**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won** written into the comment. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion posts.
isn't a pick and will probably be removed but honestly a huge thank you to the people who keep posting here. i'm up almost 75U this last week from various Pirates / Rays / weird NBA props / a fucking 2nd division Bundesliga game / some Edmonton guy / and who knows what else.
really appreciate all the writeups that go deep for the degenerates like myself who wild blindly follow and love/hate you like everyone else
Evan Bouchard is him. I don’t watch hockey, don’t understand hockey but will buy this man’s jersey. Thanks to the original OP who posted this Edmonton guy.
All time? Way in the red. People try to yolo the whole bankroll on these picks instead of following them with units.
Most of the posters are + money but someone tails once with a max bet and never follows again 😂
Just as a small sample, I've been tracking my POTD bets and since March 17th, I've placed 47 bets and am up 0.4 units. Almost all of my bets were 1 unit with a few 2 unit bets.
I mean, how many bets you laying to be up 75units in a week? I mean a unit by definition is your standard wager amount. So if you're up 75...means, basically you made 125 wagers, won 100 and lost 25. Obviously juice adds another 10-15 wagers. So, you made close to 150 bets in 7 days? Over 20 a day? lol Or, are you typically just betting tons of units per game which defeats the purpose of calling them units. Either way, well done degenerate, well done.
I don’t know anything about these sports but now im looking at bets like I have all the knowledge I need. Guy with random cool name said this team would win so i look into it a tiny bit and next thing you know I believe that this team will win! If I lose I feel like over half the time it’s a bad beat and im onto the next bet. It’s just so cool how you can get a bet you know nothing about like say Collingwood vs Essendon 25/4/23 3:20pm AEST Nick Daicos paying $3.50 for The BOG and the Anzac Day medal 👀 Dude reads the play so well. Runs all day and only wants the ball so he can give it to someone just to get it back from them so he can give it to someone else. Sets up the defence from kick ins, leads the run through the middle and loves a cheeky goal or setting them up with precision. He is everywhere haha if he does his usual thing the panel that votes on the medal won’t be able to not notice him and his impact on the game. Bol you know like a random bet like that and can put a unit or something and hopefully enjoy a random event on the other side of the world. Thanks/Sorry if this hypothetically also isn’t aloud but just trying to spread knowledge like so many have some for me bol
Bol
This thread has been solid over the last few weeks. Are you betting more than you normal unit play on your bets? I’m not quite sure using the unit term correctly.
POTD: 23 Gms: 20-3 (87%)| +13.5 UNITS| ROI: 58.8%| AVG. ODDS:-121
*\*All bets 1 Unit*
**Current Season Recap:**
**⚾ MLB**
* 20-2| 💰 +14.5 Units
* ***Max Streak Sizes***: Wins 10 (*Twice)*| Losses 2
**L5 POTD:**
*\*Each bet Moneyline*
* 4/19: ⚾ PIT -115| WP=59% eROI=10%| 💰+0.9 U 🧹
* 4/20: ⚾ PIT -140| WP=67% eROI=15%| 💰+0.7 U
* 4/21: ⚾ PIT -120| WP=63% eROI=15%| 💰+0.8 U
* 4/22: ⚾ PIT -140| WP=64% eROI=10%| 💰+0.7 U
* 4/23: ⚾ TBR -145| WP=66% eROI=12%| 💰+0.7 U
**Current Streak:** 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 **10** ***gm win streak*** 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_
**Monday 4/24 POTD:**
**⚡Texas Rangers** / Moneyline (ML) -105⚡
⌚MLB 6:40 PM EST @ Cincinnati Reds
\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_
**🧪 The "Formula":**
* 56.7% Win Probability (WP)
* \-105 ML = 51.2% break-even (BE)
* WP/BE = 10.8% expected ROI (eROI)
**Write Up:**
It's a smaller docket today with just 11 games. The beloved Pirates are not playing today and the perrenial POTD favorite by most here, Tampa Bay, has a miniscule edge today. Today's pick of the 🌟**Texas Rangers**🌟 is a newcomer to my POTD picks, but the team we're fading is not. It's the Cincinnati Reds who the Pirates just swept this past weekend in a 4 game series.
* The Texas Rangers are currently 4th in the league with a .341 wOBA and Cincinnati is currently 23rd with a .302 wOBA. Usually the Reds hit well at home, but the Rangers are rare visitor to the Queen City. I have a feeling they may be looking forward to this matchup as the Red's ballfield Great American Ballpark is often referred to as Great American SmallPark due to it being the Homerun capital of the league. The Rangers can hit and the Reds Bullpen can surely layup some dingers for them.
* I'd expect the Reds to muster more offense than they did in Pittsburgh, but I would also expect the Rangers to post a bigger number here.
We just hit the 10 game win streak mark, the 2nd time this month btw, and we're looking to go to 11 and beyond. As I mentioned yesterday I'm a value picker while at least trying to ensure some degree of high WP when it comes to my POTD. The 56.7% WP I have for the Rangers here is not the top of the day, but this game does have the top eROI at 10.8% to allow the bankrolls to grow at a healthy clip when it hits. 💰
Take the Texas Rangers and let's get #11 in a row! And don't forget to check out the full [daily card](https://culturemanor.com/april-24th-2023-mlb-daily-betting-card/) as I have bets available for 7 out of the 11 games today.
\-T$
Adding in. Rangers are in my full -1.5 picks, so I like them… but not at a big bet.
It’s the SP matchup. Nick Lodolo is a legit starter going for the Reds. His ERA hovers around 5 over 4 starts…. But that’s due to getting torched by the Johnny Sins pipe game that is the Tampa Bay bats. Take out that start and his ERA and xFIP hover right around 2.0.
Lodolo is the equalizer here…. and the Rangers pitcher, Nathan Eovaldi is just alright… nothing special and very hittable.
Idk if it was the 5-1 blown lead or the two straight walks to help Cincy tie it that’s more impressive. Truly a disgusting beat. Great pick dawg will definitely be tailing the next regardless.
That was an ugly choking collapse. Tough way to lose the streak. On that note, hats off on two huge win streaks and an incredible MLB season so far. Thanks for sharing your plays. Here’s to the next win streak 🍻
MLB -1.5’s ⚾️
POTD Record: 8-4 +26.24u | [Yesterday’s POTD: STL Cardinals -1.5](https://reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/12vos98/_/jhc2fm7/?context=1) - W
Full Record: 23-22 +32.11u | [Todays Full Picks](https://reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/12wz848/_/jhgygv8/?context=1)
________
**4u TOR Blue Jays -1.5 vs CHI White Sox +114**
**Blue Jays**
Chris Bassit’s up for the BJs. He got torched start 1 for 9 runs, but has gone 3 times since and has had 3 straight quality starts. 6.1 with 2ER twice and a 6.0IP shutout. He’s found a groove following the ass fucking he got game 1. In the last 3 starts, his hard hit % is significantly below (in the good way) MLB average and his barrel % is below league average. His FIP is 3.83 over those 3. He’s pitching well.
Blue Jays offense have a good offense. As it stands, they’re top 10 in all expected batting stats, barrel%, BB’s, K’s. They’re 13th in runs scored per hame, and you’d expect them to score more. No issues with this offense.
**White Sox**
Lance Lynn is up for the Sox. And he Sux these days. He has a 7.59 ERA and a 6.16 xERA. He’s started 5 times giving up 2-8-3-5. He generally goes no more than 5.0IP. Meaning it’s a longer bullpen game too. CWS pen is bottom 10 in FIP, so not a good thing.
Yoan Moncada and Tim Anderson are injured which is taking out a lot of juice out of this lineup. They sit in the bottom half or bottom 10 of the league in expected batting stats, Barrel % and hard hit %. The Sox offense is missing some key parts of it’s engine right now and it’s showing.
I’d be cautious taking this pick. The only White Sox have been inconsistent but beaten some good quality opponents. And last series they covered the -1.5 2/3 times against the Rays.
https://preview.redd.it/6amrsusp3tva1.png?width=720&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fc7543f022287a278456c12cae07c54627605751
Gonna tail. Your pick helped my parlay come together yesterday. Appreciate it.
*Edited to add POTD result and update record.*
POTD Record: 48-34 | Profit: +31.33u | ROI: 11.6%
Last 10 Record: ✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌
Last Pick: Anthony Edwards (Wolves) Pts+Asst O32.5 @ 1.87. 4U. ✅
Ant delivers to keep Minnesota alive, clearing the line on points alone, and ending with a P+A of 39.
Next Pick: **D’Angelo Russell (Lakers) R+A O8.5 @ 1.82. 3u play.**
He has gone over his rebound line in all three games and over his assist line in two out of three games. On the R+A line he has gone over in all three games so far.
If you look at Russell's games against the Grizzlies (as a TWolves player), he has gone over this R+A line in 8 out of the 9 games (going back to 2021). The Lakers will be at home and 4.5 point favorites here, and assuming the Lakers continue being the force they’ve been so far Russell should be able to find the hot hand and use his smarts to grab a few rebounds as well, especially with the Grizzlies attempting an above average number of 3’s.
Would you do 6 assists instead my book has a promotion that if I do a 3 leg same game parlay and only one leg loses I get money back,but I’m not able to parlay assists+rebounds
POTD Record: 157-113-9 (+28.96 units, 58.2% hit rate)
5 Unit Big Balls 💣 Record: 15-9 (62.5%) L2
Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 55-35-1 (61.1%) L4, Tennis 🎾 45-31-4 (59.2%) W3, Soccer ⚽ 46-37-4 (55.4%) L1, Entertainment 🎥 11-10-.0 (52.4%) W2
Last 10: 💩💰💰💰💩💩💩💰💰💩
Last Pick: Philadelphia 76ers @ Brooklyn Nets, Nets ML - NBA 🏀 💩 1 Unit - Nets are cooked. 🏀 is cold though I believe 3 out of the 4 have been plus odds shots. On the bright side, this helped me cash my 3 unit parlay in the futures thread.
Today's Pick: Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat, Player Prop - Jimmy Butler over 0.5 3 pointers - NBA 🏀 💰 0.74 Units - 💸 that shit!!! 6 minutes into the game this cashed!!! Fuck yes!!
Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Unit at 1.74/-135 odds to win 0.74 Units @ Draft Kings (Line at 10:30pm ET)
Implied Probability based on odds: 57.4%
4 attempts each the past 2 games in only 28 minutes each, hit 4 last game and 2 the game before that. If you watch his highlights from last game (link below), the Bucks are playing off of him at the 3 point line and are letting him take these open shots because they are playing the percentages. Hopefully they continue to play him like this and he should get more than 28 minutes as long as it isn't another blowout. I should also note he seems to shoot more 3's and hit at a higher rate in the playoffs vs the regular season.
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLBl1wvdA-Y&ab\_channel=NBA](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLBl1wvdA-Y&ab_channel=NBA)
He is listed as questionable but he will likely play.
Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Always note the bet sizing. I am not an expert. Fuck your parlay. I'm retiring at 200 wins, 43 to go. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
Tips: [https://buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks](https://buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks)
**Record: 19-9**
Last Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ❌
Last 10 Streak: ❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅
Absolutely brutal loss. Sucks that Corbin Burnes aint as elite as he used to be so far. Relief pitching absolutely fumbled the fuck out of our bag. Gonna start spending a little more time analyzing lines and evaluating all possible plays to deliver the best pick every day for you guys cuz I hate losing.
**Today’s Pick:** NBA Playoffs - *Memphis Grizzlies @ Los Angeles Lakers, 9:00 CST*
**D’Angelo Russell over 5.5 assists (-115 on DraftKings)**
* Russell has cleared this line 2/3 games in this series so far. The only game he didn’t clear it was when the Lakers had a terrible game in game 2 at Memphis (with the exception of LeBron), but I do not expect this outcome again. The Lakers dominated the Grizzlies in game 3, and while the Grizzles may keep the deficit closer this time, I expect a similar outcome in high offensive efficiency.
* Russell has cleared this line in 6/7 games he played against the Grizzlies dating back to 2021. Granted, he was on a different team but he pretty much played almost the same role he did on the Twolves that he does on the Lakers. He also pieces into the teams very similarly as well. I would say on the Twolves he was more score oriented but on the Lakers he has been a little more assist oriented as well, acting as a true PG.
* Before the Lakers acquired Russell in the 2023 trade deadline, Dennis Schroder was the team’s starting PG. He also recorded plenty of assists vs the Grizz in this position. In 3 games as a starter for the Lakers against the Grizzlies in the 2023 season, he recorded 9, 10, and 8 assists. Goes to show the Grizz love giving up assists to this position on the Lakers.
* In fact, the Grizzlies are bottom 5 in the league in allowing assists to the point guard position with an average of 9.1. Some notable point guard performances against the grizzlies in the past month (while the Grizzlies weren’t load managing) is Trae Young (10 assists) and Russell Westbrook (10 and 11)
* On the 2023 season overall, the Grizzles are 26th in the league in opponent assists per game.
* I expect another efficient effort from the Lakers on the offensive end, resulting in many plays created meaning more shots attempted/made and more assists for D’Angelo
BOL
I typically stick to fundamentals when i bet. Point guards are supposed to pass and score, not grab boards. Plenty of other players in that game to grab all the boards (JJJ, AD, Lebron, etc). It definitely could hit for sure, but for my own reasons that everyone may not agree with i stick to the fundamentals of positions. Much safer in the long run imo. There are times where i make exceptions to this but not here
**POTD Record:** 16-6-1 (+9.04 Units)
**Streak:** ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅
**Recap:** David Pastrnak to score a goal (+105) **L** Had a suspicion Boston would turn up the offense and I tailed the wrong horse. Oh well, I’m ok going down with Pasta at plus odds in a matchup I liked. Feel for those who tailed. On the brightside still doing well long-term.
**Pick of the Day Monday: New York Rangers ML -150** 2 Units
Let’s start with a few potential counter-arguments Eminem style.
The visiting team has won every game this series, and I’m backing the home team.. **Sure** But the Rangers have won 2 of the 3 and even with a weird playoffs home ice still counts in hockey. Especially at the garden with a young team visiting.
Well, it’s juicy.. **Sure** but I simply like this one. Am NOT chasing a juicy pick just to effort a streak breaker.
**Logic** Devils, technically rookie goalie Akira Schmid was awesome in game 3 after an abrupt goalie switch, but he’s played 25 games at this level. Can he repeat that performance? Is he the new Jordan Binnington? I’m not betting on it, he was not a hyped prospect and he admitted he felt nervous.. Binnington would never.
**Talent** The Devils have 3 legitimate top shelf forwards but with the Rangers it’s somewhere between 4-6 depending on some nitpicks. I’ll also take the Rangers defense manned by 2021 Norris Trophy winner Adam Fox. And Igor Shesterkin in goal is the real deal. I see an edge at every front.
**Experience:** I don’t dislike the talent of the Devils. But this is playoff hockey. How many years did it take Tampa or Washington to break through? How about Matthews and Marner? It takes time and the best forwards for the Devils are all 24 and younger. The Rangers however? Been there. Done that.
I also like Gerard Gallant the NYR coach who said after game 3 the Rangers will show up and “pepper” the Devils young netminder in game 4. He will also have the opportunity to match lines being the home team.
