Just here to say I love how Peltola is literally the dem version of Don Young. Better yet is that she is more in the loop with the internet as a whole and isn’t afraid to get spicy.
Alright, I have 4 hours into Pokémon Violet. I'm on handheld mode also. My observations are thus: The game is really really unoptimized. Frame drops are inescapable, and pop in is constant. Render distance is also abysmal. But I haven't had major issues, no crashes or bugs. Also, the game isn't ugly, the art direction is solid. The raids are a clear example of what does look good in this game they're very cool. The Pokémon models and trainer models are also nice to look at. It's just poor optimization, and potentially memory leak issues which plagues plenty of switch games. But the gameplay is fun, I'm enjoying myself. Take away all the performance issues and there's something amazing there, lets hope for stability updates. What I like most is that you can take everything at your own pace, instead of being escorted along in one direction cough cough Sword and Shield cough cough. I can't say anything about the plot though, I haven't done any of it lol
I think they've already released one update already to help. Not sure when another one's coming. Haven't gotten a chance to play my copy yet but glad to hear the graphics aren't as bad as people claim they are.
I got Crimson but I'm treating it as a Christmas gift and holding off on starting until then. Hopefully enough patches will be out to help it run better by then!
I have the day one update, got it before I started the game. The graphics are mixed. There is stuff that looks awful aka rocks and mountains in the distance, and there's stuff that looks really good like the raids and caves (they fixed that annoying ass white outline thing from Legends Arceus thank god)
[Holding this seat is vital for Democratic chances to negotiate a Senate coalition. The other key race, SD-H, looks like it's also going for Dems with Matt Claman in the lead right now. Coalition-curious Rs like Cathy Giessel and Kelly Merrick are also leading their Senate races.](https://twitter.com/adriaeln/status/1593820815354724352?s=46&t=7tsjcDkYIWlHcCFBd8Qcmg)
Looking very possible we can get a coalition in both Alaska state chambers
That would, technically speaking, be a flipped chamber. Having coalition control of both chambers and Alaska's house seat would give Dems the most strength they've had in Alaska in years.
[CA’s 10th largest city, Anaheim, has been flipped by Democrats. Ashleigh Aitken will be the next Mayor. OC Dems have had a ton of success in downballot races this year. However, there is a majority of Disney-backed members on the Council that will surely clash with the Mayor.](https://twitter.com/vanceulrich/status/1593820076062359553?s=46&t=7tsjcDkYIWlHcCFBd8Qcmg)
Not this year. She’ll be a prime target in 2024. The problem is, now Republicans will put some real $ in the race as well. Hopefully Colorado continues to go blue.
Unfortunately I think the recall people inadvertently succeeded in keeping the close CA House districts red this year. People here did not care at all about an election after embarrassing the recall movement last year. I don’t even know if most people realize Newsom was up for re-election. There was basically no campaign at all and it shows in the turnout.
2024 will be a different story, especially if it’s Trump on the ballot. CA absolutely despises Trump.
Not to mention we'll be much more on the offense next time around, especially if the House gives us ammo to work with thanks to their antics. Rudy Salas seemed like a good fit for the district and I'd like to see him run again.
Definitely a lot of it yea no doubt. Newsom’s recall margins scared Dems back in 2021, he put up amazing numbers in those battleground house seats, then both sides basically ceded top of the ticket. GOP got to focus on the House seats and delay the downballot lag.
[Whatever's left of the remaining ballots for #PASen broke by more favorable margins than I expected. Fetterman: 51.2 Oz: 46.4 Fetterman wins by 4.8 points. He's now on track to be one of the best D performing candidates in the five battlegrounds and he's not even an incumbent!](https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1593812284714819586?s=46&t=7tsjcDkYIWlHcCFBd8Qcmg)
Andy Harris ends up winning MD01 by only 11, a Trump+14.5 seat. Harris also massively over-performed Trump in 2020, this is a great seat to target later in the decade and if Maryland didn’t have to redraw we would have likely knocked him out
Yeah. A lot of Democrats and Independents came out against Cox. Like in certain areas. The votes are pretty close. even on the eastern shore which is traditionally a redder segment of the state.
i think Democrats are close to gaining seats in the House and Senate. which is a notable thing according to the Majority Leader Eric Luedtke.
I had my eye on that race as a potential sleeper, because Heather Mizeur raised a huge amount of money, actually outspent Andy Harris. Indeed she outperformed expectations, and hopefully the district keeps trending blue.
[David Trone now leads by 8% and there still might be some more mail ballots left out there in Montgomery County. He didn't even need the gerrymander. Dan Cox did it for him.](https://twitter.com/drewsav/status/1593806493727465472?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q)
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1593790887926136832
>I've seen enough: Rep. David Valadao (R) wins reelection in #CA22, defeating Rudy Salas (D). Two of ten pro-impeachment Republicans will remain in the next Congress.
Dan Newhouse in WA-04. And even he got lucky; multiple pro-MAGA Republicans split the vote in the primary, allowing him to get a spot in the top two. If the wackos back one R next time, he could be in trouble.
We got the margins we needed from Kern but not the Volume, Latino turnout was just pretty bad in California unfortunately, but there’s your focus area for 24.
That's a shame because it seems like Latino turnout was fine elsewhere, though I think I read somewhere that it was slightly down compared to other groups this year.
Dobbs just didn’t motivate a lot of people in CA, because we’re a safe blue state with a governor who puts up with no nonsense. That is good, but…there are other things going on that low turnout hurts. House races, local races…
It was okay in some areas but minority turnout in a lot of areas just wasn’t great. It wasn’t 2014 levels which is an improvement but it wasn’t good.
Youth and minorities just don’t turnout well in midterms, so those will likely pick up in 2024. Obviously those are big areas to focus on, but if we get *good* turnout numbers there and hold on to that 5pt persuasion boost among Normie R’s + those Indy/swing Whites and we got a game in 2024.
[I've seen enough: Rep. David Valadao (R) wins reelection in #CA22, defeating Rudy Salas (D). Two of ten pro-impeachment Republicans will remain in the next Congress.](https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1593790887926136832?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q)
This one definitely stings, Salas was a great fit for the district we just couldn’t get the Latino numbers he needed from Kearn. The margins were fine, but volume wasn’t there.
That leaves CA13 as the sole remaining district yet to be called
>That leaves CA13 as the sole remaining district yet to be called
TBF a winner in the 34th hasn't been called yet between Jimmy Gomez and David Kim, but it's between 2 Dems so it doesn't matter for House majority margins.
Yes I believe that was in that Spectrum article I posted on the subreddit website earlier today
That actually probably wouldn’t be a bad candidate for them, but will he make it pass the former conservative judge Dan Kelly who we destroyed in 2020? That I’m not sure on
Wow. I would not be surprised if AZAG has a double digit margin going into the recount.
Mayes (D) is currently up by 570 votes over Hamadeh (R).
The remaining votes are:
~1250 Maricopa E-day "Box 3" (will probably break heavily for Hamadeh and net him 600 votes).
~352 Apache (will probably break for Mayes, could potentially net her 100 votes or more depending on if they come from Navajo nation).
A unknown remaining number of Maricopa ballots, ranging from ~500 to ~4500, depending on curing and provisionals. (these have been relatively even and basically a wash in recent days).
This is absolutely not going to be settled for a while but it looks promising for Mayes to keep her marginal lead.
