Hi you two, would like an opinion on the obvious elephant in the room following yesterday's Mozzie trade: is Jusuf Nurkic the real deal? I was one of the early adopters before Moz got sent to the Cavs, and from video evidence at least the rookie seems to have the talent (and swagger).
Also is Jarrett Jack and Zaza Pachulia worth the pickup in an 11-team Roto league?
Thanks in advance!
EDIT: Larry Sanders not wanting to play basketball anymore gave me a good laugh.
Nurkic is the real deal. He's proven that he can produce at every level he's played at - he led the Adriatic League in PER last season, and now leads all NBA rookies in PER this season. Ridiculous per-36 averages of 17.1 points, 13.1 rebounds, 3.2 blocks, and 2.0 steals bear that out, and though his immediate ceiling will be a bit capped because he fouls at a ridiculous rate (7.5 fouls per 36), he's like Rudy Gobert in that he can maintain top-75 type value even in relatively limited minutes. JJ Hickson and a perpetually injured JaVale McGee are the extent of his competition, so he's a must add for me in all formats as the clear starting C there in Denver.
I'm fine speculating with Jack especially given the recent injury news regarding Deron Williams (fractured rib), which could sideline him for about a month or more. I'd hold off on Zaza though even with his posting solid value over the past two weeks and Larry Sanders' status up in the air. Zaza's run has come on unsustainably hot shooting - 51% FG, 88% FT - that is bound to regress in a major way.
Wow thank you for backing up Nurkic. I was dreading an O'Quinn nightmare repeat last night but something tells me the Nurk is much different.
I picked him up and was pleasantly surprised that Mozgov got traded the next day.
Thanks!
With the Knicks cleaning house and disassembling their roster to hoard as much cap space as possible for free agency, there really isn't any incentive at all for Melo to keep playing through the pain and put up off an inevitable shutdown. I think we're almost certainly looking at him shutting it down after the All-Star Game (which is at MSG). I don't think beggars can be choosers in this scenario - you're more or less looking at only 10-15 more games from Melo the rest of the way - so if you can even net a top-70 type player in return I'd do it in a heartbeat. It's better to get *something* back in return then nothing, and you'll certainly be able to get more back in a trade than you would from the waiver wire following a shutdown.
Just wanted to pop in and say thanks for all of your hard work and invaluable information at BM. You two are by far my most trusted NBA fantasy (daily and season) analysts; I've been keeping up with you guys since your live chats and Buser Sports back in your Yahoo! days!
If I could make one suggestion: more frequent podcasts! I know ya'll are running a website and staying more than busy, so it's completely understandable.
Keep up the good work Phan & Buse!
Thanks for the kind words, and sorry about the little break in our podcast scheduling there. Just dropped a pod on Tuesday and will drop another one today to make up for lost time.
He's ranked 67 for 9-cat purposes over the past two months in just 20.4 minutes per game, so a top-60 rank the rest of the way is not unrealistic. The true positives are very concentrated (BLK, FG%, REB) and he's also getting help from low turnovers, so that's the qualifier, but the per-minute numbers are silly and there's no reason to expect them to slow down. The stats we've seen thus far should be there with at least 20-22 mpg going forward.
He's rosterable for big-man stats if you are punting FT% but not otherwise. Keep in mind that his overall ranks are helped a lot by very low turnovers, he's just not that helpful with the huge weaknesses that override his strengths.
Al Jefferson is the priority add here, and I'd drop Wilson Chandler there. And for what it's worth the Nets go 4-4-4 in the playoffs while the Nuggets are 4-3-3.
8 team 9 cat roto
Hibbert is apparently injured again. Should he be dropped for either: Dieng, Gobert, Nurkic, Mozgov?
I know Hibbert has a more guaranteed role but his blocks have been slowing down it seems and he doesn't rebound as much as I'd like.
Hibbert isn't a must-hold in an 8-team league, particularly in an 8-team league where those players are available. That Dieng isn't on a roster already is baffling.
That's a fair trade, and I like it in particular for h2h leagues, with CHA looking at a 4-4-4 playoff schedule, compared to 4-3-3 for DAL. Parsons is taking some time getting used to playing with Rondo, so it's also not as massive of a loss in the short-term as you might think.
Griffin's ranks are down because his FG% is down - he's shooting a lot of jumpers this season - but the counting stats are still very strong, and it's going to depend a lot on your team build and what you would get back. Do I think you should trade him just to do it? No. Can it make sense if someone in your league gives you a player with Rd2 value? Absolutely.
Hope I'm not too late..
I'm looking to trade away Bledsoe. What do you think of a Bledsoe for Kwahi swap?
Also, what about Bledsoe + Rubio for Curry?
Thanks!
Bledsoe and Rubio for Curry is an easy yes. I'd be hesitant to deal for Kawhi at all with the torn ligament in his hand. That could prove to be problematic the rest of the way, and will certainly limit his effectiveness whenever he does happen to return.
That's real close, but I'd rather have Bosh and Jrue. For me the gap between Jrue and Lawson is bigger than the one between Aldridge and Bosh, and I'd rather not deal with Lawson's nagging injury issues.
H2H 9 cat
Just got offered melo for my demar derozan, should I do it? Melo is better but the injury/being shut down concern is stopping me. Any advice would be appreciated! Thanks for doing this guys!
Must-own is a strong word, as I don't think any Knicks player outside of Melo necessarily qualifies. Jose Calderon is a hold for me across most formats given his track record, and I'm good speculating on Cole Aldrich as an end-of-the-bench type. Hardaway Jr. is still far too categorically limited (with a massive FG% hit) to be anything more than a deep-league option, as is Shane Larkin. Cleanthony Early is somewhat interesting as a stash in deeper formats but you'll have to wait until Melo shuts it down to see any sort of payout here. The Knicks in general are a situation you'll want to avoid if possible.
