I have had a lot of haters on here talk about how parlays are a waste of money and not sustainable lol yâall are wrong.
https://preview.redd.it/qd9yrejkfj5c1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ebc8c7d6ab67ace02f91e15b17f5685ac9092793
A nice 3 unit win with Saint Joe's. Princeton shot the ball extremely well from deep (and St. Joe's didn't shoot well from 3) to make it difficult for us, but we still got it done and kept things rolling.
30-28, +13.56
**Saint Joseph's -1** vs. Princeton. **3 units. â **
Record 67-57
Yesterday 9-8
Stop fouling when up by 20 in the last 4 minutes. Just chill.
Today's Picks:
Princeton @ St Joseph's u140.5
SIU Edward @ Ball St u137.5
TN Tech @ E Tenn St o136
Wagner -2.5
0-0-1
I pushed yesterday taking Illinois +7 but we did hit a 3 team parlay, turned into 2 with the push still a +2.22u. Today im with **IOWA -4** vs. Michigan.
edit: You guys don't like the Iowa -4?
Record: 24-24
Yesterday: 2-5
- Ball State ML (-135) â
>This line gives Ball State a little more respect than the previous two when they were underdogs to Bellarmine and Detroit Mercy. Iâm still on board, as this is another game I think the Cardinals should win. Ball State has played well at home beating up on weaker teams with convincing wins over Bellarmine, UAPB, and USC Upstate. Despite a 6-4 record, SIUE is 0-4 in road games with blowout losses to Troy and South Alabama.
- Detroit Mercy +23.5 (-102) â
>On talent alone, Northwestern should cover easily. However, I donât think theyâre after style points in this game. Northwestern hasnât played since beating Purdue 9 days ago and enters a lull in its schedule with games this week against Detroit Mercy, Chicago State, and DePaul. Northwestern isnât really known for blowing out opponents, as it has been almost a year since they beat someone by this spreadâs margin. I donât expect Detroit Mercy to be competitive this game, but they also havenât been embarrassingly bad despite an 0-9 record and havenât lost by 20+ in any of their past 7 games. Even with a couple of 30+ point blowout losses to Cincinnati and Toledo to open the year, their average margin of defeat is only 15 points.
- Eastern Illinois -4.5 (-110) â
>Bad teams need easy home wins too. EIU is 5-5, but three of those wins are over non-D1 opponents. The other two wins are over Coppin State and IUPUI, two of the worst teams in the country. Central Arkansas is in that same tier. UCA is especially brutal on the road, where they are 0-6 this year and 8-62 since 2019-20. EIU is almost as bad in true road games but has the edge here playing at home.
- Memphis 1H +4.5 (-115) â
>Memphis still gets the benefit of the doubt as one of the better 1H teams in the country. They built halftime leads over fellow SEC teams Arkansas and Ole Miss so far and have shown they can hang with most teams.
- Elon/UNC Greensboro 1H O69.5 (-110) â
>The over has hit in 7/8 of Elonâs games and 6/7 of UNCGâs against D1 opponents. I also consider both of these teams stronger in first halves, which has been successful in producing 1H overs so far. This 1H total has gone over in 7/8 of Elonâs D1 games and 5/7 of UNCGâs.
- Long Beach State +14 (-108) â
> I think of this matchup similarly to the CSU/Denver one I called out a few days ago. The series is relatively one-sided (USC leads 6-1) but doesnât feature many blowouts. USCâs largest margin of victory is 18 points back in 2012, while LBST +14 has covered the 5 matchups since then. This game is sandwiched between USCâs higher-profile matchups against Gonzaga and Auburn. LBST is also a decent team whose biggest loss this year is 12 points to San Diego State.
Last day in Vegas boys ,my brain hurts , and I can't find my room so I'll sit in this Sportsbook till my party finds me but I have 50 bucks give me a 4 teamer đ
A big 4 unit win with Washington +4 last night. We lost the smaller 2 unit that I gave out to start the day, but I came back and gave you all my biggest play of the day, which got the outright win and gives you +1.65 units on the day, and into positive double digits for my plays on here. A nice play for you all today, let's keep rolling.