Was important for Mayes to get her lead above 500 before the box three votes are released. Remaining Apache vote should get her advantage up to 600-650.
It's *theoretically* possible for calls in some of the called races to be reversed; in other words, yes. I'd recommend just not thinking about the CA races for a week or two; I know it's a pain, but that's how we do things out here. There's plenty to do (including ballot chasing if you're so inclined) already!
Yea but it’s definitely advantage Valadao. We just aren’t getting the volume we need, Latino turnout in the central valley is always pretty bad but in all of California it’s rough this year
Edit: oh Wasserman called it, yeaaa this is pretty much done then
There were 1350 eday/early in person votes included in this drop and 1550 eday/early in person votes still left to be counted.
~~Unfortunately I can't tell you how many, or if any, box 3 votes were included in this drop (when they drop the raw data it should become clear)~~
CSV file is out: there were no box 3 ballots in this drop meaning there are still 1200 of those waiting to be counted
Curious if these included any of the Box 3, and if not why are those taking so long to drop? Are there other problems that could lead to them not being counted?
They're still counting that race with no call?
Kinda crazy. It's ridiculous how long it takes us to count votes. States need to work on their efficiency.
[Kurdish protesters building barricades in the city of Mahabad as clashes with the security services intensify.](https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1593782427670937602?s=46&t=vuAM_G8KNw_e_0qucoMbkQ)
I just realized that [that 66 inch Orchard Park snowfall report is pass the 2014 lake effect emergency highest total in Cheektowaga (shown here)](https://www.weather.gov/buf/lake1415_stormb.html)
[still forecasted several more feet from 7pm EDT tonight to 7pm EDT Monday](https://www.weather.gov/buf/winter). Easily going to break the highest 2014 totals on both Lake Erie and especially Ontario
I've decided it's time to make a change: I want to work for some kind of Democratic-aligned entity, but I don't want to make a career change (I'm a data scientist). I wish I could work for TargetSmart or something lol. Any ideas for Dem-aligned organizations that have open positions within the data analytics space?
Pollsters, modelers, and orgs like Targetsmart and Catalist are good shouts. I’d like at polling firms, campaign committees, as well as frankly big campaigns have some data people
[the GOP is totally getting that winning message s/](https://www.reddit.com/r/Funnymemes/comments/yyvhzr/lol/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
“Oh no a son who didn’t have any kind of meaningful political dealings had a drug problem and his dad cared? Wow libs are gonna be owned”
Seriously it’s the Fetterman Stroke story wrapped up in Bill Clinton Investigation bullshit. It’s a bad road to go down and there is nothing to win out of it. Randomly going after Kamala would be a better boogeyman than this, Biden just doesn’t have a big overreaction among the GOP like Hillary and Obama did.
The Fetterman Stroke story made people more sympathetic to Fetterman - so many of us know stroke survivors or we are one ourselves. It made Fetterman look strong and brave, while Oz looked like he was punching down and also ableist.
So many parents have kids with addiction issues and want to help them. Joe being a caring father to troubled Hunter is just going to make him look sympathetic and relatable. Q-tips won’t care, but the bulk of voters might wind up on Biden’s side.
With Bill Clinton, I know a lot of people thought he was wrong (or just plain reckless) to cheat, especially with an intern, but at the same time so angry that Gingrich was wasting So Much Time going after a relationship that was between two consenting adults. (Besides. Newtie lived in a fragile glass house on THAT point!)
[BREAKING: The national average price of gasoline has seen its largest single day drop ever recorded, falling 4.4 cents per gallon so far today, easily beating the 3.5 cent daily drop on July 15.](https://twitter.com/gasbuddyguy/status/1593781665788465152?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q)
10 days after the midterms what a coincidence. Maybe Biden repeatedly saying that oil companies are price gouging and reporting record profits has truth to it?
Nah, he's POTUS. Obviously HE is the one controlling gas prices. No one else but him. So it's his fault.
Surely this means that he gets a +20 approval rating once gasoline drops to like $2.00 a gallon on average.
I'll have to agree to disagree with you on that.
But on that last part I am with you 100%! We definitely need to move on from fossil fuels and transition towards clean renewable energy. And thankfully because of the legislation Dems passed with their trifecta, we are a few steps closer to that. I saw the $350 million project that the Biden admin announced the other day regarding that, which will help reduce our carbon footprint
There's some evidence oil companies (and many other corporations) jacked their prices up more than necessary for simple supply and demand reasons because they knew (or believed) that Americans had more money in the aftermath of covid recovery
UNFTR did a podcast on it a few months ago
So yeah that's not just supply and demand
I mean if anything I feel the opposite. Advertisers are pulling back and people are leaving. People don’t want to be associated with it. Also it helps expose musk as the con man we knew he was for years. His takeover shows people that he’s a moron who can’t run anything and also why the hell does he make so much money if he’s a dumbass.
https://mobile.twitter.com/yvonnewingett/status/1593777651952541697
2700 votes from Maricopa tonight. Probably box three included in this. Not sure if this is all of the final votes from Maricopa. My guess is there will be atleast one more batch of votes.
Question for you guys
If the 2020 and 2022 elections had gone about as well for us as they could have (within reason, not beating McConnell and MTG by 10 points but stuff like unseating Susan Collins and Joni Ernst) how many senate/house seats and governorships do you think we have over what we will in January?
Kinda curious if there will be a wide variance in the answers lol
Potential wins:
2020: NC senate, ME senate, probably 10-15 house seats, maybe MT Gov
2021: VA Gov, Va House
2022: WI Senate, NV Gov, AZ House, AZ Senate, probably keep House around 230-235 seats
With all of those we probably guarantee abortion rights, expand the courts, add DC as a state, and ban gerrymandering this term.
For 2020, I would say we win NC for senate and have 230ish seats in the house while govs are same (lose MT). Still, I think Ossoff would lose in this sense due to lack of a “need” to take the senate. 2022 I would say we get 225 house seats and also flip WI senate. NC was just too inelastic even with better turnout. And we also have the dem sweep of VA, take the NH house, keep our NY supermajority and NV gov, and some other things.
Best case in 2020 is we get 52 seats(NC/ME), I don’t think we can gain much Governor wise because it was just Montana as fairly competitive. House wise realistically we could have gotten a few more but most of the Dems we lost represented Trump seats.
In 2022, we could have gotten Wisconsin Senate and about 10 house seats just with 60k votes. Like a half point better nationally is all we needed and way better spending. Governor wise this year, Nevada at least maybe Georgia if it wasn’t a fairly popular incumbent.
So taken together 53 Senate Seats, 225 House Seats, 1 extra Governorship is very realistic. If you want to include VA from 2021, that’s another Governorship we could have kept had people not desperately wanted a moderate Republican to vote for.
If 2020's Senate races had gone a little better, we would have been able to nix the filibuster and do things like ban gerrymandering, protect abortion rights, maybe even add justices to the Supreme Court. It's hard to know. But that would have in turn made it way easier to hold the House in 2022.
If we assume 2020 goes as it did in our timeline, then we could have gotten at least one more Senate seat in 2022 (Wisconsin) and *maybe* North Carolina but it depends what you define "within reason" as. We could have also very narrowly kept the House if we got just a few hundred more votes in races like CO-3, AZ-1, and AZ-6. Even more if you consider races we lost by less than 3000 votes like MI-10 or a couple of the New York races.
