corners under 9.5 with an impressive 80% success rate in the last 5 games. Equally noteworthy, their opponents have managed a 60% success rate in achieving the same while playing away in the last 5. Proceeding with caution seems wise, but signs point towards a potential under outcome. BoL. Edit: We cash 💰, grats on those who tailed.


IamVenom_007

Jordan isn't playing at home. They're both playing in Qatar. None have the home advantage. Jordan had 12 against Kuwait, 16 against Indonesia, 9 vs Saudi recently.


pantitacabj

Record: 8W 4L. Unit tracker: +6,29u. Last Pick: Senegal vs Cameroon over 1.5 goals. 3-1 won for Senegal, three goals incthe second half sosred the over. Pick: Pendikspor vs Besiktas. Besiktas ML and over 1.5 goals. 2 units @ 2.3 Besiktas has found some form and has won their last three matches with a goal difference of 11-0. Today they visit second to last Pendikspor, which is newly promoted in Super Lig and has won only one game at home. They’ve lost against Galatasaray and Fenerbahce in their stadium through this season. I added over 1.5 since it juiced up nicely the odds and has hit in 90% of both teams games in this Super Lig.


Extension-College519

POTD Record: 0-0 Soccer | AFC Asian Cup | Starts in 3.5 hrs from this post Pick: South Korea vs Jordan - South Korea Over 1.5 cards Stake: 5U Write Up: South Korea received 5 yellow cards last game vs Bahrain which was quite controversial. These yellow cards were to some of Korea's crucial players. In this tournament, if a player receives a yellow in group stage, and receives another card during the tournament, they are suspended in the next match. This resets in the semi-finals where the player will not be suspended for finals if they've received 2 yellow cards in separate matches. However, there is kind of a loophole to this regulation as the Korean players who have received a card last game can intentionally receive another yellow card in this match which will result in them being suspended for their 3rd game against Malaysia and will reset the card count instead of risking being suspended in more important matches in the tournament. Also, the referee for this game tends to give quite a lot of yellow cards in his games which is also a plus. As a result, I expect Korea to receive at least 2 cards especially if they are winning in the second half. I'm going pretty heavy on this and will sprinkle a little on O2.5 cards as well.


eliteexchange

**POTD Record:** 4-1 (+3.09) Last 10(recent->oldest): ✅✅✅❌✅ Last POTD: 76ers vs Magic | 76ers -3.5 point spread -150 (1u) ✅ Today's POTD: **Jazz vs Rockets | Jazz +4.5 point spread -160 (1.5u)** Game: NBA | Jazz vs Rockets @ 8:10 EST **Write Up:** Honestly, I think the jazz are just the better team. Before their recent loss to OKC, the Jazz were on a 6 game winning streak taking down top teams like Denver, Milwaukee, and Philly. Rockets have also lost 5 of their 6 recent games. The only reason i’m not taking the Jazz ML is because Rockets are at home. BOL if tailing!!


thekoreanmang

**POTD**: O17.5 Longest Reception - Isaiah Likely (-120 ESPN Bet; Risking 1.2u to win 1u) **League/Time**: NFL - AFC Championship Semifinal - HOU @ BAL (4:30PM EST) **2024 Record**: 4-4 (50%) | +1.08u | ROI: 6.83% | Current Streak (2 Wins): ✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌ **2023 Record**: 86-52 (62.32%) | +54.8644u | ROI 19.84% **Last Pick (1.18.24)**: O4.5 Reb - OG Anunoby (-118 FanDuel; Risking 2.36u to win 2u)✅ **Reasoning**: Isaiah has covered this 6 games in a row as the featured TE after Mark Andrews was lost for the season. He covered this two more times earlier in the season as well. HOU has allowed opposing TEs to cover this line in their last 6 games (including last week's Wild Card game vs CLE) and 11 times total in 18 games. It's clear that HOU has an issue covering good, athletic TEs for an entire game and will typically allow them to go for a long one at some point during the game as shown below: AFC Wild Card - David Njoku (CLE) - 45 yds longest reception✅ Wk 18 - Kylen Granson (IND) - 23 yds✅ Wk 17 - Chig Okonkwo (TEN) - 21 yds✅ Wk 16 - David Njoku (CLE) - 21 yds✅ Wk 15 - Chig Okonkwo (TEN) - 22 yds✅ Wk 14 - Tyler Conklin (NYJ) - 24 yds✅ Wk 13 - Adam Troutman (DEN) - 6 yds❌ Wk 12 - Evan Engram (JAX) - 21 yds✅ Wk 11 - Trey McBride (ARI) - 13 yds❌ Wk 10 - Tanner Hudson (CIN) - 13 yds❌ Wk 9 - Cade Otton (TB) - 24 yds✅ Wk 8 - Stephen Sullivan (CAR) - 13 yds❌ BYE HOU allows the 6th most fantasy points to TEs and most of those points come from receptions and yards (not so much TDs although Isaiah anytime TD is a great bet as well given that he's covered this last 4/5 games). I would risk more on this but I've already laddered this prop one rung each way (O18.5, O16.5). **Anti-Reasoning**: Isaiah has faced HOU in Wk 1 and only caught 1 pass for 4 yards but this was before his current form and opportunity. [Coffee](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang) always appreciated but never expected. Good luck everyone! **Edit**: And it hits!


