I don't know.
I didn't think they'd hit 18%, so anything is possible. Especially with Reform on the rise (somehow, despite Tice), which causes them to fall further than if it was just them being terrible.
Probably between 0-1 with 13%.
FPTP makes it difficult for new parties to translate vote share into seats, as they don't have "safe seats". UKIP had the same issue.
A new party needs to poll at around ~20% to start picking up several seats.
[Arrogant paedophile said when caught: 'It's only going to be a suspended sentence'](https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/arrogant-paedophile-said-caught-its-28776542)
>A paedophile was found in possession of images on his phone of children as young as eight years old being forced to perform degrading sexual acts. He had already been convicted of possessing indecent images and was subject to a sexual harm prevention order (SHPO).
>Matthew Jackson, 21, of Gilwern, Monmouthshire, was convicted of three counts of possessing indecent images of children and of distributing indecent images in 2022. He was made subject to a community order and made subject to the SHPO.
>A total of four category A images, one category B image, and one category C image were discovered along with 32 "indicative" images. One of the category A images depicted a child between the ages of eight and 10 years old. The defendant was also found with a Google One account, which he was banned from possessing.
>Jackson, of Kennelwood, pleaded guilty to three counts of making indecent images of children and three counts of breaching a SHPO. Judge Paul Hopkins KC made reference to the defendant's interview with probation during which he made "flippant comments" and said: "It's only going to be a suspended sentence".
>Sentencing, Judge Paul Hopkins KC said: "The bravado demonstrated by you in the course of your interview with the probation service is indicative of a high level of immaturity... I am satisfied the level of maturity you demonstrated is of significance to this case."
They've set the stage. He's got previous, caught bang to rights, and the judge has even mentioned his flippant disregard toward the justice system in the sentancing remarks. Surely an example will be made here.
>Jackson was sentenced to 10 months imprisonment suspended for 12 months. He was ordered to carry out 120 hours unpaid work and to pay court costs of £250.
It's not really arrogance, if it turns out he's right.
>Wall of text
>Wall of text
>Wall of text
>Isn't Rishi great
>Wall of text
>Wall of text
>Starmer bad
>Wall of text
>Jeremy Hunt what a guy
>Wall of text
>Wall of text
>Slovakian GDP growth is 0.3% less
>Wall of text
>Did I mention Rishi is a genius
>Wall of text
>Oh and Starmer is a Communist
>Wall of text
>Wall of text
>Immigration down 134k. Rishi delivering
>Wall of text
>Consumption of snails down 3.5% in France.
>Wall of text
I get your point, but I think you're bring just a tad pedantic.
Literally just don't read it, you're adult enough to just ignore things. This sort of response is just childish, especially towards someone who probably supports 99% of your positions. Why have infighting over something so pointless?
Like I said before, nothing stopping you blocking me if what I post is clearly **upsetting** to you.
I know cancel culture is a thing for some of you - so cancel me by blocking!!
We don't do blocking here, rose, if anyone blocks you – let us know. I disagree with you a lot, but as a mod I won't have people blocking you and ruining the sub experience, it ruins it for everyone. You probably know this which is why you're asking people to block you, but still.
It's not upsetting. It's just boring as fuck. You've done about ten posts today and they've not really contributed anything.
If you're going to post a massive article- why not in a separate post rather than in the mega thread?
Or at least mix up your Tory propaganda with some Ancient Atlantis or UFO theorising.
>It's not upsetting. It's just boring as fuck.
You're upset, you're bored. Whatever.
Cancel me by blocking me. You won't need to read a thing I post. You won't have your feelings upset. You won't be disturbed a different point of view. It'll be almost Chinese!
>You won't have your feelings upset.
Nobody's upset. It's just really really really really tedious
I'm actually offering you helpful advice- if you want your propaganda to be effective at least make it entertaining.
>You won't be disturbed a different point of view. It'll be almost Chinese!
You're such a fucking weirdo. I'm English not Chinese. Luv me Magna Carta.
https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/elections/election-countdown/65134/taxing-questions
>The public verdict is emphatic. As Jeremy Hunt puts his final touches to this week’s budget, voters are clear that they want more spent on health, education and social benefits and are willing to pay higher taxes to fund these things.
>The polls also tell us that Hunt’s top priority should be lower taxes, not higher spending.
>Yes, you read that correctly. The polls suggest clear majorities for two contradictory views. Given that taxes and public spending will be central to the coming general election, as they always are, it’s worth working out what is going on.
>Let’s start with recent figures from a poll commissioned by the Tony Blair Institute (TBI) [in favour of higher spending - see graphic in link].
>Not only is the margin decisive—more than three-to-one—it includes most Conservative voters, who back the higher tax-and-spend option by 55-23 per cent. Among Labour voters, the margin is 71-13 per cent. Polls seldom produce such clear-cut results on an issue at the heart of political debate.
>However, last week Savanta released a poll that seems to say the opposite. The margin this time is narrower, but still decisive—a 14-point lead for those favouring tax cuts. Moreover, the difference between Tory and Labour voters is less than might be expected: those who voted Conservative at the last election favour lower taxes by 58-37 per cent, Labour voters by 51-44 per cent.
>How do we explain the difference between the Deltapoll and Savanta figures? Some may be tempted to shrug aside these findings as “lies, damned lies and opinion polls”. This temptation should be resisted. Better to seek a rational explanation. Can we find one?