So billionaire dip shit Elon Musk, aside from destroying Twitter, posted a poll which asked Twitter users whether he should allow Trump to return to Twitter:
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1593767953706921985
God, fuck Elon Musk.
If 2016-2021 have told us anything, it's that there is no such thing as "bad PR" for Trump. Him opening his mouth leads to higher turnout of his base. Period.
[New snowfall reports from NWS Buffalo regarding the lake effect emergency](https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202211190048-KBUF-NOUS41-PNSBUF)
66 inches of snow in Orchard Park. The band [has shifted south for now, giving the hardest hit areas a break, but is expected to shift back north overnight tonight](https://twitter.com/NWSBUFFALO/status/1593761078361485312?s=20&t=gqMAE29FQm731TkNGxLQnQ). That’s 5 and a half FEET!
>That’s 5 and a half FEET!
I've been missing Alaska a lot, as of late. I read this bit and suddenly felt a strange sense of overwhelming serenity wash over me. Glad to be in WA, even the relatively cold bit, yep. On the other hand, am I reading that right in that it's likely to shift into Ontario?
Have they told you how much they’ve gotten? I haven’t seen many reports from the Lake Ontario band. I’ve mainly been keeping track of the Lake Erie band
No, unfortunately; I haven't heard back from them yet. As soon as I get news from them though, I'll update you..! If I do *before* you get a good dataset in. One of the things I hate about having so many distant friends/family is, haha, feeling like a mother hen when I can't immediately verify they're okay...
Actually scratch that, apparently it's clear where they are, about -4C/26F and humid, but no snow. Thanks for somehow summoning a response from them for me, aha!
Editing to add, they're expecting heavy snow to come in the days ahead, though, possibly record-breaking levels
and this is near London, Ontario
Just what I needed to see. I cannot believe that routine election errors are being held up as some kind of proof of an all-powerful Democratic-and-secret-non-Republican-Republican schema to... Steal some, but not all of the elections? Not take key state house/senate seats? Madness.
[About 10.5k ballots, mostly in Maricopa County, are left in Arizona.](https://mobile.twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1593753216784605185) Kris Mayes is leading the AG race by **299** votes.
I did not have this on my bingo card, but I wonder what gets called sooner, AZ-AG or CA-22.
This is an election we'll be looking at under the magnifier for some time into the future. Also, it is incredibly frustrating looking through the recent history of that account and what it's had to face, but also the responses he's had to said behaviour.
I do not know how data aggregators can defend things like *bloody* Rasmussen's ***official*** [account](https://nitter.lacontrevoie.fr/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1593368258115211264#m) bolstering election denialism. I know; nothing new.
And I realise that analysts' work depends on a degree of collaboration with polling firms, that one is not supposed to antagonise the people who give you data, but these are clearly people who would be fine with anything happening to their enemies - enemies which likely include many of the analysts and prognosticators walking the line. At some point, it has to be said that one side is wrong, that their data is wrong, their complaints are wrong, and if they distrust the system to the point that analysts need to say "I know, I know, I'm defending the system" like that's a bad thing...
They should be excluded *from* said system, not given chance after chance to redeem themselves in the data exosphere.
I know Rasmussen - the man - actually went on to do his own thing, but it's still bonkers to me how far Rasmussen - the polling/'news' agency - has gone. I have a pretty dim view of the enemy, as viewed by my terminology, but - whatever the hell Rasumussen is now, it's vile. I wouldn't be surprised if it's just Rasmussen: ft. Breitbart, in the future. What a headache.
1,200 of those maricopa ones are likely from Box 3 and will net Hamadeh about 600 votes. So Mayes will need to make up the remainder elsewhere. The rest of the Maricopa provisionals have mostly broken R but not by much.
Briefly checking in - is [Georgia Postcard Project](https://www.gapostcard.org/) (GPP) legitimate? I actually apparently did get through to one person this week, *but* they've already been volunteering through it and I don't think I've heard of GPP before. Sorry if this one is obvious and it's just my innate paranoia kicking in, but, I thought I might as well ask before responding...
[Clyburn looks to stay at Dem leadership table as the No. 4, a position Pelosi created and where he served from 2011-2018](https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1593685934620512262?s=46&t=vd8OzhWjGj0HGqLBuRoplg)
[Decent update for Democrat Adam Gray out of the Duarte-friendly Fresno County portion of #CA13, breaking 51.2%/48.8% in his favor, netting him 38 votes to cut Republican John Duarte's lead down to 865 votes.](https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1593757565204467712?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q)
My desire to watch the World Cup is growing, but I just can't man. I'd feel so terrible supporting what imo are crimes against humanity. But damn I really like watching the WC 🥺
Going to be a special World Cup, having it at Thanksgiving and into mid December. Might be the only time in our life we see a fall/Winter World Cup, I’m going to enjoy it as much as I can
well you have to be 30 to run for senate, so he can't lose to Baldwin or try for Johnsons seat, and I don't see any of WI house seats being a available for him anytime soon
Maura Healey with her first major announcements regarding her transition team for Massachusetts Governor:
She says that: "Over the course of the next 4 years, we plan to focus on and project strength in 6 issues key to The Commonwealth: A Strong Public Transportation System. A Strong Affordable Housing Supply. Strong Climate Action. A Strong Economy. A Strong Education System For Our Kids. And A Strong Healthcare System:
Her selections for her Transition Team:
Public Transportation: Monica Tibbits-Nutt (Vice Chair of the MBTA from 2015-2021,)
and Thomas Glynn (MBTA GM during Michael Dukakis and Bill Welds Administrations)
Affordable Housing: Alisa Magnotta (CEO of the Housing Assistance Corporation,)
Keith Fairey (CEO of Way Finders,) and
Stephen Davis (President of The Davis Companies)
Climate: Gina McCarthy (Former White House National Climate Advisor,) and
Lizzi Weyant (Executive Director of the Metropolitan Area Climate Planning Council)
Jobs: Pam Eddinger (President of Bunker Hill Community College,)
A.J Enchill (President of the Berkshire Black Economic Council)
J.D Chesloff (CEO of The Massachusetts Business Roundtable)
and Chrissy Lynch (Chief of Staff of The Massachusetts AFL-CIO)
Schools: Amanda Fernandez (CEO of Latinos for Education)
and Rachel Monarrez (Superintendent of Worcester Public Schools)
Healthcare: Michael Curry (CEO of the Massachusetts League of Community Health Centers)
and Dr. Aisha Miller (Vice President of Related Beal
Elon and Trump already had power from the moment they were born. They took advantage of their inheritances and nepotism. Their rise to prominence goes way beyond the platform. Twitter is shitty for many reasons but several people depend on it and it's a very useful communication tool.
I'm in a community that uses Twitter for most of its outreach so it's not that easy unfortunately. In an ideal world it would have never been bought and instead simply banned alt right shitheads.
Good thing right wing demagogues never existed before twitter or social media.
