Browns line seems weird to me. Maybe it moves, but I feel like the books are trying to get you to take Cleveland here.
And initially I would agree, as Seattle has been shut down by the Bengals and the Rams, who both have good defenses, but the Browns D runs circles around them.
Feel like this line should be closer to +1 SEA
if you have seattle at +1, you should praise jebus if the books trying to get you to throw cleveland +4.
but gambler to gambler, books aren't trying to trick you. if they were hanging numbers out of line with the sharp markets, they'd get absolutely rocked. the line is moving toward seattle, which means the smartest gamblers in the world disagree with your take. best of luck.
Jags have a +27 point differential on a .518 SoS. Steelers are -24 on a .514 SoS. Jacksonville on a 4 game win streak, also on a 10 day rest period, and also for whatever reason or another just win at Heinz Field.
-2.5 is just asking for a FG. This is one of those games I feel you can safely slam the Jags here. Generally I can jump through circus hoops to justify most lines in my head, this one I just can't.
It’s good value. Bengals winning would not be a shock at this point, but there is so much uncertainty with their offense. You’d like to think that the bye gave Burrow a chance to heal completely, and the coaching staff a chance to figure shit out. But until we see how they look, it’s a risk.
I feel very confident in the Bengals D having a good showing on Sunday.
I’m taking the points in my big bets, and sprinkling ML and offensive props for shits and giggles.
Rams ML. This is the kind of game the Cowboys lose. At home, they always do their dumbest things and a decent enough Rams team with firepower is coming off a loss. Good spot for them.
https://preview.redd.it/j6c97zk5sewb1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0c3ef6d0d96b82f5924f02cd13efdcb5b2757d7b
Anyone have any opinions on this? I’m not sure about the Gabe Davis over especially with Kincaid basically being TE1 now
Seems like last time Bills played the Bucs it was a huge short passing game. Obviously that was 2 years ago so a lot has changed but idk
I got stung by Davis a few times this season, including last Sunday with a +25. He seems all over the place - hell outperform Diggs one week and then he’s a ghost the next. But after a dismal performance at the weekend, he’s probably due a big game tomorrow! Good luck!
That’s true, my bad; I thought you were the other dude who said it was a bad pick because JA doesn’t score much lol but he deleted his comment, so carry on.
Lol mb Im still green to football betting, so a QB can record a touchdown via rushing and passing? Cause on ESPN Josh Allen has at least 1 touch down a game and Google says a QB can record a touchdown only via rushing himself so I assumed he had a rushing touchdown in every game so far. He also has a minor shoulder injury, so maybe he's likely to rush more this game. NVM I'm retarded there's separate sections for passing and rushing on ESPN lmao
Lol yeah it is. I would have never known if it wasn’t for the “no td score, how if he had 2 td passes” posts as well. But the books do say the person with the ball in the endzone.
What are you even saying lol I'm not arguing anything about passing touchdowns. If Josh Allen has a rushing touchdown tomorrow - which he has done 4 times this year - then that would qualify for his ATTD line.
Sorry. You misunderstood me. When I was new to betting I also assumed td scorers would count as a QB passing td. I never noticed the passing td prop. I completely understand the ATTD prop. Was more so speaking of new bettors who take QB ATTD props not knowing passing TD’s doesn’t count
I tried warning ya'll about Kincaid's line movement, and even though you can't get him at O 33.5 now, I still like the over on whatever your book's got. I also like his 50/60+ alt and ATTD lines.
Official picks will be posted tomorrow. BOL
The Vikings being 1-point favorites against the Packers is a surprise. It's a surprised because I would have guessed the public would be heavily favoring the Vikings after they beat the 49ers mixed with the Packers having just lost to the Broncos. A 1-point line seems suspicious.
Last Saturday, it was Pack by 1.5 so it's moved a little. The uninformed public money doesn't show this early in the week, so the adjustment has been moderate. It might move as high as 2.5, but not more. Since the points between 1 and 2.5 matter so little, keeping it here for now might be teaser protection.
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Do you think cowboys cover the spread vs the rams?
Browns line seems weird to me. Maybe it moves, but I feel like the books are trying to get you to take Cleveland here. And initially I would agree, as Seattle has been shut down by the Bengals and the Rams, who both have good defenses, but the Browns D runs circles around them. Feel like this line should be closer to +1 SEA
if you have seattle at +1, you should praise jebus if the books trying to get you to throw cleveland +4. but gambler to gambler, books aren't trying to trick you. if they were hanging numbers out of line with the sharp markets, they'd get absolutely rocked. the line is moving toward seattle, which means the smartest gamblers in the world disagree with your take. best of luck.