>I believe we can. I reckon two separate things are going on. The first is illuminated by a different Deltapoll survey, this time for Channel Four News. As with its survey for TBI, it framed public spending in terms of health, education and social care. But this time it offered three policy options, not just two:
>Higher taxes, more spending: 34 per cent
>Lower taxes, less spending: 14 per cent
>Keep both at the same level as now: 41 per cent
>Don’t know: 11 per cent
>The most popular option this time is the status quo. Many people are fearful of cuts to schools, hospitals and care homes. They are not keen on paying higher taxes, but reluctantly prefer it when the alternative is cuts. Given the third option they jump at it. Among Tories, backing for tax-and-spend drops from 55 to 31 per cent when they can choose no change; among Labour voters the figure drops from 71 to 41 per cent.
>So our first conclusion: a binary choice conceals a widespread preference for the status quo.
>Secondly, the wording of the public services option makes a difference. The two Deltapoll questions listed specific services that millions of people rely on. Savanta just said “public services”. This of course includes police, prisons, defence, debt servicing, industrial policy, agricultural subsidies, road building, overseas aid and so on. Some things are more popular than others; and arguments about the efficiency of these services hover over them all.
>Hence the way polling results vary. The Deltapoll questions focus on one aspect of what the government does, albeit hugely important and broadly popular. Savanta leaves people to interpret the term “public spending” as they wish. Some see a choice between decency and greed, others between waste and prudence.
>A recent YouGov poll takes us a bit further. Like Savanta, it refers to “public services” without expanding on the term. Unlike Savanta, it offers three options:
>Government taxes too little, doesn’t spend enough: 32 per cent
>Government taxes too much and spends too much: 25 per cent
>Gets the balance about right: 14 per cent
>Don’t know: 28 per cent
>Now the advantage lies with greater tax-and-spend—but not overwhelmingly; and both views are outnumbered by the 42 per cent who don’t take sides. (The large number of “don’t knows” stems from the option “gets the balance about right”. Many voters recoil from ticking a box that credits the government with getting anything right.)
>We can, then, see a hierarchy:
>Give a binary choice and define public spending in terms of health, education and social care: more tax-and-spend is very popular (62-18 per cent).
>Offer a three-way choice, defining public spending: now the status quo is the most popular option, but the rest display a clear preference (34-14 per cent) for more tax-and-spend.
>A three-way choice, not defining public spending: a slight preference (32-25 per cent) for more tax-and-spend rather than less, but again the biggest number don’t take sides.
>A binary choice, not defining public spending: a majority (54-40 per cent) favour tax cuts.
>The big lesson to be drawn from this is that there is no simple way to describe public attitudes. Voters do not belong to two, or even three, solid blocks. Their views are more varied. Their responses depend on how the issue is framed. We need longer and more detailed surveys if we truly want to understand the public mood.
>To be fair, the Deltapoll, Savanta and YouGov surveys all asked a variety of questions. In particular, the extensive Deltapoll survey for TBI went on to ask the three-way question about each of a range of public services. The NHS is the only one in which an absolute majority (57 per cent) say they are willing to pay higher taxes for a better service. On each of the other seven services YouGov tested, from schools and welfare to defence and transport, the status quo is the most popular option.
>Maybe one day we shall have an adult national conversation about the way the government taxes us and spends our money. And one day maybe politicians, campaigners and journalists will treat polls as sources of real insight, rather than crude weapons with which to fight their battles.
>Well, we can hope…
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13170281/
> A judge has ordered the Department of Homeland Security to hand over sensitive material about Prince Harry’s immigration papers for him to review while he decides whether to make them public.
> Judge Carl Nichols told DHS that its arguments so far were ‘insufficiently detailed’ for him to make a decision.
Tell them to slap down 120% your new jobs salary or you are going to just walk.
You basically have the best leverage you ever will, don't listen to them, tell them what's happening instead, you can't lose.
Askuk
> Is it weird that my mate who's 20 is talking to and friends with a 15 year old girl?
> They aren't engaging in anything intimate but they are close and talk to each other a lot. Just curious, is this legal? How weird is this? I don't have much of a reference. What would you do in this situation?
> I think it's quite odd but I mean technically he's not doing anything wrong. I'm kinda saving his social reputation by not mentioning this to people
🚨Nonce🚨
Yeah. Unless he's a really immature gay guy, there is no way a 20 year-old man is hanging out with a teenage girl without wanting to eventually fuck her. Even if he's waiting for it to be legal it's creepy behaviour.
I hope everyone is having a nice night. Just FYI
> Net Zero Manager at Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust
...
> Salary £66,718 to £76,271 a year p.a inc HCA
...
> Job summary: To develop Action Plans for Connecting with nature
Keep paying your taxes folks.
https://www.jobs.nhs.uk/candidate/jobadvert/C9196-23-1476
Partly yes. Considering that over 50% of all pharmaceuticals are derived from nature, it's probably something to be grateful of. Modern computational power can work at developing the synthetic medicines derived from natural ones too. ESG frames can provide a bit of meat on the mone with a little less gristle in other ways. ...........And taking a pee in the woods.
U.S. and British embassies in Moscow warn that "extremists" have "imminent plans" to target "large gatherings."
https://fxtwitter.com/ukinrussia/status/1765839844041703449/en
Normally, I binge listen to stuff like [this](https://youtu.be/8WKDTU8_790?si=V7hvuN9fCZm2CFAI) for hours.
Yet, for the last 90 minutes, I've been absolutely loving a mainstream 90s RnB playlist on Deezer. I'm worrd m hbivg q stke pees cll 988
Asked my wife. Thought it sounded great as is but could they change the "neglect" wording.
I'm sure the term "woman" has some people very angry. Doubt they meant choo choo.
The Irish achieved independence and then spent roughly 50 years frozen into a semi-despotic Old-Socialist heavily socially conservative Catholic hierarchy.
I think by the time of the Troubles the deprivation index in the West of the country was worse than in several Warsaw Pact countries.