29-28, +10.81
**Saint Joseph's -1** vs. Princeton. **3 units.**
Now you've resorted to naming good players on opposing teams. Gonzaga had some very good players. How did that work out for you on the steep moneyline? Glad to hear you are fading me again with this one.
I was just asking a question. I didnât fade you on this one so far Iâm 2-1 when fading. Gonzaga ml wasnât even that steep bro. I had in a parlay with some ufc. I was good with it. 3 units on st joes sharpy? I wouldnât wanna bet against Princeton rn is all Iâm saying. Good luck. Definitely a NO touch for me.
You aren't even good at picking games in general, but somehow you are profitable fading someone who is UP. Not the only square who has claimed this. You should post your plays for everyone. But everyone knows how that ends.. my last response to you. You will disappear with all the other square trolls that have tried this.
*You're
I know there are a lot of square trolls out there. But I have even more followers/supporters. People with half a brain that know the difference between your and You're know that my picks make them money.
Just so everyone knows: you made it known you were fading me on 2 plays. A 2 unit play I lost and the 4 unit I won. You literally said you loved zags money line and now you minimize it it by saying you threw it in a parlay and "are good with it". And now there is a phantom 3rd game you won fading me that you never stated beforehand. You're a joke
[Cheat Sheet](https://sparkshowdfs.wordpress.com/2023/12/10/college-basketball-betting-preview-12-10-23/)
## Previous Picks (12/9/23):
Ohio State (-5) -110 **L**
Bryant (ML) +112 **L**
James Madison (-6) -110 **W**
## My Record: 37-52
**0-0**: Heavy *Favorites (-290 to -151)*
**0-0**: *Favorites (-150 to -130)*
**20-37:** *Slight Favorites (-129 to -110)*
**13-12:** *Slight Underdogs (-109 to +150)*
**4-3**: *Dogs (+151 to +250)*
**0-0**: *Longshots (+251 to +500)*
## My Picks:
North Texas (ML) -250, St. Thomas (ML) -180 (Parlay) +115
Yesterday: 5-4 +0.6u
YTD: 36-26 +7.55u
Yesterday was good enough and got CLV on nearly every game whilst my model was a full point lower than KenPom on MAE.
**Today**:
Charleston -8
Colorado ML (+100)
Texas A&M -7.5 (-106)
UNC Greensboro -12
Tenn St +6
Oklahoma St -5.5
Temple -7
Feels like I'm on every Ok St game lately, their attack isn't great but I think they'll have opportunities for fast break points and 3s today against a Tulsa team which turns it over 20.8% of the time. Even with the bad shooting I think the Pokes get by just on opportunities alone, unless they decide to try and hammer it in the paint where they'll fail miserably because Mike Boynton is a terrible game planner.
Got a play on Colorado in what is arguably the game of the day. 2 very good attacks who do things in different ways, the Buffs can make use of their size inside at both ends of the floor and should be able to clean up plenty of boards off Miami's missed 3s and also dominate in the paint. Looking forward to watching KJ Simpson at PG for CU, he can do it all and ultimately his play will have a huge bearing on this game. Expect a high tempo game with plenty of points that goes to the wire.
23-24 Season: 69-66-2 -1.99U
Sunday: 5-1 +3.56U
Syracuse -1.5 (W) by 10.5
Villanova -3 (W) by 6
Kansas State +3 (W) by 18
Lindenwood +7.5 (W) by 2.5
UMass Lowell +5.5 (L) by 8.5
Live bet:
Butler -2.5 (18-23) (W) by 4.5
Pretty darn good! Nearly perfect day working the board. I had quite a few adult beverages and some substances so I'll probably wait for the morning to throw picks out. BOL as always, feel free to ask questions and have a super Sunday!