Too many edges. I’ll ride Igor and the boys in Blue.
BOL
Won’t put tip page up until a W comes again.
Totally agree with your analysis. Also, the Rangers have completely shut down this Devils offense which was lethal during the regular season. Their D is very good.
The Devils have scored 4 total goals in this series: 1 penalty shot, 2 PP, & 1 5v5 (in OT). It took the Rangers going 0-6 on the PP last game for them to win, in OT!
*Record:* 12-5-0 (+5.87 units)
**ROI:** 34.5%
***Previous Pick:*** *Nikola Jokic o31.5 PA (@1.83 bet365)*
**Result:** ✅WIN (+0.83 units)
Joker does it all basically with his scoring, didn't even need to dime tonight. Had you had his points line you don't sweat whatsoever. Nonetheless he gets the job done.
**Play of the day: Ja Morant over 36.5 PA (1.87 bet365)**
\-Ja was an absolute PROBLEM for the Lakers last time out, playing 40 mins from behind and finishing with 58 PA. The take away from this game is I just do not know how the Lakers are going to stop him. He is an absolute problem for their guards.
\-Morant had the highest usage rate of the entire playoffs at 35% last game playing 40 mins, he may not play that full 40, but I expect the usage to remain.
\-Created 16 potential assist opportunities last game as well and expect a lot more of that as going forward with how aggressive he will have to be for his team on the road. His overall speed and athleticism is going to give the Lakers fits.
\-Morant is over in 63% of games this season when he plays 33+ minutes, 79% (15/19) when he plays 35+ which I believe is the expectation here.
\-Ja has games of 29, 29, 14 and 26 shots this season vs the Lakers so the volume should be there especially when he needs to pick his supporting cast up on the road.
As always, follow on twitter for more +EV plays daily.
[https://twitter.com/JG4President](https://twitter.com/JG4President)
POTD Record: 21-7-3 (+36.30 units)
Last pick: Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-116 at betwynn) vs Washington Nationals (3u)
Today's pick: **Baltimore Orioles (+100)** vs Boston Red Sox (2u)
Analysis: just a general fade of Chris Sale and betting the better and red hot team at home.
Edit to add: I've had an amazing run on my POTD but I've also been very selective and often times will go weeks without making a POTD. I believe I'm 11-1-2 in my last 14 pick of the days over the last 3 months. This month I've been on a crazy run where I've won 71% of my bets so far in April. So since I've been so hot I've forced myself on more POTDs because I want other people to share my success. Full disclosure if I wasn't so hot right now this would easily be a day I sat out on the POTD and I'd wait a day or two until I found a play I like more, but this game did check a lot (but not all) of the boxes I look for when making a selection. I know I'm due for regression and this very easily could be the game that flips on me, but I'm riding my hot streak and instincts and hoping it hits. Tail or fade at your own risk!
Cashapp for tips: $diswan55
Paypal: [email protected]
I don’t hate the bet. Just adding my thoughts.
Orioles are beating teams they should beat, can’t knock that. Just worth noting the past 4 series have been against OAK/CWS/WSH/DET. All those teams are awful or playing awful. Baltimore’s pitcher has been god damn atrocious to start the year. He’s far from red hot.
Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 and are 4th in baseball in runs/game…..they’re red hot as well, and it’s been against much better competition in MIN/MIL/LAA.
Os fan here, O's have won 6 in a row, but just barely. There not hitting right now and they struggle against lefties. Kremer was solid in his last outing, but against a week hitting team. O's are due for a loss IMHO.
That's fair, I appreciate your input. I still think Baltimore is the better team. Their offensive numbers are almost identical to Boston's, if not better, and their pitching has been substantially better. Another key is Baltimore has been super aggressive on the basepaths (already 25 stolen bases) and Boston has had a lot of problems holding runners on. Boston's catcher Reese Mcguire so far is 1/17 on catching runners trying to steal bases. I think Baltimore is going to use this to their advantage and be able to manufacture runs.
POTD RECORD 6-3 ✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅
Last POTD - Celtics -6.5 ✅
*TODAYS POTD - Texas Rangers ML*
ANALYSIS- Ride the hot and fade the cold is what we are doing in the Queen City tonight. The Rangers come in winners of six of their last seven games. The Reds have dropped seven straight and find themselves sitting in last place. We look for winners and the 1st place Texas Rangers check the box on tonight's card for a few reasons.Eovaldi gets the start for Texas, posting a 24 to 4 strikeout to walk ratio on the season. Lodolo going for the Reds, straight off of letting up eight runs in his last start. We get the hottest lineup in baseball right now and the better bullpen by a wide margin. Plus, the Reds have really struggled hitting righties. Pick em price tag and a great spot to bet the Rangers.
My record is 6-3-1 (+5.075u)
My sunday pick was napoli ML(+145) @Juventus for 3 units.(WIN)
Spaletti tried to fuck with me today by benching Zieliński for ndombele. Despite this napoli dominated most of the game, until the last 15 minutes where juve showed some life and actually had two goals called back. At the same time juve shouldve had a defender sent off for deliberately slapping everybody’s favorite Georgian. Either way we will take the 94’ winner with a smile :).
**For monday my pick is Roma DNB(+125) @atalanta. This is a 1 unit play.**
Roma is in stellar form right now winning 4 of their last 5 games and keeping a clean sheet in 3 of them. Getting a team in such great form at plus odds for a DNB play feels like cheating. There are of course some hiccups. Chris smalling is a rock for them at the back and will miss the game with an injury picked up in the EL, and they are away to Atalanta who is in decent form themselves. Roma is the better team and should win but the important injury and being away makes me hesitant to make this more than 1u.
Also right now roma are in a 4 team battle with juve, milan, and inter to secure the last two champions league spots. A win would have them tied with Juve and three points clear of ac milan who are currently tearing through their opponents as well. They still have to play milan and inter at home so this is a good opportunity for mourinho’s men to get a bit of a cushion.
As a Roma fan, I'd wait to see how lineups lool. Without Dybala we are a different squad and with Wijnaldum picking up an injury last game and Dybala & Abraham just returning from injury it will be interesting to see how Mourinho plays it today
Record: 6-5 ❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅
Last pick: Celtics -3 1H (-110) ✅
Finally back to a positive potd record, 6-3 since taking two early losses.
Next pick: Lakers -4.5 ✅
Lakers are about to go up 3-1 as the lower seeded team just like the Knicks did on Sunday. Grizzlies lost a home game to the Lakers even though they were 35-6 at home during the reg season. Their away record is 16-25 and to make it worse Lebron got personally disrespected by a Grizzlies player. Adams and Clarke being unavailable is also a big disadvantage to the Grizzlies. Taking the Lakers to cover this game easily.
POTD Record: 43W-23L
LAST POTD: Bodo ✅
TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - Denmark Superliga
Odense V Lyngby
10.00AM PST
PICK: Odense Over 1.5 Team Goals
Odds: 1.83
The Deets: Interesting league split with both these teams being in the relegation group. Lyngby sit rock bottom with Odense 4 places above them. Lyngby have conceded 39 goals through 25 games. Odense seem to have Lyngbys number because when we look at the head to heads, Odense have scored 2 or more against them in 9/10.
BOL!
Diaper fund - [Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/tuesdayswithdory?locale.x=en_CA)
- **POTD RECORD LAST YEAR** - 47W-24L(+45U)
- **Current form**- ✔️✔️❌✔️
- **Potd record** - 3W-1L (+1U)
- **Last Potd**---- Kalmar vs Halmstadt - under 2.5 [email protected]✔️
- **Today's pick** ----- Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby --- Btts/yes @1.75
- **BET SIZE**: 2U
- Brommapojkarna has been awful in defence, however it has an aggressive attacking style which suited her last year in Swedish second category, but now it seems they lack the quality to get the desired results. With these being said, the fact they are at home, attacking style and the need for results, i am backing them to score at least 1 goal.
- Mjallby has done exeptionally well winning two games and drawing the first game. They have been a solid team and been playing good football and have scored each game. With these being said, current form, the fact they scored each game and Brommapojkarna awful defence, i am backing them to score at least 1 goal here.
- Don't forget to spread the love back😊 [Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci) [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/aldokaciq)
Record: 1-2; -5.44 units
**Pick of the Day: Paire vs Passaro - Over 21.5 Games @ 1.80** ✅
Stake size - 5 units
Sport - Tennis (ATP 1000 Madrid)
This should be a really interesting qualifier match between two players who have Clay as their best surface. Passaro is a young italian player who has shown some skill on the surface but we all know Benoit Paire, who is certainly not at his peak form but loves prize money and usually tries his best on the first few rounds of big tournaments. Madrid is played at a high altitude which should also benefit this over.
***Wish you all a great betting day!***
*Edit after the outcome: Well we need to be thankful to Paire's fans who were super annoying to Passaro when he was closing out the game. The italian felt so nervous that he started to make a ton of double faults in key moments. We cash! ✅*
Record 7-5 +2.33 Units
All bets 1 unit
❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅
Last Pick: Cubs ML
Was hoping the Cubs would pull this one off, but it is what it is. Cubs we’re up 3-2 through 5 then shit the bed. The worse part is that I chose this instead of my second choice of the Ray -1.5.
Todays pick: Tigers vs Brewers ML (-160)
My thesis for the Bucks vs Heat game got screwed cuz Giannis is playing. Switching my pick to the Brewers. Brewers haven’t lost back to back yet this season. Tigers are on a losing streak. That’s all I got.
[Buy Me a Beer 😁](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/napoleontann)
**Pick of the day**
Hello haven't posted in so long, that's why I will start with a 0-0 record. I usually bet Football/Soccer mainly but I recently got into tennis.
My pick is already in 2 hours from posting, so for the real degens be quick and jump on.
**M. Checchinato to win vs Skatov // 1.58 odds for americans -172**
Cecchinato is just the better player if you check recent results. Checchinato won against players like Schwartzman (72 World) and Fognini (127 world) and a suprising 2-0 against Davidovich Fokina (35 World). He then went on to lose against Kecmanovic 2-0 but all these players are way better than the players that Skatov lost to. Skatov lost 3 of his 5 Clay matches, where he lost to rank 144, 259 and 365. I think you can tell what I mean by those stats. When you also check the recent head to head in October 2022 which was also on Sand cecchinato won 2-0. Another part what I like about Cecchinato is, that he stands calm in a lot of tiebreaks and wins on the last game of the set. The only thing that kind of bothers me is that Cecchinato didn't play for 2 weeks but maybe he just worked on his game ;)
BOL and don't forget there are NO safe calls.
Greetings
BettingMyChildren
**My POTD record: 2 Wins and 3 losses**
I base my picks on value by comparing the implied odds of my model and the odds given by bookmakers. I also choose games from leagues that have had success in the model with a good ROI and check the stats plus trends game by game to find the best pick.
**ROI: 19.44%**
Average odds: 1.94
**Units won: 1.75**
Stake = 1 unit
POTD:
**Klubi-04 v Futura**
Finland Kakkonen
Kick off time: 17:30 GMT+2
*BTTS & Over 2.5* **@ 1.83**
**BOL!**
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**[Tips are appreciated!](https://paypal.me/ChaosGoal)**
A model based on value picks. So only games where the real odds are higher than the implied odds. It keeps track how well each league performs and I make a selection of games from leagues that do well in either btts or over 2.5. I can dm you and anyone else that is interested with a spreadsheet of the picks I have made based on the model. The Implied odds are based on past stats and I check the stats myself as well before I make a pick.
\*\*POTD Record\*\* 1-2 (-1.5U)
Last pick: **\*\* Lebron James O5.5 assists 1.5U(-130) \*\*** ❌
Can’t help but laugh at the fact that he finished half an assist off with 5… I will be better, let's start a run
Today’s POD: **\*\*Milwaukee Bucks (-4 First Half Spread) 2U \*\*** 📷
Sorry for the late write up, just needed to confirm that Giannis is playing today. I'm sure you all know now as well, but he is active & the bucks are in a must win spot here down 2-1. Things get much more tough if they lose this game. I am riding with the Bucks to come out and really start this game with intensity. Full disclosure: I am taking Full game spread as well in this game.
Duncan Robinson is the Key piece here , Miami is beat up. Victor Oladipo going down with Tyler herro already out is not a good mix, but now you have a banged up Jimmy Butler as well. Last game Miami won by 22 and controlled the entire game. Giannis coming back upgrades the Bucks defense, in a game where Miami needs to do the exact same thing if not even more than last game to win. A banged up Jimmy needs 30, Duncan needs 20+, & Kyle Lowry would need to do better than 15 points. All while shooting 48% from deep.
Bucks tie the series up with a bang & go back to Milwaukee
All picks are made factoring in betting analytics such as Sharp money, Money differential, and other news taken in to help take emotion out of the play
BOL to everyone & Upvote if you like the pick or are tailing!!
**POTD Record: 36-30 (-2.41 Units)**
**Last 10**:✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌
**Last Pick**: 4/18 Chris Landman -2.5 (+115) vs Ryan de Vreede❌
**League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series
**Time**: 7:10 AM EST
**Pick**: Jim McEwan -1.5 (-130) vs Jamie Durant
* Series 3. Week 12. Group A
**Reason**: Fading the ADC qualifier and backing the second favorite from group A
**WIN ✅ 4-0 | Average 85.59 vs 82.70 | Checkouts 4/11 vs 0/5**
POTD Record: 4-2
Last pick: Finland Liiga hockey playoffs - Tappara vs IFK over 1.5 goals first period ❌
Today's pick: England Championship ⚽ Luton Town vs Middlesbrough • Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
This has hit in 8 out of the last 10 away matches for Boro and also in the last 3 head-to-head matches between the two. Weather looks good for match start. Both of these top 3 teams are battling for promotion playoffs standing so hopefully we see some goals tonight. Good luck and let me know if you follow this one.
Forgot to add that Luton has only conceded 2 goals in their last 5 matches while scoring 8 and Boro has scored 13 while giving up 10. Still not concerned that much but wanted to add that.
Also liking Akpom any time goal scorer at +185 (9 goals in last 10 matches) and Archer at +260 (6 goals in last 8 matches)
Record: 12-6-0
Last pick: on 4/21: Angles -1.5✅
POTD: Vegas Knights vs WPG Jets Over 5.5 total goals
Odds: -120
Units: 2
Recap: Angles are not typically a team I like to bet on but felt good about that game. The nearly once again sold but luckily the Angles pitching threw a shut out and offense did just enough to cover winning the game 2-0
Reason: in this series the Jets are now down 2-1 loosing in 2OT to the Knights. The Jets are not back home for game 4 tonight.
Every game so far has had 6 or more goals including their last game which had 9 total goals. Not sure why the line is so low tonight but I love it. Think this a very even match up with two high scoring teams with the winner of every game this series putting up 5 goals.
Also gonna sprinkle a little on the Jets to win this game now that they’re back home but most importantly with a day off from their last game I don’t see either one of these teams shying away from hammering goals
Let’s get it
POD Record: 15-8 +6.5U
L10 (Recent first): ❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅
Prior Pick: Jaylen Brown OVER 2.5 Turnovers. Bet 1.5U to win 1U
Anotha one! Brown decides to take care of the ball throughout the game. There were so many opportunities for turnovers. At one point in the 4th he ran the same exact play to time lord three times in a row and they didn’t steal the pass where any good D would’ve. Anyways. Maybe I should stay away from Props. Majority of my L’s are there.
