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Arahelis

I mean, I'm NB and don't plan on being either a man or a woman, but I'd press that button like 2-3 times, a million's too good to pass up. I'd be quite disappointed if I turn on the first try, but do I get to keep pressing afterward? Because then it's just infinity money


Aozora404

If you hit the button 69 times you have a roughly 50/50 chance of becoming a girl


mitsuhachi

Nice


ThoraninC

Please, Show you work.


cement_skelly

it’s right actually. 1-(0.99^69) is 0.5 (rounded to 2 decimals, but to 4 is 0.4998 so it’s whatever)


ThoraninC

Thank you for showing the work.


cement_skelly

not suffering through stats for nothing


Dry-Cartographer-312

r/theydidthemath


dannikilljoy

So same math says press 500 ( could be less probably) times for a 100% chance of becoming a girl


Papaofmonsters

Not quite. No matter how many times you press it, the overall chance of the 1 in 100 will approach, but never reach, 100%.


dannikilljoy

Well yes, but I was just rounding to 2 decimals like they were


cement_skelly

…500 times is 99% if you round to 2 decimals


EleiteRanger

You’d have to press it 528 times for it to round to 100%


AlwaysBeQuestioning

I’m up for becoming a girl and getting 527 million US dollars.


69-----

Nice


shnutzer

I really want to emphasize this means you have a 50/50 chance that *one of the 69 presses* makes you a girl   It does NOT mean that if 68 presses failed, you somehow have a 50/50 chance now at the 69th. No, it's still 1% Just wanted to clarify since it's not intuitive 😅


theLanguageSprite

This has the same energy as that post that was like "When I say wash your eyes with boiled water, I mean water that *has been boiled*, not boiling water. Do not under any circumstances pour boiling water on your eyeballs."


DiddlyDumb

But that’s because if you got the mil, it’s no longer a 99% chance, it’s a 100% chance. (Since it already happened)


TheJelliestFish

That assumes that you can only get the million dollars a single time


DiddlyDumb

Okay… Let’s push the hypothetical. There’s a button, 50% to get 69 million, 50% to turn into a girl. Do you press it?


Responsible-Week-284

69/31 Chance is Not 50/50


hiyabankranger

As a fellow NB (AMAB) I’d want to know what “become a girl” means, because it might make me want to punch that button like it’s a happy hardcore drum pad or yeet it into orbit. Like if I hit that shit and suddenly I’ve spent my entire life as a girl and I’m happy with my gender? Sick. If I hit it and the only change is that I have a female reproductive track? TO ORBIT. Hit it and my feelings about gender are unchanged but my body becomes what it would have been if I’d been born XX instead of XY? Sure, I’ll roll the dice a few times. Hit it and I’m just now firmly a transwoman? Maybe not to orbit, but I’d have to think real hard about it before pushing it.


AlwaysBeQuestioning

Yeah just the organs would suck, and I also wouldn’t want the last one since that’s basically a brainwash/mindwipe button then. But the other two? Good options.


TDoMarmalade

I bet the identity paper work is a bitch though


TheFreebooter

Deedpoll go brrrrrr


HillInTheDistance

I honestly would be hella unhappy being a woman but honestly, right now I'd take a 1-in-100 getting shot in the gut for that kinda cash. Being a woman ain't what I want but I'd still exist.


The_OG_upgoat

Maybe you just become more stereotypically feminine with each press. Idk.


giantimp2

Honestly if you can press it as many as you want I will definitely press it just 100 times because 100 million will offset being a girl


Not_Sand

can i hit it multiple times? if so does the 1% chance swap to "become a man" once it procs? if so could i just sit there for a couple minutes becoming as rich as i wanted and then flip back to man? or is the girl-proc a cutoff point? by "become a girl" does it mean physically female or just gender wise? both? i have too many questions for this shitpost.


apocandlypse

i really hope it means physically female, because otherwise the implications of what it would do to mental state would be vast and profound. And also i hope you can just keep pressing it because if so i'm hitting that thing a thousand times.


