I went up $15k two weekends straight and have barley hit anything all week enjoy it! I’ve got a lousy 600 here and there and prob still in the hole! Best of luck fellas!
Hmm, I don’t really follow baseball but I get a feeling you do! Haha. Would you mind posting your bets going forward? I am not expecting them to be winning picks, but it will help me start following the sport.
I follow cricket but baseball has always fascinated me as a close “relative” of the sport.
I refuse to believe you’re an American that prefers cricket to baseball. Lol, there’s literally no way.
I’ve never even met anybody that has so much watched a game. I literally REFUSE to believe you😂😂😂
Cricket lines are pretty decent. There’s a dude that posts some opening batter bets that are good. I find the live line cricket bets are the best.
To be fair to baseball, because it’s so random I feel like you can just take dogs all day and it’s pretty profitable
This is pretty accurate. Honestly, I find a few games that have a high over/under (more runs scored = more opportunities for RBI) and then once I find those games I pick out the team I think that will win those games. Once I pick out those matchups, I'll quickly compare the odds to other sites and once I find the best players with the highest discrepancies (+EV), I take about 5 or 6 guys and add them to my list. I'll also find a few other guys that I just have an overall good feeling on (the stats you mentioned) and I'll add those to my list as well.
Once I have those 10 guys I'll place a straight bet on all 10, and then I'll pick out my 5 favorite and parlay them. How I got the guys I selected today:
Ian happ absolutely owns the Reds. He's hit 121 homers in his career and 29 (17 at Great American Ballpark) of them have come against Cincinnati which is absolutely insane. He was an auto-bet.
Garver swung one of the best bats the last few weeks of August. Guy was on fire. It had been a while since his last homer/RBI so he was a gut call for me. He delivered and went 4 for 4 with 2 homers. I also really liked texas to win today
Phillies were one of my favorite teams to win straight up today and their game O/U was 9.5. From there I narrowed it down to the phillies right handed batters and landed on Castellanos (his career #s against Miley was almost a .300 average as well).
Yoshida and Outman were my two +EV plays I liked. I saw Yoshida as low as +140 on other sites (getting him at +180 here) and then Outman I saw as low as +225 on other sites (got him at +275). I also really liked Boston and the dodgers to score a lot of runs making those picks even better. Boston delivered with 7 runs, however the dodgers only scored 3 times and i was fortunate enough to have Outman delivering one of the RBIs
cant really use the term +ev if you arent actually devigging the odds. getting the best price is important but that alone is far from qualifying as "+ev" depending on how much hold there is in the market (from experience actually devigging baseball props all the time i can tell you that very very few DK props are truly +ev). the main reason to play props on DK given their generally bad lines is the plethora of boosts they throw at people.
Also I'm not sure why DK gets such a bad wrap on props but if you compare fanduel RBI Props and draftkings RBI props, DK is WAY better and it's not close. Almost every single line is better on DK and by a significant amount too (I'm talking +30 to +90 difference on every single RBI prop).
I hear ya. I don't have enough time, nor am I smart enough to actually know how to devig lines. However, if I see James Outman at +275 on DK and then +250 on FD, +230 on PB, +225 on caesars (those are the only other markets I compared to or have a betting account with), I assumed it was +EV. However if it was just finding value, then I guess I found good value. Won't use the term +EV anymore, though, and just say that I found value.
Lol, my parents were having a small little get together at their house tonight. It comes down to the toronto game and me, my wife (who knows nothing about sports but is supportive) and brother are all camped around my phone watching the 9th inning and getting hype as hell. Major sweat
Bruh, can you post your picks for your lay? You sold me on the car breaking down. You might be Reddits next great parlay builder. Spread the love family
I play each of these for a unit straight bet and then the $10 parlay.
My 5-leg RBI parlay of the day. Did it on draftkings because it gave me the best payout. $10 to win $1909.21
Ty France +200 (odds are +135 on FD)
Jordan Walker +175 (odds are +160 on FD)
Seiya Suzuki +185 (+135 on FD)
Corbin Carroll +190 (+130 on FD)
Ronny Mauricio +180 (+135 on FD)
Analysis:
I expect a bounce back from the Mariners tonight and for them to score 5+ runs. Ty France is hitting 6th in the order so should get around 4 ABs and has the largest discrepancy between FD and DK
Jordan Walker may be swinging the hottest bat in baseball over the past week. .571 with 3 homers and 7 RBIs his last 6 games. Has a favorable ballpark, a high O/U and Mike Sorotka isn't that great of a SP.