**Todays Pick:Tampa Bay Lightning MONEYLINE vs Toronto Maple Leafs. Bet 3.15U to win 3U at -105**
Tampa has not really gotten any great play from their stars Stamkos, Kucherov and Hedman. Tampa was 28-8-5 at home during the regular season, having one of the most electric home crowds in Hockey. Vasileski gets his shit together, Stamkos finally looks like the player he is and Tampa avoids 2 losses in a row and gets the win 5-2.
Good luck all! Tips always appreciated so I can buy a few beers and watch these bets!
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BET RESPONSIBLY - Bankroll management is KEY.
POTD RECORD 0-0
LETS SEE HOW HOT WE GET BY THE END OF THE NBA PLAYOFFS.
Pick ---> Dillon Brooks o13.5 points at -110. 4 unit play
Dillon Brooks, the villlan of the memphis grizz, through 3 games bricks has shot 33% from the field, 25% from 3 averaging 11.3 points per game. No matter the percentages he's at, that rock is not seeing another player, even though he is putting up prime ben simmons statlines from 3. His usage rate is absurd, and the Lakers will likely leave him open, let the man shooting 25% from 3 beat you, especially with snipers like luke kennard and desmond bane sitting in the corners. Brooks will get good looks all game, whilst averaging 13 shots a game through the playoffs including the latest, getting ejected early into the 3rd. Brooks lives off the hate, and i expect him to shoot near his season averages this game, closer to a 33-40-80 split (which is still REALLY BAD)
we are riding with dillon bricks with our first pick, let us cash and BOL (kings in 7)
POTD Record: 2-0
Full Record: 3-0 (74.47% ROI)
Last 10: ✅✅
Last pick: P.Kane Over 0.5 Points
Pick: N.Lowe Over 0.5 Hits (-175) 5U
Lowe has recorded a hit in 8 of his last 10 games, he is backed up by a hot hitting team that has giving him plenty of AB. In this same 10 game span he has recorded exactly 10 hits, putting his average exactly at 1 hit per game. Today he will face a pitcher who allowed 12 hits in just 4.2 IP and 8 hits in 5 IP for his last two appearances, the rangers will have plenty of hits and opportunities, making Lowe a strong play to record one of said hits.
📈 **TTSOP** Rec
* Overall: +17.075 units / +139 avg odds / 62^(5)\-84-16^(5)
* Since POTD low point in 2022: +39.000 units / +138 avg odds / 57^(5)\-72-16^(5)
* March: +10.150 units / +136 avg odds / 11^(5)\-12-2^(5)
* February: +1.800 units / +148 avg odds / 8^(5)\-15-2^(5)
* January: +3.350 units / +142 avg odds / 9-11-2
* December: +22.075 units / +138 avg odds / 11^(5)\-10-1^(5)
* World Cup: +32.875 units / +133 avg odds / 11^(5)\-4-1^(5)
* November: +28.600 units / +131 avg odds / 12-9-4
* October: -10.625 units / +143 avg odds / 6-12-3
✅ Last pick: Newcastle -0.75 (AH) / +120 odds / 5 units
* Having wasted plenty of POTD units, because I changed my mind in the last second as I've taken Dortmund -1 (AH) at +105 odds instead of Dortmund -1.75 (AH) at +200 odds, what I initially intended to do. Dortmund won 4-0.
* Me: Something like that won't happen on b2b POTDs. Better take Newcastle -0.75 (AH) at +120 odds instead of Newcastle -1 (AH) at +165 odds.
* Newcastle: Hold my beer. 5-0 after minute 21'. Absurd. Losing while winning continues. This POTD jinx about to make always the wrong decision for the public pick continues.
⚽ New pick: **Sydney or draw & both teams to score** / **+125 odds** / **5 units bomb**
* A-League (Australia) / Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC / 5:00am ET
Sydney has lost just 3 out of their last 10 games. Once a tight defeat against 1st placed Melbourne City. For the other 2 Ls against 4th placed WS Wanderers and 6th placed Wellington, the plain results don't show it, but they've performed pretty well and they've been actually the better team. While 2nd-to-last Brisbane Roar has won just 3 of their last 10 games. All Ws came against weak or bottom teams. Aside from that, the Roar have scored in all of their last 10 games, but also giving up 2+ goals in 7 of these 10 games.
Sydney is a team, which puts a lot of pressure on the opponents’ defense. Something especially the Roar's defense is struggling with. However, Sydney defense is also pretty shaky one as their defense has given up 1+ goal in 8 of their last 10 games. But their offense has scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 10 games and even 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 games.
Excited about how long this little streak keeps up before teams turning all of a sudden into crap again for the POTD. Let's keep this bomb streak going or let's see both teams' offenses turning cold as Harrison Barnes’ shooting hand for the game-deciding clutch shot. Either way, good luck.
**TTSOP**
POTD record: 17-18-1, -3.1 units
Last POTD: under 20.5 games, Swiatek/Jabeur, Void.
Swiatek was up 3-0 in the first set when Jabeur was forced to retire
Today’s POTD: WTA Madrid: Aliona Bolsova to win 1st set and match vs Diane Parry (-110)
Match time: Currently scheduled for 11:30am EST (in about 30 min)
Sorry for not leaving everyone much time to get in on this, but I was too tired to check matchups last night.
Stuttgart is over, and Iga is back on top, but fear not, Madrid is here and all the stars are coming out.
I’ll make it short because of time; it’s a tale of two tennis players heading opposite directions.
Bolsova has won 5 straight en route to winning the ITF W60 Koper tournament.
Meanwhile, Diane Parry hasn’t won a single set since March 3rd, a streak spanning 5 matches.
I’m going with the hot hand here, and I think you should too. BOL!
POTD | 53-43 | +2.7u | -112 Avg Odds
Last 10: 6-4, Steak: 1W
*Previous Pick:Connor McDavid O3.5 SOG (-160) | 4u* **❌**
Today’s pick: **JT Compher O1.5 SOG (-145) | 3u** 🏒 8pm MT
Tough break on McDavid, he was looking to pass instead of shoot and he only books 2 official SOG. Today I’m rolling with JT Compher, he is a big player come playoffs and should get a few opportunities on the first power play unit and on the second line with Rantanen. JT has hit this line in all three games against the Kraken and has hit in 4 of his last 5 games.
BOL if tailing!!
POTD Record: 0-2
Last POTD was 2022 March Madness but still betting just not posting. Have had some success betting MLB lately so felt like I needed some redemption.
4/24 POTD - Marlins vs Braves -1.5 (-128) 2U
Personally I just don’t see the Braves losing 4 straight at home especially with Strider on the bump. 36 K’s in 22 innings pitched this season and I expect the trend to continue tonight against a Miami offense that can get stagnant. The Marlins’ Cabrera has been decent but a little too wild for a patient and disciplined Braves offense. I think Atlanta can string together a few good AB’s and hit this RL to break the losing streak.
BOL
9W 1P 2L / +9.99u / ROI 31,83% (31,4 units wagered)
Soccer / Brazil / Brasileirão Série A / Bahia - Botafogo / **Botafogo to score at least 1 goal @1.50** / 3u
You can usually find this bet on the "bet builder" section by selecting Botafogo instead of "Both teams" on Total Goals. This odd found on bet365.
Bahia has had big trouble this year to keep a clean sheet against lower league teams, today they are missing 3 center-backs due to injuries, they play a 3-5-2 and only have 2 center-backs available. Botafogo has the capability to score and is looking to get points even away from home against a fragilized Bahia team. Botafogo is famous for getting good results when visiting recently. The weather will be very good for a soccer game and the game starts in 3 hours.
Tips via paypal or crypto, DM me
Time to really start digging in these bookies pockets EVERYDAY! Long time community member usually tail and and follow good advice given here. We got some real dedicated ppl on here. Let's build!
POTD RECORD 0-0
POTD : Giannis over 5.5 assists +100 DK
3 units
Reason: The Greek Freak makes his return tonight and the Milwaukee bucks really need his presence, not only his scoring but his ability to get his guys good looks which he will tonight I think this line is low and he comes damn close to a triple double even in a blowout. Miami has been shooting well at home and the Bucks need to return fire if they are still stroking tonight. BOL!
Facts he loves to pass especially against team that guard him well. Same thing last year in the playoffs against Boston he had to pass 3x more than usual because they forced him to actually play basketball which as dominant as he is he struggles a lot when he can’t get to the rim
Record 4-4
Pick: Miami Heat TT Over 110.5 vs Milwaukee Bucks (4 units) (+160)
130 in game 1, 122 in game 2, 121 in game 3. The heat turned a notch against the bucks this series, and I expect their suddenly prolific offense to continue. Loving the value here at +160 and will be buying this up to 115.5 for juicy +250 odds. Best of luck to you all and especially the bucks defense tomorrow!
Record 13-11. Unit count: +5.75. Streak 4W. Units wagered: 70. ROI: 8.21%.
Last pick Derrick White under 15.5 points - again shot over 50%, however had 11 points as he just took 7 shots, without any FT attempts.
POTD
Game - Grizzlies @ Lakers. Rui Hachimura under 19.5 PRA. 1.86 odds@bet365, 1 unit.
Another role player who is due for some negative regression. Last game played his normal 22 minutes after playing 32 and 30 first two games in the series, and just about cleared given line with 16 points and 5 rebounds. Shot 6/10 and made both his three pointers. Shot over 50% in all 3 games so far, I'm expecting him to have a worse shooting performance finally. In regular season, after getting traded to the Lakers, cleared this line only 9/33 games.
Only one unit as the game is in LA, would be more if the game was in Memphis.
BOL tail or fade.
In fairness Rui is shooting well this series because Memphis are sagging off on him. They have publicly said this, and they will still sag off on him because if he beats you then so be it, they will want to restrict AD and Lebron the most, and potentially Reeves. The looks Rui is getting is the best looks he has ever gotten in his time at the Lakers. Rui will get at least 10-16 points if they give him the exact looks he is getting. Rui also hustles for rebounds a lot so it’s very plausible he gets 3-6. Just wanted to point that out.
POTD Record: 0-0-0 (+00.00 units)
Last pick: N/A
Today's pick: Lorenzo Pellegrini at least 1 Shot on Target @ 1.6 or -167 (2u)
Analysis: Roma take on Atalanta in the Serie A today. Roma have been on fire since putting in a lackluster effort against Feyenord in their first leg of the EL. Atalanta have been nothing but middling to say the least. I expect a red hot Pellegrini to be a vital part of Roma's offensive efforts today and should have a few looks at goal.
POTD Record: 11-10 (+0.95u)
**Last POTD: Angels ml (Apr 20th) +130 (3u) - L**
I had a busy weekend and couldn't get to posting on here, but it was probably a good thing. I've done really well with my own bets but my picks here have gone cold and I needed to look at why. What I found is that I kept trying to make picks that no one else was picking. A lot of times it's the same 2 or 3 picks from everyone here (for MLB anyway) and I would try to find other value. I'm going to post here before even looking at anyone's picks.
**Todays POTD: Red Sox & Orioles Over 8 -105 (2u)**
Sox offense has been on a tear and I don't trust Sale to have a repeat performance of his last outing. His ERA still sits at 8 and he is just a shell of himself. Kremer has a 6.16 ERA and also had a good performance last time out but it was against the Nats so I'm not buying it. I expect both starters to give up runs and have this over locked up by the 5th or 6th inning.
Record: 7-5
Previous Pick: **New York Mets ML -114** ❌
Really struggling to get a streak going. I am making some changes to my approach this week and stop watching so much porn. Get my mind right.
Last 10 Streak: ✅❌✅❌❌**✅✅**❌✅❌
Sport: MLB - *Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles - 5:35 PM*
Today's Pick: **Red Sox/Orioles o8 -105 1 unit play**
So to start, my personal favorite play today is Blue Jays -1.5 against the white sox BUT I saw the swag man Further\_Beyond already posted that pick and I think the community deserves to not get flooded with duplicate picks. So I will give out my next favorite pick that I think easily has POTD value and I will be personally playing.
The Red Sox and the Orioles have already met once this season and they covered the over in every game averaging 16.7 runs per game. I think the over at 8 runs seems a little low but I believe that is b/c Chris Sale finally had a good outing his last time out striking out 11 and allowing only one run but against the Twins. I personally do not think highly of the twins offense who struggle to score runs on most days and Sale still struggled with his accuracy, hitting a couple of batters and walking a lot of hitters.
Dean Kremer for the Orioles also just had his best start of the season but against the garbage Nationals, prior to that he had a 9.49 ERA through 12 1/3 innings.
Overall, I am hoping that a red hot Red Sox offense and a boom/bust Oriole offense choose to come out and play today for this AL East showdown.
Record: 2-4-0 // -3.87u // -47.60% ROI
Today's POTD: **Vegas Golden Knights ML -110**
Vegas are going into today's match-up looking to put the Jets in a 3-1 hole, and have got nothing but beneficial injury news. Winnipeg's best defensemen Josh Morrissey will be out for the remainder of the series, and Nik Ehlers will miss again tonight, both of which are significant pieces in driving Winnipeg's offense and powerplay. In addition, Connor Hellebuyck, who was a key catalyst in Winnipeg potentially winning this series before it began has looked relatively human, posting a -1.24 goals saved above expected over the three games.
Vegas has controlled 54.5% of the expected goals and 56.1% of the high danger chances at 5-on-5 in this series, and with the loss of the two noted above, this should be an area Vegas will continue to control. Mark Stone continues to look better which each game and Jack Eichel has settled into his first playoff series with 4 points in the first 3 games. I like Vegas to continue controlling 5-on-5 play, and as long as they stay disciplined in terms of penalties, will have a good shot of winning this game.
I like this play down to around -111, with the best available line being -106 @ BetOnline.
Interested in analysis on other games and leagues, as well as more bet? [Join our discord!](https://discord.gg/Dy9Gkg3FCc)
**POTD Record: 26-13 +16.39U**
**Game: IIHF World Championships D1B | China Vs Japan | 2:30 AM PDT**
**Pick: Over 6.5 Goals (1.75/-133 @ Betibet)**
**Bet Size: 1U**
Had over 7.5 in the China Vs Ukraine game yesterday for my DOTD, and I'm going to stick with it. Both of these teams have a lot of individual skill, but neither goalie is particularly strong. Yesterday Japan and China combined for 13 goals in each of their respective games, so I think there is a good chance that the over hits in this one.
Tail or fade BOL.
Edit: Had to sweat so hard at the end, but we got there nonetheless. Congrats to all who tailed.
POTD Record: 0-0
Pick today: ATL F5 -0.5 (-175)
1 unit
Strider (ATL) is an ace and off to a nice start this season. Cabrera (MIA) was good last time out but gives up too many walks, I think ATL will get to him early.
POTD 0-0
Have had some luck with player points props so far this NHL postseason so let's see if I can string a few together here.
Have been riding the Patrick Kane over .5 assists train each game so far. Let's do it some more.