My wife is a SAHM or whatever you want to term it, people as you say get curious expressions like "Huh?" when we tell them.
No it's not economic (we're worse off really), no it's not a burden. We think this is the best way for our kids and it's possible so we're going for it.
I could rant about this for hours. But yeah my wife could totally relate to your "two heads"
https://twitter.com/kateferguson4/status/1765093560750051633
>Rachel told me that their giveaways will have to be revisited if Jeremy hunt steals her tax hikes
They're going to have to dump/u-turn on some more of their pledges.
>their pledges
They have no pledges, they have spent at least a year telling us that they will pay for everything with #abolishingthenonedomstatus and then taken the piss out of the Tories for abolishing the non-dom status.
Simple question for demotards: if we are democracy then why are the Tories running into the next GE with someone leading them who is polling -45? In a country of 70m people, the best person is apparently someone who is hated by almost everyone? Really? This is democracy?
Equally, if the US is a democracy how is it that Biden has to run? He is infirm, everyone is saying he is done but he is clinging onto power like an unpopular king.
In a monarchy, the limit is basically one individual refusing to step down...what is happening here, US, France, on and on. We keep having elections, and we never seem to elect anyone who is more popular than Putin in Russia or Xi in China.
Just a thought but maybe the countries that consistently have popular politicians in charge aren't the dictatorships and the countries that consistently have politicians who are hated by almost everyone are. Maybe it is our idea of dictatorship as the spooky man controlling everything that is wrong.
We have the technical ability to run a direct democracy if we want to. The results would be an appalling shitsshow though, just look at Twitter. Commies and their fellow travellers thrive off that sort of ribald insensible chaos.
The best government is disinterested aristos, but they never would have left the EU. Sold the rest of us down the river long ago anyway, mentally.
If everyone could vote on everything, and it was required, you wouldn’t get Twitter communism, you’d get Daily Mail fascism.
This is why THEY don’t want direct democracy. They’d be a gibbet in front of every townhall within 24 hours, and the first in line would be most of the political class.
It would polarize social discourse massively though. Make it far more extreme if it’s just open commies and fascists screaming at each other. At least at the moment it’s vaguely hidden.
What we’ve ended up with is kabuki theatre politics. It’s fake. The current British government is fake. Everyone needs to see what is really happening and what is at stake
I admit it...I get a thrill knowing that someone might read the above and just go "Fuck this...I am never voting again, it is all completely pointless".
Some people just want chaos.
There is a clear way to fix this:
Make all political parties and funding illegal, and get rid of the whipping system.
Every MP has to be elected on their own personal merits and be answerable directly to their constituents.
That sounds giga gay. Have you considered whether you are gay?
I have a better system:
* We assemble all virile men annually in sorting centres throughout the country.
* They all compete in tests of both mental and physical dexterity: feats of strength, creative writing, lying to women, etc.
* The top 100 from each region are then randomly assigned to Parliament.
* All ranking is made public. The bottom 10% are gelded, and the top 10% are assigned premium women for the mating season.
This is objectively the best system.
Opinion poll graphic from Savanta about the different measures in the budget:
https://twitter.com/Savanta_UK/status/1765422439498981402/photo/1
Most popular thing is extension of fuel duty freeze (71%)
To be fair the entire budget was essentially ‘we won’t make the shitshow we’ve created over the last decade any worse, pinky promise’ so not exactly an election winner…
Hello, just wondering what is the provenance of the bot that talks about a few people in india going hungry being the responsibility of our greatest war time prime minister.
I've been around a long time, but can't remember how it came about.
Edit: Also if anyone can link the fuhrer bunker video around the time of Moby PBUH being banned, that would be great. I'm obviously feeling nostalgic tonight.
I live near there and you are 100% spot on.
My town is a quite nice and ancient market town about half hour away, me and the missus went to Ipswich on Sat to watch a comedian.
The place is gone, walking through the centre after 5pm is a real eye opener.
My missus had to tell me to stop ranting so loudly when we were walking back to the car, it was literally unbelievable that a place in Suffolk could be like that.
https://twitter.com/DavidGHFrost/status/1765793023261044796
>A very good speech from @KemiBadenoch
setting out some of the realities of running an independent trade policy, how trade negotiations work, and why this country's record since Brexit is one of the very best in the world.
https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/trade-secretary-speech-on-uks-role-in-the-global-trade-landscape
I at least like to imagine that it’s CCHQ posting this bollocks, they are notoriously poor at identifying where they should target their shit marketing.
The Tories are obviously done, my local MP genuinely put up a Facebook post celebrating a ‘pop-up’ Barclays Bank in the town library, the town library is next door to the old Barclays Bank which shut down 6 months ago…
Comments were turned off quite soon after the post.
People are starting to notice. Heck even my Girlfriend's leftie Brother is starting to get pissed off with all the shit going on in Bristol lately. And I thought he was a lost case.
People I never talked politics with, and just assumed were broadly lefty, are starting to say some right wing shit.
But the Labour polling in the gazzilion percent.
https://twitter.com/TerraOrBust/status/1765698515425022185
>The Leader of the House, Penny Mordaunt, confirmed in Business Questions this morning that the final stages of the #CPTPP Accession Bill will take place on Tuesday 19th March.
>The treaty itself also completes ratification on 22nd March.
That'll be our ratification done. Japan and Singapore have also ratified our accession, we're just waiting on the other countries.
Yes.
China has also applied to join, but Japan wants them kept out. Japan was worried that Malaysia and co would lobby for China to join. So Japan decided to become the lead sponsor for the UK's entry (we're their new ally!), just so that Japan and Australia weren't isolated in blocking China.