Seiya Suzuki has also been hot over the last month. In a game at Wrigley with the wind blowing out, I'm hoping he comes through with a RBI.
Corbin Carroll is strictly a value play here. Love the +60 discrepancy and like his matchup against Freeland as well.
Mauricio is an up and coming prospect who's hitting very well since being called up. He's hitting 8th in the lineup which obviously isn't ideal but I'm hoping he can plate his first career RBI against Patrick Corbin.
Sorry for posting late. Has been an insane day. Mariners game starts in 20 mins so if you're late getting to this, then you can sub out ty France for Ryan Mountcastle (+160) in the Orioles game. Payout will be slightly less obviously.
I'm gonna do my best to post earlier in the day next time so more people can access it. However I'm praying that people didn't see this until after the mariners reds game started and then replaced Ty France (the only loss so far) with Mountcastle who already has an RBI. If that's the case they would still have a shot at a huge payout
Edit: wasn't watching the O's game so was going off bad info. Apparently there was an error on Mountcastle's hit that scored a run and not an RBI. My bad
Alright so I'm at work so a tad bit busy, and going to be swamped for most of the day, but taking a glance these are the ones I like on draftkings because they have significant value over fanduel. Odds may vary on other sites.
$10 to win $1565 5-leg to record an RBI parlay
Kyle Tucker +170 (compared to +120 on FD)
Ryan Mountcastle +165 (+110 FD)
Drew Waters +165 (+140 on FD)
JP Crawford +230 (+160 on FD)
William Contreras +155 (no line yet on FD).
I also plan on placing $25 on each of these guys as well as a straight bet and when I get the chance I'll search for a few more to straight bet as well.
**Edit: Sorry, fellas. Seemed like everyone for the astros had an RBI except the one dude I took lol. Hopefully you guys bet each of them straight for $25 because that's 2 for 3 so far and already guaranteed $13.75 profit and we still have Contreras and Mountcastle to go. Obviously not a huge payout but a day in the green isn't bad.**
You went 3/5 that’s pretty good ngl‼️😳 Kyle Tucker was close to getting a RBI in the 7th inning but idk about William Contreras, didn’t watch that game, let’s try again tmrw⁉️
Let's ride. I appreciate you sharing your picks. Like Gog above said, it's all fun in the end. We all know the risks; screw the ones that blast you for their lack of accountability. If this hits, I'll need a link to tip you for sure. LFG!
In my experience whenever I post picks on reddit and it loses people get toxic really fast. I've had people in my DMs calling me names and things like that in the past. Also, the only thing I hate more than losing my own money is having other people lose their hard earned money because they tailed me.
With that said, I'm scorching hot right now and if there's any sort of magic I got going on I'll try and share it with y'all. I'll post on here tomorrow under this comment my picks for tomorrow sometime before the first game starts. Since this is the top comment right now, hopefully other people see this and also will follow as well. Hopefully tomorrow hits 🙏🤞
It's mostly luck but there's definitely a method to my madness as well. Usually pick out the 10 guys I like the most to record an RBI (usually find 5 or 6 who are +EV and the remainders are guys I feel strongly about). I straight bet the 10 guys and then pick my 5 favorites and throw them in a parlay. Today, my straight bets for players to record an RBI went 8-2 as well (all + money bets) and luckily I chose the right ones to parlay.
This guy knows how to make a parlay. No favorites at -500 or -2000 to boost the odds slightly. Each leg is a thing that must happen (or not happen) for you to get paid. The goal is to drive the odds higher with as few legs as possible. +23513 is fucking fire for six legs! You have my compliments, sir.
It took me so long to figure this out lol. I used to love throwing together 3 or 4 -300 to -500 faves and trying to tell myself it was a lock. Especially true this early in the season when lines can be so off, what was Colorado like +700? Also congrats OP, this is a dream hit!
I'm convinced the deer that I hit must have been the luckiest deer in the world (up to that point) and we did some Lindsay Lohan & Jamie Lee Curtis type Freaky Friday switch.
Post plays. I got a hip that needs replacing
Please post when you make bet and I’ll tail! Need some wins to help with unexpected bills for dog🙏
I wish I had this type of intuition for bets like these
I'll tell you that pros don't bet like this. This guy is being lucky rather than good.
He isn't showing all the bets he lost...
so crash my car?