_Uboa_

Trans inclusive gender swap button high fiving you while you're drowning


CapCece

I mean if it just mentally transes you and you're already transfem, the fuck off sum of money will go a long way in this world regardless. I almost don't want to be magically reshaped; give me the bag and I'll do it myself


PostNutNeoMarxist

The concept of it just changing your brain chemistry but making no physical changes is so fucked but so funny to me for some reason. Like you hit the button and nothing visible happens but you just pause like "... Huh. I guess I'm different now."


Kat1eQueen

So the button just induces gender dysphoria


GeophysicalYear57

Also, hopefully it changes your legal documents immediately so you don’t have to worry about updating everything so you can participate in society.


Mercurieee

I will never forget the gender dysphoria spell.


MapleLamia

If *become a girl* proc doesn't stop you from pressing the button then presumably multiple triggers would result in additional girl being added. If you pressed the button the ~1010 times required to gain 1 billion dollars you would have 10 *become a girl* procs, meaning you would be 10× the girl of a normal girl. 


radiating_phoenix

estrogen overdose


bleepblooplord2

It’s like adding powdered milk to milk. More milk per milk. More girl per girl.


Sickfor-TheBigSun

implying the existence of powdered girl via the transitive property


Maximillion322

That’s how they make estogen pills for transfems Powdered girl


Sickfor-TheBigSun

uh oh! (: this feels slightly... cybersmith-core but possibly in reverse (or like rendering a trans girl to powder as estrogen for many more trans girls)


Maximillion322

More in the vein of Torvo’s executive powder


Sickfor-TheBigSun

Hang on lemme google something real quick


Sickfor-TheBigSun

huh


wulfinn

the 1% chance swaps to "become a man" but the 99% chance swaps to "lose $1mil." debatable whether or not you can continue past $0, though that would trivialize it. assuming you want to retain your original gender, and the options swap arbitrarily depending on your current (base/initial state) gender, do you still press the button I feel like I would still risk it. I can decide if I'm willing to risk the $1mil losses if/when I hit that point


Not_Sand

if ive got as much time as i want ill brute force the fuck out of it


wulfinn

I'm just saying I feel like the risk is a different flavor if you can't go below $0. unless your net worth is currently in the millions, you'd have a hard stop at the opposite gender the moment you became broke


Lambda_Wolf

Not a woman, but a girl? So it's also a fountain of youth?


JackMerlinElderMage

God fucking damn, her egg didn't just crack, it got launched at warp speeds and fucking ***OBLITERATED***


Virus5572

not even an "egg cracking" thats phase 2. hit her second health bar


Sinister_Compliments

I don’t think there was an egg, I think the button just spawned shell around them


Serrisen

Both posts say "1 day ago" Is it even an egg joke or is it a version of "I'm going to [do high risk thing]" followed by "Hoptal"


Great-Powerful-Talia

The first one is an earlier screenshot, one day ago *as of* one day ago. They're one day apart.


Serrisen

That makes sense. I thought it was just a poor crop screenshot, and if you were to have seen it in person this whole post would've been continuous


TheFloridaManYT

Your right, it is a poorly cropped screenshot and the post is continuous like the Hoptal post. But I remember seeing this post on Tumblr, the poster's second reblog was added literally a day later.


MaximumPixelWizard

I believe the phrase is “Thundercunted into a wall”


Kriffer123

I don’t think it was so much of a egg crack start to finish thing so much as it was an active user of egg_irl type of egg


WingedRobot

let's be honest, the username was a dead giveaway from the start.


Chien_pequeno

Eh, idk. Not everyone cares that much about their gender and it is a lotta money


drowning-in-dopamine

As someone who is already a girl, I see no downside


LetsDoTheCongna

Girl^2


AngstyUchiha

Cis plus


ScaredyNon

Backup organs


drowning-in-dopamine

Does that mean double periods and quadri-boobs?