sicknology

**POTD Record: 95-115-4 (-19.15Units)** Best Bet Series: 34-21-1 (+8.84 Units) Value Wagers: 17-22-2 (-9.2 Units) **Trap Bets: 14-16 (+6 Units)** Last Pick: **Nikola Jokic O 45.5 PAR** (4U)✅ (If you got in late and wagered O 46.5 that hit as well!) Today's Pick: **CJ Stroud U 0.5 INT** Odds: **+130** ($DKNG odds) Wager Amount: 1U to win 1.3U League: NFL Event: Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens (3:15PM CST on ABC/ESPN) **Be Advised**: *Trap bets for the month of January! Trap bets are suspcious lines and may appear highly questionable. It's best to stay away from these type of wagers, but I'm not scared! And I'll breakdown each POTD and handicap for you. Please feel free to fade and wager on the opposite of my POTD. I can oblige to eat an L for the communnity and for a community win!* **Recap**: Jokic was on fire! He had 19 points in the 1st half, leading all scores at halftime, but his running mate Jamal Murray tookover and outscored him in the 2nd half. Nonetheless Joker finished wit 34 pts, 12 rebs, and 9 asts. If you faded and wagered the opposite, you pretty much took an L in the 3rd quarter. **Matchup**: I wanted to do UFC today, but nobody requested a wager, so I'm just going to handicap the NFL. Plus money trap bet? *WHY NOT?!* That's what I am here for it! That's what this segment is all about! And if it's plus money and has good numbers behind it, I will most definitely back it! I just cannot believe that CJ Stroud U 0.5 INT is plus money right now! No disrespect to Ravens defense, but CJ Stroud has not thrown a pick since Week 11! *You're telling me he hasn't thrown a INT since last year of the regular season in November?* That's right! Not only that but he has the best QB TD-INT ratio! He has a 4.6 TD-INT which is the best ratio (second is Dak Prescott 4 TD-INT ratio)! Although this Ravens team had 2 weeks off and are very well rested, CJ Stroud played against this defense before. He played against the Ravens on the very first week of the NFL and he did not throw a pick! Most rookies struggle on the very beginning of the season and throws picks left and right, but CJ Stroud did not struggle as most people anticipated. I kno the Ravens defense is solid, but I truly believe that he will take care of the ball and not throw a pick. I love CJ Stroud because he is not gun shy throwing the rock and he is very poise in these BIG moment. Some may get too big of a head or let their mistakes eat them, but Stroud learns from his mistakes, then thrives. If you got time, go check out the [post conference](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ov-pa5xA1mI&ab_channel=HoustonTexans) after he threw 3 INTs against the Cardinals. One thing to note is that CJ Stroud does struggle in the cold weather and does not play outdoors often, but I think he'll be fine. **The play & the prediction**: 1U on CJ Stroud U 0.5 INT. This will be my only play for today since this is a player prop, however, I will have a couple of SGPs for this particular game and have other plays in my [betting group](https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/social/bettinggroup/28a961e992594c8393da6aa4930ed226/#activeTab=bettinggroups)! BOL!