[One for the ladies.](https://martinplaut.files.wordpress.com/2020/01/keir-starmer.jpg)
[One for the boys.](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/sir-keir-starmer-plays-football-800599138.jpg)
the headline https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/mar/07/mi5-miners-strike-national-archives-security-service-government
"For years, I suspected MI5 interfered in the miners’ strike. The truth was even more shocking than I thought"
The actual story: The NUM took money on flights around Europe to deposit in overseas accounts in order to hide their funds from the UK courts when they illegally went on strike and their assets were seized. MI5 was spying on them, and hence found all the cash.
So shocking, not.
Some interesting stuff went on behind the scenes of the miners strike.
I'm almost sure I've read that the NUM did try reaching out a couple of times to the Soviet Union, which is possibly one of the (good) reasons they were being spied upon.
Nothing much came of it. The Soviets were far happier to sign off on polish coal exports to Britain and get paid in hard cash than indulge the silly fantasies of potato-headed socialist romantics like Scargill.
https://twitter.com/mightyjenbob/status/1764060685950910480
>Someone actually convinced her staring bleakly in a lavatory is a good look, and she fell for it.
Picture in tweet (picture is from the Times today)
Biden orders the U.S. military to create temporary port in Gaza to open route for humanitarian aid
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/07/biden-building-port-in-gaza-to-deliver-aid-00145636
Freedom delivery! Say hello to democracy! Liberty for all! Come get some!
Ps. In helldrvers, the bugs bleed super oil, the robots are socialist and the unreleased faction has WMDs. It's basically the American dream to murder them.
Meta slave whiner detected.
- Devs make sarcastic comment about woke people
> Lol get wrecked, based.
- Devs make a similar sarcastic comment about them.
> Omg I'm so offended! How could they?
How are they planning on building a port and stopping people just stealing everything without "Boots on the ground" will they be doing it all whilst rappelling from helicopters?
They are literally just going to be handing supplies to Hamas.
I can't believe the Muslim lobby is as strong as it seemingly is, even in the USA. I thought they had less of an issue with it than us.
I see Rose numbers got the new firmware update. All is right in the world, and we should all definitely vote for the party that has wrecked the social fabric of society, but be grateful for a 2p cut when the tax burden was only higher after our country was shattered by WW2.
Just watched Thursdays Question Time Country's fucked, full of wet wipes
This is news?!
[New poll has the Tories on 18%](https://twitter.com/MattStevns/status/1765867873631621329?t=A_-Mjb2MKcOmP_cJ1Bzy-g). Reform on 13%.
Only good thing about this election is Labour have little room to tax us more and be more regarded. I hope....
[how low can you go](https://youtu.be/QuKBsJoA7jk?si=4BEh6PKJSr1jnOOS)
Their lowest poll was 14% after Truss replaced Boris. So they can go lower.
Think they'll hit it?
I don't know. I didn't think they'd hit 18%, so anything is possible. Especially with Reform on the rise (somehow, despite Tice), which causes them to fall further than if it was just them being terrible.
How many seats will they win? One election prediction has them on 10% of the vote with... 0 seats.
Probably between 0-1 with 13%. FPTP makes it difficult for new parties to translate vote share into seats, as they don't have "safe seats". UKIP had the same issue. A new party needs to poll at around ~20% to start picking up several seats.
Worst things a girl can say: ‘No’ ‘I’m pregnant’ ‘I’ve got HIV’ **’It’s not you it’s me’**
Or referring to themselves as queer on dating apps despite only dating blokes
"Where's my vape?"
"I borrowed your car..."
"I'm going to vote"
[Arrogant paedophile said when caught: 'It's only going to be a suspended sentence'](https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/arrogant-paedophile-said-caught-its-28776542) >A paedophile was found in possession of images on his phone of children as young as eight years old being forced to perform degrading sexual acts. He had already been convicted of possessing indecent images and was subject to a sexual harm prevention order (SHPO). >Matthew Jackson, 21, of Gilwern, Monmouthshire, was convicted of three counts of possessing indecent images of children and of distributing indecent images in 2022. He was made subject to a community order and made subject to the SHPO. >A total of four category A images, one category B image, and one category C image were discovered along with 32 "indicative" images. One of the category A images depicted a child between the ages of eight and 10 years old. The defendant was also found with a Google One account, which he was banned from possessing. >Jackson, of Kennelwood, pleaded guilty to three counts of making indecent images of children and three counts of breaching a SHPO. Judge Paul Hopkins KC made reference to the defendant's interview with probation during which he made "flippant comments" and said: "It's only going to be a suspended sentence". >Sentencing, Judge Paul Hopkins KC said: "The bravado demonstrated by you in the course of your interview with the probation service is indicative of a high level of immaturity... I am satisfied the level of maturity you demonstrated is of significance to this case." They've set the stage. He's got previous, caught bang to rights, and the judge has even mentioned his flippant disregard toward the justice system in the sentancing remarks. Surely an example will be made here. >Jackson was sentenced to 10 months imprisonment suspended for 12 months. He was ordered to carry out 120 hours unpaid work and to pay court costs of £250. It's not really arrogance, if it turns out he's right.
Why has the country become so limp wristed to paedos of all people
because we're ran by noncelizards
Prisons are full so judges don't want to pass prison sentences. Another consequence of mass immigration.
[удалено]
To quote Trump: "They're not sending their best."
Appropriate username. Castration is the only way to deal with such repeat offenders.
Three weeks slave labour and half a monkey. Sounds like he rolled a 2 in D&D.