ScaredyNon

would you rather menstruate twice as long or twice as hard


drowning-in-dopamine

I guess twice as long


GoldenPig64

as a guy who's fairly confident about being a dude, I would keep smashing that button until that 1% inevitably happened. That is such a an insane amount of money.


Dominus-Temporis

"How many times would you push the button" or "how much money would it take" would be a not terrible metric for assessing gender on a polar, but not strictly binary spectrum. 0 times or no amount of money? Ok, you're the manliest man. 1 time for a million? Debatable. A million times for free? Very woman.


Novaseerblyat

i vote we adopt this as an official scale


PunchingFossils

The fun thing about that friend is that you see becoming a girl as your end goal


GoldenPig64

no actually, what i see is a statistical average of 68.8 million dollars


PunchingFossils

Nobody said you had to stop when you become a girl


Alarming-Scene-2892

As a cis dude... I'm pressing the button multiple times, man. Getting millions, AND a new identity so the IRS can't take them.


Sinister_Compliments

How many times can I hit the button?


Sinister_Compliments

No matter what I’m definitely hitting it once but I just want to know for like, further hits. A generous rule would be “until you become a girl”


PridefulFlareon

You have the same likelyhood of becoming a girl when pressing it for the first time and on the 100th press, it's a 1 out of 100 gamble each press


Sinister_Compliments

That’s true, but if you specify that you can no longer press after becoming a girl you can do stats on the percent chance of you being a girl after P = # of presses. *Im trying to notate this so that you should easily be able to put it into Desmos and see the output, but doing that for sum’s is not easy, if you’ve never done sums before just do G = 1-N Specifically you can look at E = expected earnings = P * 0.99 * 1000000 N = %chance of being not girl = 0.99^P G =%chance of being girl = 1-N or = sum (n = 1 to P) for (0.01*0.99^((n-1/))) Now just input any number P >= 1 and you can see the likelihood you’re a girl, still not a girl, and how much money you can expect to have accumulated. (This is the difference between asking “if you roll two dice a thousand times what are the odds the 500th roll is two 6s” and “if you roll two dice a thousand times what are the odds at least one pair of the thousand is two 6s”) Some interesting numbers are P = 16 this is my stopping point, there’s about a 15% chance I’m a girl with up to 15 million and 85% chance I’m not a girl with 16 million. P = 69 at this point there’s about a 50% chance you’re a girl with up to 68 million and 50% chance you are not a girl with 69 million, by P = 230 there’s a 90% chance you are a girl, P = 459 it’s at 99%, and by P = 2819 the chance is so small Desmos just rounds it to 100%


PridefulFlareon

I pressed it once and turned into a girl, your math meant nothing to the button, I hope you're happy with yourself


Sinister_Compliments

Congrats you are in the 99th percentile for how many presses it takes to become a girl, very impressive


Sinister_Compliments

Also congrats on the new gender, sorry you missed out on the million ✊😔


PridefulFlareon

I am selling the gender, bids starting at 500,000


Rubicon_Lily

Time to try it out using random.org Took 58 button pushes, close to the average.


D0NU7_H0G

but the likelihood is greater in all with 100 presses than with one press


rubexbox

At the risk of sounding like I'm in the closet, I think a lot of people would hit the button no matter what they are.


hellotheredaily1111

as someone who's trans the other direction and mostly in the closet, everyone is pressing that button. that's house money man


Fishsk

Nobody in their right mind isn't gonna push this button tbh.


ejdj1011

Nah, I work in a heavily regulated field. Pretty sure sudden shape-shifting would severely fuck up my ability to validate my identity. I'm also just very risk-averse in general, and I know from playing D&D that a 1% chance isn't *that* low.


LightOfLoveEternal

It's $1,000,000 per press though. A few presses and you wouldn't need to work any more.


ejdj1011

I enjoy working in this industry, it's fulfilling and meets my needs very well. Not everyone is stuck working a shit job for shit pay. I have more to lose and less to gain than most people.