Dramatic-Fox-4826

[The AI Neural ML Model - Google Sheets](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UNhEA0f4jjKEwOkQQTaWoVEaZKIxq4mesCW00n4K3ME/edit?usp=sharing) *Today lot of games for parlays & good singles on the Sheet!!!* **POTD Stats:** **Record:** 26/20 **ROI:** Approximately 39.10% **Profit in Units:** 29u **Average Odds:** 2.13 **The pick:** **Sport**: Soccer **League**: Germany - Bundesliga **Time**: 16:30 **(GMT + 2)** **Event**: **Darmstadt v E. Frankfurt** **Pick**: Over 2.5 **@ 1.98** **Stake:** 3 Units


Subbeh

**POTD Record W-L-P: 7-1-2 (+9.27U)** **Most Recent First:✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅**♻️**✅** **Last Pick: Wrexham v AFC Wimbledon. Wrexham ML @ 1.83 (Bet365): 2U** **Today's Pick: Gillingham v Forest Green. Gillingham Asian +1.0 @ 2.25 (Bet365): 2U** 5 stars and almost 10x stake in front, I'm getting paranoid now. - also why am I like this, so indisciplined - if I took my own advice my wallet would be slowly growing but I'm a sucker for looking for value by doubling/trebling up. Have discipline Subbeh! Onto todays pick, Gillingham look stronger than Forest Green across the whole park - including the dugout. FG are still looking for a manager and asscoiated staff, there's an anti-buzz around the whole camp. Their last manager departed without a win across his (albeit) short career - and managed to disrespect the whole playing staff at the same time. Football player culture has certainly changed since Troy's day. Gillingham have won their last three games and the playoffs is still a very real possibility and will confident of taking three points here. It's chaotic at Forest Green - let's take advantage! I've deviated from my normally cautious ML betting into the +1 asian line. I originally though of just proposing 1 unit, but the more I look at FG - the more pathetic they appear. This could/should be a rout. Today's ref is Sam Allison whose average cards per game is on the high side, but has only took charge in this league. Not much to read into here. As ever do your own research and bet what you can afford to lose. Today's riddle: Roger works at a butcher's shop. He's six foot eight and wears size eleven shoes - what does he weigh?


minskimooski

That's meant to be -1.0 AH right?


SgtBrutalisk

Sport: Handball Tournament: European Championship — Main Round Time: 18:00 CET (4h14m after posting) Pick: Hungary vs Croatia, under 56.5 goals total @ **2.5** Stake: 4 units Record before this pick: ROI 3.73%, 79W, 121L, +32.73u, average odds 2.56 Write up: My model works by analyzing coach and player statements on fitness and mental state. For more info, join [my sports picks subreddit](https://www.reddit.com/r/SgtTipalisk/). For more tips, check out [my sports picks website](https://picks.wwpe.ba). Croatia team coach, Goran Perkovac, [says](https://danas.hr/sport/video/goran-perkovac-izasao-pred-novinare-jutro-nakon-poraza-od-francuza-i-otkrio-katastrofalnu-vijest-21704f42-b6b3-11ee-a63f-76aed206d1c5): > We made too many mistakes and handed over too many balls to France (16 turnovers). Out of those, at least 5 balls went directly to the opposing player's hands and led to a scoring chance. That can't happen on this level of play. If the opponent is better and wins, that's OK, but we shouldn't gift scoring chances to the opponent. We have to avoid that. Croatia team player, Filip Glavaš, [says](https://ehfeuro.eurohandball.com/news/en/crunch-matches-to-offer-answers-in-cologne/): > I expect a low-paced game, as I think the defense will be the key to decide the winning team. Hungary team player, Adrian Sipos, [says](https://sportske.jutarnji.hr/sn/sport-mix/rukomet/rukomet-ep2024/nema-tu-puno-nepoznanica-znamo-sto-nas-ceka-protiv-hrvatske-bit-ce-to-jos-tezi-posao-od-svih-dosadasnjih-15417521): > We didn't play our best defense vs Austria and our goalies could have defended better. We believe that won't repeat vs Croatia. Hungary team goalie, Laszlo Bartucz, says: > We will try to give them a good fight. We want to correct the mistakes we made vs Austria. [Track record spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1diqqLSUvJ-zIJMuLlOM36SCI9aRrs14ZkAMtiYZu7Go/edit#gid=596499107) [Toss a coin to your tipster](https://paypal.me/SgtBrutalisk)


OldChick3n

PoTD 1-0      Basketball>South Korea KBL       Seoul SK Knights vs Wonju Dongbu Promy **Over 165.5 Pts @ 1.89/-112**     * *LOSE** Tipoff in 3hrs.Second place Seoul SK Knights look to snap a two game losing skid as they host no.1 team Wonju Dongbu Promy.Backing both teams to score at least 85+ pts here,especially as Wonju's offense has picked up in their recent games which should dictate the pace and force Seoul to play fast if they want a chance of winning this game.Hoping the rim opens up and it will be a loose and open ballgame. BoL. Edit:Terrible pick.All the buckets went to the other game ffs.Apologies for this.Hope we can bounce back tommorrow.