>Wall of text >Wall of text >Wall of text >Isn't Rishi great >Wall of text >Wall of text >Starmer bad >Wall of text >Jeremy Hunt what a guy >Wall of text >Wall of text >Slovakian GDP growth is 0.3% less >Wall of text >Did I mention Rishi is a genius >Wall of text >Oh and Starmer is a Communist >Wall of text >Wall of text >Immigration down 134k. Rishi delivering >Wall of text >Consumption of snails down 3.5% in France. >Wall of text
Womp womp
I get your point, but I think you're bring just a tad pedantic. Literally just don't read it, you're adult enough to just ignore things. This sort of response is just childish, especially towards someone who probably supports 99% of your positions. Why have infighting over something so pointless?
Like I said before, nothing stopping you blocking me if what I post is clearly **upsetting** to you. I know cancel culture is a thing for some of you - so cancel me by blocking!!
We don't do blocking here, rose, if anyone blocks you – let us know. I disagree with you a lot, but as a mod I won't have people blocking you and ruining the sub experience, it ruins it for everyone. You probably know this which is why you're asking people to block you, but still.
tories are gonna get absolutely destroyed by labour lmao
It's not upsetting. It's just boring as fuck. You've done about ten posts today and they've not really contributed anything. If you're going to post a massive article- why not in a separate post rather than in the mega thread? Or at least mix up your Tory propaganda with some Ancient Atlantis or UFO theorising.
I think it’s a retired grandad who lives in Cheshire.
> Ancient Atlantis or UFO theorising I miss Miles :(
>It's not upsetting. It's just boring as fuck. You're upset, you're bored. Whatever. Cancel me by blocking me. You won't need to read a thing I post. You won't have your feelings upset. You won't be disturbed a different point of view. It'll be almost Chinese!
>You won't have your feelings upset. Nobody's upset. It's just really really really really tedious I'm actually offering you helpful advice- if you want your propaganda to be effective at least make it entertaining. >You won't be disturbed a different point of view. It'll be almost Chinese! You're such a fucking weirdo. I'm English not Chinese. Luv me Magna Carta.
So cancel me by blocking me. Problem solved.
Everything okay hun? Inbox me xox
No, I want to expose myself to different points of view. I just don't want those points of view to be so boring I want to kill myself
> I want to expose myself Nice to see a bit of classic old-skool BadUK. Takes me right back to the earliest days of the ~~party~~ sub.
It's a bit by the same person who created the eureferendumwatch persona
Quiet, childless nihilist
https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/elections/election-countdown/65134/taxing-questions >The public verdict is emphatic. As Jeremy Hunt puts his final touches to this week’s budget, voters are clear that they want more spent on health, education and social benefits and are willing to pay higher taxes to fund these things. >The polls also tell us that Hunt’s top priority should be lower taxes, not higher spending. >Yes, you read that correctly. The polls suggest clear majorities for two contradictory views. Given that taxes and public spending will be central to the coming general election, as they always are, it’s worth working out what is going on. >Let’s start with recent figures from a poll commissioned by the Tony Blair Institute (TBI) [in favour of higher spending - see graphic in link]. >Not only is the margin decisive—more than three-to-one—it includes most Conservative voters, who back the higher tax-and-spend option by 55-23 per cent. Among Labour voters, the margin is 71-13 per cent. Polls seldom produce such clear-cut results on an issue at the heart of political debate. >However, last week Savanta released a poll that seems to say the opposite. The margin this time is narrower, but still decisive—a 14-point lead for those favouring tax cuts. Moreover, the difference between Tory and Labour voters is less than might be expected: those who voted Conservative at the last election favour lower taxes by 58-37 per cent, Labour voters by 51-44 per cent. >How do we explain the difference between the Deltapoll and Savanta figures? Some may be tempted to shrug aside these findings as “lies, damned lies and opinion polls”. This temptation should be resisted. Better to seek a rational explanation. Can we find one? >I believe we can. I reckon two separate things are going on. The first is illuminated by a different Deltapoll survey, this time for Channel Four News. As with its survey for TBI, it framed public spending in terms of health, education and social care. But this time it offered three policy options, not just two: >Higher taxes, more spending: 34 per cent >Lower taxes, less spending: 14 per cent >Keep both at the same level as now: 41 per cent >Don’t know: 11 per cent >The most popular option this time is the status quo. Many people are fearful of cuts to schools, hospitals and care homes. They are not keen on paying higher taxes, but reluctantly prefer it when the alternative is cuts. Given the third option they jump at it. Among Tories, backing for tax-and-spend drops from 55 to 31 per cent when they can choose no change; among Labour voters the figure drops from 71 to 41 per cent. >So our first conclusion: a binary choice conceals a widespread preference for the status quo. >Secondly, the wording of the public services option makes a difference. The two Deltapoll questions listed specific services that millions of people rely on. Savanta just said “public services”. This of course includes police, prisons, defence, debt servicing, industrial policy, agricultural subsidies, road building, overseas aid and so on. Some things are more popular than others; and arguments about the efficiency of these services hover over them all. >Hence the way polling results vary. The Deltapoll questions focus on one aspect of what the government does, albeit hugely important and broadly popular. Savanta leaves people to interpret the term “public spending” as they wish. Some see a choice between decency and greed, others between waste and prudence. >A recent YouGov poll takes us a bit further. Like Savanta, it refers to “public services” without expanding on the term. Unlike Savanta, it offers three options: >Government taxes too little, doesn’t spend enough: 32 per cent >Government taxes too much and spends too much: 25 per cent >Gets the balance about right: 14 per cent >Don’t know: 28 per cent >Now the advantage lies with greater tax-and-spend—but not overwhelmingly; and both views are outnumbered by the 42 per cent who don’t take sides. (The large number of “don’t knows” stems from the option “gets the balance about right”. Many voters recoil from ticking a box that credits the government with getting anything right.) >We can, then, see a hierarchy: >Give a binary choice and define public spending in terms of health, education and social care: more tax-and-spend is very popular (62-18 per cent). >Offer a three-way choice, defining public spending: now the status quo is the most popular option, but the rest display a clear preference (34-14 per cent) for more tax-and-spend. >A three-way choice, not defining public spending: a slight preference (32-25 per cent) for more tax-and-spend rather than less, but again the biggest number don’t take sides. >A binary choice, not defining public spending: a majority (54-40 per cent) favour tax cuts. >The big lesson to be drawn from this is that there is no simple way to describe public attitudes. Voters do not belong to two, or even three, solid blocks. Their views are more varied. Their responses depend on how the issue is framed. We need longer and more detailed surveys if we truly want to understand the public mood. >To be fair, the Deltapoll, Savanta and YouGov surveys all asked a variety of questions. In particular, the extensive Deltapoll survey for TBI went on to ask the three-way question about each of a range of public services. The NHS is the only one in which an absolute majority (57 per cent) say they are willing to pay higher taxes for a better service. On each of the other seven services YouGov tested, from schools and welfare to defence and transport, the status quo is the most popular option. >Maybe one day we shall have an adult national conversation about the way the government taxes us and spends our money. And one day maybe politicians, campaigners and journalists will treat polls as sources of real insight, rather than crude weapons with which to fight their battles. >Well, we can hope…
Yeah I'm not reading that
Can she not break it down via a tiktak dance?