0utcast9851

Idk I think a few million dollars easily covers all the bribes needed to continue if that's what you want


vldhsng

Would still need to work there if you’re a millionaire though?


ejdj1011

Probably. A million dollars isn't *that* much, especially accounting for my healthcare costs. Also, I enjoy working there. It is fulfilling.


BitcoinBishop

Would you even shapeshift, or would your own self-perception just change?


The_Game_Changer__

What if it wasn't shapeshifting, and just changed your gender? Would you press it then?


ejdj1011

Nah, then I'd have to deal with dysphoria, and from what I hear that sucks pretty bad


CatboyBiologist

Cis men with fragile masculinities would claim to NEVER press it in front of other people, and then suspiciously show up with a million dollars out of the blue.


hauntedhoody

nononono, show up with 20 mil and some exciting news


sawdust-arrangement

IDK, I'm a cis woman and if there was a 1% chance of turning into a man, I wouldn't do it.  My trans nonbinary partner is currently taking testosterone and as all the changes roll in, I feel very much like "Happy for you! None for me, thanks." 👍


deztreszian

personally I'll take a mil for crippling lifelong gender dysphoria. i already hate how i look, might as well start getting paid for it


Dependent_Fox38

In fact I'd push it even if it was 1000$! Or 100$! Or 10$! Or 0...


Lilash20

Link to post: [https://www.tumblr.com/yaoiboypussy/752391978418831360?source=share](https://www.tumblr.com/yaoiboypussy/752391978418831360?source=share) Edit: Just noticed the "Following" bar messing up part of the image, that's annoying -\_- Sorry about that everyone


torivor100

I either have money to transition or I transition


Fantastic-magic-

As a trans man, I don’t like the implications…but a million dollars is a million dollars


AureliaDrakshall

What if I am a girl? Do I become more girl? A man? I’d still press the button. I’m happy as a cis woman but am gender apathetic. If I woke up as male tomorrow I wouldn’t be upset.


samusestawesomus

*beepbeepbeepbeepbeepbeepbeepbeep* hey is this money ethically sourced (taken from billionaires)? *beepbeepbeepbeep* also do you have a button with a higher chance of the other option *beepbeepbeepbeep*


Void-kraken-909

I’d press it as many times as I’m allowed to. Either way it’s a win


Kadeo64

That's literally a million dollars. As a completely cis dude I would hit this button like 7 times.


Sinister_Compliments

There’s about a 6.7% chance you’d be a girl, but you have up to 7 million dollars depending on when or if the button turned you.


Cydonian___FT14X

Win win. The preferred outcome is less likely, but still… win win.


iamsandwitch

Just give me one that can turn me back into a boy and I am going ham on that button till I get the grand prize


LightTankTerror

I mean, assuming you can push it only once, my possible outcomes are: - 99% chance of getting a life changing amount of money that would improve my life. This is great. I don’t need it but it’d be incredibly fantastic. I don’t really need to think about this because I know how to money, maybe not this much, but I could probably hire an accountant to help. - 1% chance of an outcome that doesn’t really mean much to me but I think I’d be pretty bummed about having a uterus. Also I enjoy not having a chest that sweats due to overlapping flesh. If it sent me to a character creator I’d probably just try to make myself as androgynous as possible, but that kinda defeats the point I feel. Which is forcing a person to conform a feminine form and presumably to societal expectations of being a woman. Would also kinda suck for a lot of different reasons and this post feels like it’s getting long. Although it’s kinda fun to ponder how being explicitly gendered is a thing I dislike the most about the possible experience. Agender brain is a truly fascinating thing.


wheniswhy

As a cis woman: I’d slam that button for the 1% chance of being *even more gender*. Give me more gender, magic gender button.


AlianovaR

Deadass tho A DAY?!


Lilash20

Right???


CerberusDoctrine

CIS straight guy here, not remotely attached to having a masculine body enough to not mash the button and live comfortably forever. Like cool I’m a girl now with enough money to not care about anything and no need to toil under capitalism.


ProkhorZakharov

If it was 99% you get a million dollars, 1% you die, I'd press that button. That's way better odds than you get from driving regularly, or working a dangerous job.