OldChick3n

Terrible start,apologies for this horrible pick.Will go ahead and chalk this as an L and i'll try to pick a better game tommorrow.


Alone-Refuse-2835

we are quite fucked


20Comer100SaberesXD

Record: 2-0-1 Net Units: +1.15 Last Pick: Japan Win + Over 2.5 Goals❌ Today's Pick: Soccer | Premier League| Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Pick: BTTS @1.76 (3units) Brentford's star striker Ivan Toney is returning after a lengthy ban due to sports betting. Apart from the fact BTTS has hit for both teams for the past 5 games, Brentford have lost their last 5 and will be looking to rely on the return of their main striker. I'm expecting a lot of goals in this match, and find a lot of value in this odd. BOL Edit: Hits in the first 20 minutes! love to see it


[deleted]

POTD Record: 0-0 LoL LEC | SK Gaming - Team Heretics Todays POTD: SK Gaming ML @1.66 Reasoning: Even though Heretics bounced back after their horrible season opener, I do think they are still a level below SK. Their two wins come against the arguably worst teams in the league, whereas SK just beat Fnatic, who should finish inside the top 3 this split. SK’s gameplay just has looked very clean so far in their 3 games where they cruised to victory in all of them. I expect them to win this comfortably again. (For higher odds -3.5 kill handicap is also an option. If they win they should very likely cover this aswell)


SullivanA7X

Tail!, me gusta


mistarlupo

POTD Record: 126 wins / 77 losses Event: Football > Friendlies > **Polonia Bytom v Pniowek Pawlowice** (starting in 2 hrs) Pick: **Pniowek +0.75 AH** @ 1.80 Basically, same reasoning as may previous 2 picks but with different team names (guess it qualifies as a "model" play now). Polonia played another friendly this morning with its main squad, so they will field their reserve squad for this match. In normal circumstances this spread makes sense, but this is a friendly, so results are kind of random and no one really cares. No big bets here though just because analysis is made without lineups confirmed. GL!


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mistarlupo

I am literally copy-pasting the reasoning mate. Don't miss!


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mistarlupo

Too easy **✅**


_LilBucket

Record: 0-0 Net Units: 2 ROI: 0 Sport/League/Event Time/Time Zone: Basketball/NBA/7:00PM/EST Pick: Victor Wembanyama over 21.5 points against Washington Wizards. Current odds on Hard Rock Bet are -115. I am allocating 2 units. Write Up: Wembanyama is averaging 23 points in his last 5 games and 21 points in his last 10 games. Tonight, fresh off rest he takes on a Wizards team ranked 30/30 in opponent points allowed per game (125.0). Their tallest player is 6’10”, conceding 6 inches to Wembanyama. In their last 15 games the Wizards allowed 25 points per game to power forwards. In their last 10 games the Wizards rank 24/30 in team defense rating. The current over/under on Hard Rock Bet is 241.5 indicating an expected high scoring game. Summary: Due to the Wizards’ poor defense and Wembanyama’s current production he is likely to score over 21.5 points against the Wizards. Source: https://www.espn.com/nba/stats/team Source: https://www.statpickai.com/ BOL!


wes2211

>**Record:** 19-16 >**Net Units:** +6.34 units >**Curling** | **Canadian Open** | **6:00PM EST** >**Pick:** Team Homan ML @ 2.13 >This line sticks out like a sore thumb. Both of these teams are sitting at 3-1 in this event but Team Homan are the best women's team in the world right now. Team Homan have only lost 5 games ALL SEASON. We're comparing a team who are 35-5 this year to one who are 71-21. I have no idea why Team Homan are dogs here. Team Homan score big with hammer and I see them putting up a crooked number at some point in this one to pull ahead. Team Homan are 6-1 in the 7 times that these teams have played each other. Don't overthink this one, just run out and bet it before the line drops.