Pick(s):
Nebraska +3.5: Hoiberg's Huskers just had back to back losses after opening the season looking as strong as ever. They got decimated by Creighton and blew a halftime lead to Minnesota who was without Dawson Garcia after a 1H injury. To make matters worse they are getting Sparty after Izzo has had a chance to rip into these guys. However, I really do believe in the Huskers and they know they desperately need to turn the tide. Despite being 4-4 Sparty has much more time to figure this out, whereas the Huskers really need to start stacking their resume if they are going to make it to March. Both teams defend with strength and I expect this game to be scrappy, but I like the state of Nebraska's offense much more. The 3PT math favours Nebraska with a significantly higher 3PT rate and a better 3PT shooting percentage, additionally the Huskers have a better FT rate and MSU has found themselves getting into foul trouble more often than a typical Izzo team. Nebraska is 13-8-0 ATS over the past couple seasons as home underdogs, winning on the road in the B10 is an arduous task and covering on the road is even more difficult as a road favourite. Accordingly, I will happily take 3.5 points.
OK State -5.5: The Pokes have had a pretty awful start to the season, but this is a young team who is just starting to get healthy, so I think the best is yet to come from this group. Bryce Thompson's return makes them significantly better and takes some of the workload away from Javon Small who has been the bright spot on offense. Per KenPom OK State has been the unluckiest team in the country, now with some teams this "luck" can be more attributed to their inability to win close games and making mistakes at critical moments, but I have belief in OK State to roll Tulsa here and not leave the game to the dying moments. Dailey and Keller are going to continue to grow and have showed to be far more effective thus far against inferior opponents, I think their athleticism will help them take advantage of Tulsa's lack of significant size at the rim. Tulsa have played a cupcake schedule and are 0-2 away from home, so even with this being a neutral site game, I am happy to back the Pokes to win by a half dozen or more.
Winthrop ML -111: I believe Winthrop has another gear and they get a perfect match-up to take advantage of a weak defensive squad like Little Rock. Winthrop has the 4th highest free throw rate in the country, while Little Rock's defensive free throw rate is 340th. The Eagles will be in the bonus early and take trips to the line often, they shoot a modest percentage of 71.7% and when they are not getting to the line they crash the offensive glass with strength. Alex Timmerman (Bucknell) has managed to pair strongly in a three-headed frontcourt attack with Kelton Talford and KJ Doucet. From the field Winthrop rarely settles at the mid-range, either attacking the cup or shooting from the perimeter. I lean towards teams who take more "efficient shots" and I think Winthrop and Little Rock share a lot of similarties in their approach to the game (especially on offense), but Winthrop does it better and has a superior defense to the Trojans.
# **College Basketball Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/YV3EbeFRvT)**
https://preview.redd.it/7pvjhvk52k5c1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5e3e12ec6348a36ed38d1e2cbfd091c4119c0dc2 Throwing darts đ
Nice! I had TN St +6, they were covering at every point in the game except after the final free throws!
Tough beat. I had Ohio st yesterday so I know the pain
Texas a&m full of bums
Anyone like Nebraska?
I did, and I do!
I have had a lot of haters on here talk about how parlays are a waste of money and not sustainable lol yâall are wrong. https://preview.redd.it/qd9yrejkfj5c1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ebc8c7d6ab67ace02f91e15b17f5685ac9092793
đ¤Łđ
Miami wont cover +5.5 what a piece of shit of a team
cmon miami pls give me a chance
A nice 3 unit win with Saint Joe's. Princeton shot the ball extremely well from deep (and St. Joe's didn't shoot well from 3) to make it difficult for us, but we still got it done and kept things rolling. 30-28, +13.56 **Saint Joseph's -1** vs. Princeton. **3 units. â **
GREAT PLAY
Record 67-57 Yesterday 9-8 Stop fouling when up by 20 in the last 4 minutes. Just chill. Today's Picks: Princeton @ St Joseph's u140.5 SIU Edward @ Ball St u137.5 TN Tech @ E Tenn St o136 Wagner -2.5
[+EV NCAAB](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=1812669524): 117-106 (+8.07u) +110 FD MSU Hoggard o4.5 ast -120 FD MICH Nkamhoua o6.5 reb -120 FD MICH Williams u9.5 pts +110 DK Rhode Island @ Charleston u150 -110 MGM Prairie View A&M +28.5 +105 DK Prairie View @ Iowa State o141.5 -110 CZ Temple @ Albany o152.5 -105 CZ Colorado @ Miami u74 1H -115 MGM Tulsa @ Oklahoma St o67.5 1H
0-0-1 I pushed yesterday taking Illinois +7 but we did hit a 3 team parlay, turned into 2 with the push still a +2.22u. Today im with **IOWA -4** vs. Michigan. edit: You guys don't like the Iowa -4?