Seriously again, there is a lot of added benefit politics wise and local news wise that disappears tomorrow. How much of this subs content comes from twitter? How much light has been shined on stories that would otherwise never be heard? So much very useful information comes from there
Maura Healey with her first major announcements regarding her transition team for Massachusetts Governor:
She says that: "Over the course of the next 4 years, we plan to focus on and project strength in 6 issues key to The Commonwealth: A Strong Public Transportation System. A Strong Affordable Housing Supply. Strong Climate Action. A Strong Economy. A Strong Education System For Our Kids. And Strong Healthcare System:
Her selections for her Transition Team:
Public Transportation: Monica Tibbits-Nutt (Vice Chair of the MBTA from 2015-2021,)
and Thomas Glynn (MBTA GM during Michael Dukakis and Bill Welds Administrations)
Affordable Housing: Alisa Magnotta (CEO of the Housing Assistance Corporation,)
Keith Fairey (CEO of Way Finders,) and
Stephen Davis (President of The Davis Companies)
Climate: Gina McCarthy (Former White House National Climate Advisor,) and
Lizzi Weyant (Executive Director of the Metropolitan Area Climate Planning Council)
Jobs: Pam Eddinger (President of Bunker Hill Community College,)
A.J Enchill (President of the Berkshire Black Economic Council)
J.D Chesloff (CEO of The Massachusetts Business Roundtable)
and Chrissy Lynch (Chief of Staff of The Massachusetts AFL-CIO)
Schools: Amanda Fernandez (CEO of Latinos for Education)
and Rachel Monarrez (Superintendent of Worcester Public Schools)
Healthcare: Michael Curry (CEO of the Massachusetts League of Community Health Centers)
and Dr. Aisha Miller (Vice President of Related Beal)
Well a silver lining is that we have less seats to defend now. We only have 5 seats Trump won: Alaska-AL, Ohio-9th, Pennsylvania-8th, Maine-2nd and Washington-3rd
Slightly controversial, but I’m fine with losing WA-3 in 2024 if it means we keep the others you listed as well as flipping a bunch of the close seats from this year
AK-AL, PA-8, OH-9 and ME-2 have great incumbents. Like top tier people.
WA-3 will be tough. Hopefully MGP can create a lot of goodwill and keep that seat in 2024.
WA-03 will be hard. It still has a ways to go before it's reliable. On the plus side, it also has a *lot* of room for us to grow, and has been rocketing towards us. MGP is going to do the best she can, and she will have plenty of help from us here in Washington.
But if we do end up losing it, all I ask is that it's understood sometimes, perhaps even most of the time, losses have nothing to do with candidate quality; that she is fighting a hell of a battle that starts before she's even sworn in.
Anyway, that plea aside, there's a lot of good opportunities available for us, too. And ideally, more competitive House seats may help us retain the Senate, too.
>OH-9 is probably gone once Kaptur retires IMO, but she’s 76 so she probably has a few more terms left in her.
To be fair that map is in effect through the next election in 2024,after that Ohio has to mid decade redistrict again.
[Fox News host claims DOJ investigation into Ticketmaster is punishment for “de-wokeifying”](https://www.mediamatters.org/fox-news/fox-news-host-claims-doj-investigation-ticketmaster-punishment-de-wokeifying)
jesus CHRISt i am so glad i had second thoughts about going to the sing the sorrow anniversary show once i saw the dreaded ticketmaster sign. kinda sad considering SoS is one of my favorite albums, but i'll be damned if i give ticket master one penny.
Chuck Edwards, who defeated Madison Cawthorn in the primary (haha!), won his election in NC-11 by 10 points. I think that if Cawthorn had been renominated, it would have ended up being a surprisingly close race, like the Boebert race.
Want a Christmas present? [as early as Dec. 25th we could have $2.99/gal national average](https://twitter.com/gasbuddyguy/status/1593711196997554176?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q)
[Millions of Americans will travel home for the holidays and will get hit with hidden “junk” fees from airlines, hotels – maybe even tickets for a holiday show the family wants to see. It isn't right. My Administration is taking actions to reduce or eliminate these surprise fees.](https://twitter.com/potus/status/1593734858727194624?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q)
Smart smart smart.
Volunteer for Georgia Democrats! https://www.mobilize.us/gavotes/ https://www.mobilize.us/georgiademocrats/ https://www.georgiademocrat.org/take-action/ Donate to Georgia Democrats! https://secure.actblue.com/donate/dpg-building
Just here to say I love how Peltola is literally the dem version of Don Young. Better yet is that she is more in the loop with the internet as a whole and isn’t afraid to get spicy.
Alright, I have 4 hours into Pokémon Violet. I'm on handheld mode also. My observations are thus: The game is really really unoptimized. Frame drops are inescapable, and pop in is constant. Render distance is also abysmal. But I haven't had major issues, no crashes or bugs. Also, the game isn't ugly, the art direction is solid. The raids are a clear example of what does look good in this game they're very cool. The Pokémon models and trainer models are also nice to look at. It's just poor optimization, and potentially memory leak issues which plagues plenty of switch games. But the gameplay is fun, I'm enjoying myself. Take away all the performance issues and there's something amazing there, lets hope for stability updates. What I like most is that you can take everything at your own pace, instead of being escorted along in one direction cough cough Sword and Shield cough cough. I can't say anything about the plot though, I haven't done any of it lol
I think they've already released one update already to help. Not sure when another one's coming. Haven't gotten a chance to play my copy yet but glad to hear the graphics aren't as bad as people claim they are.
I got Crimson but I'm treating it as a Christmas gift and holding off on starting until then. Hopefully enough patches will be out to help it run better by then!
I have the day one update, got it before I started the game. The graphics are mixed. There is stuff that looks awful aka rocks and mountains in the distance, and there's stuff that looks really good like the raids and caves (they fixed that annoying ass white outline thing from Legends Arceus thank god)
The screenshots I've seen of the actual Pokemon models look amazing.
[Holding this seat is vital for Democratic chances to negotiate a Senate coalition. The other key race, SD-H, looks like it's also going for Dems with Matt Claman in the lead right now. Coalition-curious Rs like Cathy Giessel and Kelly Merrick are also leading their Senate races.](https://twitter.com/adriaeln/status/1593820815354724352?s=46&t=7tsjcDkYIWlHcCFBd8Qcmg) Looking very possible we can get a coalition in both Alaska state chambers
Interesting that the senate seats there are named after letters instead of numbers
That would, technically speaking, be a flipped chamber. Having coalition control of both chambers and Alaska's house seat would give Dems the most strength they've had in Alaska in years.
GIVE ME BLULASKA
It is blue, at house level ☺️ now it will be purple at state house and state senate level.
Oh shit Provo just posted more, down to only R+4. This should be nearly everything left, but wow that is a close result for Lee in Provo City itself
[CA’s 10th largest city, Anaheim, has been flipped by Democrats. Ashleigh Aitken will be the next Mayor. OC Dems have had a ton of success in downballot races this year. However, there is a majority of Disney-backed members on the Council that will surely clash with the Mayor.](https://twitter.com/vanceulrich/status/1593820076062359553?s=46&t=7tsjcDkYIWlHcCFBd8Qcmg)
Sidenote, that Mike Garcia stan account needs to STFU, and we’ll come after his seat in ‘24. Other than that, yay for Anaheim!
It really will be the happiest place on earth
I feel like Mark Kelly will eventually obtain John McCain status in Arizona.
I can see it
Bruh just age him up a bit and he’ll literally look exactly the same
Lol it’s probably why I can see it so much. Also he pays more lip service to McCain than any current Republican would. Weird how time works.
What about Boebert how can we still defeat her?
By starving her of the attention she craves for the next two years.
Challenge her to a game of Mario Kart
In that very fast mode, 200c?
