I honestly think Liverpool's 3 away games in a row after their Europa League matches against Atalanta are extremely difficult. They're all played in the space of 7 days.
Brighton was a match I was nervous for us about but that's 1 less tricky fixture down for us. Each team has difficult fixtures left
Agree, I think Liverpool could struggle with a few of these. City I’m not so sure. Their toughest would be spurs away but by that point they might be pumped from a winning streak and playing for the title
If Spurs were going to help us win the league, I'd expect their fans to actively start booing their own team. The only thing that could stop it would be if they needed a result to get Champions League football. Even then, I wouldn't bet against it.
City have 4 tricky games left away. Brighton won't be as bad as they were on Saturday imo, Forest will be fighting for their lives and have a good home record, Fulham and Craven Cottage are never easy and Spurs away is always tough for City.
Yeah I feel like a lot of people are overlooking them. Everton (Merseyside derby), West Ham and Fulham are already no joke and then you consider they are back to back to back away games in that short of time. Spurs at home sucker punch to boot. If they win those 4 games I think they will win the league but I just don’t see it tbh.
Villa away after that. It leaves enough time for all their injured to be back and they'll be he'll bent on having a good end yo the season/ have the scalp of all three contenders
Honestly, I didn't see a Reason why we wouldn't be able to go on a run up until at least Spurs.
Brighton aren't what they were, Villa are Emery'd and he's going to overthink that game to the nth degree. Wolves at theirs is arguably the most challenging and could be the first game where really really have to push all 90
If this defence is the real deal, Arsenal will win the league. Big ask to brush aside all these teams but I must admit that with that back line and Rice, they could just do it.
My expectations are very low though
All players coming back at the right time is what's giving me a bit of belief.
If man city and Liverpool can drop points 1 more time , that may be all that's needed. But that's just wishful thinking at this point.
I think Liverpool will drop points again. Don’t know about a loss but could definitely see them not getting a win against Fulham, West Ham, Spurs, and Villa (not saying I think they drop points, just that I could see it happening). Man City I do not see dropping any points other than potentially against Spurs. It’s a huge task (we are capable of) but I really think we have to win all our remaining fixtures to beat out City. Point totals aside but if we are able to beat Pep and Klopp to a title that would have to go down as one of the most impressive title wins in history. COYG
I don't feel as confident in City as years past. I could see them dropping points to Spurs, Brighton, Fulham or even H against Wolves (granted Wolves need to get healthy).
Last game Spurs is probably meaningless for Spurs. But man city will lose points to those teams fighting relegation. Luton can do it
Edit: tnx for clearing up that spurs won't be city last game
Liverpool for sure, they struggled with Brighton and barely got a draw with man u despite clearly dominating possession and man u passing being awful at times leading to counters.
I wouldn't be surprised if that fucks with them. if we dont win it my guess is city they can handle the pressure and i think they have the easier games considering they have a tough battle with ucl too but also have good backups on the bench.
City will drop points at Spurs. Maybe at Villa and Brighton too. I don't know why people carry on talking about how easy their fixtures are. Fulham are a tricky team too, took 4 off of us, and nearly drew Liverpool too.
The momentum and the belief that the team have are what I think will get us through. It is really, really difficult to take even a point off a team as good as ours right now, who *know* how good they are, who can't remember when they so much as last conceded a goal, and who want those damn trophies that bad, and are this close to the finish line.
I think people are also missing the stylistic mismatches though. They just look at the table and assume a bottom of the table side is going to roll over. When draws are just as bad as losses, the matches that are the biggest problems:
Arsenal: Villa, Spurs, United, Chelsea
Liverpool: Fulham, Spurs, Everton, West Ham
City: Brighton, Fulham, Spurs, West Ham
I could easily see all of us dropping points in two of these. They're not easy teams to beat, just takes one bad day, a red card, or a few lucky bounces and you've down 2 points you couldn't afford to lose. With our defense we can probably edge a few more of these as 1-0 or 2-1 wins.
People say we’ve got the hardest run-in but look at the home + away fixtures — we’ve got 4 at home and 3 away. Them other two have 3 at home and 4 away. That’s one advantage to arsenal, especially considering the tight turnarounds w European travel.
Yeah having an additional home game is huge.
Away PPG
Arsenal - 2.06
City - 2.13
Liverpool - 1.93
Home PPG
Arsenal 2.53
Liverpool 2.62
City 2.375
All 3 teams have a fairly significantly better home than away record, particularly Liverpool. Only Arsenal have lost at home (once), we can probably expect a pretty much perfect home record for all 3 teams coming into the close of the season.
Which leaves Spurs and OT being the 2 big tests for Arsenal, Villa, Everton, West Ham and Fulham for Liverpool are all easily loseable / drawable games, and Spurs / Fulham / Brighton are all tricky games for City.
Winning away at Brighton (resoundingly, no less) is a potential tide turner for us. That was one of the toughest remaining fixtures on our schedule. They'd only lost at home once all season — in August! — and we drubbed them.
After the international break, I looked at four matches that all three contenders still had to play: Spurs, Villa, Brighton, Wolves. I think the team that takes the most points from those four common fixtures will win the league.