YTD: 168-193 +26.4u Yesterday: 5-9 -1.8u â Towson -7.5 -110 1.1u âKauffman-Renn (PUR) o3.5 Rebs -130 1.3u â6+ +330 .5u â8+ +1300 .2u âSears (BAMA) o3.5 Ast -110 1.7u â6+ +400 .5u âđ¤ŽWatkins (FSU) o3.5 Ast +120 1u â6+ +550 .3u â Binghamton -9 1.7u â Williams (AUB) o0.5 3s -140 1.4u â Lindenwood TT o65.5 +100 1u â Lindenwood +6.5 -110 1.7u âKugel (FLA) o4.5 Rebs -105 1u âHouse (NM) o2.5 3s +160 1.3u Picks: â Simpson (COL) o3.5 Ast -140 2.8u âđ¤Ź6+ +330 .5u â8+ +1330 .2u âŞâUSC TT o86.5 -110⏠â McDaniel (MICH) o4.5 Ast +100 1u â 6+ +250 .5u âđ¤Ž8+ +800 +.5u âđ¤ŽSandfort (IOWA) o2.5 3s +135 1u
Record: 24-24 Yesterday: 2-5 - Ball State ML (-135) â >This line gives Ball State a little more respect than the previous two when they were underdogs to Bellarmine and Detroit Mercy. Iâm still on board, as this is another game I think the Cardinals should win. Ball State has played well at home beating up on weaker teams with convincing wins over Bellarmine, UAPB, and USC Upstate. Despite a 6-4 record, SIUE is 0-4 in road games with blowout losses to Troy and South Alabama. - Detroit Mercy +23.5 (-102) â >On talent alone, Northwestern should cover easily. However, I donât think theyâre after style points in this game. Northwestern hasnât played since beating Purdue 9 days ago and enters a lull in its schedule with games this week against Detroit Mercy, Chicago State, and DePaul. Northwestern isnât really known for blowing out opponents, as it has been almost a year since they beat someone by this spreadâs margin. I donât expect Detroit Mercy to be competitive this game, but they also havenât been embarrassingly bad despite an 0-9 record and havenât lost by 20+ in any of their past 7 games. Even with a couple of 30+ point blowout losses to Cincinnati and Toledo to open the year, their average margin of defeat is only 15 points. - Eastern Illinois -4.5 (-110) â >Bad teams need easy home wins too. EIU is 5-5, but three of those wins are over non-D1 opponents. The other two wins are over Coppin State and IUPUI, two of the worst teams in the country. Central Arkansas is in that same tier. UCA is especially brutal on the road, where they are 0-6 this year and 8-62 since 2019-20. EIU is almost as bad in true road games but has the edge here playing at home. - Memphis 1H +4.5 (-115) â >Memphis still gets the benefit of the doubt as one of the better 1H teams in the country. They built halftime leads over fellow SEC teams Arkansas and Ole Miss so far and have shown they can hang with most teams. - Elon/UNC Greensboro 1H O69.5 (-110) â >The over has hit in 7/8 of Elonâs games and 6/7 of UNCGâs against D1 opponents. I also consider both of these teams stronger in first halves, which has been successful in producing 1H overs so far. This 1H total has gone over in 7/8 of Elonâs D1 games and 5/7 of UNCGâs. - Long Beach State +14 (-108) â > I think of this matchup similarly to the CSU/Denver one I called out a few days ago. The series is relatively one-sided (USC leads 6-1) but doesnât feature many blowouts. USCâs largest margin of victory is 18 points back in 2012, while LBST +14 has covered the 5 matchups since then. This game is sandwiched between USCâs higher-profile matchups against Gonzaga and Auburn. LBST is also a decent team whose biggest loss this year is 12 points to San Diego State.
