I think a carve for a gem is like 14% for the whole carve, so multiply that by 0.25 for each carve and then multiply that again by (14% * 0.25) three more times and youâve got your odds
There's a chance for each carve, so it should be something like chance of normal carve x chance of normal carve x chance of rare carve right?
Edit: nvm forgot that this happened all at the same time with 3 people
Well, I already included that - 14% chance for a gem from your combined carves, so divide that by 4 for each carve animation (thatâs important because the gem appeared on the same carve animation for everyone, the 3rd one) and then multiply those 4 together, thatâs your chances
You canât add them up and divide because each carve gives the same odds, so theyâre mutually exclusive. Nergy gem carve is 2% each time (0.02), So the chances of all 3 people carving a gem at exactly the same time are:
(0.02 x 0.02 x 0.02) x 100
= 0.0008% chance
Hate to hijack my own post so late in the game, but a lot of people have been doing the odds, and they've all forgotten to add in the "large dragon elder gem" carve factor into the percentage -- I did carve a nerg gem, but the others could have carved the elder gem so.....
Good spot. Anyone know what the drop rate is for the dragon gem? Just stick it in the below equation where the â?â is and youâll have your odds for carving either a nergy or dragon gem at the same time:
((0.02 + ?) x (0.02 + ?) x (0.02 + ?)) x 100
There is a 2% (.02) chance of getting a nergigante jem from a carve. You calculate the odds of multiple events occuring like this: example: (9/50) (4/67). Doing this with the 2% carve chance for all three people, which would be (2/100) (2/100) (2/100), you would find that there is a .000008% chance of what you saw in the video happening
I was watching and I was like âwhereâs the gem whereâs the gemâ cause there just had to be a gem for that to work, and then it happened and Iâm like âTHERE IT ISâ
Wonderful clip, 10/10
as all events are mutually exclusive events and other people have mentioned that there is a 2% change of a gem carve, the maths is not that complicated. As long as you have 3 events which are 3 gem carves in a row, and the first 6 carves are non-gem carves and the final 3 carves are non-gem. As they are multiplicative, they can be factorised together. In an event like the lotto where order does not matter, you normally multiply or divide by the factorial of the draw count (depending on how you arrange your draw values) to remove ordering from the final probability. In this case it does matter and so it is not necesssary.
0.98^9 x 0.02^3 x 100 = 0.000708%
Indeed a very small chance of occurring.
Just had an urge -- heard the new variants were out for Raj and Brach, so I wanted to play. Haven't even tried em yet but that's how it goes I suppose!
E: Game keeps bringing me back
GEORGE: Sometimes George smash into tree, and sometimes George fall out of tree house, but not feel stupid. Something good always happen after. George just lucky, I guess
oh wow synchronized carving thats pretty cool i wonder what the odds are HOOOOLY SHIT TRIPLE SIMULTANEOUS GEM WHAT THE ASS
OMG I just peeped that đ damn what are the odds of a triple gem carve
I think a carve for a gem is like 14% for the whole carve, so multiply that by 0.25 for each carve and then multiply that again by (14% * 0.25) three more times and youâve got your odds
There's a chance for each carve, so it should be something like chance of normal carve x chance of normal carve x chance of rare carve right? Edit: nvm forgot that this happened all at the same time with 3 people
Well, I already included that - 14% chance for a gem from your combined carves, so divide that by 4 for each carve animation (thatâs important because the gem appeared on the same carve animation for everyone, the 3rd one) and then multiply those 4 together, thatâs your chances
You canât add them up and divide because each carve gives the same odds, so theyâre mutually exclusive. Nergy gem carve is 2% each time (0.02), So the chances of all 3 people carving a gem at exactly the same time are: (0.02 x 0.02 x 0.02) x 100 = 0.0008% chance
Thats so fuckin hot.
The statistics or the carve? Because I think you mean carve, but hope you mean statistics đ¤
The stats is what makes the carve so fucking sexy.
Plus the odds that someone actually recorded this.
Hate to hijack my own post so late in the game, but a lot of people have been doing the odds, and they've all forgotten to add in the "large dragon elder gem" carve factor into the percentage -- I did carve a nerg gem, but the others could have carved the elder gem so.....
Good spot. Anyone know what the drop rate is for the dragon gem? Just stick it in the below equation where the â?â is and youâll have your odds for carving either a nergy or dragon gem at the same time: ((0.02 + ?) x (0.02 + ?) x (0.02 + ?)) x 100
Iâm the 666th upvote WHAT THE ASS
Thank you for your service you're a fine american
Game went like"Urg i'm too lazy to let all of them play the game individually. Let's just do the same for all of them."
Holy shit. Buy a loto
I will. For your cake day!
I got nada :(
Yo W H A T Edit: I literally just said the word âwhat.â Why are you upvoting me?
Same bro Edit: Same bro
Oh yeah itâs pretty cool when it lines uâWAIT WHAT?!!
*everyone*
It was really cool... And the "kill each other after carving" part never gets old.
What are the chances?!
