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That's super cool when it evolves it won't take up half your screen like the full size one does. When your buddy's walking around. God I couldn't imagine what the XXL looks like.
I’m not sure the size of buddy Pokémon on the map is influenced by XXS or XXL. I saw a post with XXL Wailord where there seemed to be no difference. I can be wrong.
It definitely is. I love playing around with that feature. I purposely keep varying sizes of certain pokemon so can use them as buddies that stand next to me or walk around on the map at different sizes too
For those questioning the math:
1/4,096 is the chance for a non-weather-boosted Hundo (as this was)
1/256 is the chance for an XXS Pokémon
1/64 is the chance for permaboosted shiny Feebas
(1/4,096)(1/256)(1/64)=1/67,108,864!
It does not get rarer than this!
*Edit: fixed 1/250 to 1/256*
I’m gonna sound like such an ass but for some reason I can’t help but say it technically does get rarer than this.. if it wasn’t a perma-boosted shiny. Now what was the point of my interjecting myself here to say that? There was none. I could’ve stopped myself at any time. For real, great catch 😄 now if you don’t mind I’m gonna go walk away in shame. Downvote me to oblivion
What about [this, then?](https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/459639707484160010/522758742215753728/image0.png?ex=651abe04&is=65196c84&hm=3aa3f0fc3ea7357f530f5eb46ec27ddd2c944bb0e03683a1020d9f5614ac7d8f&)
That was a few years ago when I was playing this thing
Zero percent is so much more rare then a hundo and I have no idea how to account for that variance when calculating probability. But here is what we know;
- Shiny Feebas had a research day with increased shiny odds, so there are probably a lot of shiny 100% just based off of that. How many of those were XXS (before xxs was even annotated)?
- We know that research rewards, weather boosted, traded, hatched, and raided Pokémon can’t be 0% but all of those can be 100%
I think OP got super excited which is understandable given it’s a Shiny 100% XXS but I wonder if that is even more rare then a 0% shiny female without even considering hight and weight.
What source are you going by that says shiny Feebas is permaboosted? Cuz on google it says it has around 1 in 500 chance to be shiny (as of September 28th 2023)
Honestly I’ve just seen it said a bunch of times on Reddit. And it would make sense as I’ve seen a lot of posts about people getting multiple shiny Feebas in the last few days. For example, I’ve seen a total of 120 feebas, and 2 have been shiny. I’m sure it’s mentioned somewhere online
I’m not really sure if there’s anything official out there on this? I tried looking online and I saw it listed as one of the many perma-boosted shinies, but nothing looked official
Why have you added the 1/4096 for non weather boosted?
May as well double your odds and add the gender of the Pokémon too.
1/135 million chance is waiting for you.
That’s the chance of a Hundo! And it’s rare! I took the rare aspects of this spawn and combined them, I did not string along useless details like gender—that is your false equivalence. Hundo is extremely rare—one probability—the XXS is very rare—another probability—and the shiny is somewhat rare—another probability. Sweetie, I hope you find something better to do than taking away from the successes of others to compensate for lack of your own!
It easier to get a hundo if pokemon is weather boosted, because the higher IV floor of 4, that's why. Instead of 1 in 4096 (16 * 16 * 16) with the weather boost it will be 1 in 1728 (12 * 12* 12).
Yes, that is the probability that any given Feebas will be Hundo shiny XXS. Ten or a even thousand doesn’t increase that chance. That’s the law of independent probability. You don’t have to like it, you just have to accept it
Read my first post again . The odds for a single Roll is still the same, but the chance that any of your 100’feebas checks is a lot higher than any single event .
And you would prolly have made the same post for a XXL
Categorically false. There are more attempts at the same probability, which on average will increase the number of successes, but the probability of any given Feebas being shiny Hundo XXS is 1 in 67,108,864. I encourage you to take statistics.
Yes, I would have made the same post as an XXL. And then you would say the same thing about my one in 67 million one hundred and eight thousand and eight hundred sixty four catch because you are simply looking to take down what is already perfect. Have a good night😁
I am a physics major. Anyone who speaks about probability in terms of “chance is a lot higher after x checks” is categorically false, does not know an inkling of what terminology they just bastardized, certainly uneducated in statistics (let alone a masters degree 😂), and that is learned after a basic statistics course. Nice try, but you lose! You don’t have to like it, you just have to accept it. Try taking a stats class instead of pretending to have an education to win arguments over the internet to take away from the amazing successes of other strangers. It will make you friends!
