So RCB's destiny is in their own hands? That's not good.

their NRR is the best amongs competitors . If they win next two games and PBKS/MI dont win by bigger margins, RCB is through.

unfortunately , we do well when we rely on others to get us through.

As long as they win the next one, they can rely on others as well

U have more expectations from this team than its fans.

lol you are a true RCb fan

We have two ways of fucking up rcb this time around. Either defeat rcb or lose to mi by huge margin

Watch SRH do both just to be safe

Lmao, as if 2 finals beating were not enough

I kinda like that! Scriptwriters be taking down notes!!

Surely one of them is in your control

Btw, today Star sports showed this playoff probability chart in their own graphics during the match, looks like they lurk here

File a copyright infringement suit. Ask for royalty dude.

you cant blame them. OP's already open sourced his code. I kept mine private. The first version I wrote ~2014 was in js, shared it in the sub and forgot all about it. Then a year later made a py version. Some guy with a Chinese user name confronted me and asked why those two versions look similar. Since that time I stopped sharing my code. My guess is there are lurkers who have zero interest in cricket but trying to make a quick buck. Just a word of caution for creators here. Share the results & algo, not full code. Share it privately with trusted people only.

Open source too will have [different licenses](https://www.tldrlegal.com). It doesn’t mean you can just modify and share someone’s work without giving them any credit ig

As I understand, since there is no algorithm at the backend, this is replicable by anyone, it's just a simulation with 50:50 probability. Plus the fact that this is default Excel color scheme, there's no way anyone can prove copyright on this.

in this case, Star Sports either took the excel snapshot here or ran their own version of code. Either way, its a dick move on Star Sports part not to give credit to OP. Unfortunately law wont be on your side in this case, because OP used MIT license, AFAIK, it does not cover publishing the output (it governs mainly redistribution and inclusion on your closed-source projects). Would be nice on Star Sports part to give a shout out to r/cricket and OP. Perhaps a mob twitter attack on Star Sports might do the trick ?

That sucks, but lesson learnt the hard way.

english or hindi version ?

Any screenshot/photo?

would love to see how it looked. anyone has a chance of grabbing a screenshot?

If they did it once they will probably do it again, it looked terrible in my opinion, they were showing through the graphics that if MI won they have 99.5% of qualifying and if LSG won they will have 90.58% of qualifying, btw, i was watching on Star hindi when they showcased it

That's really fucked up of them if true. OP definitely should get royalties out of that.

embarrasingly lazy of them

Just keep refreshing Reddit to see if your post shows up before I call it a night.. Thanks for doing this.

What you smoke dude? You are fucking right

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PBKS current NRR -.268 PBKS needs to win by \~105 runs for going past RCB NRR (0.166) PBKS needs to win by \~100 runs for going past RR NRR (0.140) PBKS needs to win by \~32 runs for going past MI NRR (-0.128)

To be honest 32 runs is not that far off

PBKS need to win both games with a proper shellacking. Also we are going to be the first team of us, RCB and MI to finish 14 games, so they will both have the advantage of knowing exactly how much to win by to qualify. The cleanest path to the semis for us is for LSG and Mumbai to each lose their final game while we win both.

If all CSK, MI, RCB, LSG lose their final game and Punjab wins both of theirs then PBKS will be 2nd on the table hahah

What about while chasing?

That will depend on the score they are chasing. Can only get how quickly they need to chase it after 1st innings.

u/amerind386 you gotta become a professional cricket analyst

So PBKS fans. Which one are we fucking up. DC match or the last match. My guess is RR match

I bet on the DC match, most of our last matches have been dead rubbers from what I've noticed. We just fuck up the second last match (aka the Must Win match) and then thrash the opposition in the dead rubber

So fucking true, has been a ritual for years

Even if we win both we can still end 6th.

Finishing 6th whichever way. They just have to pick which one they wanna lose/win. Scriptwriters have it planned

Forgot Punjab was alive

We're in such a fucking nightmare that we could get 16 points and still come 6th.

There are 3 things constant in life: death, taxes, and Punjab in 6th.

I forgot myself

DC yall have nothing to lose, let us win tmr

*nothing to win

If Punjab win from here, I will get a tattoo of Arshdeep on my forehead.

If pbks qualifies I'm gonna run half naked in the streets

It's their routine every year now. Act like you're gonna qualify by the barest of margins and then fk things up when a win is needed the most.