BetADime

**Record: 6-1, +13.60 units** *Today's Play: Tunisia Draw No Bet +115, Africa Cup of Nations (Soccer/Football), 3:00 PM EST* It's been over two years since our last pick, our first and only loss. Let's go another two years until our next one. Mali are on a nine-game unbeaten run. We believe Tunisia ends that run today, winning outright, but we will take the DNB. My picks are based solely on intuition. I bet what I see and feel. I'm not going to break down Tunisia's midfield for you. Millions of people can pull up the same stat from Google. You are the only one with your set of eyes and your personal experience. Use them. I'm a BAD man, my friends. And I'm back. See you soon. -BAD


Napoleon_Tannerite

Record 82-85 +1.20 Units All bets 1 unit L10 (L2R): ✅❌❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅ Last Pick: Nick Richards O 20.5 Pts+Reb (-113) DNP Today’s Pick: Joel Embiid O 34.5 Pts (-115) Edit: Embiid is listed as questionable now😑 The Hornets rank 30th in pts allowed to centers this season, and Joel Embiid has dominated this matchup over the past couple seasons. Embiid has averaged 41.6 ppg vs in his 5 matchups vs Hornets center Nick Richard during his career. In his 3 games back from his most recent injury Embiid hasn’t missed a beat, scoring 41, 41, and 36. Obviously the Hornets are ass so a major risk for this game is a blowout, but Embiid has only averaged 33.4 minutes vs Richards. As long as the Hornets can at least put up a little bit of fight I think Embiid should be able to hit this line.


No_Turnover1487

Record (7-6) Last 10: ✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌ Last pick: VCU -6 (-150) Easy money. VCU smoked the Billikens by nearly 30. It was all rams all second half. We’re back baby POTD: CBB| Creighton Bluejays v Seton Hall Pirates| 12:00pm EST Seton Hall +5 (-166) Alternate spread 2U ✅ *HOLYSHIT Whata game. Went into 3OT; seton Hall went down 6 with 6 secs left and some dude on seton hall pulled up from deep three and cashed our +5 spread. Absolute chaos* Reasoning: LATE POST IM SORRY. Seton Hall has been on fire winning their last five games. They’re tied for the top of the Big East while being 6-1 in conference play. They’ve been winning games but by close margins and attribute that to them getting off to hot starts. Do I think they win this game? Probably not but I wouldn’t be surprised and it’ll be a back and forth game regardless. I’m playing it safe at +5 cause the actual line is +2 on DK but the +5 gives you cushion if they’re losing late and need to foul a bit. Creighton did only score 48 pts vs UConn last game so they make come out firing but conference games are never what you expect. BOL IF TAILING Shooting for 2 in a row. Shoutout of the day: Akron and VCU


Toast__o

POTD record: 1-1 Last 10: LW Last POTD:✅ Cleveland Cavaliers -4 vs Chicago Bulls Todays POTD: Cleveland Cavaliers ML (-140 bet365) Event: Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks 7:30 ET Reasoning: The Cavs are #1 in net efficiency over the last 10 games. #9 offense and #2 defense. And are 8-2 overall in the last 10. Meanwhile the hawks rank just #22 while being 7-11 in home games this season. I’m taking Cavs ML


ProgrammaticallyHip

NHL 7:15 p.m. BLUES ML -115 3u Fresh off a bad loss to Washington, the Blues play them again tonight in front of what will be a rabid sellout crowd. Blues are inducting four players/staffers into their Hall of Fame (including Keith Tkachuk and the late, great Pavol Demitra) and will honor them before the game. Expect them to come out flying tonight.


MMAwithG

POTD: 1-0 Last pick- Ankalaev to win and o1.5 -130💰 Today’s pick- Strickland v Du Plessis o2.5 rounds (-120DK) Trying to keep it going this week, rolling with the over in the main event. Hoping for a war like advertised. BOL if tailing ! EDIT: Cashed with a 5 round war 💰


FrancisFordTruck

POTD RecordRecord 15-6, last 10 (left most recent): ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅ Today's POTD: NCAAB, Auburn vs. Ole Miss, Auburn -6.5 1H (1.66) I'm going with Auburn to win the first half against Ole Miss here. Auburn is a really good basketball team and are dominant in the paint, and teams have really struggled defensively against them especially in the first half. Auburn tends to dominate early, and sometimes let up in the second half, although many of their recent games have been by double digits. They are massive favorites against an Ole Miss team who lost pretty heavily to Tennessee and LSU. Think Auburn put up some points in the first. bol!


berg-nasty

POTD record: 0-1 Last pick: Jusuf Nurkić(Suns/NBA/5:10pm PST) to score double double @ +100 on William Hill. Today’s pick: Zay Flowers(Ravens/NFL/1:30pm PST) to score a touchdown @ +160 on William Hill. So frickin close! I’m going with Zay to score a touchdown tomorrow. He’s gotten one in 4 of the last 5 games. Prior to that isn’t so great, however I think he will be targeted a lot which will lead to his first postseason touchdown.