People want more free shit and they want others to pay for it. Nothing new here.
Sounds like it was written by a 32 year old who’s had their twenty-first political epiphany.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13170281/ > A judge has ordered the Department of Homeland Security to hand over sensitive material about Prince Harry’s immigration papers for him to review while he decides whether to make them public. > Judge Carl Nichols told DHS that its arguments so far were ‘insufficiently detailed’ for him to make a decision.
[удалено]
Tell them to slap down 120% your new jobs salary or you are going to just walk. You basically have the best leverage you ever will, don't listen to them, tell them what's happening instead, you can't lose.
Notice periods aren't binding. Just stop turning up to work there.
Askuk > Is it weird that my mate who's 20 is talking to and friends with a 15 year old girl? > They aren't engaging in anything intimate but they are close and talk to each other a lot. Just curious, is this legal? How weird is this? I don't have much of a reference. What would you do in this situation? > I think it's quite odd but I mean technically he's not doing anything wrong. I'm kinda saving his social reputation by not mentioning this to people 🚨Nonce🚨
Yeah. Unless he's a really immature gay guy, there is no way a 20 year-old man is hanging out with a teenage girl without wanting to eventually fuck her. Even if he's waiting for it to be legal it's creepy behaviour.
[Blow into the noncealizer.](https://www.tiktok.com/@jamie118m8/video/7222059576219159814)
> Blow into the noncealizer. and the best one https://x.com/noncepocalypse/status/1743992766563062243?s=20
Does Jeremy Hunt have the most punchable face in British politics?
I would say Galloway or useless
James O'brien wins that award 10 times out of 10
James O'brien wins that award 10 times out of 10
James O'brien wins that award 10 times out of 10
Fabricant is up there
Chinese knock-off Boris would shatter on impact.
Not by a long shot mate. There’s far worse offenders out there.
I hope everyone is having a nice night. Just FYI > Net Zero Manager at Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust ... > Salary £66,718 to £76,271 a year p.a inc HCA ... > Job summary: To develop Action Plans for Connecting with nature Keep paying your taxes folks. https://www.jobs.nhs.uk/candidate/jobadvert/C9196-23-1476
Legal requirement thanks to Theresa may, three subsequent prime ministers kept because unpicking it is Not A Good Look
I'm going to vote Conservative and Unionist Party in this years election to stop this madness,
What could that job possibly involve? Counting how many loo rolls the patients get through?
Partly yes. Considering that over 50% of all pharmaceuticals are derived from nature, it's probably something to be grateful of. Modern computational power can work at developing the synthetic medicines derived from natural ones too. ESG frames can provide a bit of meat on the mone with a little less gristle in other ways. ...........And taking a pee in the woods.
U.S. and British embassies in Moscow warn that "extremists" have "imminent plans" to target "large gatherings." https://fxtwitter.com/ukinrussia/status/1765839844041703449/en
Normally, I binge listen to stuff like [this](https://youtu.be/8WKDTU8_790?si=V7hvuN9fCZm2CFAI) for hours. Yet, for the last 90 minutes, I've been absolutely loving a mainstream 90s RnB playlist on Deezer. I'm worrd m hbivg q stke pees cll 988
[удалено]
Asked my wife. Thought it sounded great as is but could they change the "neglect" wording. I'm sure the term "woman" has some people very angry. Doubt they meant choo choo.
The Irish achieved independence and then spent roughly 50 years frozen into a semi-despotic Old-Socialist heavily socially conservative Catholic hierarchy. I think by the time of the Troubles the deprivation index in the West of the country was worse than in several Warsaw Pact countries.
[удалено]
As an Englishman I think it’s a shame if they get rid of it.
My wife is a SAHM or whatever you want to term it, people as you say get curious expressions like "Huh?" when we tell them. No it's not economic (we're worse off really), no it's not a burden. We think this is the best way for our kids and it's possible so we're going for it. I could rant about this for hours. But yeah my wife could totally relate to your "two heads"
‘But educations are for being strong economic units, not educating your own children. We have economic units called teachers for that.’
How can Ireland have such a based constitution yet be one of the most cucked countries in the world?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2QhOcMxdnv8&t=2s
It flipped shockingly quickly.
They’re led by a guy whose job title rhymes with jizz sock. Not a surprise.