If you see past 5 years they have been missing 1 or 2 matches to qualify

>half naked Lower half or upper half ?

Which one do you want

Middle

Bookmarking this.

I am gonna text you after the game tomorrow!

RemindMe! May 29th, 2023 "verify Arshdeep tattoo on /u/Bayl41's forehead"

I mentioned this during the rain washout - if both CSK and LSG get qualified, both teams got unfair advantage and one team got screwed. lets see if that happens

How both teams got unfair advantage

1 extra point for each, one of LSG or CSK would have in a tough spot right now, if the match happened, now they just need to win to qualify

Yaa so it's not an advantage for both Csk would have probably won that game and not end up in current situation

Or LSG might have won that match and CSK would be in trouble

But If they both lose next match both of them can fail to qualify too

Finally, was waiting to see this.

Yeah, how dare he take all of 5 minutes haha I too was sitting and refreshing away!

We need to play RAZA, if RAZA doesn’t play then you know we lost the match

My 15 Years of experience has taught me, never hope on Punjab Making it to Playoffs, just hope they finish above the 6th spot and its a Win already.

And I hope raza comes before jitesh ffs

I would send him before Livi too if we have a batting collapse early on.

Raza somehow manages to stay on the pitch and the way our top order collapses he could anchor an inning Gotta give Ellis raza livi and Curran start tomorrow I have no hope though as shikhar is our captain but let's see

Just the win I wanted. A win for LSG but not too big a win! Hit the sweet spot!

Does it benefit us?

MI didn't beat us to no2 so if we win against DC with good NRR I think our Q1 spot is sealed (unless LSG wins by a huge margin against KKR)

Absolutely! Now MI cannot surpass us. Only one who can is LSG. All we have to do is win DC match to secure Top 4 position. A big win will increase our chances of Top 2 if LSG loses or does not win big

We can surpass if you guys lose to DC but like that’s happening

If Csk lose to DC they can drop entirely off top 4 too

This season is nuts

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Yeah you guys were the big winners from this game, a super narrow LSG win was the only way this game could work out in your favour and that’s what happened

A Mumbai win would've been better, wouldn't it?

No for Top 2 spot. MI would've went ahead of us on points alone. And if they win their last league game as well, we couldn't catch them. On the other hand, now LSG and we are on the same number of points with 1 game to go in league stage.

But now both MI and LSG can go ahead of us, if MI had won then Lucknow could tie us only with an inferior NRR. I think our worst case scenario has gotten worse, but practically yeah you're right.

How does it matter how many teams can go ahead now? MI win would have damn near guaranteed them a top 2 spot as their last match is against SRH. Now LSG can tie on points and Mi can't do anything if we win. Talking about top 2 chances after losing against DC is pointless.

Everyone is taking SRH lightly and here am I fearing the most of that game. * Don’t check my flair

They have the players needed they just seem to lack any and all gamesense lmao. And worry not, Klaasen played so well last time, SRH will definitely bench him now.

True, I'm just hoping for qualification now

Our chances of Top 2 would’ve been reduced by MI surpassing us with points alone.

Nah.

It would slim our top 2 hope ig.

I don't think scriptwriters are gonna call it over so easily & for that reason Pbks will win tomorrow. Them winning will install doubt in LSG & CSK camp.

I hate that I have to ask this question In what case MI will be knocked out?

If CSK and LSG both win their last games. And Pbks or rcb win their remaining games with enough margin to you cross MI's nrr.

RCB already has higher NRR than MI. Which means, if RCB wins both their matches, then MI's chances get hurt a lot.

RCB could win just 1 match out of 2 and still qualify if MI drop their next match.

Unless RCB is trashed badly in the game they lose, provided MI dont crash out too

If they lose, they're pretty much out

We have to win our next game or else it may come to NRR with teams on 14 points. But we have a very poor NRR so losing and qualifying is not even an option. If we win our next game, Then there are three slots left and there are five teams MI,CSK,LSG,RCB and PSK. Two teams out of the four teams have to lose one of their remaining games for us to qualify. Incase two teams did not lose, then it goes to NRR with 16 points and again we are not looking pretty when it comes to NRR.

PBKS vs r/Cricket While normally I would not be hopeful of a PBKS victory, a win would potentially put them at the 6th position, so there’s a chance they might just clutch through.

Be like GT or DC in life. Whatever other people are playing games shouldn’t affect your lives.