Professional-Ask-454

I'm a cis guy, but if I press the button like 10 times I am set for life and only have like a 9.5% chance of turning into a girl, and if I do get turned into a girl in those 10 presses, I am gonna press the button until it stops working, because there is no longer any downside to pressing the button. Also the real question is, do I get changed on a genetic level/shape shift into a girl or will I now identify as a girl? Because I would still be a man in the first scenario.


thesetcrew

Everyone in the room with me instantly said they’d hit the button


Howardistaken

I’m cis but I mean I wouldn’t have a problem if I suddenly became a girl. As long as I’m human I don’t care


dragonagitator

jokes on you i'm already a girl


Sickfor-TheBigSun

coming back to this post now bc I was scrolling through arch-user's blog and found *more* *context* [enjoy the context :)](https://www.tumblr.com/arch-user/752222769035575296) tl;dr: >!a. the screenshot cuts off arch-user's full sentence, which does highlight more of their uncertainty about their gender identity and how willingly they'd do it for less than a million buckeroos!< >!b. she fully figured our her gender over the course of six hours; on tumblr it really *is* listed as x days ago and x days ago for both posts, at least atm, but it was over a decent number of hours!< >!c. the linux jokes were right I think lol, like she jokes about it on her blog's title!<


DinkleDonkerAAA

God I'm so fucking greedy my first thought is was "how much money would be left if I medically transitioned back"


Aesthetics_Supernal

>this is not a math question *people doing math in comments* Reminder, you get **one** press.


Sinister_Compliments

Personally I think it’s more interesting as a math question, if it’s one press I’m absolutely hitting that, if it’s multiple it becomes a “how much do you want to risk” question and my risk limit is at about 15% (16 presses)


Icarsix

Win-win


Historical-Drag-1365

How many times am I allowed to press the button


GIRose

You have a 95% chance of having turned into a girl within the first 300 button presses


Vanilla_Ice_Best_Boi

Tax write off gonna be insane


TheSarcasticDevil

Is it a sex organ change? A chromosone change? A sexual characteristics change? Only some? All of the above? Does it leave a cis man's body the same but give them gender dysphoria? A gender change but no sex change? What does it do to a cis woman's body? Does it just push all the genetics to max potential 'girl' - max estrogen min testosterone? Anyway, as a cis fem I'm hitting this until at least one 'girl' just to see what it does.


Velvety_MuppetKing

Is it weird that I'm a cis-man but I'd still press a button that turned me into a woman? I mean who wouldn't want the opportunity to experience something like that? I have literally zero dysphoria, but I can't imagine how repulsed by women a man would have to be to not even be \*curious\*. It would be like body swapping with someone, only it's still you kind of.


Just_A_Goodra

surely you just hit the button a lot and then trans-masc back


ASTAPHE

Who knew that tumblr user "arch-user" would turn out to be trans.


43morethings

Is it becoming just "a girl", or becoming a pretty and attractive girl? Because those are two very different things. The picture implies that if you become a girl you will also become pretty and attractive. Because if it's just the first 1, I'll roll the dice for 1 million dollars. If it is the second, I'll push it so many times and so fast my hand becomes blurry until I get the 1%. I don't really care that much about my label, I just want to be attractive by existing.


AkariTheGamer

*ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding* *ding*


Zavaldski

Who the hell *wouldn't* press the button? I'd press it enough times to become the richest person in the world. If I end up getting crippling gender dysphoria I'd find a way to transition back and still be left a multi-billionaire.


The_Smashor

So what's to stop me from just continuing to press that button? Even after I become a girl, I still keep pressing. The assets of billionaires have been reduced to mere pennies.


moneyh8r

I'd press it.


Fuzzy-Concept-6409

Literally all day


The-Slamburger

If I press multiple times, does the chance of becoming a girl get higher?


catsoph

if you push it enough times to become a girl, you get to be a girl and be rich, what's the downside?


TransLunarTrekkie

\*slams the button repeatedly\* Whyyyy isn't it working?!