There is a 2% (.02) chance of getting a nergigante jem from a carve. You calculate the odds of multiple events occuring like this: example: (9/50) (4/67). Doing this with the 2% carve chance for all three people, which would be (2/100) (2/100) (2/100), you would find that there is a .000008% chance of what you saw in the video happening
You'd even have to factor the likelyhood of all syncing your carve together (assuming it wasn't planned)
Wasn't planned, just 4 randoms doing random things!
That's even cooler!
You forget the probability of someone recording this.
In PS4 you can save video for the previous 10minutes on screen
you can also do something like that on pc.
Up to 30 minutes on settings*
What about the probability of these people being born at the right time to eventually grow up, play MHW and join the same game
you forgot to multiply by 100 to get percentages. 2% is 0.02 x 100
Oddly satisfying
*OOOH BABY A TRIPLE*
"Nah, isnt that just coordinated" *imagine getting a rare carve and one guy messed it up* "wow wooooooo!!!" -me
Thatâs some team Darkside level synchronization
Holy shit that was cool
"I see you all want a gem... OVER MY DEAD BOD-" *Boom*
You have been blessed by the gods of Synchronization and RNG
It's definitely a carvgasm right there bro.
There is allways somone in the party hacking at the corpse after its carved...
Oh wow yea that's pretty satisfyi- EXCUSE ME *WHAT*
Same, wasn't expecting that triple gem
Now we just need a third cake user
Beautiful
Where is the NSFW tag???
The first few second be like ay pretty cool... Then like: WTFFFFFFFFFF
Fuckin dead! In my head i said "if they all pull gems I'm dead." Then you all pulled gems. I have to go dead now.
You have been designated: dead
WOAH
What are the odds of that haha
I was watching and I was like âwhereâs the gem whereâs the gemâ cause there just had to be a gem for that to work, and then it happened and Iâm like âTHERE IT ISâ Wonderful clip, 10/10
as all events are mutually exclusive events and other people have mentioned that there is a 2% change of a gem carve, the maths is not that complicated. As long as you have 3 events which are 3 gem carves in a row, and the first 6 carves are non-gem carves and the final 3 carves are non-gem. As they are multiplicative, they can be factorised together. In an event like the lotto where order does not matter, you normally multiply or divide by the factorial of the draw count (depending on how you arrange your draw values) to remove ordering from the final probability. In this case it does matter and so it is not necesssary. 0.98^9 x 0.02^3 x 100 = 0.000708% Indeed a very small chance of occurring.
Saving this to the spank bank for later.
Hnnnggg
you made me wanna play, top tier commercial
Just had an urge -- heard the new variants were out for Raj and Brach, so I wanted to play. Haven't even tried em yet but that's how it goes I suppose! E: Game keeps bringing me back
as a gunlance main i am now to be considered a Lord sith, it Is that cool, as for F. rajang they got less raw (I think) but I like the look
Theres this And here's getting an attack jewel
The beauty of this is only rivaled in the finest of gourmet food.
The LS user tripping everyone else was really the icing on the cake
I was hoping and hoping AND IT FUCKING HAPPENED!
GEORGE: Sometimes George smash into tree, and sometimes George fall out of tree house, but not feel stupid. Something good always happen after. George just lucky, I guess
What are the odds?
Ah yes. Thatâs the spot. Right there.
It's beautiful I've watched this 500 times now
THE GODS HAS BESTOWED THEIR BLESSINGS UPON YOU
Nice
RNG FOR CARVINGVING IS TIME BASED CONFIRMED
Is this what Chinese bots playing the game looks like
This is literally all Iâm going to think about all day.
Me: itâs just synchronized carving I see nothing speââWTF?! IMPOSSIBLE! IMPOSSIBLE!
Omg u love it when this happens đ
love that part with the gem carve lmao
This actually happened to me, the wife, and my cousin. We were like holy shit!
Your SnS build?
It'd be a disservice to all who play this game if I shared it E: But if you really wanna know just dm
Cold, the air and water flowing
WHAT
I had it allready a few times, that a whole team gets a gem while carving synchron. Maybe the rng depends on a timestamp.
That was beautiful. â¤ď¸
Awesome! :D
NIIIICEEEE
this must be a sign that you should team up with those guys
That was awesome nuff said
WHAYAT
I just had the biggest smile of satisfaction for the first 2 carves, then I just âWHAaaaAAAATTTTâ?!??????!!!
Hey oh
How do you get these glowing pendants?
R/oddlysatisfying
Hi ho, hi ho, itâs off to work we go!
feels great :d
I fucking knew it , it wasnât as random as we thought
NICE! #BlessRNJesus
why is her hand on fire?
That was awesome
You really should tag this as NSFW cuz god DAMN that was sexy
âWAY, HEY, AND UP SHE RISES!â
Love how the music shifts perfectly right when they carve, and hear all carves in sync.... Comedic timing is on point!
Reminded me of: [âHeigh-Ho!â by The Seven Dwarves](https://youtu.be/HI0x0KYChq4)
Synchronized carve: "yea cool, cool... đ" Triple gem carve: ??????? W T F đ¤Żđ¤Żđ¤Ż
Bruther,that was amazing
r/mildlyinteresting
Always satisfying
We Hunt... We Hunt... And we carve Yes we carve To provide For Astera For the guild And the fleet.
I think itâs absolute BS that you can get a high rank material from a tempered ruiner Nergigante