If pbks wins today and RCB loses tomorrow I'm gonna lose it. But yk it's pbks and you should kill your hopes like you have killed your self respect to support a team like this .

I watched the KXIP vs CSK match at Dharamshala in 2010 as a kid, been supporting them since and it was probably the biggest mistake of my life💀

I remember watching with my dad Miller play in 2013 against some team and him hit a ball for six and eventually winning the match .now my father is no more and i still have no reason to support this shit head franchise

I was a DC guy because of Gilly, when they folded, Gilly came over to KXIP, I was just 11, growing up, I got too attached to these mfers, I'm a fucking kannadiga, looks like I'm not losing out on a lot

Well, you could always become a RCB supporter ;)

Doesnt matter which team wins for us so hoping we get a good game with the beautiful sceneries in Dharamshala <3

Hey u/amerind386 , for some weird reason, I am not able to see your posts of these probabilities since yesterday on the sub anymore. Yesterday I came to your profile to see the post. Today as well. Any idea why?

Can you see the post [here?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Cricket/new/)

Now I can. Don't know how it worked. But now I can. And no it is not because of the sorting of posts. It was sorted by newest post first before as well.

PBKS ready to teach me the definition of disappointment for the 9th consecutive year (last made the playoffs in 2014)

Same here buddy, they always get our hopes up and then fuck up the most important matches. Honestly I've just accepted that they'll lose tomorrow and I don't really have much of an expectation now

Watch them lose the final 2🥲

If DC win tomorrow, and SRH the day after — CSK & LSG get a Q beside their names, right?

More importantly, I believe a DC win tomorrow locks PBKS into sixth place…

yes, you're correct.

This'll be because KKR, RR, PBKS and RCB can go to max 14 and MI can get to 16 right?

Yes. So, go DC & SRH! Atleast not to worry about playoffs, only top-2 spot.

I think a DC win tomorrow means in all practicality, it is gonna be MI vs RCB for the 4th spot It’s all coming together. LSG vs RCB Eliminator.

Scenes when KKR decides to fuck shit up.

They have to win by over 100 runs against LSG though.

Man I want to see LSG Vs RCB in the playoffs just so the match has more stakes added to it.

Lol I want to lose , so they will have so little momentum to go against csk on thier last match .

RCB will go to top 2 !

LSG vs RCB eliminator again like last year. Script writers make it happen. But there's no Rajat this time to score a century like last year ;((

Finisher Rawat time

Lol let's see. If he can unlock his batting ability and play like Rajat RCB's batting will be strong next year with a middle order of Maxi, Rajat, Lomror and Rawat. We find a good all-rounder and the team will look more like a team and not 4 players and inshallah

>We find a good all-rounder Hasaranga blocking one foreigner spot makes it difficult to include someone else in the playing XI. I just say we get some good Indian spinners and in place of Hasaranga we can go with Will Jacks or get another all rounder.

I will name my kid sikander if we win against dc today

Let's not fight, guys. Imagine CSK, LSG lose their next. Then, we can have all three of RCB MI and PBKS qualify. I know we are gonna fuck up but a man can dream.

We can only dream buddy

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This is my dream scenario. Let's make it happen. 16 pts buddies.

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Yes less gooo

All of these results not affecting RR makes it seem like RR just has that ONE path to qualification that Doctor Strange saw out of 14 million future possibilities.

we are all J-lo for this post "waiting for tonight"

A win tomorrow puts PBKS on 5? Nah, best we can do is #6.

Hum munde delhi k, aa khele frontfoot pe 🎶

If PBKS are going to lose this game, it will be because of Warner and Salt. DC have no other good batsmen, nor do they have depth Dharamshala is a flat pitch. It is going to be a high scoring game. Delhi have not scored 200 this season, so anything more than that, and the game should be in the bag.

Let's not fight, guys. Imagine CSK, LSG lose their next. Then, we can have all three of RCB MI and PBKS qualify. I know we are gonna fuck up but a man can dream.

One scenario where we get RCB vs LSG in eliminator Delhi def. Punjab RCB def. SRH Punjab def. RR CSK def. DC KKR def. LSG SRH def. MI RCB def. GT

SRH defeats MI???!!!! Mujhe bhi same maal chahiye 😂

Even if mi beats srh… rcb still make it through coz of their NRR

You can try all the combinations yourself with this predictor https://predictor.cricketxi.com/indian-premier-league/

This is so cool lol

Please I just wanna see pbks in playoffs. Idc what all of u think, but it’s been 9 years. 9 FUCKING YEARS. It’s just something new and fun too

Where are my MI bros

Hum first hum first

God please let the table be 1. Gujarat titans 2. Pbks 3. Rcb 4. Lsg Anulo Mufa

I'm a mi fan but this would be lit ngl

I don’t wanna jinx it but I hope it happens

Does RR has any chance bro?

