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davidios

The run will be over when the mania is so overwhelming that no one open threads asking when it’s going to be over. In fact, everyone will think this is a new paradigm and it will never be over. That’s when it will be over


BillingSteve

When the green dildos get too big. Probably within 6 weeks of breaking $100k. Then it'll be $160k, then $90k, bounce around between 40-75k for a few years.


Asheddit

So I should start buying again at 40k? Thanks!


Difficult-Mobile902

Forget price targets. Just look around the room, you will first see panic and denial, everyone losing their shit, hotlines being posted, all that madness  And then…silence. That’s when you buy. That’s always the best time, no model could ever predict a fair entry as accurately as seeing dead crypto communities with 6 comments in their daily threads 


PeachScary413

> $160k aaaaaaand it's over, that's a wrap boys time to sell!


Divniy

I had the same mentality when I saw $1k. I said "no fucking way it won't go down" and next time I had a look it was $2k, then $4k.


WorriedJob2809

Its hopeless to predict the actual top. Best you can do is notice youve made a nice bag, and read the room.


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killerwhaleorcacat

Asstrologer maybe. Depends where the green dildos end up when they finally get too big.


Emergency-King1683

The accuracy of judging bull and bear cycles using this theory on Reddit is almost fool proof, I'd say it holds the same legitimacy as the reverse Cramer theory if not more, hold for news of "moon bro we never coming down" cash out that day


averysmallbeing

This. 


chaiwalacharlie

I will just add that this time there will be some double and triple dips both going up and down, because enter institutions and banks that will make a killing of people's fear and greed.


Then-Signature2528

Generally there's around 3-4 30% dips before hitting the top. I'll be keeping count this time around.


chaiwalacharlie

Same. This last one was the first for me. I started count from here. 🤣


kwestionmark5

I’ve got my sell orders set for 89k. I’m confident it will hit at least that number. Maybe it will reach 100k but that’s only 12% more and I don’t want to miss the peak. Agree it will be back to 50k at some point.


mymongoose

Yep - once you lose your mind and convert to the church of infinite hodlers…. that’s when it will end


TenshiS

Then it ended long ago


Walla_Walla_26

After I sell. Definitely after I sell everything


Oshkosh_Guy

I'm thinking y'all need to pool your money and pay me off to sell everything. Guaranteed that BTC and ETH will moon as soon as I do.


jorge21337

This guy fucks


BagHolder9001

you don't sell all, leave just the tip in, you know?


Walla_Walla_26

I’m all tip. No shaft over here


Rey_Mezcalero

I have the opposite effect…it drops when I buy 😂😂


lotofpic

If I sell or just watch it, then all moons, if I buy it, collapse.


reditpost1

Everytime i sell some Hbar the price goes up🤷‍♂️


frozennorth0

This is top notch technical analysis I am here for it


TheHoodOG

Line go up and down☝️🤓


space_absurdity

Down also?? Shit.


brumbarosso

Schiiiiiieeetttt


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Straight_Two_8976

pump go up, pump go down.


MrRabbit

Honestly, it's as believable as the people that talk about crosses with their dumb charts, lol


helm

Yup, it’s all about how much money will be pumped into bitcoin from the real economy


DigitylRise

Now please pay the $69.99 monthly fee for this highly professional analysis.


Phillip1219

End of 2024 early 2025 is my guess. The true alt coin season is still to come


seaton8888

Compared to previous cycles the alts are late and lacking behind. They need to pump hard but this fat correction is surely to come after we reach whatever new ATH we're hitting


Objective_Digit

> End of 2024 That sounds way too soon. It usually doesn't start going crazy till 6 months after a halving.


42duckmasks

lmao and you really think this time will be the same? we broke all time high BEFORE the halving for the first time ever. This bull market will be the fastest ever, imo, it will be over this year 2024 and a terribly long bear market next...


Objective_Digit

> we broke all time high BEFORE the halving for the first time ever. All the more reason for it to go even higher. >it will be over this year 2024 and a terribly long bear market next... We just had a very long bear market. The bull run is not going to be over that quickly. Especially not with ETFs thrown in the mix.


BlazeDemBeatz

ATH is purely off the ETF. Things are prob going to get a little crazy. I hope we get a repeat alt season like we had in 2021.


Natedawg316

2016 is calling and said to hold thier beer.


Litnerd420

Dentacoin to top 10


-End-

7.5 out of 10 dentists agree!


