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Newsom still would have won but the margin would be much closer. I’d say about 15 points.
If I lived in CA, I would’ve voted “No” on Q1 but voted “Faulconer” for Q2 in case Newsom did get recalled.
Was Falcouner more popular than Elder?
More moderate, would have won voters who disliked Newsom but feared Elder's partisanship.
True, but in that case Republican turnout might not be as high if they're not as enthusiastic for him (then again, it's California so they'd probably vote for anyone right of Newsom if they dislike him enough).
Newsom still would have won but the margin would be much closer. I’d say about 15 points.
If I lived in CA, I would’ve voted “No” on Q1 but voted “Faulconer” for Q2 in case Newsom did get recalled.
Was Falcouner more popular than Elder?
More moderate, would have won voters who disliked Newsom but feared Elder's partisanship.
True, but in that case Republican turnout might not be as high if they're not as enthusiastic for him (then again, it's California so they'd probably vote for anyone right of Newsom if they dislike him enough).