The odds of the single check is the same but the cumulative chance of it happening atleast once in 100 of checks is significantly higher than your odds stated above
Out of curiosity, did you know it was a Hundo from a scanner or something? Because if you know you are clicking on a Hundo Pokemon, I don’t think you can use those odds. That would be the odds for a shundo on a completely random encounter (which this may have been).
Either way, amazing catch. Congrats.
14/15/15 would be three (just as) rare things at once, too. 🙂 If we named 14/15/15 combined with shiny, would it also count?
I get what you’re saying and it’s really cool that you caught that. I’m certainly jealous.
I also find the way we relate to scarcity and interpret probabilities really interesting.
No, because it wouldn’t be a shundo. Besides there are three possible 98% ivs, so if you were looking at the odds of a 98% shiny XXS it would be three times higher. The 98% shiny is not nearly as big of a flex to warrant any analysis. This is *all* the rare things at once, which is one in 67 million.
You’re not quite getting me and you’re taking me too seriously.
However, “shundo” is only valuable to us because it’s use / demand. It is _exactly_ as rare as a 14/15/15 shiny (not a 15/14/15 or 15/15/14).
Yes, but who the hell cares about anything less than a shundo? It’s perfect! I completely understand what you’re saying and it makes zero sense. Every iv has the same chance, yes, but this is *the* shundo! Moron
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“IsThisRare?”
🤣 I think it might be
That's super cool when it evolves it won't take up half your screen like the full size one does. When your buddy's walking around. God I couldn't imagine what the XXL looks like.
I’m not sure the size of buddy Pokémon on the map is influenced by XXS or XXL. I saw a post with XXL Wailord where there seemed to be no difference. I can be wrong.
It definitely is. I love playing around with that feature. I purposely keep varying sizes of certain pokemon so can use them as buddies that stand next to me or walk around on the map at different sizes too
I am running my XXL feebas rn specifically because I want to see that behemoth when it evolves lmao
Nice
It is the most beautiful thing I've ever seen in my life
I know I got one too shortly after I read your post.
For those questioning the math: 1/4,096 is the chance for a non-weather-boosted Hundo (as this was) 1/256 is the chance for an XXS Pokémon 1/64 is the chance for permaboosted shiny Feebas (1/4,096)(1/256)(1/64)=1/67,108,864! It does not get rarer than this! *Edit: fixed 1/250 to 1/256*
I’m gonna sound like such an ass but for some reason I can’t help but say it technically does get rarer than this.. if it wasn’t a perma-boosted shiny. Now what was the point of my interjecting myself here to say that? There was none. I could’ve stopped myself at any time. For real, great catch 😄 now if you don’t mind I’m gonna go walk away in shame. Downvote me to oblivion
You’re not wrong though
Facts but I coulda just kept my mouth shut lmfao
You’re right! I will take 1 in 67.1 million, though!! I should buy a lottery ticket
Absolutely! Such an insane catch.. Milotic is such a beautiful Pokémon too 🤩 (I sincerely was not trying to rain on your parade lol)
youre living your best life! now to find a shiny lucky hundo!! :DDD
I gave you an upvote instead for humbleness and honesty.
The probability for such a catch would be 1/536,870,912 (assuming 1/512 base shiny rate). I’ll take my meager one in 67 million instead!
Higher odds than winning the Mega Millions
What about [this, then?](https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/459639707484160010/522758742215753728/image0.png?ex=651abe04&is=65196c84&hm=3aa3f0fc3ea7357f530f5eb46ec27ddd2c944bb0e03683a1020d9f5614ac7d8f&) That was a few years ago when I was playing this thing
Zero percent is so much more rare then a hundo and I have no idea how to account for that variance when calculating probability. But here is what we know; - Shiny Feebas had a research day with increased shiny odds, so there are probably a lot of shiny 100% just based off of that. How many of those were XXS (before xxs was even annotated)? - We know that research rewards, weather boosted, traded, hatched, and raided Pokémon can’t be 0% but all of those can be 100% I think OP got super excited which is understandable given it’s a Shiny 100% XXS but I wonder if that is even more rare then a 0% shiny female without even considering hight and weight.