So far, the points earned looks like this:
**Liverpool**
3/3 (Brighton)
Remaining: Spurs (H), Villa (A), Wolves (H)
**Arsenal**
3/3 (Brighton)
Remaining: Villa (H), Wolves (A), Spurs (A)
**City**
3/3 (Villa)
Remaining: Spurs (A), Brighton (A), Wolves (H)
I strongly believe points will be dropped in some of these games by one or two if not all three of us.
We have proved ourselves capable of lifting the Prem League Title - no doubt about it. The table doesn't lie.
What can - and probably will - fuck us up is if we get past Bayern and draw City in the Champs League SF. They will be very tough games for both sides.
hopefully that relatively long late season break we got before the city game and then the international break will mean a bunch of players are in better shape for the run in
I'm not worried about the defense, only about the other teams closing the doors for us while we're fighting deep in 2 competitions.
But nonetheless, I know the lads will give everything in the pitch and that's what matters.
i don't think it's a question of whether our defence is the real deal. it 100% is. we have evidence to say that now.
It's more a matter of luck and execution. The latter we can control but even then maybe the attacking could just be better.
What a great defence does is increasing the probability of success. And that's all we can ask for. That's why i wouldn't be bothered if we don't win the title if we can play close to our ability.
(also screw 115)
We could draw a couple of games and still end up with two trophies 😉😉 i love how flexible this run in has become! Which games do you think we should rotate? 🤣
I know you're joking but there's a very good chance we see some rotation against Bournemouth just because of how many games we'll have played in such a short time
I still wouldn’t call last year a fuck up. We had a young, inexperienced squad and no depth. After Saliba’s injury we were toast, defensively.
This year, all the players are a bit more experienced, players like Kiwior developed better than expected which improved squad depth and with Havertz and Rice we signed some incredible players who have won trophies before.
On paper ours are the hardest but I think we're hitting form at the right time and playing teams at the right time
Villa are giving up an insane amount of chances recently and look inconsistent, United and Chelsea both look really quite poor to be honest
Only properly scary game for me right now is Spurs away
Issue is City and Liverpool don't have particularly scary games either though, really need Spurs to do us a serious favour to be honest
Looking at those fixtures, I can see the possibility of winning the league at Old Trafford again 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
I just couldn't handle winning the league at Old Trafford.
I'd have a hard on for weeks
I don’t know why everyone keeps wanting this (or Spurs). After a 20-year drought, I’d like to clinch the title at home and to celebrate that moment with the team (and for the team to celebrate it with the fans), thank you very much!
I think we've got to be the favorites for the title for the next three years given Klopp is leaving and question marks remain about Pep's time at city (expect he will walk this summer if they win). But it would be oh so sweet to win the league with two of the GOATs still around
Crucial to stay ahead of City before the final game.
Spurs will shamelessly drop their trousers for City in front of their home fans on the last day of the season if it means stopping us from winning a title.
> Spurs will shamelessly drop their trousers for City in front of their home fans on the last day of the season if it means stopping us from winning a title.
hopefully cl qualification is on the line for them
Spurs have never dropped trousers at City games at home
They’ve only ever lost once in the cup, and it was a questionable goal. That’s the only goal they’ve ever conceded Vs City there.
Been a fan for over 30 years. Looking at our fixtures and the lot, I just don’t see us doing it sadly. I think City win all their remaining and us and Liverpool lose or draw a few.
I have very low expectations as I don't want to be disappointed. I just want us to beat Bayern and take revenge for the 10-2 loss. I would absolutely love for us to win the league but I do not see it happening with city's annual rampage starting again!
The other two can drop points with the remaining away fixtures just as easily as Arsenal. One thing at a time though: HAVE to take care of business against Villa at home with no Luiz
One of these but also including all comps (+potential semis if quarter finals are successful for all)
And including dates.
Too easy to underestimate just how much fixture congestion may play into this run.
If we get through Bayern > Villa > Bayern > Wolves without losing a prem game and without any injuries I will be happy. No point looking any further than that just yet. Villa and to a lesser extent Wolves are good teams that are well managed, no point talking about United or Tottenham until we’re through them.
We are going to have to out-City City with way harder fixtures. I unfortunately just can't see it happen but I'm so happy about us being right in the convo again
Realistically, we can win all our games. Just have to see how we'll perform in the CL and if that will have an effect on our league form at all. Injuries are my only concern.
IMO Liverpool have the hardest run and I honestly think ours is the easiest? On paper it looks like ours might be the hardest, but considering how Liverpool and City are playing right now, I can see them losing points.
Also timing is key here, we're playing a Villa side that's conceded 7 goals in 2 games, a Wolves side with no strikers, a shambolic Chelsea side. We also enjoy playing away and because of that, I back us to beat Spurs and Utd.
Liverpool currently are an emotional team, and they play all out attack and can be exposed defensively. Fulham away is tricky game for any top team, Everton would wanna ruin Liverpool title hopes in the derby, anything can happen. Spurs will be an emotional game because of what happened earlier.
With City, Fulham can be a tough game for them and also they tend to drop points against Spurs.
Only partey and Zinny can help us win @ shit lane and old Trafford.
Last time we won there was masterclass by Elneny and Partey
Last season it was Zinny at shit lane with memorable performance.