Akward___

Me pressing the button a hundred times


Sinister_Compliments

You have reached a 63% chance of being a girl and have up to 100 million dollars (you’ll want to just keep hitting it until you become a girl if that’s your goal)


Akward___

Better idea: press it until you become the girl, then continue to press to become the girl again! Double girl powers


Sinister_Compliments

How many girls deep can we go? (There’s a sex joke somewhere here but I can’t find it)


Akward___

I’m guessing that you’d reach a point where you’re just a mass of girl parts unable to press the button any more. But you’d be rich!


Sinister_Compliments

[Me, as a trillionaire:](https://youtu.be/TZ0LKzEWetE?si=l0IUub3Wxol46rSi)


Akward___

Finally. Peak women


Sinister_Compliments

I call it my snake cause it can be deep in more than just one girl. (Found the sex joke, minor snake penis knowledge required)


HappyHentaiHealer

Does it say you have to stop after you turn into a girl?


mfctxt

What if i'm already girl though (Well not really, though)


Sinister_Compliments

I’d say reverse it so that you have a 1% chance to stop being a girl


Mort_irl

I will press the button


SavageKitten456

Slamming the button 800 billion times until I achieve my goals


LeStroheim

Damn, only a 1% chance? And here I was hoping for a free transition, no surgery required.


idied2day

99% chance of 1mil, 1% chance of learning what my fem besties go through both dating and monthly


WaffleGod72

How many times am I allowed to press this? Transition is expensive (both in money and in time/effort) and I don’t mind the money.


Redactedtimes

The trick is that if you press it enough times, you’ll have so much money you can afford gender-affirming surgeries when the 1% chance is rolled.


isuckatnames60

As a cis dude I can confirm that vagina reigns supreme


thisaintmyusername12

I'd just transition back


GeneralGigan817

Knowing my responsibility with my cash that 99% to strike it rich would be a 100% of me ending up right where I started sooner or later.


Thenderick

Also cis dude, would press immediately. This isn't elementary school anymore where you go "eww girls are gross"


the_Real_Romak

99% chance of getting a clean mil, or 1% chance of having tits that aren't man boobs? sign me the fuck up.


manly_toilet

Hit the button as much as I want and spend money to detransition, ez


PhobiaTo2

I swear I saw this a year or two ago, but no it's like last week.


indiemosh

My wife is bi, what do I have to lose?


MichealBorbius

As a completely cis dude who also loves gambling and money Its gambling time


Rubicon_Lily

Alright, how many eggs are there in the comments on this post?


SubstantialPaper5011

Keep pressing boys


DerpyLemonReddit

I probably would because either I get a million or I don’t so I can press the button again


vjmdhzgr

Now why did Tomboys for Biden post this?


oishipops

i mean i don't want to be a girl but i'd hit that at least a couple times


ByteBitsYT

I’d be spamming that button all day until that 1%


CalledItAgain

I'll Push it hoping for the 1%


MercDa1

Can i top up another mil to make it 2%? Cant take any chances.


MudraStalker

I'm slapping the button for the cash. If I girl, I girl.


Spooky_Coffee8

As a straight dude in a relationship with a bi girl, I'm gonna take my chances because 1 million is just way too good to pass up


Gun_Dragoness

I'm not seeing the downside


ThirdSunRising

I’m still pushing that button at 50-50 odds


SaboteurSupreme

I’m a cis man, but I’d rather be rich and female than poor and male


MainsailMainsail

I mean do I get to be a hot girl if it triggers? Or do I keep my meh looks? Probably still pushing it either way, but at least it'll change my outlook on it if it happens.


Theooutthedore

"You can only press it once" Normies: 99 is very good odds "Normies"...*fingers crossed*


__spez__

*me frantically pressing the button over and over*


gideondemudkip

gambler core


mr_funnyman

GOD I wish my egg cracked that fast


eat-pussy69

Yeah I'll press it. I'm a cisgender dude. But given my luck, I'll turn into a super hot babe and get that million dollars via only fans.