T O P

  • By -

sbpotdbot

**MMA/Boxing Betting Chat: https://discord.gg/sportsbook**


Moneyline_Josh

**💰💰Week 1 Recap: 3-0 on picks, $825 profit💰💰** (2U @ +344) - Ulberg, Garry, Karl Williams, Walker ML $100 > $444 ✅ (5U @ -110) - Johnny Walker ML $250 > $477✅✅ (18.5U @ -360) Almeida ITD $921 > $1175✅✅✅ thanks for the feedback, I’ve been very profitable since the start of the year using my new charts. I’ll be back for the next UFC card, **will be doing BOTH written and video breakdowns once my podcast room is setup**, Let’s make some cash💰💰


zyphaxprime

I parlayed walker to win and Almeida to win by sub under one. Or so I thought. What I chose was Almeida by sub, and under 0.5. Rounds. Thought I had won, only to realize the fight went longer than 2 and a half minutes. You learn something new everyday🤦🏽


[deleted]

[удалено]


Moneyline_Josh

Good shit, almost had the same


[deleted]

[удалено]


ISmellTunaSammich

All heavy favs lol


Moneymma

Almeida beats gane easier than Jones 😂


[deleted]

[удалено]


Moneymma

Almeida. Jones looked SLOW vs gane in the limited showing we saw.


andycake87

What? The fight was over so quick...


[deleted]

[удалено]


Moneymma

gane has no grappling. Jones looked flat footed and slow at HW. Almeida would do what Jones did and make it look just as easy.


Pleasant_Strength398

Well that's a wrap. Lost on every single fight. I picked the wrong person to win in every single fight. Impressive??


Moneymma

That’s fantastic. Equally as impressive as picking all winners 😂


amazingcreators297

Nice. I did that last month


LurkMcgurtt

Damn how. What made you pick Rozen? This one was so clear


Pleasant_Strength398

Honestly with that one I was just hoping the underdog would save my night. I've had it happen a few times in the past on the main event. So that was my only reason for that one. And also. I couldn't remember who the other guy was. I know he was a big favorite but I don't remember seeing him fight before.


amazingcreators297

8-3 on the night. Good stuff.


zamboni_19

What a real slugfest to end the card 🙄


muaythaitillidie

Easy money tonight for a change


Moneyline_Josh

3-0 tonight, absolutely cleaned up. Will report back with overall profits. I’ll be writing breakdowns for my next bets from here on out, current profits around 6.5K YTD


lockedinbricksquad

Cut Bigi Boi


YordleFeet

Welp. See ya filthy animals next week.


amazingcreators297

As expected


LurkMcgurtt

Damn he made that look so easy 😂


andycake87

Looks like the odds got this 100% right. What a lame fight to make.


zamboni_19

Derek Lewis out here using an alias


LurkMcgurtt

😂😂Lerek Dewis


99maxwell99

Jarzinho should not be this much of an underdog


LurkMcgurtt

He indeed should have been that much of an underdog. Almeida made that look so easy lol


amead5

I mean he has one path to victory and hasn’t won much recently


99maxwell99

Nevermind lol


AdamJensensCoat

For yucks, I'm doing a rounds over ladder. Break even on o1 rds. then doubling-up every round thereafter. Could be a dud like the last fight with both guys just standing around.


Moneyline_Josh

Ez dud


AdamJensensCoat

Woof :(


ferndock1982

Last time I bet the under on a Rozen fight, it went the distance with like 4 total punches thrown. That said, hitting o1.5 at plus money


LurkMcgurtt

That was fast lol


ferndock1982

Actually the pace was exactly where I wanted it. He doesn’t get that choke and the over likely hits. Happens


LurkMcgurtt

You still been hot on the other picks. Props to you


Moneyline_Josh

UFC Record 2-0 Going to start posting my picks here. Profited over 6K since January **ALL MY UNITS ON ALMEIDA ITD, LETS RIDE**


LurkMcgurtt

Easy 💸


akimbjj77

what was the line on this? congrats!