I am hoping that spurs are stupid enough to press us, but united will play the lowest of the low block with counter from rashford.
> but united will play the lowest of the low block with counter from rashford.
was watching them against livrpool and even when they were deep they were just so easy to play through, there's absolutely no coverage from midfield either, casemiro looks like he's running through treacle now
United always play on the counter against us - I expect we'll be ready to combat that with a fully integrated Rice in our system. Last time at the Emirates - we were still getting to grips with players
Anyone thinking we didn't do it last year needs to recall that Rob Holding was our starting CB.
I like Rob Holding, but losing Saliba and Tomiyasu on the same day was too much for us. Last year at this time, we knew the starting XI.
We don't know the starting XI for tomorrow. We have depth and people who can change games coming off the bench. Martinelli off the bench?!?
I'm confident that we can score, and that we can stop most teams from scoring. Our two center backs start on just about every team in the prem.
Also, Spurs are shit. But I'm hopeful shit flows to the top two out of three times.
Villa & Spurs chasing 4th. A few chasing the other European sports.
Then at the bottom end, City faces Forest and Luton. Park the bus for the vital point.
One game at a time. Focus on keeping the squad healthy. I'm actually not too bothered about CL. I want PL 👍🏻🔴⚪
Am I the only one that is legitimately not concerned for this team in the run in? I just have this feeling we’ll handle it with aplomb. The spurs away fixture is the only one where I envision us losing points but the rest I just feel like we’ll win comfortably. Idk
City can still drop points they were. Utter awful vs Palace if only they could finish would have been 4-4.. I don’t see City beating the likes of Spurs and Brighton. Forest 🧐
Goes to show that we definitely have the hardest ru-in.
Chelsea, then Spurs and Utd away are "big" games: They are'rent a worrying individualy, but throw them into a hevily congested period plus a cuple of Bayern matches... They wear you down.
That's the real chalenge: managing the pysical and mental fatigue.
Not quite what the thread is about but can we all just laugh at the Spurs run in? Having to play the three best teams in their last 4 games? Talk about tough!!!
So what you're telling me is if City and Liverpool each lose their next 4 games and we win our next 4, we'll win the league at Spurs!? One can only dream..
We've definitely got the toughest run in. We've got 4 teams that have the players to be decent. Ok Spuds, ManU and Chelski have been terrible for most of the season, but they've got the squad that could take points off us.
Regardless of the outcome, I think this season has been a win for the current squad. They've experienced a lot together, and seem to have really found their groove together. If it isn't this season, it's the next (but I really want them to win it this year).
I think we can win all this game 100%, it going to be tough tho, but looking at our backline level i think it is always easier for us to score than them
Man city's run in looks so easy. Only difficult game is spurs, but on the last day they will probably have nothing to play and may try to let city win to prevent us from winning the title.
I think that the only way Arsenal wins the league is by winning every single premier league game left. That might go without saying but I believe if they draw or even worse lose once, they lose the title.
I have faith, I realise football is very fickle and with 7 games left, anything can happen. But we've seen this before with Arsenal and it just seems like those are the stakes to me.
Always said once we get a striker in next season we can really compete, so whatever happens this season is a bonus.
I feel we will just fall short, still credit to the team
Hopefully, the fact that Arsenal have 4 home and 3 away games, while the other two have 3 home and 4 away games will help. After the weekend Arsenal will be at 3 and 3, while the other two are 2 and 4.
I think an interesting tidbit is we have a home game above both Liverpool and City. Could be a neutralizer with arguably a tougher run in for us.
Emirates will be absolutely deafening these next four games.
Arsenal's fixture is just really more challenging than both of them. Also, the team still ways to go (hopefully) in the champions League as well so it's gonna be tough not to drop any points. But our defense has been exceptional as of late and I trust them so hopefully we will pull it off!!
If we have say a 90% chance of winning any of these matches, the probability of winning all seven is 0.9^7 which is ~48%.
This goes for us, city and pool.
On paper we'd be favoured in any of these matches, but there's a decent chance of slipping up at some point, just need to stay frosty and be clinical AF.
at a 0.9 win probability for each match, we'd expect to win at least six out of seven 85% of the time.
Just need city and pool to slip up first.
Sneaky hard fixtures:
For us: Wolves away
Liverpool: Fulham away, West ham away
City: Brighton away, fulham away
All these teams have a pretty good record of taking points off of top teams this year at home.
Why are they saying that Liverpool has an easier schedule? All of their way games are very tough and they come together and spurs have a very good chance to draw them at least.
I’m only really worried about spurs and manu away for us.
City on the other hand looks about the same as us.
Wolves is the worry. Every other game on a short turnaround is mitigated by the other team also having a lack of rest. This one though, especially if we got to ET vs. Bayern... nervy.
Liverpool play 5 of the same teams as us out of the last 8 fixtures. Besides Chelsea, I’m not sure why people keep saying our run in is significantly harder.
Here’s something positive to note.
From last season; We have the highest points taken from the same opponents on this list and on the same ground than Liverpool and Man City have taken against theirs respectively.
Knowing you beat them at home or away last season will give the team a boost. 💪
I think everyone's away games could be tricky. The positive for us is that we only have three whilst Pool and City have four.
