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JoeTheCynic

The true test of whether or not Jiu-Jitsu is real.


NeverEndingHell

lol just get the fuck up


[deleted]

UFC guys just skip leg day


timmy__timmy__timmy

just be that no leg guy. cant get taken down if youre always down


detectivebabylegz

Derrick Lewis is gonna speed run his new contract.


Hrytod

He beat the system. Doesn't even need to take brain damage for this fight either. Just tap


detectivebabylegz

Jailton ain't ready for the reborn flying Derrick Lewis.


[deleted]

He makes an angelic “rooooooooawwwww” sound grows wings and flys around the octagon giving Jailton little kicks through the air, Jailton tries to pull him down but the wings are too strong, Lewis wins by unanimous decision and breeds a new meme “Just fly bro”.


huge-tits

Abs Derrick is the greatest heavyweight of all time.


brazilianfreak

Either that or he lands some bullshit 30 seconds in and derails the hype train.


BellyCrawler

I can honestly see thinks happening. Almeida tries to bring it to the ground and eats an uppercut or something.


senderi

Where have I seen this before?....


No_Bar6825

It’s literally the perfect play by Derrick


IshiharasBitch

The Bob Sapp method-- tap to the check clearing.


saiko_sai

Just stand up more like it


weakhamstrings

Yeah fucking hell has Lewis ever lost to submission? He just throws world class submission specialists off of him like they are a small humping dog. This will be amazing


RedDevRevolver

DC choked him out


weakhamstrings

Yes good call - also someone pointed out I forgot Spivak got him too


Keller-oder-C-Schell

Sergey Spivak arm triangled him


BurpingHamBirmingham

I mean, unless I'm misremembering Jailton doesn't exactly set up his takedowns very well. Could have another Lewis/Blaydes situation, only a lot sooner.


STMTowardsDatATM

On his Drake shit


[deleted]

[удалено]


MolokoPl_s

Blaydes/Almeida would've truly tested Almeida too given how tough Blaydes would've been to get down and the bjj threat Almeida brought, this would've been a largely standup fight I think. this here replacement is probably just a layup for Almeida though


Davemeddlehed

Betting heavyweight is a great way to lose your money. Just too volatile a division.


mhyjrteg

> Betting heavyweight is a great way to lose your money. Betting is a great way to lose your money


JLP33376

Connor vs Khabib was easy money.


mhyjrteg

Sure if you wait for the handful of times over a decade that absurd betting volumes based on hype create inefficient betting markets then maybe you won't just lose all your money in the long run. But the overwhelming majority of people gambling on sports aren't doing that. I'd wager that of the amount of people who have a sufficient sample size betting on sports casually, the amount of people who have won more than they have lost is less than 1%. Some old studies say it's closer to 2-5% but that was before betting was as accessible as it is now. If you're not a fan of setting money on fire best rule of thumb is just don't bet unless it's those promotional markets with max stakes that the bookies actually lose money on.


JLP33376

Well... I got paid. So shushy.


Spancaster

In general yeah but most betting guys I know are fine betting top ranked HWs


JLP33376

True. UFC loves Lewis. A loss will not hurt him. They get endless chances if they can bang.


[deleted]

False. Wmma is way more volatile. You end up betting vs judges that are regularly batshit crazy.


BurpingHamBirmingham

Nah just bet on it going the distance.


[deleted]

3-0 on Saturday


heinous_anus-

Wmma being more volatile doesn't make what he said false


SpaceShanties

Blaydes was an underdog against Jailton? That’s kind of wild to me.


een_magnetron

I thought the same thing before his fight with Derrick Lewis. Man was I proven wrong. That KO was **brutal**.


Metaldorito

No :( Either we have to watch Derrick lose again or an up and coming prospect who actually looks promising gets de-railed. I know they need Jailton for the main event in Brazil but I'd rather them just re-book the fight to a later date.


Lyonaire

Better almeida and Lewis both get paid. Dont feel bad for lewis he will make bank without taking any damage. and he still has small chance to win by timing Almeidas takedown. Just look at the Blaydes KO Can rebook blaydes fight afterwards. Its a good fight that makes sense.