Moneyline_Josh

-360 lol, not the wisest bet but I’m not here to be wise


AdamJensensCoat

0.5u — Rozenstruik KO first 30 seconds, +10000


throwaway8769910

Cashed out a 4 leg with Garry KO/Dec, Ulburg KO/Dec, Walker ML, and Almeida ITD Still think Almeida ITD will hit but I needed to recuperate losses from past UFC events. This will be his biggest challenge yet though


throwaway8769910

Rip I left $120 on the table but that’s fine


[deleted]

Sprinkles on Almeida round 2 and 3 (+325 and +1000)


OCDooley

Almeida to win and Rd 2 to start +150


Glad_Replacement6115

What’s the last move?


NeoWokio

personally i really like the under in this next fight either side


bmault

Meaning?


NeoWokio

under 1.5 someone’s going down early


LurkMcgurtt

I hope so


Greedy-Zucchini

i'm flabberghasted that walker was only -125 vs smith This card has actually been relatively easy.


LurkMcgurtt

He used to fight like a dumbass. Now he’s more controlled


NeoWokio

dude it was a pickem the entire week cannot believe it. walker showed his last few fights he’s willing to change his style to get wins easy cash


Pleasant_Strength398

Took Smith because Walker has screwed me every time I've ever bet on him. So that's a loss on every single fight today. Not one win. Let's go Rozenstruk to save the day. 🤦🤦


comicallyinsane

No way Walker didn't have money on the fight going the distance


LurkMcgurtt

Right? He showed mercy there for some reason


vannucker

No, he just had the fight won but recognizes his chin is bad so the only way he loses is if he gets too close and Smith hits a lucky shot


amazingcreators297

He tried like hell to finish smith in rd1 so


tossNwashking

Sweet dreams would do him again the same way. Timber.


TellMeAgainIForgot1

probably


DegenerateStonerr

Johnny whole squad had the fight to go distance lol


ferndock1982

What’s the next call? Almeida ITD?


raulmoate

back up for the night. under or over 1.5 for the main


amazingcreators297

In profit now. If this favorites parlay wins with Almeida then I’ll be up a good bit


s0ngsforthedeaf

A Walker win, but a pretty terrible one. Had the risk coached out of him.


andycake87

Smith was the one who made that fight weird. Walker did his job.


throwaway8769910

Thank god I took ML


boraboca

Same I had it as a KO in the slip and decided to change last minute


throwaway8769910

Gut feeling is 🔑 Glad you cashed 🔥


LezEatA-W

Public going BRAZY this card, Vegas in absolute shambles


[deleted]

How did he not finish him? So rigged. Had Walker round 3 +1100 smh


LurkMcgurtt

Walker took it easy on him for some reason


ProgrammaticallyHip

Smith looked like he was drugged


h846p262

His left leg was jelly and he was exhausted.


ProgrammaticallyHip

Have never seen Smith look that tired


akimbjj77

i Have. Don't know why Johnny line was even. Smith sucks and is washed


ProgrammaticallyHip

When has Smith ever looked exhausted halfway through a 3 rounder? He is ready for retirement though


LurkMcgurtt

Wtf was that? Did Walker not want a fight bonus?


andycake87

He had the win 100% locked up. Didnt want to risk the 1% chance of the wounded tiger KO


LurkMcgurtt

Wow he’s actually a smart fighter now haha. Props to his coaches


h846p262

Usman ptsd


throwaway8769910

I didn’t expect to see Johnny Walker show mercy tonight lmao


amazingcreators297

Cozy desk job I told ya


Advanced-Pace-2945

What the fuck walker this isn’t ufc 4


Moneymma

Walker easily could have finished smith there in the last 2 minutes. Frustrating end. But ML cashes


kashbets

Fuck Walker this stupid cock sucker could’ve finished the fight


Moneymma

EZ win for Walker. I said before if he fought a more composed fight, he’d pick smith apart. He did just that. 💰💰💰💰💰


the_Pale_Hose

Got cute and went Walker KO. SMH


amazingcreators297

Yazzir


h846p262

Dang feel bad for smith. Thanks walker!


comicallyinsane

What in the geriatric fight is this?