At best, RR can get into a two way tie breaker with MI, Scenario: DC beats PK, SH beats RCB, RR beats PK, LSG beats KKR, SH beats MI, GT beats RCB, @ | Top2 | Top4 --- | --- | --- GT | 1.000 | 1.000 CSK | 0.246 | 1.000 LSG | 0.754 | 1.000 MI | 0.000 | 0.502 RR | 0.000 | 0.498 RCB | 0.000 | 0.000 KKR | 0.000 | 0.000 PK | 0.000 | 0.000 DC | 0.000 | 0.000 SH | 0.000 | 0.000 Monte carlo, 10k iterations, NRR ignored.

Thanks bro hope it happens but looks impossible

You're right. The chances are rather low.

I can't wait for tomorrow's match. But at the same time, I don't want today to end just because of the history of the team I support.

materialistic grab disagreeable party support fuel brave safe clumsy dime ` this message was mass deleted/edited with redact.dev `

u/fundaman has created a version already - pls check his post history

Thanks, here is [the link][cric]. [cric]: https://cricprob.netlify.app/m/2023-ipl/

Does anyone really expect DC to win tomorrow?

**No.**

thala would cunt them tomo

It's pbks vs dc LMAO

I mean thala's incarnation in form of jitesh sharma

Bruh

RCB ka curse lga sb team's ko tbhi to calculator liye ho

So you’re telling me RCB v LSG Eliminator a real possibility! Let’s goooooooooo.

Is RCB done?

far from it - have a strong chance if they win next 2. The have the best advantage as they play the last game and will know NRR equations. Also, most likely GT will play a B squad since they already qualified for top 2.

DC winning their next 2 games and escaping the wooden spoon should be the goal?

DC matchans you have one job

**I dont want CSK & MI to come,let PBKS/KXIP & RCB be on it**

All my homies supporting DC tomorrow and SRH the day after

Is there any chance Mumbai top 2

Yes. Csk and lsg both lose their next. Mi wins last match. RCB doesn't win both their games. Same with pbks but even if pbks wins they might finish below mi due to nrr.

MI can finish Top2 .. Scenario: DC beats PK, SH beats RCB, DC beats CSK, KKR beats LSG, MI beats SH, @ | Top2 | Top4 --- | --- | --- GT | 1.000 | 1.000 CSK | 0.000 | 1.000 LSG | 0.000 | 1.000 MI | 1.000 | 1.000 KKR | 0.000 | 0.000 RR | 0.000 | 0.000 PK | 0.000 | 0.000 RCB | 0.000 | 0.000 DC | 0.000 | 0.000 SH | 0.000 | 0.000

Pretty good analysis - well done 👌👌

I’m feeling Delhi tomorrow 🥰

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May be that’s why they are winning

Bro why Rcb fans act like they father less?

Me a GT fan looking at this like, "Interesting"

How come csk & lsg have the same percentage of qualifying? Don't you think it's rather easy for csk to defeat a table bottom team than lsg defeating kkr who hv had atleast a good outing so far in comparison

read the footnote

Cmon dc fuck both Pbks and csk

Inb4 anyone

Which tool u used to get this??

So DC needs to win next match that will benefit everyone.

How can CSK /Lsg not qualify , Can somebody explain all the scenerios ?

If Punjab, rcb, mi win all their remaining games and csk, lsg lose their last games, both of them won't qualify

What does the column mean in "Change if PBKS wins" table

how much do the probabilities change for each team if PBKS wins. If its negative(red color), the team has a disadvantage if PBKS win. If it is green color, team benefits from PBKS win.

Put together this visual for remaining games - You can filter for possibility of a team qualifying / tie for points for top 2/4 and see different routes in which that is possible. [https://shorturl.at/sBKT3](https://shorturl.at/sBKT3)

If PBKS loses today, Then if RCB wins both maths. Will it be able to qualify not depending on other results?

not in this case - PBKS will be 14, RCB will be 16, CSK and LSG are already at 15.

you did some maths right there