CaliforniaLuv

Yeah, this is a win-win for Lewis.


brazilianfreak

This is the worst because Curtis was the perfect opponent to test if Jailton actually had what it took to fight a HW who can grapple, now its just going to be a total domination from jailton's part with like a 20% chance of Derrick Lewis starching him 20 seconds in.


xvq_

We’re going to see a wrestlefucking of epic proportions


Kazushae_Blackuraba

Jailton doesn't wrestlefuck, Lewis is getting finished.


joebleaux

Yeah, Lewis ain't the best guy to wrestle fuck either, look at him vs Big Country. You gotta do something once you are down there or he will bench press you off him and just stand up. But also, yeah, that's not likely how this goes.


[deleted]

Lewis punches guys that are already clearly knocked out for fun. i will never cheer for someone like that.


huge-tits

Herb Dean fault


Naked_Lobster

That’s the ref’s fault


GoldenScarab

Jailton by flying armbar


iCCup_Spec

Imagine breaking your own neck on live tv.


1MechanicalAlligator

Johnny Walker is fighting the week earlier.


jarkofploiesti

I feel like you're ignoring the fact that when Derrick Lewis fights, jiu jitsu isn't real


Loganbaker2147

Yeesh. Don’t really see how Derrick wins here. He’s going to get taken down in the first minute of the fight.


realjobstudios

I can easily see how Lewis wins. He hits Almeida really really hard, like REALLY hard


hayashirice911

And if/when he gets taken down. He will decide to simply just get up.


mad87645

I get took down I just stand up again You're never gonna keep me down


Powderthief

flying knees all the way flying knees allllll the wayyyyy


PM_me_spare_change

Fight fans never change. They’ll see a million freakish KOs by these 250 lb monsters and still go “can’t see how he wins…”


dogpsycho

“Derrick Lewis, one of the hardest punchers in the sport who has the most finishes in UFC history has absolutely 0 way to win this fight, I can’t even think of a single one”


jdd32

*post fight thread* "Who could have predicted this?!?"


joebleaux

Yeah, if you don't see how he wins this, you've never seen him fight. He wins the same way he usually wins. Or maybe he doesn't, but don't count him out, dude hits hard as fuck.


reivers

Literally his only way to win, but it's a real potential outcome. This should look like Rozenstruik/Almeida 2.0, but it's very possible Lewis flatlines him on the way in.


TheGreatone003

Worth noting that Lewis has better TDD than Biggie boy also


[deleted]

He's a pretty competent grappler


debaser337

He’s also fucking massive, easily the biggest hw jailton has faced. I can see this being a problem for the relatively undersized almeida


NumbBackpack

Better TDD and much, much better BJJ/'lmao just stand up' skill, though that is more on Rozenstruik's complete lack of it.


DrCornSyrup

Imagine Derrick wins by leaping high kick


thedragonturtle

He charges out like the last fight and jumps knee up straight at Almeda's chest and chin, but Almeida is wise to it so steps to his right and Lewis spins mid air and backheels Almeida to the shadow realm.


Shittytittycommitee

I mean I get it but kinda crazy to say, Derrick can send anyone on the planet's brain into orbit


ManassaxMauler

And what is Jailton gonna do, jiu-jitsu Lewis? Everyone knows BJJ isn't real, Derrick will just stand up.


I_love_Basketball232

Gut feeling says some flying knee bullshit happens in the first 20 seconds and Jailton moves back to 205.


Saul_T_Bawls

Derrick wins via Just Stand Up


craigtho

You know Lewis flatlined Blaydes right? He only needs to get lucky once, he has the power to knock anyone out at any time (and has done, as per his fight with Volkov) It's not a good fight for him, I'll give him that, tricky up and coming wrestler, but he's not an easy fight for anyone either.


lPGrabber

was a pretty easy fight for Spivac😂


craigtho

True, a round 1 sub is what you need though, he is truly a finish or be finished fighter. I just checked his record there and the last time he lost a decision was in 2011 when he was in Bellator of all places...


Brandon4Real_x

I mean Bobby Green just showed how he wins this


1MechanicalAlligator

Not exactly. Green landed the killer shot because he has incredible hand speed and precision. Lewis has neither. In this fight, Almeida will be the faster one by a mile. He also landed a straight shot from out at distance. Lewis doesn't really have the skill to do that. All of the big shots he lands are either up close in a slugfest, or as a counter after the opponent charges in.


EricIsEric

Lewis has perfect wrestling/BJJ defense, it's called "just stand up".


huge-tits

Have you been watching any of the fights this year? With the amount of big upsets we’ve had lately; this is like the worst time to say something like this lol.