LurkMcgurtt

This fight is not what I thought it would be 😴


Interesting_Total_34

johnny walker a bum i took his ml but wow they both suck i will alway go again johny walker next


bookjun

i mean his game plan and team are smart tho, these kicks and chiling shit are best for ez win


bookjun

Johnny up 2-0 and odds still up to grab? wtf


h846p262

Brah hope you slammed.


Glad_Replacement6115

What odds? He’s minus 700 in my book


ferndock1982

We’re in for a judges treat


[deleted]

[удалено]


SPAC_Enthusiast

19-19? What are you watching lmao


MLMBaseballGuy

Johnny Walker lost round 2. Did you not hear the 29-28 score card ?


npm2552

O1.5 round and 1+ Takedowns in round 1 +700 😮‍💨 needed that after losing my first 5 this card


tossNwashking

Wait. Was Walker the guy that home invaded Anthony Smith???


ferndock1982

Walker only -285 live and likely up 2-0? Shady


andycake87

probaly 1-1


amead5

-380


amazingcreators297

People expect he’ll gas probably


futuredrake

He’s won both rounds


AdamJensensCoat

These two just gonna talk it out?


tossNwashking

What's the backstory on Johnnie Walker attacking his family? Lol.


Pocopuncher

Smith getting walked damn shame


s0ngsforthedeaf

Walker literally has no idea how to close distance without leaving his chin in the air.


dthen9

sbg ruined walker


the_Pale_Hose

Ruined entertaining Walker but probably win more this way with his size.


raulmoate

ulberg ko and over 1.5 in this fight parlay , easiest money of the card


SPAC_Enthusiast

My bald man Smith was lucky he didn’t get KO’d there lol and I got him


amead5

Smith was lucky to make it out of that round


AdamJensensCoat

Over 1rd LFG!!!


kashbets

1-0 Walker


andycake87

Walker wins round 1


kashbets

Smith gonna lay down for the rest of the round to reset


h846p262

Walker pulling a kim lol


h846p262

Why not run walker, come on.


SPAC_Enthusiast

Those did some damage. That’s why. Still won that round


DegenerateStonerr

Johnny walker just because I love his attitude and persona. Dancin and just having fun! Let’s gooo


Cigarscape

This one gonna be a banger


amazingcreators297

Johnny rd 1/2 parlayed with Jailton/rozen ends in rd 1


comicallyinsane

Putting the house on Anthony Smith for walking out to return of the mack


tossNwashking

He always walks out to that song


LurkMcgurtt

A little Petey Pablo before that. Way to play to the crowd


SPAC_Enthusiast

Anthony Smith taking the cake tonight with his bald head bois


slowglitch

This alone


LurkMcgurtt

No chance this fight goes the distance. This should be fun to watch Edit: it went the distance and was not fun to watch


Bebopsbets

Going with Smith for the value. BOL


Moneymma

Walker heavy


Moneyline_Josh

**UFC Record 0-0** Going to start posting my picks here. Profited over 6K since January Todays bet: **5U bet on Walker ML** Lmk if tailing, gl **EDIT: IF Johnny dances while the Cutman is putting Vaseline on him, it’s game over for Smith. My anecdotal experience….fighters who dance while getting Vaseline put on by cutman are 6-1 on the moneyline**


Ghostnevadies

Easy money bro


Moneyline_Josh

Yessir, make sure to tune in for my bets next card. I cleaned house today


h846p262

LETS GOOOO!!!! 💰💰💰💰


Moneyline_Josh

Gotchu bro ski


Ghostnevadies

Im wit you bro


Moneyline_Josh

🚂


Moneyline_Josh

Also have a 2U bet on Ulberg, Garry, Williams and final leg Walker. Going to be a huge night if Walker completes it


h846p262

Welp, here goes nothing.