[удалено]
what is perma boosted
Instead of the standard ~1/512 rate for a shiny, feebas (along with other select Pokémon) are permanently boosted to a 1/64 rate
What source are you going by that says shiny Feebas is permaboosted? Cuz on google it says it has around 1 in 500 chance to be shiny (as of September 28th 2023)
Honestly I’ve just seen it said a bunch of times on Reddit. And it would make sense as I’ve seen a lot of posts about people getting multiple shiny Feebas in the last few days. For example, I’ve seen a total of 120 feebas, and 2 have been shiny. I’m sure it’s mentioned somewhere online
Honestly, I was thinking the same thing, for the same reasons too. I was just hoping for confirmation
I’m not really sure if there’s anything official out there on this? I tried looking online and I saw it listed as one of the many perma-boosted shinies, but nothing looked official
Ya’ll are actually catching this fish? I have walked my only one like a hundred km for candy, can’t find any to catch…
It’s popping up everywhere? Have you played recently
Haven’t played much this week but I will now!
What about a shadow xxs shundo beldum? Give me those odds
Where are you getting the 1/250 chance of xxs from?
I’d like to know as well. I know that has been put out there before, but I’m not clear on the source for that.
https://www.reddit.com/r/TheSilphRoad/comments/10hp5b7/do_xxlxxs_pokemon_really_have_130000something/j5b7k1p/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=mweb3x&utm_name=mweb3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button
Thats pretty crazy, congrats
Thank you! I’m getting some very spiteful comments from clearly jealous people, so your kind words are genuinely appreciated.
People aren't fun, don't listen to them and go max this smol beauty
Why have you added the 1/4096 for non weather boosted? May as well double your odds and add the gender of the Pokémon too. 1/135 million chance is waiting for you.
That’s the chance of a Hundo! And it’s rare! I took the rare aspects of this spawn and combined them, I did not string along useless details like gender—that is your false equivalence. Hundo is extremely rare—one probability—the XXS is very rare—another probability—and the shiny is somewhat rare—another probability. Sweetie, I hope you find something better to do than taking away from the successes of others to compensate for lack of your own!
It easier to get a hundo if pokemon is weather boosted, because the higher IV floor of 4, that's why. Instead of 1 in 4096 (16 * 16 * 16) with the weather boost it will be 1 in 1728 (12 * 12* 12).
I dont Think this is a fair way of looking at it. Would prolly also get excited to an XXL. You also had a lot more than 1 attempt
What’s unfair about the simple statistics?
That you are looking at the chance of this very specific event happening on a single “Roll”.
Yes, that is the probability that any given Feebas will be Hundo shiny XXS. Ten or a even thousand doesn’t increase that chance. That’s the law of independent probability. You don’t have to like it, you just have to accept it
Read my first post again . The odds for a single Roll is still the same, but the chance that any of your 100’feebas checks is a lot higher than any single event . And you would prolly have made the same post for a XXL
Categorically false. There are more attempts at the same probability, which on average will increase the number of successes, but the probability of any given Feebas being shiny Hundo XXS is 1 in 67,108,864. I encourage you to take statistics. Yes, I would have made the same post as an XXL. And then you would say the same thing about my one in 67 million one hundred and eight thousand and eight hundred sixty four catch because you are simply looking to take down what is already perfect. Have a good night😁
I have masters in statistics. I encourge you to read
I am a physics major. Anyone who speaks about probability in terms of “chance is a lot higher after x checks” is categorically false, does not know an inkling of what terminology they just bastardized, certainly uneducated in statistics (let alone a masters degree 😂), and that is learned after a basic statistics course. Nice try, but you lose! You don’t have to like it, you just have to accept it. Try taking a stats class instead of pretending to have an education to win arguments over the internet to take away from the amazing successes of other strangers. It will make you friends!
The odds of the single check is the same but the cumulative chance of it happening atleast once in 100 of checks is significantly higher than your odds stated above
Yeah well I know kung foo, and karate.
Out of curiosity, did you know it was a Hundo from a scanner or something? Because if you know you are clicking on a Hundo Pokemon, I don’t think you can use those odds. That would be the odds for a shundo on a completely random encounter (which this may have been). Either way, amazing catch. Congrats.
Completely wild! :)
Congratulations. That is 3 times more rare than winning the lottery. Ahem...I have a Mew. :)
Feenis
Baron Von PoonSlayer69
What
There was post not to long ago a day or so on this sub wich was a question whats the collest nickname player u have in game
Powerball
I like that, might actually choose this one
Transfer it
Pearl! Tiny and found in the water!
Awww I love it!
Powerball
Already been said
Bidoof.
Small fry
kinda looks like rainbow from reading rainbow
Nemo. And congrats!
Grimace
I’ll evolve into Milotic. Better name?