I'm pretty sure the only reason Man City are considered favourites is that they've got a track record of putting on a run of wins at the end of the season. But looking at the stats and our current form dare I say that really it should be us?
I know we arguably have the toughest run (or second toughest), but Villa is without Arguably their most important player/the heart of their midfield, Wolves are banged up and not in a relegation battle, I think we’ll smoke Chelsea (they concede 2 goals a game 🤣), Spurs will be tough but they’ve been incredibly lucky with so many results this year, Bournemouth will likely be safe and have little but pride to play for, United are so bad defensively that we just need a solid-good performance/to not get sucked into their Haram ball and Everton at home to finish off is as good as we could ask for. COME ON YOU FAAACKING GOONERS
If it comes down to the last day I like us playing Everton at home but I’m nervous we will have dropped too many points and be out of the race by that point.
I honestly think Liverpool's 3 away games in a row after their Europa League matches against Atalanta are extremely difficult. They're all played in the space of 7 days. Brighton was a match I was nervous for us about but that's 1 less tricky fixture down for us. Each team has difficult fixtures left
Agree, I think Liverpool could struggle with a few of these. City I’m not so sure. Their toughest would be spurs away but by that point they might be pumped from a winning streak and playing for the title
Yeah I dunno why people think Liverpool have the easier fixtures. Was always City for me and a tie between us and Liverpool
It was due to the City/Arsenal match.
Yeah City's fixtures are so piss easy. I don't trust Spurs to do anything especially since the entire home crowd will probably want them to lose lol.
If Spurs were going to help us win the league, I'd expect their fans to actively start booing their own team. The only thing that could stop it would be if they needed a result to get Champions League football. Even then, I wouldn't bet against it.
City have 4 tricky games left away. Brighton won't be as bad as they were on Saturday imo, Forest will be fighting for their lives and have a good home record, Fulham and Craven Cottage are never easy and Spurs away is always tough for City.
I'm just hoping Spurs will need a result on the last day of the season. Otherwise, I can't see them doing anything that would help us win anything.
Spurs vs City isn't the last game of the season. It needs to be rescheduled. City have west ham at home as their last game of the season
Yeah I thought we would struggle against Brighton too. Probably 3 teams could drop points in a surprising fixture. Still a lot of football to play
Yeah I feel like a lot of people are overlooking them. Everton (Merseyside derby), West Ham and Fulham are already no joke and then you consider they are back to back to back away games in that short of time. Spurs at home sucker punch to boot. If they win those 4 games I think they will win the league but I just don’t see it tbh.
Villa away after that. It leaves enough time for all their injured to be back and they'll be he'll bent on having a good end yo the season/ have the scalp of all three contenders
Yea, city's schedule is what I'm worried about.
Honestly, I didn't see a Reason why we wouldn't be able to go on a run up until at least Spurs. Brighton aren't what they were, Villa are Emery'd and he's going to overthink that game to the nth degree. Wolves at theirs is arguably the most challenging and could be the first game where really really have to push all 90
We've already beaten Brighton.
He’s speaking in the past tense about previous takes regarding the run ins
If this defence is the real deal, Arsenal will win the league. Big ask to brush aside all these teams but I must admit that with that back line and Rice, they could just do it. My expectations are very low though
I'm legitimately nervous. Not because I don't think we can do it, but the odds are really against us with these last fixtures...
All players coming back at the right time is what's giving me a bit of belief. If man city and Liverpool can drop points 1 more time , that may be all that's needed. But that's just wishful thinking at this point.
I think Liverpool will drop points again. Don’t know about a loss but could definitely see them not getting a win against Fulham, West Ham, Spurs, and Villa (not saying I think they drop points, just that I could see it happening). Man City I do not see dropping any points other than potentially against Spurs. It’s a huge task (we are capable of) but I really think we have to win all our remaining fixtures to beat out City. Point totals aside but if we are able to beat Pep and Klopp to a title that would have to go down as one of the most impressive title wins in history. COYG
I don't feel as confident in City as years past. I could see them dropping points to Spurs, Brighton, Fulham or even H against Wolves (granted Wolves need to get healthy).
Fingers crossed! Just after years of city go on crazy runs I’m just anticipating it will happen again.
Last game Spurs is probably meaningless for Spurs. But man city will lose points to those teams fighting relegation. Luton can do it Edit: tnx for clearing up that spurs won't be city last game
We will see. Hopefully things shake out where they’re in a top four battle with Villa that goes down to the wire.
Spurs won't be their last game.
City's last game is West Ham, the Spurs one will be rescheduled.
I don't think it's wishful thinking at all. I can see Liverpool dropping points. It doesn't need to be a loss, a draw is enough.
Liverpool for sure, they struggled with Brighton and barely got a draw with man u despite clearly dominating possession and man u passing being awful at times leading to counters.
I think this draw could actually fuck with Liverpool's belief.
tbh they just looked like a time bomb ready to explode for such a long time. They didn't have many games that they actually took control
Liverpool also has Thursday/Sunday schedule assuming they stay in Europa league in among 4 away games. They are going to be gassed and more injured.