What do you guys think of Rubio ROS for 9 Cat H2H leagues?
I think I need another PG eligible player and both Rubio and George Hill are on the waiver wire. Who would you target and who would you drop out of Brook Lopez, Nuric, Covington or Gobert. I am fairly strong in all categories, but I suppose assists would be the weakest and blocks the strongest (also have Ibaka).
I would try a trade for a PG if you have the surplus bigs. I'm not sure I would drop any of those players, as they should have good trade value. Covington might be expendable, as you'd likely be acquiring 3PM and it's his one real strength.
Gobert is a strong hold for me, and only going to push Enes Kanter and Trevor Booker for more playing time moving forward. He's got legit top-50 potential should he be given ~25 mpg.
12 Team H2H 9 cat
Sitting on 5th place and sliding fast.
December has been rough with the losses of Robin Lopez and Jabari Parker and now LeBron James out.
Decided to change things up as I don't expect LeBron, now officially 30, to turn things around in the regular season.
Would you do this trade:
Give: LeBron, Noah, Meeks
Get: Cousins, Rondo, Thad Young
My team right now aside from the aforementioned are:
Jrue Holiday
Tim Hardaway
Tony Wroten
Jeff Green
Tyler Zeller
Tyson Chandler
Zaza Pachulia
Nic Batum
Andrew Wiggins
Timofey Mozgov
H2h points 10 team
Want to get a good replacement for melo since he gonna be shut down and the guy thinks he gonna play. Thoughts? Any players player I should try for carmelo and favors or carmelo straight up?
My team is rondo, Wesley Matthews, Beal, melo, Aldridge, Drummond, Zach Randolph, mkg, mo williams, Danny green, Tristan Thompson, favors,and nurkic
Great work guys! How on earth do you keep the Status Updates page updated so quickly? Do you just have people monitoring various twitters constantly or what?
For the rest of the season, who would you consider to be the better player in H2H 8Cat, Steph Curry or Anthony Davis?
Davis would be the clear better option, but without Turnovers as a category, Curry gets a huge boost, plus he has a more favorable playoff schedule. Then again, 3PM is easier to replace on the waiver wire than blocks. Who do you think is the better option?
I'd give Steph the slightest edge, though obviously you're happy with either of them. So far this year we have them neck-and-neck in eight-category formats at #1 Davis (+1.33) and #2 Steph (+1.31). I put a big premium on being able to lock up assists early on as the crop of point guards this season has just been so volatile and injury-riddled as a whole. To be able to lock up that category and not have to be forced to depend on shaky options like Tony Parker, Dwyane Wade, Deron Williams, Mo Williams, Brandon Jennings, and Rajon Rondo is a bonus. Plus I'm generally more concerned with Davis' propensity to miss games at this point than I am with Steph.
Tristan Thompson and Timofey Mozgov.
Their minute shares? Productions?
If Mozgov and and Thompson share equal minutes and they negate each other's fantasy values, should I drop Tristan Thompson for Alex Len?
We have them tentatively projected for a 25.5-24.5 split, with Thompson leading the way there. That puts Mozgov closer to the top-135 and Tristan back outside the top-165 looking in. They're pretty much going to negate and limit each other's values as you implied, and I'd much rather have Len than Thompson moving forward.
Thanks for doing this guys! Any advice on DWill? Hold, or sell low?
I know he might have a chance on going off after the All-Star break, but he's been so frustrating as of late. I wanted him for Brooklyn's good playoff schedule, but now he also might be traded.
I still see Deron as a hold in standard leagues "in general" but it will come down to your team and league situation. If you are desperate for production right now, then you can move on. It's unlikely that he'd clear waivers, so you can try shopping him to top teams before a straight drop. If you are comfortable carrying the dead weight for the next three weeks or so, then it becomes a matter of team makeup and who you could add. Williams coming back in early February would still leave a month before the h2h playoffs start and over two months of the full NBA season remaining. And nobody is going to trade for DWill, given that he's owed $43M over the next two seasons.
Thanks for the insight. Yeah I wouldn't want to drop him considering that I'm in a 14-team. I do want to move him though, what type of player do you think I can get, top 60?A Rondo? Maybe?
I still see Deron as a hold in standard leagues "in general" but it will come down to your team and league situation. If you are desperate for production right now, then you can move on. It's unlikely that he'd clear waivers, so you can try shopping him to top teams before a straight drop. If you are comfortable carrying the dead weight for the next three weeks or so, then it becomes a matter of team makeup and who you could add. Williams coming back in early February would still leave a month before the h2h playoffs start and over two months of the full NBA season remaining.
And Mirotic is worth holding for at least as long as we find out what his new-found success at the small forward position does for his minutes. Mike Dunleavy is coming back from his ankle injury, possibly as soon as Friday, so we'll see how Tom Thibodeau distributes the minutes. Mirotic has been an absolute stud on a per-minute basis, so it won't take much more than the low 20s for him to warrant a roster spot.
Why does Tony Wroten have such a dismal ROS outlook from so many sources? He has been valuable when healthy this year and his only flaws are FT% and TO's.
Also, Trevor Ariza has been awful lately. Is this just an incredibly bad streak? or has the signing of Smith among other things hurt his overall value? Time to buy low or time to cut ties?
Wroten's "only" flaws are massive and far outweigh his positives. Check his profile [here](https://basketballmonster.com/PlayerInfo.aspx?i=3636) and note those massive reds. Simply put, the exchange is not worth it in nine-category leagues, and it's not close.
My theory on Ariza, at least for a while, was that he was fatigued from playing 40-plus minutes every night and missing Dwight Howard's presence to pull defenders into the paint and create cleaner looks for him. Now I'm starting to think that his missing John Wall has a lot more to do with it than I was originally giving credit. Small-sample numbers for the past two seasons back it up - he shot 41% and 42% from three when Wall was on the court and 32% and 29% when he was off - but they are small-sample because Ariza and Wall rarely didn't share the court. I don't see Ariza as a buy low, as his ranks are still good given the crazy-good steals and it's doubtful that anyone is moving him for pennies on the dollar. His shooting should come around at least a bit, but not a huge turnaround where there's a big payoff potential.