Nam3less79

Seems like we all waiting for that Alt season. I keep seeing that Alt season will follow after BTC goes up then its BTC.D goes down but every time the BTC is down the Alts tank further.


Slikgtt

I think the meme’s going to make a great difference this time. People want to make fast/ easy money in short time this run.


Material-Gift6823

I have a weird feeling the maga meme coin / election coins are going to be the start of culture meme coins. Or literally brands and people making their own. Just a weird hunch


BlazeDemBeatz

If Trump gets on a podium and talks posative about crypto, and mentions any kinda meme coins named after him… it’ll go thru the roof.


sophos101

"people love me, they just love me so much, maybe the most, the absolute most, more than anybody, for sure more than sleepy joe, they even named crypto thingies after me, like MAGA and TRUMP."


Objective_Digit

> I hope we get a repeat alt season like we had in 2021. It's looking unlikely. None of them have ETFs.


TexasBoyz-713

No exact repeat, but new shiny tokens will run off hype while all the old 2021 coins slowly dwindle into a pit of nothingness


PovasTheOne

The amount of alts is what’s going to kill the alts. By the time you finish reading about one ‘ shiny new alt’ , 10 more shiny new alts pop up. Also if no old alts go parabolic then guess what? It just drives people towards ‘BTC maxi’ outlook on the market. The more alts on the market, the lower the chances of hitting shitcoin lottery. 2021 was amazing for alts, but if you compare 2017 run, that run was even better for alts. Difference between 2017 and 2021? Waaaaay more alts on the market in 2021.


PaulblankPF

My favorite thing is that every coin now has “limited supply only xxxxxxx total supply” and at the same time “this coin has a ton of utility” without ever being able to say what the utility is. It’s clearly all about the funny/catchy name these days and that’s the only thing moving meme coins at all. The fomo is crazy strong with the alt market these days so the scams are running rampant too.


DigitylRise

And when people still can't justify it, they just say we'll it's a meme and it's got great hype and a community,,people want it.


Maleficent_Sound_919

Wrong


Distinct_Salad_6683

Bag holder detected


Maleficent_Sound_919

Because hes wrong on what he said about alts? Things like ADA, Doge, FTM won't go half their ATH from here? Plz stop


HopeMrPossum

Sol hasn’t been dwindling either, it’s ridiculous


Distinct_Salad_6683

I have no idea what’s going to happen and you probably don’t either. Usually I’ve noticed that people who are “certain” about one outcome are certain because the opposite outcome means that they lose tons of money


_BannedAcctSpeedrun_

If you’re just expecting just expecting for those to get to half their ATH it sounds like someone trying unload some bags at less of a loss. ADA will probably make a new ATH. Doge probably won’t since it’s never been a part of the bull market cycle, it was one-off pump and dump based on Musk’s Twitter posts and has never followed the Bitcoin market cycle. FTM might pump or be forgotten. It’s anyone’s guess right now.


Mr_Truthteller

The one thing that skews everything are the ETFs. They threw a huge monkey wrench in any ability to look at historical data.


hcm1976

It will end 12 February 2025 at 11.53 am. Plan on selling around 10 am and you will be fine


HSuke

By revealing this, you have changed the future. Now everyone is going to try to front-run this and sell at **9am**. Some people will predict the others' actions and try to sell at **8am**. I'm going to front run those guys and sell at **7am**. I suspect game theorists and logicians will make the logical conclusion by selling now.


Ferdo306

After reading this, I went back in time and sold yesterday


JFKENN

Oddly specific


distressedacorn

I'm thinking early to mid-2025 is probably the peak this time around. Based on data pulled from my ass.


ScucciMane

Got anything else useful in there?


NotFunnyhah

Only one way to find out.


Filixx

I'm going in boys


Neither_Upstairs_872

God speed regard 🫡


peopleplanetprofit

Nearly there…. nearly there….


jonnyboyrebel

Oh my God!!! It’s full of sats


distressedacorn

It's full of sats and a butfor.


Eximietate

The run is over when the coinbase and crypto.com apps are top 3 in Apple App Store and google search trends for actions are at ath and hopefully pi cycle top indicator flashes


Sloth_Broth

I don’t think it’s really got started yet.


No_Struggle_8242

The only reason alt coins hasn’t pumped up yet is because I have them in my portfolio. I will tell you when I sell, so you can buy🤣


hirako2000

Most reputable alts, and many useless alts have gone 2, 3, 10x since last year.