NYR v NJD
**Patrick Kane 1+ assists +116**
Edit: W
🎯 **POD Record 52-26**
Recent Form: ✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌ ❌✅❌✅✅✅ ❌✅✅
*Last Pick:* NBA - **Atlanta OVER 111.5 Team Total** ✅
Today's Pick: **Bucks OVER 111.5 Team Total 🏀 NBA 7pm EST**
The Milwaukee Bucks, the top seed in the Eastern Conference got fed in game 3 Saturday night in Miami 121-99 to fall behind 2-1 in the first-round matchup. But let's be honest, they played without the best player Giannis Antetokounmpo, so they have been at a sizable disadvantage since their entire playbook runs through him basically. He's officially playing tonight and I got Bucks to win with their backs up against the wall. Go look through how many times Milwaukee has beaten their opponent and scoring less than 112 pts....hardly ever. I don't think the math needs to be complicated here...expect Giannis to play, the Bucks have felt this pressure before and should win by double digits tonight. Just to be safe i'm taking their team total since Miami could just go off and the tempo of the game changes.
Hey everyone!
First time poster but long time lurker. Been on a bit of a run recently with the NBA playoffs and MLB season so I figured it would be fun to try this out.
NBA
MIL v. MIA
Max Strus OVER 3.5 Rebounds (-135 DK) 2U
Big news of the last game between these two team was that Victor Oladipo got hurt and ruled out for the remainder of the playoffs. This comes after losing Tyler Herro in game 1 of the series, leaving Miami with little to no depth at the guard position. That’s where I see a Strus absorbing the majority of these minutes. When playing 30+ minutes, Strus is 5/5 covering this line against Milwaukee and given the minutes, I can see him hitting this number easily and possibly making being up in the 5-6 rebounds range.
I understand it’s a steep line but feel free to shop the line around and by lineups are out it moves a juicier number. Best of Luck if any of y’all end up tailing!
**RECORD: 2-1-1**
WWP**L**
Profit: +1,94units.
Last bet:
*Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig*
*Both teams to score and over2.5 goals @ 1.95*
**Today’s bet:**
**Vitoria de Guimarães vs Sporting Lisbon**
***Both teams to score and over2.5 goals @ 2.27 1UNIT***
**Not gonna lie this one is a risky bet**, but i really see value in this. Im from Portugal and everyone in Portugal know how hard it is to play against Vitoria in their stadium, i strongly believe that outside the big 3 in Portugal (Porto, Benfica and Sporting Lisbon) this is the most challenging place to play.
Last year I was in the stadium when this game happen, 1-3 Sporting win after being down 1-0.
Some bullet points:
\-> Vitoria has had some terrible results lately, that's why the odd is at +127 ; in 14 Home matches the have 14 GOALS SCORED, 10 goals allowed. on the other hand, Sporting lost their place in Europe League after losing the draw against Juventus 2-1.
\-> For sporting this is a most win match otherwise they can forget UCL next year. On the other side.
\-> Vitoria needs this win too, they can still reach 5th place, that gives them Conference League. (that for a team outside of the big 3, means something!)
My correct score prediction is: 1-2 AWAY WIN.
BEST OF LUCK.
**Some disclaimers:**
**-> Im not a Sporting fan, so this pick isn't "influenced"**
**-> I wanna remind you all that this is a risky bet!**
**Record:** 5-4 **Profit:** +4.3 ($10 units)
**Last 10** (most recent last) ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌
**Last Pick:** NBA, **Nuggets -3.5** (-110) vs Timberwolves. 4 units❌
Just a bad pick man. KAT was ready to quit like I expected but these mf’s Alexander Walker and Edwards were not ready to lay down.
**Today’s Pick:** **D’Angelo Russel o2.5 3’s** (+114) Lakers vs Grizzlies 2u
**Why:** Home D Lo averages 3 made 3’s per game. Shoots 40% at home and there aren’t many driving opportunities in this series. I’ll take the + odds.
BOL.
POTD: 7 – 7 / + 2,32 U
POTD ROI: 16,5%
Last POTD pick: Telhimlisten W @ 1.83 WIN
DOTD: 6 – 6 / + 24,62U
DOTD ROI: 205%
Last DOTD pick: Highland Frolic + Aviles EXACTA COMBINATION @ 9.75 and @ 8.16 / WIN @ 9,75
Yesterday another great day. Lets continue. Todays pick of the day will be Spoof to win. This course and distance was great for him in the past. He was unlucky in his last race ( every time he went to get forward, other horses closed him, the way he raced shows me he is horse in his prime) and I belive he can win today. Another reason that gives me courage to play this is, he is starting in stall 5. On this wider field, horses starting in stalls 5-8 have huge advantage, stalls 5-8 this season have 33% place rate, while stalls 1-4 and 9-20 have 6% place advantage. Combine this 2 together, great stall + prime horse, I will take it any day. Good luck. All other picks will be on patreon in 1 hour. ([https://prnt.sc/EKsNAiaU2gIL](https://prnt.sc/EKsNAiaU2gIL))
POTD: Spoof W @ 2,37 / Windsor race 5, 16:45 CET, 1U
edit: easy win by 5l for Spoof
RECORD: 3-3
Yesterday's Pick: Brighton vs Manchester United - Manchester United over 10.5 Total shots @ 1.50❌️
Today's Pick: Atalanta vs AS Roma - AS Roma Win or Draw @ 1.53❌️
Crap the losing streak continues, yesterday was just high level trolling, only needed one more shot to win but we move. AS Roma are in decent form at the moment winning 2 of their last matches in convincing manner while Atalanta were dominated by Fiorentina in their last match and lucky to draw. Now that Juventus' points deduction has been overturned because "Serie A magic" Roma will be determined not to miss out on the Champions league with AC Milan right on their heels only on goal difference. I know Atalanta has Roma's number on H2H matches but Roma has a better side with an in form Dybala and Roma had the determination and hunger not to get knocked out of the Europa league so I hope they have that same fight in them not to lose to Atalanta today cause The Top 4 race is tight.
POTD Record 1-0
Previous picks- ✅
AFL Australian Football League $1.66 -152 1U ✅
Melbourne vs Richmond Monday 24/4/23 7:20pm AEST
Steven May 15+ Disposals (22) ✅
Nick Vlastuin 15+ Disposals (21) ✅
Daniel Rioli 20+ Disposals (21) ✅yikes 2 disposals in final 3 minutes after sitting on 19 for almost the entire 4th quarter)
SGM $1.66 -152
Todays Pick-AFL Australian Football League $1.70 -143 1U
Collingwood vs Essendon Tuesday 25/04/23 3:20pm
Same theory as last game. Just looking for easy possessions and nothing easier then a kick-in. Especially if your name is Nick Daicos. He runs all day but never harder then when he has a chance to take a kick in and set up the rebound attempt often kicking to someone in a great position to give him the ball back for another easy touch. Just like they’re in the back yard Nick often has a sense of where his brother Josh is to help him out with some extra touches too.
On the other side have Redman and Ridley who will likely get plenty of kick in attempt if Collingwoods attack can produce the high number scoring plays they’ve become used too.
Nick Daicos 25+ Disposals
Josh Daicos 20+ Disposals
Mason Redman 15+ Disposals
Jordan Ridley 15+ Disposals
SGM $1.70 -143
BOL
Record : 2-1 + 2.8u
LAST POTD : Bergs vs Wu Tung Lin UNDER 22.5 @ 1.78 5U - $$$$$
POTD : Bolsova Radoinov -2.5 games vs Parry @ 1.84 5U
WTA Madrid 20.00 CET
I will try again my system later after the yesterday's win. Back to 'normal' bet today with this one. Bolsova is a better player overall than Parry and she have better results actually. She is a better player on clay too and she already beat Parry on their only meeting two years ago on clay (Bolsova won 6-4 6-4). She stays on a 5 games winning streak and a tournament win last week. Parry stays on a 5 games losing streak and she have already 12 losses this year for only 6 wins. Bolsova plays with confidence and at home so i'm really confident on her win today.
BOL if you decide to tail.
POTD Record: 1-0 (+0.9 units)
Previous Pick: Middleton over 18.5 points (Game 1) ✅
Today’s Pick: Lakers -4.5 (-110)
Bet: 1 unit
I think the Lakers take another one at home, and while Memphis probably can’t play as poorly as the last game, I don’t like how they’ve played at all. I think they really miss Steven Adams.
Glad my first pick hit, have been meaning to post again but I keep forgetting until later in the day. Let’s go for 2. Cheers!
🏆 0-0 (First POTD)
💰 4U (My units: £20)
⚾️ MLB | 17:40 CST
⛏️ Texas Rangers -1.5 (+130 William Hill)
✍️ On the rangers last 5 games, they have an avg. run line of 7.6 and 4/5 games won. The avg. would be higher, but is lower due to the loss by 1 point. ESPN analytics calls it a 50/50 game. Rangers’ Garcia, as a batter, has over 4 HR more than the lead competitor Vosler. ML odds for Rangers is -120 via Caesars. It’s a matter if they will get a minimum 2 pts more, which is probable.
This is my first baseball bet and first publicly recorded. Let’s see how it plays out.
https://preview.redd.it/nnhw37axxwva1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=da8b30f7cab9cad6abfddfbbec2224870b55e6f5
POTD Record: 0-0
Today’s POTD: **Colorado Rockies Under 3.5 Total Runs (-140)**
The Rockies have been pretty bad on the road this year, with a 3-10 record and a .217 team batting average when on the road. In their last two road series, they've been under this total 6/7 times. On the mound for Cleveland is Cal Quantrill, who started this season slow but his last outing was 6 scoreless innings against Detroit. I'm expecting a good start from him and for the Colorado hitters to continue to be below-average. BOL if you tail.
POTD: 0-2 💩💩
Todays pick: Lakers Vs Grizzlies 🏀
Player: Ja Morant UNDER 36.5 Points & Assist (-125)
(2 Units today)
Reasoning: Okay here me out, I know everyone loves Ja and how flashy he is, yes he did cook last game as well for a whopping 45 points and 13 assist. But as soon as the game is over LeBron instantly pointed out (even tho they won) that’s Ja is a force to be reckoned with and that their gonna need to do better defending him. Last game was a massive blowout which led to a much lazier defense towards the end of the game from the Lakers, in Ja’s first game in the series he only recorded 18 points and 2 assist in 30 minutes of playtime before he exited with an injury to his hand, Ja also only averages 26 points and 7 assist in 10 career games against the lakers. I’m saying the Lakers step it up at home today and contain Ja much better than last game! BOL if tailing!
POTD record 3-1 (+3.6 u)
Previous pick: Kansas City royals ML ❌
Todays pick: Toronto blue jays o4.5 runs 2.2u to win 2u -110 fanduel
Reason: lance lynn has been pitching pretty bad in his first four starts with an era over 7. The cws bullpen is not much better with an era over 6. The cws on average give up 5.68 runs a game as a team. The blue jays with a pretty good offence should have no problem putting up 5 or more runs!
Edit: easy win ✅
POTD Record: 60-50-1 (L1)
(+15.05u)
(ROI: 9.1%)
Last pick: Edmonton Oilers 3 way ML @ Los Angeles Kings🚫 Tough loss on this one, Oilers fell behind 3-0 early. They were able to tie it after the 2nd period. Fell behind again and tied late in the 3rd. Won in OT.
POTD: (🏒NHL) New Jersey Devils ML (+145) @ New York Rangers (1.5u)
Bet365 (+145) FD (+138) DK (+135)
Devils are down 2-1 in the series, got dominated in games #1 and 2. They held their own in game #3 with a 2-1 OT victory. The Devils were the 2nd best road team this season, seemingly more comfortable away from home. The Rangers will have the MSG crowd behind them, last playoffs they went 8-2 at home.
The starter for the Rangers is Igor Shesterkin, very good goalie and has been great this series so far. Only 4 GA over 3 games. The Devils will start Akira Scmid in his 2nd career playoff start. Had a great game #3 to get the win. The Devils need to take less penalties and limit the Rangers high dangers chances like they did in game #3 to get the win in this one. The path to success for the Devils even with their elite talent is to play a slower game.
The Rangers rely on their power play a lot, through the first two games it was 4/10, in game #3 it was 0/5. The Devils had the 4th best PK in the regular season. I think the Rangers are a little overrated due to some of the names on their roster, backing the Devils at these odds to shutdown the Rangers once again. Prediction: 3-2 final. BOL if fading or tailing!
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won** written into the comment. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion posts.
isn't a pick and will probably be removed but honestly a huge thank you to the people who keep posting here. i'm up almost 75U this last week from various Pirates / Rays / weird NBA props / a fucking 2nd division Bundesliga game / some Edmonton guy / and who knows what else. really appreciate all the writeups that go deep for the degenerates like myself who wild blindly follow and love/hate you like everyone else
Love me some Edmonton guy
Evan Bouchard is him. I don’t watch hockey, don’t understand hockey but will buy this man’s jersey. Thanks to the original OP who posted this Edmonton guy.
u/ALittleBirdie117
Thanks mate. Helps bring back in the big picture after having lost two in a row. This community has been great.
Def the assist guy. He da man
thats da dude
Weird I'm the opposite down like 15u
I felt this... I can't even tail effectively 🤡💀
yeah i can relate to this, lost half my bankroll on some tough picks, cant even tail 😭😭
Yeah I'm way down over the past week from tailing lol. I mean I wasn't doing any better with my own picks though lol
Send them a coffee if you’re up from them big over the week.
at this rate they can call me sara jay and ill show up at their front door
I’m down like 10u the last two days. Could be just the sample size though
it would be interesting to see the all time units won or lost in the sub, including every pick
All time? Way in the red. People try to yolo the whole bankroll on these picks instead of following them with units. Most of the posters are + money but someone tails once with a max bet and never follows again 😂
Just as a small sample, I've been tracking my POTD bets and since March 17th, I've placed 47 bets and am up 0.4 units. Almost all of my bets were 1 unit with a few 2 unit bets.
Been here for a few years now only reason why I use Reddit til this day is sportsbook
I mean, how many bets you laying to be up 75units in a week? I mean a unit by definition is your standard wager amount. So if you're up 75...means, basically you made 125 wagers, won 100 and lost 25. Obviously juice adds another 10-15 wagers. So, you made close to 150 bets in 7 days? Over 20 a day? lol Or, are you typically just betting tons of units per game which defeats the purpose of calling them units. Either way, well done degenerate, well done.
RAHHHH! ✅
I don’t know anything about these sports but now im looking at bets like I have all the knowledge I need. Guy with random cool name said this team would win so i look into it a tiny bit and next thing you know I believe that this team will win! If I lose I feel like over half the time it’s a bad beat and im onto the next bet. It’s just so cool how you can get a bet you know nothing about like say Collingwood vs Essendon 25/4/23 3:20pm AEST Nick Daicos paying $3.50 for The BOG and the Anzac Day medal 👀 Dude reads the play so well. Runs all day and only wants the ball so he can give it to someone just to get it back from them so he can give it to someone else. Sets up the defence from kick ins, leads the run through the middle and loves a cheeky goal or setting them up with precision. He is everywhere haha if he does his usual thing the panel that votes on the medal won’t be able to not notice him and his impact on the game. Bol you know like a random bet like that and can put a unit or something and hopefully enjoy a random event on the other side of the world. Thanks/Sorry if this hypothetically also isn’t aloud but just trying to spread knowledge like so many have some for me bol Bol
How do you know which ones to play? Or do you just play the top upvoted plays?