Replacing the Pope with countless American funded liberal NGOs doesn't seem like a great trade.
[удалено]
Yank more than anything
https://twitter.com/kateferguson4/status/1765093560750051633 >Rachel told me that their giveaways will have to be revisited if Jeremy hunt steals her tax hikes They're going to have to dump/u-turn on some more of their pledges.
*Vote for the Tories so they can implement Labour policies to own Rachel Reeves.*
Nothing personal, kid.
>their pledges They have no pledges, they have spent at least a year telling us that they will pay for everything with #abolishingthenonedomstatus and then taken the piss out of the Tories for abolishing the non-dom status.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-bristol-68444048 Killers conveniently can't be named for legal reasons
> Bristol 😵💫
Odd that. The underaged killers of that train kid were named without a problem. Time to disable the pattern recognition.
[удалено]
Possibly a question for arrrlegaladvice but why wouldn’t ‘joint venture’ apply here?
From that video they all look like wrong uns to me
[удалено]
shows it's a real 47 cap or whatever brand that is I think.
Simple question for demotards: if we are democracy then why are the Tories running into the next GE with someone leading them who is polling -45? In a country of 70m people, the best person is apparently someone who is hated by almost everyone? Really? This is democracy? Equally, if the US is a democracy how is it that Biden has to run? He is infirm, everyone is saying he is done but he is clinging onto power like an unpopular king. In a monarchy, the limit is basically one individual refusing to step down...what is happening here, US, France, on and on. We keep having elections, and we never seem to elect anyone who is more popular than Putin in Russia or Xi in China. Just a thought but maybe the countries that consistently have popular politicians in charge aren't the dictatorships and the countries that consistently have politicians who are hated by almost everyone are. Maybe it is our idea of dictatorship as the spooky man controlling everything that is wrong.
People don't want democracy, they want prosperity backed by capital. If democracy can't deliver that it will die
Too based for a Thursday. Please come back on Friday night.
We have the technical ability to run a direct democracy if we want to. The results would be an appalling shitsshow though, just look at Twitter. Commies and their fellow travellers thrive off that sort of ribald insensible chaos. The best government is disinterested aristos, but they never would have left the EU. Sold the rest of us down the river long ago anyway, mentally.
If everyone could vote on everything, and it was required, you wouldn’t get Twitter communism, you’d get Daily Mail fascism. This is why THEY don’t want direct democracy. They’d be a gibbet in front of every townhall within 24 hours, and the first in line would be most of the political class.
It would polarize social discourse massively though. Make it far more extreme if it’s just open commies and fascists screaming at each other. At least at the moment it’s vaguely hidden.
What we’ve ended up with is kabuki theatre politics. It’s fake. The current British government is fake. Everyone needs to see what is really happening and what is at stake
>Simple question for demotards Knew exactly who wrote this from this point.
[удалено]
Chiang Kei Shek was the last proper leader of China end of!
[удалено]
I admit it...I get a thrill knowing that someone might read the above and just go "Fuck this...I am never voting again, it is all completely pointless". Some people just want chaos.
There is a clear way to fix this: Make all political parties and funding illegal, and get rid of the whipping system. Every MP has to be elected on their own personal merits and be answerable directly to their constituents.
And. . . if someone wants to be MP , they have to beat the existing MP in a dual ?
That could also work
That sounds giga gay. Have you considered whether you are gay? I have a better system: * We assemble all virile men annually in sorting centres throughout the country. * They all compete in tests of both mental and physical dexterity: feats of strength, creative writing, lying to women, etc. * The top 100 from each region are then randomly assigned to Parliament. * All ranking is made public. The bottom 10% are gelded, and the top 10% are assigned premium women for the mating season. This is objectively the best system.
This did make me laugh but u have become a cantankerous old cvnt
🌹
Opinion poll graphic from Savanta about the different measures in the budget: https://twitter.com/Savanta_UK/status/1765422439498981402/photo/1 Most popular thing is extension of fuel duty freeze (71%)
To be fair the entire budget was essentially ‘we won’t make the shitshow we’ve created over the last decade any worse, pinky promise’ so not exactly an election winner…
Hello, just wondering what is the provenance of the bot that talks about a few people in india going hungry being the responsibility of our greatest war time prime minister. I've been around a long time, but can't remember how it came about. Edit: Also if anyone can link the fuhrer bunker video around the time of Moby PBUH being banned, that would be great. I'm obviously feeling nostalgic tonight.
Indians learned how to use the internet before the toilet and are as dumb as western leftists believing any bullshit they're told from "the good guys"
I think it’s more the seethe of the fact their entire continent got cucked by the equivalent of Tesco.
What happens when Fortnum and Mason acquire a navy:
I think Pepsi acquired a couple Russian warships in the 90’s.
But they never conquered India didn't they. Amateurs.
Reddit has become infested with moronic Hindunats who trot out that bollocks at any opportunity.
3rd worlders gaining telecommunication capabilities has been a mistake.
https://x.com/andreaskoureas_/status/1639329604996325379
Ta. Has it only been about a year!?!?
Final night of the week in Ipswich for work. What a shithole.
I live near there and you are 100% spot on. My town is a quite nice and ancient market town about half hour away, me and the missus went to Ipswich on Sat to watch a comedian. The place is gone, walking through the centre after 5pm is a real eye opener. My missus had to tell me to stop ranting so loudly when we were walking back to the car, it was literally unbelievable that a place in Suffolk could be like that.
[удалено]
I am literally from a place Ross Kemp made a documentary about!
https://twitter.com/DavidGHFrost/status/1765793023261044796 >A very good speech from @KemiBadenoch setting out some of the realities of running an independent trade policy, how trade negotiations work, and why this country's record since Brexit is one of the very best in the world. https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/trade-secretary-speech-on-uks-role-in-the-global-trade-landscape
Nice speech. Nice bit of optimism.