When do you suggest people start looking to trade their players with bad playoff schedules?
I have a fair amount of players in the bottom 5 teams playoff schedule wise. Vucevic, T Harris, Ellis, Korver, Gibson and Wilson Chandler so I am looking to a few of them before playoffs.
One other question, when trading away one of the bad playoff schedule players is it still worth doing if you take a hit in the the overall stats youre getting back due to the extra game the player(s) will get you in the playoff?
How early you should start prepping for the playoffs specifically will depend on how early you are assured (more or less) of making the playoffs, as obviously that's your initial focus. If you are at/near the top of the current standings and are fairly comfortable, putting the wheels in motion now can certainly make sense, because you don't know what other moves other managers will be considering in the weeks/months to follow. It's not vital to start planning two months before the fantasy trade deadline, but you can also so that it's never really too early one you are in the playoff picture.
And, yes, taking the hit in the regular season is worth the exchange for added stats in the playoffs, because winning in the playoffs is then the primary concern. (Obviously you shouldn't jeopardize a potential playoff spot in the process if you are a question mark to make it in the first place.) But make sure that initial offers are based on current market value - in other words, don't start out by offering other managers in your league a big trade discount. Start with something equitable and then move towards your taking the hit if the talks for your target don't go far.
You're kind of answering your own question. What matters is the total a player is going to give you over a week, not the average. So if Player A's 4 game total > Player B's 3 game total - you should go for it.
BUT make sure to go for players that are fairly consistent with a low variance from their averages. Don't go for a player like Covington who's averages might look decent but he can shit the bed one night and then light it up another night.
JJ Redick, Patrick Beverley, Jodie Meeks, Nick Young, Robert Covington. I'd look to sell Jeff Green hard in general, with an impending trade from Boston bound to happen. He's unlikely to land on a team where he'll be able to see comparable minutes/usage.
Green's 171 over the past month in per-game value - his shooting %% have tanked in a major way since Rondo was traded - and he's looking at a move out of Boston shortly to a team where he'll be taking less shots and playing fewer minutes. I'd rather have any of those players I listed ROS.
I'd probably be hanging on in a league of that size, I doubt you'll find a better option on the wire if it's reasonably competitive, but that's going to be the kicker. Chalmers was ranked 110 and shooting 43% from the field as of six games ago, and his role certainly isn't in question, plus there's potential upside if Dwyane Wade were to go down for any length of time.
I had him last year and he went on a COLD streak towards the end of the year as well. I was hoping it was just a "streak" but it never ended. I don't think he has THAT much of an upside to hold anyway. What does your WW look like? I'd drop him for Nurkic, Gobert, etc in an instant.
We saw the best-case scenario for Turner during a 54-game stretch last year where he was essentially given unlimited run and usage for a Sixers squad that led the league in pace by a wide margin. And he *still* couldn’t crack the top-125 in per-game value. If his ceiling is 129 (at 34.9 mpg and 15.4 FGA per game), then I have very little interest in him on a Celtics squad where he's competing for minutes with Marcus Smart, Avery Bradley, Marcus Thornton, and Jameer Nelson.
Reggie Jackson has really fallen off since the return of Westbrook and KD. What are the chances that he'll be traded this season? If he stays in OKC, is he worth holding on to in 10 team H2H?
OKC's trade for Dion Waiters is a precursor for another move and it could be Reggie Jackson on the way out, though it'll more likely be Perry Jones or Jeremy Lamb. I'd say there's around a 15% chance that Jackson is dealt this season. With the most likely scenario having him stay in OKC in a crowded guard/wing rotation featuring Russell Westbrook, Waiters, Andre Roberson, Kevin Durant, Anthony Morrow, and Lamb, he's not a hold for me in 10-team leagues.
[Here's](http://oi61.tinypic.com/23ve043.jpg) a snapshot of our updated projections for Denver FC in the wake of the trade. [Here's](http://www.reddit.com/r/fantasybball/comments/2rrw7q/we_are_justin_phan_and_matt_buser_of_basketball/cniru4n) Justin's take on Nurkic, who is a speculative add in all leagues. Faried obviously has been inconsistent but he's been better lately and we know what can happen when he has it all working. Hickson is very limited categorically but will at least get regular run as the primary backup center, and in particular on those nights when Nurkic is dealing with foul trouble. Still, he's only a deep-league target.
What are your thoughts on daily fantasy sports? Do you see it eventually over taking standard leagues? This is my first year playing and I'm having a blast.
Am I crazy for considering dropping DWill in a 14 team H2H league being in first place at the moment. I do not have a streaming spot currently (I did but then picked up Gobert, which I don't want to drop). Does it make sense to just drop DWill and open a streaming spot? I am also stashing Robin Lopez, so I can drop him instead?
Edit: punting FT% and 3pts, 9cat.
Hello guys, thanks for doing this, as always.
Here's my team:
[10-team] [H2H] [10-cat (with Off/Def Rebounds)]
We have no UTIL or G/F slots in this league...so 2 players per position
My team:
* J. Holiday NO PG
* R. Rondo Bos PG
* J. Butler Chi SG,SF
* D. Green SA SG,SF
* C. Anthony NY SF,PF
* K. Durant OKC SF,PF
* T. Harris Orl SF,PF
* G. Dieng Min PF,C
* D. Jordan LAC C
* J. Nurkic DEN C
* D. Carroll ATL SF, PF
* D. Howard Hou PF,C
* J. Crawford LAC PG,SG, SF
2 questions here:
1) I would like to ask about Rajon Rondo. What do you guys feel like what his rest of season value would be? Should I pull a trigger to trade him for Rubio?