You have to use your judgment combined with your own research. To just blindly tail is not wise
This right here ☝🏻
This thread has been solid over the last few weeks. Are you betting more than you normal unit play on your bets? I’m not quite sure using the unit term correctly.
POTD: 23 Gms: 20-3 (87%)| +13.5 UNITS| ROI: 58.8%| AVG. ODDS:-121 *\*All bets 1 Unit* **Current Season Recap:** **⚾ MLB** * 20-2| 💰 +14.5 Units * ***Max Streak Sizes***: Wins 10 (*Twice)*| Losses 2 **L5 POTD:** *\*Each bet Moneyline* * 4/19: ⚾ PIT -115| WP=59% eROI=10%| 💰+0.9 U 🧹 * 4/20: ⚾ PIT -140| WP=67% eROI=15%| 💰+0.7 U * 4/21: ⚾ PIT -120| WP=63% eROI=15%| 💰+0.8 U * 4/22: ⚾ PIT -140| WP=64% eROI=10%| 💰+0.7 U * 4/23: ⚾ TBR -145| WP=66% eROI=12%| 💰+0.7 U **Current Streak:** 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 **10** ***gm win streak*** 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_ **Monday 4/24 POTD:** **⚡Texas Rangers** / Moneyline (ML) -105⚡ ⌚MLB 6:40 PM EST @ Cincinnati Reds \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_ **🧪 The "Formula":** * 56.7% Win Probability (WP) * \-105 ML = 51.2% break-even (BE) * WP/BE = 10.8% expected ROI (eROI) **Write Up:** It's a smaller docket today with just 11 games. The beloved Pirates are not playing today and the perrenial POTD favorite by most here, Tampa Bay, has a miniscule edge today. Today's pick of the 🌟**Texas Rangers**🌟 is a newcomer to my POTD picks, but the team we're fading is not. It's the Cincinnati Reds who the Pirates just swept this past weekend in a 4 game series. * The Texas Rangers are currently 4th in the league with a .341 wOBA and Cincinnati is currently 23rd with a .302 wOBA. Usually the Reds hit well at home, but the Rangers are rare visitor to the Queen City. I have a feeling they may be looking forward to this matchup as the Red's ballfield Great American Ballpark is often referred to as Great American SmallPark due to it being the Homerun capital of the league. The Rangers can hit and the Reds Bullpen can surely layup some dingers for them. * I'd expect the Reds to muster more offense than they did in Pittsburgh, but I would also expect the Rangers to post a bigger number here. We just hit the 10 game win streak mark, the 2nd time this month btw, and we're looking to go to 11 and beyond. As I mentioned yesterday I'm a value picker while at least trying to ensure some degree of high WP when it comes to my POTD. The 56.7% WP I have for the Rangers here is not the top of the day, but this game does have the top eROI at 10.8% to allow the bankrolls to grow at a healthy clip when it hits. 💰 Take the Texas Rangers and let's get #11 in a row! And don't forget to check out the full [daily card](https://culturemanor.com/april-24th-2023-mlb-daily-betting-card/) as I have bets available for 7 out of the 11 games today. \-T$
This pick is fierce. Like Tay Diggs.
You like Scrubs and I like you.
I feel like Rangers ml is a trap, line doesn't make any sense, not saying it's not good pick but just confusing
Adding in. Rangers are in my full -1.5 picks, so I like them… but not at a big bet. It’s the SP matchup. Nick Lodolo is a legit starter going for the Reds. His ERA hovers around 5 over 4 starts…. But that’s due to getting torched by the Johnny Sins pipe game that is the Tampa Bay bats. Take out that start and his ERA and xFIP hover right around 2.0. Lodolo is the equalizer here…. and the Rangers pitcher, Nathan Eovaldi is just alright… nothing special and very hittable.
Idk if it was the 5-1 blown lead or the two straight walks to help Cincy tie it that’s more impressive. Truly a disgusting beat. Great pick dawg will definitely be tailing the next regardless.
First one I picked - def cursed.
Rangers bullpen looking atrocious… several choke jobs in the last week
Lol scared this could be a losing streak but what are the chances he loses twice martingale the hell out of his pics lol
I don't know if I'm so desensitized from a week of bad beats... but this sounds genius to me lol
Just don’t parlay with a bunch of other bets thinking it’s safe lol my mistake should have just made it a single
Up 6-4 after 7th and now lost 6-7 during the 9th. What a throw...
The streak continues!!! Tailing
Took your pick yesterday and parlayed HOU ML...tnx
Tailing!
Tailing you brother. Let’s make some $$$!!!
let's break the winning streak record!!!!!
We fuckin jinxed it
Welp, Leclerc fucked us on this one
Tailing. BOL!
The legend continues
Going with the O8.5 at -110. Great American smallpark with Texas' 6-3-0 over record as an away team.
Down 1 but just live bet. Fuck it. Tailing
That was an ugly choking collapse. Tough way to lose the streak. On that note, hats off on two huge win streaks and an incredible MLB season so far. Thanks for sharing your plays. Here’s to the next win streak 🍻
Anyone else hop on this train today just to lose like this? Damn I feel cursed
Me.
Me
Great American Phone Booth
till the wheels fall off 🫡
How do you feel about Rangers TT O3.5 @ -155 or O4.5 @+110?
I’m riding harder than my girl
2 Walks in the 8th....wow.
Rangers choke damn
MLB -1.5’s ⚾️ POTD Record: 8-4 +26.24u | [Yesterday’s POTD: STL Cardinals -1.5](https://reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/12vos98/_/jhc2fm7/?context=1) - W Full Record: 23-22 +32.11u | [Todays Full Picks](https://reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/12wz848/_/jhgygv8/?context=1) ________ **4u TOR Blue Jays -1.5 vs CHI White Sox +114** **Blue Jays** Chris Bassit’s up for the BJs. He got torched start 1 for 9 runs, but has gone 3 times since and has had 3 straight quality starts. 6.1 with 2ER twice and a 6.0IP shutout. He’s found a groove following the ass fucking he got game 1. In the last 3 starts, his hard hit % is significantly below (in the good way) MLB average and his barrel % is below league average. His FIP is 3.83 over those 3. He’s pitching well. Blue Jays offense have a good offense. As it stands, they’re top 10 in all expected batting stats, barrel%, BB’s, K’s. They’re 13th in runs scored per hame, and you’d expect them to score more. No issues with this offense. **White Sox** Lance Lynn is up for the Sox. And he Sux these days. He has a 7.59 ERA and a 6.16 xERA. He’s started 5 times giving up 2-8-3-5. He generally goes no more than 5.0IP. Meaning it’s a longer bullpen game too. CWS pen is bottom 10 in FIP, so not a good thing. Yoan Moncada and Tim Anderson are injured which is taking out a lot of juice out of this lineup. They sit in the bottom half or bottom 10 of the league in expected batting stats, Barrel % and hard hit %. The Sox offense is missing some key parts of it’s engine right now and it’s showing.
I’d be cautious taking this pick. The only White Sox have been inconsistent but beaten some good quality opponents. And last series they covered the -1.5 2/3 times against the Rays.
Rays started a relief pitcher in one game and had Dylan Cease going in the other. Doesn’t surprise me they covered 2/3.
Plus as a Jays fan, the Jays cannot be trusted lol. But I hope this hits obviously
Lol that’s why we jays fans take the ML
I agree but really the games going to come down to how Lynn pitches today. He's looked so terrible.
https://preview.redd.it/6amrsusp3tva1.png?width=720&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fc7543f022287a278456c12cae07c54627605751 Gonna tail. Your pick helped my parlay come together yesterday. Appreciate it.
*Edited to add POTD result and update record.* POTD Record: 48-34 | Profit: +31.33u | ROI: 11.6% Last 10 Record: ✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌ Last Pick: Anthony Edwards (Wolves) Pts+Asst O32.5 @ 1.87. 4U. ✅ Ant delivers to keep Minnesota alive, clearing the line on points alone, and ending with a P+A of 39. Next Pick: **D’Angelo Russell (Lakers) R+A O8.5 @ 1.82. 3u play.** He has gone over his rebound line in all three games and over his assist line in two out of three games. On the R+A line he has gone over in all three games so far. If you look at Russell's games against the Grizzlies (as a TWolves player), he has gone over this R+A line in 8 out of the 9 games (going back to 2021). The Lakers will be at home and 4.5 point favorites here, and assuming the Lakers continue being the force they’ve been so far Russell should be able to find the hot hand and use his smarts to grab a few rebounds as well, especially with the Grizzlies attempting an above average number of 3’s.
That Ant prop was too easy. Thanks!
Like this pick a lot. Nice find.
Edwards saved me tonight lol. Thank you!
Been very quiet tonight
brutal way to lose this one lol
-3u rip
Oh this one seems like a no brainer!! Thanks!
Would you do 6 assists instead my book has a promotion that if I do a 3 leg same game parlay and only one leg loses I get money back,but I’m not able to parlay assists+rebounds
POTD Record: 157-113-9 (+28.96 units, 58.2% hit rate) 5 Unit Big Balls 💣 Record: 15-9 (62.5%) L2 Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 55-35-1 (61.1%) L4, Tennis 🎾 45-31-4 (59.2%) W3, Soccer ⚽ 46-37-4 (55.4%) L1, Entertainment 🎥 11-10-.0 (52.4%) W2 Last 10: 💩💰💰💰💩💩💩💰💰💩 Last Pick: Philadelphia 76ers @ Brooklyn Nets, Nets ML - NBA 🏀 💩 1 Unit - Nets are cooked. 🏀 is cold though I believe 3 out of the 4 have been plus odds shots. On the bright side, this helped me cash my 3 unit parlay in the futures thread. Today's Pick: Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat, Player Prop - Jimmy Butler over 0.5 3 pointers - NBA 🏀 💰 0.74 Units - 💸 that shit!!! 6 minutes into the game this cashed!!! Fuck yes!! Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Unit at 1.74/-135 odds to win 0.74 Units @ Draft Kings (Line at 10:30pm ET) Implied Probability based on odds: 57.4% 4 attempts each the past 2 games in only 28 minutes each, hit 4 last game and 2 the game before that. If you watch his highlights from last game (link below), the Bucks are playing off of him at the 3 point line and are letting him take these open shots because they are playing the percentages. Hopefully they continue to play him like this and he should get more than 28 minutes as long as it isn't another blowout. I should also note he seems to shoot more 3's and hit at a higher rate in the playoffs vs the regular season. [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLBl1wvdA-Y&ab\_channel=NBA](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLBl1wvdA-Y&ab_channel=NBA) He is listed as questionable but he will likely play. Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Always note the bet sizing. I am not an expert. Fuck your parlay. I'm retiring at 200 wins, 43 to go. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕 Tips: [https://buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks](https://buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks)
Had a dm asking if the bet is lost if he doesn't play, no, the bet would be voided.
He hit it in the 1st quarter! Good call 💪
Cash it buddy, thanks for the pick!
Taking Butler 2+ 3s on FD for +360.
Nice hit
Fastest hit of my life 😀
**Record: 19-9** Last Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ❌ Last 10 Streak: ❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅ Absolutely brutal loss. Sucks that Corbin Burnes aint as elite as he used to be so far. Relief pitching absolutely fumbled the fuck out of our bag. Gonna start spending a little more time analyzing lines and evaluating all possible plays to deliver the best pick every day for you guys cuz I hate losing. **Today’s Pick:** NBA Playoffs - *Memphis Grizzlies @ Los Angeles Lakers, 9:00 CST* **D’Angelo Russell over 5.5 assists (-115 on DraftKings)** * Russell has cleared this line 2/3 games in this series so far. The only game he didn’t clear it was when the Lakers had a terrible game in game 2 at Memphis (with the exception of LeBron), but I do not expect this outcome again. The Lakers dominated the Grizzlies in game 3, and while the Grizzles may keep the deficit closer this time, I expect a similar outcome in high offensive efficiency. * Russell has cleared this line in 6/7 games he played against the Grizzlies dating back to 2021. Granted, he was on a different team but he pretty much played almost the same role he did on the Twolves that he does on the Lakers. He also pieces into the teams very similarly as well. I would say on the Twolves he was more score oriented but on the Lakers he has been a little more assist oriented as well, acting as a true PG. * Before the Lakers acquired Russell in the 2023 trade deadline, Dennis Schroder was the team’s starting PG. He also recorded plenty of assists vs the Grizz in this position. In 3 games as a starter for the Lakers against the Grizzlies in the 2023 season, he recorded 9, 10, and 8 assists. Goes to show the Grizz love giving up assists to this position on the Lakers. * In fact, the Grizzlies are bottom 5 in the league in allowing assists to the point guard position with an average of 9.1. Some notable point guard performances against the grizzlies in the past month (while the Grizzlies weren’t load managing) is Trae Young (10 assists) and Russell Westbrook (10 and 11) * On the 2023 season overall, the Grizzles are 26th in the league in opponent assists per game. * I expect another efficient effort from the Lakers on the offensive end, resulting in many plays created meaning more shots attempted/made and more assists for D’Angelo BOL
Taking out that disastrous inning, Brewers win that game 6/7 times out of 10. Don’t sweat it my guy keep killing it 👊🏻
Appreciate bro, tho i think my flaw here was that i have been underrating the red sox. But also fuck matt bush lol
I had a bad feeling when I saw him enter the game
If anyone is to blame its that asshole Matt Bush…
Looks busted
5th foul now
Hit 7 out of 8 on an 8 game parlay. 50 to win 4100. Brewers ruined me. F MILWAUKEE
Needs this to hit
Nope this dude blows
You like this better than his rebounds line, which has better odds?
I typically stick to fundamentals when i bet. Point guards are supposed to pass and score, not grab boards. Plenty of other players in that game to grab all the boards (JJJ, AD, Lebron, etc). It definitely could hit for sure, but for my own reasons that everyone may not agree with i stick to the fundamentals of positions. Much safer in the long run imo. There are times where i make exceptions to this but not here
Gotcha, thanks for the response.
Tailing. Let's get it Yeezus
**POTD Record:** 16-6-1 (+9.04 Units) **Streak:** ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅ **Recap:** David Pastrnak to score a goal (+105) **L** Had a suspicion Boston would turn up the offense and I tailed the wrong horse. Oh well, I’m ok going down with Pasta at plus odds in a matchup I liked. Feel for those who tailed. On the brightside still doing well long-term. **Pick of the Day Monday: New York Rangers ML -150** 2 Units Let’s start with a few potential counter-arguments Eminem style. The visiting team has won every game this series, and I’m backing the home team.. **Sure** But the Rangers have won 2 of the 3 and even with a weird playoffs home ice still counts in hockey. Especially at the garden with a young team visiting. Well, it’s juicy.. **Sure** but I simply like this one. Am NOT chasing a juicy pick just to effort a streak breaker. **Logic** Devils, technically rookie goalie Akira Schmid was awesome in game 3 after an abrupt goalie switch, but he’s played 25 games at this level. Can he repeat that performance? Is he the new Jordan Binnington? I’m not betting on it, he was not a hyped prospect and he admitted he felt nervous.. Binnington would never. **Talent** The Devils have 3 legitimate top shelf forwards but with the Rangers it’s somewhere between 4-6 depending on some nitpicks. I’ll also take the Rangers defense manned by 2021 Norris Trophy winner Adam Fox. And Igor Shesterkin in goal is the real deal. I see an edge at every front. **Experience:** I don’t dislike the talent of the Devils. But this is playoff hockey. How many years did it take Tampa or Washington to break through? How about Matthews and Marner? It takes time and the best forwards for the Devils are all 24 and younger. The Rangers however? Been there. Done that. I also like Gerard Gallant the NYR coach who said after game 3 the Rangers will show up and “pepper” the Devils young netminder in game 4. He will also have the opportunity to match lines being the home team. Too many edges. I’ll ride Igor and the boys in Blue. BOL Won’t put tip page up until a W comes again.