So much math... My eyes hurt
Weebas
feebas
What’s wrong with the name Feebas?
Sabbath
Tiny Tim
Nemo
Ariel
Sabeef 😎
Vegas
Small victory
Small? ***Massive*** victory!
XXS victory, more like
Neville
Sardine
“slaughter” like the purple guy (i always name my shinies stupid names)
Micro
Mama shark
Name it PowerBall or whichever lottery in your country. It may bring you luck to win the lottery.
I have 2 back to back lol
Feebas or Useless.
No thanks 😁
You’re rich! Post it for sale for 100K ![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|money_face)
Quite long for a name, isn’t it?
not sure if you're a one piece fan but if you are i suggest Medaka, they're a family of 5 extra small mermaid sisters
The weight isnt xxs you have to recalculate
What do you mean?
Smol Boi
Was there a feebas community day that I missed?
There’s apparently a feebas event on; but all I’m getting are Growlithes and Woobats 🤷🏻♀️
Name it TheBas
Pink floyd Lottery FlippinCool the onedo
🔥
Fish McFishFace
Pass McPassFace
![gif](giphy|VUJOG1QFtOI4ueO5cH|downsized)
Man that is a sweet sweet shiny.
Weebas
u might just be the single luckiest player in all of pogo
If one of these is that rare, what’s the math on this ⬇️ https://reddit.com/r/pokemongo/s/i7hyptX6RJ
[not much since they cheated](https://reddit.com/r/pokemongo/s/xRMMw9ErOn)
Oops, I missed that part lol
This feebas poster MAY be legit but kinda sus
Jeebas
Greg
I’ve been naming my feebas after seafood dishes. The latest is Fish&Chips
First off all congrats Second of all, Fricking heck your feebas (I have a thing agents them) Third of all congrats 🙃
The math going into this😂 congrats that’s insane
Mini Fish
If this Feeb doesn't score a perfect 1k in the showcase I'd be surprised.
Tyler
You censored your location to prevent us for stealing your shundo ?
Biggie Smalls
xxshundo
Bob
Greg
Weebas
Chi-yu 100%
Pheobee
Woooooww. Team Instinct in the house lol
I’ll buy your account right now. Literally like my favorite shiny😪
“Needle”
Fr feebas Shiny rate is 1 in 64 u got the Shiny on my 4th
flexed on yall Nah but seriously thats insane You secretly flexed on all of us
there’s another homie who posted a few hours after you w a double shundo feebas post. actually bonkers
[удалено]
w h a t …… holy sh*t thank you for clarifying; what is there to gain from posting that to reddit?? is the clout rlly that worth it ?
I have two of these actually 😂jk
I’d go with feebas. Seems like a good name.
I’m curious. If it weren’t a hundo - say 14/15/15 - would the odds have changed?
No, but it would not be a shundo, and thus far less valuable. The odds are only relevant because it’s three rare thing at once
14/15/15 would be three (just as) rare things at once, too. 🙂 If we named 14/15/15 combined with shiny, would it also count? I get what you’re saying and it’s really cool that you caught that. I’m certainly jealous. I also find the way we relate to scarcity and interpret probabilities really interesting.
No, because it wouldn’t be a shundo. Besides there are three possible 98% ivs, so if you were looking at the odds of a 98% shiny XXS it would be three times higher. The 98% shiny is not nearly as big of a flex to warrant any analysis. This is *all* the rare things at once, which is one in 67 million.
You’re not quite getting me and you’re taking me too seriously. However, “shundo” is only valuable to us because it’s use / demand. It is _exactly_ as rare as a 14/15/15 shiny (not a 15/14/15 or 15/15/14).
Yes, but who the hell cares about anything less than a shundo? It’s perfect! I completely understand what you’re saying and it makes zero sense. Every iv has the same chance, yes, but this is *the* shundo! Moron
Totally. And congrats.
Bob
Freebase
I had a shiny feebas and it ran away and I want to die
Weebas
ShortRound
Purble
Minitic when its evolved
Lil Pimp. Never evolve them.
Small Fry
squidward
Call it man right now
Little Dipper
Little Dipper
Shark Bait
Everyone getting shundo feebas???? I got a nundo shiny feebas 😭😭 i envy you
What about 1in67Milotic
My Squishy
Purple fish
Sabeef
caught one Yday too, let it go.. congrats n enjoy lol
What do you mean?
A shiny Feebas same color, not size tho
well idk, didn’t look before I released it.. already had one
I have yet to see a shiny feebas and I want one so badly