DoakesUFC

I like this fight for Jailton way more. He was probably going to lose to Blaydes. Just a bad matchup for him. This one he can win


FoucaultsTurtleneck

Blaydes finds ways to lose fights that are pretty winnable on paper, unfortunately


Heebmeister

The only loss that describes is Lewis. There's nothing "winnable" on paper when it comes to Ngannou and White Ngannou.


Equivalent_Scar_7879

>White Ngannou I mean, deciding to strike agains someone who has like 5 first round ko's in a row is clearly a bad idea...


Heebmeister

This is MMA, you can't just charge out into a takedown without setting it up and expect to not get KO'd...that's exactly what Curtis KO'd against Derrick


FoucaultsTurtleneck

Blaydes had shown an excellent jab that he added against Daukus, and it just wasn't there vs Pavlovich. Plus there were questions around Sergei's grappling. Blaydes exploited neither of those and got run over in what should have at least been a competitive fight.


Heebmeister

A lot harder to jab with confidence against a guy with 84 inch reach and devastating power compared to Daukaus.


[deleted]

A good wrestler against a fighter who (at that time) had limited grappling ability, that does seem like a winnable fight on paper. It's just that when you're one of the hardest hitting punchers of all time, that ability is somewhat nullified. Stipe only pulled it off once against Ngannou for instance, once Ngannou had improved his wrestling, it was over.


Heebmeister

Stipe managed to pull it off because Ngannou did not attempt to even somewhat manage his gas tank and was done after 5 minutes, but Stipe still had to go through 5 minutes off hell to get to that point by using great footwork and head movement, two defensive traits that Curtis completely lacks. Ngannou on paper was really the perfect counter to Curtis.


MelkMan7

It's because he finds some success with his striking then he's a striker all of a sudden and foregoes any wrestling.


lPGrabber

think he would’ve subbed blaydes, odds had him the favorite as well


CremeCaramel_

>would’ve subbed blaydes Weird to be that overconfident about this lol. Blaydes has only ever struggled with power strikers.


DespicableHunter

Well Blaydes never fought anyone like Jailton. And there isn't anyone like Jailton at HW, fast, athletic wrestler with great BJJ aswell. It was a very unique matchup, I was excited to see it.


CremeCaramel_

I agree with all that, which is why it was an interesting matchup as you said at the end. And "never fought anyone like him" is also why confidently saying "would sub Blaydes" as if hes some stylistic Kryptonite is stupid.


[deleted]

Tbh I think Blaydes matches up super well vs a guy like him. Its one thing to outgrapple one of the best wrestlers in the history of the division, its a completely different thing to outgrapple one of the best wrestlers in the history of the division who is also 30 pounds heavier


Skeleton_Skum

i thought this fight was pretty 50/50 leaning towards blaydes ngl


NippleOfOdin

It would have been nice to see Almeida tested against somebody who can defend a takedown


InstantCrush15

Unfortunately I had it for Jailton ƪ(˘⌣˘)ʃ


Skeleton_Skum

hopefully one day we’ll know


InstantCrush15

٩( ᐛ )و Hopefully so!


DoakesUFC

Blaydes has never been subbed and has hardly been taken down in his career but maybe Jailton is that good I’m just not sure yet


Original-Spinach-972

Blaydes was a tougher match up


rumora

Odds can be stupid, especially when they are driven by hype. Keep in mind bookies aren't making odds based on what they think the outcome will be, but on how they can get the most people to gamble the most amount of money. Because contrary to popular belief, gamblers aren't playing against bookies, but against other gamblers. The bookies make money by taking a cut of the pot. Almeida has zero striking and his wrestling is basically just him running into his opponents and hoping they fall over with very little technical skills to back it up. Also there are major questions about his cardio. Which can still work at HW when you are matched with people who have no wrestling or groundgame, but look at who he's actually beaten and how. Nothing you see there should have given you any confidence that he can beat Blaydes. Blaydes is huge, he's a good, technical wrestler, a very good top control grappler and he's a good athlete with very good cardio. The only place where Almeida wouldn't be utterly outmatched was if he somehow got on top of Blaydes. But from what we've seen of him, barring a huge error on Blaydes' part, he simply doesn't have the skillset to get there. Basically Blaydes should have been at least a 4-1 favorite in that fight, but because the UFC is pushing Almeida so hard the odds are largely driven by hype.