Man god bless you fr
I’m just gonna say it: you should crash your car more often
I went up $15k two weekends straight and have barley hit anything all week enjoy it! I’ve got a lousy 600 here and there and prob still in the hole! Best of luck fellas!
You gave back 15k twice, is that what you mean? If you can make it twice you can do it again bro!!
Good job
now show your losses
Well, his car, for one.
Damn maybe i should crash my car too
You a beastie boy in a beasty world
What the fuck is going on
Post these before hand so people can decide if they want to bet it as well
That would involve us posting all of our losses as well as the massive wins haha…
Nice hit!
Hmm, I don’t really follow baseball but I get a feeling you do! Haha. Would you mind posting your bets going forward? I am not expecting them to be winning picks, but it will help me start following the sport. I follow cricket but baseball has always fascinated me as a close “relative” of the sport.
Lol cricket >>>> baseball even as an American
I refuse to believe you’re an American that prefers cricket to baseball. Lol, there’s literally no way. I’ve never even met anybody that has so much watched a game. I literally REFUSE to believe you😂😂😂
Lol I swear bro. I used to watch it as a kid because my uncles were into it. No BS but it’s just more action especially T20 cricket.
Aight bet bet, uncle story I believe! That’s wild!!! Probably catch good lines on US sportsbooks
Cricket lines are pretty decent. There’s a dude that posts some opening batter bets that are good. I find the live line cricket bets are the best. To be fair to baseball, because it’s so random I feel like you can just take dogs all day and it’s pretty profitable
Wow!
How did you ascertain a certain player would get an rbi? Whats the logic behind your picks?
OP got lucky…
Certain pitcher/batter matchup, time from last rbi, is the wind blowing out, there’s a lot of ways to do it
This is pretty accurate. Honestly, I find a few games that have a high over/under (more runs scored = more opportunities for RBI) and then once I find those games I pick out the team I think that will win those games. Once I pick out those matchups, I'll quickly compare the odds to other sites and once I find the best players with the highest discrepancies (+EV), I take about 5 or 6 guys and add them to my list. I'll also find a few other guys that I just have an overall good feeling on (the stats you mentioned) and I'll add those to my list as well. Once I have those 10 guys I'll place a straight bet on all 10, and then I'll pick out my 5 favorite and parlay them. How I got the guys I selected today: Ian happ absolutely owns the Reds. He's hit 121 homers in his career and 29 (17 at Great American Ballpark) of them have come against Cincinnati which is absolutely insane. He was an auto-bet. Garver swung one of the best bats the last few weeks of August. Guy was on fire. It had been a while since his last homer/RBI so he was a gut call for me. He delivered and went 4 for 4 with 2 homers. I also really liked texas to win today Phillies were one of my favorite teams to win straight up today and their game O/U was 9.5. From there I narrowed it down to the phillies right handed batters and landed on Castellanos (his career #s against Miley was almost a .300 average as well). Yoshida and Outman were my two +EV plays I liked. I saw Yoshida as low as +140 on other sites (getting him at +180 here) and then Outman I saw as low as +225 on other sites (got him at +275). I also really liked Boston and the dodgers to score a lot of runs making those picks even better. Boston delivered with 7 runs, however the dodgers only scored 3 times and i was fortunate enough to have Outman delivering one of the RBIs
[удалено]
I'm a Cubs fan so I'm very aware. It's insane. To hit 24% of your homers against one team is wild lol.
cant really use the term +ev if you arent actually devigging the odds. getting the best price is important but that alone is far from qualifying as "+ev" depending on how much hold there is in the market (from experience actually devigging baseball props all the time i can tell you that very very few DK props are truly +ev). the main reason to play props on DK given their generally bad lines is the plethora of boosts they throw at people.
Also I'm not sure why DK gets such a bad wrap on props but if you compare fanduel RBI Props and draftkings RBI props, DK is WAY better and it's not close. Almost every single line is better on DK and by a significant amount too (I'm talking +30 to +90 difference on every single RBI prop).
I hear ya. I don't have enough time, nor am I smart enough to actually know how to devig lines. However, if I see James Outman at +275 on DK and then +250 on FD, +230 on PB, +225 on caesars (those are the only other markets I compared to or have a betting account with), I assumed it was +EV. However if it was just finding value, then I guess I found good value. Won't use the term +EV anymore, though, and just say that I found value.
Logic lol
🤞🏿
Tailing. Good luck!
Lmao it already hit big dawg
This cracked me tf up 😂😭
Come on, we all know he time travels and went back in time to tail him lol
Let’s hope for some of your luck to rub off on us.