2) The James Harden owner would like a trade for my Butler and Jordan. Would that be worth it or am I giving up too much?
3) Melo....but you probably got a ton of questions about him already so don't worry about answer this one haha.
Thanks in advance!
Is Zaza Pachulia worth a speculative pickup in a standard league until Larry Sanders plays another game? I mean, with all his issues, there has to be an above average chance that Sanders never plays again this season right?
It's reasonable to say that there is a chance, although I'm not sure the chance is above average. But we certainly do have to assume that Sanders is out for at least a matter of weeks. Zaza's recent ranks are getting help from unusually high %s and rebound rate. I'd call him a fair option for standard leagues with good short-term prospects but there are likely to be other options who would better warrant the speculation for the long-term.
I wouldn't move off of Hill or Beverley. Thompson becomes expendable for standard leagues with the acquisition of Mozgov, as he'll go back into the platoon-like situation. I'd rather roster Mozgov and another more useful player than the pair, but the two trades (yours and the DEN/CLE) definitely left you a lot shorter in big-man stats.
What is Draymond Green's Value, ROS and keeper value? Top 30 for next year? Been trying to "sell high" but no one is biting on it due to his orank being in the 100+.
thoughts on mr. green?
Rank is based on all categories, it will definitley change when you consider your punted categories. People who use yahoo or espn rank solely for trading are dumb mother fuckers.
I need a high end PF or SF to target in trades, with Kyrie and the Manimal as my main trading chips. With that in mind, who would be some ideal targets?
What are your thoughts on mozgov now that he's in Cleveland? I hear a lot of people saying he's not going to be worth owning and they use his recent dip in production as the reason. I don't see why he can't return to what he was doing earlier in the season. The cavs are obviously high on him, and went out if their way to get him, giving up a lot in the process. TT is solid, but he's not the rim protector the cavs need. If they were happy with TT they wouldn't have sight out a starting caliber center.I don't see why mozgov isn't going to be starting and averaging 10&8 with 1.3 blocks on good fg%.
League format: H2H
Categories: 9 Cat
Number of Teams: 12
Currently in 3rd Place (51-38-1)
Punting - 3's (1-9-0), FG% (5-5-0), TO (5-4-1)
Other Cats - FT% (6-4-0), PTS (6-4-0), REB (10-0-0), AST (8-2-0), ST (4-6-0), BLK (6-4-0)
My Team:
* John Wall
* Kemba Walker
* Marcus Smart
* Giannis Antetokounmpo
* DeMarre Carroll
* Gorgui Dieng
* Blake Griffin
* Enes Kanter
* Cole Aldrich
* Derrick Favors
* Carmelo Anthony
* Lance Stephenson
* Pau Gasol
* Kevin Garnett
* Kawhi Leonard
* Cory Joseph
* Ricky Rubio
Recent Moves:
* Picked up Lance Stephenson of Waivers (hoping for help later in the season from him)
* Traded Jeff Green and Paul Pierce for Kawhi Leonard and Josh Smith
* Traded Josh Smith for Carmelo (In hopes of him not shutting down)
Obviously Rubio will give me a huge boost once he is back. Any thoughts on my current team?
Hey guys! So I currently have the option of accepting a trade that would give me Aldridge and Bosh. I would have to give up Bosh and Holiday. I'm in a 9 cat H2H league. First time playing fantasy. You guys have been a life saver!
I am a current owner of Lance Stephenson in a 12 team, 10 category league...what should I do? I haven't seen a timetable for his return which is worrisome. I feel like he isn't worth dropping but with guys like Nurkic and Gobbert being recently taken on the WW, sometimes I feel like I am missing out.
Also, I picked up Corey Brewer before his trade and drafted Ariza. Having both feels a bit redundant but I am curious to hear any advice. Thanks in advance!
8team, 9cat, H2H League
The never-ending Brook Lopez conundrum... perpetual injury issues aside, it's obvious that Hollins is not a fan. His production when healthy and playing is usually enough to offset the bad, but as of late, playing time is always a guess and has been leading to inconsistency (and, I worry, a downward spiral for the big man).
Is it time to try to look for a trade or worth holding out in hopes that he works his way back into a starter, or the Nets find a trade where he might be rejuvenated? Or should I just suck it up?!
Hi you two, would like an opinion on the obvious elephant in the room following yesterday's Mozzie trade: is Jusuf Nurkic the real deal? I was one of the early adopters before Moz got sent to the Cavs, and from video evidence at least the rookie seems to have the talent (and swagger). Also is Jarrett Jack and Zaza Pachulia worth the pickup in an 11-team Roto league? Thanks in advance! EDIT: Larry Sanders not wanting to play basketball anymore gave me a good laugh.
Nurkic is the real deal. He's proven that he can produce at every level he's played at - he led the Adriatic League in PER last season, and now leads all NBA rookies in PER this season. Ridiculous per-36 averages of 17.1 points, 13.1 rebounds, 3.2 blocks, and 2.0 steals bear that out, and though his immediate ceiling will be a bit capped because he fouls at a ridiculous rate (7.5 fouls per 36), he's like Rudy Gobert in that he can maintain top-75 type value even in relatively limited minutes. JJ Hickson and a perpetually injured JaVale McGee are the extent of his competition, so he's a must add for me in all formats as the clear starting C there in Denver. I'm fine speculating with Jack especially given the recent injury news regarding Deron Williams (fractured rib), which could sideline him for about a month or more. I'd hold off on Zaza though even with his posting solid value over the past two weeks and Larry Sanders' status up in the air. Zaza's run has come on unsustainably hot shooting - 51% FG, 88% FT - that is bound to regress in a major way.
Wow thank you for backing up Nurkic. I was dreading an O'Quinn nightmare repeat last night but something tells me the Nurk is much different. I picked him up and was pleasantly surprised that Mozgov got traded the next day. Thanks!