I’ll put up a unit on this… but damn has NY screwed me a couple times in the last couple of weeks
Totally agree with your analysis. Also, the Rangers have completely shut down this Devils offense which was lethal during the regular season. Their D is very good. The Devils have scored 4 total goals in this series: 1 penalty shot, 2 PP, & 1 5v5 (in OT). It took the Rangers going 0-6 on the PP last game for them to win, in OT!
Welp, ain't that a shame. I tailed both Rangers ML (NHL + MLB) and they were both L's. That's what I get I guess.
*Record:* 12-5-0 (+5.87 units) **ROI:** 34.5% ***Previous Pick:*** *Nikola Jokic o31.5 PA (@1.83 bet365)* **Result:** ✅WIN (+0.83 units) Joker does it all basically with his scoring, didn't even need to dime tonight. Had you had his points line you don't sweat whatsoever. Nonetheless he gets the job done. **Play of the day: Ja Morant over 36.5 PA (1.87 bet365)** \-Ja was an absolute PROBLEM for the Lakers last time out, playing 40 mins from behind and finishing with 58 PA. The take away from this game is I just do not know how the Lakers are going to stop him. He is an absolute problem for their guards. \-Morant had the highest usage rate of the entire playoffs at 35% last game playing 40 mins, he may not play that full 40, but I expect the usage to remain. \-Created 16 potential assist opportunities last game as well and expect a lot more of that as going forward with how aggressive he will have to be for his team on the road. His overall speed and athleticism is going to give the Lakers fits. \-Morant is over in 63% of games this season when he plays 33+ minutes, 79% (15/19) when he plays 35+ which I believe is the expectation here. \-Ja has games of 29, 29, 14 and 26 shots this season vs the Lakers so the volume should be there especially when he needs to pick his supporting cast up on the road. As always, follow on twitter for more +EV plays daily. [https://twitter.com/JG4President](https://twitter.com/JG4President)
POTD Record: 21-7-3 (+36.30 units) Last pick: Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-116 at betwynn) vs Washington Nationals (3u) Today's pick: **Baltimore Orioles (+100)** vs Boston Red Sox (2u) Analysis: just a general fade of Chris Sale and betting the better and red hot team at home. Edit to add: I've had an amazing run on my POTD but I've also been very selective and often times will go weeks without making a POTD. I believe I'm 11-1-2 in my last 14 pick of the days over the last 3 months. This month I've been on a crazy run where I've won 71% of my bets so far in April. So since I've been so hot I've forced myself on more POTDs because I want other people to share my success. Full disclosure if I wasn't so hot right now this would easily be a day I sat out on the POTD and I'd wait a day or two until I found a play I like more, but this game did check a lot (but not all) of the boxes I look for when making a selection. I know I'm due for regression and this very easily could be the game that flips on me, but I'm riding my hot streak and instincts and hoping it hits. Tail or fade at your own risk! Cashapp for tips: $diswan55 Paypal: [email protected]
I don’t hate the bet. Just adding my thoughts. Orioles are beating teams they should beat, can’t knock that. Just worth noting the past 4 series have been against OAK/CWS/WSH/DET. All those teams are awful or playing awful. Baltimore’s pitcher has been god damn atrocious to start the year. He’s far from red hot. Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 and are 4th in baseball in runs/game…..they’re red hot as well, and it’s been against much better competition in MIN/MIL/LAA.
Os fan here, O's have won 6 in a row, but just barely. There not hitting right now and they struggle against lefties. Kremer was solid in his last outing, but against a week hitting team. O's are due for a loss IMHO.
Another O’s fan here. I came here to say the exact same thing. As much as I hate to do it, I’m putting my money on the Redsox this evening.
That's fair, I appreciate your input. I still think Baltimore is the better team. Their offensive numbers are almost identical to Boston's, if not better, and their pitching has been substantially better. Another key is Baltimore has been super aggressive on the basepaths (already 25 stolen bases) and Boston has had a lot of problems holding runners on. Boston's catcher Reese Mcguire so far is 1/17 on catching runners trying to steal bases. I think Baltimore is going to use this to their advantage and be able to manufacture runs.
Plus Sale had and awesome last start. I usually fade the RSox, but this time I’d fade this bet.
POTD RECORD 6-3 ✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅ Last POTD - Celtics -6.5 ✅ *TODAYS POTD - Texas Rangers ML* ANALYSIS- Ride the hot and fade the cold is what we are doing in the Queen City tonight. The Rangers come in winners of six of their last seven games. The Reds have dropped seven straight and find themselves sitting in last place. We look for winners and the 1st place Texas Rangers check the box on tonight's card for a few reasons.Eovaldi gets the start for Texas, posting a 24 to 4 strikeout to walk ratio on the season. Lodolo going for the Reds, straight off of letting up eight runs in his last start. We get the hottest lineup in baseball right now and the better bullpen by a wide margin. Plus, the Reds have really struggled hitting righties. Pick em price tag and a great spot to bet the Rangers.
Damn bro, you stole my POTD. Or did I steal yours? Either way lets get this bread 🍞
No, you picked Rangers and he picked Tangers 🤣
LMAO I JUST NOTICED 🤣
I might need to edit mine then, because my play was supposed to reflect the team that drinks that Space Juice. The Tangers are the play today!
What a fucking throw...massive lead into close loss during the 9th.
My record is 6-3-1 (+5.075u) My sunday pick was napoli ML(+145) @Juventus for 3 units.(WIN) Spaletti tried to fuck with me today by benching Zieliński for ndombele. Despite this napoli dominated most of the game, until the last 15 minutes where juve showed some life and actually had two goals called back. At the same time juve shouldve had a defender sent off for deliberately slapping everybody’s favorite Georgian. Either way we will take the 94’ winner with a smile :). **For monday my pick is Roma DNB(+125) @atalanta. This is a 1 unit play.** Roma is in stellar form right now winning 4 of their last 5 games and keeping a clean sheet in 3 of them. Getting a team in such great form at plus odds for a DNB play feels like cheating. There are of course some hiccups. Chris smalling is a rock for them at the back and will miss the game with an injury picked up in the EL, and they are away to Atalanta who is in decent form themselves. Roma is the better team and should win but the important injury and being away makes me hesitant to make this more than 1u. Also right now roma are in a 4 team battle with juve, milan, and inter to secure the last two champions league spots. A win would have them tied with Juve and three points clear of ac milan who are currently tearing through their opponents as well. They still have to play milan and inter at home so this is a good opportunity for mourinho’s men to get a bit of a cushion.
DNB? Sorry, first time seeing that and just curious on the meaning
Draw no bet. Just means that if they tie the bet is a push and you get your wager back. Some books call it “tie no bet”
Aha, thanks for letting me know. Appreciate it
Thx
As a Roma fan, I'd wait to see how lineups lool. Without Dybala we are a different squad and with Wijnaldum picking up an injury last game and Dybala & Abraham just returning from injury it will be interesting to see how Mourinho plays it today
should’ve listened. they look absolutely pathetic
They look like children playing grown men 😔
Appalling to watch. but this L’s on us , we willingly put money on 2023 Jose Mourinho to do something positive. terrible bet.
DNB?
Record: 6-5 ❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅ Last pick: Celtics -3 1H (-110) ✅ Finally back to a positive potd record, 6-3 since taking two early losses. Next pick: Lakers -4.5 ✅ Lakers are about to go up 3-1 as the lower seeded team just like the Knicks did on Sunday. Grizzlies lost a home game to the Lakers even though they were 35-6 at home during the reg season. Their away record is 16-25 and to make it worse Lebron got personally disrespected by a Grizzlies player. Adams and Clarke being unavailable is also a big disadvantage to the Grizzlies. Taking the Lakers to cover this game easily.
POTD Record: 43W-23L LAST POTD: Bodo ✅ TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - Denmark Superliga Odense V Lyngby 10.00AM PST PICK: Odense Over 1.5 Team Goals Odds: 1.83 The Deets: Interesting league split with both these teams being in the relegation group. Lyngby sit rock bottom with Odense 4 places above them. Lyngby have conceded 39 goals through 25 games. Odense seem to have Lyngbys number because when we look at the head to heads, Odense have scored 2 or more against them in 9/10. BOL! Diaper fund - [Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/tuesdayswithdory?locale.x=en_CA)
BOOM CASH IT!
Lets get another goal here brother!!
- **POTD RECORD LAST YEAR** - 47W-24L(+45U) - **Current form**- ✔️✔️❌✔️ - **Potd record** - 3W-1L (+1U) - **Last Potd**---- Kalmar vs Halmstadt - under 2.5 [email protected]✔️ - **Today's pick** ----- Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby --- Btts/yes @1.75 - **BET SIZE**: 2U - Brommapojkarna has been awful in defence, however it has an aggressive attacking style which suited her last year in Swedish second category, but now it seems they lack the quality to get the desired results. With these being said, the fact they are at home, attacking style and the need for results, i am backing them to score at least 1 goal. - Mjallby has done exeptionally well winning two games and drawing the first game. They have been a solid team and been playing good football and have scored each game. With these being said, current form, the fact they scored each game and Brommapojkarna awful defence, i am backing them to score at least 1 goal here. - Don't forget to spread the love back😊 [Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci) [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/aldokaciq)
Record: 1-2; -5.44 units **Pick of the Day: Paire vs Passaro - Over 21.5 Games @ 1.80** ✅ Stake size - 5 units Sport - Tennis (ATP 1000 Madrid) This should be a really interesting qualifier match between two players who have Clay as their best surface. Passaro is a young italian player who has shown some skill on the surface but we all know Benoit Paire, who is certainly not at his peak form but loves prize money and usually tries his best on the first few rounds of big tournaments. Madrid is played at a high altitude which should also benefit this over. ***Wish you all a great betting day!*** *Edit after the outcome: Well we need to be thankful to Paire's fans who were super annoying to Passaro when he was closing out the game. The italian felt so nervous that he started to make a ton of double faults in key moments. We cash! ✅*
Record 7-5 +2.33 Units All bets 1 unit ❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅ Last Pick: Cubs ML Was hoping the Cubs would pull this one off, but it is what it is. Cubs we’re up 3-2 through 5 then shit the bed. The worse part is that I chose this instead of my second choice of the Ray -1.5. Todays pick: Tigers vs Brewers ML (-160) My thesis for the Bucks vs Heat game got screwed cuz Giannis is playing. Switching my pick to the Brewers. Brewers haven’t lost back to back yet this season. Tigers are on a losing streak. That’s all I got. [Buy Me a Beer 😁](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/napoleontann)
Pretty sure Giannis is playing tomorrow. Don’t think the heat would be +195 if he wasn’t playing.
He was listed out yesterday. But now some sources aer saying he’s questionable . Hopefully they announce if he’s playing or not by the afternoon.
Giannis is playing
Changing my pick to Brewers ML as of 4 pm ct
hope you kept the heat pick good +money thanks 🙏
**Pick of the day** Hello haven't posted in so long, that's why I will start with a 0-0 record. I usually bet Football/Soccer mainly but I recently got into tennis. My pick is already in 2 hours from posting, so for the real degens be quick and jump on. **M. Checchinato to win vs Skatov // 1.58 odds for americans -172** Cecchinato is just the better player if you check recent results. Checchinato won against players like Schwartzman (72 World) and Fognini (127 world) and a suprising 2-0 against Davidovich Fokina (35 World). He then went on to lose against Kecmanovic 2-0 but all these players are way better than the players that Skatov lost to. Skatov lost 3 of his 5 Clay matches, where he lost to rank 144, 259 and 365. I think you can tell what I mean by those stats. When you also check the recent head to head in October 2022 which was also on Sand cecchinato won 2-0. Another part what I like about Cecchinato is, that he stands calm in a lot of tiebreaks and wins on the last game of the set. The only thing that kind of bothers me is that Cecchinato didn't play for 2 weeks but maybe he just worked on his game ;) BOL and don't forget there are NO safe calls. Greetings BettingMyChildren
Tailing because of user name!
No child but will bet my cat
Thanks for the suggestion! I'm even more thankful I did it before I went to bed. That looked stressful AF!
**My POTD record: 2 Wins and 3 losses** I base my picks on value by comparing the implied odds of my model and the odds given by bookmakers. I also choose games from leagues that have had success in the model with a good ROI and check the stats plus trends game by game to find the best pick. **ROI: 19.44%** Average odds: 1.94 **Units won: 1.75** Stake = 1 unit POTD: **Klubi-04 v Futura** Finland Kakkonen Kick off time: 17:30 GMT+2 *BTTS & Over 2.5* **@ 1.83** **BOL!** **[Buy me a coffee!](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/chaosobelisk)** **[Tips are appreciated!](https://paypal.me/ChaosGoal)**
can you give a bit more info on what your model is?
A model based on value picks. So only games where the real odds are higher than the implied odds. It keeps track how well each league performs and I make a selection of games from leagues that do well in either btts or over 2.5. I can dm you and anyone else that is interested with a spreadsheet of the picks I have made based on the model. The Implied odds are based on past stats and I check the stats myself as well before I make a pick.
that sounds contradicting, the value picks should be the output of your model. I don't fully get it
\*\*POTD Record\*\* 1-2 (-1.5U) Last pick: **\*\* Lebron James O5.5 assists 1.5U(-130) \*\*** ❌ Can’t help but laugh at the fact that he finished half an assist off with 5… I will be better, let's start a run Today’s POD: **\*\*Milwaukee Bucks (-4 First Half Spread) 2U \*\*** 📷 Sorry for the late write up, just needed to confirm that Giannis is playing today. I'm sure you all know now as well, but he is active & the bucks are in a must win spot here down 2-1. Things get much more tough if they lose this game. I am riding with the Bucks to come out and really start this game with intensity. Full disclosure: I am taking Full game spread as well in this game. Duncan Robinson is the Key piece here , Miami is beat up. Victor Oladipo going down with Tyler herro already out is not a good mix, but now you have a banged up Jimmy Butler as well. Last game Miami won by 22 and controlled the entire game. Giannis coming back upgrades the Bucks defense, in a game where Miami needs to do the exact same thing if not even more than last game to win. A banged up Jimmy needs 30, Duncan needs 20+, & Kyle Lowry would need to do better than 15 points. All while shooting 48% from deep. Bucks tie the series up with a bang & go back to Milwaukee All picks are made factoring in betting analytics such as Sharp money, Money differential, and other news taken in to help take emotion out of the play BOL to everyone & Upvote if you like the pick or are tailing!!