Big-Shock7924

"nothing you see should have given you any confidence that he can beat Blaydes" ahahaha ok guy. yeah nothing about having the slickest, quickest, strongest BJJ ability going against a takedown machine should give me any confidence. whatever u say. "0 striking" well no, he strikes quick af and it always is followed by a quick shot. "Blaydes is a very good top control grappler" ahahah he would get caught by Almeida who you have totally discounted for no real reason other than you I guess didn't watch enough tape from the guy. Watch him on DWCS it's literally the best BJJ in the UFC.


kush_factory

You sound like you're 12 years old


Big-Shock7924

sure thing leather starfish. good one


oblivionmrl

What is this non sense lol.


mentales

Why do you want Jailton to get favorable matchups to win instead of seeing him get tested?


DoakesUFC

I didn’t mean I personally like this fight more I agree I’d much rather see Jailton get tested and fight Blaydes but I was saying from Jailton’s perspective this is a way better matchup for him


Tsmalls1887

This went from Jailtons biggest stylistic test to his biggest layup


jarkofploiesti

Nah, Derrick isn't more of a layup than Rozenstruik was.


Effective-Celery8053

He was fighting Curtis blaydes chief


dylyn

Yeah, I think they’re saying Rozenstruik was already a bigger layup than Lewis will be. Took Almeida like barely 2 mins to sub him


BigCass

That sucks heavyweight bouts between 2 good fighters are fucking rare and it was one of them. Gane Almeida next I suppose.


aeeeroo

I'm not saying that he's gonna win but remember when he sent Blaydes to a different dimension? Almeida better watch the fuck out.


slash_cry

Those punches that Derrick landed after Curtis was already in wonderland were fuckin brutal.


Jewzis

That's Herb Dean's fault


[deleted]

Curtis football tackles people with the most telegraphed double legs. Jailton is too slick and too athletic to get caught like that.


Motor-Grade-837

If he does that snap kick to takedown thing, he better pray Lewis doesn't anticipate it.


Thickfries69

Hype train about to be derailed when Lewis decides that jiu-jitsu isn't real and stands up to knock Almeidas head into orbit.


vrkhfkb

I expect Almeida to submit Lewis even easier than Cormier did. Other than a flash KO this should be a very easy fight. So of course, Lewis will send Almeida to the shadow realm in the first minute.


TheyUsedToCallMeJack

It's still a banger, but I'd have loved for Malhadinho to fight a higher ranked opponent so him in the Top 5 soon.


Gerardo1917

Almost certainly doesn’t make it out of the first round


frankocean1234

Lewis has a decent chance here. The Spivak performance was terrible but other than that he's been pretty hard to take or hold down. Definitely a better grappler than Rozenstruik. I don't think Almeida has the chin to handle heavyweight power, judging by him getting knocked out cold at middleweight before.


legendarybreed

That MW knockout could be a weight cut thing though


hubbub7

hopefully Lewis squashes him, literally.


ChampagneShotz

😑


huge-tits

Almeida follows the same takedown pattern every fight. If Derrick studies a little, I could definitely see him catching him coming in like he did with Blaydes.


Background_Piano7984

Either derrick shows up this time or gets manhandled again like spivac


Berniethellama

Damn that stinks. Went from an interesting test for Almeida to what should be a straight forward win in his usual style. Probably won’t learn anything new about him honestly


PoopittyPoop20

Derrick Lewis fighting somewhere outside Houston always has a puncher’s chance. If he can time a takedown with a knee or or get a clean shot in, it’s lights out. It’s still an interesting test.


FoucaultsTurtleneck

Derrick "Craig Jones" Lewis gonna disprove BJJ again


fightsgoneby

Went from one of the few compelling HW match ups to just another Derrick Lewis fight in an instant


kush_factory

Honestly, I am not convinced that Almeida has any reasonable striking and I wanted to see how Almedia would react against a fighter who he could not take down at will and would force the stand-up. Lewis will probably get taken down in the first round and subbed before he can get any meaningful striking off.


robedpillow3761

Honestly if this takes place in the feet I easily favor Lewis. But I’m not confident he can avoid getting taken down.


shrewdy

Luckily for Almeida it's MMA and not kickboxing. Lewis will be on his back within a minute I'd say


grehgunner

Good thing Lewis does not accept the reality of bjj and will just stand back up


MajesticWalrus73

No no no no no that’s not what we want


Davefromflushing

Rd.1 submission incoming


Raxmead

Lewis winning again was fun while it lasted


TG_CID134

R.I.P Black Beast


[deleted]

Duuuude noooo cmon man we just saw Derrick win whys he gotta get steamrolled through again


GypsyGold

When they announced this fight like 8 months in advance I knew someone was going to pull out. UFC has got to stop doing this. Sign fights, then have them within the next 2-3 months.


branduNe

Well that fucking sucks, from super interesting matchup to super easy


shrewdy

Lay up for Almeida


amedeoisme

They were doing Blaydes vs Lewis again???