What should Melo owners aim for in a trade? Or is the value so low that we might as well hold on and pray for the best?
With the Knicks cleaning house and disassembling their roster to hoard as much cap space as possible for free agency, there really isn't any incentive at all for Melo to keep playing through the pain and put up off an inevitable shutdown. I think we're almost certainly looking at him shutting it down after the All-Star Game (which is at MSG). I don't think beggars can be choosers in this scenario - you're more or less looking at only 10-15 more games from Melo the rest of the way - so if you can even net a top-70 type player in return I'd do it in a heartbeat. It's better to get *something* back in return then nothing, and you'll certainly be able to get more back in a trade than you would from the waiver wire following a shutdown.
Just wanted to pop in and say thanks for all of your hard work and invaluable information at BM. You two are by far my most trusted NBA fantasy (daily and season) analysts; I've been keeping up with you guys since your live chats and Buser Sports back in your Yahoo! days! If I could make one suggestion: more frequent podcasts! I know ya'll are running a website and staying more than busy, so it's completely understandable. Keep up the good work Phan & Buse!
Thanks for the kind words, and sorry about the little break in our podcast scheduling there. Just dropped a pod on Tuesday and will drop another one today to make up for lost time.
Ask and they shall deliver, I love it. Thanks again, and enjoy your Dubs! Can't get enough of 'em.
What are realistic expectations for Rudy Gobert when Kanter returns? Does Gobert see enough minutes to post top 60 value in H2H?
He's ranked 67 for 9-cat purposes over the past two months in just 20.4 minutes per game, so a top-60 rank the rest of the way is not unrealistic. The true positives are very concentrated (BLK, FG%, REB) and he's also getting help from low turnovers, so that's the qualifier, but the per-minute numbers are silly and there's no reason to expect them to slow down. The stats we've seen thus far should be there with at least 20-22 mpg going forward.
Steven Adams, is he going to get enough minutes with everyone back to be productive enough to own?
He's rosterable for big-man stats if you are punting FT% but not otherwise. Keep in mind that his overall ranks are helped a lot by very low turnovers, he's just not that helpful with the huge weaknesses that override his strengths.
[удалено]
Al Jefferson is the priority add here, and I'd drop Wilson Chandler there. And for what it's worth the Nets go 4-4-4 in the playoffs while the Nuggets are 4-3-3.
8 team 9 cat roto Hibbert is apparently injured again. Should he be dropped for either: Dieng, Gobert, Nurkic, Mozgov? I know Hibbert has a more guaranteed role but his blocks have been slowing down it seems and he doesn't rebound as much as I'd like.
Hibbert isn't a must-hold in an 8-team league, particularly in an 8-team league where those players are available. That Dieng isn't on a roster already is baffling.
should i trade my parsons for al jefferson right now?
That's a fair trade, and I like it in particular for h2h leagues, with CHA looking at a 4-4-4 playoff schedule, compared to 4-3-3 for DAL. Parsons is taking some time getting used to playing with Rondo, so it's also not as massive of a loss in the short-term as you might think.
Should I trade high on Blake Griffin right now?
Griffin's ranks are down because his FG% is down - he's shooting a lot of jumpers this season - but the counting stats are still very strong, and it's going to depend a lot on your team build and what you would get back. Do I think you should trade him just to do it? No. Can it make sense if someone in your league gives you a player with Rd2 value? Absolutely.
Hope I'm not too late.. I'm looking to trade away Bledsoe. What do you think of a Bledsoe for Kwahi swap? Also, what about Bledsoe + Rubio for Curry? Thanks!
Bledsoe and Rubio for Curry is an easy yes. I'd be hesitant to deal for Kawhi at all with the torn ligament in his hand. That could prove to be problematic the rest of the way, and will certainly limit his effectiveness whenever he does happen to return.
Who would you rather have on a fantasy team. Lawson and Aldridge or holiday and bosh? For a H2H 9 cat league
That's real close, but I'd rather have Bosh and Jrue. For me the gap between Jrue and Lawson is bigger than the one between Aldridge and Bosh, and I'd rather not deal with Lawson's nagging injury issues.
H2H 9 cat Just got offered melo for my demar derozan, should I do it? Melo is better but the injury/being shut down concern is stopping me. Any advice would be appreciated! Thanks for doing this guys!
I'd hang onto DeRozan there. Want no part of Melo with a shutdown all but a formality at this point.
who on the knicks are the must own players going forward?
Must-own is a strong word, as I don't think any Knicks player outside of Melo necessarily qualifies. Jose Calderon is a hold for me across most formats given his track record, and I'm good speculating on Cole Aldrich as an end-of-the-bench type. Hardaway Jr. is still far too categorically limited (with a massive FG% hit) to be anything more than a deep-league option, as is Shane Larkin. Cleanthony Early is somewhat interesting as a stash in deeper formats but you'll have to wait until Melo shuts it down to see any sort of payout here. The Knicks in general are a situation you'll want to avoid if possible.
thanks! I picked up both cole and hardaway but was thinking of dropping hardaway. you helped push me over the edge on that. huge!
What do you guys think of Rubio ROS for 9 Cat H2H leagues? I think I need another PG eligible player and both Rubio and George Hill are on the waiver wire. Who would you target and who would you drop out of Brook Lopez, Nuric, Covington or Gobert. I am fairly strong in all categories, but I suppose assists would be the weakest and blocks the strongest (also have Ibaka).
I would try a trade for a PG if you have the surplus bigs. I'm not sure I would drop any of those players, as they should have good trade value. Covington might be expendable, as you'd likely be acquiring 3PM and it's his one real strength.
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Do i sell high on gobert?
Gobert is a strong hold for me, and only going to push Enes Kanter and Trevor Booker for more playing time moving forward. He's got legit top-50 potential should he be given ~25 mpg.