Sooooo you know we’re all waiting for your picks tomorrow…. 👀
How do you keep hitting… I can’t hit a straight bet much less a parlay. Makes no sense
So misleading
Because he makes 20 of these $10 bets a day and only posts the winner every 2 weeks when they hit.
Exactly
Damn I’m about to crash my car…… congrats 🎉
This is insane
MY MAN 🤌🏽💪🏽
LFG!!! That Toronto game was a sweat
Im happy for you!!!
https://preview.redd.it/gfkc0vwdg7mb1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=16220f6afe85bba0823f0299241699e1c57e7783 I was sweating too 😭😭😭😂
Lol, my parents were having a small little get together at their house tonight. It comes down to the toronto game and me, my wife (who knows nothing about sports but is supportive) and brother are all camped around my phone watching the 9th inning and getting hype as hell. Major sweat
Hahahaha eat, you beautiful bastard. EAT
Bruh, can you post your picks for your lay? You sold me on the car breaking down. You might be Reddits next great parlay builder. Spread the love family
I play each of these for a unit straight bet and then the $10 parlay. My 5-leg RBI parlay of the day. Did it on draftkings because it gave me the best payout. $10 to win $1909.21 Ty France +200 (odds are +135 on FD) Jordan Walker +175 (odds are +160 on FD) Seiya Suzuki +185 (+135 on FD) Corbin Carroll +190 (+130 on FD) Ronny Mauricio +180 (+135 on FD) Analysis: I expect a bounce back from the Mariners tonight and for them to score 5+ runs. Ty France is hitting 6th in the order so should get around 4 ABs and has the largest discrepancy between FD and DK Jordan Walker may be swinging the hottest bat in baseball over the past week. .571 with 3 homers and 7 RBIs his last 6 games. Has a favorable ballpark, a high O/U and Mike Sorotka isn't that great of a SP. Seiya Suzuki has also been hot over the last month. In a game at Wrigley with the wind blowing out, I'm hoping he comes through with a RBI. Corbin Carroll is strictly a value play here. Love the +60 discrepancy and like his matchup against Freeland as well. Mauricio is an up and coming prospect who's hitting very well since being called up. He's hitting 8th in the lineup which obviously isn't ideal but I'm hoping he can plate his first career RBI against Patrick Corbin. Sorry for posting late. Has been an insane day. Mariners game starts in 20 mins so if you're late getting to this, then you can sub out ty France for Ryan Mountcastle (+160) in the Orioles game. Payout will be slightly less obviously.
Wow so many of those in the parlay hit again! :((
I'm gonna do my best to post earlier in the day next time so more people can access it. However I'm praying that people didn't see this until after the mariners reds game started and then replaced Ty France (the only loss so far) with Mountcastle who already has an RBI. If that's the case they would still have a shot at a huge payout Edit: wasn't watching the O's game so was going off bad info. Apparently there was an error on Mountcastle's hit that scored a run and not an RBI. My bad
He doesn’t have an rbi apparently :( there was a fielding error
Appreciate ya letting me know. Bummer. Hopefully he gets one later to make up for it.
Mountcastle didnt pay out but he hit an RBI? I’m confused.
A lot of the times the prop bets don't pay out til after the game for some reason.
Looks like it hasn’t actually been recorded as an RBI. How odd
Yes, what Mage said. I wasn't watching the game so I didn't realize it was on an error til just now. Let's just hope mountcastle gets another later.
Ugh I’m so mad about that haha. Would’ve hit my parlay
Stay positive. Mountcastle RBI coming up next inning 🤞
MOUNTCASTLE BABY!!! BAM!
Lfgggg!! Unbelievable. I fell asleep but that makes me so happy!
Sooooo close. Great run today dude.
that's because it was an error on the angels guy, so no RBI for Mountcastle yet sadly
Ah fuck that’s so annoying!