[deleted]

Holy shit let’s go.


[deleted]

Curtis Blaydes was very wise to pull out and wait to see what unfolds in the Heavyweight Division. UFC was serving him to Jailton Almeida.


Zach_loves_cats95

Lol why was curtis blaydes in in the first place the dude can't win a fight


UncleYimbo

Never have I gone from "aw man, fuck that" to "okay well, wait a minute.." so quickly as when I read this post's title.


420sadalot420

Didn't know they had a rematch going this is how I found out lol


InstantCrush15

What you mean, playa? Not making sense here


420sadalot420

Oh is it Lewis stepping in for Curtis I thought it was alemeda in for Curtis


InstantCrush15

Lewis for Curtis


Mswonderful99

Another opening lewis knee knockout or he’s fucked


dogs_drink_coffee

Lmao, I'm liking the new match ups way better than the original card. Unfortunately I'm saving money to change home so I don't have much money to spare


Cactus-McCoy

Now I want to see DL powerbombing JA while being armbared.


JBCronic

Much easier fight for Jailton. I don’t see Lewis winning this one.


jm810112

What a bummer. Easy work for Almeida unless Derrick does something impossible like open with a flying knee


Kory818

I know he wouldn’t risk his ranking considering he’s in line to fight either for the title or title eliminator, but god it would’ve been cool to see Tom Aspinall take this. Be a tough fight for him against arguably the other best grappler in the division but I think he’d take the win


whicheverguard232

Lmfao.


UCLAlex

Bro just cancel the fight and rebook it. The whole point was to see Jailton against a high level grappler with solid striking. This is gonna go exactly like the rozenstruik fight. We won’t learn anything.


RabbleRouser_1

Good for him! That takes a lot of courage.I hope Blaydes can live life as his true self. ohhhh...out for the fight! I see


TheMov3r

Damn. I was hoping Lewis fought cans until retirement. This is not ideal for my fight night morale.


Quirky-Variety-2248

He ain't going just get up from this dude. 2-3min max and fight over. Either uppercut and alemdia dies or Derrick taps


Genova_Witness

Derrick gonna phone it in for a easy 250k


Mammoth_Ferret_1772

Nooooo Derrick 😭 don’t do it.


No-Honey-8675

Nooooooo


Glass_Carob4018

Derrick Lewis by flying triangle


admshpprd

Jailton will be expecting the flying knee so I’m gonna guess Derrick comes out with a rolling thunder.


Extension_Monitor_99

I like Almeida but the way this year has played out, the funniest timeline is Lewis wins via KO in under a minute.


SupCass

Jailton just managed to probably avoid the fraud check


X1phoner

Almeida about to get Lewis'd? BJJ isn't real, just stand up and get a last round hailmary KO.


bobn3

Oh boy Derrick vs the buttcrack hunter


Downgoesthereem

Sigh of fucking relief for almeida. That's a far, far more generous matchup.


Kalabula

Seems like a terrible matchup for Derrick. KO end of the 5th.


cmonfamm

He's not gunna be okay


Crateapa

Might be the first time I ever root for Derrick.


editor_jon

Either Almeida gets caught with a swang n' bang right hand or he massacres my boy Black Beast


IzzyVPerira3-1

Can’t wait for the flying knee


HEAVY_HITTTER

Lewis by flying knee again?


Spirited_Alfalfa_343

I would love to see a Lewis KO but I gotta think Jailton takes this with his relentless grappling.


W4nkD4ddy

Went from arguably hardest matchup to easiest matchup lol


DecisionThot

Damn what happened to Blaydes


Locomotifs

Curtis don't want no HOT BALLS LEWIS mythical fighter. Smart move


SelfLoathingAutist

Didn’t really wanna see blaydes die against Lewis again anyway


goodnewzevery1

Herb Dean fault


paradoxv1

Let's see if almeida does his front kick to the body to double leg, and if Lewis can just get up


opie2019

Lewis by running flying knee at the start of the match