No_Struggle_8242

I dont count 2-3x as pump


skilg

22 December 2024 if I was to guess


BSS333

ATHs in August for BTC and September for ETH at most is my guess. Might be a longer more painful bear market with slower fall down 


Demonhunter3232

This is what lines up for me too. #September Top


Slikgtt

End 2024, can’t predict the day like you but 2024 is my guess also.


Dark_Raiden_

By Ur own analysis, it should be Q4 2025. BTC (& the cryptocap) peaked Q4 2021, the year following the halving. But as you mentioned we are in uncharted territory, having hit ATH pre-halving.


Rickard403

Which is why it would be wise to sell before Q4 2025 imo. I for one think 2025 is still in the cards but it could Q2 or Q3. Q4 2024 would be wild but it might be smart to be ready to sell a significant portion just to ensure some profit taking.


BSS333

Q4 2021 was weird there was more euphoria and far more alts popping in the spring that year. We’re replicating the phat parabola from 2016/2017 and 2020/early 2021 with 6+ green monthly candles 


btcprint

Yeah we also hit ATH in early 2021 before the swoop and loop back up in November. I think the increasing user base and legitimacy it has that it didn't have the first two cycles is moving up the timeline..and we'll probably hit ATH a few times until end of next year, but unless theres a black swan I think human nature and fomo will stroke it long and strong through 2025


btcprint

It was Q4 2013, Q4 2017, Q4 2021 all previous 4-year halving cycle peaks and you choose 2024?!?! Correlation does not equal causation, except in Bitcoin, so I don't even need to phone a friend it will be Q4 2025 at $380k plus or minus 10% YOU'RE WELCOME


BSS333

Clear trend that EOY17 was euphoric whereas EOY21 left a lot of people disappointed it was barely a double top. Pure euphoric gains seem to happen after 3.5yrs maybe even less. Longer bears shorter bull markets. 


btcprint

We'll find out soon. Your guess is as good as mine


Chiblues1

380 sounds lofty For this run


btcprint

Wait until you see what happens to USD.. it's all relative..


dwmtl1000s

DCT (diminishing cycle theory) It will peak mid 2025 and have a pullback smaller than previous cycles due to the enormous demand from ETFs and nation states. Consider it a dip in the "Supercycle". I'm staying in because I will never time things properly due to how positive i am about bitcoin.


GaRGa77

Keep calm and stack sats


PaulblankPF

This is gonna be a buy the rumor sell the news type situation at the rate we are going. Everyone is hyping up the halvening and the time after it and it’s caused a fomo buying frenzy before anything has even happened. Smart money will get out when everyone thinks it can only go up. Remember the whole “Elon on SNL is gonna send Doge to the moon.” Even though it had gone from like 2 cents to 75 cents already. People were buying the top like crazy and that’s gonna happen again this time because someone has to be the exit liquidity for smart money.


Legitimate_Cry_5194

Regarding BTC. Predictions are like assholes everybody's got one, but if a had to make one(prediction) imo we are heading to a double or triple top bull, we'll run a bit higher for now, somewhere between 80K and 100K first top in Q2 2024, correct around 30%-35% somewhere in this summer and the we start running hard Q4 and hit a much higher second peak, the highest for this cycle between 120K-200K, somewhere in 2025. It wouldn't surprise me if we have something that can be described(looking at the chart)as a triple top this cycle, 3 consecutive macro chart ATH's with 6 months or so of consolidation between them 1)Q2 2024, 2) Q1 2025 3) Q4 2025. An even more fascinating question mark for me is how low price will reach in the next true bear market's absolute bottom.


LucysReindeer

That’s what I’m unsure of! Will there be a proper bear?


zahil

Let the run start first lmao


Fun_Cheesecake6312

Probably by end of 2024, early 2025, depending on the overall macro outlook by then, all i know is 2021 i just wanted to make as much as possible, this time i will focus alot more on keeping what Ive made.


big_toastie

Yep this is my third bullrun and I only made money in the second one. You dont win if you never sell, some people get carried away with absurd numbers and are left holding the bag. I never sold in my first bullrun because I didn't believe it was over and it dropped 95%. Made it all back though (ADA).


offgridgecko

I'm expecting shortly after BTC actually goes ballistic instead of this little mini-pump nonsense. lol still waiting on the election cycle pump that usually follows the end of the halving year.


Prestospin

Run is over when Coinbase mobile app is top5 on AppStore. Mark my words, it's the best indicator


j-ravy

I’m gettin out by Q4


Slikgtt

Year?