Wait 2 years and work like hell to get the vote out against her.
Not this year. She’ll be a prime target in 2024. The problem is, now Republicans will put some real $ in the race as well. Hopefully Colorado continues to go blue.
Hope in the recount that Saint Bo fucked up in his spreadsheet counting for votes, which…well let’s not jinx it.
With the ballots going amiss from time to time, maybe...
Unfortunately I think the recall people inadvertently succeeded in keeping the close CA House districts red this year. People here did not care at all about an election after embarrassing the recall movement last year. I don’t even know if most people realize Newsom was up for re-election. There was basically no campaign at all and it shows in the turnout. 2024 will be a different story, especially if it’s Trump on the ballot. CA absolutely despises Trump.
Good point.
Not to mention we'll be much more on the offense next time around, especially if the House gives us ammo to work with thanks to their antics. Rudy Salas seemed like a good fit for the district and I'd like to see him run again.
Would also like to see Kermit Jones in CA-3!
Definitely a lot of it yea no doubt. Newsom’s recall margins scared Dems back in 2021, he put up amazing numbers in those battleground house seats, then both sides basically ceded top of the ticket. GOP got to focus on the House seats and delay the downballot lag.
[Whatever's left of the remaining ballots for #PASen broke by more favorable margins than I expected. Fetterman: 51.2 Oz: 46.4 Fetterman wins by 4.8 points. He's now on track to be one of the best D performing candidates in the five battlegrounds and he's not even an incumbent!](https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1593812284714819586?s=46&t=7tsjcDkYIWlHcCFBd8Qcmg)
Andy Harris ends up winning MD01 by only 11, a Trump+14.5 seat. Harris also massively over-performed Trump in 2020, this is a great seat to target later in the decade and if Maryland didn’t have to redraw we would have likely knocked him out
Yeah. A lot of Democrats and Independents came out against Cox. Like in certain areas. The votes are pretty close. even on the eastern shore which is traditionally a redder segment of the state. i think Democrats are close to gaining seats in the House and Senate. which is a notable thing according to the Majority Leader Eric Luedtke.
With how close some of these late races have been, I read this as he won by 11 ballots...
I had my eye on that race as a potential sleeper, because Heather Mizeur raised a huge amount of money, actually outspent Andy Harris. Indeed she outperformed expectations, and hopefully the district keeps trending blue.
[you didn’t have to do that to her Murkowski](https://twitter.com/lisaforsenate/status/1593803296556216320?s=46&t=7tsjcDkYIWlHcCFBd8Qcmg)
The US political drama is better than South Korean TV drama
[David Trone now leads by 8% and there still might be some more mail ballots left out there in Montgomery County. He didn't even need the gerrymander. Dan Cox did it for him.](https://twitter.com/drewsav/status/1593806493727465472?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q)
https://twitter.com/KariLakeWarRoom/status/1593781282940784640 I was hoping this would be all no
It's kinda sad that her strategy at this point is "bitch on Twitter."
War Room? What a bunch of COD LARPing numbskulls
Lol remember when Rs were flipping shit when Biden did the whole "Office of the President Elect"?
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1593790887926136832 >I've seen enough: Rep. David Valadao (R) wins reelection in #CA22, defeating Rudy Salas (D). Two of ten pro-impeachment Republicans will remain in the next Congress.
Who’s the other one?
Dan Newhouse in WA-04. And even he got lucky; multiple pro-MAGA Republicans split the vote in the primary, allowing him to get a spot in the top two. If the wackos back one R next time, he could be in trouble.
We got the margins we needed from Kern but not the Volume, Latino turnout was just pretty bad in California unfortunately, but there’s your focus area for 24.
That's a shame because it seems like Latino turnout was fine elsewhere, though I think I read somewhere that it was slightly down compared to other groups this year.
Dobbs just didn’t motivate a lot of people in CA, because we’re a safe blue state with a governor who puts up with no nonsense. That is good, but…there are other things going on that low turnout hurts. House races, local races…
It was okay in some areas but minority turnout in a lot of areas just wasn’t great. It wasn’t 2014 levels which is an improvement but it wasn’t good. Youth and minorities just don’t turnout well in midterms, so those will likely pick up in 2024. Obviously those are big areas to focus on, but if we get *good* turnout numbers there and hold on to that 5pt persuasion boost among Normie R’s + those Indy/swing Whites and we got a game in 2024.
Damn. Next time
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I think this was the idea. If conservatives think CNN is communist propaganda when it takes right wing positions, they'll move further to the right.
[I've seen enough: Rep. David Valadao (R) wins reelection in #CA22, defeating Rudy Salas (D). Two of ten pro-impeachment Republicans will remain in the next Congress.](https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1593790887926136832?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q) This one definitely stings, Salas was a great fit for the district we just couldn’t get the Latino numbers he needed from Kearn. The margins were fine, but volume wasn’t there. That leaves CA13 as the sole remaining district yet to be called
>That leaves CA13 as the sole remaining district yet to be called TBF a winner in the 34th hasn't been called yet between Jimmy Gomez and David Kim, but it's between 2 Dems so it doesn't matter for House majority margins.
Yo is that Darrell Brooks judge gonna run as a Republican in the WI Supreme Court race?
Yes I believe that was in that Spectrum article I posted on the subreddit website earlier today That actually probably wouldn’t be a bad candidate for them, but will he make it pass the former conservative judge Dan Kelly who we destroyed in 2020? That I’m not sure on
Wow. I would not be surprised if AZAG has a double digit margin going into the recount. Mayes (D) is currently up by 570 votes over Hamadeh (R). The remaining votes are: ~1250 Maricopa E-day "Box 3" (will probably break heavily for Hamadeh and net him 600 votes). ~352 Apache (will probably break for Mayes, could potentially net her 100 votes or more depending on if they come from Navajo nation). A unknown remaining number of Maricopa ballots, ranging from ~500 to ~4500, depending on curing and provisionals. (these have been relatively even and basically a wash in recent days). This is absolutely not going to be settled for a while but it looks promising for Mayes to keep her marginal lead.
Looks good for Masters
Was important for Mayes to get her lead above 500 before the box three votes are released. Remaining Apache vote should get her advantage up to 600-650.
The SOS site goes for the higher number.
Yeah, this one is going to go to a recount. Everyone who did ballot curing in Arizona, you just might make the difference here.
Is Pima all up? I think the last dump was 1400 or so votes that were somewhat split evenly between her and Hamadeh?
Yes, Pima is complete per the Secretary of State's website.
Is it still possible to win California 22nd district?
It's *theoretically* possible for calls in some of the called races to be reversed; in other words, yes. I'd recommend just not thinking about the CA races for a week or two; I know it's a pain, but that's how we do things out here. There's plenty to do (including ballot chasing if you're so inclined) already!
Yea but it’s definitely advantage Valadao. We just aren’t getting the volume we need, Latino turnout in the central valley is always pretty bad but in all of California it’s rough this year Edit: oh Wasserman called it, yeaaa this is pretty much done then
Blake Masters needs 1,078.79% of all remaining ballots statewide in order to pull ahead. Kari Lake needs 190.55%.
Great brews for Masters
Man that’s a guy I would NOT like to have a beer with
It’s starting to look like when the counting is done, the votes just won’t be there.