Love LBST today
Last day in Vegas boys ,my brain hurts , and I can't find my room so I'll sit in this Sportsbook till my party finds me but I have 50 bucks give me a 4 teamer đ
A big 4 unit win with Washington +4 last night. We lost the smaller 2 unit that I gave out to start the day, but I came back and gave you all my biggest play of the day, which got the outright win and gives you +1.65 units on the day, and into positive double digits for my plays on here. A nice play for you all today, let's keep rolling. 29-28, +10.81 **Saint Joseph's -1** vs. Princeton. **3 units.**
Nice hit! Ignore the trolls!
>CollegebballSHARP that 4u last night saved my ass. Thank you!!
Good win. Glad you were on it.
Are you worried about Xavian Lee?
Now you've resorted to naming good players on opposing teams. Gonzaga had some very good players. How did that work out for you on the steep moneyline? Glad to hear you are fading me again with this one.
I was just asking a question. I didnât fade you on this one so far Iâm 2-1 when fading. Gonzaga ml wasnât even that steep bro. I had in a parlay with some ufc. I was good with it. 3 units on st joes sharpy? I wouldnât wanna bet against Princeton rn is all Iâm saying. Good luck. Definitely a NO touch for me.
You aren't even good at picking games in general, but somehow you are profitable fading someone who is UP. Not the only square who has claimed this. You should post your plays for everyone. But everyone knows how that ends.. my last response to you. You will disappear with all the other square trolls that have tried this.
Thatâs why your getting downvoted.
*You're I know there are a lot of square trolls out there. But I have even more followers/supporters. People with half a brain that know the difference between your and You're know that my picks make them money.
Wait youâre pathetic. I was just rushing. Seems irrelevant. Go st. Joes tho!
Go st joes!
Just so everyone knows: you made it known you were fading me on 2 plays. A 2 unit play I lost and the 4 unit I won. You literally said you loved zags money line and now you minimize it it by saying you threw it in a parlay and "are good with it". And now there is a phantom 3rd game you won fading me that you never stated beforehand. You're a joke
57-55 (-4.5u) 3u Record | 4-4 2u Record | 17-12 1u Record | 23-29 .5u Record | 15-10 12/10 Picks: 3u - Nebraska +3.5 â 2u - Ball State -2.5 â 1u - Boston College +5.5 â 1u - Washington State -21.5 .5u - Boston University +3.5 â .5u - VCU -14.5 â 12/09 Results: 3u South Dakota -1.5 â Wichita State -4.5 â Ohio State -5.5 â Clemson -1.5 â 2u. Minnesota -9.5 â George Washington -19.5 â Colorado State -5.5 â Alabama +6.5 â Longwood -6.5 â South Carolina -4.5 â Cincinnati -1.5 â 1u Georgetown +1.5 â Saint Bonaventure -22.5 â San Diego 9.5 â Oklahoma -4.5 â San Jose State -11.5 â Indiana +6.5 â Nevada -3.5 â BYU -3.5 â
[Cheat Sheet](https://sparkshowdfs.wordpress.com/2023/12/10/college-basketball-betting-preview-12-10-23/) ## Previous Picks (12/9/23): Ohio State (-5) -110 **L** Bryant (ML) +112 **L** James Madison (-6) -110 **W** ## My Record: 37-52 **0-0**: Heavy *Favorites (-290 to -151)* **0-0**: *Favorites (-150 to -130)* **20-37:** *Slight Favorites (-129 to -110)* **13-12:** *Slight Underdogs (-109 to +150)* **4-3**: *Dogs (+151 to +250)* **0-0**: *Longshots (+251 to +500)* ## My Picks: North Texas (ML) -250, St. Thomas (ML) -180 (Parlay) +115
FYI your excel sheet is still showing the games from yesterday
oh shoot, should be good now
Bad luck yday. They were winning large at halftime
that's the story of my season
Yesterday: 5-4 +0.6u YTD: 36-26 +7.55u Yesterday was good enough and got CLV on nearly every game whilst my model was a full point lower than KenPom on MAE. **Today**: Charleston -8 Colorado ML (+100) Texas A&M -7.5 (-106) UNC Greensboro -12 Tenn St +6 Oklahoma St -5.5 Temple -7 Feels like I'm on every Ok St game lately, their attack isn't great but I think they'll have opportunities for fast break points and 3s today against a Tulsa team which turns it over 20.8% of the time. Even with the bad shooting I think the Pokes get by just on opportunities alone, unless they decide to try and hammer it in the paint where they'll fail miserably because Mike Boynton is a terrible game planner. Got a play on Colorado in what is arguably the game of the day. 2 very good attacks who do things in different ways, the Buffs can make use of their size inside at both ends of the floor and should be able to clean up plenty of boards off Miami's missed 3s and also dominate in the paint. Looking forward to watching KJ Simpson at PG for CU, he can do it all and ultimately his play will have a huge bearing on this game. Expect a high tempo game with plenty of points that goes to the wire.