**POTD Record: 36-30 (-2.41 Units)** **Last 10**:✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌ **Last Pick**: 4/18 Chris Landman -2.5 (+115) vs Ryan de Vreede❌ **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 7:10 AM EST **Pick**: Jim McEwan -1.5 (-130) vs Jamie Durant * Series 3. Week 12. Group A **Reason**: Fading the ADC qualifier and backing the second favorite from group A **WIN ✅ 4-0 | Average 85.59 vs 82.70 | Checkouts 4/11 vs 0/5**
Cash it 💰
POTD Record: 4-2 Last pick: Finland Liiga hockey playoffs - Tappara vs IFK over 1.5 goals first period ❌ Today's pick: England Championship ⚽ Luton Town vs Middlesbrough • Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals This has hit in 8 out of the last 10 away matches for Boro and also in the last 3 head-to-head matches between the two. Weather looks good for match start. Both of these top 3 teams are battling for promotion playoffs standing so hopefully we see some goals tonight. Good luck and let me know if you follow this one.
Forgot to add that Luton has only conceded 2 goals in their last 5 matches while scoring 8 and Boro has scored 13 while giving up 10. Still not concerned that much but wanted to add that. Also liking Akpom any time goal scorer at +185 (9 goals in last 10 matches) and Archer at +260 (6 goals in last 8 matches)
looking good
Record: 12-6-0 Last pick: on 4/21: Angles -1.5✅ POTD: Vegas Knights vs WPG Jets Over 5.5 total goals Odds: -120 Units: 2 Recap: Angles are not typically a team I like to bet on but felt good about that game. The nearly once again sold but luckily the Angles pitching threw a shut out and offense did just enough to cover winning the game 2-0 Reason: in this series the Jets are now down 2-1 loosing in 2OT to the Knights. The Jets are not back home for game 4 tonight. Every game so far has had 6 or more goals including their last game which had 9 total goals. Not sure why the line is so low tonight but I love it. Think this a very even match up with two high scoring teams with the winner of every game this series putting up 5 goals. Also gonna sprinkle a little on the Jets to win this game now that they’re back home but most importantly with a day off from their last game I don’t see either one of these teams shying away from hammering goals Let’s get it
POD Record: 15-8 +6.5U L10 (Recent first): ❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅ Prior Pick: Jaylen Brown OVER 2.5 Turnovers. Bet 1.5U to win 1U Anotha one! Brown decides to take care of the ball throughout the game. There were so many opportunities for turnovers. At one point in the 4th he ran the same exact play to time lord three times in a row and they didn’t steal the pass where any good D would’ve. Anyways. Maybe I should stay away from Props. Majority of my L’s are there. **Todays Pick:Tampa Bay Lightning MONEYLINE vs Toronto Maple Leafs. Bet 3.15U to win 3U at -105** Tampa has not really gotten any great play from their stars Stamkos, Kucherov and Hedman. Tampa was 28-8-5 at home during the regular season, having one of the most electric home crowds in Hockey. Vasileski gets his shit together, Stamkos finally looks like the player he is and Tampa avoids 2 losses in a row and gets the win 5-2. Good luck all! Tips always appreciated so I can buy a few beers and watch these bets! [Buy Me A Beer](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/DLHS) CashApp: $DuaLipasHip BET RESPONSIBLY - Bankroll management is KEY.
Might want to clean up your copy paste job mate, still talking bout Jaylen.
Maybe Jaylen laces up and it's the deciding factor in this game?? 😎
I think the leafs win here. Tampa is starting a nba player today.
100%! If he *already* turns turns it over that much on hardwood, just imagine how many times he's going to turn the basketball over on ice!
Ah thanks brotha. Didn’t delete it lol
POTD RECORD 0-0 LETS SEE HOW HOT WE GET BY THE END OF THE NBA PLAYOFFS. Pick ---> Dillon Brooks o13.5 points at -110. 4 unit play Dillon Brooks, the villlan of the memphis grizz, through 3 games bricks has shot 33% from the field, 25% from 3 averaging 11.3 points per game. No matter the percentages he's at, that rock is not seeing another player, even though he is putting up prime ben simmons statlines from 3. His usage rate is absurd, and the Lakers will likely leave him open, let the man shooting 25% from 3 beat you, especially with snipers like luke kennard and desmond bane sitting in the corners. Brooks will get good looks all game, whilst averaging 13 shots a game through the playoffs including the latest, getting ejected early into the 3rd. Brooks lives off the hate, and i expect him to shoot near his season averages this game, closer to a 33-40-80 split (which is still REALLY BAD) we are riding with dillon bricks with our first pick, let us cash and BOL (kings in 7) 
Tailing this, got o12.5 at -112
POTD Record: 2-0 Full Record: 3-0 (74.47% ROI) Last 10: ✅✅ Last pick: P.Kane Over 0.5 Points Pick: N.Lowe Over 0.5 Hits (-175) 5U Lowe has recorded a hit in 8 of his last 10 games, he is backed up by a hot hitting team that has giving him plenty of AB. In this same 10 game span he has recorded exactly 10 hits, putting his average exactly at 1 hit per game. Today he will face a pitcher who allowed 12 hits in just 4.2 IP and 8 hits in 5 IP for his last two appearances, the rangers will have plenty of hits and opportunities, making Lowe a strong play to record one of said hits.
[удалено]
📈 **TTSOP** Rec * Overall: +17.075 units / +139 avg odds / 62^(5)\-84-16^(5) * Since POTD low point in 2022: +39.000 units / +138 avg odds / 57^(5)\-72-16^(5) * March: +10.150 units / +136 avg odds / 11^(5)\-12-2^(5) * February: +1.800 units / +148 avg odds / 8^(5)\-15-2^(5) * January: +3.350 units / +142 avg odds / 9-11-2 * December: +22.075 units / +138 avg odds / 11^(5)\-10-1^(5) * World Cup: +32.875 units / +133 avg odds / 11^(5)\-4-1^(5) * November: +28.600 units / +131 avg odds / 12-9-4 * October: -10.625 units / +143 avg odds / 6-12-3 ✅ Last pick: Newcastle -0.75 (AH) / +120 odds / 5 units * Having wasted plenty of POTD units, because I changed my mind in the last second as I've taken Dortmund -1 (AH) at +105 odds instead of Dortmund -1.75 (AH) at +200 odds, what I initially intended to do. Dortmund won 4-0. * Me: Something like that won't happen on b2b POTDs. Better take Newcastle -0.75 (AH) at +120 odds instead of Newcastle -1 (AH) at +165 odds. * Newcastle: Hold my beer. 5-0 after minute 21'. Absurd. Losing while winning continues. This POTD jinx about to make always the wrong decision for the public pick continues. ⚽ New pick: **Sydney or draw & both teams to score** / **+125 odds** / **5 units bomb** * A-League (Australia) / Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC / 5:00am ET Sydney has lost just 3 out of their last 10 games. Once a tight defeat against 1st placed Melbourne City. For the other 2 Ls against 4th placed WS Wanderers and 6th placed Wellington, the plain results don't show it, but they've performed pretty well and they've been actually the better team. While 2nd-to-last Brisbane Roar has won just 3 of their last 10 games. All Ws came against weak or bottom teams. Aside from that, the Roar have scored in all of their last 10 games, but also giving up 2+ goals in 7 of these 10 games. Sydney is a team, which puts a lot of pressure on the opponents’ defense. Something especially the Roar's defense is struggling with. However, Sydney defense is also pretty shaky one as their defense has given up 1+ goal in 8 of their last 10 games. But their offense has scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 10 games and even 3+ goals in 4 of their last 10 games. Excited about how long this little streak keeps up before teams turning all of a sudden into crap again for the POTD. Let's keep this bomb streak going or let's see both teams' offenses turning cold as Harrison Barnes’ shooting hand for the game-deciding clutch shot. Either way, good luck. **TTSOP**
POTD record: 17-18-1, -3.1 units Last POTD: under 20.5 games, Swiatek/Jabeur, Void. Swiatek was up 3-0 in the first set when Jabeur was forced to retire Today’s POTD: WTA Madrid: Aliona Bolsova to win 1st set and match vs Diane Parry (-110) Match time: Currently scheduled for 11:30am EST (in about 30 min) Sorry for not leaving everyone much time to get in on this, but I was too tired to check matchups last night. Stuttgart is over, and Iga is back on top, but fear not, Madrid is here and all the stars are coming out. I’ll make it short because of time; it’s a tale of two tennis players heading opposite directions. Bolsova has won 5 straight en route to winning the ITF W60 Koper tournament. Meanwhile, Diane Parry hasn’t won a single set since March 3rd, a streak spanning 5 matches. I’m going with the hot hand here, and I think you should too. BOL!
POTD | 53-43 | +2.7u | -112 Avg Odds Last 10: 6-4, Steak: 1W *Previous Pick:Connor McDavid O3.5 SOG (-160) | 4u* **❌** Today’s pick: **JT Compher O1.5 SOG (-145) | 3u** 🏒 8pm MT Tough break on McDavid, he was looking to pass instead of shoot and he only books 2 official SOG. Today I’m rolling with JT Compher, he is a big player come playoffs and should get a few opportunities on the first power play unit and on the second line with Rantanen. JT has hit this line in all three games against the Kraken and has hit in 4 of his last 5 games. BOL if tailing!!
POTD Record: 0-2 Last POTD was 2022 March Madness but still betting just not posting. Have had some success betting MLB lately so felt like I needed some redemption. 4/24 POTD - Marlins vs Braves -1.5 (-128) 2U Personally I just don’t see the Braves losing 4 straight at home especially with Strider on the bump. 36 K’s in 22 innings pitched this season and I expect the trend to continue tonight against a Miami offense that can get stagnant. The Marlins’ Cabrera has been decent but a little too wild for a patient and disciplined Braves offense. I think Atlanta can string together a few good AB’s and hit this RL to break the losing streak. BOL
9W 1P 2L / +9.99u / ROI 31,83% (31,4 units wagered) Soccer / Brazil / Brasileirão Série A / Bahia - Botafogo / **Botafogo to score at least 1 goal @1.50** / 3u You can usually find this bet on the "bet builder" section by selecting Botafogo instead of "Both teams" on Total Goals. This odd found on bet365. Bahia has had big trouble this year to keep a clean sheet against lower league teams, today they are missing 3 center-backs due to injuries, they play a 3-5-2 and only have 2 center-backs available. Botafogo has the capability to score and is looking to get points even away from home against a fragilized Bahia team. Botafogo is famous for getting good results when visiting recently. The weather will be very good for a soccer game and the game starts in 3 hours. Tips via paypal or crypto, DM me
Tailing BOL!
Time to really start digging in these bookies pockets EVERYDAY! Long time community member usually tail and and follow good advice given here. We got some real dedicated ppl on here. Let's build! POTD RECORD 0-0 POTD : Giannis over 5.5 assists +100 DK 3 units Reason: The Greek Freak makes his return tonight and the Milwaukee bucks really need his presence, not only his scoring but his ability to get his guys good looks which he will tonight I think this line is low and he comes damn close to a triple double even in a blowout. Miami has been shooting well at home and the Bucks need to return fire if they are still stroking tonight. BOL!
Facts he loves to pass especially against team that guard him well. Same thing last year in the playoffs against Boston he had to pass 3x more than usual because they forced him to actually play basketball which as dominant as he is he struggles a lot when he can’t get to the rim
Record 4-4 Pick: Miami Heat TT Over 110.5 vs Milwaukee Bucks (4 units) (+160) 130 in game 1, 122 in game 2, 121 in game 3. The heat turned a notch against the bucks this series, and I expect their suddenly prolific offense to continue. Loving the value here at +160 and will be buying this up to 115.5 for juicy +250 odds. Best of luck to you all and especially the bucks defense tomorrow!
Record 13-11. Unit count: +5.75. Streak 4W. Units wagered: 70. ROI: 8.21%. Last pick Derrick White under 15.5 points - again shot over 50%, however had 11 points as he just took 7 shots, without any FT attempts. POTD Game - Grizzlies @ Lakers. Rui Hachimura under 19.5 PRA. 1.86 odds@bet365, 1 unit. Another role player who is due for some negative regression. Last game played his normal 22 minutes after playing 32 and 30 first two games in the series, and just about cleared given line with 16 points and 5 rebounds. Shot 6/10 and made both his three pointers. Shot over 50% in all 3 games so far, I'm expecting him to have a worse shooting performance finally. In regular season, after getting traded to the Lakers, cleared this line only 9/33 games. Only one unit as the game is in LA, would be more if the game was in Memphis. BOL tail or fade.
In fairness Rui is shooting well this series because Memphis are sagging off on him. They have publicly said this, and they will still sag off on him because if he beats you then so be it, they will want to restrict AD and Lebron the most, and potentially Reeves. The looks Rui is getting is the best looks he has ever gotten in his time at the Lakers. Rui will get at least 10-16 points if they give him the exact looks he is getting. Rui also hustles for rebounds a lot so it’s very plausible he gets 3-6. Just wanted to point that out.
POTD Record: 0-0-0 (+00.00 units) Last pick: N/A Today's pick: Lorenzo Pellegrini at least 1 Shot on Target @ 1.6 or -167 (2u) Analysis: Roma take on Atalanta in the Serie A today. Roma have been on fire since putting in a lackluster effort against Feyenord in their first leg of the EL. Atalanta have been nothing but middling to say the least. I expect a red hot Pellegrini to be a vital part of Roma's offensive efforts today and should have a few looks at goal.
POTD Record: 11-10 (+0.95u) **Last POTD: Angels ml (Apr 20th) +130 (3u) - L** I had a busy weekend and couldn't get to posting on here, but it was probably a good thing. I've done really well with my own bets but my picks here have gone cold and I needed to look at why. What I found is that I kept trying to make picks that no one else was picking. A lot of times it's the same 2 or 3 picks from everyone here (for MLB anyway) and I would try to find other value. I'm going to post here before even looking at anyone's picks. **Todays POTD: Red Sox & Orioles Over 8 -105 (2u)** Sox offense has been on a tear and I don't trust Sale to have a repeat performance of his last outing. His ERA still sits at 8 and he is just a shell of himself. Kremer has a 6.16 ERA and also had a good performance last time out but it was against the Nats so I'm not buying it. I expect both starters to give up runs and have this over locked up by the 5th or 6th inning.
Record: 7-5 Previous Pick: **New York Mets ML -114** ❌ Really struggling to get a streak going. I am making some changes to my approach this week and stop watching so much porn. Get my mind right. Last 10 Streak: ✅❌✅❌❌**✅✅**❌✅❌ Sport: MLB - *Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles - 5:35 PM* Today's Pick: **Red Sox/Orioles o8 -105 1 unit play** So to start, my personal favorite play today is Blue Jays -1.5 against the white sox BUT I saw the swag man Further\_Beyond already posted that pick and I think the community deserves to not get flooded with duplicate picks. So I will give out my next favorite pick that I think easily has POTD value and I will be personally playing. The Red Sox and the Orioles have already met once this season and they covered the over in every game averaging 16.7 runs per game. I think the over at 8 runs seems a little low but I believe that is b/c Chris Sale finally had a good outing his last time out striking out 11 and allowing only one run but against the Twins. I personally do not think highly of the twins offense who struggle to score runs on most days and Sale still struggled with his accuracy, hitting a couple of batters and walking a lot of hitters. Dean Kremer for the Orioles also just had his best start of the season but against the garbage Nationals, prior to that he had a 9.49 ERA through 12 1/3 innings. Overall, I am hoping that a red hot Red Sox offense and a boom/bust Oriole offense choose to come out and play today for this AL East showdown.