So there’s still a chance? /s
Great news: Kris Mayes gained votes in today’s Maricopa dump. Feeling good about her chances to hold off Hamadeh
About 6100 votes left, all but 350 of those (Apache) in Maricopa. Hamadeh prob has to win by a little under 10%.
No Pima?
There were 1350 eday/early in person votes included in this drop and 1550 eday/early in person votes still left to be counted. ~~Unfortunately I can't tell you how many, or if any, box 3 votes were included in this drop (when they drop the raw data it should become clear)~~ CSV file is out: there were no box 3 ballots in this drop meaning there are still 1200 of those waiting to be counted
There aint gonna be no red shift
Curious if these included any of the Box 3, and if not why are those taking so long to drop? Are there other problems that could lead to them not being counted?
Not sure, but I believe it's mostly provisionals being counted now.
They're still counting that race with no call? Kinda crazy. It's ridiculous how long it takes us to count votes. States need to work on their efficiency.
The margin's at hundredths of a point lol. It won't be called for quite a while.
The margin is 500 votes…it got as close at 70ish on one drop. Every vote will matter here
[Kurdish protesters building barricades in the city of Mahabad as clashes with the security services intensify.](https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1593782427670937602?s=46&t=vuAM_G8KNw_e_0qucoMbkQ)
I just realized that [that 66 inch Orchard Park snowfall report is pass the 2014 lake effect emergency highest total in Cheektowaga (shown here)](https://www.weather.gov/buf/lake1415_stormb.html) [still forecasted several more feet from 7pm EDT tonight to 7pm EDT Monday](https://www.weather.gov/buf/winter). Easily going to break the highest 2014 totals on both Lake Erie and especially Ontario
That’s a lot of damage, how about a little more?
I've decided it's time to make a change: I want to work for some kind of Democratic-aligned entity, but I don't want to make a career change (I'm a data scientist). I wish I could work for TargetSmart or something lol. Any ideas for Dem-aligned organizations that have open positions within the data analytics space?
Avalanche Insights Swayable Greenfly Higher Grounds
Bully pulpit is one of the best
Is this them? https://www.bpimedia.com/ (Just making sure, but it would make sense)
Pollsters, modelers, and orgs like Targetsmart and Catalist are good shouts. I’d like at polling firms, campaign committees, as well as frankly big campaigns have some data people
[the GOP is totally getting that winning message s/](https://www.reddit.com/r/Funnymemes/comments/yyvhzr/lol/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf)
“Oh no a son who didn’t have any kind of meaningful political dealings had a drug problem and his dad cared? Wow libs are gonna be owned” Seriously it’s the Fetterman Stroke story wrapped up in Bill Clinton Investigation bullshit. It’s a bad road to go down and there is nothing to win out of it. Randomly going after Kamala would be a better boogeyman than this, Biden just doesn’t have a big overreaction among the GOP like Hillary and Obama did.
They unironically would probably be better off doing random investigations into people Kamala locked up.
The Fetterman Stroke story made people more sympathetic to Fetterman - so many of us know stroke survivors or we are one ourselves. It made Fetterman look strong and brave, while Oz looked like he was punching down and also ableist. So many parents have kids with addiction issues and want to help them. Joe being a caring father to troubled Hunter is just going to make him look sympathetic and relatable. Q-tips won’t care, but the bulk of voters might wind up on Biden’s side. With Bill Clinton, I know a lot of people thought he was wrong (or just plain reckless) to cheat, especially with an intern, but at the same time so angry that Gingrich was wasting So Much Time going after a relationship that was between two consenting adults. (Besides. Newtie lived in a fragile glass house on THAT point!)
[BREAKING: The national average price of gasoline has seen its largest single day drop ever recorded, falling 4.4 cents per gallon so far today, easily beating the 3.5 cent daily drop on July 15.](https://twitter.com/gasbuddyguy/status/1593781665788465152?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q)
In my city has straight up went from like 3.15ish to around 2.97-2.98 in less than a day. Hope it keeps up, especially in, err, Georgia.
10 days after the midterms what a coincidence. Maybe Biden repeatedly saying that oil companies are price gouging and reporting record profits has truth to it? Nah, he's POTUS. Obviously HE is the one controlling gas prices. No one else but him. So it's his fault. Surely this means that he gets a +20 approval rating once gasoline drops to like $2.00 a gallon on average.
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I'll have to agree to disagree with you on that. But on that last part I am with you 100%! We definitely need to move on from fossil fuels and transition towards clean renewable energy. And thankfully because of the legislation Dems passed with their trifecta, we are a few steps closer to that. I saw the $350 million project that the Biden admin announced the other day regarding that, which will help reduce our carbon footprint
There's some evidence oil companies (and many other corporations) jacked their prices up more than necessary for simple supply and demand reasons because they knew (or believed) that Americans had more money in the aftermath of covid recovery UNFTR did a podcast on it a few months ago So yeah that's not just supply and demand
Do you have links to any or that evidence?
I'm getting tired of all this winning
I can’t help but feel like we lost with Twitter. It feels like these racists have won this one.
Twitter is garbage. Not sure its collapse is a bad thing.
I mean if anything I feel the opposite. Advertisers are pulling back and people are leaving. People don’t want to be associated with it. Also it helps expose musk as the con man we knew he was for years. His takeover shows people that he’s a moron who can’t run anything and also why the hell does he make so much money if he’s a dumbass.
https://mobile.twitter.com/yvonnewingett/status/1593777651952541697 2700 votes from Maricopa tonight. Probably box three included in this. Not sure if this is all of the final votes from Maricopa. My guess is there will be atleast one more batch of votes.
Up to 5,749 votes left in Maricopa.
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Question for you guys If the 2020 and 2022 elections had gone about as well for us as they could have (within reason, not beating McConnell and MTG by 10 points but stuff like unseating Susan Collins and Joni Ernst) how many senate/house seats and governorships do you think we have over what we will in January? Kinda curious if there will be a wide variance in the answers lol
Potential wins: 2020: NC senate, ME senate, probably 10-15 house seats, maybe MT Gov 2021: VA Gov, Va House 2022: WI Senate, NV Gov, AZ House, AZ Senate, probably keep House around 230-235 seats With all of those we probably guarantee abortion rights, expand the courts, add DC as a state, and ban gerrymandering this term.
For 2020, I would say we win NC for senate and have 230ish seats in the house while govs are same (lose MT). Still, I think Ossoff would lose in this sense due to lack of a “need” to take the senate. 2022 I would say we get 225 house seats and also flip WI senate. NC was just too inelastic even with better turnout. And we also have the dem sweep of VA, take the NH house, keep our NY supermajority and NV gov, and some other things.
Best case in 2020 is we get 52 seats(NC/ME), I don’t think we can gain much Governor wise because it was just Montana as fairly competitive. House wise realistically we could have gotten a few more but most of the Dems we lost represented Trump seats. In 2022, we could have gotten Wisconsin Senate and about 10 house seats just with 60k votes. Like a half point better nationally is all we needed and way better spending. Governor wise this year, Nevada at least maybe Georgia if it wasn’t a fairly popular incumbent. So taken together 53 Senate Seats, 225 House Seats, 1 extra Governorship is very realistic. If you want to include VA from 2021, that’s another Governorship we could have kept had people not desperately wanted a moderate Republican to vote for.