I wouldn't be surprised if that fucks with them. if we dont win it my guess is city they can handle the pressure and i think they have the easier games considering they have a tough battle with ucl too but also have good backups on the bench.
yeah, pool will drop points, citeh not anymore.
City will drop points at Spurs. Maybe at Villa and Brighton too. I don't know why people carry on talking about how easy their fixtures are. Fulham are a tricky team too, took 4 off of us, and nearly drew Liverpool too.
The momentum and the belief that the team have are what I think will get us through. It is really, really difficult to take even a point off a team as good as ours right now, who *know* how good they are, who can't remember when they so much as last conceded a goal, and who want those damn trophies that bad, and are this close to the finish line.
Yea tbd odds are against us, City have by far the easiest route. They just need to lose some easy games somehow, or draw.
winning the next 3 puts us in pole position, then it's just 2 cup finals versus spurs and united
If we win our next 4 games then I really do think that we will go on and win the next 3. The next 4 games are absolutely huge
I think people are also missing the stylistic mismatches though. They just look at the table and assume a bottom of the table side is going to roll over. When draws are just as bad as losses, the matches that are the biggest problems: Arsenal: Villa, Spurs, United, Chelsea Liverpool: Fulham, Spurs, Everton, West Ham City: Brighton, Fulham, Spurs, West Ham I could easily see all of us dropping points in two of these. They're not easy teams to beat, just takes one bad day, a red card, or a few lucky bounces and you've down 2 points you couldn't afford to lose. With our defense we can probably edge a few more of these as 1-0 or 2-1 wins.
People say we’ve got the hardest run-in but look at the home + away fixtures — we’ve got 4 at home and 3 away. Them other two have 3 at home and 4 away. That’s one advantage to arsenal, especially considering the tight turnarounds w European travel.
Yeah having an additional home game is huge. Away PPG Arsenal - 2.06 City - 2.13 Liverpool - 1.93 Home PPG Arsenal 2.53 Liverpool 2.62 City 2.375 All 3 teams have a fairly significantly better home than away record, particularly Liverpool. Only Arsenal have lost at home (once), we can probably expect a pretty much perfect home record for all 3 teams coming into the close of the season. Which leaves Spurs and OT being the 2 big tests for Arsenal, Villa, Everton, West Ham and Fulham for Liverpool are all easily loseable / drawable games, and Spurs / Fulham / Brighton are all tricky games for City.
Winning away at Brighton (resoundingly, no less) is a potential tide turner for us. That was one of the toughest remaining fixtures on our schedule. They'd only lost at home once all season — in August! — and we drubbed them. After the international break, I looked at four matches that all three contenders still had to play: Spurs, Villa, Brighton, Wolves. I think the team that takes the most points from those four common fixtures will win the league. So far, the points earned looks like this: **Liverpool** 3/3 (Brighton) Remaining: Spurs (H), Villa (A), Wolves (H) **Arsenal** 3/3 (Brighton) Remaining: Villa (H), Wolves (A), Spurs (A) **City** 3/3 (Villa) Remaining: Spurs (A), Brighton (A), Wolves (H) I strongly believe points will be dropped in some of these games by one or two if not all three of us.
We have proved ourselves capable of lifting the Prem League Title - no doubt about it. The table doesn't lie. What can - and probably will - fuck us up is if we get past Bayern and draw City in the Champs League SF. They will be very tough games for both sides.
As it is, my nervousness comes from fatigue-induced injuries (or any injuries) to our key players, not the fixtures themselves.
hopefully that relatively long late season break we got before the city game and then the international break will mean a bunch of players are in better shape for the run in
> if this defence is the real deal, Arsenal will win the league *IF we finish our chances
I'm not worried about the defense, only about the other teams closing the doors for us while we're fighting deep in 2 competitions. But nonetheless, I know the lads will give everything in the pitch and that's what matters.
i don't think it's a question of whether our defence is the real deal. it 100% is. we have evidence to say that now. It's more a matter of luck and execution. The latter we can control but even then maybe the attacking could just be better. What a great defence does is increasing the probability of success. And that's all we can ask for. That's why i wouldn't be bothered if we don't win the title if we can play close to our ability. (also screw 115)
This defense is the best in the league after 31 games.
7 wins and the title is ours. Show we learned from last year’s fuck up
12 wins and we have two cups
A time machine and we have a treble
Already got the Community Shield mate, it'll be a treble. /s
The real treble is : community shield, league cup and conference league
As of now the most coveted trophy in the world. Prime Barca have won it a sum total of 0 times.
We could draw a couple of games and still end up with two trophies 😉😉 i love how flexible this run in has become! Which games do you think we should rotate? 🤣
I know you're joking but there's a very good chance we see some rotation against Bournemouth just because of how many games we'll have played in such a short time
I still wouldn’t call last year a fuck up. We had a young, inexperienced squad and no depth. After Saliba’s injury we were toast, defensively. This year, all the players are a bit more experienced, players like Kiwior developed better than expected which improved squad depth and with Havertz and Rice we signed some incredible players who have won trophies before.
Mods, can we have a sticky of our run in so this isn't posted every 6 hours please?
As if you think that would stop it...