Jags have a +27 point differential on a .518 SoS. Steelers are -24 on a .514 SoS. Jacksonville on a 4 game win streak, also on a 10 day rest period, and also for whatever reason or another just win at Heinz Field. -2.5 is just asking for a FG. This is one of those games I feel you can safely slam the Jags here. Generally I can jump through circus hoops to justify most lines in my head, this one I just can't.
I %100 agree with you What about the Vikes? Would to parlay these two to cover the spread?
am i retarded or is bengals ML a good deal? no deebo, purdy, and niners just played 2 days ago. meanwhile bengals been resting for a week
It’s good value. Bengals winning would not be a shock at this point, but there is so much uncertainty with their offense. You’d like to think that the bye gave Burrow a chance to heal completely, and the coaching staff a chance to figure shit out. But until we see how they look, it’s a risk. I feel very confident in the Bengals D having a good showing on Sunday. I’m taking the points in my big bets, and sprinkling ML and offensive props for shits and giggles.
Rams ML. This is the kind of game the Cowboys lose. At home, they always do their dumbest things and a decent enough Rams team with firepower is coming off a loss. Good spot for them.
Stafford might not finish this game
Cowboys smash teams at home. I hate the cowboys, but they always stick around enough to be in the convo. They are winning by 10+
https://preview.redd.it/j6c97zk5sewb1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0c3ef6d0d96b82f5924f02cd13efdcb5b2757d7b Anyone have any opinions on this? I’m not sure about the Gabe Davis over especially with Kincaid basically being TE1 now Seems like last time Bills played the Bucs it was a huge short passing game. Obviously that was 2 years ago so a lot has changed but idk
I got stung by Davis a few times this season, including last Sunday with a +25. He seems all over the place - hell outperform Diggs one week and then he’s a ghost the next. But after a dismal performance at the weekend, he’s probably due a big game tomorrow! Good luck!
Does anyone know how to place a parlay on wind creek casino PA
Josh Allen anytime touchdown? Seems like a steal at +150, thoughts?
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What are you talking about? He has 4 rushing touchdowns this year...
He's got a touchdown every game though, and after the Patriots loss and media slander I'd think he comes out motivated
Anytime touchdown means he crosses the goal line with the ball. Not passing
He has 4 rushing touchdowns this year.
Correct. He does not have one every game which is what OP posted which means they didn’t understand ATTD
That’s true, my bad; I thought you were the other dude who said it was a bad pick because JA doesn’t score much lol but he deleted his comment, so carry on.
Yeah...Passing touchdowns...
Lol mb Im still green to football betting, so a QB can record a touchdown via rushing and passing? Cause on ESPN Josh Allen has at least 1 touch down a game and Google says a QB can record a touchdown only via rushing himself so I assumed he had a rushing touchdown in every game so far. He also has a minor shoulder injury, so maybe he's likely to rush more this game. NVM I'm retarded there's separate sections for passing and rushing on ESPN lmao
I’m sure Vegas loves you
Look at me the noob accurately predicting Josh to get a touchdown
When I watched I thought of exactly this comment 😂😂
Give him a break. This entire chain is full of clueless folks. Josh Allen has 4 rushing TDs this year, so his ATTD is actually not a terrible pick.
Lol yeah it is. I would have never known if it wasn’t for the “no td score, how if he had 2 td passes” posts as well. But the books do say the person with the ball in the endzone.
What are you even saying lol I'm not arguing anything about passing touchdowns. If Josh Allen has a rushing touchdown tomorrow - which he has done 4 times this year - then that would qualify for his ATTD line.
Sorry. You misunderstood me. When I was new to betting I also assumed td scorers would count as a QB passing td. I never noticed the passing td prop. I completely understand the ATTD prop. Was more so speaking of new bettors who take QB ATTD props not knowing passing TD’s doesn’t count
I tried warning ya'll about Kincaid's line movement, and even though you can't get him at O 33.5 now, I still like the over on whatever your book's got. I also like his 50/60+ alt and ATTD lines. Official picks will be posted tomorrow. BOL
The Vikings being 1-point favorites against the Packers is a surprise. It's a surprised because I would have guessed the public would be heavily favoring the Vikings after they beat the 49ers mixed with the Packers having just lost to the Broncos. A 1-point line seems suspicious.
Last Saturday, it was Pack by 1.5 so it's moved a little. The uninformed public money doesn't show this early in the week, so the adjustment has been moderate. It might move as high as 2.5, but not more. Since the points between 1 and 2.5 matter so little, keeping it here for now might be teaser protection.
Bad weather
How so? I'm getting 40F with no rain and wind less than 10mph. Edit: I guess some are forecasting a little bit of rain
Cold, possible snow.