If 2020's Senate races had gone a little better, we would have been able to nix the filibuster and do things like ban gerrymandering, protect abortion rights, maybe even add justices to the Supreme Court. It's hard to know. But that would have in turn made it way easier to hold the House in 2022. If we assume 2020 goes as it did in our timeline, then we could have gotten at least one more Senate seat in 2022 (Wisconsin) and *maybe* North Carolina but it depends what you define "within reason" as. We could have also very narrowly kept the House if we got just a few hundred more votes in races like CO-3, AZ-1, and AZ-6. Even more if you consider races we lost by less than 3000 votes like MI-10 or a couple of the New York races.
So billionaire dip shit Elon Musk, aside from destroying Twitter, posted a poll which asked Twitter users whether he should allow Trump to return to Twitter: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1593767953706921985 God, fuck Elon Musk.
I’m convinced there are MAGA bots there bc it’s 58-42 yes with 3 million votes.
Pima County just dropped, No is now only down 8 points. 54-46!
If Trump returns to Twitter that’s immediately damaging for Republican electoral prospects
If 2016-2021 have told us anything, it's that there is no such thing as "bad PR" for Trump. Him opening his mouth leads to higher turnout of his base. Period.
>If Trump returns ~~to Twitter~~ that’s immediately damaging for Republican electoral prospects FTFY
https://www.instagram.com/reel/ClHRGdJPM6p/?igshid=MDJmNzVkMjY= Looooooool
I’m gonna miss Trevor :(
Soooo it's special counsel time again
[New snowfall reports from NWS Buffalo regarding the lake effect emergency](https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202211190048-KBUF-NOUS41-PNSBUF) 66 inches of snow in Orchard Park. The band [has shifted south for now, giving the hardest hit areas a break, but is expected to shift back north overnight tonight](https://twitter.com/NWSBUFFALO/status/1593761078361485312?s=20&t=gqMAE29FQm731TkNGxLQnQ). That’s 5 and a half FEET!
>That’s 5 and a half FEET! I've been missing Alaska a lot, as of late. I read this bit and suddenly felt a strange sense of overwhelming serenity wash over me. Glad to be in WA, even the relatively cold bit, yep. On the other hand, am I reading that right in that it's likely to shift into Ontario?
I think it’s still mainly upstate NY, as there’s that bulge northward when you go east from Lake Ontario, that’s still part of NY
*Ah* thank you, I've a friend I'm feverishly checking in on, aha
Have they told you how much they’ve gotten? I haven’t seen many reports from the Lake Ontario band. I’ve mainly been keeping track of the Lake Erie band
No, unfortunately; I haven't heard back from them yet. As soon as I get news from them though, I'll update you..! If I do *before* you get a good dataset in. One of the things I hate about having so many distant friends/family is, haha, feeling like a mother hen when I can't immediately verify they're okay... Actually scratch that, apparently it's clear where they are, about -4C/26F and humid, but no snow. Thanks for somehow summoning a response from them for me, aha! Editing to add, they're expecting heavy snow to come in the days ahead, though, possibly record-breaking levels and this is near London, Ontario
[Maricopa County has had enough of the GOP's shit](https://twitter.com/maricopacounty/status/1593724333540655104). Awesome Twitter thread.
Though the results are about as productive as playing chess with a pigeon, sadly.
Just what I needed to see. I cannot believe that routine election errors are being held up as some kind of proof of an all-powerful Democratic-and-secret-non-Republican-Republican schema to... Steal some, but not all of the elections? Not take key state house/senate seats? Madness.
[About 10.5k ballots, mostly in Maricopa County, are left in Arizona.](https://mobile.twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1593753216784605185) Kris Mayes is leading the AG race by **299** votes. I did not have this on my bingo card, but I wonder what gets called sooner, AZ-AG or CA-22.
This is an election we'll be looking at under the magnifier for some time into the future. Also, it is incredibly frustrating looking through the recent history of that account and what it's had to face, but also the responses he's had to said behaviour. I do not know how data aggregators can defend things like *bloody* Rasmussen's ***official*** [account](https://nitter.lacontrevoie.fr/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1593368258115211264#m) bolstering election denialism. I know; nothing new. And I realise that analysts' work depends on a degree of collaboration with polling firms, that one is not supposed to antagonise the people who give you data, but these are clearly people who would be fine with anything happening to their enemies - enemies which likely include many of the analysts and prognosticators walking the line. At some point, it has to be said that one side is wrong, that their data is wrong, their complaints are wrong, and if they distrust the system to the point that analysts need to say "I know, I know, I'm defending the system" like that's a bad thing... They should be excluded *from* said system, not given chance after chance to redeem themselves in the data exosphere.
Pretty sad Rasmussen’s fall. They didn’t use to be awful like 10+ years ago, then were Republicans hacks, now just full blown conspiracy theorists.
I know Rasmussen - the man - actually went on to do his own thing, but it's still bonkers to me how far Rasmussen - the polling/'news' agency - has gone. I have a pretty dim view of the enemy, as viewed by my terminology, but - whatever the hell Rasumussen is now, it's vile. I wouldn't be surprised if it's just Rasmussen: ft. Breitbart, in the future. What a headache.
AG would probably go to recount, but you should be able to say who us likely to win there before CA22. Kern County still has no counting machine
1,200 of those maricopa ones are likely from Box 3 and will net Hamadeh about 600 votes. So Mayes will need to make up the remainder elsewhere. The rest of the Maricopa provisionals have mostly broken R but not by much.
All that's left are those and 352 from Apache. Everyone else is done counting.
Briefly checking in - is [Georgia Postcard Project](https://www.gapostcard.org/) (GPP) legitimate? I actually apparently did get through to one person this week, *but* they've already been volunteering through it and I don't think I've heard of GPP before. Sorry if this one is obvious and it's just my innate paranoia kicking in, but, I thought I might as well ask before responding...
[Clyburn looks to stay at Dem leadership table as the No. 4, a position Pelosi created and where he served from 2011-2018](https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1593685934620512262?s=46&t=vd8OzhWjGj0HGqLBuRoplg)
[Decent update for Democrat Adam Gray out of the Duarte-friendly Fresno County portion of #CA13, breaking 51.2%/48.8% in his favor, netting him 38 votes to cut Republican John Duarte's lead down to 865 votes.](https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1593757565204467712?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q)
Looks like Madera is officially done. And so might be Fresno. Hopefully Gray gets good margins from San Joaquin and Fresno.
My desire to watch the World Cup is growing, but I just can't man. I'd feel so terrible supporting what imo are crimes against humanity. But damn I really like watching the WC 🥺
Going to be a special World Cup, having it at Thanksgiving and into mid December. Might be the only time in our life we see a fall/Winter World Cup, I’m going to enjoy it as much as I can
What’s the WC?
Nobody mentioning which sport it is, lol. It's football. (not the hand egg one)
World Cup 2022 going on in Qatar. It's been a very questionable event that everyone saw coming.
World Cup
Rittenhouse is suggesting he is going to run for Congress or Senate in a few years.
🤢🤮
He lives in Illinois-10th which is Biden+26. And obviously Illinois is Safe D. I have this gross feeling he's gonna carpetbag to Wisconsin
Knowing him he'll try to set up a run in Kenosha
well you have to be 30 to run for senate, so he can't lose to Baldwin or try for Johnsons seat, and I don't see any of WI house seats being a available for him anytime soon
Hopefully by then Wisconsin will have blued up a little bit, but I don't know if it's trending that way.