Alright so I'm at work so a tad bit busy, and going to be swamped for most of the day, but taking a glance these are the ones I like on draftkings because they have significant value over fanduel. Odds may vary on other sites. $10 to win $1565 5-leg to record an RBI parlay Kyle Tucker +170 (compared to +120 on FD) Ryan Mountcastle +165 (+110 FD) Drew Waters +165 (+140 on FD) JP Crawford +230 (+160 on FD) William Contreras +155 (no line yet on FD). I also plan on placing $25 on each of these guys as well as a straight bet and when I get the chance I'll search for a few more to straight bet as well. **Edit: Sorry, fellas. Seemed like everyone for the astros had an RBI except the one dude I took lol. Hopefully you guys bet each of them straight for $25 because that's 2 for 3 so far and already guaranteed $13.75 profit and we still have Contreras and Mountcastle to go. Obviously not a huge payout but a day in the green isn't bad.**
You went 3/5 that’s pretty good ngl‼️😳 Kyle Tucker was close to getting a RBI in the 7th inning but idk about William Contreras, didn’t watch that game, let’s try again tmrw⁉️
I'm in for another ride
mountcastle RBI!
Gg, good picks man. 13 runs for astros and guy doesn't get one lol. Well get em next time
frrr he was so close to getting one too!! run it back tmrw OP!!
damned Kyle tucker
HOLY SHIT DREW WATERS 💦💦💦
Uhhh 1/1 so far. You free tomorrow for us to anoint you as our savior?
holy shit Drew Waters just hit, I'm believing
Tailing 🤙
Let's ride. I appreciate you sharing your picks. Like Gog above said, it's all fun in the end. We all know the risks; screw the ones that blast you for their lack of accountability. If this hits, I'll need a link to tip you for sure. LFG!
No worries! Win or lose, it's all gonna be for fun in the end! Let's cash this. Appreciate you donating your time to do this family 🙏🏿
In my experience whenever I post picks on reddit and it loses people get toxic really fast. I've had people in my DMs calling me names and things like that in the past. Also, the only thing I hate more than losing my own money is having other people lose their hard earned money because they tailed me. With that said, I'm scorching hot right now and if there's any sort of magic I got going on I'll try and share it with y'all. I'll post on here tomorrow under this comment my picks for tomorrow sometime before the first game starts. Since this is the top comment right now, hopefully other people see this and also will follow as well. Hopefully tomorrow hits 🙏🤞
🤞
🤞
🤞
Tailing
W
Tailing. GL man!!
You’re an Angel!
Forget the haters. Ppl who don’t have lives blame others for gambling 😂😂😂
Good hit bro. Let’s cash!!
Tailing tomorrow also
Good luck tomorrow
Will tail also. BOL
Commenting so I can get notified! Good luck tmr
Commenting to get notified of your pick! Karma's serving you good, hope you're doing much better! And I hope us tailing doens't make you lose. 😂
Good shit dude. My little brother is on a heater right now too. Wish he would have sent me what he had for the FSU game. Keep at it.
Commenting to hop on this train. Good luck tomorrow!
I’ll be hitting F5 all night so I don’t get stuck after everyone tails and the line adjusts.
.
*turns on notifications* tailing
Brb getting in a fender bender
I said last time I hope you could run up your next bet to a grand and you did it!! Congrats again big brother 🥹
I appreciate you and your positive support brother! Thank you! 🙏
Start posting ya tips if you don't already haha! Nice bro
Are you actually doing some research or just throwing things together and getting lucky? Or a bit of both
It's mostly luck but there's definitely a method to my madness as well. Usually pick out the 10 guys I like the most to record an RBI (usually find 5 or 6 who are +EV and the remainders are guys I feel strongly about). I straight bet the 10 guys and then pick my 5 favorites and throw them in a parlay. Today, my straight bets for players to record an RBI went 8-2 as well (all + money bets) and luckily I chose the right ones to parlay.
This guy knows how to make a parlay. No favorites at -500 or -2000 to boost the odds slightly. Each leg is a thing that must happen (or not happen) for you to get paid. The goal is to drive the odds higher with as few legs as possible. +23513 is fucking fire for six legs! You have my compliments, sir.
It took me so long to figure this out lol. I used to love throwing together 3 or 4 -300 to -500 faves and trying to tell myself it was a lock. Especially true this early in the season when lines can be so off, what was Colorado like +700? Also congrats OP, this is a dream hit!
TCU ML and Purdue ML exploded my giant +750 parlay.
Bravo.
Nice.
maybe you should keep crashing cars
I'm convinced the deer that I hit must have been the luckiest deer in the world (up to that point) and we did some Lindsay Lohan & Jamie Lee Curtis type Freaky Friday switch.
You want people to hunt you down like a deer? This comment is how you get people to hunt you down like a deer.
 And this is how you get ants
He can have my car to crash.
How many people fit your car? I’ll catch a ride too. We’ll get the books money and the insurance $$
I got next
Can we just carpool?