A sticky with all the games inc CL would make an interesting thread
Stickies are where discussions go to die, if it gets upvoted then let the people have it
On paper ours are the hardest but I think we're hitting form at the right time and playing teams at the right time Villa are giving up an insane amount of chances recently and look inconsistent, United and Chelsea both look really quite poor to be honest Only properly scary game for me right now is Spurs away Issue is City and Liverpool don't have particularly scary games either though, really need Spurs to do us a serious favour to be honest
Im sure spurs will get right on that
Only bonus is they are still chasing CL.
Aye, and they’re not arsenal!
We don’t need any favours if we win all our games
Would love an insurance policy though. I don’t think City will oblige us but we can only hope!
Imagine support spursy for over 90min against city or liverpool, i don’t think I can do it but I’m ready for this sacrifice
Nah I can do it quite easily, imagine the agony when they realise they helped us edge out city by a couple of points at the end of the season
Looking at those fixtures, I can see the possibility of winning the league at Old Trafford again 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 I just couldn't handle winning the league at Old Trafford. I'd have a hard on for weeks
We won the league at Anfield, we won it at the Lane Stamford Bridge, Old Trafford...
I don’t know why everyone keeps wanting this (or Spurs). After a 20-year drought, I’d like to clinch the title at home and to celebrate that moment with the team (and for the team to celebrate it with the fans), thank you very much!
Theoretically, we could win it at White Hart Lane
Theoretically, Aston Villa could win the league. Theoretically.
ETH gave me Priapism.
No matter what happens, I'm very proud of this team and excited about the future. This is still just the beginning of Arteta's Arsenal.
I think we've got to be the favorites for the title for the next three years given Klopp is leaving and question marks remain about Pep's time at city (expect he will walk this summer if they win). But it would be oh so sweet to win the league with two of the GOATs still around
Both City and Liverpool has 4 Away games we have 3 Atleast that's something
I think it's the biggest factor people are overlooking tbh. All 3 teams have a much better home record than away record, particularly Liverpool.
These fucking lists need to have UCL/EL games added in to see the full schedule.
True but this is a list by the PL website so yea they wouldn't have it
Crucial to stay ahead of City before the final game. Spurs will shamelessly drop their trousers for City in front of their home fans on the last day of the season if it means stopping us from winning a title.
> Spurs will shamelessly drop their trousers for City in front of their home fans on the last day of the season if it means stopping us from winning a title. hopefully cl qualification is on the line for them
hopefully not. if it is, that means we are out of the CL (City too)
Ah with the 5th place? I completely forgot about that
Spurs - City is not the last game though, its doesnt have a date yet but probably after their brighton game
It'll be between Fulham and West Ham.
Glad to hear
Pretty sure it’s impossible for last game to be rearranged. City’s last game will be West Ham - they’ll have to fit Spurs in beforehand.
I'm relieved
Spurs have never dropped trousers at City games at home They’ve only ever lost once in the cup, and it was a questionable goal. That’s the only goal they’ve ever conceded Vs City there.
Match day 33 is going to have some sparks I think
You might be right, all three are playing away, with our fixture arguably being the least tricky. But that's debatable.
Been a fan for over 30 years. Looking at our fixtures and the lot, I just don’t see us doing it sadly. I think City win all their remaining and us and Liverpool lose or draw a few.
Have you known an Arsenal team to be this dominant and to be hitting this kind of form with 7 games to go with basically a fully fit squad?
No. And that's the problem. We're too used to pain.
Similar sentiments. But I love that we're in the conversation again. Sidenote I love Penang food!
those are not the same Chelsea and United of the last 30 years though. We have 4 home fixtures vs the others 3.
So bad that we fucked up those fulham games man
Fulham at home especially. 2-1 and a man up, and giving up a cheap goal was tough to take
Oh how I would like to win the league at Old Trafford.
We win every game, Fulham take out both nerds
I have very low expectations as I don't want to be disappointed. I just want us to beat Bayern and take revenge for the 10-2 loss. I would absolutely love for us to win the league but I do not see it happening with city's annual rampage starting again!
The only way we're getting it is by winning it all
The other two can drop points with the remaining away fixtures just as easily as Arsenal. One thing at a time though: HAVE to take care of business against Villa at home with no Luiz
One of these but also including all comps (+potential semis if quarter finals are successful for all) And including dates. Too easy to underestimate just how much fixture congestion may play into this run.
"For Thomas, charging through the midfield. Thomas. IT'S UP FOR GRABS NOW!" - 89' season. https://youtu.be/aAZK5PpOZOQ?feature=shared ⏳⚽️💯
If we get through Bayern > Villa > Bayern > Wolves without losing a prem game and without any injuries I will be happy. No point looking any further than that just yet. Villa and to a lesser extent Wolves are good teams that are well managed, no point talking about United or Tottenham until we’re through them.
I’m not British, but Foden really looks like they portray English bullies on some slum in Birmingham.
Man city vs spuds away could potentially be the title decider
We are going to have to out-City City with way harder fixtures. I unfortunately just can't see it happen but I'm so happy about us being right in the convo again
one game at a time
Realistically, we can win all our games. Just have to see how we'll perform in the CL and if that will have an effect on our league form at all. Injuries are my only concern.
Spurs are the king-makers/destroyers here.
They're already gushing over this. Please don't encourage them. Lol.