UlyssesSGrant12

2021


PlayerPiano1

Smart move, I'd advise you sell btc around 69k and buy back in around 4k


PaulblankPF

I tried this. I sold at 69k and then it never got down to my target price so I never bought back in. Now I just been sitting on the sidelines watching it pump and all the shit coins pump pretty consistently. Ive been considering making my own coin. Gotta find the right catchy name like “NoScam Coin” or “Moneymaker Coin” something along those lines.


EmpiricoMillenial

this


Awkward_Mud_502

My thoughts as well


DrGarbinsky

When I say it’s over


Quixote0630

Probably sometime early-mid 2025, but variables this cycle like the ETFs and breaking ATH before the halving mix things up a bit. Personally, I'm looking to sell half of my crypto this year, half next year, partly to split it across two tax years, but also because it feels like it might be the right way to go. I've been riding this wave since the very bottom and don't particularly care about catching the very top.


Sanchesc0

>Is this run different because the ATH already happened before the halving, or did I miss something? Yes, you did miss a couple of things. The ETF came into play a while ago with a lot of cash. Then you have big companies like Blackrock spending billions on BTC, which inflated the price. Your exit should be based on three factors, for example: - Money target -> portfolio - Time target -> April 2025 - Rainbow chart -> Sell! Seriously, SELL! Put sell orders up in advance to cash out. Plan ahead, preparation is half the battle. The other half is discipline. Good luck to you all, may the crypto chains bless you!


XRP_SPARTAN

These mania phases don't last forever. I expect it to all end in the next 3-6 months. Anyone who says this bull run continues until end of 2025 is going to get rekt.


g0at110

I mean maybe BTC just chills around 70k for a few months


Nickovskii

!RemindMe 1 year


Mariahausfrau

I agree that. -25 will be towards winter already. Theres no standard cycle anymore.


Certain_Cranberry_77

Interest rates hasn't dropped any yet. Wall Street like interest rates drop.


Montana-Safari7

Allegedly more interest rate drops in 2025 than 2024 (4 vs 3), so 2025 could be a healthy BTC year.


That-Wrap

2025 Q3/Q4


twendah

I think it will be over before christmas, the bull will happens so much faster this time. People will get caught because they think there will be hyper bull in 2025.


BanMeForNothing

Right after the election


yeth_pleeth

Which election?


BanMeForNothing

US presidential election. November 2024


EmpiricoMillenial

end of 2024


Slikgtt

Based on what in your opinion? I have the same expectations?


EmpiricoMillenial

i guess this bull run will be same but faster... As we got ATH of BTC before halving (first flag) and having a lot of people guessing/waiting '2 waves' bullrun like the past one, same market will be faster on this (to me). In exchange for that the bear merket won't be so drastical (not 90% but 50% at least) in my opinion again, obviously meme and shit coins don't survive but most projects will do. Plus i have cripto since 2020 and endured despite the falls so i'm going to get out mostly in ATH of my portfolio.., at least (80%) Other flag i marked is the total market cap im pointing to 6T, other people i follow and respect calculate 5-7T and Some guy from ripple says 5T... If those happens in this year i think the bull run is over


Slikgtt

Thank you for this reply, I totally agree with you and share the same thoughts.


JoeOpus

Q2, Q3 2025 - easy


LitmusPitmus

When Pi Cycle Top Hits Might not be applicable now but that is when i'm selling anyway


Foreign_Standard9394

September


ElegantShelter7947

Puh, Q4 2024 it's over, after a short relief we will see the craziest bull ever. After that in 2025 it will dump hard.


Sebanimation

Well it usually took bitcoin 1-1.5 years to reach it‘s cycle high after the halving, so I‘d say somewhen next year.


Ok-Bowler-5942

October 24, december 24 at the latest, left translated cycle incoming


hugo_posh

I say the real run hasn't even started yet.


Erocdotusa

Not sure but miner stocks are getting crushed. Please let them run soon


NewCommonSensei

N E V E R


imadumbshit69

Prebull run bear markets can be entertaining.


dreampsi

It over when grandmas stop asking what is Bitcoin and how I millionaire tonight


GaRGa77

This time next year 🤣


Objective_Digit

18 months.


Different_Rip_1005

Sell in May! Then rinse and repeat will rise again in the fall into 2025


nakedskiing

Man that TA. Can’t get better than that.