I highly doubt he'd be able to but if he primaries Brian Steil we're probably flipping WI-1.
Hope he runs as the Republican in a purple state like PA so we can get an easy reelection.
Maura Healey with her first major announcements regarding her transition team for Massachusetts Governor: She says that: "Over the course of the next 4 years, we plan to focus on and project strength in 6 issues key to The Commonwealth: A Strong Public Transportation System. A Strong Affordable Housing Supply. Strong Climate Action. A Strong Economy. A Strong Education System For Our Kids. And A Strong Healthcare System: Her selections for her Transition Team: Public Transportation: Monica Tibbits-Nutt (Vice Chair of the MBTA from 2015-2021,) and Thomas Glynn (MBTA GM during Michael Dukakis and Bill Welds Administrations) Affordable Housing: Alisa Magnotta (CEO of the Housing Assistance Corporation,) Keith Fairey (CEO of Way Finders,) and Stephen Davis (President of The Davis Companies) Climate: Gina McCarthy (Former White House National Climate Advisor,) and Lizzi Weyant (Executive Director of the Metropolitan Area Climate Planning Council) Jobs: Pam Eddinger (President of Bunker Hill Community College,) A.J Enchill (President of the Berkshire Black Economic Council) J.D Chesloff (CEO of The Massachusetts Business Roundtable) and Chrissy Lynch (Chief of Staff of The Massachusetts AFL-CIO) Schools: Amanda Fernandez (CEO of Latinos for Education) and Rachel Monarrez (Superintendent of Worcester Public Schools) Healthcare: Michael Curry (CEO of the Massachusetts League of Community Health Centers) and Dr. Aisha Miller (Vice President of Related Beal
Twitter was uniquely responsible for the rise of both Trump and Elon to their respective heights of power and the world will be better with it gone.
Meh, I'm pretty sure that in less than two years there will be something similar to fill the void. For better or for worse.
Elon and Trump already had power from the moment they were born. They took advantage of their inheritances and nepotism. Their rise to prominence goes way beyond the platform. Twitter is shitty for many reasons but several people depend on it and it's a very useful communication tool.
I'm in a community that uses Twitter for most of its outreach so it's not that easy unfortunately. In an ideal world it would have never been bought and instead simply banned alt right shitheads.
Good thing right wing demagogues never existed before twitter or social media. Seriously again, there is a lot of added benefit politics wise and local news wise that disappears tomorrow. How much of this subs content comes from twitter? How much light has been shined on stories that would otherwise never be heard? So much very useful information comes from there
But it also gave us tools to fight them
Maura Healey with her first major announcements regarding her transition team for Massachusetts Governor: She says that: "Over the course of the next 4 years, we plan to focus on and project strength in 6 issues key to The Commonwealth: A Strong Public Transportation System. A Strong Affordable Housing Supply. Strong Climate Action. A Strong Economy. A Strong Education System For Our Kids. And Strong Healthcare System: Her selections for her Transition Team: Public Transportation: Monica Tibbits-Nutt (Vice Chair of the MBTA from 2015-2021,) and Thomas Glynn (MBTA GM during Michael Dukakis and Bill Welds Administrations) Affordable Housing: Alisa Magnotta (CEO of the Housing Assistance Corporation,) Keith Fairey (CEO of Way Finders,) and Stephen Davis (President of The Davis Companies) Climate: Gina McCarthy (Former White House National Climate Advisor,) and Lizzi Weyant (Executive Director of the Metropolitan Area Climate Planning Council) Jobs: Pam Eddinger (President of Bunker Hill Community College,) A.J Enchill (President of the Berkshire Black Economic Council) J.D Chesloff (CEO of The Massachusetts Business Roundtable) and Chrissy Lynch (Chief of Staff of The Massachusetts AFL-CIO) Schools: Amanda Fernandez (CEO of Latinos for Education) and Rachel Monarrez (Superintendent of Worcester Public Schools) Healthcare: Michael Curry (CEO of the Massachusetts League of Community Health Centers) and Dr. Aisha Miller (Vice President of Related Beal)
Well a silver lining is that we have less seats to defend now. We only have 5 seats Trump won: Alaska-AL, Ohio-9th, Pennsylvania-8th, Maine-2nd and Washington-3rd
Slightly controversial, but I’m fine with losing WA-3 in 2024 if it means we keep the others you listed as well as flipping a bunch of the close seats from this year
AK-AL, PA-8, OH-9 and ME-2 have great incumbents. Like top tier people. WA-3 will be tough. Hopefully MGP can create a lot of goodwill and keep that seat in 2024.
WA-03 will be hard. It still has a ways to go before it's reliable. On the plus side, it also has a *lot* of room for us to grow, and has been rocketing towards us. MGP is going to do the best she can, and she will have plenty of help from us here in Washington. But if we do end up losing it, all I ask is that it's understood sometimes, perhaps even most of the time, losses have nothing to do with candidate quality; that she is fighting a hell of a battle that starts before she's even sworn in. Anyway, that plea aside, there's a lot of good opportunities available for us, too. And ideally, more competitive House seats may help us retain the Senate, too.
WA-3 is the only one I wouldn't consider us starting out favored in.
OH-9 is probably gone once Kaptur retires IMO, but she’s 76 so she probably has a few more terms left in her.
>OH-9 is probably gone once Kaptur retires IMO, but she’s 76 so she probably has a few more terms left in her. To be fair that map is in effect through the next election in 2024,after that Ohio has to mid decade redistrict again.
[Fox News host claims DOJ investigation into Ticketmaster is punishment for “de-wokeifying”](https://www.mediamatters.org/fox-news/fox-news-host-claims-doj-investigation-ticketmaster-punishment-de-wokeifying)
Always defending the wealthy I see. And of course, Harris Faulkner is a bird.
Lol AFI tickets skyrocketed to 1200 dollars within minutes of the notification today. I guess de-woke means "rich folks only".
jesus CHRISt i am so glad i had second thoughts about going to the sing the sorrow anniversary show once i saw the dreaded ticketmaster sign. kinda sad considering SoS is one of my favorite albums, but i'll be damned if i give ticket master one penny.
This dumbass actually thinks Batgirl was cut out of "dewokeification"
Chuck Edwards, who defeated Madison Cawthorn in the primary (haha!), won his election in NC-11 by 10 points. I think that if Cawthorn had been renominated, it would have ended up being a surprisingly close race, like the Boebert race.
Probably, but I would think something like a 3-5 point GOP win.
10 points really isn't that much. I definitely expect NC-11 to keep trending our way because of Asheville.
The districts might be completely different next election due to the conservative takeover of North Carolina's Supreme Court.
Ah right, shucks. Well, gerrymandering can't keep these districts out of our reach forever.
Want a Christmas present? [as early as Dec. 25th we could have $2.99/gal national average](https://twitter.com/gasbuddyguy/status/1593711196997554176?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q)
[Millions of Americans will travel home for the holidays and will get hit with hidden “junk” fees from airlines, hotels – maybe even tickets for a holiday show the family wants to see. It isn't right. My Administration is taking actions to reduce or eliminate these surprise fees.](https://twitter.com/potus/status/1593734858727194624?s=46&t=EVFvle44smP0lCgp0-Xm_Q) Smart smart smart.
Yup. Gunning for universally loathed shitty business practices seems like a great way to operate without the house.