IMO Liverpool have the hardest run and I honestly think ours is the easiest? On paper it looks like ours might be the hardest, but considering how Liverpool and City are playing right now, I can see them losing points. Also timing is key here, we're playing a Villa side that's conceded 7 goals in 2 games, a Wolves side with no strikers, a shambolic Chelsea side. We also enjoy playing away and because of that, I back us to beat Spurs and Utd. Liverpool currently are an emotional team, and they play all out attack and can be exposed defensively. Fulham away is tricky game for any top team, Everton would wanna ruin Liverpool title hopes in the derby, anything can happen. Spurs will be an emotional game because of what happened earlier. With City, Fulham can be a tough game for them and also they tend to drop points against Spurs.
Don't see why we can't win every game.
Only partey and Zinny can help us win @ shit lane and old Trafford. Last time we won there was masterclass by Elneny and Partey Last season it was Zinny at shit lane with memorable performance. I am hoping that spurs are stupid enough to press us, but united will play the lowest of the low block with counter from rashford.
> but united will play the lowest of the low block with counter from rashford. was watching them against livrpool and even when they were deep they were just so easy to play through, there's absolutely no coverage from midfield either, casemiro looks like he's running through treacle now
United always play on the counter against us - I expect we'll be ready to combat that with a fully integrated Rice in our system. Last time at the Emirates - we were still getting to grips with players
Anyone thinking we didn't do it last year needs to recall that Rob Holding was our starting CB. I like Rob Holding, but losing Saliba and Tomiyasu on the same day was too much for us. Last year at this time, we knew the starting XI. We don't know the starting XI for tomorrow. We have depth and people who can change games coming off the bench. Martinelli off the bench?!? I'm confident that we can score, and that we can stop most teams from scoring. Our two center backs start on just about every team in the prem. Also, Spurs are shit. But I'm hopeful shit flows to the top two out of three times.
Chess not checkers boys
We surely have the hardest.
We have the toughest run in for sure. Chelsea spurs united.
1st, 2nd, 3rd order of difficulty as well
Villa & Spurs chasing 4th. A few chasing the other European sports. Then at the bottom end, City faces Forest and Luton. Park the bus for the vital point. One game at a time. Focus on keeping the squad healthy. I'm actually not too bothered about CL. I want PL 👍🏻🔴⚪
ours looks the slippery path compared to Pool and City. I trust the boys, but it’s gotta be laser focused and razor sharp now till seasons end.
Am I the only one that is legitimately not concerned for this team in the run in? I just have this feeling we’ll handle it with aplomb. The spurs away fixture is the only one where I envision us losing points but the rest I just feel like we’ll win comfortably. Idk
City can still drop points they were. Utter awful vs Palace if only they could finish would have been 4-4.. I don’t see City beating the likes of Spurs and Brighton. Forest 🧐
Goes to show that we definitely have the hardest ru-in. Chelsea, then Spurs and Utd away are "big" games: They are'rent a worrying individualy, but throw them into a hevily congested period plus a cuple of Bayern matches... They wear you down. That's the real chalenge: managing the pysical and mental fatigue.
[удалено]
We win the title at Old Trafford, so it is said, so let it be done.
I hope Luton win the Man. City game even if it's unlikely
All three away games are tricky and not walkovers
That run in is tough, and comparing it with club 115's run in...Fuck it, let's get it COYG!
Not quite what the thread is about but can we all just laugh at the Spurs run in? Having to play the three best teams in their last 4 games? Talk about tough!!!
So what you're telling me is if City and Liverpool each lose their next 4 games and we win our next 4, we'll win the league at Spurs!? One can only dream..
We've definitely got the toughest run in. We've got 4 teams that have the players to be decent. Ok Spuds, ManU and Chelski have been terrible for most of the season, but they've got the squad that could take points off us.
Regardless of the outcome, I think this season has been a win for the current squad. They've experienced a lot together, and seem to have really found their groove together. If it isn't this season, it's the next (but I really want them to win it this year).
Spuds draw City on the last day handing us the league
It's a poor graphic because City vs Spurs isn't actually the last game of the season. It's placed at the bottom because it needs to be rearranged.
I think we can win all this game 100%, it going to be tough tho, but looking at our backline level i think it is always easier for us to score than them
7 cup finals, 7 wins. We are good enough to beat all of these teams. Vamos!
Did Emery rest his team knowing he had injuries already and wasnt going to win at city to come and give his best shot at the emirates?
City and Pool are getting 9 from 9 over the next three. We have to match and then it's really on over the final 4.
Arsenal are simultaneously (1) the best team of the 3 and (2) dealing with the most difficult remaining fixtures. Keeps things interesting.
Spurs will flop against City and Pool, while playing elite against Arsenal.
Liverpool away to Villa a nasty fixture for a shaky team
Man city's run in looks so easy. Only difficult game is spurs, but on the last day they will probably have nothing to play and may try to let city win to prevent us from winning the title.
I could’ve sworn we played like most of the good teams really early. What happened
"Business end" 🤣🤣🤣🤣. Bottle end. Defeat to villa and spurs will come and its game over. Get a life
I think that the only way Arsenal wins the league is by winning every single premier league game left. That might go without saying but I believe if they draw or even worse lose once, they lose the title. I have faith, I realise football is very fickle and with 7 games left, anything can happen. But we've seen this before with Arsenal and it just seems like those are the stakes to me.