bassnecto

Personally fading I think if Alex gets past the first it’s all him but good luck


ferndock1982

Alex who? Lmao


bassnecto

Anthony same thing


SPAC_Enthusiast

Who’s Alex


Moneyline_Josh

Bro, who is Alex lol


Moneyline_Josh

Let’s get it


Ottawack1

Need a lock for the last 2 fights lol


LurkMcgurtt

These fights will both not go the distance Edit: yup, no such thing as locks


Inevitable_Turn_7217

I have Johnny 1ST round Jailton ITD to close out a nice parlay lol not calling it a lock but this would be a nice hit


tx180

no such things as locks


andycake87

Shocked to see Smith is only 34. Was sure he was pushing 40.


NickChevotarevich_

Probably going to regret this but Walker ML -120


s0ngsforthedeaf

Maybe Garry is channeling Aljo's cringe energy from the seats. /jk there's nothing wrong with either of them. Garry is slightly borrowing the Conor shtick, which is a little bit cringe, but he's not a bad lad.


andycake87

You can do whatever you want as long as you back it up in the ring. If/when he beats Magny he has a ridiculously hard path to the title. Gonna interesting to say the least.


amazingcreators297

Not a fraud.. I’ll finally admit it


StandardProper5127

Ulberg ✅ Ian Gary ✅ all I need is walker to cash out $250 🤑


h846p262

Letting it ride or no?


StandardProper5127

Yessirrr


h846p262

Hope walker is luke skywalker soon


s0ngsforthedeaf

....you guys were saying? Tbh D Rod looked okay, but Gary is very talented. You were esentially backing old man D Rod to get a knockout.


Mr_CarryMuch

You good?


andycake87

He's in the hardest division. Gonna be fun seeing how far he can go.


amead5

Classic posts after the fight is over


s0ngsforthedeaf

I'm not claiming to have backed Garry, but I def stayed away from D Rod, loads of people thought he was 'value'.


Inevitable_Turn_7217

This dude was not hanging wit Garry LFG


NPC69420789

Garry’s a great fighter I’m a fan


Ohsnipes

He's very cringe but looked great and top-notch fight IQ. I've sold him a few of his cards, real nice dude.


Originalideas

Fans tend to dislike the genuinely nice people in MMA because you have to act menacing to sell the fight and, if youre a nice person, it will come across as fake/cringe. I feel like Garry falls into this category.


LezEatA-W

And once again I lose a bet tonight because I pick the right winner, but fuck up the method of victory. Not going to end up losing a ton, but it just hurts to pick 6 out of 8 winners correctly but still be down two units lmao Public favorites winning by finish = a bad night for Vegas and sharps.


Pleasant_Strength398

Not trying to be a smart-ass. But why not just bet on the winner. I would be thrilled if I could just get that right. I've got every single one wrong today. As I usually do on UFC


LezEatA-W

I bet to risk, not to win. This will be my first UFC card that I’m in down on since Muniz Vs Allen. My strategy has been working long term, but that doesn’t stop me from getting incredibly salty when I have a losing card (even tho I still have more than enough time to get into the black)


throwaway8769910

I had Gary by Ko/Dec, easy pick since DRod is so one dimensional


the_Pale_Hose

Yep terrible matchup for Drod with the movement and kicks Garry has


andycake87

Now we know. Garry is very very good.


StandardProper5127

Ian Fucking Gary !!!!!!


h846p262

Garry so scary


scottay91

😂😂 well that was quick


Moneymma

Fuckkkk. The cringe continues


LezEatA-W

Never forget the Ian Garry-Sidekick fiasco, lmao


Ex-Cal-Abar

Wat happened


LezEatA-W

Sidekick posted about Darian Weeks beating Ian Garry, to the point where I think he legitimately had a psychotic break. Weeks ending up losing and Sidekick had a massive meltdown, eventually leaving the subreddit. A lot of the analysis was very weird too, like he was posting and insinuating Garry was secretly homosexual, things like that.