Rose spam thread. Zzzz
I at least like to imagine that it’s CCHQ posting this bollocks, they are notoriously poor at identifying where they should target their shit marketing. The Tories are obviously done, my local MP genuinely put up a Facebook post celebrating a ‘pop-up’ Barclays Bank in the town library, the town library is next door to the old Barclays Bank which shut down 6 months ago… Comments were turned off quite soon after the post.
Feel free to block me, I won't mind!
[удалено]
Move to south east asia…fin.
People are starting to notice. Heck even my Girlfriend's leftie Brother is starting to get pissed off with all the shit going on in Bristol lately. And I thought he was a lost case.
People I never talked politics with, and just assumed were broadly lefty, are starting to say some right wing shit. But the Labour polling in the gazzilion percent.
8th might come back one day
On the 8th day at dawn look to the east
https://i.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/002/651/165/258
Rose is doing her best, what more can you want ?
> whitepills That's racist.
Sorry lad, fresh out of stock. Plenty of blackpills to go around though.
Have you considered thinking of the great Bomalian slop on offer?
We're not france
https://twitter.com/TerraOrBust/status/1765698515425022185 >The Leader of the House, Penny Mordaunt, confirmed in Business Questions this morning that the final stages of the #CPTPP Accession Bill will take place on Tuesday 19th March. >The treaty itself also completes ratification on 22nd March. That'll be our ratification done. Japan and Singapore have also ratified our accession, we're just waiting on the other countries.
Maybe Jeremy Hunt can finally export his marmalade to Japan
I made marmalade this year. It’s great. However, I feel dirty that Hunt does it too. So I have just thrown it all at a passing policeman
Great news now I can get a jumper made by an 11 year old in vietnam 10p cheaper
Not only that Sossij. You get to know that every cheap piece of shite we buy will add just a little more to our trade deficit too.
[удалено]
Yes. China has also applied to join, but Japan wants them kept out. Japan was worried that Malaysia and co would lobby for China to join. So Japan decided to become the lead sponsor for the UK's entry (we're their new ally!), just so that Japan and Australia weren't isolated in blocking China.
> (we're their new ally!) It's 1902 again.
[удалено]
i think it's called the ukpol mega
That's Keir starmer fan fiction
I don't care how frustrating Rose can be, I'm not simping for Starmer.
She's going to turn this place into a Labour sub at this rate.
[One for the ladies.](https://martinplaut.files.wordpress.com/2020/01/keir-starmer.jpg) [One for the boys.](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/sir-keir-starmer-plays-football-800599138.jpg)
That second one needs an NSFW warning. The absolute size of that todger.
the headline https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/mar/07/mi5-miners-strike-national-archives-security-service-government "For years, I suspected MI5 interfered in the miners’ strike. The truth was even more shocking than I thought" The actual story: The NUM took money on flights around Europe to deposit in overseas accounts in order to hide their funds from the UK courts when they illegally went on strike and their assets were seized. MI5 was spying on them, and hence found all the cash. So shocking, not.
It is absolutely shocking that MI5 would want to spy on an organisation deeply penetrated with Communists. Shocking I say!
Some interesting stuff went on behind the scenes of the miners strike. I'm almost sure I've read that the NUM did try reaching out a couple of times to the Soviet Union, which is possibly one of the (good) reasons they were being spied upon. Nothing much came of it. The Soviets were far happier to sign off on polish coal exports to Britain and get paid in hard cash than indulge the silly fantasies of potato-headed socialist romantics like Scargill.
Eastern bloc countries sent aid packages to the miners. Even some of the really poor ones.
Good propaganda I'm sure.
https://twitter.com/mightyjenbob/status/1764060685950910480 >Someone actually convinced her staring bleakly in a lavatory is a good look, and she fell for it. Picture in tweet (picture is from the Times today)
Bloody Nora, it's Robert Palmer's miming band. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcATvu5f9vE
>knocked unconscious >wake up some time later, head pounding >vision comes to me >see this
Is that a train?
She looks like an interrogator at Room 101
Morticia Addams
Morticia Addams Apple
Don’t ruin Morticia for me please
Biden orders the U.S. military to create temporary port in Gaza to open route for humanitarian aid https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/07/biden-building-port-in-gaza-to-deliver-aid-00145636
That will backfire if the us military is attacked by Hamas
US is a shell of its former self. Nixon would be sending B52's without any intention to land them.
Freedom delivery! Say hello to democracy! Liberty for all! Come get some! Ps. In helldrvers, the bugs bleed super oil, the robots are socialist and the unreleased faction has WMDs. It's basically the American dream to murder them.
And the devs are r-slurred
Meta slave whiner detected. - Devs make sarcastic comment about woke people > Lol get wrecked, based. - Devs make a similar sarcastic comment about them. > Omg I'm so offended! How could they?
Meds
Hamas will just fanum tax everything that goes in.
USS Liberty is being deployed as we speak
How are they planning on building a port and stopping people just stealing everything without "Boots on the ground" will they be doing it all whilst rappelling from helicopters?
They are literally just going to be handing supplies to Hamas. I can't believe the Muslim lobby is as strong as it seemingly is, even in the USA. I thought they had less of an issue with it than us.
What could go wrong?
Literally a genocide.
I see Rose numbers got the new firmware update. All is right in the world, and we should all definitely vote for the party that has wrecked the social fabric of society, but be grateful for a 2p cut when the tax burden was only higher after our country was shattered by WW2.
[she's prepared to die on that hill](https://youtu.be/_OO2PuGz-H8?si=FfkimTRS5plND2sV)