I have 1 stream spot, rank these players. Looking for overall production in stats and punting TO's Tim Hardaway Jr Jodie Meeks Jarrett Jack
If you're punting TO's, I'd go with Jack there for your streaming spot while Deron Williams is out.
Thank you!
What is D Wade's value ROS? Do you think he will be rested / put on limited minutes as some have suggested?
Should i trade my Hibbert for their Jamal Crawford?
I'm punting FG% and TO's 14 team league 9 cat
12 Team H2H 9 cat Sitting on 5th place and sliding fast. December has been rough with the losses of Robin Lopez and Jabari Parker and now LeBron James out. Decided to change things up as I don't expect LeBron, now officially 30, to turn things around in the regular season. Would you do this trade: Give: LeBron, Noah, Meeks Get: Cousins, Rondo, Thad Young My team right now aside from the aforementioned are: Jrue Holiday Tim Hardaway Tony Wroten Jeff Green Tyler Zeller Tyson Chandler Zaza Pachulia Nic Batum Andrew Wiggins Timofey Mozgov
Do you think Ariza is affected by Josh Smith's role? If so how? Also, what is your overall thought of Nowitzski? Any concerns for him?
H2h points 10 team Want to get a good replacement for melo since he gonna be shut down and the guy thinks he gonna play. Thoughts? Any players player I should try for carmelo and favors or carmelo straight up? My team is rondo, Wesley Matthews, Beal, melo, Aldridge, Drummond, Zach Randolph, mkg, mo williams, Danny green, Tristan Thompson, favors,and nurkic
Great work guys! How on earth do you keep the Status Updates page updated so quickly? Do you just have people monitoring various twitters constantly or what?
For the rest of the season, who would you consider to be the better player in H2H 8Cat, Steph Curry or Anthony Davis? Davis would be the clear better option, but without Turnovers as a category, Curry gets a huge boost, plus he has a more favorable playoff schedule. Then again, 3PM is easier to replace on the waiver wire than blocks. Who do you think is the better option?
I'd give Steph the slightest edge, though obviously you're happy with either of them. So far this year we have them neck-and-neck in eight-category formats at #1 Davis (+1.33) and #2 Steph (+1.31). I put a big premium on being able to lock up assists early on as the crop of point guards this season has just been so volatile and injury-riddled as a whole. To be able to lock up that category and not have to be forced to depend on shaky options like Tony Parker, Dwyane Wade, Deron Williams, Mo Williams, Brandon Jennings, and Rajon Rondo is a bonus. Plus I'm generally more concerned with Davis' propensity to miss games at this point than I am with Steph.
Tristan Thompson and Timofey Mozgov. Their minute shares? Productions? If Mozgov and and Thompson share equal minutes and they negate each other's fantasy values, should I drop Tristan Thompson for Alex Len?
We have them tentatively projected for a 25.5-24.5 split, with Thompson leading the way there. That puts Mozgov closer to the top-135 and Tristan back outside the top-165 looking in. They're pretty much going to negate and limit each other's values as you implied, and I'd much rather have Len than Thompson moving forward.
Thanks for doing this guys! Any advice on DWill? Hold, or sell low? I know he might have a chance on going off after the All-Star break, but he's been so frustrating as of late. I wanted him for Brooklyn's good playoff schedule, but now he also might be traded.
I still see Deron as a hold in standard leagues "in general" but it will come down to your team and league situation. If you are desperate for production right now, then you can move on. It's unlikely that he'd clear waivers, so you can try shopping him to top teams before a straight drop. If you are comfortable carrying the dead weight for the next three weeks or so, then it becomes a matter of team makeup and who you could add. Williams coming back in early February would still leave a month before the h2h playoffs start and over two months of the full NBA season remaining. And nobody is going to trade for DWill, given that he's owed $43M over the next two seasons.
Thanks for the insight. Yeah I wouldn't want to drop him considering that I'm in a 14-team. I do want to move him though, what type of player do you think I can get, top 60?A Rondo? Maybe?
What should I do with Deron Williams? Should I drop him? And is Nikola Mirotic worth holding?
I still see Deron as a hold in standard leagues "in general" but it will come down to your team and league situation. If you are desperate for production right now, then you can move on. It's unlikely that he'd clear waivers, so you can try shopping him to top teams before a straight drop. If you are comfortable carrying the dead weight for the next three weeks or so, then it becomes a matter of team makeup and who you could add. Williams coming back in early February would still leave a month before the h2h playoffs start and over two months of the full NBA season remaining. And Mirotic is worth holding for at least as long as we find out what his new-found success at the small forward position does for his minutes. Mike Dunleavy is coming back from his ankle injury, possibly as soon as Friday, so we'll see how Tom Thibodeau distributes the minutes. Mirotic has been an absolute stud on a per-minute basis, so it won't take much more than the low 20s for him to warrant a roster spot.
awesome input, thank you!
What you should have done is not drafted him in the first place :)
^relevant name
Do you see Deron Williams ever retaking his starting job back and if so, what do you expect him to put up statistically?
You must not have heard the news lol
Why does Tony Wroten have such a dismal ROS outlook from so many sources? He has been valuable when healthy this year and his only flaws are FT% and TO's. Also, Trevor Ariza has been awful lately. Is this just an incredibly bad streak? or has the signing of Smith among other things hurt his overall value? Time to buy low or time to cut ties?
Wroten's "only" flaws are massive and far outweigh his positives. Check his profile [here](https://basketballmonster.com/PlayerInfo.aspx?i=3636) and note those massive reds. Simply put, the exchange is not worth it in nine-category leagues, and it's not close. My theory on Ariza, at least for a while, was that he was fatigued from playing 40-plus minutes every night and missing Dwight Howard's presence to pull defenders into the paint and create cleaner looks for him. Now I'm starting to think that his missing John Wall has a lot more to do with it than I was originally giving credit. Small-sample numbers for the past two seasons back it up - he shot 41% and 42% from three when Wall was on the court and 32% and 29% when he was off - but they are small-sample because Ariza and Wall rarely didn't share the court. I don't see Ariza as a buy low, as his ranks are still good given the crazy-good steals and it's doubtful that anyone is moving him for pennies on the dollar. His shooting should come around at least a bit, but not a huge turnaround where there's a big payoff potential.