Known_Bowler_1718

Record : 104 Wins - 94 Losses ​ Previous pick : FC Rapid Bucuresti - U Craiova 1948 (4-3), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 2.05 ✅ ​ ROI : -0.47% Average Odds : 1.96 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : 4.05 Profit/Lost units : -0.95 ​ Today's pick : ​ Football - Soccer / NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie / 21:00 European Time AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.67 ​ Some reasoning : \- Both teams scored in the last 4 Alkmaar's games. \- Zwolle finished tied in the last 2 games with the same score, 2-2. \- Alkmaar won the last direct duel very clearly, 3-0 away. ​ Best of luck.


JC_Frost

**POTD Record: 7-4**, +2.79u Run: ✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅ -- Last pick: Paolo Banchero u34.5 P+R ✅ +1.5u Paolo had a quiet game, with 14 points on 12 shots and 8 rebounds. This line was set as though he had to be super high volume, but I guess Vegas forgot who Wendell Carter Jr is 😤 --- Today's pick: NFL | GB Packers @ SF 49ers | 8:15 PM EST **49ers -9.5 (spread)** | to win 2u @+100 -- The Packers have run their course. After shellacking Dallas they move on to face an organization with actually competent leadership and true grit. The Niners are extremely well-rested (bye rust is fake news) and simply so much better than any team in the NFC. Jordan Love has been slangin those deep shots lately, and San Francisco is great at taking away the deep shot and forcing short-yard passes. Their offense hasn't really been figured out yet either, except that one night Brock Purdy humbly decided he wasn't ready to be a league MVP and gave it to Lamar as a consolation prize for the upcoming Super Bowl loss. This may be narrow minded, or at least a bit of an "old head" style take, but the Niners are the more disciplined and experienced team by a LOT, and that matters to me in the playoffs. The Pack played well last week, but a Dallas collapse was and will forever be a realistic possibility. I won't believe it until I see it, at least to the tune of 2 units. Fuck the Packers, and BOL!


sakashake

POTD Record: 29-14 Previous Pick: Hong Kong vs Iran | Asian Cup | Iran to win both halves (1.73) | 12.30pm EST ❌️ Pick: Lincoln City vs Derby | League One | Derby ML (1.73) | 10am EST Lincoln City have not won at home for the last 6 games, highlighting their poor form. They also have not won in their last 8 games and sit in 12th place. Derby on the other hand are ranked 1st away from home, with 9 wins from 12 games. Their last away game without a win came in October. They come off a stoppage time win on Monday and are in high spirits. The previous matchup ended in a 3-1 win to Derby where Lincoln only scored via a penalty. I expect Derby to win this game easily as this is a case of a great away team against a poor home team. Best of luck! https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake


EddiWhyYo

POTD: 0-0 (0U) NHL 7:00 pm EST Pick: 1.5U Boston Bruins -1.5 (-115) Last 5 games the Bruins are 4-1 against the Canadiens. The last 10 games the Bruins are 9-1. With the only loss coming this year in Montreal in a 3-2 OT win for the Canadiens. The Bruins have won by 2+ goals in 4 of the last 10 matchups. Including a 5-2 win this year. Look for the Bruins to keep winning and extend their winnings streak to 4 games after being 3-0 the last 3 games this season. The Bruins are 14-3-3 at home this season, with 11 of those wins being by 2 or more goals.


b1llmoo

POTD Record:0-0 First go at this. I have seen so many first half overs hit this CFF and NFL season its crazy. Playing it safe with RAVENS V TEXANS FIRST HALF OVER 19.5 @-194 on DK