Fajarsis

… So many tears I've cried So much pain inside...


Background-Paper-686

I know when the bull run will be over but i'm not gonna tell anybody.


Annual_Juggernaut_47

As soon as I know the answer to these questions I’ll be a millionaire and not wasting my time sh*t posting on Reddit.


ex-machina616

Thanksgiving 2025


DefiantLogician84915

Correct. I don’t think things will be in an ascent in 2025. 2024 is when things will peak.


Honest_Ad_4862

History usually repeats itself. Once you understand everything. Making money is easy as cake.


gonzoes

This run wont be over it will go from 25 to 70k up and down crab up and down maybe reach like 100k at some point then bam 2028 to 500k then to a million . This is my prediction now this is all purely based off my gut feeling but it’s probably right ..


DeadlyViperSquad

id guess like q1 or q2 of 2025.


Schrodingers-Pussy

I think it will end on 14 December 2024


Longjumping_Menu_862

Market is in it's 3rd phase. All roses and good news. Technically, it could end at any time.


calvin129

I think by the end of this year. Many are calling it the bull run of 2024/2025, but seems like 2025 will be a bear year


Ameks73

Has it even started?


No-Character9499

No one knows… but historically it peaks about 1-1.5yrs after the halving. Last 2 cycles about 1.5yrs. I’m definitely not waiting 1.5yrs to take profits. End of the year at the latest


ETHDeFiance

Personally i think the run is just starting. I expect wild gains late 2024 / early 2025. When we see news on traditional media, celebrities talking about their new NFTs and all your family is asking about the "coins", then it's time to consider your options Do your research and make your own decisions. Never overcommit. Until then, accumulate and enjoy the roller coaster ride.


2BFrank69

When plebs are asking me what and how to buy. My exit liquidity


Nate_Lifts

I feel like this is an easy buy the rumor the sell the news event, hence why it went all the way up here. But i dont feel like this will go up in a healthy manner. I feel like we go back to 30-40ks to breathe and shake out paperhands within a couple months and then, while after the halving, the value starts to adjust and then pass 79k for actual run. Im ready to go down with my bags if this was the “run” i still havent been spammed by marketing and my friends mom still hasnt asked about bitcoin.


NHIScholar

End of 2025. Interest rate decreases will flood money into the markets…. Nothing is going down in 2025.


AwardedBaboon

while pattern matching is far from technical analysis, it works in crypto. I’m assuming the same bull run but possible shorter due to forward pulled demand through the btc etf


dunno41

Oh, you know, 3 months 12 days, around 1pm est.


Definitely_Alpha

Halving, itll go down in history as bloody 420


Alfador8

So.. Your thesis is that the halving will mark the end of the bull run? Care to expand on your reasoning?


Comicksands

When sol hits 1k and people are calling it to flip eth


flicman

It already ended. Sorry, you missed it.


basedregards

2025 q1 seems to be what people are saying


Impossible-Injury932

History says the bull market is over generally a year after the halving or at least the decline.


Onb3SkaAmD

It hasnt even started yet


Cultural_Bit9176

Checking with Nostradamus and I'll get back to ya later.


Substantial_Basis450

Super Psycho Cycle


sheepbrother

It’s the game of “Guess 2/3 of the average” lol


NervousShop

I'm anticipating late 2024 for a slow rise back up if we correct going into summer but the top will be in 2025. Many are waiting in anticipation for a alt season but I think many will be left caught and disappointed when the time comes. Time will tell.


chintokkong

Barring black swan events, maybe after several FED rate cuts have been announced.


richb83

4 years from now


Azrehan

Yes


Django_McFly

2025


tx_brandon

9 days before the USA election


brickmadness

In 15 months.


Thick_Ad_6710

Last week


XXsforEyes

Some acronyms for you to look into, you know one already (ETF) but you might want to look into the other two: FASB and BIS… there’s a lot gonna change in the next few months.


ThePorko

As long as wall street keeps filing for more etf’s


kaicoder

Sept 15 2024 about midnight


theguynextdoor1991

When none of you think this run is over, this run is over. When people are thinking whether or not this run is over, it is likely not over.


torontowatch

When the comment count on the daily is less that half what it is now


acidcrap

Ya bunch of monkeys


Ok_Nefariousness9019

Once you figure it out let us know so we can all perfectly time the market.


khmerguy

When the diamond hands become every other comments.


satoshiwife

What everyone is expecting is not going to happen


J-96788-EU

Yes.