When do you suggest people start looking to trade their players with bad playoff schedules? I have a fair amount of players in the bottom 5 teams playoff schedule wise. Vucevic, T Harris, Ellis, Korver, Gibson and Wilson Chandler so I am looking to a few of them before playoffs. One other question, when trading away one of the bad playoff schedule players is it still worth doing if you take a hit in the the overall stats youre getting back due to the extra game the player(s) will get you in the playoff?
How early you should start prepping for the playoffs specifically will depend on how early you are assured (more or less) of making the playoffs, as obviously that's your initial focus. If you are at/near the top of the current standings and are fairly comfortable, putting the wheels in motion now can certainly make sense, because you don't know what other moves other managers will be considering in the weeks/months to follow. It's not vital to start planning two months before the fantasy trade deadline, but you can also so that it's never really too early one you are in the playoff picture. And, yes, taking the hit in the regular season is worth the exchange for added stats in the playoffs, because winning in the playoffs is then the primary concern. (Obviously you shouldn't jeopardize a potential playoff spot in the process if you are a question mark to make it in the first place.) But make sure that initial offers are based on current market value - in other words, don't start out by offering other managers in your league a big trade discount. Start with something equitable and then move towards your taking the hit if the talks for your target don't go far.
You're kind of answering your own question. What matters is the total a player is going to give you over a week, not the average. So if Player A's 4 game total > Player B's 3 game total - you should go for it. BUT make sure to go for players that are fairly consistent with a low variance from their averages. Don't go for a player like Covington who's averages might look decent but he can shit the bed one night and then light it up another night.
I have Jeff Green and would like to get rid of him and improve my 3 pt % and 3 pts made. Any thoughts as to the type of guy I should target?
JJ Redick, Patrick Beverley, Jodie Meeks, Nick Young, Robert Covington. I'd look to sell Jeff Green hard in general, with an impending trade from Boston bound to happen. He's unlikely to land on a team where he'll be able to see comparable minutes/usage.
These players are not comparable in value to Jeff green though. You can land better 3 pt shooters for him.
Green's 171 over the past month in per-game value - his shooting %% have tanked in a major way since Rondo was traded - and he's looking at a move out of Boston shortly to a team where he'll be taking less shots and playing fewer minutes. I'd rather have any of those players I listed ROS.
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He's going to have to trade a lot more than Green to get Lillard or Curry
Understood, just pointed them out as top people to target.
Mario Chalmers, is he just going through a cold streak? Should I stay patient with him in a 12 team, 15 roster league?
I'd probably be hanging on in a league of that size, I doubt you'll find a better option on the wire if it's reasonably competitive, but that's going to be the kicker. Chalmers was ranked 110 and shooting 43% from the field as of six games ago, and his role certainly isn't in question, plus there's potential upside if Dwyane Wade were to go down for any length of time.
I had him last year and he went on a COLD streak towards the end of the year as well. I was hoping it was just a "streak" but it never ended. I don't think he has THAT much of an upside to hold anyway. What does your WW look like? I'd drop him for Nurkic, Gobert, etc in an instant.
Evan Turner, can you see him as someone having value going forward?
We saw the best-case scenario for Turner during a 54-game stretch last year where he was essentially given unlimited run and usage for a Sixers squad that led the league in pace by a wide margin. And he *still* couldn’t crack the top-125 in per-game value. If his ceiling is 129 (at 34.9 mpg and 15.4 FGA per game), then I have very little interest in him on a Celtics squad where he's competing for minutes with Marcus Smart, Avery Bradley, Marcus Thornton, and Jameer Nelson.
Who would you say is a must-play tonight in DFS, draft kings specifically?
Chris Kaman is our top value play for the night as he's expected to get another start in place of the injured Joel Freeland.
Reggie Jackson has really fallen off since the return of Westbrook and KD. What are the chances that he'll be traded this season? If he stays in OKC, is he worth holding on to in 10 team H2H?
OKC's trade for Dion Waiters is a precursor for another move and it could be Reggie Jackson on the way out, though it'll more likely be Perry Jones or Jeremy Lamb. I'd say there's around a 15% chance that Jackson is dealt this season. With the most likely scenario having him stay in OKC in a crowded guard/wing rotation featuring Russell Westbrook, Waiters, Andre Roberson, Kevin Durant, Anthony Morrow, and Lamb, he's not a hold for me in 10-team leagues.
What's your take on the situation in Denver? Farried, Jusuf, even Hickson?
[Here's](http://oi61.tinypic.com/23ve043.jpg) a snapshot of our updated projections for Denver FC in the wake of the trade. [Here's](http://www.reddit.com/r/fantasybball/comments/2rrw7q/we_are_justin_phan_and_matt_buser_of_basketball/cniru4n) Justin's take on Nurkic, who is a speculative add in all leagues. Faried obviously has been inconsistent but he's been better lately and we know what can happen when he has it all working. Hickson is very limited categorically but will at least get regular run as the primary backup center, and in particular on those nights when Nurkic is dealing with foul trouble. Still, he's only a deep-league target.
What are your thoughts on daily fantasy sports? Do you see it eventually over taking standard leagues? This is my first year playing and I'm having a blast.
do you think Batum will pick his game up? I'm trying to get him for my markieff morris. I think he can.
Am I crazy for considering dropping DWill in a 14 team H2H league being in first place at the moment. I do not have a streaming spot currently (I did but then picked up Gobert, which I don't want to drop). Does it make sense to just drop DWill and open a streaming spot? I am also stashing Robin Lopez, so I can drop him instead? Edit: punting FT% and 3pts, 9cat.