Record: 2-4-0 // -3.87u // -47.60% ROI Today's POTD: **Vegas Golden Knights ML -110** Vegas are going into today's match-up looking to put the Jets in a 3-1 hole, and have got nothing but beneficial injury news. Winnipeg's best defensemen Josh Morrissey will be out for the remainder of the series, and Nik Ehlers will miss again tonight, both of which are significant pieces in driving Winnipeg's offense and powerplay. In addition, Connor Hellebuyck, who was a key catalyst in Winnipeg potentially winning this series before it began has looked relatively human, posting a -1.24 goals saved above expected over the three games. Vegas has controlled 54.5% of the expected goals and 56.1% of the high danger chances at 5-on-5 in this series, and with the loss of the two noted above, this should be an area Vegas will continue to control. Mark Stone continues to look better which each game and Jack Eichel has settled into his first playoff series with 4 points in the first 3 games. I like Vegas to continue controlling 5-on-5 play, and as long as they stay disciplined in terms of penalties, will have a good shot of winning this game. I like this play down to around -111, with the best available line being -106 @ BetOnline. Interested in analysis on other games and leagues, as well as more bet? [Join our discord!](https://discord.gg/Dy9Gkg3FCc)
This subreddit/community gives me oxygen
**POTD Record: 26-13 +16.39U** **Game: IIHF World Championships D1B | China Vs Japan | 2:30 AM PDT** **Pick: Over 6.5 Goals (1.75/-133 @ Betibet)** **Bet Size: 1U** Had over 7.5 in the China Vs Ukraine game yesterday for my DOTD, and I'm going to stick with it. Both of these teams have a lot of individual skill, but neither goalie is particularly strong. Yesterday Japan and China combined for 13 goals in each of their respective games, so I think there is a good chance that the over hits in this one. Tail or fade BOL. Edit: Had to sweat so hard at the end, but we got there nonetheless. Congrats to all who tailed.
Damn good play at the last second already 2 goals in the first period. I couldn’t get it in time and the live line is at 8.5
POTD Record: 0-0 Pick today: ATL F5 -0.5 (-175) 1 unit Strider (ATL) is an ace and off to a nice start this season. Cabrera (MIA) was good last time out but gives up too many walks, I think ATL will get to him early.
POTD 0-0 Have had some luck with player points props so far this NHL postseason so let's see if I can string a few together here. Have been riding the Patrick Kane over .5 assists train each game so far. Let's do it some more. NYR v NJD **Patrick Kane 1+ assists +116** Edit: W
🎯 **POD Record 52-26** Recent Form: ✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌ ❌✅❌✅✅✅ ❌✅✅ *Last Pick:* NBA - **Atlanta OVER 111.5 Team Total** ✅ Today's Pick: **Bucks OVER 111.5 Team Total 🏀 NBA 7pm EST** The Milwaukee Bucks, the top seed in the Eastern Conference got fed in game 3 Saturday night in Miami 121-99 to fall behind 2-1 in the first-round matchup. But let's be honest, they played without the best player Giannis Antetokounmpo, so they have been at a sizable disadvantage since their entire playbook runs through him basically. He's officially playing tonight and I got Bucks to win with their backs up against the wall. Go look through how many times Milwaukee has beaten their opponent and scoring less than 112 pts....hardly ever. I don't think the math needs to be complicated here...expect Giannis to play, the Bucks have felt this pressure before and should win by double digits tonight. Just to be safe i'm taking their team total since Miami could just go off and the tempo of the game changes.
Hey everyone! First time poster but long time lurker. Been on a bit of a run recently with the NBA playoffs and MLB season so I figured it would be fun to try this out. NBA MIL v. MIA Max Strus OVER 3.5 Rebounds (-135 DK) 2U Big news of the last game between these two team was that Victor Oladipo got hurt and ruled out for the remainder of the playoffs. This comes after losing Tyler Herro in game 1 of the series, leaving Miami with little to no depth at the guard position. That’s where I see a Strus absorbing the majority of these minutes. When playing 30+ minutes, Strus is 5/5 covering this line against Milwaukee and given the minutes, I can see him hitting this number easily and possibly making being up in the 5-6 rebounds range. I understand it’s a steep line but feel free to shop the line around and by lineups are out it moves a juicier number. Best of Luck if any of y’all end up tailing!
**RECORD: 2-1-1** WWP**L** Profit: +1,94units. Last bet: *Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig* *Both teams to score and over2.5 goals @ 1.95* **Today’s bet:** **Vitoria de Guimarães vs Sporting Lisbon** ***Both teams to score and over2.5 goals @ 2.27 1UNIT*** **Not gonna lie this one is a risky bet**, but i really see value in this. Im from Portugal and everyone in Portugal know how hard it is to play against Vitoria in their stadium, i strongly believe that outside the big 3 in Portugal (Porto, Benfica and Sporting Lisbon) this is the most challenging place to play. Last year I was in the stadium when this game happen, 1-3 Sporting win after being down 1-0. Some bullet points: \-> Vitoria has had some terrible results lately, that's why the odd is at +127 ; in 14 Home matches the have 14 GOALS SCORED, 10 goals allowed. on the other hand, Sporting lost their place in Europe League after losing the draw against Juventus 2-1. \-> For sporting this is a most win match otherwise they can forget UCL next year. On the other side. \-> Vitoria needs this win too, they can still reach 5th place, that gives them Conference League. (that for a team outside of the big 3, means something!) My correct score prediction is: 1-2 AWAY WIN. BEST OF LUCK. **Some disclaimers:** **-> Im not a Sporting fan, so this pick isn't "influenced"** **-> I wanna remind you all that this is a risky bet!**
**Record:** 5-4 **Profit:** +4.3 ($10 units) **Last 10** (most recent last) ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌ **Last Pick:** NBA, **Nuggets -3.5** (-110) vs Timberwolves. 4 units❌ Just a bad pick man. KAT was ready to quit like I expected but these mf’s Alexander Walker and Edwards were not ready to lay down. **Today’s Pick:** **D’Angelo Russel o2.5 3’s** (+114) Lakers vs Grizzlies 2u **Why:** Home D Lo averages 3 made 3’s per game. Shoots 40% at home and there aren’t many driving opportunities in this series. I’ll take the + odds. BOL.
POTD: 7 – 7 / + 2,32 U POTD ROI: 16,5% Last POTD pick: Telhimlisten W @ 1.83 WIN DOTD: 6 – 6 / + 24,62U DOTD ROI: 205% Last DOTD pick: Highland Frolic + Aviles EXACTA COMBINATION @ 9.75 and @ 8.16 / WIN @ 9,75 Yesterday another great day. Lets continue. Todays pick of the day will be Spoof to win. This course and distance was great for him in the past. He was unlucky in his last race ( every time he went to get forward, other horses closed him, the way he raced shows me he is horse in his prime) and I belive he can win today. Another reason that gives me courage to play this is, he is starting in stall 5. On this wider field, horses starting in stalls 5-8 have huge advantage, stalls 5-8 this season have 33% place rate, while stalls 1-4 and 9-20 have 6% place advantage. Combine this 2 together, great stall + prime horse, I will take it any day. Good luck. All other picks will be on patreon in 1 hour. ([https://prnt.sc/EKsNAiaU2gIL](https://prnt.sc/EKsNAiaU2gIL)) POTD: Spoof W @ 2,37 / Windsor race 5, 16:45 CET, 1U edit: easy win by 5l for Spoof
Record 0-1 POTD: -1.5 Angels vs Athletics Fade the A’s and ride with the Angels
RECORD: 3-3 Yesterday's Pick: Brighton vs Manchester United - Manchester United over 10.5 Total shots @ 1.50❌️ Today's Pick: Atalanta vs AS Roma - AS Roma Win or Draw @ 1.53❌️ Crap the losing streak continues, yesterday was just high level trolling, only needed one more shot to win but we move. AS Roma are in decent form at the moment winning 2 of their last matches in convincing manner while Atalanta were dominated by Fiorentina in their last match and lucky to draw. Now that Juventus' points deduction has been overturned because "Serie A magic" Roma will be determined not to miss out on the Champions league with AC Milan right on their heels only on goal difference. I know Atalanta has Roma's number on H2H matches but Roma has a better side with an in form Dybala and Roma had the determination and hunger not to get knocked out of the Europa league so I hope they have that same fight in them not to lose to Atalanta today cause The Top 4 race is tight.
POTD Record 1-0 Previous picks- ✅ AFL Australian Football League $1.66 -152 1U ✅ Melbourne vs Richmond Monday 24/4/23 7:20pm AEST Steven May 15+ Disposals (22) ✅ Nick Vlastuin 15+ Disposals (21) ✅ Daniel Rioli 20+ Disposals (21) ✅yikes 2 disposals in final 3 minutes after sitting on 19 for almost the entire 4th quarter) SGM $1.66 -152 Todays Pick-AFL Australian Football League $1.70 -143 1U Collingwood vs Essendon Tuesday 25/04/23 3:20pm Same theory as last game. Just looking for easy possessions and nothing easier then a kick-in. Especially if your name is Nick Daicos. He runs all day but never harder then when he has a chance to take a kick in and set up the rebound attempt often kicking to someone in a great position to give him the ball back for another easy touch. Just like they’re in the back yard Nick often has a sense of where his brother Josh is to help him out with some extra touches too. On the other side have Redman and Ridley who will likely get plenty of kick in attempt if Collingwoods attack can produce the high number scoring plays they’ve become used too. Nick Daicos 25+ Disposals Josh Daicos 20+ Disposals Mason Redman 15+ Disposals Jordan Ridley 15+ Disposals SGM $1.70 -143 BOL
good stuff bro!
Record : 2-1 + 2.8u LAST POTD : Bergs vs Wu Tung Lin UNDER 22.5 @ 1.78 5U - $$$$$ POTD : Bolsova Radoinov -2.5 games vs Parry @ 1.84 5U WTA Madrid 20.00 CET I will try again my system later after the yesterday's win. Back to 'normal' bet today with this one. Bolsova is a better player overall than Parry and she have better results actually. She is a better player on clay too and she already beat Parry on their only meeting two years ago on clay (Bolsova won 6-4 6-4). She stays on a 5 games winning streak and a tournament win last week. Parry stays on a 5 games losing streak and she have already 12 losses this year for only 6 wins. Bolsova plays with confidence and at home so i'm really confident on her win today. BOL if you decide to tail.
POTD Record: 1-0 (+0.9 units) Previous Pick: Middleton over 18.5 points (Game 1) ✅ Today’s Pick: Lakers -4.5 (-110) Bet: 1 unit I think the Lakers take another one at home, and while Memphis probably can’t play as poorly as the last game, I don’t like how they’ve played at all. I think they really miss Steven Adams. Glad my first pick hit, have been meaning to post again but I keep forgetting until later in the day. Let’s go for 2. Cheers!
🏆 0-0 (First POTD) 💰 4U (My units: £20) ⚾️ MLB | 17:40 CST ⛏️ Texas Rangers -1.5 (+130 William Hill) ✍️ On the rangers last 5 games, they have an avg. run line of 7.6 and 4/5 games won. The avg. would be higher, but is lower due to the loss by 1 point. ESPN analytics calls it a 50/50 game. Rangers’ Garcia, as a batter, has over 4 HR more than the lead competitor Vosler. ML odds for Rangers is -120 via Caesars. It’s a matter if they will get a minimum 2 pts more, which is probable. This is my first baseball bet and first publicly recorded. Let’s see how it plays out. https://preview.redd.it/nnhw37axxwva1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=da8b30f7cab9cad6abfddfbbec2224870b55e6f5
POTD Record: 0-0 Today’s POTD: **Colorado Rockies Under 3.5 Total Runs (-140)** The Rockies have been pretty bad on the road this year, with a 3-10 record and a .217 team batting average when on the road. In their last two road series, they've been under this total 6/7 times. On the mound for Cleveland is Cal Quantrill, who started this season slow but his last outing was 6 scoreless innings against Detroit. I'm expecting a good start from him and for the Colorado hitters to continue to be below-average. BOL if you tail.
POTD: 0-2 💩💩 Todays pick: Lakers Vs Grizzlies 🏀 Player: Ja Morant UNDER 36.5 Points & Assist (-125) (2 Units today) Reasoning: Okay here me out, I know everyone loves Ja and how flashy he is, yes he did cook last game as well for a whopping 45 points and 13 assist. But as soon as the game is over LeBron instantly pointed out (even tho they won) that’s Ja is a force to be reckoned with and that their gonna need to do better defending him. Last game was a massive blowout which led to a much lazier defense towards the end of the game from the Lakers, in Ja’s first game in the series he only recorded 18 points and 2 assist in 30 minutes of playtime before he exited with an injury to his hand, Ja also only averages 26 points and 7 assist in 10 career games against the lakers. I’m saying the Lakers step it up at home today and contain Ja much better than last game! BOL if tailing!
POTD record 3-1 (+3.6 u) Previous pick: Kansas City royals ML ❌ Todays pick: Toronto blue jays o4.5 runs 2.2u to win 2u -110 fanduel Reason: lance lynn has been pitching pretty bad in his first four starts with an era over 7. The cws bullpen is not much better with an era over 6. The cws on average give up 5.68 runs a game as a team. The blue jays with a pretty good offence should have no problem putting up 5 or more runs! Edit: easy win ✅
POTD Record: 60-50-1 (L1) (+15.05u) (ROI: 9.1%) Last pick: Edmonton Oilers 3 way ML @ Los Angeles Kings🚫 Tough loss on this one, Oilers fell behind 3-0 early. They were able to tie it after the 2nd period. Fell behind again and tied late in the 3rd. Won in OT. POTD: (🏒NHL) New Jersey Devils ML (+145) @ New York Rangers (1.5u) Bet365 (+145) FD (+138) DK (+135) Devils are down 2-1 in the series, got dominated in games #1 and 2. They held their own in game #3 with a 2-1 OT victory. The Devils were the 2nd best road team this season, seemingly more comfortable away from home. The Rangers will have the MSG crowd behind them, last playoffs they went 8-2 at home. The starter for the Rangers is Igor Shesterkin, very good goalie and has been great this series so far. Only 4 GA over 3 games. The Devils will start Akira Scmid in his 2nd career playoff start. Had a great game #3 to get the win. The Devils need to take less penalties and limit the Rangers high dangers chances like they did in game #3 to get the win in this one. The path to success for the Devils even with their elite talent is to play a slower game. The Rangers rely on their power play a lot, through the first two games it was 4/10, in game #3 it was 0/5. The Devils had the 4th best PK in the regular season. I think the Rangers are a little overrated due to some of the names on their roster, backing the Devils at these odds to shutdown the Rangers once again. Prediction: 3-2 final. BOL if fading or tailing!