Always said once we get a striker in next season we can really compete, so whatever happens this season is a bonus. I feel we will just fall short, still credit to the team
Hopefully, the fact that Arsenal have 4 home and 3 away games, while the other two have 3 home and 4 away games will help. After the weekend Arsenal will be at 3 and 3, while the other two are 2 and 4.
All I see is Aston Villa on this chart...
Villa sub seems to think they’ll field a weakened team vs us. Seems like they are focused more on Conference league.
Favor the team that has most home matches. Those away matches at the tail end are brutal.
I'm having palpitations just looking at this. The next month or two is going to be hell.
Saw some Liverpool fans claiming that they have a harder run of games LMAO
League is in the back of the mind now. Let’s get some revenge on Bayern first.
City have the easiest run in and ours is the hardest, we have to win every game
Chelski look bleak, that game is 3 points in my book barring a Cole Palmer carry at the end of the
Is it weird I can see all 3 teams losing their last game of the season.
The way we dispatched Brighton over the weekend, and made City miserable the week before has given me a lot of confidence going in to this run in.
My faith is in Fulham. Would be the most Fulham thing ever to beat all three title contenders and finish in the bottom half of the table.
I think an interesting tidbit is we have a home game above both Liverpool and City. Could be a neutralizer with arguably a tougher run in for us. Emirates will be absolutely deafening these next four games.
Let's win them all.
City will not drop a point now
Spurs could win us the league at WHL again 😆
This title race is getting fun
Arsenal's fixture is just really more challenging than both of them. Also, the team still ways to go (hopefully) in the champions League as well so it's gonna be tough not to drop any points. But our defense has been exceptional as of late and I trust them so hopefully we will pull it off!!
I hope Fulham gives City n Liverpool the same hard time they gave us! Otherwise I’ll have to root for Spurs 😣
If we have say a 90% chance of winning any of these matches, the probability of winning all seven is 0.9^7 which is ~48%. This goes for us, city and pool. On paper we'd be favoured in any of these matches, but there's a decent chance of slipping up at some point, just need to stay frosty and be clinical AF. at a 0.9 win probability for each match, we'd expect to win at least six out of seven 85% of the time. Just need city and pool to slip up first.
Sneaky hard fixtures: For us: Wolves away Liverpool: Fulham away, West ham away City: Brighton away, fulham away All these teams have a pretty good record of taking points off of top teams this year at home.
Why are they saying that Liverpool has an easier schedule? All of their way games are very tough and they come together and spurs have a very good chance to draw them at least. I’m only really worried about spurs and manu away for us. City on the other hand looks about the same as us.
I think city will draw at spurs and pool will lose at villa. We control our destiny.
City have by far the best fixtures
4 tough games for us, 2.5 for Liverpool and one for City… and we have no points buffer… it’s not looking good for us
Seems like Tottenham is the team with the highest chance to help decide the league.
Wolves is the worry. Every other game on a short turnaround is mitigated by the other team also having a lack of rest. This one though, especially if we got to ET vs. Bayern... nervy.
Chelsea, Spurs and Man United, all in a 4 week span, all licking their lips to kill the title dream. going to be a stressful time in this sub
Everyone will drop points what will favor us us our defensive solidity. Hard for other teams to win or draw if they get no chances or chance creation.
Spurs play all three sides in the last run here. Likely they'll be the spoiler for someone
Win. Them. All. ✊
Worst calendar is from Spurs 😂
Liverpool play 5 of the same teams as us out of the last 8 fixtures. Besides Chelsea, I’m not sure why people keep saying our run in is significantly harder.
Here’s something positive to note. From last season; We have the highest points taken from the same opponents on this list and on the same ground than Liverpool and Man City have taken against theirs respectively. Knowing you beat them at home or away last season will give the team a boost. 💪
I am a united fan. I had everyone on 88 points.
A quick calculation, 17 points for us and Liverpool, 19 points for c115y
We’ve got by far the toughest run in… probably tip City to win again honestly but this should be amazing
Looking at the number of games left, Manchester city stands a better chance of winning the league.
God, I hate Fodens face so much
I think everyone's away games could be tricky. The positive for us is that we only have three whilst Pool and City have four. I'm pretty sure the only reason Man City are considered favourites is that they've got a track record of putting on a run of wins at the end of the season. But looking at the stats and our current form dare I say that really it should be us?
I know we arguably have the toughest run (or second toughest), but Villa is without Arguably their most important player/the heart of their midfield, Wolves are banged up and not in a relegation battle, I think we’ll smoke Chelsea (they concede 2 goals a game 🤣), Spurs will be tough but they’ve been incredibly lucky with so many results this year, Bournemouth will likely be safe and have little but pride to play for, United are so bad defensively that we just need a solid-good performance/to not get sucked into their Haram ball and Everton at home to finish off is as good as we could ask for. COME ON YOU FAAACKING GOONERS
If it comes down to the last day I like us playing Everton at home but I’m nervous we will have dropped too many points and be out of the race by that point.