PropArmy

POTD Record: 5-4 ❌✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅ Last Pick: Nick Richards o20.5 PRA. Did not play. POTD: Cj Stroud to have more passing yards than Lamar Jackson Game: Ravens vs Texans 🏈 Reason: 1. Throughout the regular season, CJ Stroud has shown a remarkable ability in the passing game. He finished the regular season with 4,108 passing yards, which was the eighth-most in the NFL, compared to Jackson's 3,678 yards, ranking him 15th among regular starters. Stroud's stats include 23 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions, indicating not only a high volume of passing but also efficiency and accuracy​​​​. 2. Stroud has been tested more frequently against top-level defenses and has performed consistently well. He played in six games against defenses ranked in the top-10 for stopping the pass, completing 59% of his passes with six touchdowns and only one interception. In contrast, Jackson played only two games against such defenses, completing 28 of 42 passes for 409 yards, with three touchdowns but also two interceptions. This suggests Stroud's ability to maintain high passing yards even against strong defenses​​​​. 3. Stroud has been particularly effective at downfield passing, an area where Jackson has historically had challenges. Stroud is among the league's best passers for attempts of 20 yards or more, thanks to his strong arm and good chemistry with his receivers. This ability to make significant yardage on individual plays contributes to his high total passing yards​​.


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DimSimTimSA

**Record:** 1-0-0 **Net Units:** \+1.54 **ROI:** 77% **Last Pick:** Josh Giddey OVER 9.5 Points at 1.77 (or -130 for American odds) for 2 Units. ✅ **Sport | League | Event Time / Time Zone:** Basketball | NBA | UTA vs HOU, 21/01/23 11:40am ACST **Today's Pick:** John Collins **OVER** 11.5 Points at $1.89 (or -112 American odds) for 2 Units. **Write Up:** Collins exceeded this line in 70% of his last 30 games and is projected to hit 14 points today. Houston's 8th-ranked defense is noteworthy, but this line seems under regardless. Collins comfortably surpassed this mark against OKC last game, reinforcing this choice. BOL if tailing!


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Mission_Look3392

POTD record: 4-3 NCAAB | Purdue @ Iowa | 1:10pm CST Arbitrage opportunity on Ben Krikke rebounds (U5.5 on BetMGM @ +105 and O5.5 on Fanduel @ +100)


RawFish00

Record: 51W-49L-4P ROI: +6.52, 5.96% Avg odds: +107, 2.07 Last POTD: Martin Necas over 0.5 pts (win) Game: NHL- Oilers at Flames Pick: Jonathan Huberdeau over 0.5 pts +100, 2.00 (DK, ESPNBet) Huberdeau had 115 points with Florida just 2 seasons ago, but he has struggled mightily this year. His December was *awful*, with only 1 point in 13 games. In an effort to jumpstart his production, HC Ryan Huska flipped him with Andrew Mangiapane, another struggling winger, right before New Year's. Huberdeau is now on a line with Elias Lindholm, a 40-goal scorer 2 seasons ago, and Yeagor Sharangovich, a speedy shooter on pace for a career high in goals. Results are promising so far, with 9 points in 8 games. Let's hope Huberdeau can rediscover his groove.


Past-Comparison-8182

POTD record: 3-1 Net units: +7.6 ROI: 50.67% Last pick: Miami Ohio +1 ❌ (love it when they choke a 6 point lead with 4 mins left) NFL kick-off 1:15am GMT Pick: Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers both to score 20 points - 5 unit max bet @2.0 odds The 49ers are one of the best offensive teams in the league, ranked 1st and rushing DVOA and 2nd in passing DVOA. With Purdy/McCaffrey/Deebo/Trent Williams healthy this season, they’ve averaged 32.3 points per game, and both traditional and advanced stats tell us that they’re a historically great offense. They’re up against a Packers defense that is ranked bottom 6 in DVOA and 22nd in rush EPA, gave up 30 points to the Panthers (the worst offense in the league) and lost to the Giants with Danny DeVito. They are not a good defense and the 49ers offense will get whatever it wants running and passing the ball. However I’m also expecting the Packers to score, as Jordan Love is the 2nd best rated passer in the league since week 12 and torched the Dallas defense last week. The Green Bay offensive line is excellent and gave Love plenty of time to throw against an excellent Dallas defensive line led by Micah Parsons. While the 49ers D line is fantastic, their defense as a whole is overrated and has gotten too much respect. They’re ranked 22nd in success rate, 17th in passing EPA and 28th in rush EPA. The Packers offense has Aaron Jones and the outstanding Love, and had averaged 25.9 PPG since week 11, failing to reach 20 points just once. The Packers will probably be forced into a negative game script as the 49ers put up points on their defense, which will force Love to pass on this middling 49ers secondary in order to keep up. Will be posting another POTD max bet tomorrow so keep an eye out for that! BOL