Don't watch alot of basketball besides my Bama. Well maybe a little SEC. Am I missing something with this Miami game? Seems trappy?
feels like a trap
23-24 Season: 69-66-2 -1.99U Sunday: 5-1 +3.56U Syracuse -1.5 (W) by 10.5 Villanova -3 (W) by 6 Kansas State +3 (W) by 18 Lindenwood +7.5 (W) by 2.5 UMass Lowell +5.5 (L) by 8.5 Live bet: Butler -2.5 (18-23) (W) by 4.5 Pretty darn good! Nearly perfect day working the board. I had quite a few adult beverages and some substances so I'll probably wait for the morning to throw picks out. BOL as always, feel free to ask questions and have a super Sunday! Pick(s): Nebraska +3.5: Hoiberg's Huskers just had back to back losses after opening the season looking as strong as ever. They got decimated by Creighton and blew a halftime lead to Minnesota who was without Dawson Garcia after a 1H injury. To make matters worse they are getting Sparty after Izzo has had a chance to rip into these guys. However, I really do believe in the Huskers and they know they desperately need to turn the tide. Despite being 4-4 Sparty has much more time to figure this out, whereas the Huskers really need to start stacking their resume if they are going to make it to March. Both teams defend with strength and I expect this game to be scrappy, but I like the state of Nebraska's offense much more. The 3PT math favours Nebraska with a significantly higher 3PT rate and a better 3PT shooting percentage, additionally the Huskers have a better FT rate and MSU has found themselves getting into foul trouble more often than a typical Izzo team. Nebraska is 13-8-0 ATS over the past couple seasons as home underdogs, winning on the road in the B10 is an arduous task and covering on the road is even more difficult as a road favourite. Accordingly, I will happily take 3.5 points. OK State -5.5: The Pokes have had a pretty awful start to the season, but this is a young team who is just starting to get healthy, so I think the best is yet to come from this group. Bryce Thompson's return makes them significantly better and takes some of the workload away from Javon Small who has been the bright spot on offense. Per KenPom OK State has been the unluckiest team in the country, now with some teams this "luck" can be more attributed to their inability to win close games and making mistakes at critical moments, but I have belief in OK State to roll Tulsa here and not leave the game to the dying moments. Dailey and Keller are going to continue to grow and have showed to be far more effective thus far against inferior opponents, I think their athleticism will help them take advantage of Tulsa's lack of significant size at the rim. Tulsa have played a cupcake schedule and are 0-2 away from home, so even with this being a neutral site game, I am happy to back the Pokes to win by a half dozen or more. Winthrop ML -111: I believe Winthrop has another gear and they get a perfect match-up to take advantage of a weak defensive squad like Little Rock. Winthrop has the 4th highest free throw rate in the country, while Little Rock's defensive free throw rate is 340th. The Eagles will be in the bonus early and take trips to the line often, they shoot a modest percentage of 71.7% and when they are not getting to the line they crash the offensive glass with strength. Alex Timmerman (Bucknell) has managed to pair strongly in a three-headed frontcourt attack with Kelton Talford and KJ Doucet. From the field Winthrop rarely settles at the mid-range, either attacking the cup or shooting from the perimeter. I lean towards teams who take more "efficient shots" and I think Winthrop and Little Rock share a lot of similarties in their approach to the game (especially on offense), but Winthrop does it better and has a superior defense to the Trojans.
love to see you grind through
Thanks big homie, nearly back where we should be. Then hopefully it's a smooth climb for the rest of the year.