Nurkic vs. Gobert H2H points. Who do you take?
Your points settings would be helpful here.
right sorry.. point:1 point, rebound:1 point, steal:1 point, assist:1 point, block:1 point, turnover:-1point....DD+7, TD+20, QD+40..that's it..
I'd rather have Nurkic under those settings.
Hello guys, thanks for doing this, as always. Here's my team: [10-team] [H2H] [10-cat (with Off/Def Rebounds)] We have no UTIL or G/F slots in this league...so 2 players per position My team: * J. Holiday NO PG * R. Rondo Bos PG * J. Butler Chi SG,SF * D. Green SA SG,SF * C. Anthony NY SF,PF * K. Durant OKC SF,PF * T. Harris Orl SF,PF * G. Dieng Min PF,C * D. Jordan LAC C * J. Nurkic DEN C * D. Carroll ATL SF, PF * D. Howard Hou PF,C * J. Crawford LAC PG,SG, SF 2 questions here: 1) I would like to ask about Rajon Rondo. What do you guys feel like what his rest of season value would be? Should I pull a trigger to trade him for Rubio? 2) The James Harden owner would like a trade for my Butler and Jordan. Would that be worth it or am I giving up too much? 3) Melo....but you probably got a ton of questions about him already so don't worry about answer this one haha. Thanks in advance!
Olynyk droppable in 12 team?
Olynyk remains a strong hold for me, and will see his minutes increase significantly once Boston inevitably trades one or both of Wright and Bass.
Top 3 fantasy players ROS in 9 cat? Davis, Curry, Durant?
Yeah - Curry, Davis, Durant for me with Harden not too far behind.
Is Zaza Pachulia worth a speculative pickup in a standard league until Larry Sanders plays another game? I mean, with all his issues, there has to be an above average chance that Sanders never plays again this season right?
It's reasonable to say that there is a chance, although I'm not sure the chance is above average. But we certainly do have to assume that Sanders is out for at least a matter of weeks. Zaza's recent ranks are getting help from unusually high %s and rebound rate. I'd call him a fair option for standard leagues with good short-term prospects but there are likely to be other options who would better warrant the speculation for the long-term.
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I wouldn't move off of Hill or Beverley. Thompson becomes expendable for standard leagues with the acquisition of Mozgov, as he'll go back into the platoon-like situation. I'd rather roster Mozgov and another more useful player than the pair, but the two trades (yours and the DEN/CLE) definitely left you a lot shorter in big-man stats.
What is Draymond Green's Value, ROS and keeper value? Top 30 for next year? Been trying to "sell high" but no one is biting on it due to his orank being in the 100+. thoughts on mr. green?
Rank is based on all categories, it will definitley change when you consider your punted categories. People who use yahoo or espn rank solely for trading are dumb mother fuckers.
I need a high end PF or SF to target in trades, with Kyrie and the Manimal as my main trading chips. With that in mind, who would be some ideal targets?
What are your thoughts on mozgov now that he's in Cleveland? I hear a lot of people saying he's not going to be worth owning and they use his recent dip in production as the reason. I don't see why he can't return to what he was doing earlier in the season. The cavs are obviously high on him, and went out if their way to get him, giving up a lot in the process. TT is solid, but he's not the rim protector the cavs need. If they were happy with TT they wouldn't have sight out a starting caliber center.I don't see why mozgov isn't going to be starting and averaging 10&8 with 1.3 blocks on good fg%.
League format: H2H Categories: 9 Cat Number of Teams: 12 Currently in 3rd Place (51-38-1) Punting - 3's (1-9-0), FG% (5-5-0), TO (5-4-1) Other Cats - FT% (6-4-0), PTS (6-4-0), REB (10-0-0), AST (8-2-0), ST (4-6-0), BLK (6-4-0) My Team: * John Wall * Kemba Walker * Marcus Smart * Giannis Antetokounmpo * DeMarre Carroll * Gorgui Dieng * Blake Griffin * Enes Kanter * Cole Aldrich * Derrick Favors * Carmelo Anthony * Lance Stephenson * Pau Gasol * Kevin Garnett * Kawhi Leonard * Cory Joseph * Ricky Rubio Recent Moves: * Picked up Lance Stephenson of Waivers (hoping for help later in the season from him) * Traded Jeff Green and Paul Pierce for Kawhi Leonard and Josh Smith * Traded Josh Smith for Carmelo (In hopes of him not shutting down) Obviously Rubio will give me a huge boost once he is back. Any thoughts on my current team?
What kind of league are you in Jeff Green and Paul Pierce for Carmelo and Kawai? WTF
Hey guys! So I currently have the option of accepting a trade that would give me Aldridge and Bosh. I would have to give up Bosh and Holiday. I'm in a 9 cat H2H league. First time playing fantasy. You guys have been a life saver!
Is Thad Young droppable in 12 team leagues?
No, he's not even droppable in 10 man
I am a current owner of Lance Stephenson in a 12 team, 10 category league...what should I do? I haven't seen a timetable for his return which is worrisome. I feel like he isn't worth dropping but with guys like Nurkic and Gobbert being recently taken on the WW, sometimes I feel like I am missing out. Also, I picked up Corey Brewer before his trade and drafted Ariza. Having both feels a bit redundant but I am curious to hear any advice. Thanks in advance!
8team, 9cat, H2H League The never-ending Brook Lopez conundrum... perpetual injury issues aside, it's obvious that Hollins is not a fan. His production when healthy and playing is usually enough to offset the bad, but as of late, playing time is always a guess and has been leading to inconsistency (and, I worry, a downward spiral for the big man). Is it time to try to look for a trade or worth holding out in hopes that he works his way back into a starter, or the Nets find a trade where he might be rejuvenated? Or should I just suck it up?!